Republic of Benin Investor presentation
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DISCLAIMER This presentation and its contents are strictly confidential and are not for general release, publication or distribution, in whole or in part, directly or indirectly, in or into the United States or any jurisdiction in which such distribution is unlawful. This presentation is not an offer to sell or invitation to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Any offering of the securities that may be related to the subject matter of this communication will be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the offering circular (Offering Circular) (together with any supplements thereto) published by the Republic of Benin in final form relating to such securities and in such case the information contained herein will be superseded in its entirety by the Offering Circular in its final form. The securities discussed herein (hereinafter referred to as the Securities) have not been, and will not be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act) or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States and may not be offered, sold or delivered within the United States or to U.S. persons except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act. Accordingly, the Securities will be offered, sold and delivered (i) outside the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S (Regulation S) under the Securities Act) or (ii) to qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) in reliance on, and in compliance with, Rule 144A under the Securities Act. By accepting this information, you warrant that you are (i) outside the United States or (ii) a QIB. This presentation is made to and is directed only at persons who are outside the United Kingdom or to persons within the United Kingdom who are (i) investment professionals falling within article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005/1529 (the Order), (ii) high net worth entities and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order, or (iii) any other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated (all such persons in (i) through (iii) above together being referred to as relevant persons). Any person within the United Kingdom who is not either located outside the United Kingdom or a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Any investment activity to which this communication may relate is only available to, and any invitation, offer or agreement to engage in such investment activity will be engaged in only with, such relevant persons or persons located outside of the United Kingdom. Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. By accepting this information, you warrant that you are (i) outside the United Kingdom or (ii) a relevant person. This presentation contains “forward-looking statements”, which are statements related to future developments involving and economic conditions in the Republic of Benin. Such forward-looking statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of the Republic of Benin, and, therefore, should be evaluated with consideration of the risks and uncertainties inherent in the Republic of Benin and macroeconomic conditions more generally. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond the Republic of Benin’s control, can materially affect the actual outcomes, and which may differ from the forward-looking statements. This presentation has been prepared by the Republic of Benin. No representation or warranty, express or implied is given by or on behalf of the Republic of Benin or Citigroup Global Markets Limited, Natixis, Société Générale (together, the Joint Lead Managers), their respective affiliates or any other person as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information or the opinions contained in this document, the assumptions on which they are based or the suitability of any investment for your purpose, and none of the foregoing persons accepts any liability for any loss or damage whatsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from this presentation or its contents. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. Neither the Republic of Benin nor the Joint Lead Managers undertakes any obligation to update or revise the information or any forward-looking statements in the presentation to reflect any changes after such date. MiFID II professionals / ECPs-only - Manufacturer target market (MiFID II product governance) is eligible counterparties and professional clients only (all distribution channels). UK MiFIR professionals / ECPs-only - Manufacturer target market (UK MiFIR product governance) is eligible counterparties and professional clients only (all distribution channels). The distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be prohibited by law and, accordingly, recipients of this presentation represent that they are able to receive this presentation without contravention of any unfulfilled registration requirements or other legal restrictions in the jurisdiction in which they reside or conduct business. There will be no sale of the Securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, sale or solicitation would be unlawful. By accessing this presentation you shall be deemed to have represented to us that: (a) you have understood and agreed to the terms set out herein, (b) you consent to delivery of this presentation by electronic transmission, (c) you are either (i) not a US person and you are accessing this presentation from outside the United States, its territories and possessions, or the District of Columbia or (ii) a QIB and (d) if you are a person in the United Kingdom, then you are a relevant person. Recipients are required to observe such restrictions and the Republic does not accept any liability to any person in relation to the distribution of information in any jurisdiction. A rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities and may be subject to revision, suspension or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating organisation. Similar ratings for different types of issuers and on different types of notes do not necessarily mean the same thing. C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.2
COUNTRY SNAPSHOT Niger Burkina-Faso Guéné Kandi Population • 12.2m (2020) Batia Natitingou Pop. growth • 2.9% (CAGR, 2017-2020) Djougou Parakou Area • 114,763 sq. km Togo Nigéria Ghana Capital city • Porto Novo Savalou Abomey Official language • French Lokossa Ouidah PORTO NOVO Main exports (% • Cotton (18%), Cashew nuts (2%) Cotonou Golfe du Bénin total exports, 2019) Currency • CFA Franc (XOF) as a member of the WAEMU Peg • Fixed peg to the Euro (EUR 1 = XOF 655.957) Nominal GDP • €13.7bn (2020e) (XOF 9,009bn) GDP per capita • €1,116.4 (2020e) (XOF 732.3k) Real GDP growth • 6.9% (2019), 3.8% (2020e) Inflation • -0.9% (2019), 3.0% (2020e) Institutions • Presidential democracy Other countries of WAEMU (West African Economic and Monetary President • Patrice Talon Union): Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Solicited sovereign • S&P: B+, Stable Outlook Niger, Senegal, and Togo credit ratings • Moody’s: B1, Stable Outlook Source Republic of Benin C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.3
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND ACHIEVEMENTS Recent achievements 1 • Contained development of the Covid-19 in Benin thanks to a policy of targeted response to the Key achievements pandemic, allowing to preserve the dynamism of the economy • The authorities have also introduced a systematic and compulsory quarantine of all individuals Covid-19 entering Benin, as well as systematic testing at the end of the quarantine, and has adopted a ✓• IMF programme response implementation was contingency plan amounting to more than XOF 300 bn (€457m eq.) to face the pandemic deemed "very • Benin aims to vaccinate 60% of the population by December 2022, with a strategy focusing on one- satisfactory" following the shot vaccines 6th review (April-20) (best 2 possible assessment) • Prior to Covid-19, GDP growth had accelerated significantly from 1.8% in 2015 to 6.9% in 2019 • The authorities Covid-19 response has allowed to maintain strong economic momentum Growth performance o In 2020, Benin recorded real GDP growth rate of 3.8%, among the highest GDP growth rates in ✓• Benin ranked first for Africa debt transparency among 76 IDA countries o The authorities expect Benin’s GDP to grow by 6.0% in 2021 by the World Bank (2020) 3 • Reforms designed to fight fraud and significantly increase the performance of tax collection authorities o Revenues (excl. grants) have increased by 53% between 2016 and 2020 despite the pandemic, driven by a rise in non-tax revenues by 86% (e.g. revenue from Treasury administration, from the ✓• Among the "Most Fiscal Impressive African performance Caisse Autonome d’Amortissement¹, etc.) and in tax revenues by 48% Issuers” GlobalCapital • Sharp decrease in budget deficit from 5.9% of GDP in 2015 to 0.5% of GDP in 2019 (incl. grants) awards (2020) • Due to Covid-19, the fiscal deficit widened to 4.7% in 2020, and should narrow to 2.9%² by 2022 4 ✓• Longest EUR- • Significant foreign exchange reserves at a WAEMU level3 , covering 6.7 months of imports of denominated Eurobond goods and services at Q1 2021 (5.9 months at dec-2020, highlighting external resilience in the face in Sub-Saharan Africa, of the pandemic) issued in Jan-2021 (31- External performance • External position has continued to be supported by ample access to external financing sources, from year final maturity) multilateral, bilateral and commercial lenders • Full reopening of the border with Nigeria since December 2020 Sources Government of Benin, IMF Notes 1. Body in charge of financing resource mobilization and sound public debt management; 2. Government forecast vs. 3.0% of GDP as per IMF WEO April 2021 3. July 2021 | P.4 Benin’s foreign exchange reserves are centralized at a regional level by the BCEAO (Central Bank of West African States). See page 28.
MACROECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 CRISIS ON BENIN Resilient economic growth despite Covid-19, and firm rebound expected from 2021 Comments Top 25 GDP growth forecasts for 2020 (IMF, SSA, %) 6.1 • The strategy of partial lockdowns, targeted 5.2 Government IMF forecasts estimates¹ quarantines, systematic testing and medical 3.8 protection has allowed Benin to weather the shock 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 better than other countries and preserve economic 0.6 - activity (0.0)(0.1)(0.1)(0.2)(0.5)(0.5) (0.6)(0.9) (1.3) (1.8) • Macroeconomic performance has been exceptional Malawi Rwanda Mozambique Guinea Togo Ethiopia Burkina The Gambia Kenya Ghana Senegal Burundi Gabon Côte d'Ivoire Niger Comoros Tanzania DR Congo Eritrea Chad Benin Central Afric. Rep. in 2020 amid the Covid-19 pandemic and growth is expected to resume to pre-Covid levels in 2021 onwards • Benin’s real GDP grew by 3.8% in 2020 as per government latest estimates¹ Benin historical and forecasted real GDP growth (IMF, %) Resilient growth Resilient growth despite • This is among the strongest GDP growth in the face of Covid-19 and Nigeria Government estimates / forecasts estimate in Africa and the first in WAEMU Nigeria recession border closure in 2020 6.7 6.9 6.4 6.4 6.0 5.7 • Benin GDP growth should rebound sharply in 2021, to 6.0% as per government forecasts and 3.3 3.8 5.0% as per IMF April 2021 forecasts 1.8 • The IMF expects strong long-term real GDP growth, estimated at 6.4% over the period 2022- 2025 Sources IMF (WEO April 2021, 6th Review Press Release), Ministry of Finance C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.5 Note 1 Aligned with the IMF - to be officially reported in the upcoming IMF publication
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION ACHIEVED DESPITE RAMP-UP OF PUBLIC INVESTMENTS UNDER THE GOVERNMENT ACTION PROGRAMME¹ (‘GAP’) Fiscal reforms allow Benin to increase public investment while carrying out intense fiscal consolidation Intense fiscal consolidation Fiscal balance – Including grants (% of GDP) 1• 2016-2019 period: Benin implemented counter-cyclical fiscal policy, with a fiscal deficit decreasing from 4.4% of GDP in 2016 to 0.5% of GDP in 2019 (incl. grants), while sustaining a high level of public investment • Since 2016, the government has conducted several reforms to increase public revenues, control expenditures and free up resources to support the (0.5) public investment effort. For instance, the government is launching a reform to rationalize the wage bill in the education sector and enable (1.2) direct bank transfers to teachers • This performance has been acknowledged by the IMF several times Government forecast over recent years: “the fiscal deficit narrowed in 2016, thanks to the WAEMU 3% authorities’ strong measures to contain expenditure” (IMF, April 2017). convergence (2.9) (2.9) “The authorities have conducted important reforms to mobilize domestic criterion revenue and improve the efficiency of public investment. Results have been especially encouraging in the fiscal area” (IMF, July 2019) • In addition, debt service to government revenues remains contained, at 36.9% at end-2019, highlighting comprehensive fiscal consolidation efforts (4.3) Finance (4.4) 2• In 2020, the fiscal deficit widened to 4.7% as per government estimates Large deficit due (4.5) Law 2021 (4.7) due to Covid-19 to the negative spillovers of the Nigerian recession 3• A return to fiscal consolidation is expected as early as 2022, allowing and the fall in 1 2 3 Benin to reach the 3% WAEMU community threshold (2.9% of GDP as per cotton prices (5.9) 2016-2019 period Covid-19 Post-Covid-19 government forecasts and 3.0% as per IMF forecasts) Consolidation ) Fiscal policy has been appropriately countercyclical in recent years allowing to create fiscal headroom to weather the Covid-19 crisis. Benin aims to resume fiscal consolidation going forward Sources Republic of Benin, WEO April 2021, IMF reports Note 1. The Government Action Programme (‘GAP’) is Benin’s national economic and social programme for the 2016-2021 period, structured around 3 pillars: (i) strengthening July 2021 | P.6 democracy, the rule of law and good governance, (ii) structural transformation of the economy and (iii) improvement of the living conditions of the population. The GAP aims to implement 45 flagship projects (including in the infrastructure, tourism, agriculture and digital sectors), 95 priority projects and 19 institutional reforms.
A WELL-DEFINED GOVERNMENT SUSTAINABILITY ACTION PROGRAM Implementation of the Agenda 2063 de l’Union Africaine contributes to the realization of Benin's development vision as outlined in the document Benin Alafia 2025. The planning adopted by Benin allows the SDGs to be addressed at 4 levels: Level Description Planification Embraces the national strategy for achieving the 2030 SDGs within the framework of different strategic plans. Programmes Defines the policies and objectives to achieve the different strategic plans mentioned. Municipal Reflects the targets of the Sustainable Development Goals at the communal level with a prioritization. Budget Defines specific budget lines and specific projects framed by the ministries that are aligned with the PAG and the PND 2018-2025. Alafia vision instruments Acronym Date Target Provides for large-scale investments in many areas related to the 2030 Agenda Goals, The Government's Action 2021- PAG such as agriculture, tourism, culture, infrastructure, digital economy and information Program 2026 technology. Developed in early 2018 before the adoption of the PND is structured around programs "Leaving no one behind" / 2018- linked to the SDGs and 20 projects. These are anchored to the GAP pillars and linked to initiative the SDGs. Achieve sustained, sustainable and inclusive growth of at least 10% by 2025 based on The National Development 2018- PND the development of agribusiness, tourism and services. This national and local Plan 2025 governance framework focuses on improving human capital and infrastructure. The Sustainable Short-term implementation of the PND that tries to improve economy competitiveness, 2018- Development Growth PC2D reduce inequalities to basic social services, correct geographic disparities and improve 2021 Program management of public affairs. In addition to these programs, the sectoral strategic plans of the different ministries and the communal development plans are developed. Source: Document Vision Bénin-2025 Alafia July 2021 | P.7
FOCUS ON HIGH-IMPACT PRIORITY SDG Benin has already determined key objectives inspired by the United Nations SDGs and computed the expected financing needs associated Expected SDG financing needs by pillar (€m) 49 priority targets among SDGs totaling 80 indicators SDG Costing Report (2018) # # # # SDG prioritized SDG prioritized Pillar 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total indicators indicators targets targets Industry, Population 950 844 807 830 876 4,306 No Poverty 3 5 innovation & 3 6 Infrastructure Prosperity 3,371 2,510 2,513 2,512 2,208 13,114 Reduced Planet 65 61 65 61 65 316 Zero Hunger 3 6 3 3 inequalities Peace 48 42 42 42 42 215 Sustainable Good health & 5 12 cities & 3 5 Total 4,434 3,456 3,426 3,445 3,190 17,952 well-being communities Responsible Quality 3 3 consumption & 4 5 education production Expected SDG financing sources (2021-2025, %) Gender 2 3 Climate action 1 2 Equality Exclusively National 18% Budget 41% Clear water & Life below 4 6 2 2 National Budget & Sanitation water multilateral lenders jointly €18.0bn Affordable & 1 2 Life on land 3 4 Exclusively multilateral 17% Clean energy lenders Decent work & Peace, justice economic 4 6 & strong 5 10 Other growth institutions 24% TOTAL: 49 80 Sources Report on the prioritization of SDG targets in Benin (2017), SDG Costing Report (2018) July 2021 | P.8
BENIN SDG USE-OF-PROCEEDS The use of proceeds are articulated around the four pillars of the National development plan, all oriented towards the achievement of SDGs Highlights Eligible Expenditures across the 4 pillars • • Benin has defined 4 Development of a sustainable and productive agriculture pillars to achieve SDGs by addressing both social • Access to drinking water and wastewater processing “Population” and environmental issues; • Improving health for all or Social Population, Prosperity, • Decent housing for the poor Planet and Peace • Expanding education services and expanding capacity to take on students • The expenses cover different types of expenditures: • Access to low-carbon, reliable and affordable energy • 1 Expenditures for the “Prosperity” • Connectivity and digital inclusion throughout the territory acquisition of goods and or Economy services by the Ministry • Supporting employment and financial inclusion of the of Eduction and Minstry youth, women and rural entrepreneurs of Health • 2 Current transfers and • Developing living environments and sustainable subsidies expenditures infrastructure for all • Conservation of lake and coastal areas, reasonable • Public investment “Planet” 3 economic exploitation of the coasts expenditures or Environment • Conservation of biodiversity, restoration and reasonable exploitation of the forest cover and • 4 Personnel expenditures fighting against desertification for teachers, doctors, midwives and state “Peace/Partnership” • Promoting heritage sites, educational sites and nurses* or Governance entertainment infrastructure Source: Benin SDG bond framework July 2021 | P.9 * Personnel costs for security and defence forces are excluded
RIGOROUS PROJECT SELECTION, EVALUATION, ALLOCATION AND IMPACT REPORTING PROCESS Aligning with international best practices for project selection and reporting Selection and evaluation of SDG projects Allocation and impact reporting Project eligibility follows a detailed process involving several levels of Post issuance, investors will receive regular allocation and impact the administration. Eligible expenses grouped around the four key pillars reports published annually for the life of the bonds defined by the ICMA’s Green and Social Bond Principles (GBP & SBP). • Allocation reports will be audited by Deloitte Sectoral exclusions support consistency in the profile of the portfolio • Impact reports will be provided by the Republic of Benin and will be based on a mix of measurable domestic indicators and international indicators 1 Budget relating to the Supervised by each Ministry in view of the spending provided by the World Bank and UNDP among others SDGs lines defined in the national budget 1 Allocation report – Key information covered 2 • The initial date, amount and maturity of the issue Initial analysis of the budget to identify Supervised by the General Directorate for the Economy, • Share of funds allocated as % of total issue eligible expenditures in accordance with the issuance framework • Amount and % share of new financing/refinancing (% of projects coinciding with ICMA's green and social bond principles) 3 Analysis of most Supervised by the GD-SDG-CM with the confirmation • Summary of eligible categories with an indication of which ones have received impactful projects for and assistance of the Department of Planning and funding prioritisation Forecasting of each relevant Ministry • Amounts allocated by eligible categories (and % distribution) 4 • Description of major expenditures funded and associated projects or programs List of eligible Monitoring of projects and reports by the SDG • Remaining amount of funds to be allocated projects finalised Steering Committee • Type and amount of temporary investments • Share of co-financing (e.g., projects co-financed with international donors) 2 Impact report – Key information covered Process supported by a multi-disciplinary SDG bond steering committee led by the Minister of State in charge of Economy and • Environmental and/or social benefits of the various projects carried out Finance • Expected environmental and/or social benefits of projects in progress • Qualitative performance indicators and, when available, quantitative indicators • Chairman: Director General of the Economy (DGE), on behalf of the to assess the impact of the project financed or refinanced MEF, supported by the Director General of the Budget (DGB) • Methodology used to assess the impact of projects financed/refinanced • Vice-chairman: DGCS-ODD1, on behalf of the Minister in charge of • Impacts by defined eligible category Development and Coordination of Government Action • The contribution to the various SDGs • When possible, information on the final beneficiaries of expenditures Funds to be allocated in a maximum period of 24 months C1 Note 1. DGCS-ODD: Director General of Coordination and Monitoring of the | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION SDGs July 2021 | P.10
BENIN PARTNERS WITH UNITED NATIONS’ SDSN The partnership will among other things improve Benin reporting capabilities Keys considerations on the partnership with SDSN Benin SDG trends according to SDSN1 • In July 2021, Benin partnered with the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN), chaired by Jeffrey Sachs, to achieve a more effective monitoring and evaluation of the progress and efforts made by the Beninese government to achieve the SDGs Status Major challenge Significant SDG acheived challenge • The partnership will also include a technical component, by On track or allowing data production and useful information, to consolidate and Trend Increasing Stagnating maintaining Decreasing Information SDG unavaliable diversify Benin's financing sources achievement • In turn, this partnership will improve reporting capabilities on Overview of the methodological approach the use of SDG funds raised in the capital markets • The project will be structured around three key areas: Scope of cooperation • SDSN will provide an in-depth analysis of Benin's progress towards 1▫ In-depth comparative analysis of Benin’s performance on the the implementation of the SDGs SDG indicators and main gaps compared to peers • This external review will serve as a guideline for the SDG Bond Steering Committee and feed into the annual reports: 2▫ Mapping of public policies in terms of SDGs, carried out through a comparison of internationally available “policy • Allocation report will reflect the prioritization and selection of eligible trackers” and national initiatives expenditures made during the past year considering the latest recommendations issued by SDSN 3▫ Dissemination and communication of the project results • Impact report will aim to illustrate Benin's progress with respect to the during events on the African continent including with priority SDG targets and the areas for improvement identified by SDSN international donors and investors Notes 1 SDSN 2021 Sustainable Development Report, 2. SDSN is not a party to the Benin SDG Bond Framework July 2021 | P.11
VIGEO EIRIS SECOND PARTY OPINION Benin SDG Bond Framework is aligned with GSB principles1 and best practices Vigeo Eiris’ Cohérence assessment Vigeo Eiris’ framework alignment assessment Coherence of the Bond Framework Alignment of the framework with GSB principles Coherent “V.E considers that the Republic of Best practice Benin’s SDG Bond Framework is “V.E considers that the Republic of Benin’s SDG coherent with the Republic of Benin’s Aligned Bond Framework is aligned with the four core Partially coherent Government’s strategic sustainability components of ICMA’s Green Bond Principles 2021 priorities, and that it contributes to the Partially aligned (GBP) and Social Bond Principles 2021 (SBP) achievement of its sustainability and is in line with best practices identified by V.E” Not coherent commitments and targets.” Not aligned • “The net proceeds of the Bonds will exclusively finance or refinance, in part or in full, projects falling under twelve Green and Social Sustainable Eligible Expenditures Categories (“Eligible Categories”)” Vigeo Eiris’ SDG Contribution assessment ✓ ▫ “The Eligible Categories are clearly defined and detailed, the Issuer has Weak Limited Robust Advanced communicated the nature of the expenditures, the eligibility criteria, and location of Eligible Expenditures, as well as the target population for the Expected Social Expenditures” impacts Advanced ✓ ▫ “The Environmental and Social Objectives are clearly-defined, these are relevant for all the eligible categories and set in coherence with ESG risks sustainability objectives defined in international standards” management ✓ ▫ “The Expected Environmental and Social Benefits are clear and precise, these are considered relevant, measurable, and will be quantified for all SDG mapping the eligible categories in the reporting“ Advanced Limited ▫ ✓ “The Issuer has committed to transparently communicate the estimated Robust Weak share of refinancing prior to each bond issuance. The look-back period for refinanced eligible expenditures will be equal or less than 24 months from the issuance date, in line with good market practices” Notes 1 Green and Social bond principles C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.12
DETAILED SDG FINANCING BREAKDOWN (2019-2021) SDG financing breakdown by pillar Detailed breakdown by pillar 1 1% 1% Expansion of educational services* 2% 7% 1% Improved health for all 22% Development of a sustainable and Population €732m productive agriculture 20% Access to drinking water and wastewater treatment Decent housing for the poor €1,016m 78% 2 15% Access to low-carbon, reliable and 72% affordable energy Prosperity €206m Supporting employment and financial inclusion of the youth, women and rural Population Prosperity Planet Parnerships entrepreneurs 85% 3 Development of sustainable living 9% environments and infrastructure for all 2019-2021 SDG financing breakdown 7% Preservation of lake and coastal areas, Total eligible project Planet €68m rational economic exploitation of Benin's €1,016,585,464.52 coastal areas expenses Preservation of biodiversity, restoration and rational exploitation of Benin's forest 83% cover 2019 budget €218,616,603.58 4 2020 budget €258,013,582.81 Fully dedicated to the valorization of Partnerships €9m heritage and educational places of memory and entertainment infrastructures 2021 budget €539,955,278.14 Source: 2019, 2020 and 2021 budget documents C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.13
EXAMPLE OF SDG PROJECT: ACTION PROGRAM FOR THE ELECTRIFICATION OF RURAL AREAS Ministry Allocation in 2021 Allocation in 2020 Pillar Target Impact indicators Population % : Populations living in Ministry of • with access to electricity 3,048,780.49€ 7,339,918.89€ Prosperity informal settlements Energy • using mainly clean technologies for cooking and/or rural areas • using mainly clean fuels for lighting Access to electricity is an essential or "basic" service with numerous direct and indirect benefits, including lighting, the operation of various appliances that can be used for cooking or (tele)communication. This access is deployed and/or encouraged by the State through various expenditures and investments. 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total available 90.0 6.0 6.0 6.5 38.0 165.0 165.0 capacity (MW) In mid-2021, 53% of the population has access to electricity, of which only 10% for the rural population. Average time required to get electricity was 90 days in 2019 (compared to 158 in 2013), according to the World Bank. The Government believes that widening and stabilizing access to electricity is key to achieving its aim to stimulate economic activity. Coverage rate* in Benin % of population with electricity access (%) 55 Eligible Project Category SDG 53 2014 2018 51 49 Urban 49,1% 58,1% Access to low-carbon, reliable and 47 affordable energy 45 Rural 6,0% 8,2% 43 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 * The coverage rate corresponds to the number of administrative units (i.e. villages and city districts) electrified in relation to the total number of administrative units in the country (5,295). July 2021 | P.14
EXAMPLE OF SDG PROJECT: MODERNIZATION OF HOUSEHOLD SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT IN THE GRAND NOKOUE Ministry Allocation in 2021 Financing Pillar Target Ministry of the Living Households, municipalities of the Environment and agglomeration, market users, market 141,768,292.68€ State Prosperity Sustainable gardeners, collection companies, pre- Development collection NGOs Overall objective: Improve the living environment of the inhabitants of Grand Nokoué through an integrated and sustainable process The greater Nokoué area, composed of the communes of Cotonou, Sèmè-Podji, Abomey- Calavi, Ouidah and Porto-Novo, is characterized by: • Insufficient collection points and 98% of the pre-collection NGOs dump the waste in shallows, gutters, streets, sidewalks, etc; • Very low subscription rate in the outlying districts of Cotonou and Porto-Novo; • Almost no pre-collection system in Abomey-Calavi, Sèmè-Podji and Ouidah; • Only one sanitary landfill site in the western part of the agglomeration; • Non-functional waste treatment centers in Tohouè and Hêvié Specific goals Expected Results • The weight of waste transported to final landfills is Eligible Project Category SDG reduced; • Jobs are created through the recycling and waste recovery sectors; • At least 12,000 tons of compost are produced per • Increase the capacity for pre-collection of solid year; waste; • A sanitary landfill designed as a waste sorting and • Experiment with selective pre-collection and waste recovery center is built in the east of the recovery in pilot districts; agglomeration; • Improve the management of bio-medical and port Development of sustainable living environments • The market gardeners of the peri-urban market waste in the agglomeration; and infrastructure for all garden sector have easy access to organic matter; • Improve the living environment of market users in • The Tohouè, Hêvié and Ouèssè dumpsites have Grand Nokoué. been developed as sorting and recovery/recycling centers for solid waste; • Selective waste collection is being tested in 2 districts per commune (10 in total for Grand Nokoué). Source: Projet de Modernisation de la gestion des déchets solides ménagers dans le GRAND NOKOUE (PAG2 2021-2026) July 2021 | P.15
EXAMPLE OF SDG PROJECT: VEGETABLE-GROWING (PADMAR) AND NATIONAL SCHOOL LUNCHES (PNASI) PROGRAMS Program Allocation Pillar Development goal Launch Closure To sustainably increase the income Prosperity / of vegetable farms, while improving PADMAR 44,024,546.66€ 21/04/2017 30/06/2024 Population their resilience to the effects of climate change Overall objective: To contribute to the sustainable improvement of food and nutritional security and the reduction of rural poverty in the project area. Eligible Project Category SDG FIDA- ASAP- Financing FIDA-Loan OFID-Loan State Beneficiaries Development of a Donations Donations sustainable and productive Amount (in M€) 20.92 0.44 4.01 10.68 4.31 3.43 agriculture Program Allocation Pillar Launch Closure PNASI 48,374,000.00US$ Prosperity / Population 2017 2021 Overall objective: To strengthen school feeding in Benin by developing a multi-sectoral approach and by favoring local purchases to improve school performance, food diversity and student nutrition in schools with canteens. Specific goals Expected Results • Provide regular school meals to public elementary school • Students in the selected schools receive at least one meal students to increase their school attendance and a day at school. Subject to the availability of resources, the Eligible Project Category SDG performance number of 1574 schools in the first year of implementation could progressively increase over the 4 years of the project • Use the school as an entry point to converge support for education, agriculture and health • The proportion of food purchased on the local market for Expanded educational school canteens progressively increases by 10% each year services and improved • Invest in the development of the institutional framework to capacity to care for students improve the steering, coordination and monitoring of the • Sustainable coordination and monitoring bodies are school feeding program in Benin. established and operational. Source: Programme Alimentaire Mondial Republique Du Benin Programme National D’alimentation Scolaire Integre (Pnasi); Projet d'Appui au Développement du Maraichage (PADMAR) July 2021 | P.16
EXAMPLE OF SDG PROJECT: 20,000 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC HOUSING UNITS PROGRAM The program provides for the construction of 20,000 housing units in the following cities: Abomey-Calavi, Porto-Novo, Seme-Kpodji, Parakou, Abomey-Bohicon, Natitingou, Djougou, Kandi, Malanville, Dassa-Zoumè, Lokossa, Aplahoué-Azovè, Pobè, Ouidah-Pahou and Allada. Steps 1 2 3 4 5 Development Management Acquisition of Site Construction Process of green of common sites servicing of housing spaces areas The Program will be carried out in 2 phases: 1. (ongoing) Servicing and construction of 10,849 housing units in Ouèdo, 175 housing Eligible Project Category SDG units in Porto-Novo and 250 housing units in Parakou; 2. Servicing of sites and the construction of 8726 housing units in the other cities of Benin. Decent housing for people living in poverty Abomey-Calavi Porto-Novo Seme-Kpodji Parakou Others Number of unities 11,500 3,000 2,500 1,000 2,000 Subcontractor Pillar Target Middle-income, civil servants, private sector SImAU Prosperity employees, craftsmen, farmers and shopkeepers. Source: Programme 20 000 Logements Sociaux et Economiques (Societe Immobiliere et d’Amenagement Urbain) July 2021 | P.17
ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.18
KEY CREDIT HIGHLIGHTS 1 Stable institutions underpinning public governance and accountability 2 Reform momentum supporting Benin’s development 3 Open economy gearing towards domestic production and higher value added 4 SDG Bond Framework 5 Well established record of prudent fiscal management across cycles 6 Proactive approach to debt management C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.19
KEY CREDIT HIGHLIGHTS 1 Stable institutions underpinning public governance and accountability 2 Reform momentum supporting Benin’s development 3 Open economy gearing towards domestic production and higher value added 4 SDG Bond Framework 5 Well established record of prudent fiscal management across cycles 6 Proactive approach to debt management C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.20
1 IMPROVEMENT OF THE PERCEPTION OF EXTERNAL OBSERVERS Recognition from international institutions, financial rating agencies and awards received Selection of awards received by Benin Soundness of the budgetary policy Quality of debt management Benin ranked first out of 76 for Debt Transparency in IDA countries by In 2020, Benin was praised by the Budget Transparency Initiative the World Bank (2020), illustrating the high governance standards of Network (GIFT) and the International Budget Partnership (IBP) for its the Republic outstanding efforts to promote budget transparency Since July 2020, Benin is classified by the World Bank as a lower middle-income country (from low income country) Benin was ranked first in budget transparency in 2019 in Francophone Benin received the 2021 "Most Impressive African Issuer” bond award Africa by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund by GlobalCapital (3rd position) Benin’s Minister of Finance received the "Most Impressive African Funding Official" award in 2021, by GlobalCapital Reforms implementation Benin received the 2019 Global Markets Award for Best Public Debt Consultations under the IMF's 6th review in May 2020 were concluded Management Agency in Sub-Saharan Africa with a "very satisfactory" rating: the best possible assessment by the IMF in its assessment scale Benin achieved the best performance in transposing WAEMU texts at Favourable rating agency decisions national level in 2019 (over 80%) Benin stands out with positive rating agency decisions despite Covid- Benin received the African Development Bank’s “Finance Minister of 19 crisis the year” award (2019), in recognition of good macroeconomic management and governance standards. In addition, Benin received Financial Afrik’s “Minister of Finance of the Year” award (2020) Rating upgrade from B2 to B1, in March 2021 Compact Benin welcomed as member of the G20 “Compact with Africa” initiative Confirmation of Benin's rating at B 'stable' in June and October with Africa in 2017, in recognition of its reform commitment and sound 2020, and in April 2021 G20 governance. Only 12 African countries are members to date Benin selected with only four other countries in the world (Guatemala, SDG Indonesia, Rwanda, Vietnam) to participate in the IMF program for the 2030 completion of Sustainable Development Goals in 2030 Sources World Bank Governance Indicators Database, Republic of Benin, FMI, GlobalMarkets, BAD, Financial Afrik. July 2021 | P.21
1 BENIN'S PERFORMANCE IN KEY ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE INDICATORS Improving business climate perception Strengthening the business climate Improvement in Benin's CPIA score •1 Online platform for starting a business •2 Creation of a website for construction permits with all • Benin’s CPIA score improved in 2019, rising from 3.5 to 3.6 driven by the economic management sub-score, which improved from 3.8 to 4.2 the necessary information and ability to monitor •3 Creation of a website for property registration with the • This is the second highest CPIA score in Africa for economic +9 ranks possibility to monitor submissions at the ANDF¹ since 2016 management •4 Finalizing the professional tax for SMEs World Bank Governance Indicators1,2 Evolution of Benin’s overall and Economic Management CPIA scores In percentile (2019) Sizeable improvement in the economic Chart Title Voice and Accountability Political Stability management sub-score in 2019, allowing an improvement of the overall 50.3 CPIA score 42.1 39.5 32.8 34.3 31.1 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 Benin LMI SSA Benin LMI SSA 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 Government Effectiveness Control of Corruption 42.8 36.9 36.1 34.4 31.2 26.4 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Overall CPIA Score Economic Management Cluster Average Benin LMI SSA Benin LMI SSA Improving business climate bolstered by ambitious and effective reforms Sources Republic of Benin, World Bank Notes 1. Agence Nationale du Domaine et du Foncier ; 2. SSA: Sub-Saharian Africa; 3 LMI: Lower Middle Income countries (World Bank) C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.22
1 STABLE INSTITUTIONS UNDERPINNING PUBLIC GOVERNANCE AND ACCOUNTABILITY A track record of reforms to enhance the accountability of public institutions 2017 February 2011 2013 African Development Bank 2019 2020 October May opens an office in Cotonou February May Law 2011-20 against Establishment of the National • Ranked 1st in Benin praised corruption and bribery Authority for the Fight against 2017 French-speaking for its budget based on United-Nations Corruption (‘ANLC’) March Africa for budget transparency standards Launch of the German transparency (IMF) from the Initiative « G20 Compact • Highest reforms International with Africa » implementation Budget October Approval of rate according to Partnership 2014 2015 Benin's membership the WAEMU (GIFT) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 World Bank 1st 2004 place for debt 2017 2018 Ratification of ‘United-Nations October • Digitalization of transparency in Convention Against Corruption’ 2015 IDA countries Law 2017-04 regarding public servant January wage bill 2005 Decree 2015-035 the Code on public procurement • Online payment Ratification of the ‘Ecowas protocol establishing the 2019 of taxes on the Fight Against Corruption’ Code on public AfDB’s Finance • Establishment spending of the Court for Minister of the 2007 management and year Award in the Repression Ratification of the ‘African Union transparency 2019 and the of Economic Convention on Preventing and and Terrorism WAEMU’s Combating Corruption’ Finance Minister Crimes of the year Award in 2018 Sources Republic of Benin, IMF C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.23
1 STABLE INSTITUTIONS UNDERPINNING PUBLIC GOVERNANCE AND ACCOUNTABILITY Bulging on the success of its IMF programme (2016-2020), Benin is proactively considering a new program with the IMF April 2017 Dec-2017-Dec-2019 April-May 2020 December 2020 Approval of the 3-year Conclusion of the 5 • Staff-level agreement • The Executive Board of the IMF approved arrangement under the reviews and systematic reached on the sixth US$178m under the Rapid Financing Extended Credit Facility approval of 5 and last review Instrument (RFI) and the Rapid Credit (ECF) by the IMF disbursements for a total • IMF increased in its Facility (RCF) (US$151m) of US$114m support of 61.4% of • The disbursement supplements the quota (about augmentation of US$103m approved US$103m) under the ECF in May 2020 Ongoing discussions with the IMF on a Strong performance of Benin under the IMF program possible new programme¹ Structural ⚫ The IMF assessed Benin's performance under the ECF program as "very satisfactory" at the 6th review, the best 6th review Benchmarks possible performance Revenue 100% – A dedicated team has been established by Benin to monitor the implementation of the program administration completed – The Managing Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, made an official visit to Benin as early as Public financial 100% December 2017, praising Benin's implementation of reforms as "a partner that keeps its commitments” management completed ⚫ All quantitative performance criteria and the structural benchmarks under review have been met by Benin. 100% The IMF highlighted, during the last review under the ECF program, in May 2020: Public investment completed – "Benin has made significant progress under the program since 2017" 100% Debt management – "The fiscal deficit has been reduced considerably over the past three years with a view to ensuring the completed country’s macroeconomic stability“ 100% – “It has also made it possible to maintain a sustained rate of growth in economic activity, marked by low inflation Business climate completed and a favorable trend over the medium term in the current account balance.” Sources Republic of Benin, IMF Article IV (December 2019), IMF end-of-mission press release (April 2020) Note 1. In addition to supporting inclusive growth and improvement in public finance management and domestic resource mobilization, the new programme's priorities would July 2021 | P.24 include improving education and increasing local transformation of agricultural products as to produce higher-value exports
KEY CREDIT HIGHLIGHTS 1 Stable institutions underpinning public governance and accountability 2 Reform momentum supporting Benin’s development 3 Open economy gearing towards domestic production and higher value added 4 SDG Bond Framework 5 Well established record of prudent fiscal management across cycles 6 Proactive approach to debt management C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.25
2 REFORM MOMENTUM SUPPORTING BENIN’S DEVELOPMENT The Government Action Programme (2016-2021) Objectives of the GAP Clear economic policy • The GAP unifies the government’s •1 Strengthening the agricultural pillar of the economy: Significant Identifying growth-enhancing growth opportunities lie in agriculture, in which Benin seeks to catch up agenda to accelerate economic investments and social development with peers by enhancing land productivity • The GAP focuses on key reforms •2 Climbing value chains in existing sectors: Benin aims to retain more and 45 flagship projects regarding added value in key sectors, such as cotton, with the objective of Implementing necessary reforms transforming at least 50% of domestic production from 20% currently Health, Education, Infrastructure, to attract private investment Energy, Tourism, Agriculture, •3 Diversifying away from existing sectors: Improve the business Digital Development, Public climate and foster new industries such as Tourism and Digital Governance and Social Security Developing necessary •4 Focusing on domestic production, reducing re-export activity: infrastructure to stimulate private Benin has reformed taxes on imports to reduce incentives of re-exports investment and intensify the domestic content of its exports Total GAP cost and initial Sustained reform drive to improve business climate Total amounts mobilized since 2016 financing objective Over 2017- • As of Sept-20, total GAP-related 2021 period Public 1 2 3 4 funding mobilized since 2016 financing Creation of Public (excl. PPP) PPP framework Labor Code amounted to XOF 6,857bn, fully 27% Special Economic Procurement 39% reform reform funded by public resources Zones Code revision XOF 9,039bn • Total GAP-related disbursements 61% (€14bn) 8% amounted to XOF 2,007bn, due to 4% 5 6 7 8 longer-than-expected studies Creation of Easing of access Property Code Adoption of a Commercial to financing reform Digital Code o This reflects the government's Budget contributions and bond issues Courts ability to adjust spending to Loans Grants meet budgetary targets PPPs The Authorities are currently discussing a New Government Action Programme, covering the 2021-2026 period Note 1. Bureau d’Analyses et d’Investigation (Body supervising GAP implementation at Presidency C1 | TITRE DE LA level) PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.26
2 REFORM MOMENTUM SUPPORTING BENIN’S DEVELOPMENT Benin is supported by best-in-class international partners Selected projects Partners Selected projects Partners Maria Gleta 127 MW Debt reprofiling power plant Port of Cotonou SBEE restructuring Highway Establishment of an efficient and Sémé Kpodji-Porto-Novo modern administration Project Asphaltage ‘Smart Gouv’ University Health Center of Insurance for Human Capital Abomey Calavi reform Project for the development and Road project upgrade of the electricity network (improving access to remote areas) (PADSBEE) The government has called upon top international firms or institutions to assist in key projects Source Republic of Benin C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.27
KEY CREDIT HIGHLIGHTS 1 Stable institutions underpinning public governance and accountability 2 Reform momentum supporting Benin’s development 3 Open economy gearing towards domestic production and higher value added 4 SDG Bond Framework 5 Well established record of prudent fiscal management across cycles 6 Proactive approach to debt management C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.28
3 OPEN ECONOMY GEARING TOWARDS DOMESTIC PRODUCTION AND HIGHER ADDED VALUE A clear economic policy • Significant growth opportunities lie in existing key sectors, including agriculture 1 Strengthening existing key sectors • Benin seeks to catch up with peers by enhancing land productivity • Cashew nut and cotton production have already recorded strong production growth • Benin aims to retain more added value on the production of its key sectors • Investments (public, private, PPPs) and privatizations target an increase in the transformation capacity Climbing value chains in 2 existing sectors • The government plans to transform at least 50% of domestic cotton production • The national ginning capacity is expected to increase from 717,714 metric tons in 2019 to 857,500 metric tons in 2021 to meet the growth in cotton production by the end of 2021 • Reforms have been passed to improve the business climate and foster new industries 3 Diversifying from • Digital sector will contribute to the development of the tertiary sector, increasing investments, including in fiber existing sectors optics • Benin also aims to convert its natural and cultural heritage into a dynamic tourism activity through flagship projects Focusing on domestic • Re-export has been an important source of revenues historically, yet it is less sustainable than domestic production 4 production, reducing re- • Benin wants to increase the domestic content of its exports and already benefits from trade facilities with Nigeria export activity for its domestic products. In addition, Benin has reformed taxes on imports to disincentivize re-exports C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.29
3 OPEN ECONOMY GEARING TOWARDS DOMESTIC PRODUCTION AND HIGHER VALUE ADDED Diversified activities supporting high growth across all sectors Nominal GDP contribution by sector (2020) Net Taxes and Subsidies Taxes; 9% Agriculture; 22% Other services; 8% Health and social action; 1% Net taxes Primary 8.7% sector Education; 5% 27.1% Breeding, hunting; 3% XOF Syviculture, fishing and Public administration and forestry; 2% social security; 7% Tertiary 9,009bn Extractive activities; 0% Banks and other financial sector Secondary institutions; 1% 47.9% sector Food industry; 6% Posts and Telecoms; 2% 16.3% Other manufacturing Industries; 3% Transport ; 10% Electricity and water; 1% Construction; 5% Restaurant and hotels; 3% Trade; 12% •1 Primary sector •2 Secondary sector • 3 Tertiary sector • In 2020, the primary sector grew by +1.8% • In 2020, Benin’s secondary sector grew by • In 2020, the tertiary sector grew +4.9% in in real terms (+4.6% forecasted in 2021) +5.2% in real terms (+10.2% forecasted in real terms (+4.4% forecasted in 2021) • The sector is mainly driven by agriculture in 2021) particular a record breaking year in cotton • The sector was driven mainly by the • This sector, is particularly driven by the Public production construction and agri-food industry sectors administration and education branches Benin draws most revenues from trade, in addition to domestic productions where it is targeting higher added value Source Ministry of Economy and Finance C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.30
3 OPEN ECONOMY GEARING TOWARD DOMESTIC PRODUCTION AND HIGHER VALUE ADDED Moving up the value chain in the cotton industry Key considerations Cotton production and exports (2014-2020) • Cotton production has been increasing at a high rate in Benin • In 2020, production of cotton reached 731 thousand tons, 731 more than 2 times the production registered in 2015 715 678 • Cotton products exports accounted for 57% of official exports with XOF 325bn in 2019 (18% of total exports) 598 • Cotton fiber constituted 52% of the cotton exports volume, but it accounted for 85% of the cotton exports value 451 • On average over 2018, a ton of exported cotton fiber sold at 393 XOF 930k while a ton of cotton seeds sold at XOF 170k • To move up the value chain in the cotton industry, Benin invests 300 325 275 alongside foreign partners 269 244 • Thus, the national ginning capacity is expected to increase from 168 156 717,714 metric tons in 2019 to 857,500 metric tons in 2021 to meet 117 the growth in cotton production 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e Cotton exports (XOFbn) Cotton production (thsd tons) Benin invests to increase the rate of cotton transformation and retain more value added on a key domestic production Source Republic of Benin C1 | TITRE DE LA PRÉSENTATION July 2021 | P.31
3 STRENGTHENING THE ELECTRICITY SECTOR AND INCREASING THE NATIONAL ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION CAPACITY Benin has implemented key measures to strengthen the electricity sector The energy sector under the GAP Evolution of the electricity capacity and production since 2015 (MW, GWh) • Energy sector projects are at the Benin’s national power production was 40 809.7 • Benin’s electricity capacity heart of the GAP, with 10% of times higher in 2020 than in 2018, following new power plant commissioning increased by 84% in 2019, investments under the programme following the commissioning attributed to the energy sector 352.1 of the 127MW Maria Gleta 1 211.0 162.9 87.6 power plant • Main objectives include: 20.3 279 279 • Benin’s Electricity 151 151 152 152 distribution has also 1▪ Energy modernisation and significantly improved with expansion coverage rate2 increasing 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 from 43.8% to 54.1% 2▪ Boosting renewable energy Total installed capacity (MW) between 2014 and 2020 Production from SBEE power plants (GWh) ▪ Restructuring the national power 3 provider Creation of the Société Béninoise de Production d’Electricité (SBPE) 4▪ Set up an efficient energy • The creation of the SBPE in Dec-20¹ is a SBPE’s organisational structure management system pivotal step in the transformation of the sector GoB • A reorganization of the sector's • The new electricity production entity will governance has been initiated, with initially own and operate 3 power plants 100% ▪ The adoption a new energy code ▪ Maria Gléta 1: 127MW thermal power SBPE aimed at deregulating the plant commissioned in August 2019 production and distribution of Revenues Financing ▪ Maria Gléta 2: 142MW thermal power electricity plant to be commissioned in 2023 Maria Gléta Maria Gléta ▪ The establishment of a 10-year Defissol ▪ Defissol: 36MW photovoltaic power plant 1 2 national energy plan Source Republic of Benin Notes 1. Creation of the SBPE decided during the Council of Ministers on 2 December 2020; 2. The coverage rate corresponds to the number of administrative units (i.e. July 2021 | P.32 villages and city districts) electrified in relation to the total number of administrative units in the country (5,295)
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