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VOLUME 18 NUMBER 2                                   www.erc.uct.ac.za                                               JUNE 2012

      Renewable Energy                                                                IN THIS ISSUE
    Centre of Research and                                                            Renewable Energy Centre of
                                                                                      Research and Development
         Development                                                                  (RECORD) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

          (RECORD)                                                                    German–South African Year
                                                                                      of Science launched in
                                                                                      Cape Town . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2

S
         outh Africa is demonstrating its   •   a world-class wave energy
                                                                                      Reduce the glare and enjoy
         commitment to a more sustain-          resource, predominantly along the     the view. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
         able future growth path by sup-        south and west coasts
porting renewable energy and energy         •   one of the best solar regimes in      Mozambique Channel Completion
efficiency measures, together with              the world - most abundant renew-      of 2-D seismic data acquisition
skills development and job creation             able resource in the country          in Juan de Nova and Belo
through fostering a green economy. It       •   biomass is restricted due to limit-   Profond assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
is among the highest emitters of car-           ed water, but energy from waste is
bon dioxide in the world, currently             more readily available and            Reconsidering the economics
ranked 12th in terms of top emitters            exploitable.                          of photovoltaic power . . . . . . . . . 5
per capita, since more than 75% of
primary our energy requirement is           RECORD WITHIN SANEDI                      Energy performance and the
                                                                                      South African economy. . . . . . . . 6
derived from fossil fuels.                  The South African National Energy
     There is an urgent need to reduce      Development Institute (SANEDI) was        Wind bidding: 2nd round – 79
fossil fuel dependency, diversify ener-     established by the National Energy        tenders presenting 3 233 MW . . 7
gy mix and supply, thereby reducing         Act, 2008 (No 34) as a successor to
South Africa’s carbon footprint.            the previous South African National       Electricity in crisis . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Prospects for renewable energy gen-         Energy Research Institute (Pty) Ltd
eration in South Africa are increasing-     (SANERI) and the National Energy          Bharti Airtel makes progress
ly positive given a supportive policy       Efficiency Agency (NEEA) (a division      towards building a ‘Green
and legislative framework coupled           of CEF (Pty) Ltd). SANEDI is a            Network’ in Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
with excellent resources, especially        Schedule 3A Public Entity as of 31
                                                                                      Disregard the Stern warning . . . . 8
wind and solar.                             December 2010, operationalised on 1
     The contribution of a green econ-      April 2011.                               Eastern Cape Couga Industrial
omy to economic growth and job cre-             Its mandate is to serve as a cata-    Development Zone: A solid
ation is furthermore promising and          lyst for sustainable energy innovation,   business case and huge market
South Africa is preparing to play a         transformation and technology diffu-      for wind and solar components. 10
leading role in renewable energy            sion in support of South Africa’s sus-
deployment. It has abundant natural         tainable development. RECORD sup-         PV growth in South Africa
resources that can be harnessed for         ports the mandate of SANEDI within        hinges on the success of
energy production:                          the Clean Energy Solutions portfolio,     phase I projects . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
• a reasonable wind energy re-              and is responsible for energy technol-
     source, geographically dispersed       ogy development at the levels shown       Six countries bid to host the
     allowing for security of supply        in the diagram below.                     Green Climate Fund . . . . . . . . . 11

                                                                                      Energy events 2012 . . . . . . . . . 11

                                                            Continued on next page
2 Energy Management News

Continued from previous page               •   Lifetime researcher;
                                           •   Up-and-coming, young researcher;
RECORD MISSION                             •   Most promising research leading to
To be recognised as the foremost insti-        commercial application;
tution for coordination and collabora-     • Most promising ‘blue sky’ research
tion in South Africa.                          project.
                                               Nominations have to be received by
RECORD VISION                              30 September and winners will be
To facilitate renewable energy dissemi-    announced in November at a prize giv-
nation of national and international       ing function. The winner of each cate-
renewable energy knowledge con-            gory will receive R10 000.
tributing towards a sustainable low car-       Contact Dr Karen Surridge-Talbot
bon energy future.                         (details below) for more information
                                           and to obtain nomination forms or

                                                                                     T
RECORD CORE ACTIVITIES                     download forms from the SANEDI web-              he German–South African Year
1. Co-ordinate renewable energy            site, www.sanedi.org.za (follow the              of Science was officially opened
2. Facilitate renewable energy             ‘Clean Energy Solutions’ link).                  on Monday 17 April 2012 by the
3. Contribute to renewable energy                                                    South African Science and Technology
4. Support renewable energy                UPCOMING NOTEWORTHY EVENTS                Minister, Naledi Pandor and her Ger-
5. Renewable energy awareness cre-         Make sure you are in our contacts data-   man equivalent, Research Minister,
   ation                                   base to be kept informed of all the       Annette Schavan. The Year of Science
6. Participation: standards, develop-      exciting                                  is aimed at strengthening cooperation
   ment and technology evaluation.            RECORD events:                         between South African and German
                                           1. End of July networking workshop to     research institutes, universities, scien-
RECORD PARTNERSHIP                            integrate stakeholders and their       tists and ministries, building on a long
Against the background of renewable           focus areas across the renewable       tradition of cooperation between the
energy development in South Africa,           energy field                           countries, dating back to 1996, , when
the Governments of South Africa and        2. End of September training courses      the signing of a cooperation agreement
the Federal Republic of Germany               on wind and solar energy in Ger-       led to the establishment of a joint
agreed in 2010 to implement an energy         many                                   research fund to support development
and climate programme via the              3. End October International RE work-     projects in several sectors.
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Interna-            shop in Berlin, Germany                     The Year of Science is a joint initia-
tionale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ). The          4. Mid November renewable energy          tive by the German Federal Ministry of
South African-German Energy (SAGEN)           researcher competition winners
programme aims to promote invest-             announced
ment in renewable energy and energy        5. Mid November official RECORD
efficiency and thus supports the devel-       launch.
opment of a sustainable energy sector
                                           ● Contact: Dr Karen Surridge-Talbot
in South Africa.                               RECORD Centre Manager
     Under the auspices of SAGEN, GIZ          Tel: +27 (0) 10 201 4717
is cooperating with SANEDI and                 E-mail: karenst@sanedi.org.za
RECORD to achieve mutually agreed              Website: www.sanedi.org.za
goals.
                                               Ms Marlett Balmer
RECORD RENEWABLE ENERGY                        Senior Advisor SAGEN
RESEARCH EXCELLENCE AWARD                      Tel: +27 (0) 12 423 5981
RECORD is pleased to announce the              E-mail: marlett.balmer@giz.de
launch of the RECORD Renewable
Energy Research Excellence Award.
This exciting award recognises the
contribution of established as well as
upcoming researchers and novel
renewable energy research in South
Africa.
    The award includes four categories
of merit:

                                                                                      German Research Minister, Annette
                                                                                      Schavan, and South African Minister
                                                                                      for Science and Technology, Naledi
                                                                                      Pandor, opening the Year of Science
                                                                                                 in Cape Town
                                                                                        Photograph by Bettina Benzinger, GIZ
Energy Management News 3

 German—South African
    Year of Science
launched in Cape Town
 Education and Research (BMBF) and          intended to support management of          development for a green economy in
 the South African Department of Sci-       water resources, is one such example.’     South Africa.
 ence and Technology (DST).                     The official launch programme was          The official launch of the German –
     The dedicated year will focus on the   complemented by an exhibition of prod-     South-African Year of Science rang in
 areas of climate change, human capital     ucts resulting from scientific coopera-    an exciting phase for scientific cooper-
 development, bio-economy, social sci-      tion between the two countries. GIZ        ation and will strengthen the bilateral
 ences and humanities, urbanisation,        presented five projects currently being    cooperation between the two countries.
 astronomy and health innovation. The       implemented on behalf of the German
                                                                                       ● Contact: Dr Karen Surridge-Talbot
 launch event was also used to              Government in the area of climate and        RECORD Centre Manager
 announce successful projects selected      energy. Cooperation partners such as         Tel: +27 (0) 10 201 4717
 out of 200 project proposals received      the University of Johannesburg, Cape         E-mail: karenst@sanedi.org.za
 after a call for proposals was released    Peninsula University of Technology           Website: www.sanedi.org.za
 in 2011. Of the 200, 41 initiatives have   (CPUT) and the Renewable Energy
 been jointly agreed on and will receive    Centre of Research and Development         ● Ms Marlett Balmer
 funding. These include collaboration       (RECORD) in SANEDI participated in           Senior Advisor SAGEN
 between Bauhaus-Universität Weimar         the exhibition. SANEDI’s mandate is to       Tel: +27 (0) 12 423 5981
                                                                                         E-mail: marlett.balmer@giz.de
 and North West University on sustain-      serve as a catalyst for sustainable
 able resource-based sanitation, and a      energy innovation, transformation and
 project between the University of Preto-   technology diffusion in support of South
 ria and the Fachhochschule Kiel to         Africa’s sustainable development.
 finance a woman’s science conference.          The South African-German Energy
 The year would focus on several strate-    Programme (SAGEN), focussing on
 gic areas, including climate change,       renewable energy and energy efficien-
 human capital development, bio-econ-       cy in South Africa, highlighted key
 omy, megacities, astronomy, and            areas for cooperation, namely support
 health innovation. ‘Social innovation or   to the Renewable Energy IPP Procure-
 innovation for development is a key        ment Programme, support to the estab-
 component of our collaboration,’ Minis-    lishment of the South African Wind
 ter Pandor said. ‘Projects such as the     Energy Centre (SAWEC), support to
 Communal Water House of the Ikwezi         the implementation of energy efficiency
 local community in the Eastern Cape,       incentive schemes as well as skills
4 Energy Management News

                  Reduce the glare and
                     enjoy the view
                                          Case study: 4 Sandown Valley Crescent, Sandton

SITUATION                                      PERFORMANCE DATA
Zenprop Property Holdings’ offices are         Dual-reflective series: DR25SRCDF
situated at 4 Sandown Valley Crescent,         Total Solar Transmittance: 25%
Sandton, Johannesburg, a six story             Total Solar Reflectance: 26%
block in modern contemporary style,            Total Solar Absorptance: 49%
with a minimum of unnecessary adorn-           Visible Light Transmittance: 22%
ment. Zenprop’s offices on the 6th floor       Visible Reflectance (Exterior): 27%
have wonderful views of the Sandton            Visible Reflectance (Interior): 13%
skyline. However, staff in offices on the      Winter-median U-value: 0.92
northern side of the building experi-          Shading Coefficient: 0.41
enced a tremendous amount of glare             UV Rejected: 99%
and heat in spite of the use of tinted         Emissivity: 0.61%
high performance glass. Aluminium              Solar Heat Gain Coefficient (SHGC): 0.35
blinds were added and kept closed.             Total Solar Energy Rejected (TSER): 65%
This detracted from the aesthetics of          Light-to-Solar Heat Gain Ratio (LSG): 0.63
the area, while heat still entered. Staff      Summer Solar Heat Gain Reduction: 59%
could not enjoy the lovely view.               Winter Heat Loss Reduction: 11%
                                               Glare Reduction: 76%
SOLUTION
Zenprop approached Tanya Kuschke
from Brisk Enterprises. She introduced
                                               ● Contact: Piet Ebersöhn
them to the LLumar Architectural Win-            Snelco Pro
dow Film range, specifically designed            Tel: (012) 348 1937
to reduce heat and glare without                 E-mail: piet@snelco.co.za
detracting from the views, and which
could help reduce energy costs. Sam-
ples were installed to establish the film
most suited to the building style, whilst
reducing the maximum amount of glare
and heat.
    LLumar DR25SRCDF, a dual reflec-
tive film with a warm gray colour was
selected. It reduces heat and glare, and
offers low interior reflectivity for better
night view, reduces fading of interior
furnishings and increases energy effi-
ciency.

RESULT
As a result of the film on the windows,
staff experience more comfort and are
able to leave the blinds open to enjoy
the view. With the blinds open, the
whole area appears larger, lighter and
in line with the modern contemporary
style of the building.
   ‘The application of the LLumar
   Film has enhanced the 6th floor
   office space and is the major con-
   tributing factor for staff now open-
   ing the blinds to enjoy the views of
   Sandton.’
   - Bianca Hitha-Neumann, Zenprop
   Property Holdings
Energy Management News 5

  Mozambique Channel Completion of 2-D seismic data acquisition
           in Juan de Nova and Belo Profond assets
                                                                                         months we expect to have a portfo-

S
       outh Atlantic Petroleum (SAPET      have been sampled for geochemical
       RO) announce the successful         analysis as part of SAPETRO’s aggres-         lio of seismically and geochemically
       conclusion of the seismic data      sive exploration program.                     supported prospects for 3-D detail-
acquisition program in Mozambique               The survey was completed using           ing and drilling in one of the world’s
Channel                                    PGS’s GeoStreamerTM fully ghost-free          major emerging hydrocarbon prov-
     South Atlantic Petroleum (SAPET-      technology. This unique technology            inces.
RO) is a Nigerian based upstream oil       combines PGS’s GeoStreamerTM
and gas exploration and production         dual-sensor streamer with its new          ● Contact: Uzoma Echegiri
company with a portfolio of 5 assets in    source technology, GeoSource™.               General Manager – Commercial
4 countries spanning the full cycle E&P    GeoStreamer GSTM data is of the              South Atlantic Petroleum (SAPETRO)
value chain. With production and explo-    highest quality being ultra-rich in both     Tel: +234 8033 091652
                                                                                        E-mail: uzoma.echegiri@sapetro.com
ration in deep offshore Nigeria,           high and low frequencies and free of
                                                                                        Website: www.sapetro.com
SAPETRO’s other interests are in           both source and receiver ghosts and as
Benin, the French Territory in the         such promises to significantly improve
Mozambique Channel (TAAF) and              SAPETRO’s exploration success ratio,
Madagascar.                                well targeting and recovery efficiency
     SAPETRO was pleased to an-            by improving prospect evaluation,
                                                                                       Reconsidering
nounce the successful conclusion of
the 12 256 km 2-D seismic data acqui-
                                           reservoir delineation and characteriza-
                                           tion. This SAPETRO seismic survey is
                                                                                       the economics
sition program on 10 May in its two
Mozambique Channel assets - Juan de
                                           the largest yet conducted in the world
                                           employing PGS’s GeoStreamerTM
                                                                                       of photovoltaic
Nova and Belo Profond. Individual vol-     technology.                                     power
umes are 8 868 km and 3 388 km in               SAPETRO also used the opportuni-

                                                                                       P
Juan de Nova and Belo Profond              ty of the seismic mobilization to con-              ower generated from solar
respectively.                              duct geochemical sampling using Gore                photovoltaic (PV) panels is
     The Juan de Nova permit in the        Technology’s C5-C35 surface slick                   much closer to competitive-
TAAF (Terres Australes et Antarctiques     sampling system to sample the actual        ness with conventional electricity
Françaises) area is 52 990 km2 and         seeps in the region. More than 40 sam-      generation than many policy-makers
contains a substantial portion of a new    ples were collected for analysis.           and commentators have realised,
deep water exploration province adja-      SAPETRO believes the combination of         according to a new working paper on
cent to ENI and Anadarko’s recent dis-     state-of-the-art broadband seismic data     the subject, released by research
coveries in the Rovuma Basin explo-        and geochemical analysis will establish     company Bloomberg New Energy
ration province offshore East Africa.      unequivocal evidence of active petrole-     Finance.
The Belo Profond permit in Madagas-        um systems in its Mozambique Chan-              The paper, Reconsidering the
car, which covers an area of 13 770        nel acreage.                                Economics of Photovoltaic Power,
km2 is adjacent to the Juan de Nova             In spite of some poor weather          looks at the implications of the
permit and extends the plays to the        including several cyclones passing          sharpest falls in the prices of PV
south along the Davie Fracture Zone.       through the area, the survey was con-       technology in recent memory. Aver-
Both areas are in water depths of 1800     cluded in an efficient manner by capi-      age PV module prices have fallen by
m to 3 200m.                               talising on the deep towing configura-      nearly 75% in the past three years,
     Modern seismic data indicate that     tion of the GeoStreamerTM.                  to the point where solar power is
the blocks contain substantial thick-           Commenting on the transaction,         now competitive with daytime retail
nesses of favourably structured Tertiary   SAPETRO’s Chief Executive Officer           power prices in a number of coun-
and Mesozoic sedimentary packages          Martin Trachsel stated:                     tries. It also examines the metrics
throughout the acreage resting on a           This is a major achievement for          generally used to measure the eco-
large submerged continental crustal           SAPETRO but we are only at the           nomics of solar power against alter-
block. The entire area is effectively a       beginning of the journey. The next       native power generating technolo-
‘paleo-transform margin’ active from          stage will see PGS utilize their         gies, and finds they are often
170 to 90 MYA. Satellite remote sens-         unique wavefield separation which        inadequate, and may introduce bias
ing studies have indicated areas of           will enhance the final interpretation    against the deployment of PV tech-
potential hydrocarbon seepage which           of the data. Within the next 12          nology.
                                                                                       ● Contact: Morgan Bazilian
                                                                                         E-mail: M.Bazilian@unido.org
                                                                                         Websites: http://bnef.com/PressRe-
                                                                                         leases/view/216
                                                                                         www.bnef.com/WhitePapers/down-
                                                                                         load/82
6 Energy Management News

S
        upply restraints are well known
        in electricity, railways, credit cul-
        ture, public sector manpower
                                                   Energy                                     underperforming oil refining and basic
                                                                                              iron and steel, non-bisor manufacturing
                                                                                              came in at an unchanging 83%.

                                                performance
and regulatory interference. Recent                                                                Transportation fixed investment
times have seen quite a roll call of sur-                                                     continues robustly, reflecting strong
prises.                                                                                       gains in commercial vehicle demand,
    The electricity supply maintenance                                                        partly underwritten by growing Africa
backlog has apparently become
‘unsustainable’, requiring a (large) cut          and the                                     demand, our own road transport and
                                                                                              mining, but also increased rolling stock
in electricity use soon. The start-up of                                                      by Transnet.
the first Medupi unit has apparently
been delayed to late 2013 though ster-
ling effort is being made. The electricity
                                                   South                                           Also interesting is the general
                                                                                              improvement in machinery and equip-
                                                                                              ment fixed investment. Agriculture has
system looks being severely con-
strained for the next five years.
Medupi’s first unit will likely only start
                                                  African                                     been a strong purchaser following large
                                                                                              farming income gains last year, with
                                                                                              Eskom power station construction
up in late 2013, so there is another two
years of capped output ahead of us,
after which it will remain touch and go
                                                 economy                                      increasingly shifting to the equipment
                                                                                              phase.
                                                                                                   The bad news has been the plat-
for another 3 - 5 years as new produc-                                                        inum mining disruptions, with the
tion units gradually come on stream                                                           labour unrest possibly spreading,
even as demand keeps growing.                                                                 potentially giving us a poor 1Q2012
    Electricity output remains heavily                                                        mining output.
constrained, having been at effective           hardly be said to be performing beyond             South African electricity output in
full capacity since late 2007, with             capacity (ready for a fall).                  January 2012 was +0.5% y/y, matching
November 2011 some +0.4% y/y but                     Despite the very complex and lively      the output level for January 2008,
output slightly below the level of              events playing abroad, our balance of         indicative this constraint on the local
November 2007. Actual reality may be            payments constraint may not get acti-         economy stays as severe as ever (and
worse, with Eskom calling for a cut in          vated shortly or even this decade (short      unlikely to start lifting before 2014, pos-
consumption, as its maintenance back-           of a crisis interruption not now fore-        sibly even later).
log has reportedly increased to an              seen). Oil could prove a special case,             This ongoing electricity constraint
unsustainable degree.                           as on occasion in the past, thinking          wasn’t such a surprise, but it was news
    Still, there appear to be more              Middle East events. If we have lost           that Eskom felt the need to ask for 10%
households experiencing erosion of              some of our insulation against such oil       electricity savings from consumers at
real income from high petrol price infla-       crises (by having a lesser precious           short notice, as it had fallen well behind
tion (over 20%), electricity (17%), food        metal exposure), and oil (food and the        on its maintenance schedule, having
(11%), school fees and municipal serv-          Rand) were to conspire to give us an          kept power stations actively running for
ices (10%) and similar imposts.                 inflation shock ending our supportive         too long in order to generate as much
    Also, there are private sector              macro policy stance as interest rates         output as possible.
capacity issues in the oil refining and         were raised, our cyclical expansion                Key heavy industry users keep
steel sectors regularly inviting shut-          could come to a grinding halt.                being targeted to save more on elec-
downs (but probably not limited thereto,             Adding all this up, the economy          tricity use, with a major ferrochrome
as, for instance, the increasingly chron-       could expand at a pace of up to 3.5%          producer reportedly idling some of its
ic safety-linked shutdowns in platinum          (its long-term average) through to            smelters in the Rustenburg area
mining attest, with important loss of           2016, with some of our infrastructure         through midyear. But equally there
output), while some of that extra               constraints easing somewhat in the lat-       have been upside surprises and on bal-
deployable labour may not be as pro-            ter part of this period (electricity, rail-   ance these have been in the majority.
ductive as perhaps imagined due to low          ways, municipal infrastructure, but also           There was the 4Q2011 GDP esti-
educational levels and skills and limited       credit).                                      mate, with annualised real total growth
experience.                                          Provided that oil is not shocked by      of 3.2%. Retail, wholesale, motor and
    These shortcomings are such that            major warlike Middle East events (a           accommodation trades led in the
much of our subpar growth perform-              massive uncertainty), global demand           growth stakes at +5.2%, government
ance may now be structural, baked-              and supply could remain sufficiently in       consumption did +4.4%, manufacturing
into-the-cake, meaning extra demand             balance to offer us a $100-$120 oil           +4.2%, transport/communication +3%,
would not generate much more                    price range.                                  finance +2%, construction +2%, mining
resource uptake and output but would                 Manufacturing capacity utilisation at    +1% and agriculture the only negative
simply trigger higher imports. Similarly,       80.8% in November 2011 was slightly           at -5%. For 2011 overall, real GDP did
inventory levels don’t appear exces-            down on the 81.5% of a year ago, but if       +3.1%, despite heavy labour disruption
sive, while mining and agriculture can          we exclude the distorting effects of          in industry at mid-year.
                                                                                                   There is reason for caution, as infla-
                                                                                              tion is yet to peak, with food, electricity
                                                                                              and petrol remaining major inflation
                                                                                              drivers, eroding household purchasing
                                                                                              power.
Energy Management News 7

     Along with strong tax take from per-
sonal income tax (+14% after absorb-
ing R9.5bn in ‘relief), +10% in VAT
income, R5.5bn from a 15% withhold-
ing tax on dividends, R4.5bn increase
in fuel levy, and R2bn apiece more from
                                                      Electricity
                                                       in crisis
the electricity levy and capital gains tax,
the Minister is certainly taking more
from households, further reducing real
consumer purchasing power.
● Contact: Cees Bruggemans
   Chief Economist, FNB
   E-mail: Cees@fnb.co.za

                                              S
   Twitter: sound bites@‘ceesbrugge-                  outh Africa faces an electricity       INDEPENDENT POWER
   mans’                                              crisis which if left unresolved will   PRODUCERS
   Website: www.fnb.co.za/economics                   cost the economy further unre-           Entry of power producers should be
                                              coverable billions. The proposed ener-         entirely dependent on their meeting
                                              gy-related legislation is more restrictive     objective standards and not on a
                                              than existing legislation. The new             licensing process based on the subjec-
                                              power stations, Medupi and Kusile, will        tive judgements of officials. No restric-
                                              not be completed on schedule or within         tion would be necessary in an effort to
                                              budget.                                        prevent “excessive” investment in gen-
                                                   Already mines, manufacturers and          eration capacity. If there is inadequate
       Wind bidding                           other businesses, shopping malls,              business to sustain additional entrants,
                                              property developers and others have to         the cost will be borne by such entrants
     2nd round — 79 tenders                   rein in potential expansion. It is essen-      and not by taxpayers.
      presenting 3 233 MW                     tial that government change the energy
                                              environment immediately to forestall           DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRICITY

 M
          inister Peters announced on         stagnation of the economy and further          The market for distribution of electricity
          the 14th of May the selected        job losses.                                    to end users should be opened up in
          bidders from the 2nd Bid.                The world’s experience shows that         the same way as the opening of the
     The 1st bidders were finalizing          private investment and management of           transmission grid, except that con-
 financial closing of projects and will       electricity generation, transmission and       sumers should have access to a choice
 start to prepare for implementation.         distribution are essential because of          of competitive suppliers as they do in
 Also some of the bidders from the            the critical role played by competition in     other countries.
 1st Bid will not be able to reach            ensuring the lowest prices, timely
 financial close due to unexpected            investment, availability of capital, and       TRADING IN ELECTRICITY
 facts as, for example, lack of grid          continuity of supply.                          With an independent grid or grids, com-
 capacity.                                         A well-functioning electricity supply     peting power producers, and compet-
     The submission of the third Bid is       system has certain essential features:         ing distributors, trading in electricity will
 due on 20th of August.                                                                      become commonplace. A market for
     Just to implement the first IRP 1        INDEPENDENTLY OWNED AND                        electricity will help to smooth supply
 phase of 1 850 MW until 2015                 OPERATED TRANSMISSION GRID                     and demand and reduce peaks and
 wind components for approximately            The grid need not have one owner and           troughs in demand as price adjust-
 1 000 wind power units need to be            parts of it can be independently operat-       ments change the behaviour of users
 handled:                                     ed. Independent supervision of the grid        and consumers.
 • ± 3 000 blades up to 55 m long             and its operation, and objective rules,
                                                                                             ● Contact: Eustace Davie
 • ± 9 000 tower sections up to 35            are essential to protect the grid’s               Director, Free Market Foundation
     m long                                   integrity. Generators of electricity who          Tel; 011 884 0270
 • ± 1 000 nacelles up to 80 tons             abide by the rules should not be pre-             E-mails: gailday.fmf@mweb.co.za and
     each                                     vented from utilising the grid to sell            fmf@mweb.co.za
 • 350 000 tons of concrete                   electricity to customers. Similarly, pur-         Website:
 • 6 500 abnormal loads (13 per               chasers of electricity who follow the             www.freemarketfoundation.com
     day)                                     rules should not be prevented from
 • transport costs from overseas              drawing electricity off the grid.
     harbour to local sites between               There is a strong case for Eskom to
     R500 000 to R3 600 000.                  divest itself of ownership and control of
                                              the transmission grid.
 ● Contact: Hermann Oelsner
    President, African Wind Energy
                                                  Sale of the grid to private pur-
    Association                               chasers would supply much-needed
    P.O. Box 313, Darling 7345, SA            capital to finance the building of new
    Tel. + 27 22 492 3095                     power stations or to pay off debt and
    Fax + 27 22 492 3096                      reduce the burden on the government,
    E-mail: office@AfriWEA.org                taxpayers, and electricity customers.
8 Energy Management News

        Bharti Airtel makes progress towards
        building a ‘Green Network’ in Africa
INTRODUCTION                                             by Airtel taken to ensure that
                                                                                                      Disre g
Bharti Airtel Limited is a leading                       we reduce our fuel consump-
integrated telecommunications                            tion and that we play our part
company with operations in 19                            in conserving the environ-
countries across Asia and                                ment. We will continue to do

                                                                                            I
Africa. Headquartered in New                             so as the year progress-               n October 2006, Sir Nicholas Stern,
Delhi, India the Company ranks                           es. Our first priority is to           then a UK Treasury deputy secretary
amongst the top 5 mobile serv-                           reduce the number of sites             seconded to the office of the Prime
ice providers globally in terms of sub-       that are completely reliant on diesel         Minister, Tony Blair, produced a Review
scribers. In India, the company’s prod-       generators. We are doing this by con-         on the Economics of Climate Change,
uct offerings include 2G, 3G mobile           necting these sites to grid electricity in    a tome of some 575 pages. He was
services, fixed line and DSL broad-           areas where this option is feasible.          rewarded by being made Baron Stern
band, IPTV, DTH, enterprises services         Where it is not, we are exploring alter-      of Brentford. He has since left govern-
and NLD/ILD services. In the rest of the      native forms of power supply, which           ment and now holds a chair at the Lon-
geographies, it offers 2G, 3G mobile          include Hybrid Battery Banks and solar/       don School of Economics. He spends a
voice services. Bharti Airtel had over        wind power.’                                  lot of time travelling the world, spread-
243 million customers across its opera-            Bharti Airtel said that it has already   ing the message of his report that we
tions at the end of December 2011.            made significant strides in using solar       will minimize the costs of climate
                                              panels to power sites in select markets.      change if we act now and spend large
BUILDING A GREEN NETWORK                      Over the last two months, 105 solar           sums to mitigate the impacts. Govern-
Bharti Airtel announced in March, sig-        sites have already been set up in Niger       ments have warmed to his message.
nificant milestones in its endeavour to       reducing the use of diesel generators         They see a justification for raising huge
build a ‘green’ environment friendly          from 24 hours a day to a meagre 3 to 4        taxes on carbon. He is due back in
mobile network and reduce its carbon          hours.                                        South Africa shortly.
footprint in Africa. As part of its commit-       In the short span of two years, the            In the five-and-a-half years since he
ment to the environment the company           implementation of all key initiatives –       wrote the Review, the world has had
has undertaken a series of initiatives        increased grid connectivity, battery          the opportunity to consider his findings.
that are starting to deliver tangible         hybrid and solar/wind power - will mean       By and large they have been rejected.
results. The Company said that over           that Bharti Airtel will be using 35% less     He claimed ‘The scientific evidence is
last one year, it has reduced the num-        diesel on average to power each site.         now overwhelming: climate change
ber of telecom sites running solely on        The Company is confident that as it           presents very serious global risks, and
diesel by more than 50% by overcom-           maintains its focus on using alternative      it demands an urgent global response.’
ing the challenge of lack of grid con-        sources of fuel to replace diesel, it will    When the world’s leaders met in
nectivity through use of innovative           continue to play a significant role in        Copenhagen in 2009, they were not
models such as Hybrid Battery Bank.           conserving the environment.                   moved by this call to urgent action.
By 2013, the Company aims to com-                                                           When they met again a year later in
pletely eradicate the constant use of         COMMITMENT TO REDUCTION OF                    Cancun, urgent action was still not high
diesel to power its network. This means       TELECOM SITES                                 on their agenda. Another year later, in
no telecom site of the company will rely       Bharti Airtel underlines commitment to       Durban, they agreed that by 2015 they
solely on diesel power 24 hours a day.        the environment by reducing the num-          would develop a plan that would be ini-
     Hybrid Battery Banks collect the         ber of telecom sites running 24x7 on          tiated by 2020 – hardly an urgent pro-
excess energy produced by the diesel          diesel by over 50%. There are plans to        gramme.
powered generator in a battery that           completely eradicate constant use of               He exaggerated the dangers, inflat-
powers the site once the generator is         diesel across all its sites by 2013.          ed the costs, and overstated the bene-
switched off. This has helped reduce          • 60% of the company’s telecom sites          fits of early action. What was the nature
the use of diesel by up to 14 hours a            now use the innovative Hybrid Bat-         of these amplifications?
day. Close to 60% of Bharti Airtel’s tele-       tery Bank model that reduces daily              First, he used models that predicted
com sites in Africa are now powered              use of diesel by up to 14 hours            that if the carbon dioxide concentration
using the Hybrid model resulting in           • A Hybrid Battery Bank model to              in the atmosphere doubled from the
major reduction in emissions and also            cover 70% of all telecom sites of          pre-industrial level of 280ppm to
operating costs for the company. The             Bharti Airtel in Africa by 2013            560ppm, the average temperature
Company is targeting over 70% of all its      • The Company is also exploring use           would rise by 3°C. The world has
sites to be powered by the Hybrid                of renewable energy such as solar          warmed about 0.8°C since 1860. About
model by end of 2013. It added that is           and wind power.                            0.4°C of that has been natural because
also working on the use of solar and                                                        human emissions of carbon dioxide
                                              ● Contact: Michael Okwiri
wind power to power its telecom sites.           VP, Corporate Communications
                                                                                            only became significant after about
     Mr. Eben Albertyn, Chief Technical          Airtel Africa                              1950. So at worst the increase in car-
Officer, Bharti Airtel, said, ‘This mile-        Mobile: +254 2 733 253 080                 bon dioxide has only caused about
stone is the result of significant steps         Website: www.airtel.com                    0.4°C rise in temperature. The carbon
Energy Management News 9

ard the Ster n war ning
 dioxide has already climbed to nearly         occasional spraying with DDT, the inci-       56 percent of one year’s world con-
 400ppm, more than 40% above pre-              dence of malaria soared. When we re-          sumption today to remove the wrinkle.
 industrial levels. This implies that if the   introduced DDT, the incidence went            In other words, it is worth a one-time
 carbon dioxide concentration were to          back to low levels.                           consumption hit of approximately
 double, the average temperature would             ‘Ecosystems could be particularly         $30,000 billion today to fix a tiny prob-
 rise by at most 1°C.                          vulnerable to climate change, with            lem that begins in 2200.
     This has caused scientists to exam-       around 15–40% of species potentially               Interestingly, Stern has responded
 ine closely the models which Stern            facing extinction after only 2°C of           too much of the criticism of his environ-
 used in making his prediction. The            warming.’ ‘Declining crop yields, espe-       mental assumptions, but I have failed
 models included an assumption called          cially in Africa, could leave hundreds of     to find him answering his economic crit-
 ‘feedback’, which has a value of around       millions without the ability to produce or    ics. For instance, in a World Economics
 +2. Recent measurements have shown            purchase sufficient food.’ The litany of      paper of 2007, Stern said:
 that a value between 0 and -1 is more         disasters goes on and on, always with              The implications of following a slow
 likely, which would imply less than 1°C       that nasty little hypothetical tucked         ‘policy ramp’, with meagre emission
 rise for a doubling of the carbon diox-       away in the authoritative statement. A        reductions over the next quarter of a
 ide, just as has been observed in the         moment’s thought about these two in           century, would, on our reading of the
 real world.                                   particular will reveal their shallowness.     evidence, be very risky indeed, yet this
       So Stern overstated the probable        We all agree the world has warmed             is implicit in the arguments of, for
 warming by a factor of at least three.        over the past 150 years. Are ecosys-          example, Nordhaus (2006) and Tol and
 He was relying on the 2001 assess-            tems disappearing because of climate          Yohe (2006 and 2007).
 ment report of the Intergovernmental          change? Are crops yields demonstrably              The IPCC floundering at Copen-
 Panel on Climate Change [IPCC]. The           down? No, and no again. The Interna-          hagen, Cancun and Durban makes it
 IPCC scaled down their projections in         tional Union for the Conservation of          very clear that what Stern classes as
 2007, so we cannot put blame on Stern         Nature estimates species loss at about        ‘very risky indeed’ is not perceived as
 for this error. However, it had a knock-      400 per century, unchanged for the            risky at all.
 on effect when he came to consider the        past four centuries. And in a high-car-            If Lord Stern was an insurance
 impacts of his predicted 3oC tempera-         bon world the crops are doing better          salesman, we would instantly send him
 ture rise.                                    and better, as the Dutch florists, who fill   packing. However, Governments ev-
     The litany of disasters that Stern        their greenhouses with extra carbon           erywhere welcome him with open
 provided makes the apocalypse seem            dioxide, could have told the noble lord.      arms. Our own Treasury quotes his
 like a pleasant outing. ‘Rising sea lev-            So with inflated damage, it was         findings in their attempts to justify tax-
 els will result in tens to hundreds of mil-   easy to overstate the costs. But where        ing carbon as if his review were some
 lions more people flooded each year.’         Stern really went astray was in the           religious tract. Why does he enjoy this
 The world has warmed over the past            impact of these overstated costs. You         status? I can only conclude that politi-
 150 years. If a warmer world were             would not have expected a professor of        cians everywhere see their dreams
 causing disastrous floods, we would           economics to make a mess of this, but         realized. Finally there is a justification
 have seen it long since. The latest           the weight of criticism from academic         for taxing hot air.
 IPCC report estimates around 30 cm            economists strongly suggests that he
                                                                                             ● Contact: Philip Lloyd
 sea level rise per century. Everywhere        did. He employed a discount rate that            Energy Institute
 our existing defences against the sea         was so low that almost any future                Cape Peninsula University of Tech-
 are about 5m above normal high tides,         impact would have a significant eco-             nology
 so that a storm surge will not bring          nomic impact today. As one of his                E-mails: lloydp@cput.ac.za and
 floods. At worst, a few waves overtop         severest critics, William Nordhaus of            plloyd@mweb.co.za
 our defences every year. In a hundred         Yale University, observed:
 years time, we might need to add three            Suppose that scientists discover a
 bricks to our protection.                     wrinkle in the climate system that will
     He claimed ‘Vector-borne diseases         cause damages equal to 0.1 percent of
 such as malaria and dengue fever              net consumption starting in 2200 and
 could become more widespread if               continuing at that rate forever after.
 effective control measures are not in         How large a one-time investment would
 place.’ Note the hypothetical ‘could’.        be justified today to remove the wrinkle
 The spread of malaria is not driven by        that starts only after two centuries?
 temperature, but by public health             Using the methodology of the Review,
 measures. When South Africa gave up           the answer is that we should pay up to
10 Energy Management News

     Eastern Cape Couga Industrial Development Zone:
    A solid business case and huge market for wind and
                     solar components

T
       he implementation of a renew-        nologies. He points out that there is a          He says the Coega IDZ is the ‘ideal
       able energy strategy by the          ‘huge market’ particularly for solar PV       manufacturing platform’ for renewable
       Coega Development Corporation        and Off-Grid Technologies adding that         energy components that, in addition to
(CDC), one of the players in the area of    the South African government is com-          contributing to the battle against global
green energy, will undoubtedly con-         mitted to reducing the country’s carbon       warming, are revenue generating, cre-
tribute immensely to its objectives such    footprint and ‘supports green technolo-       ate jobs and advance socio-economic
as job creation, revenue generation         gies through various incentives’.             development and transformation.
and advancing socio-economic devel-             Vilakazi says the 7 000 MV of solar
                                                                                          ● Contact: AfriWEA
opment and transformation in the East-      power that is planned has increased              E-mail: office@AfriWEA.org
ern Cape.                                   the demand for localisation of solar PV
    Currently, wind projects with a com-    panels.
bined capacity of more than 6 000 MW
are at various stages of the environ-
mental impact assessment process
(EIA) in the Eastern Cape, placing the
province at the forefront of wind renew-             PV growth in South Africa
able energy projects. The total of 6032
MW of energy projects still in the EIA               hinges on the success of
process outstrips the Medupi coal-fired
power station that is currently under                    phase I projects
construction and that will have an out-

                                             A
put of 4 788 MW.                                     recent PV Insider webinar that focused on the project development chal-
    Nationally, wind projects totalling 9            lenges in South Africa, revealed the key hurdles that developers are fac-
345 MW are planned.                                  ing to complete plants on time and on budget
    There are major projects which                Since the South African government launched the Integrated Resource Plan
have been proposed for the Eastern           (IRP) in 2010 local and international developers have shown a keen interest in
Cape. In the Blue Crane Route Munici-        this region. Since December 2011, 632MW of PV has been awarded in South
pality, Terra Wind has a plan for a wind     Africa, as well as $1.5 billion of investment from local and international financiers.
farm with the capacity of 1 713 MW and            In phase I of the IRP, the government received 53 bids across different renew-
Windlab Developments is planning to          able technologies, and it was confirmed in March this year that this figure had
erect 350 turbines with a capacity of        increased to 79 tenders, representing 3 233 MW of projects in Phase II. 18 proj-
700 MW between Cookhouse and Bed-            ects are currently under development in South Africa, but with this number pre-
ford.                                        dicted to double by August developers are already facing substantial roadblocks
    Electrawinds has invested R 1.2 bil-     when moving projects forward.
lion in the Coega Wind Farm project               On 25th April PV Insider held a complimentary webinar to analyse the key
and each of the 25 turbines has a            challenges faced when developing projects in South Africa, as well as the poten-
capacity of 1.8 MW which translates          tial for future growth in this emerging solar market. During the session, Davin
into an annual yield of 5 700 kWh,           Chown of SAPVIA, Linda Thompson, Head of Solar Developments at Main-
enough energy to power about 1 700           stream Renewable Power and Conrad Hefer from Cresco Project Finance exam-
households. In addition, 7 000 MW of         ined these critical topics and shared their experiences in this region.
solar power developments have also                Examining the two projects currently under development by Mainstream
been announced, with Langa Energy            Renewable Power, Linda Thompson recognized that land acquisition, grid capac-
having confirmed their investment in a       ity and water availability has presented developers with many hurdles. Linda
100 MW photovoltaic facility at Berlin       went on to explain that the market has become over competitive in terms of play-
outside King Williams town.                  ers, that has led to “further competition for access to land and to the grid in phase
    CDC Marketing & Communication            II”, and that this “could also make projects fall over”.
Manager, Mr Ayanda Vilakazi says                  The PV Project Development Summit South Africa 2012 is taking place on 3
given the volume of both wind and            - 4 September in Johannesburg.
solar projects both in the province and
                                             ● Contact: Jack Ahearne
nationally there is a ‘solid business           E-mail: jack@pv-insider.com
case’ for component manufacturing in            Website: www.pv-insider.com/southafrica/content3.php
South Africa for wind and solar tech-
Energy Management News 11

 Six countries bid to                                                             Energy events
                                                                                      2012
   host the Green                                                               AUGUST 2012

    Climate Fund                                                                21 - 22
                                                                                ECONOMIC REGULATORS
                                                                                CONFERENCE
                                                                                Emperors Palace, Gauteng, S Africa
ABOUT THE GREEN CLIMATE FUND
                                                                                E-mail: ipelena@tips.org.za

T
       he Green Climate Fund was established in December 2011 at Dur-
       ban, South Africa, by the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC        SEPTEMBER 2012
       with the purpose of making a significant and ambitious contribution
to the global efforts towards attaining the goals set by the international      3–4
community to combat climate change. In the context of sustainable devel-        PV PROJECT DEVELOPMENT
opment, the Fund will promote the paradigm shift towards low-emission           SUMMIT SOUTH AFRICA 2012
and climate-resilient development pathways by providing support to devel-       Johannesburg, South Africa
oping countries to limit or reduce their greenhouse gas emissions and to        Contact: Jack Ahearne, Global Events
adapt to the impacts of climate change. The Fund will provide simplified        Director, CSP Today
and improved access to climate change funding to developing countries,          Tel: +44 (0) 207 375 7556
including direct access, basing its activities on a country-driven approach.    Website: www.pv-insider.com/south
    The Green Climate Fund will be governed and supervised by a 24-             africa/content.php
member Board and was designated as an operating entity of the financial
mechanism of the UNFCCC. The Conference of the Parties requested the            3–7
UNFCCC secretariat jointly with the Secretariat of the Global Environment       POVERTY AND INEQUALITY
Facility to set up the Interim Secretariat for the Fund.                        CONFERENCE
                                                                                University of Cape Town, Cape Town,
EXPRESSIONS OF INTEREST AND HOSTING THE FUND                                    South Africa
The Interim Secretariat of the Green Climate Fund received six expres-          Website: www.carnegie3.org.za
sions of interest in April, to the Fund’s Board for hosting the Fund from the
                                                                                OCTOBER 2012
following Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC):                                                                2–4
1. Germany
                                                                                GISSA UKUBAZANA 2012
2. Mexico
                                                                                Emperors Palace, Gauteng, S Africa
3. Namibia
                                                                                Contact; Dawn Newman, GISSA Confer-
4. Poland
                                                                                ence Steering Committee Chair
5. Republic of Korea
                                                                                Mobile: 083 515 6913
6. Switzerland
                                                                                E-mail: newman.dawn@gmail.com
     The criteria for the submission of expressions of interest were set by
the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC (decision 3/CP.17). They            22 – 24
included the ability to confer and/or recognize juridical personality and
                                                                                WINDABA CAPETOWN 2012
legal capacity to the Fund, the ability to provide the necessary privileges
                                                                                Cape Town, South Africa
and immunities to the Fund, and financial arrangements, administrative
                                                                                Contact: Cheryl Peters, Conference and
and logistical support to the Fund.                                             Project Manager, Windaba Conference
     The expressions of interest were posted on the Green Climate Fund          and Exhibition
website.                                                                        Tel: +27 (0) 21 689 7881
     At its first meeting, scheduled to take place from 31 May to 2 June in     Fax: 086 656 3459
Geneva, Switzerland, the Green Climate Fund Board was going to con-             E-mail: Cheryl@windaba.co.za
sider these expressions of interest and initiate an open and transparent        Website: www.windaba.co.za
process for the selection of the host country. As a result of this process,
the Board would take a decision on the host country at one of its subse-        NOVEMBER 2012
quent meetings and present it to the Conference of the Parties of the
                                                                                14 – 15
UNFCCC for endorsement at its next session to take place in Doha, Qatar,
from 26 November to 7 December 2012.                                            2012 SOUTHERN AFRICAN ENERGY
                                                                                EFFICIENCY CONVENTION
● Contact: Interim Secretariat
                                                                                (2012SAEEC) AND EXHIBITION
  Green Climate Fund
                                                                                Emperors Palace, Gauteng, S Africa
  Tel.: +49 228 815 1371
  E-mail: isecretariat@gcfund.net
                                                                                Website: www.saeec2012.org.za
   Website: http://www.gcfund.net

                                                                                   Visit www.erc.uct.ac.za for
                                                                                   further events and details
The newsletter is published quarterly by the Energy Research Centre (ERC) of the
         University of Cape Town. (ERC is an amalgamation in 2004 of two organisations at
       the University: the former Energy Research Institute and the Energy and Development
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                Energy Management News is available free of charge. The articles do not
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