Killam Apartment REIT - Investor Presentation January 2017 - Killam Properties
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Cautionary CautionaryStatement Statement This presentation may contain forward‐looking statements with respect to Killam Apartment REIT and its operations, strategy, financial performance and condition. These statements generally can be identified by use of forward‐looking words such as “may”, ”will”, “expect”, “estimate”, “anticipate”, “intends”, “believe” or “continue” or the negative thereof or similar variations. The actual results and performance of Killam Apartment REIT discussed herein could differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such statements are qualified in their entirety by the inherent risks and uncertainties surrounding future expectations. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations include, among other things, general economic and market factors, competition, changes in government regulation and the factors described under “Risk Factors” in Killam' annual information form and other securities regulatory filings. The cautionary statements qualify all forward‐looking statements attributable to Killam Apartment REIT and persons acting on its behalf. Unless otherwise stated, all forward‐looking statements speak only as of the date to which this presentation refers, and the parties have no obligation to update such statements. 2
About KillamKillam Apartment Apartment REIT REIT Killam Apartment REIT is a growth‐oriented Canadian real estate investment trust. Killam owns, manages and develops multi‐family residential properties in Atlantic Canada, Ontario and Alberta. Killam's portfolio includes $1.9 billion in real estate assets, including 13,952 apartment units and 5,165 manufactured home community (MHC) sites. Market cap1 $860M Annual distribution $0.60 NOI By Province Distribution yield 5.0% Avg. daily volume 133K Net Operating Income (NOI) 3% by Sector 6% 9% 2% 8% Nova Scotia New Brunswick 43% Apartments Ontario MHCs 18% NFLD Commercial PEI Alberta 1) Includes exchangeable units 89% 22% 3
Why Why Invest Invest in in Killam Clearly defined strategy – growth from same property portfolio, acquisitions and developments. High‐quality portfolio with investment in newer properties. Growing funds from operations (FFO) & adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per unit. Stable distributions with improving payout ratio. Strengthened balance sheet with increased flexibility. Interest saving opportunities on refinancings. Established development program with robust development pipeline. Positioned to benefit from economic growth in Atlantic Canada and population growth in Central Canada. 4
Clearly KillamDefined Strategy Apartment REIT Killam’s strategy is to maximize its value and long‐term profitability by concentrating on three key areas of growth: #1 #2 #3 Increasing earnings from its Expanding the portfolio and Developing high‐quality existing portfolio diversifying geographically properties in its core markets through accretive acquisitions, with an emphasis on newer properties 5
Clearly KillamDefined Strategy Apartment REIT #1) Increasing earnings from the existing portfolio. Historic Same Property Revenue Growth Revenue Growth • Improved occupancy 2.9% 2.6% • Growing rental rates 2.2% + 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% Expense • Reduced incentives • Capital upgrades Management • Quality product & service = • 90% tenant satisfaction Increased Net rating Operating Income Apartment Quarterly Occupancy (NOI) $ occupancy as a % of gross potential rents 1 95.8% 95.8% 95.7% 95.7% 95.6% 95.6% 95.5% 95.3% 94.9% 94.8% 94.7% 94.7% 95.1% Average 94.3% 94.2% 93.6% 1. This measures dollar occupancy achieved and is typically ~1% lower than occupancy on a unit count basis at the end of each quarter, but is better management information. 6
Clearly KillamDefined Strategy Apartment REIT #1) Increasing earnings from the existing portfolio. Revenue Growth • Energy initiatives • Employee training + • Water saving programs • Investment in technology Expense • Maximizing economies of • Tenant education scale Management = Same Property NOI Growth 2007- 2016 Increased NOI Average Growth of 3.0% 8.4% Killam has increased 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 4.2% its same property NOI an average of 3.0% 2.1% 2.0% per year over the last 0.3% (0.9%) (0.4%) 10 years. * Record high natural gas prices in Atlantic Canada impacted NOI growth in 2013 & 2014. 7
Clearly KillamDefined Strategy Apartment REIT #2) Expanding the portfolio and diversifying geographically through accretive acquisitions, with an emphasis on newer properties. Apartment Units & MHC Sites Annual Apartment NOI 15,000 $ millions $100 Apartment Alberta Units $80 Ontario 10,000 Atlantic Canada MHC Sites Units/sites $60 $40 5,000 $20 $‐ 0 Since its first acquisition in 2002, Killam’s portfolio has grown Killam's strong operating platform can support a larger annually through acquisitions. Killam is expanding its portfolio by and more geographically diverse portfolio. Increased acquiring centrally located buildings in urban markets, increasing its investment in core markets outside Atlantic Canada ownership in Ontario and Alberta, and adding to its established will enhance Killam's diversification and exposure to portfolio in Atlantic Canada. urban centres in Canada that have higher population growth. 8
Clearly KillamDefined Strategy Apartment REIT #3) Developing high-quality properties in its core markets. Killam augments its external growth opportunities with Developments Completed Per Year developments. Killam has invested over $130 million in $ millions developments since its first project was completed in 2011. $80 With an experienced team and a development pipeline of over 1,200 units, developments are an important $60 $17 component of Killam’s growth. $40 $25 $20 $25 $19 $35 $24 $14 $15 $5 $8 $8 $0 * forecast Killam can develop to yields higher than those achievable through acquisition, contributing to net asset value (NAV) growth per unit. 9
Clearly KillamDefined Strategy Apartment REIT Over $130 million of developments completed. 49 units ‐ Charlottetown, PEI 63 units ‐ Halifax, NS 101 units ‐ Fredericton, NB 47 units – Charlottetown, PEI 71 units – St. John’s, NL 102 units – St. John’s, NL 10 122 units ‐ Cambridge, ON 70 units – Halifax, NS
High‐Quality Portfolio Killam has one of the newest apartment portfolios in Canada; 37% of Killam’s apartment NOI comes from properties built in 2000 or later. Apartment NOI by Year of Construction Management believes that increasing Killam’s ownership in new, high‐quality buildings will result in long‐term demand for its properties, reduce annual capital requirements related to deferred maintenance, and 18% transform Killam’s portfolio into one of the highest quality portfolios in 23% Canada. 2010 and newer The annual capital spend 2000‐2009 Average Capital Spend Per Unit by per unit is lower 1990‐1999 1980‐1989 Building Age for newer properties. For 1970‐1979 19% For the years ended Dec 31 example, Killam’s Pre 1970 average spend for properties 0 to 10 years 23% $3,000 old was $700 per unit in $2,000 2015 compared to 9% $2,600 per unit for 8% $1,000 buildings over 40 years old. $0 2013 2014 2015 Overall, Killam’s average capital spend was $2,178 0 ‐ 10 years 11 ‐ 20 years 21 ‐ 30 years per apartment unit in 31 ‐ 40 years 41 + years 2015. Killam is growing its portfolio of high‐quality properties by focusing on developments and acquiring newer properties. 11
Growing FFOPer 9.7% FFO & AFFO Shareper Unit 2015 Growth FFO & AFFO YTD FFO & AFFO FFO and AFFO per unit Per Unit Per Unit For the nine months ended Sept 30 growth has been For the years ended Dec 31 attributable to: FFO AFFO FFO AFFO • same property NOI $0.79 growth $0.65 $0.71 $0.72 $0.54 $0.59 $0.58 • interest expense $0.51 $0.68 $0.46 savings $0.60 $0.61 • accretive acquisitions • developments 2013 2014 2015 2014 2015 2016 12
Improving 88% AFFOAFFO Payout Payout Ratio Ratio in 2015 Killam’s Annual Dividend/Distribution & Payout Ratio Dividend/Distribution AFFO Payout Ratio $0.61 98% 100% $0.60 96% 95% 81% $0.60 88% 90% AFFO $0.59 Payout 85% $0.59 80% Ratio at $0.58 75% 80% Sept 30, $0.58 75% 2016 $0.58 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.57 70% 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017* *The 2016 and 2017 adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) payout ratio represents the consensus estimate based on the current annual distribution of $0.60. 13
Financial & Operating Performance Strengthened Balance Stable Balance Sheet with Increased Flexibility Sheet Sept 30, Dec 31, Debt as a % of Total Interest Coverage Ratio 2016 2015 Assets At Dec 31 Mortgage debt as a % of 2.81 50.9% 50.4% At Dec 31 total assets 55.7% 2.34 55.2% 2.21 54.9% 2.09 Weighted average interest 1.98 3.08% 3.27% 53.2% 52.9% rate on mortgage debt 51.6% Weighted average term to 4.2 years 4.2 years maturity Debt service coverage ratio 1.52 1.35 (rolling 12 months) Interest coverage ratio 2.81 2.34 (rolling 12 months) CMHC‐insured apartment 76% 73% mortgages Killam completed a $98 million equity raise on June 2, 2016. Credit Facility Expanded : Following the all cash Part of the proceeds were used to redeem $57.5 million of acquisition of Garden Park Apartments on June convertible debentures on July 4, 2016. The interest 30, 2016, Killam established a new $30M demand coverage estimate at July 4, 2016 normalizes for the impact credit facility and increased its acquisition of redeeming the $57.5 million of convertible debentures. capacity to $100 million. 14
Interest Saving Opportunities on Refinancings Mortgage Maturities by Year As at Sept 30, 2016 Mortgage Maturities Weighted Average Interest Rate (Apartments) 5 year rate 10 year rate $200 8% $180 7% Mortgage Maturities ($M) $160 6% $140 Interest Rate $120 5% 3.81% 3.69% 3.73% $100 3.16% 3.28% 3.13% 4% 2.92% 2.70% $80 2.59% 3% $60 2% $40 $20 1% $0 0% Current rate for 5‐year CMHC Current rate for 10‐year CMHC insured debt is approximately insured debt is approximately 2.2%. 2.8%. 15
Robust Development Pipeline Development Opportunities Development Potential in Property City Units Status Developments Underway The Alexander - Phase 1* Halifax, NS 121 Under construction - 2017 completion Saginaw Phase II Cambridge, ON 93 Start in Q3-2016 Development Opportunities - 2017 Spring Garden Terrace Land Halifax, NS The Governor (Phase 2 of the Alexander)* Halifax, NS 106 50 2014 & Approved development agreement As of right Silver Spear* Mississauga, ON 64 In design and approval process Future Development Opportunities - 2018 and beyond Grid 5 Land* Calgary, AB 198 Q1 2015 Future development Carlton Houses Halifax, NS 70 Future development Medical Arts (Spring Garden) Halifax, NS 200 Future development 1335 Hollis Street Halifax, NS 30 Future development Block 4 St. John's, NL 80 As of right Topsail Road St. John's, NL 225 Approved development agreement Total Development Opportunities 1,237 * Represents Killam's 50% interest in potential development units. Killam is targeting yields of 5.5% ‐ 6.0% on developments, and cap rate values upon completion of 4.5% ‐ 5.0%, contributing to NAV per unit growth. 16
Investment Opportunity Benefiting from Economic Improved Economics Growth in Atlantic in Atlantic Canada Canada (1) Commitment/ Province Project Term Estimated # of Jobs Comments Size ($) Nova Irving $25 billion 25‑year 1,000‑1,500 direct Irving finished a $350M modernization of the Halifax shipyard and began cutting Scotia Shipbuilding contract. up to 11,500 indirect steel in September 2015 for phase I of the contract, 6 Arctic Offshore Patrol Ships. Contract Started in The second and more significant phase of the contract, building ~15 surface 2015 combatant ships, is expected to begin in 2020. Energy $2.1 billion 6 years Not available Shell drilled its first exploration well during 2015. BP expects to drill its first Exploration off (British (exploration exploration well in 2017. This offshore oil activity has the potential for long‑term NS Coast Petroleum and phase) investment and employment opportunities in the region. Shell Canada) 2013‐2019 Various Halifax $1‑2 billion 3‑4 years Not available Investments underway include the new convention centre, two new military Construction facilities, and various real estate projects in Halifax. Projects New Saint John Mill $450 million 3 years 600 direct The two‐phase upgrade began in 2014, corresponding with a 20% increase in the Brunswick Upgrade 2014‐2017 NB softwood that will be made available to the forestry industry. Energy East $12 billion 6 years 3,700 during Application submitted to National Energy Board in 2014. An estimated $2.8 Pipeline (proposed total (development development billion of GDP contribution for New Brunswick during the project. project cost) phase) Newfoundland Muskrat Falls $7 billion 5 years 1,500 direct with peak Construction of the 824 megawatt hydroelectric dam is underway, as well as the and Labrador Hydro Project 2012‐2017 of 3,100. transmission line between Muskrat Falls and Churchill Falls. Maritime Link $1.6 billion 4 years Average of 300 direct, Subsea cable designed to transport electricity from NL to NS. Construction began 2013‐2017 with a peak of 600 in 2014. First power is planned for delivery in 2017. Hebron Oil $14 billion 10 years 3,000 ‑ 3,500 direct The reserve estimate for Hebron is over 700 million barrels of oil. The project Project 2010‐2024 started in 2010 and will run until 2024. Suncor has reconfirmed its commitment to Hebron (Jan 13, 2015) and expects it to come online in 2017. Development drilling will continue until 2024. (1) Project details including commitment, size, term and job growth are taken from various sources, such as company press releases, economic studies and related websites. Halifax is expected to have one of the fastest growing economies in Canada, with 2.9% growth expected in 2016, according to the Conference Board of Canada’s Winter 2016 Metropolitan Outlook. Approximately 36% of Killam’s NOI is generated in Halifax, the 17 largest city in Atlantic Canada.
Benefiting from Improved Occupancy in Atlantic Investment Opportunity Improved Economics in Atlantic Canada Canada CMHC Vacancy in Atlantic Canada 2014 2015 2016 Atlantic Canada is 9.0% 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% experiencing improved 7.9% 7.4% apartment occupancy 6.0% 5.9% 5.7% levels. In their Fall 2016 5.5% 4.7% 4.6% 4.4% Rental Market Report, 4.2% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% CMHC reported lower 3.4% 3.0% 2.6% vacancies in four of six 1.7% of Killam’s core markets in Atlantic Canada, versus an overall increase for Canada. Source: CMHC Fall 2015 and Fall 2016 Rental Market Reports. 18
Focus on Developments Current Developments Southport – Completed Southport, August 2016 Halifax, NS Rental Units: 70 Start Date: December 2014 Completion: August 2016 Move‐ins started in Sept 2016 Location: Downtown Halifax Lease‐up: 100% Cost: $14.7 million ($210,000/door) Expected Yield: 5.5% Expected Value: 4.75% cap rate Average Unit Size: 636 sf Average Rent: $1,400 ($2.20/sf) 19
Focus on Developments Current Developments Southport – Completed Southport, August 2016 Halifax, NS 20
Focus on Developments The Alexander ‐ 2017 Completion Rental Units: 242 units, 6,500 sf of retail space Ownership: Killam 50%, Partners 50% Start Date: Q3‐2015 Projected Completion: Q4‐2017 Location: Downtown Halifax across from the waterfront Cost: $35 million (Killam’s cost) ($276,000/ residential door) Expected Yield: 5.5% Expected Value: 4.75% cap rate Average Unit Size: 740 sf Average Rent: $1,740 ($2.35/sf) 21
Focus on Developments The Alexander ‐ 2017 Completion View from upper floors 22
The Alexander, Halifax 23
The Alexander, Halifax 24
The Alexander, Halifax 25
The Alexander, Halifax 26
Future Developments Focus on Developments Saginaw Saginaw Gardens II –ON 2, Cambridge, Started in Q3‐2016 Rental Units: 93 units Start Date: Q3‐2016 Projected Completion: Q1‐2018 Location: Adjacent Saginaw Gardens, Saginaw Parkway, Cambridge Cost: $25.1 million ($269,000/door) Expected Yield: 5.5% Expected Value: 4.75% cap rate Average Unit Size: 1,025 sf Average Rent: $1,665 ($1.62/sf) 27
2016 Acquisitions 2016 Acquisitions Garden GardenPark ParkApartments, Apartments,Halifax Halifax Building Description: 246 apartment units 8,195 sf of commercial space Location: 1472 Martello Street, Halifax 2016 Acquisition: Remaining 51.0% interest $23.7 million June 2016 closing 28
2016 Acquisitions 270 Parkside Drive, Fredericton 270 Parkside Drive is located in close proximity to 355 Killam units in Fredericton, and across from Killam’s regional office in the city. existing Killam properties 29
2016 Acquisitions 2016 Acquisitions Kanata KanataLakes LakesApartments IIIOttawa Apartments, Building Description: 173 units 3rd of a five‐building portfolio with a shared clubhouse Location: 1047 Canadian Shield Ave, Kanata 2016 Acquisition: 50% of building III $31.1 million June 2016 closing Previous Purchases: 2011 – 25% of building I 2014 – 50% of building II & additional 25% of building I 30
2016 Acquisitions Kanata Lakes Apartments III 31
Well Positioned for Growth Killam is well positioned for long‐term success with a focus on the follow key initiatives: • Attention to curb appeal and long‐term value enhancement with capital programs and customer‐focused service. • Cost management with ongoing process improvements. • Growing the portfolio and expanding geographically with accretive acquisitions. • Augmenting the quality of the portfolio with developments in core markets. • Strengthening its balance sheet with lower debt levels. • Increasing capital flexibility with an expanded line‐of‐credit, growing portfolio of unencumbered assets and improved AFFO payout ratio. 32
Contact Information Philip Fraser President & CEO 902‐453‐4536 pfraser@killamreit.com Robert Richardson, FCPA, FCA Executive Vice President & CFO 902‐442‐9001 rrichardson@killamreit.com Dale Noseworthy, CPA, CA, CFA Vice President, Investor Relations & Corporate Planning 902‐442‐0388 dnoseworthy@killamreit.com 33
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