Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update January 2021 - World Business ...
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Contents 1 Introduction | 3 2 Market trends | 6 3 Policy and regulatory updates | 13 4 Outlook for corporate renewable PPAs | 20 5 Conclusion | 23 Glossary | 25 Annex 1: Summary of state-level updates for open access regulations | 26 Annex 2: Recent amendments to rooftop solar regulations in India | 28 Annex 3: Current banking regulations across different states | 29 Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 2
1 Introduction More and more companies To increase the adoption of 2018). Because the Indian power are procuring renewable corporate renewable PPAs in market is constantly evolving, we power for their operations to India, members of the World are producing market and policy help manage their electricity Business Council for Sustainable updates to keep our members and costs while contributing to Development (WBCSD) formed other companies informed of the corporate carbon emissions the India Corporate Renewable latest developments. reduction targets. In India, PPA Forum in 2017 to exchange the main drivers for many practical knowledge on the The first update, published in June companies to do so are effective implementation of 2019, concluded that corporate rising electricity tariffs for corporate renewable PPAs for both renewable PPAs flourished in India commercial and industrial rooftop and utility-scale renewable in 2017-18 due to waivers on open consumers, falling prices electricity installations in India. access charges offered by states for solar photovoltaic (PV) such as Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh technology and corporate We combined lessons learned and Telangana. The second update, sustainability goals. from this work with research on the published in December 2019, found regulatory environment and market that most states are withdrawing A frequently used approach for conditions in India to produce the these waivers for third-party sale companies to purchase renewable WBCSD Accelerating corporate renewable projects and leading electricity is a corporate renewable procurement of renewable renewable electricity generators to power purchase agreement (PPA). energy in India report (June shift to alternative business models A corporate renewable PPA is a like the “group captive” model. contract between a corporate buyer(s) and a power producer (developer, independent power producer, investor) to purchase renewable electricity at a pre- agreed price for a pre-agreed period. Corporate renewable PPAs have become increasingly varied and innovative and are now a widely used approach worldwide – companies had signed over 70 GW of capacity globally as of the end of November 2020, compared to just 300 MW in 2009. India has also seen impressive growth in corporate renewable sourcing. According to Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF), India was the second largest growth market for corporate renewable PPAs after the US in 2019, with an addition of 1.4 GW of capacity. However, in 2020, India witnessed a significant slowdown in corporate renewable PPA activity, primarily due to regulatory changes and exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 4
This third market and policy Despite the evident slowdown It is a pivotal moment for corporate update for corporate renewable in PPA capacity in 2020, we renewable sourcing in India – in PPAs in India provides readers see a positive outlook for 2021. combining company ambition with a renewed overview of Company ambition for procuring with the right policy incentives market trends, policies and renewable power is increasing, and electricity sector reforms, regulations from 2020, as well company appetite for corporate the country can increase as an outlook for 2021. It finds renewable PPAs is high, and power competitiveness and drive the that due to falling technology demand has bounced back to pre- implementation of corporate costs, corporate renewable PPAs COVID-19 levels. renewable PPAs. By enabling in India are economically viable companies to procure renewable without government waivers on Going forward, there is potential power, India can also support open access charges. Despite for government reforms in the the government’s Make In India this, additional signed corporate electricity sector to significantly initiative, which aims to improve the renewable PPA capacity in India stimulate uptake of corporate country’s self-reliance and reduce fell to 800 MW in 2020 (compared renewable PPAs in India. The its dependence on imports. to 1.4 GW in 2019). This is government’s new draft Electricity due to two factors that posed Amendment Bill means that This WBCSD report begins with new challenges for corporate all states in India are likely to an overview of the corporate renewable PPAs in 2020: bear higher penalties for non- renewable PPA market data in India compliance with renewable and commentary on the market • New restrictions at state-level, purchase obligations (RPO); dynamics that have impacted this including limiting banking and the government is planning data. The second section outlines provisions for power, reversing the privatization of loss-making policy and regulatory changes from open access project approvals electricity distribution companies 2020 at both national and state and imposing additional open (DISCOMs). These reforms are levels. The report concludes with access charges. expected to face further delays an outlook for corporate renewable and opposition, but if passed will PPAs in 2021. We recommend that • The COVID-19 pandemic, drive corporate renewable sourcing readers who are not familiar with which resulted in paused PPA competitiveness by encouraging options for corporate renewable negotiations, delayed permit DISCOMs to explore PPA options to sourcing in India, such as third-party approvals due to restricted site fulfill RPOs and will lead to cheaper sale PPAs, the group captive model access and suspended project commercial and industrial (C&I) grid and the applicability of open access construction due to labor and tariff rates. charges, refer to the explanations in equipment shortages. the WBCSD Accelerating corporate procurement of renewable energy in India report (June 2018) to aid their understanding of this report. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 5
2 Market trends International context technology costs and growing updates’ for more detail) and the Corporate renewable PPA uptake awareness of corporate renewable COVID-19 pandemic. is growing around the world at PPAs among both corporate buyers and developers are driving State-level regulatory changes in a remarkable rate. According to Karnataka have had a particularly BNEF, more than 100 companies this trend. strong influence on total PPA in 23 different countries signed capacity additions in India. In 19.5 GW of PPAs in 2019.1 This National market data 2018, nearly 81% of PPA capacity capacity addition is around 6 GW According to BNEF, in 2019 India additions in India were located higher than in 2018 and has tripled was the second largest growth in Karnataka as the state had since 2017. And 2020 is set to be market for corporate renewable offered a 10-year waiver on most another record-breaking year – for PPAs after the US, with an addition open access charges. After the the first 11 months of the year, of 1.4 GW of PPA capacity. However, government withdrew these companies signed 17.9 GW of for the first 11 months of 2020, exemptions, the market in India corporate renewable PPAs globally, PPA capacity additions in India contracted somewhat in 2019 and outpacing PPA capacity signed reached only 800 MW, mainly due significantly in 2020 (which the in the previous year during the to state-level regulatory changes COVID-19 impacts exacerbated), as same period (as shown in figure 1).2 (see section ‘Policy and regulatory shown in figure 2. Decreasing renewable generation Figure 1: Annual global signed corporate renewable PPA capacity 20 15 Capacity (GW) 10 5 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Jan-Nov) Global India Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF), JMK Research. Note: Data for India includes all captive, group captive and third-party sale solar and wind PPA projects. Figure 2: Annual India corporate renewable PPA capacity additions 2 1,8 1,6 1,4 Capacity (GW) 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Jan-Nov) Offsite PPA Onsite PPA Source: JMK Research. Note: Data includes all captive, group captive and third-party sale solar and wind PPA projects. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 7
Looking at the breakdown across and Rajasthan may also show a January 2019 to July 2020. In states, Gujarat is the only state to year-on-year capacity increase. the onsite/rooftop segment, have increased installation capacity Cleantech, Fourth Partner, Amplus from corporate renewable PPAs Looking at developer capacity, and CleanMax commissioned the in 2020 (January – November), as shown in figure 4, Greenko, largest PPA projects. Corporate as shown in figure 3. With the Cleantech, Continuum Wind Energy, renewable PPAs in India with solar addition of December 2020 Amplus and Adani developed PV assets continue to see higher numbers, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka the largest offsite open access installation rates than those with renewable projects in India from wind assets. Figure 3: State installation of corporate renewable PPAs 250 200 Capacity (MW) 150 100 50 0 Tamil Nadu Madhya Gujarat Rajasthan Uttar Andhra Maharashtra Karnataka Others Pradesh Pradesh Pradesh 2019 2020 (Jan-Nov) Source: JMK Research Note: Data includes all captive, group captive and third-party sale solar and wind PPA projects. Figure 4: Solar corporate PPAs by leading developers 2019 2020 (Jan-Jul) 140 140 120 120 100 100 Capacity (MW) Capacity (MW) 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Fourth Partner AMP Energy AMP Energy Fourth Partner CleanMax Cleanmax Greenko Cleantech Amplus Aditya Birla SunSource GRT Jewellers Vedanta Group Sun Pharma Cleantech Continuum Wind* Adani Prozeal Infra Amplus Aditya Birla Rays Experts Offsite PPA Onsite PPA *Wind solar hybrid PPA Source: JMK Research Note: Data available to July 2020 only. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 8
Figure 5: Companies procuring renewable power through corporate renewable PPAs in India (April 2019 – August 2020) 35,0 30,0 25,0 Capacity (MW) 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 0,0 Bharati Cement ACC Ltd. L&T Metro Ambuja Cements Tata Hitachi Apollo Tyres Skoda Volkwagon Grasim Industries Sangam Ltd. United breweries Schreiber Dynamix Dairies Srinivas Farms Pepsico Titagarh Wagons Snowman Logistics Cipla Navya Fashion Tata Motors MATE Ajanta Pharma Amazon Ultratech Cement Cargill Delhi Cargo Service Center Construction/infrastructure Automotive Textiles Food and beverage Logistics Healthcare E-commerce Source: JMK Research Note: Data is not comprehensive; but as a subset it is representative of the key customer categories in the Indian market. Data available to August 2020 only. In terms of sectors, construction, From a market perspective, submitted applications for more infrastructure, automotive and textile the commissioning of the first than 1,900 MW but have reported companies have been the leading hybrid open access project, the that state DISCOMs in Haryana – consumer segments, procuring increasing adoption of rooftop Dakshin Haryana Bijli Vitran Nigam more than 165 MW of renewable solar PPAs, the use of the newly Ltd (DHBVNL) and Uttar Haryana Bijli power through PPAs in India between launched Green Term Ahead Vitran Nigam Ltd (UHBVNL) – have April 2019 and August 2020, as Market, and continued company put approvals on hold for third- shown in figure 5. During this period, appetite for corporate renewable party and group captive consumers corporate buyers Grasim Industries, PPAs are all evolving market to use their transmission and Ultratech Cement, Cargill and Apollo dynamics that are promoting distribution networks. The Haryana Tyres procured the most renewable uptake, while the impacts of the state regulator is now planning to capacity through corporate COVID-19 pandemic have caused convert the open access projects renewable PPAs in the country. short-term market constraints. into DISCOM PPAs for 25 years under cost-plus tariffs. We examine each of these key Key evolving trends evolving trends and market After thorough deliberations and market dynamics dynamics in more detail below. between the developers and the Several evolving market dynamics government, the Ministry of New and are impacting the capacity trends Renewable Energy (MNRE) stepped Reversal of DISCOM outlined in the previous section. in and asked the state government approvals for open to honor the signed renewable From a regulatory perspective, the access projects in electricity contracts. We have yet reversal of DISCOM approvals for Haryana to see if the state government will open access projects in Haryana In the previous market and policy uphold these contracts or proceed and the imposition of additional update published in December with the policy reversal. This policy surcharges on group captive 2019, we projected that Haryana inconsistency has impacted many models are developments that are would add significant open access investors, project developers and limiting the uptake of corporate solar PV capacity – about 550 corporate buyers. renewable PPAs in India. MW – in 2020. Project developers Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 9
Figure 8: State by state solar RPO compliance (as of FY 2020) 200% 177% 150% 100% 50% 35% 34% 33% 0% -15% -50% -37% -50% -54% -59% -60% -69% -70% -74% -76% -100% -84% -89% -94% -98% Kerala Rajasthan Karnataka Telangana Andhra Pradesh Madhya Pradesh Jharkhand Gujarat Punjab Delhi Maharashtra Bihar Chhattisgarh Haryana Odisha West Bengal Uttar Pradesh Tamil Nadu Source: Ministry of Power The states initially approved these Imposition of the For financial year 2020-21, open access projects to fulfill state additional surcharge on Maharashtra has once again RPO obligations. As of financial group captive models imposed an AS of INR 1.31/kWh year 2019-20, Haryana had a 94% To promote renewable electricity, on open access consumers deficit in its solar RPO compliance. various state governments have (both captive and group captive However, in its tariff order for introduced waivers for third-party consumers). The rationale given financial year 2020-21, the Haryana sales. In the last two years, however, behind this move is that the Electricity Regulatory Commission state governments have withdrawn DISCOM may no longer fully use its (HERC) did not impose any penalty many of these waivers, leading to a existing tied-up capacity, leading to for this deficit and waived the solar shift from third-party sale models losses for the DISCOM. Given that and non-solar RPO backlog of to group captive models, where the it is under regulatory proceedings, 1,850 million units (MUs) and 905 cross-subsidy surcharge (CSS) and if approved, it is not possible to rule MUs respectively. additional surcharge (AS) are not out the risk that other states may applicable (according to the Indian introduce such a levy. The removal of the RPO backlog is one of the key reasons that Haryana Electricity Act 2003). is backtracking on the approved However, in September 2018, projects. Had the RPO backlog Maharashtra imposed an AS of INR been upheld, it would have resulted 1.25/kWh on users of group captive in the imposition of a penalty on models. The developers opposed the DISCOM. The DISCOM claims this at the Appellate Tribunal for that fulfilling the RPO would have Electricity (APTEL), which ruled that resulted in the passing of an the state may not levy an AS on additional INR 11 billion in costs to captive users (a judgement that is electricity consumers. HERC did currently being challenged in the not approve this, to avoid additional Supreme Court). financial pressure on top of the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 10
Commissioning of the Figure 6: Landed cost of wind solar hybrid power for industrial consumers first wind and solar 10 hybrid open access 9 project in India 8 Renewable developers are 7 Tariff (INR/ kWh) exploring combined solar and 6 wind hybrid projects (also known 5 as multi-technology PPAs), due to 4 supportive government policies and 3 waivers on open access charges for such projects. According to MNRE, 2 in a hybrid project, the rated power 1 capacity of one resource must be 0 Andhra Pradesh Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Rajasthan at least 25% of the rated power capacity of the other resource.3 Third party Captive Grid tariff The benefits for hybrid projects Source: JMK Research include waivers on open access Assumptions: (1) hybrid cost fixed at INR 4/kWh across states to highlight changes due to charges (particularly when most open access charges; actual tariffs will vary; (2) landed cost calculated for industrial consumers connected at 33 kV voltage; (3) the hybrid projects use a 75:25 ratio for solar to wind. states are backtracking on CSS and AS waivers for third-party sale from solar plants), reduced shape and volume risk due to lower generation Figure 6 represents the PPA The end-consumer pays for the variability of the combined price a company consuming power generated under a PPA at technologies,4 and better use of open access power from hybrid an agreed tariff for a fixed period, transmission infrastructure (where projects pays. The captive typically 12-15 years. wind and solar plants are located at model is best suited for hybrid the same site). projects in the states indicated. Unlike open access models, growth in rooftop PPAs is more secular. India has seen the commissioning Of the total rooftop market, the of a total of some 144 MW of Increasing adoption of proportion of the rooftop PPA hybrid capacity to date. States rooftop solar PPAs market increased from 13% in 2016 like Rajasthan, Gujarat and Andhra As of 30 June 2020, rooftop PPA to 39% in 2020,5 as shown in figure Pradesh have introduced dedicated projects made up nearly 32% 9. Though cash-rich fast-moving policies for hybrid projects, as (1,851 MW) of the cumulative onsite consumer goods (FMCG) and outlined in table 1. Andhra Pradesh solar installations in India. Under the multinational companies generally initially introduced waivers on rooftop PPA model, a renewable prefer the CAPEX model, post various open access charges for energy service company (RESCO) COVID-19, companies may face hybrid projects before withdrawing funds, builds and maintains a liquidity issues and might consider them in November 2019. rooftop or onsite solar power plant. the rooftop PPA model. Table 1: Waivers on open access charges across different states for hybrid projects Open access charges Gujarat Rajasthan Andhra Pradesh 50% concession for captive/third-party 50% concession for Cross-subsidy surcharge - given in initial policy issued in 2018; waivers third-party withdrawn in November 2019 50% concession for Additional surcharge - - third-party 50% concession for Transmission charges - captive/third-party 50% concession for captive/third-party given in initial policy issued in 2018; waivers 50% concession for withdrawn in November 2019 Wheeling charges - captive/third-party Source: JMK Research Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 11
Figure 9: Rooftop PPA market installation trends in India to accommodate new risks. The 100% economic impacts of COVID-19 90% 13% have also resulted in credit rating 28% 28% downgrades for some corporate 80% 38% 39% buyers,6 leading developers 70% to factor in greater credit risk, Capacity (MW) 60% resulting in higher PPA prices for new PPAs. Developers will 50% undertake additional due diligence 87% 40% 72% 72% on the corporate buyer market 30% 62% 61% position, their relationships with 20% vendors, and goods and services tax (GST) filing trends. They will 10% likely introduce new contract 0% clauses to mitigate damages and Until June 2016 Year ending June 2017 Year ending June 2018 Year ending June 2019 Year ending June 2020 establish suitable mechanisms to temper emerging risks and CAPEX Rooftop PPA obligations for both parties – Source: Bridge To India (2020). “Rooftop Map”. June 2020. during pandemics and other force majeure events. Given the economic impacts of the PPA tariffs for projects installed volumes on the power exchange. COVID-19 pandemic, corporate under the rooftop PPA model are Its market clearing prices were on renewable PPAs may gain more also falling – in line with declining average about 30% higher than traction in the coming years as C&I solar module prices. The tariff trend in conventional markets from consumers with liquidity issues may for rooftop PPAs declined from INR September 2020 to November opt for this model to limit capital 5.5-5.0/kWh in 2017 to INR 4-3.5/ 2020. With the absence of policy investment, while still being able to kWh in 2020. and regulatory consistency linked to buy renewable electricity. long-term open access renewable purchasing (as explained in Policy Use of the newly Continued company and regulatory updates), GTAM may launched Green Term appetite for corporate prove to be a more attractive option Ahead Market (GTAM) renewable PPAs for certain corporate buyers. The Green Term Ahead Market Despite limited capacity additions (GTAM) is a newly launched in 2020, company interest in alternative platform for renewable Short-term impact of the corporate renewable PPAs remains developers to sell power in the COVID-19 pandemic high. Power demand in India has open market without long-term The COVID-19 pandemic is bounced back to pre-COVID levels7 PPAs. With GTAM, corporate buyers widely considered to have and we expect negotiations paused can buy renewable power and slowed PPA implementation in in 2020 due to the COVID-19 fulfil their RPO obligations, while India in 2020, though there is no pandemic and resulting economic meeting their short-term electricity published quantitative data to uncertainty to resume in 2021. demand at competitive prices. confirm the extent of its impact. Going forward, there is a likely to GTAM gives corporate buyers the Information gathered from industry be a spur in demand for corporate option to purchase renewable stakeholders shows that during renewable PPAs due to corporate power from power exchanges the initial lockdown: (1) companies sustainability commitments by while continuing to procure power paused negotiations for new PPAs; leading corporate buyers. This from DISCOMs. When using GTAM, (2) restrictions on travelling to includes companies such as Tata corporate buyers do not need to sites led to permit approval delays; Motors, Infosys, Dalmia Cement, tie up capacity in advance or sign and (3) project construction was Mahindra Holidays & Resorts, Ikea, power purchase agreements with suspended in some cases due to Accenture, Adobe, Carlsberg Group, DISCOMs or electricity generators. the government declaring force Sony, Starbucks and Panasonic, all majeure and due to supply chain of which have voluntarily pledged GTAM trade activity has been constraints for component parts. to meet 100% of their electricity encouraging since its launch demand with renewable electricity on 21 August 2020. Its trading The unprecedented impact of through the RE100 initiative and volumes are becoming competitive COVID-19 is likely to result in PPA have electricity load in India. with the conventional market contracts becoming more complex Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 12
3 Policy and regulatory updates Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 13
3 Policy and regulatory updates The uptake of corporate Central policies and the renewable targets in renewable PPAs in India regulations consultation with state is highly dependent on regulators, which is likely to policies and the regulatory Draft Electricity result in higher targets for each environment at both the (Amendment) Bill 2020 state (due to the inclusion of national and state levels. The Ministry of Power issued the hydropower compared to the In December 2019, RE100 draft Electricity (Amendment) Bill current RPO). This will ensure a companies cited India as 2020 on 17 April 2020. There are higher proportion of renewable the sixth most challenging certain provisions in the draft bill electricity in the power market for corporate sourcing that – if put into law – will impact generation mix in each state, of renewables.8 Companies corporate renewable PPAs. which can further stimulate reported the main barriers to corporate renewable PPAs. be a fragmented policy and • Strict RPO compliance: The regulatory framework that draft regulations impose stricter • Cross-subsidy surcharge differs from state to state, penalties on DISCOMs in the (CSS) reduction: C&I and uncertain charges and case of non-compliance with consumers currently pay taxes on the procurement of the RPO. We expect higher an additional CSS, leading renewable power. penalties for a shortfall in the to higher-than-average purchase of RPOs to push electricity tariffs, while the Over the past year, state-level DISCOMs to grant open access government subsidizes the regulatory hurdles have negatively permission for third-party sale tariffs paid by residential impacted the corporate renewable and hence fulfill their targets, and agricultural users. The PPA market, including backtracking thereby increasing the number proposed amendment on previously provided waivers of signed corporate PPAs. The mandates the state electricity and approvals, new restrictions penalty trajectory would be as regulatory commission to on power banking provisions, the follows: abide by the National Tariff levying of additional surcharges Policy (which had no mention on captive and group captive in the previous Electricity Act, Shortfall Proposed renewable energy projects and penalty 2003) to reduce the CSS. limiting net metering regulations to This would result in a further only residential consumers. First year INR 0.5/kWh strengthening of the open shortfall access framework. According At the national level, the Second year INR 1/kWh to current regulations, the CSS government is trying in bring in shortfall should go down year-on-year, electricity reforms through its draft though many states have been Beyond second INR 2/kWh National Electricity Amendment year shortfall reluctant to adhere to this, as Bill and through the privatization shown in figure 10. The average of DISCOMs that are loss-making, • National Renewable increase in CSS in the last few as well as by reducing exposure to Energy Policy: The draft years across various states imports and focusing on domestic regulations propose a National was about 1-5%, while some manufacturing as part of its Make in Renewable Energy Policy, states like Karnataka and Uttar India initiative. which promotes electricity Pradesh have seen the CSS generation from renewable increase by 12-25% in the last We examine national- and state- sources and prescribes five years. level policy and regulatory updates a minimum percentage in 2020 and their impact on of purchase of electricity corporate renewable PPAs in India from renewable sources – in detail below. including hydropower.9 The Central Ministry will propose Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 14
Figure 10: Cross-subsidy surcharge trend from FY 2016-17 to FY 2020-21 2,5 2 1,5 Rs./kWh 1 0,5 0 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Rajasthan Andhra Pradesh Gujarat Maharashtra Madhya Pradesh Karnataka Tamil Nadu Chhattisgarh Haryana Uttar Pradesh Source: Tariff regulations of various State Electricity Regulatory Commission (SERC’s), JMK Research Impact of DISCOM with the government’s target As the DISCOM tariffs would privatization to complete the privatization become more competitive DISCOM losses in India are of DISCOMs in UTs by January with respect to corporate PPA significant and have increased 2021, there are also efforts to tariffs, there would be little to from Rs 338.94 billion in financial encourage this process in states no imposition of restrictions year 2016-17, to Rs 496.23 billion such as Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, on availing benefits like waivers in financial year 2018-19. The Gujarat, Karnataka and Assam. in the corporate open access government has taken various market, allowing the latter Transformation in the governance market to grow unrestrained. measures in the past to address and operational management of this. However, these have not DISCOMs through privatization Despite these efforts, the generated substantial results would enable an upgrade of government’s DISCOM to date. The privatization of DISCOM assets, more efficient privatization initiative has DISCOMs is now under discussion, asset management, quality faced hurdles. Setbacks to with C&I consumers poised to customer service and improved DISCOM privatization extend the be one of the most impacted metering and billing processes. deterioration of their financial beneficiaries of this move. These improvements would lead health, which will in turn continue In September 2020, the Ministry to greater revenue and profit to adversely affect growth and of Power issued draft Standard generation for the DISCOMs. the expansion of corporate Bidding Documents (SBD) for With lucrative business models renewable procurement. the privatization of DISCOMs managed under private companies Therefore, if delays in the across all states and Union or public-private partnerships DISCOM privatization procedure Territories (UTs). The first-of-its- (PPPs), DISCOMs will be able to continue, the amount of additional kind draft SBD was prepared with lower their tariffs for electricity charges levied on corporate the objective of enhancing the consumers, especially for C&I renewable PPAs will increase. operations and finances of India’s consumers as tariffs are currently loss-making DISCOMs. Along highest for this segment. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 15
Figure 11: Indian states with the most underperforming DISCOMs 60% INR 200 INR 180 50% INR 160 INR 140 40% INR 120 Billions 30% INR 100 INR 80 20% INR 60 INR 40 10% INR 20 0% INR 0 Rajasthan J&K (including Ladakh) Jharkhand Bihar Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Punjab Karnataka Telangana Andhra Pradesh Delhi Uttar Pradesh Tamil Nadu AT&C losses (%) State government dues (Rs) Delayed payments to gencos and transcos (Rs) Data source: Ministry of Power It is important to note that the and basic custom duties (BCDs) on current SGD regime. These taxes state-owned non-banking financial imported modules. will lead to increased project costs, companies (NBFCs) appointed altering the trajectory of solar tariffs to provide financial assistance to The Ministry of Finance first in India and threatening project the loss-making DISCOMs (the introduced SGDs between July pipelines. Figure 12 shows the SDG Power Finance Corporation and its 2018 and July 2020 to promote rate applicability over time. subsidiary, the Rural Electrification domestic manufacturing and curb Corporation), have sanctioned imports from China, Taiwan and In the short term, these additional nearly INR 1.2 trillion under the Malaysia. It subsequently extended duties are likely to increase tariffs for central government’s liquidity SGDs to 29 July 2021 for all solar corporate renewable PPAs because package scheme. In addition to cells and modules imported from of cost increases. However, in the substantially reducing outstanding China, Thailand and Vietnam. From longer term, corporate demand for DISCOM dues, this liquidity infusion April 2022, the Ministry is expected renewable electricity procurement could also improve DISCOM to impose 25% and 40% BCD on may significantly drive the market attractiveness for privatization the import of solar cells and solar for domestic module manufacturers going forward. modules respectively, to replace the and increase competitiveness. Impact of the Safeguard Figure 12: SGD rate applicability Duty (SGD) and Basic 30% Custom Duty (BCD) 25% COVID-19 has highlighted the 25% risk of overdependence on 20% SGD applicable (%) 20% imported component parts and 15% 14,90% the importance of self-reliance. 15% 14,50% As part of the government’s Make in India initiative, there is a new 10% emphasis on building domestic module manufacturing capabilities. 5% To provide a level playing field for 0% domestic module manufacturers, Jul 2018- Jul 2019- Jan 2020- Jul 2020- Jan 2021- the government is planning to Jul 2019 Dec 2019 Jul 2020 Jan 2021 Jul 2021 impose safeguard duties (SGDs) Source: MNRE, Directorate General of Trade Remedies (DGTR), Ministry of Finance Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 16
State policies and Table 2 outlines examples of several states may move from regulations waivers and benefits and annex net-metering to gross-metering for 1 lists full details of state- C&I consumers, further threatening Open access regulations level changes in open access growth of corporate renewable Open access regulations determine regulations. power procurement. Annex 2 lists the procedures and charges for the details of recent state level changes in net metering provisions. using the public grid to wheel Net metering regulations power from an offsite renewable Net metering is a regulatory As an example of such power plant to the premises of a provision that helps to increase inconsistencies, Maharashtra – corporate buyer. These regulations demand for and the penetration of India’s largest industrial state – had, are determined primarily at the state rooftop solar installations. With net in January 2020, proposed the level under a framework provided at metering, a company consumes the Grid Support Charges (GSC), a new the national level. Changes in these electricity generated by its rooftop impost for electricity consumers regulations can materially affect the solar system and injects any that have a sanctioned load above viability of renewable procurement excess electricity into the grid. The 10 kW for rooftop solar. The cost of from offsite projects. company can also import electricity building distribution infrastructure from the grid when its demand and the cost of balancing the grid Over the past few months, various exceeds the generation from the and power banking will be at the state governments have withdrawn rooftop solar system. At the end of foundation of these charges. The previously agreed waivers for open the settlement period, the electricity state issued a new notification access charges. This has negatively consumer only pays for the “net” declaring that unless it achieved impacted market sentiment as electricity used – the difference its 2,000 MW rooftop solar target, developers have invested in some between the electricity produced it would not apply any GSC. But in states where earlier open access through the rooftop solar system the long term, GSC rates will be provisions were favorable. and the electricity consumed over applicable and will be the deciding Some states are also putting the billing period. factor in the viability of large rooftop restrictions on the sanctioned or solar installations in Maharashtra. It took several years for the central Such changes in regulations contracted load for open access government to ensure that all states usually create confusion among consumers. In 2020, states like offer net metering regulations to stakeholders. Gujarat and Maharashtra withdrew promote rooftop solar installations. waivers from open access Recent policy changes restricting consumers. However, states like net metering for C&I consumers Chhattisgarh have developed in certain states are a major coherent policies to promote setback in that effort and in 2021, open access. Table 2: Examples of waivers and benefits in selected states State Highlights Chhattisgarh • The Chhattisgarh Electricity Regulatory Commission (CSERC) has waived the CSS for electricity consumers using open access solar Uttarakhand • Waived CSS charges for third-party sale Gujarat • Withdrawal of all waivers for third-party sale, but to promote wind solar hybrid projects it has offered 50% concession on CSS and AS • No restriction on project capacity and the existing ceiling of 50% of the contracted load for setting up rooftop solar projects will no longer be applicable Odisha • No CSS payable for one year by consumers using renewable power • 20% transmission & wheeling charge is payable for one year by consumers using power from renewable sources (excluding co-generation & biomass) Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 17
Banking restrictions trend. Because of generally large corporate buyers from opting When a generator is wheeling rising grid tariffs, companies are for this model and, as a result, electricity from an offsite renewable adopting alternate renewable companies are increasingly moving power plant to the premises of a procurement models in the form towards group captive models. corporate buyer, it can virtually bank of PPAs. These are often not only the electricity for consumption cheaper and greener, but also offer State tariff trends for by the customer at a later date. tariff certainty for 10-12 years. open access projects Accounting methods ensure the under the group virtual banking of the electricity. State tariff trends for captive model Banking provides renewable open access projects Tariffs for group captive models are developers with a mechanism to under the third-party usually lower than third-party sale use excess generation at a later sale model due to CSS and AS exemptions, point in time and, in some cases, Tariffs for third-party sale are which form a substantial portion avail financial benefits. generally high across states of open access charges (as a We have recently observed that due to the withdrawal of various provision of the Electricity Act regulators are restricting banking waivers granted to renewable 2003). States such as Chhattisgarh of renewable power in many power projects earlier on. States and Orissa have the same tariffs renewable resource-rich states like Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya for third-party and group captive by moving from annual banking Pradesh, Karnataka, and Haryana as these states provide waivers for to monthly banking periods. Solar have third-party open access renewable open access projects, as resource-rich states like Gujarat charges that are higher than shown in figure 13. and Maharashtra, which often have grid/DISCOM tariffs. This makes third-party sale unviable in these The group captive model is surplus generation, have already viable in almost all states, except moved to monthly banking for the states. However, states like Gujarat, Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, Gujarat which does not permit the third-party sale of renewable power. group captive model. Recently, This move will affect the viability of Uttar Pradesh, Chhattisgarh Karnataka and Tamil Nadu have Maharashtra has also levied an AS renewable electricity projects. of INR 1.31/kWh on group captive, third-party sale charges lower than In addition, Rajasthan, Andhra the grid tariff, but still higher than which may make the group captive Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh have the group captive model. Increasing model unviable. recently completely withdrawn the third-party sale tariffs will deter banking provision for renewable projects, while Karnataka is planning to restrict it to a 15-minute period. Figure 13: Landed cost of solar power for industrial consumers Annex 3 summarizes the current 9 banking regulations across different states. 8 7 Tariff (Rs/ kWh) Impact of regulatory changes on electricity 6 tariffs 5 C&I consumers in India are likely to 4 pay high grid tariffs due to cross- subsidization. In the last four years, 3 grid tariffs have increased by Rajasthan Maharashtra Karnataka Madhya Pradesh Gujarat* Uttar Pradesh Andhra Pradesh Telangana Chhattisgarh Haryana Odisha Tamil Nadu about 2% (excluding financial year 2020-21) across the key industrial states of Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, and Uttar Pradesh. Though tariffs Grid charges (Rs/ kWh) Third-party sale Group captive plant have mainly declined or remained Source: JMK Research the same in financial year 2020- Assumptions: (1) solar power purchase cost fixed at INR 3.50/kWh across states to highlight 21, this is primarily due to the changes due to open access charges; actual tariffs vary; (2) landed cost of solar calculated for COVID-19 pandemic and is not industrial consumers connected at 33 kV voltage; (3) Grid charges are estimated DISCOM net representative of the underlying tariff for consumers; (4) the group captive model is not permitted in Gujarat. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 18
Figure 14 provides the means to analyze the viability of the third-party sale model and the group captive model for different states. Figure 14: Viability of third-party sale and group captive models by state Haryana Rajasthan Uttar Pradesh Gujarat Chhattisgarh Madhya Pradesh Odisha Maharashtra Telangana Andhra Pradesh Karnataka Tamil Nadu Third-party sale & group captive Group captive None Data source: JMK Research Note: While open access projects are feasible in states like Rajasthan, Haryana and Andhra Pradesh, these states are no longer giving approvals or are reluctant to give approvals for new renewable open access projects. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 19
4 Outlook for corporate renewable PPAs Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 20
4 Outlook for corporate renewable PPAs Expected project Figure 15: Developers with known open access projects in the pipeline pipeline for 2021 450 Going forward, there is likely to be 400 a spur in demand for corporate 350 renewable PPAs due to increased corporate sustainability ambitions 300 Capacity (MW) and action by leading corporate 250 buyers in India. The number of RE100 member companies with 200 electricity loads in India continues 150 to grow: 74 RE100 members report operations in India as of December 100 2020 and their average renewable 50 electricity share has increased from 32% in 2018 to 39% in 2020.10 0 AMP Energy CleanMax Avaada Cleantech Fourth Partner Aditya Birla Amplus Solar Hinduja Renewables Prozeal Infra SunSource Enrich Energy Various developers have entered the open access segment and are planning substantial additional capacity development in the coming years: Source: JMK Research • CleanMax: 200 MW of planned capacity in Karnataka, Gujarat • Amplus Solar: 75 MW of renewable electricity projects in and Haryana. planned capacity in Haryana, India. The country is likely to see despite regulatory setbacks in another 500-550 MW added under • AMP Energy: 400 MW of the state. onsite rooftop OPEX models. As a planned capacity in Uttar result, capacity additions in 2021 Pradesh and Rajasthan. Based on this pipeline, JMK in India are likely to achieve similar Research estimates that in next or could even surpass volumes • Enrich Energy: 150 MW of 12-18 months, companies will observed in 2019. open access solar projects in likely commission more than 1 Maharashtra. GW of new open access offsite Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 21
Emerging PPA (4) the corporate buyer continues The inter-state structure is similar structures to purchase its electricity at the to the growing trend in Europe of variable market price, which the cross-border or pan-European To meet this growing demand and VPPA now hedges (see figure 15).11 PPAs, where a PPA signed with a the diverse needs of corporate renewable project in one or more buyers considering PPAs, we expect To our knowledge, corporate countries covers electricity demand alternative corporate renewable buyers have not yet signed any in another country or in several PPA structures to gain interest VPPAs in India to date, due in part countries. This allows the corporate in India, in addition to increased to unfamiliarity with the structure buyer to simplify renewable uptake of rooftop solar PPAs, hybrid and in part to low liquidity in the electricity purchasing by covering PPAs and GTAM. We outline three Indian power market. However, many loads across different examples of alternative structures some large-scale corporate buyers countries, as well as choosing the below: virtual PPAs, interstate PPAs, are now considering this contract renewable project with the most and round-the-clock PPAs. structure, particularly those advantageous conditions (in terms who have already implemented of electricity price and production). Virtual PPAs conventional rooftop solar, In a virtual PPA (VPPA), the group captive or third-party sale For the inter-state model to work corporate buyer agrees to purchase structures and who are looking to in India, the parties to the PPA will renewable power through a raise their ambition to reach 100% need to engage with the respective corporate PPA, without physical renewable power. VPPAs may also DISCOMs in both states. Once delivery of electricity and therefore be attractive for those looking for corporate buyers have signed and without sleeving or transmission shorter contract terms in India (e.g., proven the first project, we expect fees. VPPAs are more flexible
5 Conclusion Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 23
7 Conclusion This report finds that Despite these market and In the meantime, corporate buyers additional corporate regulatory hurdles, government have started to explore new renewable PPA capacity efforts to introduce electricity business models to steer their in India fell substantially, sector reforms have the potential renewable power procurement to 800 MW in 2020, due to to significantly stimulate uptake needs. New PPA offerings like regulatory hurdles imposed of corporate renewable PPAs in hybrid PPAs have already gained by state regulators and India. If implemented successfully, traction. Alternative options like the COVID-19 pandemic. the privatization of loss-making GTAM are now also available to However, the market is set to DISCOMs can open new pathways fulfill consumers’ renewable power grow in 2021 as companies to reform the power sector. C&I requirements. In the coming months seek to meet their renewable consumers would be one of the we also expect corporate buyers electricity targets, manage most impacted beneficiaries if this to investigate alternative PPA their electricity costs reform is successful, as it would structures, such as VPPAs and inter- and obtain tariff certainty facilitate access to a wider array of state PPAs. These structures may in the longer term. electricity procurement options for compete with the existing models in corporate buyers at lower prices. the longer run, as open access may In the short term, COVID-19 caused become a less desirable option due a market slowdown and project The provision of stricter RPO to the risk of state governments delays due to site access and compliance according to the withdrawing waivers. In the longer supply chain constraints. Financial draft Electricity Amendment Bill term, structures including battery repercussions from the pandemic will also drive the market for new storage, such as utility-scale RTC also resulted in credit rating open access renewable power PPAs, may also be applicable for downgrades for some corporate projects. A stable and transparent corporate PPAs. buyers, which has led project policy framework is crucial to developers to factor in a greater keeping corporate renewable PPAs Going forward, we expect to see credit risk, resulting in higher PPA attractive and states should ensure greater demand for corporate prices for new PPAs signed. In the the implementation of consistent renewable PPAs due to ever- longer term, PPA prices are likely statutory requirements to ramp up growing corporate sustainability to stabilize or drop again, owing growth. commitments by companies with to falling technology costs along operations in India. The current with an increase in demand from Furthermore, with the Indian PPA project pipeline and the corporate buyers. Government’s renewed focus on expected increase in demand show the Make in India initiative to limit that signed PPA capacity additions In addition to impacts from the the country’s dependence on in 2021 are likely to recover to COVID-19 pandemic, state- imports, corporate demand from reach the higher volumes level regulatory hurdles, such the renewable PPA market will be observed in 2019. as backtracking on waivers to imperative to driving domestic solar open access charges, imposing module manufacturing. additional surcharges, restricting banking provisions for power, limiting net metering connections for C&I consumers, and reluctance in giving net metering connection approvals to renewable projects, have also impacted corporate renewable PPAs in 2020. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 24
Glossary average power purchase cost commercial and industrial (C&I): open access: A regulatory (APPC): The weighted average A business segment set up with the mechanism allowing a grid- pooled price at which the sole motive of gaining profit. connected bulk consumer, holding distribution licensee has purchased a valid contract demand for 1,000 commercial operation date the electricity, including cost of self- kVA or more, to meet part of or (COD): The date on which the generation. its entire electricity requirements commercial operation of the power through alternative sources. additional surcharge (AS): plant begins, after successful DISCOMs impose an additional testing and injection of power at OPEX: An operating expenditure- surcharge to recover stranded costs the point of delivery (the metering based model in which an investor due to stranded power purchase point between the power producer invests the upfront capital cost agreements (PPAs) and stranded and the utility at the pre-determined of the project and the consumer assets due to consumers procuring voltage level). pays for the electricity consumed/ power through open access. supplied by the project developer. corporate renewable PPA: An Appellate Tribunal for Electricity agreement between a private power purchase agreement (APTEL): Hears appeals against the company and a power producer (PPA): A contract between a power orders of the adjudicating officer (developer, independent power producer and a buyer of electricity or the Central and State Electricity producer, investor) to purchase for an agreed tariff, tenor and Regulatory Commissions under the renewable electricity at a mutually capacity. Electricity Act, 2003. agreed tariff, tenor and capacity. renewable purchase obligation banking: When a generator is cross-subsidy surcharge (CSS): (RPO): Obligations imposed wheeling electricity, it can virtually A charge levied to recover the cost by a state electricity regulatory bank the electricity for consumption of the utility providing subsidized commission (SERC) on certain by an end-customer later. The power to certain categories of entities to purchase electricity from bank is not a physical electricity consumers, such as the poor, renewable sources. storage facility; rather, accounting religious entities and agriculture. state electricity regulatory methods ensure the virtual banking DISCOM: A local electricity commission (SERC): The electricity of electricity. distribution company. regulator in each Indian state; one basic custom duty (BCD): A tax of their key responsibilities is to group captive model: Under this imposed under Customs Act 1962 determine retail electricity tariffs unique structure provided under the that is applicable to imported items; and open access charges. 2003 Electricity Act, C&I consumers the government has the right to can set up power plants for their safeguard duty: A tax imposed create exemptions or reduce the collective use; they should have at on imported products in order BCD on any item. least 26% of the equity in the plant to protect the domestic industry capacity utilization factor: and must consume at least 51% of against a surge in imports of a The ratio of the actual electricity the power produced. competing products. generated by a renewable electricity independent power producer tariff: The cost per unit of project over the year to the (IPP): An entity that is not a public electricity that a buyer pays. equivalent electricity output at its utility but that owns facilities to rated capacity over the year. virtual PPA (VPPA): A contract generate electric power for sale to structure where the corporate captive buyer: The end user of the utilities and end-users. consumer agrees to purchase a electricity generated by the captive net metering: A billing mechanism project’s renewable electricity for a generating plant. allowing onsite projects to feed pre-agreed price, without physical captive model: A power asset in excess electricity to the grid, delivery of electricity. which the captive buyer consumes reducing their own electricity bills; hybrid PPA: A contract structure at least 51% of the electricity usually limited to solar rooftop, combining the renewable electricity generated and owns at least 26% of though some states allow other sources of solar and wind to the equity. sources to qualify as well. generate power. off-taker: The buyer of electricity in a PPA. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 25
Annex 1: Summary of state-level updates for open access regulations State Earlier provisions on Update on open access regulations open access regulations Uttar Pradesh In September 2019, the state In December 2019, the state introduced the Uttar Pradesh Electricity introduced its regulations for Regulatory Commission (Terms and Condition for Open Access) Regulations, captive and renewable energy 2019, including: generating plants, including: • Consumers availing open access facilities will have to pay the transmission • A 50% exemption on wheeling & wheeling charges, CSS, AS, standby charges (to the distribution and transmission charges for companies), imbalance charges (if applicable) as described in the regulation captive and third-party sale and amended from time to time • A 100% waiver on transmission • No additional surcharge for FY 2020-21 for interstate sales and 100% exemption of state CSS for interstate sales of power for captive/third-party use Gujarat CSS exempted for third-party sale In May 2020, GERC issued a tariff framework for the procurement of solar and captive renewable power plants power, including: • Wheeling charges applicable for third-party sale, while 50% exempted for captive power • Transmission losses and charges applicable for both third-party and captive • CSS applicable to third-party at 50% of normal CSS • Additional surcharge of INR 0.37/kWh for open access consumers (third- party sale only) to be effective from 1 April 2020 to 30 September 2020 Maharashtra Transmission charges increased for According to tariff for FY 2020-21: all open access transactions. • All open access charges applicable to third-party sale projects • Additional surcharge applicable to captive consumers as well • Additional surcharge of INR 1.34/kWh for open access consumers (both third-party and group captive) to be effective for FY 2020-21 Odisha • CSS waived for both third-party No changes in earlier provisions. and captive power. No additional surcharge for FY 2020-21 • Transmission and wheeling charges 80% exempted for both third-party and captive power plant Rajasthan The government had waived CSS In December 2019, the state introduced the Rajasthan Solar Energy Policy for all solar plants commissioned 2019, with transmission and wheeling charges exempted for solar projects of between April 2014 and March maximum 25 MW capacity, setup between December 2019 and March 2023, 2019; however, it did not extend the as per the following criteria: exemptions beyond 31 March 2019 • For solar projects setup for captive consumption outside the premises of the consumer, there is a 50% exemption for transmission and wheeling charges for 7 years • For third-party sale open access projects, there is a 50% exemption for transmission and wheeling charges for 7 years • For solar projects with storage, for captive/third-party sale, there is a 75% exemption for transmission and wheeling charges for 7 years. Additional surcharge of INR 0.80/kWh for open access consumers (third-party sale) for FY 2020-21. In November 2020, the state incorporated the RERC (Terms and Conditions for Tariff determination from Renewable Energy Sources) Regulations, 2020, including: • Renewable energy with storage projects installed after the date of notification of these regulations and before 31 March 2023, shall receive a 75% exemption in intra-state transmission and wheeling charges. These projects could be for captive use or for third-party sale under open access. This exemption is applicable for the first seven years of operation from the project’s date of commissioning. Corporate Renewable PPAs in India: Market & Policy Update 26
You can also read