Pandemic Commentary & Questions Edition #6 - Wsimg.com

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Pandemic Commentary & Questions Edition #6 - Wsimg.com
March 27, 2021

                        Pandemic Commentary & Questions
                                   Edition #6

Crystal Mundy | PhD Student                                                             Isolation Day #379

                                                                          Case & Test Update
Variants of                          Question: Since the last weekly
                                     update, British Columbia has only
                                                                          Friday, March 26th
                                                                          6,245 active cases
Concern                              used 16,587 tests of their 2.6
                                     million rapid test supply. Why are   908 new cases
                                                                          294 in hospital
                                     these tests not being used in
Friday, March 26th                   long-term care, acute care, and      81 in ICU (separate from
1,666 cases B.1.1.7 (U.K.)           childcare/school settings, where     above)
47 cases B.1.351 (South Africa)      they have been proven to be          3 deaths (total: 1,449 losses)
199 cases of the P.1 (Brazil)        useful in minimizing exposures       9,996 under monitoring
1,912 total variant cases            and reducing what could be
                                     potentially chronic health issues    Of the 908 new cases in BC, it
On Wednesday, another 140            in adults and children?              is unknown how many were
new variant cases were                                                    children, as BCCDC did not
detected. Out of the total           Rapid Tests                          provide this information as
variant cases, 258 cases             Deployed in BC: 338,032              they usually do on the
remain active.                       Shipped to BC: 2,654,426             dashboard. This is concerning.

Despite Public Health reporting
199 P.1 (Brazil) cases, a CTV
News article revealed that a
single team of researchers at
St. Paul’s hospital has identified
                                     The 2021 BC Parent Survey was        2021 BC
                                     developed by parents for parents
at least 215 of the P.1 variant
through their screening; this is a
                                     from British Columbia. Our goal is
                                     to gather current data regarding
                                                                          PARENT
vast discrepancy from what
Public Health has reported.
                                     your experience as a parent and
                                     create a transparent open data
                                                                          SURVEY
                                     set. Aggregated data and the         The multilingual survey is
On March 25th, 2021, Dr.             descriptive information from the     available in in Arabic,
Bonnie Henry stated, “The P.1        data, will be openly provided on
                                                                          Traditional Chinese
we've been seeing primarily in       the website
                                                                          (Mandarin), English, French,
Vancouver Coastal, but we've         www.bcparentinfo.com. Other
                                                                          German, Korean, Punjabi,
also had a couple of clusters in     clinicians, researchers, and
                                     experts in British Columbia, and     Spanish, and Tagalog.
Fraser Health and (a couple) in
                                     beyond, will be able to access
the Interior.” This means we are                                          Click here to see the survey.
                                     and utilize the data to help us
seeing community transmission
                                     further understand the impacts of
of this variant.                     COVID-19.
Breaking
                                         On March 26th, 2021, a CTV         On March 26th, 2021, on the radio
                                         News article identified that       show BC Today, a B.C. doctor
                                         deaths from Covid-19 among         reported that his last three severe

Down the                                 people under 40 in B.C. have
                                         doubled since early February.
                                                                            patients with Covid-19 in the ICU
                                                                            were between the ages of 30-45.

Cases
                                         Despite this, Public Health has    When asked where these individuals
                                         not widely acknowledged the        thought they had contracted the
                                         link between the variants and      disease, the doctor noted that all
                                         increasing cases about younger     three people stated they were sure
                                         people. This has been warned       they contracted the virus through
                                         about for months by other          their children, who were attending
                                         countries. Further, Ontario and    school.
                                         Quebec are now experiencing
                                         healthcare system overloads        Concern: Spring Break ends on
                                         (without mass introduction of      Monday. There is no plan to reduce
                                         the P.1 variant of concern).       community transmission.

Fraser Health: + 438 new cases                                               ARISING VARIANTS
Interior Health: + 43 new cases
Northern Health: + 78 new cases                                              A new variant within India has a
Vancouver Coastal Health: + 294 new cases                                    double mutation.
Vancouver Island Health: + 55 new cases
Outside Canada: 0 new case                                                   On March 25th, 2021, researchers
                                                                             found evidence of the so-called
1st dose (partial immunity): 463,390 people                                  “California variants,” B.1.427 and
2nd dose (full immunity): 87,233 people                                      B.1.429, in virus samples of
Population: ~5 million                                                       Western New Yorkers who tested
                                                                             positive in January.
British Columbia has fully vaccinated 1.7% of their population.
Effective vaccine-based herd immunity with the variants of concern will      The California variants are 20%
likely require 80 – 90% for community protection.                            more transmissible than the SARS-
                                                                             CoV-2 strain. The treatments
                                                                             developed for COVID-19 are
                                                                             reported to have a reduced
REMAINING QUESTIONS                                                          effectiveness against this branch
                                                                             of variants.
Concern: A study by UBC and SFU            Question: Issues scheduling
showed that a single dose of the           vaccines are still being          A new coronavirus variant that may
vaccine produces a weaker antibody         reported in places such as        partially evade vaccine-triggered
response in long-term care residents       Northern Health. How do BC        immunity and was first spotted in
than it does in younger healthy            citizens know that vaccine        New York (B.1.526) is already in
adults. It seems incredibly risky and      distribution will be effective    Britain, health chiefs confirmed
irresponsible of public health to          when there have already           today. Scientists tracking the
open long-term care to unvaccinated        been several issues and this      constantly-evolving virus say three
visitors given this data has appeared      is with the small segment of      cases of the mutant strain have
in several jurisdictions prior to this     the population?                   been picked up in the UK.
study.
Media & Misinformation                                                     Important
                                                                           Voices
Despite clear evidence from scientists, researchers, and                   The concerning rise of P.1
epidemiologists across the globe, some media within British Columbia       variants within BC and the
have continued to follow the narrative of the Public Health Officer        refusal of the Public Health
without critically engaging with most of the material. Despite many        Office to react was
attempts by BC citizens to tell such media what the data are saying,       highlighted by Dr. Eric Feigl-
using the BCCDC’s own data, they have continued to support the             Ding on a recent CNN
notion that BC is somehow exceptional in its ability to manipulate         broadcast. Dr. Feigl Ding
Covid-19 to its will.                                                      stated “I want to even point
                                                                           out in British Columbia,
                                                                           Canada. British Columbia,
It is time to begin to hold the media accountable for the spreading of     Canada, you’d think furthest
misinformation. If they are supporting statements made by the Public       place there is from Brazil. It
Health Office without evidence, tell them that and provide the             has one of the outbreaks and
evidence. However, we are now in a critical time. If there are media       pockets of P.1. There is more
members that are actively engaging in misinformation spread, they          P.1 per day in BC Canada
need to be reported to the CRTC.                                           than all of the US combined
                                                                           cumulatively. And that’s just
                                                                           really scary. This P.1 variant
Clause 5 (News), Subsection (1), of the Canadian Association of            that’s highly contagious is
Broadcasters’ Code of Ethics (2002) states that, “(1) It shall be the      already in parts of the world.
responsibility of broadcasters to ensure that news shall be                And we have to wake up to
represented with accuracy and without bias. Broadcasters shall satisfy     this and stop it. And send aid
themselves that the arrangements made for obtaining news ensure            to Brazil now.”
this result. They shall also ensure that news broadcasts are not
editorial.”                                                                Dr. David Fisman, a noted
                                                                           Canadian epidemiologist from
                                                                           Toronto, has stated: “I think
As a reminder to all BC citizens, complaints regarding biases of media     probably the most important
members can be sent to the following organization. According to the        thing I could say from Toronto
website, if you have been unable to resolve a complaint directly with      is… masks in little kids in
your broadcaster, contact The Canadian Broadcast Standards Council:        schools have not been a big
http://cbsc.ca. If you see something unscientific, say something. We       deal at all. They were very
are all part of the battle of misinformation in this pandemic. This does   contentious, and a lot of
not have to be anything other than asking someone to cite their            public health units did not
sources if they have a large audience; as a community we must act          want to do them. In the end,
                                                                           we have all wound up
together and keep our population informed with data-driven and
                                                                           masked. It has undoubtedly
research-based information.                                                helped keep schools safer
                                                                           and it has been a non-issue.
CRTC Contact Info                                                          The kids do not even notice
Fax: 613-233-4826                                                          them, and I think the little
Telephone: 613-233-4607                                                    boys love wearing masks with
Toll-free: 1-866-696-4718                                                  fangs.”
Return to School!                                                          Mask Mandate
                                                                           in Schools
As we all know, the return to school from Spring Break is Monday,
March 29th, 2021. As of the time of writing this newsletter, there has     Please read the online article
been no mask mandate created within British Columbia. This is the          on www.MedicineMatters.ca
minimal level of protection that teachers, educators, staff should be      that I published with regard to
afforded. We are seeing record levels of cases once again across the       mask mandates within
province, and many individuals expressed travelling and visiting with      schools.
other families during the period of Spring Break.
                                                                           As noted in the article, given
                                                                           the research support for the
This may set British Columbia up for a potential disaster. We have seen    use of masks to reduce
in many other countries, that school-children and parents are              COVID-19 transmission in
increasingly becoming infected with the new variants of concern. This      schools, it remains unclear
is also occurring within British Columbia, despite Dr. Bonnie Henry’s      why those tasked to protect
clear goal to refuse outwardly acknowledging this.                         children and ensure equity
                                                                           among districts would not
                                                                           engage in obvious steps to
Dr. Bonnie Henry revealed at the press conference on Thursday, March
                                                                           mitigate risks to children and
25th, 2021, that the P.1 variant has spread in at least three areas:       their families in our school
Vancouver Coastal Health, Interior Health, and Fraser Health. There is     communities.
still limited to no information provided on where these cases are, or
who is primarily being infected and exposed.                               Multiple statements have
                                                                           been made regarding mask
I will share one story from a teacher I spoke to over Spring Break. This   wearing potentially impairing
teacher reached out to me and told me that they have tested positive       students’ mental health and
                                                                           wellness. These statements
for Covid-19; they also are certain they were infected at school given
                                                                           are incorrect, and without
their lifestyle. Despite this, they were repeatedly told by the contact    substance, in my opinion.
tracers that they must not have been infected at school, and it must       Where is the proof that
have taken place elsewhere. The exposure was dated to the weekend,         masks compromise mental
and the school was not informed.                                           health and wellness? In
                                                                           countries around the world,
I share this because we truly do not understand the situation regarding    children wear masks for long
the variants in BC right now, nor how impacted schools currently are.      periods during influenza
                                                                           season.
Given this, we will likely not receive more information if the variants
begin to impact the school. Please stay safe, keep your kids home on
Monday if you can wait and see how high the cases are in your area
while we discover where the variant clusters are.
Final
Thoughts
                                                                                       Graph by David Walsh.

We Need Change Now!
Citizens in British Columbia have been left in an untenable position.
With Spring Break ending, record-breaking case numbers, rising
community transmission of the P.1 (Brazil) variant, and the re-opening
of several activities, it is unclear how safe it is in British Columbia right
now, as the data are incomplete. Public Health did not call a press
conference despite the horrendous position we find our province in              CALL TO ACTION
within the Covid-19 pandemic. Please stay home if you can in the next
two weeks while the pandemic shifts into the third wave. We know not            1. BC COVID Tracker Facebook is
everyone can. We see you. We care. Be safe.                                        now tracking data related to
                                                                                   Covid-19 transmission within
                                                                                   school settings. Please contact
                                                                                   and report if you have had
                                                                                   such an experience. Accurate
                                                                                   data is so important for future
                                                                                   pandemic decision making!
                                                                                2. Complete the parent survey
                                                                                   and send along to 5 other
                                                                                   parents or teachers. This will
                                                                                   greatly help our exposure and
                                                                                   we want to hear as many
                                                                                   voices as possible before the
                                                                                   survey concludes at the end of
                                                                                   April.
                                                                                3. Teachers are starting to be
                                                                                   vaccinated. Despite this good
                                                                                   news, it is well-known that the
                                                                                   vaccinations take 2 – 3 weeks
                                                                                   for peak effectiveness. This
                                                                                   means that teachers and other
                                                                                   educators will not be
The above graph by Jens von Bergmann (Mountain Math), shows the                    maximally protected upon
trajectory British Columbia is on. This is updated to Thursday, as                 return. Please have your child
BCCDC did not provide an update on Friday, March 26th, 2021.                       always wear a mask in the
                                                                                   classroom upon return.
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