Revisiting the journal impact factor

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Revisiting the journal impact
                                                                                                                          factor

                                                                                                                          Vera Morgan and Aleksandar Janca

                                                                                                                          INTRODUCTION

                                                                                                                          I
                                                                                                                              n 1955, Eugene Garfield proposed “a bibliographic system for science
                                                                                                                              literature that can eliminate the uncritical citation of fraudulent,
                                                                                                                              incomplete, or obsolete data by making it possible for the conscien-
                                                                                                                          tious scholar to be aware of criticisms of earlier papers”.1 This led to the
                                                                                                                          publication of the Science Citation Index (SCI) by the Institute for Scien-
                                                                                                                          tific Information (ISI) and the development, by Garfield and Sher of the
                                                                                                                          ISI, of the journal impact factor to facilitate the selection of journals for
                                                                                                                          the SCI and Current Contents2 (Table 1). Some 44 years later, and 36
                                                                                                                          years after the publication of the first Science Citation Index, Garfield
                                                                                                                          wrote that “[l]ike nuclear energy, the impact factor has become a mixed
                                                                                                                          blessing”.2 Hecht et al are more unequivocal in their criticism, describ-
                                                                                                                          ing the impact factor as “a misnamed, misleading, misused measure”.3
                                                                                                                          This paper revisits the concept of the impact factor. It identifies two
                                                                                                                          main uses and several limitations in its use. It argues that distinguish-
                                                                                                                          ing the two uses of the impact factor helps one to decide whether the
                                                                                                                          journal impact factor is valuable or whether it is an ill-conceived meas-
                                                                                                                          ure that should be abandoned.

                                                                                                                          WHAT IS A JOURNAL’S IMPACT FACTOR
                                                                                                                          The impact factor of a journal is an ISI measure found in the Journal
                                                                                                                          Citation Reports (JCR), an index of published journals in the sciences and
                                                                                                                          social sciences produced annually by the ISI. It is one of several values
                                                                                                                          in the JCR based on the frequency with which articles published by a
                                                                                                                          journal are cited. The impact factor, the most common of these values,
                                                                                                                          is used to rank journals both overall and within a discipline area
                                                                                                                          (Table 1).
                                                                                                                          The impact factor measures the average number of times articles pub-
                                                                                                                          lished within the previous two years by a journal are cited in the current
  Australasian Psychiatry • Vol 8, No 3 • September 2000

                                                                                                                           Table 1: Terms and abbreviations

                                                           Vera Morgan, BA, DipEd, MSocSc                                  ISI               Institute for Scientific Information which publishes:
                                                           Research Fellow
                                                           University of Western Australia                                 SCI               Science Citation Index
                                                           Department of Psychiatry and Behavioural Science
                                                           Perth, Western Australia
                                                           Aleksandar Janca, MD, MSc, FRCPsych, FRANZCP
                                                                                                                           JCR               Journal Citation Report
                                                           Associate Professor of Psychiatry
                                                           University of Western Australia                                 Impact factor     The impact factor measures the average number of times articles
                                                           Department of Psychiatry and Behavioural Science                                  published within the previous two years by a journal are cited in
                                                           Perth, Western Australia
                                                           Correspondence: Vera Morgan, University of Western                                the current year.
                                                           Australia, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioural Science,
                                                           Medical Research Foundation Building, Rear 50 Murray Street,    Cited half-life   The cited half-life measures the number of publication years
                                                           Perth, WA 6000.
                                                           Tel: 08 9224 0235                                                                 preceding the current year which account for 50% of total citations
                                                           Fax: 08 9224 0285                                                                 within a journal in the current year.
                                                           Email: vmorgan@cyllene.uwa.edu.au

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year covered by the JCR. For example, the 1998            However, the JCR also adds that its citation scores
impact factor for an individual journal is the number     “should not be relied on as the sole source of infor-
of citations in 1998 of articles published by the jour-   mation when comparing and evaluating publica-
nal in 1996–97 divided by the number of articles pub-     tions. The quantitative citation data it reports are
lished by the journal in the same two-year period.        intended to complement, not replace, traditional
Only original research articles, review articles and      qualitative and subjective inputs, such as peer sur-
technical notes are included in JCR counts of articles    veys and specialist opinions”.5 Nonetheless, there is
in the denominator. However, counts of citations in       growing evidence that the impact factor is used in
the numerator also include editorials, letters,           academic appointments and promotion,6,7 and in
abstracts and the like.                                   resource allocation.7 It would appear that some
                                                          scientific committees, while recognising that a sim-
A second JCR measure is the cited half-life. The cited    ple count of articles published is poor evidence of
half-life measures the number of publication years        the quality of research output, are coming to rely on
preceding the current year covered by the JCR which       journal impact factors as a shortcut to assessing the
account for 50% of total citations within a journal in    quality of individual papers and their authors. Hecht
the current year. Only journals with at least 100 cita-   argues that it has had a particularly strong impact in
tions are listed. For example, in 1998 a journal may      Western Europe, possibly in response to a need for
have included citations going as far back as 1964 but     an objective system of review following a history of
50% of the citations in the journal were for items        “favouritism, nepotism, and social-rank privileges”.3
published between 1993 and 1998. The JCR formula          Benítez-Bribiesca observes that its popularity is
calculates a cited half-life of some 7 years, with the    growing in developing countries who are endeavour-
exact figure based on the cumulative percentage of        ing to ensure that their own research committees
citations per year.                                       apply the same rigorous standards found in highly
                                                          developed countries.6
The JCR complements the SCI. The SCI compiles a
searchable list of all substantive items published in
journals during the period covered by the index
                                                          LIMITATIONS IN THE USE OF IMPACT
(Source Index), and further compiles all citations to     FACTORS
that item (Citation Index). These indexes are organ-      Limitations due the ISI method of calculation
ised in two parts: by items cited and by articles cit-
ing those items, both sorted on first author. Because     There are a number of inherent limitations in the ISI
                                                          calculation of the impact factor which call into ques-
there is also a subject index (Permuterm Subject
                                                          tion its usefulness. First, the source database, the
Index), it is possible to trace published articles
                                                          SCI, is not comprehensive. It does not include books
through the subject matter. Thus the SCI allows
                                                          and, in 1997, it only covered some 3200 journals out
researchers to determine whether their publication
                                                          of an estimated world total of 126,000.7 There are
has been cited by others, and to trace those refer-
                                                          strong biases as to which journals are covered. There
ences. It is also a means of following backwards or
                                                          is a preponderance of journals written in English
forwards work published by a particular author or in
                                                          and, if in English, published in North America.7
a particular field of research. Indexes, similar to the
                                                          Opthof cites de Jong and Schaper’s 1996 data for
science index, have been published for the arts and
                                                          clinical cardiovascular papers.8 They analysed cita-
humanities, and for the social sciences. The JCR is       tions for 137,019 papers published between 1981 and
compiled using data from these three indices.             1992 from the G7, seven major industrial democra-
                                                          cies, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United
THE USE OF THE IMPACT FACTOR
                                                                                                                    Australasian Psychiatry • Vol 8, No 3 • September 2000
                                                          Kingdom and USA, as well as 7 smaller European
Garfield argues that the primary aim of the impact        countries. Some 46% of these papers were never
factor is to help libraries decide what to purchase       cited, ranging from 31% for Norway to 69% for
and authors decide where to submit their manu-            Japan. The average number of citations per paper
scripts.2 The JCR also recommends its general use for     was 7.5 for USA down to 2.0 for Japan. Moreover, it
tracking bibliographic trends, as well as a source of     appears that discipline area also affects inclusion on
evaluative data for the editorial and publication         the ISI database. One institution found that, in 1987,
boards of journals. Editors of journals such as the       the database included 90% of publications from its
British Journal of Psychiatry endorse the use of the      faculty of chemistry but only 30% of those from the
journal impact factor as a measure of journal status:     faculty of biology.7
“Readers and future authors may like to know that         Second, articles that are counted in the denominator
work published in the Journal is cited relatively         of the impact factor equation — substantive citable
frequently — an indication that articles in the Jour-     articles — may be hard to classify as such. This has
nal are read and have an impact on the psychiatric        led to incorrect classifications which, in turn, affect
community”.4                                              the impact factor which decreases in value as the

                                                                                                                                        231
denominator increases, assuming the numerator              Other aspects of journals will affect the impact fac-
                                                           remains static. For example, Joseph and Hoey calcu-        tor. Elite generalist journals can be more selective
                                                           lated there were between 176 and 208 citable articles      about what they publish as they are not limited to a
                                                           in the Canadian Medical Association Journal (CMAJ)         specific field, nor do they have obligations to pub-
                                                           for the period 1995–96 compared to the JCR’s count         lish the work of small and/or foreign research
                                                           of 350. The erroneous counting, by the ISI, of certain     groups.3 Journals published in English and, if in Eng-
                                                           items as citable was a mistake identified by the CMAJ      lish, in North America are not only more likely to be
                                                           which will be corrected in the JCR from 2000.9             included on the ISI database for the calculation of
                                                           Third, citations which are the basis of the numerator      the impact factor (see above), they are also more
                                                           may be positive or negative, a consideration not           likely to be read and cited for linguistic and cultural
                                                           included in the calculation of the impact factor           reasons.4,7,8
                                                           which merely counts the number of citations.               Finally, editorial policy may be influential. For
                                                           Finally, a journal’s impact factor will be adversely       example, the time taken to review manuscripts is
                                                           affected either if it has a change of name over the        important given a two-year limit on the calculation
                                                           two-year calculation period as the two journal titles      of citations.12 Self-citations will also boost a journal
                                                           are not linked for the purposes of calculating the         impact factor;7 it has been demonstrated that two
                                                           impact factor,10 or if names in a citation are mis-        spurious self-citations per source article will increase
                                                           spelled, a not insignificant problem which affected        a journal impact factor of 0.1 to 2.1.13
                                                           10% of citations in cardiovascular research in 1994.8
                                                           Biases arising out of journal characteristics              QUALITY AND THE IMPACT FACTOR
                                                           Other problems in the use of the impact factor arise       Given these limitations, what can be said of the use
                                                           out of biases affecting the algorithm for calculating      of the impact factor as a measure of quality. Seglen
                                                           the impact factor introduced through journal char-         argues, with good evidence, that the impact factor is
                                                           acteristics. Many of these biases arise because the        useful in assessing the quality of a journal but not the
                                                           source for citations in the impact factor numerator is     quality of any individual paper or author. For one
                                                           more broadly defined than the source for substantive       thing, he contends, the impact factor cannot
                                                           items in the denominator; journal characteristics          represent author impact where only 15% of journal
                                                           that increase the numerator at a greater rate than the     articles account for 50% of citations.7 However, the
                                                           denominator will tend to result in higher impact           analysis of simultaneous publication in multiple
                                                           factors.                                                   journals suggests that, while the level of citation is
                                                                                                                      more influenced by the quality of an article than by
                                                           The nature of the research published in a journal will
                                                                                                                      the journal impact factor, journal visibility may
                                                           exert a strong influence on its impact factor.
                                                                                                                      increase the citation rate by up to 80%.8 This, in
                                                           Research in the basic sciences is more likely to be
                                                           cited compared to articles with clinical and indus-        turn, makes these prestigious journals highly attrac-
                                                           trial applications, or relating to health care pro-        tive to good researchers, be it for the prestige or to
                                                           grams, which may be widely read and applied but            ensure wider dissemination of their findings or
                                                           not cited much.6,7,10 Likewise, published research in      because publication in high impact journals will
                                                           disciplines in which knowledge is expanding rapidly        overtly or covertly increase their chances of gaining
                                                           and publication is a high priority such as genetics        funding or promotion. “However, if the papers we
                                                           will be cited with greater frequency within the two-       submit are not of high quality, they will not be
                                                           year time limit for the calculation of the impact          accepted by prestigious journals and we have to sub-
  Australasian Psychiatry • Vol 8, No 3 • September 2000

                                                           factor than publications in other disciplines such as      mit articles of moderate quality to journals of inferior
                                                           mathematics.6,7,10 The cited half-life of journals gives   impact”, writes Hoeffel.14
                                                           a good indication of the heterogeneity that exists         These trends lie at the heart of warnings that high
                                                           between disciplines in the timeframe within which          impact factor journals will attract the highest quality
                                                           articles will be cited; in some cases, that heterogene-    contributions to the detriment of other journals, and
                                                           ity can even be seen within a discipline, for example,     their use as a measure of quality in scientific evalua-
                                                           oral science.10                                            tions will have important repercussions for new
                                                           The type of items published in a journal can also          fields, young researchers and research groups in
                                                           lead to biases. Review articles generate more cita-        developing countries.6 They also underlie a concern
                                                           tions than research papers, because it is easier to ref-   that, although high impact journals are not always
                                                           erence a review article than many separate original        the most appropriate vehicle for some publica-
                                                           articles.3,7 Similarly published abstracts are often       tions,6,15 an excellent article in an average impact
                                                           cited but do not affect the denominator in the cal-        journal may be poorly received compared to an aver-
                                                           culation of the journal impact factor.11                   age article in a high impact journal.3

232
EXPLOITING THE IMPACT FACTOR:                              CONCLUSION
EFFECT ON EDITORIAL POLICY                                 Two primary uses of a journal impact factor have
A further danger is that a journal may introduce           been identified. The first use is in assessing the
changes merely to boost its impact factor. Hecht           impact of a journal, either overall or within a field.
et al. warn that “[e]ditorial policies once determined     This use seems inevitable and even warranted in a
by scientists-editors may increasingly be dictated by      period where the number of journals is expanding
executives and accountants”. It is inevitable that         rapidly and time for evaluation is limited. However,
                                                           some provisos are essential. Given the limitations of
journals should begin to use impact factors as mar-
                                                           the database and the effect of journal characteristics
keting tools, and evidence of this use is growing.3,4,16
                                                           on the impact factor, it is important for users to
The number of journals has increased exponentially
                                                           become familiar with the mechanisms underlying
over the last half-century. At the same time,
                                                           the calculation of the impact factor, in order to bet-
researchers, faced with fewer resources and substan-
                                                           ter understand its virtues and deficits. In particular,
tially larger administrative roles, are increasingly
                                                           it is essential to recognise that, while it appears to
judicious in their use of time and money. Similar          hold that journals with high impact factors are of
constraints apply to departmental and institutional        high quality, the converse is not necessarily true and
libraries. In these circumstances, journals will do        that at least some high quality journals will have
what they can to win their share of readers. There is      moderate, low or missing impact factors for any of
some evidence that this includes, not just marketing       the reasons already outlined.
by a journal of its impact factor, but proactive
changes to a journal format to increase its impact         At the same time, changes to journal policy need to
factor. The Canadian Medical Association Journal           be monitored to ensure that the quest for a higher
notes the importance of increasing its impact factor       impact factor is not at the expense (directly or indi-
                                                           rectly) of substantive changes to the quality of scien-
to attract authors.9 One measure planned is a shorter
                                                           tific publication.
time between receipt of a manuscript and publica-
tion.15 The Lancet now uses explicit citations to orig-    Whether one should go so far as to separate review
inal articles in its letters of comment rather than        journals from non-review journals and elite journals
including them in the text as it did formerly, thus        from discipline-specific journals, and rename the
increasing the number of self-citations.13 Other jour-     impact factor a “citation rate index” in keeping with
nals such as the FASEB Journal (the journal of the         its actual role3 is open to debate. However, one sim-
Federation of American Societies for Experimental          ple procedure available to all users is to consider the
Biology) and Nature have reclassified some items so        discipline area when comparing impact factors
that they are not counted as source items for the cal-     across journals. Standardising the impact factor
culation of the denominator but may be used in the         across discipline areas takes into account at least
count of citations. Thus, for example, when meeting        some of the influences affecting the citation rate
abstracts changed from being counted as source to          within a particular area. The simplest way of doing
being counted as non-source in the FASEB Journal,          this is to divide the impact factor of any journal by
its impact factor rose from 0.24 in 1988 to 18.3 in        the impact factor of the journal ranked top within
                                                           the same discipline area. A multiplier can be used to
1989. 13 Numerous writers have pointed to an
                                                           set the maximum possible range.
increase in the publication of review articles in order
to boost the number of citations; Hecht et al. observe     The second use of the impact factor is to evaluate
that 15 of the top ranked journals do not publish          individuals and their work on the basis of the impact

                                                                                                                     Australasian Psychiatry • Vol 8, No 3 • September 2000
fresh results, only compilations of reviews and sum-       factor of journals in which their publications appear.
maries of past research.3                                  This extension of what amounts to an ecological fal-
                                                           lacy into the area of citation analysis is highly con-
Advances in computer technology may lead to new            troversial. It accepts that the quality of published
ways of enhancing one’s impact factor. For example,        research can be evaluated from its “wrapping” rather
a journal that alerts its readership to its current con-   than from an examination of its “contents”.7 The
tents and provides easy and timely access to full text     use of the impact factor in these circumstances may
articles may be indirectly increasing the number of        be unwarranted where other options are available.
citations made to it.
                                                           Unfortunately, while the published literature has
The trend to editorial changes to boost one’s impact       debated extensively the use of the impact factor as a
factor is relatively new. Many changes documented          means of predicting author quality, relatively little
have been cosmetic rather than substantive.                discussion has focussed on the development of alter-
Whether such changes ultimately improve or detract         native means of researcher evaluation. One such
from the substantive quality of a journal remains to       alternative is to further develop the use of actual
be seen.                                                   author citation data in the SCI. The use of author

                                                                                                                                         233
Table 2: JCR classification of journals within psychiatry and their rankings in 1998.

                                                           1.   Arch Gen Psychiatry                          9.398      40. Int J Eat Disorder                             1.139
                                                           2.   Am J Psychiatry                              5.939      41. J Psychosom Res                                1.129
                                                           3.   J Clin Psychopharmacol                       5.338      42. Prog Neuro-Psychoph                            1.114
                                                           4.   Mol Psychiatry                               4.756      43. Can J Psychiatry                               1.058
                                                           5.   Schizophr Bull                               4.455      44. J Psychiatry Neurosci                          0.966
                                                           6.   Neuropsychopharmacology                      4.318      45. Eur Arch Psychiatry Clin Neurosci              0.959
                                                           7.   Dementia                                     4.148      46. Aust NZ J Psychiatry                           0.847
                                                           8.   J Clin Psychiatry                            4.073      47. Neuropsychobiology                             0.846
                                                           9.   J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry           3.732      48. J Intellect Disabil Res                        0.754
                                                           10. Br J Psychiatry                               3.503      49. Dement Geriatr Cogn                            0.710
                                                           11. Psychol Med                                   3.124      50. Br J Med Psychol                               0.702
                                                           12. Psychosom Med                                 3.046      51. Nervenarzt                                     0.696
                                                           13. Psychopharmacology                            3.032      52. Behav Med                                      0.649
                                                           14. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry                 2.938      53. Stress Medicine                                0.648
                                                           15. Psychopharmacol Bull                          2.590      54. Int J Psychiatry Med                           0.630
                                                           16. Schizophr Res                                 2.496      55. J Psychosom Obst Gyn                           0.606
                                                           17. Biol Psychiatry                               2.405      56. Hum Psychopharm Clin                           0.584
                                                           18. Pharmacopsychiatry                            2.304      57. Convulsive Ther                                0.500
                                                           19. Am J Orthopsychiatry                          2.267      58. Neuropsy Neuropsy Be                           0.500
                                                           20. Psychother Psychosom                          2.103      59. Verhaltenstherapie                             0.486
                                                           21. J Neuropsychiatry Clin Neurosci               1.697      60. Psychopathology                                0.474
                                                           22. Addiction                                     1.620      61. Subst Use Misuse                               0.457
                                                           23. J Child Adol Psychop                          1.609      62. Child Psychiatry Hum De                        0.452
                                                           24. J Affect Disord                               1.586      63. Fortschr Neurol Psychiatr                      0.441
                                                           25. Psychiatr Serv                                1.570      64. Eur Psychiat                                   0.394
                                                           26. Int Clin Psychopharmacol                      1.557      65. Psychiat Clin Neuros                           0.382
                                                           27. Acta Psychiatr Scand                          1.554      66. J Geriatr Psychiatry                           0.375
                                                           28. Psychosomatics                                1.541      67. Encephale                                      0.290
                                                           29. Exp Clin Psychopharm                          1.510      68. Neurol Psychiat Br                             0.216
  Australasian Psychiatry • Vol 8, No 3 • September 2000

                                                           30. Drug Alcohol Depen                            1.485      69. Nervenheilkunde                                0.211
                                                           31. Psychiatry Res                                1.424      70. Ann Med Psychol                                0.208
                                                           32. J Psychiat Res                                1.362      71. Arq Neuropsiquiatr                             0.141
                                                           33. Psychiat Res-Neuroim                          1.329      72. Neuropsychiatrie                               0.125
                                                           34. Psychiatry                                    1.255      73. Acta Neuropsychiatr                            0.089
                                                           35. J Nerv Ment Dis                               1.250      74. Zh Nevropatol Psikhiatr                        0.080
                                                           36. Compr Psychiatry                              1.234      75. Giorn Neuropsi Evol                            0.031
                                                           37. J Geriatr Psychiatry Neurol                   1.222      76. Actas Luso Esp Neurol Psiquiatr Cienc Afines   0.013
                                                           38. Z Psychosom Med Psycoanal                     1.209      77. J Ect                                            —
                                                           39. Gen Hosp Psychiatry                           1.144

234
citation data is not without its problems, many of                                     3. Hecht F, Hecht B, Sandberg A. The journal ‘impact factor’: a misnamed, mislead-
which relate to limitations inherent in the SCI data-                                     ing misused measure. Cancer Genetics and Cytogenetics 1998; 104: 77–81.

base. One author may appear under multiple names,                                      4. Howard L, Wilkinson G. Impact factors of psychiatric journals. British Journal of
particularly authors with particle or compound                                            Psychiatry 1997; 170: 109–112.
names, those with names that are not English, or                                       5. Institute/for/Scientific/Information. 1998 JCR Journal Citation Reports. Science
those who have changed their name. A further prob-                                        Edition. Philadelphia: Institute for Scientific Information; 1999.
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                                                                                       8. Opthof T. Sense and nonsense about the impact factor. Cardiovascular Research
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                                                                                          ical Association Journal 1999; 161: 977–978.
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the basis for a more equitable evaluation of scientific                                    nals. Letter. Lancet 1995; 346: 906.
merit than currently available through the use of the                                  13. Gowrishankar J, Divakar P. Sprucing up one’s impact factor. Letter. Nature 1999;
impact factor.                                                                             401: 321–322.

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