OUTCOMES OF SARS-COV-2 INFECTION IN PATIENTS WITH CELIAC DISEASE: A MULTICENTER RESEARCH NETWORK STUDY
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ORIGINAL ARTICLE Annals of Gastroenterology (2022) 35, 1-5 Outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with celiac disease: a multicenter research network study Yousaf Bashir Hadia, Amir Humza Sohailb, Dhairya A. Lakhanic, Syeda Fatima Naqvia, Justin T. Kupeca, Asad Perveza West Virginia University, Morgantown; NYU Langone, Long Island, Mineola, NY, USA Abstract Background Celiac disease (CD) is associated with an increased risk for respiratory infections and severe outcomes. No data have been reported in the scientific literature regarding the outcomes of COVID-19 in this population. The aim of this study was to report matched clinical outcomes in a large cohort of 930 patients with COVID-19 in the setting of known CD. Methods Analysis of a multicenter research network TriNETX was performed, including COVID-19 patients aged more than 16 years. Outcomes of COVID-19-positive patients with concurrent CD were compared with a propensity-matched cohort of patients without CD. Results A total of 341,499 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection were identified on the research network: 930 (0.27%) with CD and 340,569 (99.73%) without CD. In the 30- and 60-day periods post SARS-CoV-2 infection, 12 (1.29%) and 13 (1.40%) deaths, respectively, were reported in the CD group. Fewer patients in the CD group reached the composite outcome of either mechanical ventilation or mortality at 60 days (risk ratio 0.58, 95% confidence interval 0.36-0.95). After propensity matching, no difference in clinical outcomes was observed. Conclusion Our data suggest that patients with CD are not at increased risk of COVID-19-related morbidity or mortality. Keywords SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, celiac disease, morbidity, mortality Ann Gastroenterol 2022; 35 (X): 1-5 Introduction in other immune-mediated conditions, such as inflammatory bowel disease [7]. In theory, this intrinsically high susceptibility, Celiac disease (CD) is a chronic immune-mediated gluten- compounded with malnutrition and immunosuppressive medical dependent enteropathy, with a global prevalence of 1.4% based on management, may put CD patients at risk of life-threatening serologic testing and 0.7% based on biopsy results [1]. It is associated disease in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic [8]. with an increased risk for sepsis, respiratory infections and severe As the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic evolves, it is paramount that outcomes with conditions such as pneumococcal disease [2], outcomes in commonly susceptible patient subpopulations be varicella zoster [3], and influenza [4,5]. There is some evidence to studied to allow risk stratification and guide therapy. However, there is suggest that this increased risk persists even among asymptomatic a paucity of scientific evidence regarding the outcomes of COVID-19 patients after adoption of a gluten-free diet [4,6]. Interestingly, in patients with CD. To address this gap, we analyzed the clinical this increased susceptibility results from the pathophysiology outcomes among a large cohort of 930 patients with COVID-19 in the of CD, rather than from immunosuppressive therapy, as seen setting of known CD. Outcomes were compared with a propensity- matched cohort of COVID-19 patients without CD. a Department of Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown (Yousaf Bashir Hadi, Syeda Fatima Naqvi, Justin T. Kupec, Asad Pervez); bDepartment of Surgery, NYU Langone, Long Island, Mineola, NY (Amir Humza Sohail); cDepartment of Radiology, West Virginia Patients and methods University, Morgantown (Dhairya A. Lakhani), USA Conflict of Interest: None Data source Correspondence to: Amir H. Sohail, MD, MSc, Department of Surgery, NYU Langone, Long Island, Mineola, 11501, USA, e-mail: amir.sohail@ A retrospective cohort study was conducted utilizing the multi- nyulangone.org institutional research network TriNETX (Cambridge, MA, USA) platform. TriNETX is a federated research network that includes Received 9 July 2021; accepted 15 November 2021; more than 40 healthcare organizations in the USA, providing published online 2 February 2022 real-time access to the healthcare records. It includes >40 million DOI: https://doi.org/10.20524/aog.2022.0691 patients from the healthcare organizations, in a de-identified © 2022 Hellenic Society of Gastroenterology www.annalsgastro.gr
2 Y.B. Hadi et al fashion. The data are directly retrieved from the electronic Time windows: Study outcomes were assessed at 30 and 60 days health record management systems (EHRs) of participating from the index event and included the day of the index event. organizations. These organizations are large academic centers that Baseline characteristics for patients were considered until the day operate both tertiary care and satellite outpatient office locations. of COVID-19 diagnosis or first positive COVID-19 test result. Clinical variables (facts) are derived directly through a built- in natural language processing system that extracts variables from Statistical analysis clinical documents. Robust quality assurance is achieved at the time of extraction from EHRs before inclusion in this database. This The TriNetX platform was used to conduct all analyses. interface only provides aggregate counts and statistical summaries The chi-square test and t-test were used for univariate analyses. to protect personal health information and ensures data remain Propensity score matching was performed 1:1 with age, de-identified at all levels of retrieval and dissemination. race, diabetes, hypertension, chronic lung diseases, nicotine TriNetX has received a waiver from Western IRB as it only dependence, heart failure, ischemic heart disease, body mass provides de-identified information. At our institution West index, and sex as covariates, and a propensity score-matched Virginia University Clinical and Translational Science Institute control group of patients without CD was identified. The 1:1 (WVU CTSI) manages the TriNetX platform and provides matching was performed based on the propensity scores generated access to the end-users. by using greedy nearest neighbor algorithms with a caliper width of 0.1 pooled standard deviations; further details are illustrated in Supplementary Table 1. The balance on covariates was assessed Patient selection using the standardized mean difference, and absolute values >0.1 were considered positive for residual imbalance. A 2-sided alpha of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 less than 0.05 was defined a priori for statistical significance. Risk coding guidance was used to identify COVID-19 cases. The ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision and Tenth for all analyses. The TriNetX platform utilizes input matrices of Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes and Logical user identified covariates and conducts logistic regression analysis Observation Identifiers Names and Codes codes for positive to obtain propensity scores for individual subjects. TriNetX laboratory tests were used. This search strategy has been used randomizes the order of rows in order to eliminate bias resulting previously in published data from the TriNetX. The codes are from nearest neighbor algorithms. illustrated in Supplementary Table 1. A real time search and analysis was conducted on the TriNetX platform and updated through Results February 1, 2021, to identify patients aged more than 16 years with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Patients were then classified into a CD Study population cohort and a non-CD cohort, based on a previous diagnosis of CD. This study method has been validated previously [9,10]. We identified a total of 341,499 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection on the research network: 930 (0.27%) with CD and 340,569 (99.73%) without CD. Baseline characteristics and Study duration associated comorbid conditions are presented in Table 1. Comorbidities, including hypertension, diabetes mellitus and Enrolment between January 20, 2020, and February 01, 2021 lower respiratory diseases, were more common in patients with was required for inclusion in the study cohort. January 20, 2020, was CD, as was Caucasian race and female sex (all P
Table 1 Comparison of baseline clinical characteristics in COVID-19 patients with and without celiac disease (CD) before and after propensity score matching Variable Before matching After matching CD cohort (n=930) Non-CD cohort P-value Standard CD cohort (n=930) Non-CD cohort (n=930) P-value Standard (n=340,569) difference difference Number Percentage Number Percentage Number Percentage Number Percentage or SD or SD or SD or SD Demographics Age (mean) 46.50 SD: 18.10 45.90 SD: 19.00 0.32 0.03 46.50 SD: 18.10 46.70 SD: 18.10 0.79 0.01 Male 230 24.73% 151,851 44.59% 0.001 0.43 230 24.73% 227 24.41% 0.87 0.01 Female 700 75.27% 187,410 55.03% 0.001 0.43 700 75.27% 701 75.38% 0.95 0.01 Body mass index ≥30 kg/m2 263 28.28% 58,170 17.08% 0.001 0.27 263 28.28% 268 28.82% 0.51 0.01 African American 39 4.19% 60,847 17.87% 0.001 0.45 39 4.19% 46 4.95% 0.43 0.04 Caucasian 808 86.88% 201,013 59.02% 0.001 0.66 808 86.88% 809 86.99% 0.94 0.01 Comorbidities Hypertension 323 34.73% 90,207 26.49% 0.001 0.18 323 34.73% 326 35.05% 0.88 0.01 Chronic lower respiratory 331 35.59% 52,471 15.41% 0.001 0.48 331 35.59% 340 36.56% 0.66 0.02 diseases 0.04 Diabetes mellitus 179 19.25% 45,712 13.42% 0.002 0.16 179 19.25% 166 17.85% 0.43 0.05 Ischemic heart disease 105 11.29% 26,589 7.81% 0.007 0.12 105 11.29% 92 9.89% 0.32 0.03 Nicotine dependence 97 10.43% 23,478 6.89% 0.002 0.13 97 10.43% 90 9.68% 0.58 SD, standard deviation Annals of Gastroenterology 34 SARS-CoV-2 and celiac disease 3
4 Y.B. Hadi et al 1.81) mortality, need for hospitalization (RR 1.00, 95%CI 0.75- Risk ratio (95%CI) 1.34), critical care requirements (RR 0.89, 95%CI 0.52-1.53), or 0.80 (0.38-1.70) 0.87 (0.42-1.81) 1.00 (0.75-1.34) 0.89 (0.52-1.53) 0.73 (0.38-1.38) 0.70 (0.37-1.31) 1.39 (0.84-2.27) acute renal failure (RR 1.39, 95%CI 0.84-2.27), as shown in Table 2. Discussion Our study shows that patients with CD do not have a significantly increased risk for worse outcomes, including mortality, Non-CD cohort (n=930) Percent need for hospitalization, critical care services and acute kidney 1.61 1.61 8.71 2.90 2.37 2.47 2.80 After matching injury. In fact, in the crude analysis, patients with CD were at lower risk of reaching the composite poor outcome at 60-day follow up (RR 0.58, 95%CI 0.36-0.95). This association did not hold true after propensity matching, which may indicate that the lower risk Number among CD patients was driven by a higher proportion of females 15 15 81 27 22 23 26 (75.27%) and Caucasians (86.88%) in the CD group, known to have better outcomes with COVID-19 [8,11]. It is noteworthy that only 10% of patients required hospitalization in the CD cohort. This is Percent CD cohort (n=930) 1.29 1.40 8.71 2.58 1.72 1.72 3.87 striking, given the well-documented evidence for worse outcomes with respiratory infections in CD patients [3,4,12]. As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to evolve, there Table 2 Clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients with and without celiac disease (CD) before and after propensity score matching Number is a dire need to identify risk factors for poor outcomes with 12 13 81 24 16 16 36 COVID-19 to optimize risk stratification for prevention, vaccine administration, surveillance and therapeutic measures, especially in high-risk populations. Evidence on outcomes of COVID-19 Risk ratio (95%CI) infection shows that patients with a weak immune system, 0.74 (0.42-1.30) 0.70 (0.41-1.21) 1.03 (0.83-1.27) 0.91 (0.61-1.35) 0.62 (0.38-1.01) 0.58 (0.36-0.95) 1.04 (0.75-1.43) such as the elderly population or those with multiple comorbid conditions, tend to have a higher case fatality rate [13]. Further, data show that transplant populations, especially patients on long-term immunosuppressive therapy, tend to have particularly worse outcomes with COVID-19 [9,14]. Thus, it could be argued theoretically that CD, with its baseline alterations in afflicted Non-CD cohort (n=340,569) individuals’ immune profile, immunosuppressive therapy, and Percent 1.75 2.00 8.48 2.84 2.78 2.95 3.74 other well-documented data on higher predisposition and poor outcomes with respiratory infections (e.g., pneumococcal Before matching pneumonia, tuberculosis, and influenza), should alter the disease course of COVID-19 in the CD population for the worse [2-5]. Interestingly, another postulation is that since the immune- Number 28,888 10,036 12,742 5,957 6,771 9,662 9,482 mediated cytokine response is primarily responsible for the damage resulting from COVID-19, CD patients, with their weaker immune systems, may fare better with COVID-19 infection [15]. Lionetti et al [15] and Zhen et al [16] found no increased risk for contracting COVID-19 in patients with CD. Likewise, Percent CD cohort (n=930) 1.29 1.40 8.71 2.58 1.72 1.72 3.87 Zingone et al conducted a cross-sectional study at the height of the pandemic in Italy and found that, among a cohort of 138 CD patients, none had been diagnosed with COVID-19 [17]. Number Data from Sweden also corroborate our findings: Lebwohl 12 13 81 24 16 16 36 et al showed that CD patients with COVID-19 were not at a significantly higher risk of hospitalization, severe COVID-19 or all-cause mortality [18]. Importantly, results from the Surveillance 30-day composite outcome 60-day composite outcome Epidemiology Under Research Exclusion for Celiac Disease Mortality within 30 days Mortality within 60 days (SECURE-CELIAC) [19], an international, de-identified database comprising 123 COVID-19 cases among patients with CD from 21 CI, confidence interval Acute renal injury Inpatient services countries, also noted comparable hospitalization (12%) and case Critical care fatality rates (2.5%) to the general population: 20% hospitalization rate [20,21] and 1-11% case fatality rate [22,23]. Variable Our study is one of the first to investigate the outcome of COVID-19 in patients with CD. Propensity matching and a Annals of Gastroenterology 34
SARS-CoV-2 and celiac disease 5 large cohort support the reliability of our results. Importantly, admission for influenza in patients with celiac disease: a nationwide the multicenter nature of our study also increased the cohort study in Sweden. Am J Gastroenterol 2010;105:2465-2473. heterogeneity in the included CD patient population, extending 5. Walters JRF, Bamford KB, Ghosh S. Coeliac disease and the risk of infections. Gut 2008;57:1034-1035. the generalizability of our conclusions. The major limitations of 6. Emilsson L, Lebwohl B, Green PH, Murray JA, Mårild K, Ludvigsson our study include biases inherent to studies based on electronic JF. Mucosal healing and the risk of serious infections in patients healthcare records, including misclassification bias. Residual with celiac disease. United European Gastroenterol J 2018;6:55-62. confounding from imprecisely measured and unmatched 7. Brenner EJ, Ungaro RC, Gearry RB, et al. Corticosteroids, but not variables, for instance physical activity, cannot be excluded. TNF antagonists, are associated with adverse COVID-19 outcomes In conclusion, our results show that patients with CD are in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases: results from an not at higher risk of short-term COVID-19 related morbidity international registry. Gastroenterology 2020;159:481-491. 8. Golestaneh L, Neugarten J, Fisher M, et al. The association of race or mortality. The clinical course of COVID-19 in CD patients and COVID-19 mortality. EClinicalMedicine 2020;25:100455. is not sufficiently worse to warrant a higher level of inpatient or 9. Hadi YB, Naqvi SFZ, Kupec JT, Sofka S, Sarwari A. Outcomes critical care services compared to COVID-19 patients without of COVID-19 in solid organ transplant recipients: a propensity- CD. However, further longitudinal studies investigating long- matched analysis of a large research network. 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Case-fatality rate and characteristics of patients dying in relation to COVID-19 in Italy. with COVID-19 JAMA 2020;323:1775-1776. • Celiac disease is associated with an increased risk 14. Bhoori S, Rossi RE, Citterio D, Mazzaferro V. COVID-19 in long- of infection and poor outcomes with respiratory term liver transplant patients: preliminary experience from an infections Italian transplant centre in Lombardy. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol • There are only limited data on outcomes of 2020;5:532-533. COVID-19 in patients with celiac disease 15. Lionetti E, Fabbrizi A, Catassi C. Prevalence of COVID-19 in Italian children with celiac disease: a cross-sectional study. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021;19:1075. What the new findings are: 16. Zhen J, Stefanolo JP, de la Paz Temprano M, et al. The risk of contracting COVID-19 is not increased in patients with celiac • The hospitalization rate for COVID-19 infection in disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021;19:391-393. 17. 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Supplementary material Supplementary Table 1 ICD 10 and LOINC codes used to identify study participants LOINC Codes Number LOINC codes Description 1 94533-7 SARS coronavirus 2 N gene [Presence] in Respiratory specimen by NAA with probe detection 2 94534-5 SARS coronavirus 2 RdRp gene [Presence] in Respiratory specimen by NAA with probe detection 3 41458-1 SARS coronavirus RNA [Presence] in Unspecified specimen by NAA with probe detection 4 94309-2 SARS coronavirus 2 RNA [Presence] in Unspecified specimen by NAA with probe detection 5 94531-1 SARS Coronavirus 2 RNA panel - Respiratory specimen by NAA with probe detection 6 94506-3 SARS coronavirus 2 IgM Ab [Units/volume] in Serum or Plasma by Immunoassay 7 94500-6 SARS coronavirus 2 RNA [Presence] in Respiratory specimen by NAA with probe detection 8 94315-9 SARS coronavirus 2 E gene [Presence] in Unspecified specimen by NAA with probe detection 9 94316-7 SARS-CoV-2 (COVID19) N gene [Presence] in Unspecified specimen by NAA with probe detection 10 94502-2 SARS-related coronavirus RNA [Presence] in Respiratory specimen by NAA with probe detection ICD 10 codes 1 K 90.0 Celiac disease 2 B34.2 Coronavirus infection, unspecified 3 U07.1 COVID-19, virus identified 4 J12.81 Pneumonia due to SARS-associated coronavirus 5 B97.29 Other coronavirus as the cause of diseases classified elsewhere ICD code 079.89 (Other specified viral infection) was excluded. This code is mapped to ICD-10 code B34.2 and B97.2, excluded to prevent false positives as it captures all code for many viral infections ICD, international classification of diseases; LOINC, logical observation identifiers names and codes
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