Physician Town Hall Hosted by: Dr. Susan Shaw - Saskatchewan Health Authority
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Town Hall Reminders • This event is being recorded and will be available to view on the Physician Town Hall webpage (Names, Polling Results, and Q&A are not posted unless a question is asked verbally). • Please sign in using your full name! • Watch for this icon during the event and respond to our live polls. • Submit your questions using the Q&A function at anytime! www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Panelists joining us this evening... • Beyond the list of presenters on the agenda, we also have a number of colleagues joining us to support the Q&A. • Panelists – please introduce yourselves in the chat. • Ask your questions during the event and panelists will try to answer! www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Truth and Reconciliation We would like to acknowledge that we are gathering on Treaty 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 and 10 territory and the Homeland of the Métis. Recognizing this history is important to our future and our efforts to close the gap in health outcomes between Indigenous and non-Indigenous peoples. I pay my respects to the traditional caretakers of this land. www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Agenda Dr. Mahli Brindamour Care in Kids with COVID Dr. Ayisha Kurji COVID-19 Surveillance and Epidemiological Trends Dr. Johnmark Opondo Offensive Strategy Highlights Dr. Johnmark Opondo Dr. Tania Diener Vaccine Strategy Highlights Dr. Kevin Wasko Dr. Julie Stakiw Dr. John Froh Defensive Strategy Highlights John Ash Safety Updates Dr. Mike Kelly Physician Wellness Patti Stewart McCord Q&A Opportunity to ask your questions live! www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Care in Kids with COVID Dr. Mahli Brindamour MD, FRCPC Dr. Ayisha Kurji MD, FRCPC General Pediatrician General Pediatrician Assistant Professor Assistant Professor University of Saskatchewan University of Saskatchewan COVID-19 Health System Update www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Covid in kids SK – data as of Oct 17, 2021 BCCDC Pediatric Clinical School start Sept 1 Guidance for COVID-19 1st Delta case in SK – May 14 Lifting restrictions School-associated cases Sept 1, 2020 - Jul 12, 2021 www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
More information from SharedCare www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
COVID-19 Surveillance and Epidemiological Trends Dr. Johnmark Opondo Medical Health Officer COVID-19 Health System Update www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Key messages • We are at a high plateau of cases, this rate of case production is not sustainable for our system. • We continue to experience high service demand, death rates are high and we are going in to winter and holiday season at high numbers. • Covid-19 vaccines protect against severe outcomes; however at high background rates of community transmission Covid can still impact individuals who may have otherwise been protected. • We need to address misinformation and disinformation (infodemic); remember: estimated 400,000 SK residents remain partially and unvaccinated • Hospitalization and critical care remain strained, and maintaining this volume of service is costing the system in it’s standards of care, staff patient ratios and the potential need to transfer patients out-of –province. www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
COVID-19 cases, rate per 100,000 (last 7-days), by province/territory, October 20, 2021 SK now has the highest new case rate among the provinces in Canada www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19 Source: Public Health Agency of Canada https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html
COVID-19 deaths, rate per 100,000 (last 14-days), by P/T, Canada, October 20, 2021 In the last 14-days, SK ranks 1st in COVID death rates in Canada www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19 Source: Public Health Agency of Canada https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html
Recent COVID-19 deaths: Sep 1 – Oct 10 (n = 145) Deaths • The majority, 87%, of deaths n = 145 were individuals 70+ years • Among those
7-Day Case Average 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 1-Feb-21 4-Feb-21 7-Feb-21 10-Feb-21 13-Feb-21 16-Feb-21 19-Feb-21 22-Feb-21 25-Feb-21 28-Feb-21 3-Mar-21 6-Mar-21 9-Mar-21 12-Mar-21 15-Mar-21 18-Mar-21 21-Mar-21 24-Mar-21 27-Mar-21 30-Mar-21 2-Apr-21 5-Apr-21 8-Apr-21 11-Apr-21 14-Apr-21 17-Apr-21 20-Apr-21 23-Apr-21 Cases 26-Apr-21 29-Apr-21 2-May-21 5-May-21 8-May-21 declining 11-May-21 14-May-21 17-May-21 20-May-21 23-May-21 26-May-21 29-May-21 1-Jun-21 4-Jun-21 7-Jun-21 10-Jun-21 13-Jun-21 average, Feb 1 – Oct 12, 2021 16-Jun-21 19-Jun-21 22-Jun-21 25-Jun-21 Test positivity is HIGH and not 28-Jun-21 1-Jul-21 4-Jul-21 7-Jul-21 10-Jul-21 13-Jul-21 16-Jul-21 19-Jul-21 22-Jul-21 25-Jul-21 28-Jul-21 31-Jul-21 3-Aug-21 Test Positivity 6-Aug-21 9-Aug-21 12-Aug-21 15-Aug-21 18-Aug-21 21-Aug-21 24-Aug-21 27-Aug-21 30-Aug-21 2-Sep-21 5-Sep-21 8-Sep-21 11-Sep-21 14-Sep-21 COVID-19 cases and test positivity, 7-day rolling 17-Sep-21 20-Sep-21 23-Sep-21 26-Sep-21 29-Sep-21 2-Oct-21 5-Oct-21 8-Oct-21 11-Oct-21 0.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 2.0 5% 12.0 14.0 16.0 10.0 Test Positivity (%)
Offensive Strategy Dr. Johnmark Opondo Medical Health Officer COVID-19 Health System Update www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Update from Local Public Health • Contact Tracing has improved is now overall rated as yellow, although some areas are experiencing a plateau • Positive case management going well • Auto-notification delivering majority of positive results • Case investigation meeting 24 hour TAKT time • School investigations remain high priority and busy at this level of social mixing • Our capacity to maintain “Test, Trace and Isolate” are: • Taxed for Human Resources • Shoal Lake Fire Evacuation adds pressure to ASIS and Contact Tracing Work www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Areas with at least 5% increase in Dose 1 coverage between Sept 16 and Oct 12, 2021 Athabasca Health Authority 13.1 North West 4.1 (Lloydminster) 7.0 North West 4.2 (Maidstone) 6.5 South East 9.2 (Estevan) 6.3 South East 9.3 (Oxbow) 6.1 Proof-of-vaccination policy North West 2.2 (Meadow Lake) South West 1.1 (Biggar) 6.1 6.0 appears to be universally North West 2.1 (Loon Lake) 5.7 effective at increasing coverage North West 1.2 (Île-à-la-Crosse) 5.6 rates across the province – South West 6.2 (Ponteix) 5.6 North East 4.1 (Prince Albert) 5.5 regardless of the coverage rate North East 3.1 (Big River) 5.3 the local area had prior to the North West 3.2 (Edam) 5.3 North East 1.1 (La Ronge) 5.2 requirement South East 9.1 (Carlyle) 5.1 South West 1.3 (Kindersley) 5.1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Change in Total population coverage rate (%) between Sept 16 and Oct 12, 2021 www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Key public health messages • COVID zero may not be an easily achievable goal - our goal is to prevent severe outcomes and protect health system capacity • Vaccinations, mask mandates, proof-of-vaccination policies have all reduced the rate of growth, however, still in exponential growth • SK is NOT in decline and rate of case production remains HIGH; • What we can do as individuals: reduce non-essential interactions, and stay HEALTHY as our acute care system is stretched • We recommend gathering restrictions: Small gathering limits, capacity limits, schools still open (hybrid, cohorting, ventilation, masking, isolate cases, frequent testing) www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Vaccine Strategy Dr. Tania Diener Dr. Julie Stakiw COVID-19 Vaccine Strategy Chief Physician Lead – Vulnerable Populations Dr. Kevin Wasko Physician Executive – Integrated Rural Health COVID-19 Health System Update www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Vaccine Strategy Key Goals: • Minimize serious illness & death • Protect health care capacity • Minimize spread of COVID-19 • Immunize as many people, as quickly as possible; safely.
Vaccine Administration as a Percentage of Population Eligible (12+) Canada Canada 85.5% 83.2% Percentage of Eligible Population (12+) Vaccinated 91.0% As of October 21, 2021 https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtracker.html 88.1% 94.8% 87.2% 76.4% 89.1% 89.2% 86.9% 85.5% 94.0% 86.2% 83.5% 87.8% 77.2% 92.2% 86.0% 77.3% 90.0% 84.3% 87.6% 83.4% 85.9% 90.6% 84.8% FIRST SECOND DOSES DOSES 91.0% 82.1%
Who has been immunized? First Doses (%) Fully Vaccinated (%) October 21, 2021 Oct 7 Oct 21 % Change Oct 7 Oct 21 % Change Ages 80+ 95 95 -- 91 91 -- Ages 70 - 79 92 93 + 1% 89 89 -- Ages 60 - 69 90 91 + 1% 86 87 + 1% Ages 50 - 59 85 87 + 2% 78 80 + 2% Ages 40 - 49 81 83 + 2% 72 75 + 3% Ages 30 - 39 76 79 + 3% 65 68 + 3% Ages 18 - 29 77 80 + 3% 62 66 + 4% Ages 12 - 17 76 81 + 5% 63 68 + 5% Overall (12+) 82 85 + 3% 73 76 + 3% www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Vaccination for 5-11 year olds • Pfizer has made application to Health Canada • SHA currently planning for roll out • Clinical Advisory Committee will be discussing next week, including possible sequencing Statement from Health Canada regarding submission from Pfizer www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Phase 2A Eligible Populations as of October 4, 2021 Population Interval from dose 2 to dose 3 80 years and older living in the community 6 months (If 3rd dose for travel administered ≥ 28 days after 2nd dose it counts as booster) Individuals with primary or acquired immunodeficiency states: 28 days - Including but not limited to poorly controlled HIV/AIDS (i.e. a current CD4 count of
Phase 2B Eligible Populations effective October 25, 2021 Eligible Populations Interval from dose 2 to dose 3 Individuals aged 65 years and older 6 months Individuals living in the Far North and those living on First Nation communities, aged 50 6 months years and older Health care workers will be eligible for a booster dose at least 6 months after the date of 6 months their second dose (proof of HCW status will be required) Individuals born in 2009 or earlier with underlying health conditions that are clinically 6 months extremely vulnerable including: 1. People with severe respiratory conditions, including all cystic fibrosis, severe asthma and severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) 2. People with rare diseases that significantly increase the risk of infections (such as homozygous sickle cell disease) 3. People who had their spleen removed 4. Individuals with very significant developmental disabilities that increase risk (such as Down’s syndrome) 5. Individuals on dialysis or with chronic kidney disease (stage 5) 6. People with significant neuromuscular conditions requiring respiratory support www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Proof of COVID-19 Vaccination Policy Vaccination information from Panorama: • Total # of Physicians: 2702 • Fully vaccinated: 2118 • Partially vaccinated: 54 • Unvaccinated/Unknown: 530 **this data does not account for any vaccinations received out of province All physicians who have SHA privileges, need to follow the policy directive To prepare for the roll out of the program in November, all physicians should register for a MySaskHealthRecord account and access their COVID-19 Vaccine Record. https://www.ehealthsask.ca/MySaskHealthRecord/MySaskHealthRecord • More resources for physicians regarding the vaccine policy www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Influenza Vaccine Reminder – Did you know? • Every health care encounter NEEDS to be an opportunity to vaccinate for COVID-19 and Influenza • Flu vaccine clinics opened on October 12. • Flu and COVID-19 immunizations can be received together • This is very convenient for patients and their families • Promote this option to your patients going for their flu shots/COVID-19 vaccinations For more information see • Delivery of vaccine immunization is a team effort the October 13, 2021 - requiring every health care worker’s dedication Get your COVID vaccine and flu shot together www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Defensive Strategy Highlights Dr. John Froh Defensive Strategy Co-Chief John Ash Defensive Strategy Co-Chief COVID-19 Health System Update www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Strategy – Maintain our COVID-19 Defensive Strategy through ongoing readiness of the acute care system to match incoming demand (including ICU) while providing essential services to non-COVID-19 patients COVID-19 Health System Update
Actions Maintain strategies to prevent COVID-19 transmission, and response to suspect and actual acute care outbreaks Maintain and update acute care surge plans based on modelling. Implement COVID-19 POC testing in the acute care setting Implement HCW antigen testing in the acute care setting Assess and develop plans to address the patients suffering long-term impacts of COVID Develop and implement operational and staffing plan to maintain acute and ICU capacity within operations and prepare for fall surge Utilize low acuity care transfers from tier 6 (tertiary) facilities to enhance load leveling and fully utilize acute care capacity. Develop and implement ICU Out of Province Evacuation Transport process COVID-19 Health System Update
Hospital Capacity: COVID + Non-COVID Key indicators: COVID + Non-COVID Pressures Offload Delays Out of Province Transfers Admit No Beds Saskatoon (Oct 3-9) Regina (Oct 8-14) Transfers: 6 • Every patient has an offload delay • RGH longest delay was 4.2 hours Repatriations: 0 27 • 50% of offloads were longer than 1 hour • Pasqua longest delay was 1.6 hours As of Oct 21, 2021 8am, Oct 21th • 19 were longer than 4 hours Census of Covid Patients in Hospital Inpatient capacity required equivalent to Swift+PA+MJ Hospitals combined
Patients on high flow oxygen outside of ICU Unmet ICU demand! – Acute teams caring for patients that would normally be in ICU with no change to staffing ratios Data only collected M-F during end of previous wave (May 4-June 15) and this wave starting Sept 21
Exceeding safe and sustainable capacity – Driving need to transfer ICU patients out of province Care deteriorating as we surge towards 125 Trigger for Out of Province is 116 At last update, 57 patients receiving high flow oxygen with a high probability of requiring ICU care or would normally be receiving care in ICU
Area Hospital ICU Census – October 20, 2021 North Saskatoon South Regina
Provincial ICU Pressure Current Impacts of Managing ICU Capacity • Approval required on emergent, cancer and 3 week urgent surgeries • Substandard care for those in critical need and/or at risk of death Patient Census: • Reduction in critical care surgeries 117 0730h Oct 21 57 High Flow (including open heart and neuro Oxygen patients not in ICU patients) Impacts of managing within the red • Requirement for evacuation of ICU patients out of province • Increased preventable deaths
Highest per capita COVID ICU census: multiple strategies required to manage (OOP TF, CAMPUS, PCCP)
Pandemic Crisis Care Principles • PCCP established to guide IHICCs in making staffing and other care related decisions in managing escalating resource constrained environments • Each IHICC has provided an assessment of impacts to models of care utilizing the PCCP, some variation in application of tool making it difficult to compare across IHICCs and risk of care environment as capacity increases • IHICC planning and operational leads to be engaged to support consistent application of the PCCP and quantifying linkage to ICU capacity. • Outcome will assist with balancing care environment risk across all ICUs and support OOPT volume
ICU Out of Province Transfer Program Provincial Out of Province ICU Patient Evacuation Concept of Operations Organizational Structure • To provide ICU care for all SK patients, This structure stands up outside of regular transport (Red Patient and transfer of Tertiary ICU patients to Out of Pediatric Transport Algorithms) and utilizes existing coordination and Province ICUs has occurred communications infrastructure, reporting into EOC Defensive Command • A Provincial Evacuation Team has been activated to support the safe transfer of patients Guiding Principles • Maintaining ICU care for all SK patients • Prevention of the Escalation of the Critical Care Resource Allocation Framework • Patient movement will be as safe as possible Key support from Social Work, Digital COVID-19 Health, SFCC and PFCC Health System Update
Out of Province ICU Transports • Co-Leads: Dr. Jon Witt and Lori Garchinski, Flight logistics lead: Evan Ulmer • Established daily planning and coordination network with Ontario and Manitoba • Travel support for up to 2 family members • Evacuated 6 patients to Ontario to date • 3 Additional patients will be transported over next 3 days • Goal to proactively bring provincial ICU census to a lower, sustainable level • ICU capacity for HFO patients and Non-Covid patients requiring ICU. • Clinically appropriate ICU patients able to access tertiary care.
Saskatchewan Modelling – Impact of Reducing Mixing
Accuracy of Saskatchewan Models: June 15 2021 Model Projections Indicated that size and timing of fall surge would depend on: • Public behaviour in response to re- opening / surge • Vaccine uptake, especially 2nd dose • Delta variant infectiousness • How well vaccines work against Delta • Delta VOC driving surge • If public health measures are taken with surge • Modeling at that time did not account for impact of boosters yet Actuals will start changing trajectory from this set of model results due to additional public health orders having now started. This model scenario did not include mask mandate or proof of vaccination requirements.
Key Messages • As we approach/exceed the limits of capacity the care environment rapidly deteriorates • Ethical choices about who receives appropriate level of critical care and who receives substandard care are already occurring • Patient to staff ratios are already eroding affecting quality of care • Pandemic Crisis Care Principles established that will balance the resultant risk from required reduced care standards across provincial ICU’s and Acute care units for COVID and Non-COVID care • Increasing risk of potential patient harm and preventable death • Limited HR capacity to surge ICU • Additional support is being explored; including Federal support • Anticipating current acute and ICU pressures will remain until at least December and be dependent upon public health orders • Out of Province Transfer Teams in place and have been activated: • Letters to patients and families are being distributed upon admission • It is recognized that current ICU census is not sustainable for long periods of time and application of the Pandemic Crisis Care Principles will assist in informing a safe sustainable Pandemic ICU surge capacity
Safety Update Dr. Mike Kelly EOC Safety Officer COVID-19 Health System Update www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Facial hair policy Hair today, gone tomorrow: • To properly fit for an N95 you must be cleanly shaven • Do not show up to your fit testing appointment without shaving first – Beard covers are not allowed • Facial hair is permitted in areas that do not interfere (growing in or protruding into) with the respirator sealing surface or function (see Facial Hairstyles Infographic for pictures). SHA Facial Hair Policy available here www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Return to Work Guidance - Guidance for the general public is not healthcare guidance and is not intended to be applied in the health-care setting where extra precautions are necessary to protect vulnerable patient and resident populations, as well as your colleagues. - If you are deemed a close-contact and are not fully vaccinated you cannot come to work for 14 days following the contact. - If you have a positive PCR test you cannot come back to work for 10 days following onset of symptoms - If you are the primary care-giver of a COVID case (i.e. small child, elderly parent) and you CANNOT ISOLATE from them, you cannot come to work for 14 days following the end of their 10 day isolation period – vaccination status does not matter Call the OHS Hotline at 1-833-233-4403 or email Return to Work OHS_Healthcareworkers_CO FAQs VID19@saskhealthauthority. ca www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Double masking • The SHA is not recommending double masking. • Two is not always better than one. • You may think that by layering up your protection by donning two masks, either two procedure masks or a procedure mask over your N95, you are going the extra mile to protect yourself. • However, you unfortunately are increasing your chances for cross contamination during donning and doffing. • The SHA is not recommending double masking. www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Everyone’s fine…really. Patty Stewart McCord, BGS, CCISM ICISF Faculty/ Canadian Representative to ICISF Board of Directors SHA Peer Support Program Co-Lead Exec. Director, Sask. CISM Network COVID-19 Health System Update www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
The work environment… 1) Delta is a different situation… 2) We have more knowledge 3) The patient care is familiar work 4) In “operational mode”…Head down and into work you go! 5) Public opinion has changed - Everyone’s tired of COVID 6) Staff experiencing fatigue/ burnout/ cumulative stress
www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
THE MEDICINE WHEEL MIND BODY YOU SPIRIT EMOTIONS What are you doing to restore your whole being so that you can sustain yourself through this?
www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Your Physician Health Physicians experiencing reactions to & Wellness Supports the current health crisis is not uncommon. The Physician Peer Scan the QR Code to Support Team are available to you access Physician Town Hall Wellness presentations upon request. and more! If you or a colleague have questions about the Peer Support program, or are inquiring about support, Health Care Worker Mental Health Support Hotline: please email us at: 1-833-233-3314 8am – 4:30pm, Monday-Friday Saskatoon, NE, NW: Brenda Senger 306-657-4553 physicianpeersupport@saskhealthauthority.ca Physician Regina, SE/SW: Health Jessica Richardson Program 306- 359-2750
Partners www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
Q&A Please respond to Please enter your question in the Q&A section the live poll! OR Raise your hand and we will unmute you so you can comment or ask your question live
Join us this Fall! Next Town Hall: November 4th, 2021 www.saskatchewan.ca/COVID19
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