Pharma IT Enhancing clinical trial diversity - FIRST ANALYSIS QUARTERLY INSIGHTS
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Pharma IT Enhancing clinical trial diversity FIRST ANALYSIS QUARTERLY INSIGHTS Integrative insights on emerging opportunities December 23, 2020 Joseph Munda Main: 312-258-1400 Direct: 312-258-7125 jmunda@firstanalysis.com www.firstanalysis.com
First Analysis Pharma IT Team Joseph Munda Vice President jmunda@firstanalysis.com 312-258-7125 Matthew Nicklin Managing Director mnicklin@firstanalysis.com 312-258-7181 Tracy Marshbanks Managing Director tmarshbanks@firstanalysis.com 312-258-7111 Andrew Walsh Managing Director awalsh@firstanalysis.com 312-258-7110 About the Author Joseph Munda Joseph Munda is a vice president specializing in research and investment in healthcare technology. He is a thought leader in his sector, having authored several widely read white papers. He uses his industry knowledge and expansive network to uncover promising investment opportunities and help companies navi- gate their strategic paths and accelerate growth. Prior to joining First Analysis in 2015, he was an equity research analyst covering medical device and healthcare services companies at Sidoti & Co. Earlier, he worked in institutional sales at Bear Stearns/J.P. Morgan. He earned a bachelor’s degree in finance from Fairleigh Dickinson University. About First Analysis First Analysis has a nearly four-decade record of serving emerging growth compa- nies, established industry leaders, and institutional investors in emerging high-growth segments in technology and healthcare, both through its venture capital investments First Analysis and through First Analysis Securities Corp. (FASC), which provides investment banking and related services. FASC is a FINRA-registered broker-dealer and member SIPC. First 1 S. Wacker Dr., Suite 3900 Analysis’s integrative research process underpins all its efforts, combining 1) dynamic Chicago, IL 60606 investment research on thousands of companies with 2) thousands of relationships 312-258-1400 among executives, investors, and other key participants in our focus areas, yielding a www.firstanalysis.com deep, comprehensive understanding of each sector’s near-term and long-term potential.
First Analysis Quarterly Insights December 23, 2020 PHARMA IT Enhancing clinical trial diversity y Representing population diversity in trials is important given a review of 167 new NEW GUIDANCE ADDRESSES CRITICAL molecular entities approved by the FDA between 2008-2013 showed approximate- CHALLENGE OF TRIAL DIVERSITY ENROLLMENT ly 20% had racial or ethnic differences in COVID-19 has made patient engagement safety, efficacy and response. However, a top priority for the life sciences industry, trial diversity remains a challenge for drug especially when it comes to recruiting, en- sponsors. rolling and retaining trial participants. Even y New guidance from the FDA and others prior to COVID-19, recruiting and enrolling regarding how to broaden eligibility crite- patients into clinical trials required consid- ria to increase clinical trial enrollment of erable time and expense. Industry estimates underrepresented populations provides suggest 50% of clinical trials need to extend a roadmap to addressing this challenge. their recruitment period, resulting in a loss eClinical technology vendors – companies of up to $1.3 million per day for a given drug that combine technology, applications, candidate. 11% of trial sites fail to recruit any and services to automate clinical trial patients while 18% of trial participants drop data collection, management and analysis out after enrolling. and to automate other aspects of clinical Additionally, trial diversity remains a chal- trials – are providing the tools to make it lenge for sponsors despite many trial sites happen. providing medical care for patients of various y We highlight a handful of innovative com- ethnicities and socioeconomic backgrounds. panies whose software and other technol- For example, Black people are about 5% of ogy promote diversity and accessibility in all patients enrolled in U.S. Food and Drug clinical trial enrollment and participation. Administration (FDA) registered clinical trials but represent about 13% of the U.S. popula- y Digital biomarkers, developed using digital tion. Adequate representation of population technologies that make it possible to effi- diversity in trials is important given a review ciently collect and manage large volumes of 167 new molecular entities approved by of high-quality patient data across dis- the FDA between 2008-2013 showed ap- persed geographies and expansive time- proximately 20% had racial or ethnic differ- lines, are particularly important in achiev- ences in safety, efficacy and response. Trial ing diversity and represent an area seeing diversity becomes particularly important substantial development, transactions and when it comes to COVID-19, which affects investment. patients disproportionately relative to ethnic- ity, age and economic background. December 23, 2020 1 First Analysis
TABLE 1: Minority underrepresentation in clinical trials BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICANS HISPANIC OR LATINO ORIGIN 13.4% 5% 18.1% 1% of the U.S. of clinical trial of the U.S. of clinical trial population population population population (Source: U.S. Census) (Source: FDA) (Source: U.S. Census) (Source: FDA) Source: Clinical Research Pathways. In November, the FDA released new industry Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) recently guidance titled “Enhancing the Diversity of published its first-ever industrywide princi- Clinical Trial Populations – Eligibility Crite- ples on clinical trial diversity, a new chapter ria, Enrollment Practices, and Trial Designs.” in the already existing “Principles on Conduct The guidance documents provide sponsors of Clinical Trials & Communication of Clini- with a framework on how to broaden eligi- cal Trial Results.” The new chapter focuses bility criteria to increase trial enrollment of on four key principles: 1) Building Trust and underrepresented populations. In addition to Acknowledging Past Wrongs, 2) Reducing the FDA, the Pharmaceutical Research and Barriers to Clinical Trial Access, 3) Using Re- TABLE 2: Model pathway for trial enrollment process CANCER DIAGNOSIS Clinic access Clinical visit Structural Demographic and socioeconomic status Assessment of Trial available No trial available trial availability Assessment of Clinical patient eligibility Patient eligible Patient ineligible for available trial Discussion of trial participation with Trial discussed Trial not discussed physician Attitudinal (physician) Trial participation Trial offered Trial not offered offered/not offered Attitudinal Patient agrees to Patient declines to Patient decision (patient) participate participate Source: www.fightcancer.org December 23, 2020 2 First Analysis
al-World Data to Enhance Information on Di- care professionals to dispense investigational verse Populations Beyond Product Approval, drugs and help ensure medication adherence and 4) Enhancing Information About Diversity and compliance. In June, the company part- and Inclusion in Clinical Trial Participation. nered with Thrifty White Pharmacy, whose central fill pharmacy is accredited and li- censed in all 50 states, to provide sponsors TECHNOLOGY VENDORS PROVIDE TOOLS FOR with expanded access to diverse patient pop- ulations who may be geographically excluded THE TASK by the traditional trial site model. Understanding that proactive patient-cen- Matrix Medical Network leverages its net- tric strategies are needed to identify and work of more than 3,000 clinicians and its enroll suitable patients expected to benefit fleet of mobile health clinics to remove geo- from a drug’s approval, eClinical technology graphic barriers by providing mobile trial vendors – companies that combine technol- access to high-risk and vulnerable popula- ogy, applications, and services to automate tions. In October, the company announced as clinical trial data collection, management and part of Operation Warp Speed and in collab- analysis and to automate other aspects of oration with Fred Hutchinson Cancer Re- clinical trials – are focused on making sure search Center it would provide 20 academic their solutions and services promote diversity medical centers with mobile health clinics and accessibility. For example, one innovative to increase access to the investigational company providing a differentiated patient COVID-19 vaccine trials with a focus on those engagement solution aimed at loosening the populations most affected by the virus. bottleneck of recruit- ment and enrollment is Ripple Science. DIGITAL BIOMARKERS PROMOTE INCLUSION AND Ripple’s CRM-based platform for starting ENHANCE STUDY QUALITY up studies trans- forms site-level data into patient profiles to Digital biomarkers are patient-generat- help ensure enrollment and retention. In July, ed physiological and behavioral measures Ripple partnered with Lakeside Life Science collected through connected digital tools to quickly recruit and track patients from (hardware and software) that can be used small, underserved communities to clinically to explain diseases, influence fitness be- validate Medsential’s point-of-care COVID-19 havior, predict drug response and anticipate antibody test. health-related outcomes. The emergence of digital technologies including smartphones RxE2 and Matrix Medical Network are two and connected wearables like the Apple other notable companies we recently spoke Watch provides clinical trial sponsors with with that are using unique engagement the means to generate significant amounts of models to overcome lo- patient-level data measured at frequent inter- gistical challenges to trial vals between site visits. These technologies accessibility and diversity. can be applied well beyond the duration of RxE2 focuses on leveraging the trial itself, spanning the product life cycle the close relationship be- from research and development to product tween patients and pharmacists to improve launch to disease management and providing trial recruitment, retention and outcomes by opportunities to develop novel endpoints and having pharmacies be trial sites. Accord- supplemental data that may improve the case ing to the company’s CEO, Gerald Finken, for therapies’ regulatory and reimbursement pharmacies and pharmacists are significant approvals. untapped resources for trial sponsors given 90% of the U.S. popu- As COVID-19 grinds on, demand for digital lation lives within two biomarkers in clinical research has been miles of a pharmacy. robust as drug sponsors and clinical research Finken noted phar- organizations increasingly turn to digital macies are ideally technology vendors for tools that enable situated and filled with pharmacists whose them to get trials up and running, keep trials skills and expertise make them ideal health- going, and keep patients safe despite the December 23, 2020 3 First Analysis
TABLE 3: COVID-19 decompensation index Source: PhysIQ. pandemic’s disruptions. Further, the ubiquity, allows for more representative populations ease of use, relatively low cost, and broad to be included, which according to the FDA’s connectivity of the underlying smartphones, Patient Engagement Advisory Committee is other connected devices, and networks that important as different populations who suffer collect digital biomarkers make it possible from Parkinson’s disease may exhibit differ- for bigger, more underrepresented and more ent symptoms. The study is expected to be remote populations to take part in clinical completed by May 2022. Once validated, the trials. We believe this creates new opportu- biomarkers are expected to be used to help nities to increase trial diversity and accessi- assess other movement and mobility disor- bility with digital biomarkers. For example, in ders. September the National Cancer Institute and the National Institute of Biomedical Imaging Overall, the market for and Bioengineering of the National Institutes digital-biomarker-enabled of Health awarded PhysIQ companies has been a contract to develop an strong, encouraging more artificial-intelligence-based companies to consolidate COVID-19 Decompensation or raise capital. This is Index (CDI) digital biomark- evident in a recent wave of er to address the rapid decline of high-risk M&A and financing activ- COVID-19 patients. The study is designed to ity in the space, including capture data from a large, diverse population Medidata’s (a subsidiary of to investigate CDI performance differences Dassault Systèmes, Paris: among subgroups based on sex, gender, DSY) recent acquisition racial and ethnic characteristics. of MC10’s digital biomark- er business, ArchiMed’s In another example, Brain Baseline is de- acquisition of Actigraph, veloping digital biomarkers for Parkinson’s ERT’s acquisition of APDM disease through the Watch-PD clinical trial and recent merger with sponsored by the Bioclinica, AliveCor’s $65 University of Roch- million Series E financing, ester in collabora- Evidation Health’s $45 mil- tion with Biogen lion Series D financing, and Koneska Health’s and Takeda. In our view, the observational $16 million Series B financing. study’s hybrid design (in-clinic and at-home) December 23, 2020 4 First Analysis
BETTER VALUE FOR ALL By providing tools that enable therapeutic companies to efficiently understand and optimize how their products affect all pos- sible target populations, eClinical technolo- gy companies help life science innovations reach every potential beneficiary, maximizing the value society and the economy derive from our rapidly advancing understanding of human biology. December 23, 2020 5 First Analysis
Commercialization and eClinical indices continue recovery The First Analysis Commercialization Index eClinical index continued to perform more appreciated 38% between Dec. 20, 2019, and in line with the S&P 500 over the one-year Dec. 18, 2020, and the First Analysis eClin- period through Dec. 18, the commericializa- cial Index appreciated 21%. For the one-year tion index performed more in line with the period ending in June, both indexes per- faster-appreciating Nasdaq over the past formed similarly to the S&P 500. While the year. eClinical/commercialization public comparables* ($ in millions) Revenue growth Enterprise value / LTM LTM Revenue EBITDA1 LTM 2019A- 2020E gross EBITDA Company revenue 2020E -2021E margin margin 2020E 2021E 2020E 2021E Commercialization Clarivate (CCC) $1,053.5 30.8% 41.7% 67.0% 31.2% 15.73x 11.10x 41.1x 24.8x Informa (INF) $3,099.6 (42.5%) 25.7% 38.9% 24.9% 6.10x 4.86x 29.5x 16.1x Model N (MODN) $161.1 13.0% 8.1% 59.3% (0.7%) 7.36x 6.81x NMF NMF OptimizeRx Corp. (OPRX) $34.3 54.4% 27.7% 58.3% (6.7%) 11.28x 8.83x NMF NMF PaySign (PAYS) $26.6 (30.1%) 78.7% 40.0% (14.3%) 10.41x 5.83x NMF 29.5x Phreesia (PHR) $139.7 17.4% 23.3% 65.1% (8.9%) 14.96x 12.14x NMF NMF UDG Healthcare (UDG) $1,279.2 (2.4%) 2.8% 31.1% 14.5% 2.21x 2.15x 13.5x 12.3x Veeva Systems (VEEV) $1,379.8 31.2% 18.6% 71.8% 26.9% 27.77x 23.41x NMF NMF Wolters Kluwer (WKL) $5,750.3 0.8% 1.5% 70.5% 29.6% 4.41x 4.35x 15.0x 14.6x Average $1,436.0 8.1% 25.3% 55.8% 10.7% 11.14x 8.83x 24.8x 19.5x Median $1,053.5 13.0% 23.3% 59.3% 14.5% 10.41x 6.81x 22.2x 16.1x eClinical Certara (CERT) $232.7 0.0% 0.0% 62.3% 31.7% 0.00x 0.00x NMF 0.0x Cogstate (CGS) $23.7 0.0% 0.0% 42.6% (4.4%) 0.00x 0.00x NMF 0.0x Dassault Systèmes (DSY) $5,400.6 10.8% 9.1% 82.8% 22.6% 9.96x 9.13x 30.9x 27.4x ICON (ICLR) $2,762.5 (0.5%) 12.6% 30.4% 17.0% 3.57x 3.18x 21.2x 18.0x IQVIA Holdings (IQV) $10,956.0 1.0% 11.7% 34.0% 16.2% 4.14x 3.71x 19.8x 16.8x PPD (PPD) $4,364.1 13.8% 10.6% 63.5% 16.7% 3.52x 3.19x 18.6x 16.5x PRA Health Sciences (PRAH) $3,110.1 2.3% 11.3% 48.6% 13.4% 2.87x 2.58x 18.5x 15.2x Schrödinger (SDGR) $100.9 31.4% 55.7% 59.5% (48.2%) 44.18x 28.37x NMF NMF Simulations Plus (SLP) $41.6 19.6% 21.0% 74.4% 34.7% 28.01x 23.16x NMF NMF Syneos Health (SYNH) $4,488.7 (5.2%) 15.8% 22.5% 12.6% 2.20x 1.90x 15.6x 13.1x Average $3,148.1 7.3% 14.8% 52.1% 11.2% 9.85x 7.52x 20.7x 13.4x Median $2,936.3 1.7% 11.5% 54.1% 16.5% 3.55x 3.18x 19.2x 15.9x Source: Capital IQ, First Analysis. Notes: * Public comparable company data shown above is as of Dec. 20, 2020. (1) EBITDA multiples less than 0 and greater than 50 labeled “NMF”. December 23, 2020 6 First Analysis
First Analysis eClinical/Commercialization Index 1-year performance eClinical Commercialization NASDAQ S&P 500 Index price1 Overall performance, % 50% Hundreds 40% 42.92% 36.54% 30% 20% 20.92% 15.16% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Enterprise value / LTM revenue1 10x 9x 8.68x 8x 7x 6x 5.05x 5x 4.87x 4x 3x 3.04x 2x 1x 0x Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Source: Capital IQ. Notes: (1) eClinical/commercialization index performance is based on market cap weighted constituents. For the period from Dec. 20, 2019, through Dec. 18, 2020. All but two of the commercialization stocks The increase in stock prices helped drive the were up over the period. The two largest commercialization index’s enterprise value gainers were OptimizeRX (OPRX), up 173%, multiple of trailing-12-month revenue to 8.7, and Phreesia (PHR), up 110%. Veeva (VEEV), close to its high of 8.9 on Nov. 5 and up from which accounted for about 23% of the com- 6.3 the last time we reported the value of this mercialization index’s total market capitaliza- index in June. The eClinical index’s multiple tion on Dec. 20, 2019, and was up 94% in the increased to 5.1 from 4.2 in June. past year, accounted for nearly a fourth the index’s gain. Looking at enterprise value multiples of es- timated full-year 2020 revenue, the average All the eClinical stocks in the group were up and median multiples for the commercializa- over the period. The two largest gainers were tion group as of Dec. 20 were 11.1 and 10.4, Cogstate (CGS), up 181%, and Simulations up from 7.2 and 5.6 as of June 9, despite the Plus (SLP), up 87%. The largest eClinical average 2020 estimated growth rate decreas- index contributor was IQVIA, which account- ing from 9.3% to 8.1%. The largest multiple ed for about 30% of the eClinical index’s total increases were OptimizeRx, from 5.6 to 11.3, market capitalization on Dec. 20, 2019, and and Phreesia (PHR), from 8.1 to 15.0. For the was up 16% in the past year. eClinical group, the average and median mul- tiples were 9.9 and 3.6, up from 6.5 and 3.2 as of June 9, with the average estimated 2020 growth rate increasing from 2.6% to 7.3%. December 23, 2020 7 First Analysis
Pharma IT M&A rebounds in Q4 With 16 notable pharma IT transactions in the tise in imaging with ERT’s expertise in elec- fourth quarter through Dec. 20, M&A activity tronic clinical outcome assessment, cardiac has rebounded from the two-year quarterly safety, respiratory and wearables. low of six transactions in the third quarter but remains well below the two-year high of 32 Advarra acquired Longboat in late November transactions in the 2019 second quarter. We for an undisclosed amount. Longboat pro- highlight the following transactions with rel- vides clinical trial technologies focused on evance to our discussion of tools to achieve site training, protocol compliance, and pa- diversity in clinical trial participation. tient engagement. The addition of Longboat broadens Advarra’s suite of technology solu- In December, ERT, a leader in clinical end- tions for sites, biopharmaceutical companies, point data solutions, agreed to merge with and clinical research organizations. Bioclinica, a technological and scientific leader in clinical imaging, for an undisclosed Medidata acquired MC10’s digital biomarker amount. Bioclinica was a portfolio compa- business in late October for an undisclosed ny of private equity firm Cinven, which will amount. The addition of this business brings become a minority shareholder of ERT. The novel clinical analytics and biosensor capa- transaction will integrate Bioclinica’s exper- bilities to Medidata and enhances Medidata’s ability to integrate data from wearable sen- sors and help customers successfully virtual- ize clinical trials. 237 230 Pharma services M&A 1Q19 - 4Q201 205 206 202 198 ($ in millions) 182 151 # of transactions 32 29 28 $18.0 Avg. transaction size $13.3 $15.9 $15.8 $14.1$13.7 $1,143 26 $10.0 22 $9.6 $952 $901 17 16 $469 $411 6 $250 $77 $0 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 Total transaction size $538 $5,713 $1,233 $3,809 $1,876 $501 $0 $4,503 Source: Capital IQ, Pitchbook, First Analysis. Notes: (1) Average and total deal size only consider those deals with reported enterprise values. 4Q20 includes reported deals through Dec. 20. December 23, 2020 8 First Analysis
Select recent M&A transactions (sorted by date of announcement) ($ in millions) Enterprise EV/ Date Target Target business description Buyer value (EV) revenue 12/21/2020 Cytel Software and solutions for design, analysis, and imple- Astorg Partners; $1,000.0 NA mentation of clinical trials Nordic Capital 12/18/2020 BioTelemetry Provides monitoring services and digital population Philips (AMS: $2,842.7 6.64x (BEAT) health management for healthcare providers, medical PHIA) device manufacturing, and centralized core laboratory services for clinical research 12/14/2020 MS Clinical Offers clinical trials with specialization in oncology, Ergomed (LON: $25.0 0.80x Services neurology and rare diseases that support biopharma- ERGO) ceutical clients who conduct complex clinical trials in the most challenging disease states and patient populations 12/10/2020 Bioclinica Provider of technology-enabled services to contract Ares Capital $5,900.0 NA research organizations and pharmaceutical compa- (ARCC); Astorg; nies, supporting the development of new medical eResearch Tech- therapies globally nology; Nordic Capital; Novo 12/10/2020 Synteract Offers a complete range of clinical development and Syneos Health $400.0 8.07x consulting services in clinical operations, safety sur- (NAS: SYNH) veillance, bio-statistics, data management, medical monitoring and medical writing 12/7/2020 Everest Clinical Services include biostatistics and statistical program- Arlington Capital Undisclosed NA Research ming, clinical data management, medical coding, trial Partners subject randomization using interactive web-based response system, trial drug dispensing and inventory management, enabling clients to achieve drug and medical device development goals and maintain a high level of ethical and professional standards 12/3/2020 Trifecta Clinical Provider of a fully integrated training, safety and com- Annox; Arsenal; Undisclosed NA munication platform for pharmaceutical, biotech and Leonard Green clinical research organizations & Partners; MSD Capital; Novo; WIRB-Copernicus 12/1/2020 PCI Pharma Provider of integrated pharmaceutical development Kohlberg & Com- Undisclosed NA Services services to healthcare companies pany; Mubadala Development Co. 12/1/2020 PDCI Market Provides assistance to its clients regarding price reg- McKesson Can- Undisclosed NA Access ulations, public and private reimbursement strategies ada and submission as well as pharmaceutical policy and economic research projects 11/23/2020 Longboat Clinical trial software platform spanning patient recruit- Advarra Undisclosed NA ment through to study closeout. It serves investigators, site staff, patient, caregivers, and CRAs. 11/12/2020 Two Labs Provider of consultancy services for the pharmaceuti- Envision Pharma; $280.0 NA cal and biotechnology sectors GHO Capital; HarbourVest; Mubadala Invest- ment Company 11/11/2020 eStudySite Provider of outsourced clinical research services NaviMed Capital; Undisclosed NA intended to improve the process for bringing new med- Velocity Clinical icines to the global community Research 10/27/2020 Digital biomark- Wearable medical sensors Medidata Solu- Undisclosed NA er biz of MC10 tions 10/13/2020 Agnitio Digital sales tools intended to empower the life science BigTinCan (ASX: $3.6 2.23x sales force BTH) 10/2/2020 snapIoT Self-service clinical science platform designed to de- Covance Undisclosed NA centralize clinical trials 10/1/2020 ProPharma Provider of medical information, pharmacovigilance Odyssey Invest- Undisclosed NA Group and compliance consulting services ment Partners Average 4.43x Median 4.43x Source: Capital IQ, First Analysis. December 23, 2020 9 First Analysis
Q4 pharma IT private placements continue trend downward With 15 pharma IT private placements in the clinical trials, replacing siloed systems with fourth quarter through Dec. 20, the quarterly integrated digital tools, data and interfaces to pace of transactions in the sector appears accelerate trial execution. In connection with on track to hit a two-year low. Private place- the transaction, David Hartwig from Sapphire ment activity has trended downward since Ventures has joined the company’s board of the two-year high of 39 transactions in the directors. second quarter. We highlight two noteworthy fourth-quarter transactions involving technol- In December, Elligo Health Research re- ogies useful in ensuring clinical trial partici- ceived an undisclosed amount of Series D pant diversity. funding led by new investor Cerner (CERN). Elligo uses electronic health records and Medable raised $91 million in a Series C patient-physician relationships to help ensure round in mid-November led by new investor patients have access to clinical research as a Sapphire Ventures and including existing care option, engaging physicians and pa- investors GSR Ventures, PPD (PPD) and tients who otherwise would not participate in Streamlined Ventures. Medable’s digital clinical research and helping accelerate ther- platform streamlines design, recruitment, apeutic and diagnostic product development. retention and data quality for decentralized 237 230 Pharma services private placements 1Q19 - 4Q201 205 206 202 198 ($ in millions) 182 $95.0 151 # of transactions 39 39 $18.0 Avg. transaction size 37 $15.9 $15.8 $13.3 $14.1$13.7 $9.6 $10.0 $67.5 24 25 23 23 15 $23.9 $20.4 $17.1 $14.7 $15.4 $4.8 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 Total transaction size $273 $265 $76 $432 $2,659 $789 $408 $743 Source: Capital IQ, Pitchbook, First Analysis. Notes: (1) Average and total deal size only consider those deals with reported enterprise values. 4Q20 includes reported deals through Dec. 20. December 23, 2020 10 First Analysis
Select recent private placements (sorted by date of announcement) ($ in millions) Total Amount amount Date Company Business description Investors Raise type raised raised 12/18/2020 Pear Software-based digital therapeutics 5AM Ventures; Arbo- Later Stage $112.0 $251.0 Therapeutics platform designed to treat disease and retum; CrimsoNox; VC enhance the efficacy via prescription EDBI; Forth Manage- digital therapeutics ment; JAZZ Venture; Novartis 12/10/2020 Tempus Labs Health care data analytics platform Baillie Gifford; Franklin Later Stage $450.0 $1,070.0 designed to improve patient outcomes Templeton; GV; Novo; VC T. Rowe Price 12/8/2020 Elligo Health Clinical research platform designed to Cerner (CERN) Later Stage Undis- $41.0 Research revolutionize research by eliminating VC closed the barriers that contribute to study delays and budget overruns 12/4/2020 Circuit Clinical Integrated research organization that KMG Capital; Launch Later Stage $4.7 $12.9 optimizes the clinical research experi- NY; Western New VC ence York Venture Associ- ation 12/3/2020 Clinical Ink eSource technology designed to revo- McKesson Ventures PE Growth/ Undis- $17.5 lutionize clinical research by eliminat- Expansion closed ing paper source documents 12/2/2020 Kayentis Electronic clinical outcome assess- Bpifrance; Extens; Later Stage $8.3 $25.8 ment (eCOA) technology designed to LBO France VC offer new perspectives to speed up clinical trials 11/20/2020 Precision Clinical research organization special- Berkshire Partners; PE Growth/ Undis- $350.0 Medicine Group ized in the field of precision medicine Oak HC/FT; The Expansion closed Blackstone Group; TPG Growth; Vida Ventures 11/19/2020 Medable Decentralized trial platform designed GSR Ventures; Phar- Later Stage $91.0 $142.6 to get effective therapies to patients maceutical Product VC faster Development (PPD); Sapphire Ventures; Streamlined Ventures 11/10/2020 COTA Healthcare informatics and precision Baptist Health South PE Growth/ $44.0 $115.7 analytics software designed to improve Florida; Boston Mil- Expansion the lives of cancer patients lennia Partners; EW Healthcare Partners; Horizon Blue Cross Blue Shield of New Jersey; ONC Capital 11/6/2020 ArborMetrix Provides clinical performance analytics Invest Detroit Ven- Later Stage $12.8 $30.3 tools designed to improve the delivery tures VC of healthcare outcomes through data science 11/5/2020 Unlearn Platform designed to accelerate clinical 8VC; Alumni Ven- Early Stage $15.0 $20.0 trials with artificial intelligence tures Group; Data VC Collective; DCVC Bio; Eisai Ventures; EPIC Ventures; Mubadala Capital-Ventures 10/26/2020 MD Biosciences Provider of preclinical, translational and Great Point Partners; Buyout/ Undis- Undis- clinical-phase contract research ser- MLM Medical Labs LBO closed closed vices for the development of pharma- ceutical and diagnostic assets 10/23/2020 Subjectwell Patient recruitment platform designed Geekdom Fund Later Stage $1.8 $17.5 to deliver highly qualified referrals for VC clinical trials 10/22/2020 Jeeva Biotechnology platform intended to Center for Innovative Seed Round $0.2 $0.4 Informatics transform thinking about research, de- Technology velopment, and commercialization December 23, 2020 11 First Analysis
Select recent private placements (sorted by date of announcement) ($ in millions) Total Amount amount Date Company Business description Investors Raise type raised raised 10/13/2020 rMark Bio Business intelligence software de- CerraCap Ventures Early Stage $2.8 $4.5 signed to accelerate innovation, collab- VC oration and scientific discovery for life sciences Source: Capital IQ, Pitchbook, First Analysis. December 23, 2020 12 First Analysis
December 23, 2020 eClinical/commercialization public comparables appendix* ($ in millions) Revenue growth Enterprise value / LTM LTM Revenue EBITDA1 Market Enterprise LTM 2019A- 2020E gross EBITDA Company cap value revenue 2020E -2021E margin margin 2020E 2021E 2020E 2021E Commercialization Clarivate (CCC) $18,615.0 $20,049.0 $1,053.5 30.8% 41.7% 67.0% 31.2% 15.73x 11.10x 41.1x 24.8x Informa (INF) $10,798.1 $13,686.8 $3,099.6 (42.5%) 25.7% 38.9% 24.9% 6.10x 4.86x 29.5x 16.1x Model N (MODN) $1,284.9 $1,202.4 $161.1 13.0% 8.1% 59.3% (0.7%) 7.36x 6.81x NMF NMF OptimizeRx Corp. (OPRX) $440.0 $428.4 $34.3 54.4% 27.7% 58.3% (6.7%) 11.28x 8.83x NMF NMF PaySign (PAYS) $255.6 $252.5 $26.6 (30.1%) 78.7% 40.0% (14.3%) 10.41x 5.83x NMF 29.5x Phreesia (PHR) $2,413.9 $2,192.4 $139.7 17.4% 23.3% 65.1% (8.9%) 14.96x 12.14x NMF NMF UDG Healthcare (UDG) $2,707.1 $2,846.2 $1,279.2 (2.4%) 2.8% 31.1% 14.5% 2.21x 2.15x 13.5x 12.3x Veeva Systems (VEEV) $41,760.6 $40,229.2 $1,379.8 31.2% 18.6% 71.8% 26.9% 27.77x 23.41x NMF NMF Wolters Kluwer (WKL) $22,334.4 $25,090.9 $5,750.3 0.8% 1.5% 70.5% 29.6% 4.41x 4.35x 15.0x 14.6x Average $11,178.8 $11,775.3 $1,436.0 8.1% 25.3% 55.8% 10.7% 11.14x 8.83x 24.8x 19.5x Median $2,707.1 $2,846.2 $1,053.5 13.0% 23.3% 59.3% 14.5% 10.41x 6.81x 22.2x 16.1x eClinical Certara (CERT) $5,582.8 $5,977.9 $232.7 0.0% 0.0% 62.3% 31.7% 0.00x 0.00x NMF 0.0x Cogstate (CGS) $148.9 $143.1 $23.7 0.0% 0.0% 42.6% (4.4%) 0.00x 0.00x NMF 0.0x 13 Dassault Systèmes (DSY) $51,623.5 $54,232.0 $5,400.6 10.8% 9.1% 82.8% 22.6% 9.96x 9.13x 30.9x 27.4x ICON (ICLR) $10,248.4 $9,975.4 $2,762.5 (0.5%) 12.6% 30.4% 17.0% 3.57x 3.18x 21.2x 18.0x IQVIA Holdings (IQV) $34,585.4 $46,363.4 10,956.0 1.0% 11.7% 34.0% 16.2% 4.14x 3.71x 19.8x 16.8x PPD (PPD) $12,346.3 $16,163.4 $4,364.1 13.8% 10.6% 63.5% 16.7% 3.52x 3.19x 18.6x 16.5x PRA Health Sciences (PRAH) $7,860.9 $9,007.0 $3,110.1 2.3% 11.3% 48.6% 13.4% 2.87x 2.58x 18.5x 15.2x Schrödinger (SDGR) $5,549.2 $4,962.5 $100.9 31.4% 55.7% 59.5% (48.2%) 44.18x 28.37x NMF NMF Simulations Plus (SLP) $1,314.6 $1,199.5 $41.6 19.6% 21.0% 74.4% 34.7% 28.01x 23.16x NMF NMF Syneos Health (SYNH) $7,175.7 $9,772.8 $4,488.7 (5.2%) 15.8% 22.5% 12.6% 2.20x 1.90x 15.6x 13.1x Average $13,643.6 $15,779.7 $3,148.1 7.3% 14.8% 52.1% 11.2% 9.85x 7.52x 20.7x 13.4x Median $7,518.3 $9,389.9 $2,936.3 1.7% 11.5% 54.1% 16.5% 3.55x 3.18x 19.2x 15.9x Source: Capital IQ. Notes: * Public comparable company data shown above is as of Dec. 20, 2020. (1) EBITDA multiples less than 0 and greater than 50 labeled “NMF”. First Analysis
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