OUR SERVICE OFFERING FOR THE SPACE SECTOR - PWC FRANCE
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www.pwc.fr/space Our service offering for the Space sector Our expertise and service offering dedicated to public and private organisations evolving in the Space sector June 2018
Space as a holistic sector 2 Overview of the space sector 3 Segmentation of the value chain 4 A sector undergoing profound transformation 5 Our service offering 6 Our offer is based on five pillars tailored for each of the space domains 7 Our expertise in each space sector domain 8 Communications 10 Earth Observation 12 Navigation 14 Launchers 16 Space Situational Awareness 18 Space exploration 20 Cross-domain integrated applications 22 Contacts 24
Foreword Growing demands for global connectivity and environmental monitoring are challenges that can be met by appropriate exploitation of space-based assets. Beyond the community of institutional and private stakeholders directly involved in the sector, the wider space economy includes a larger intermediate and end user base, with a reach that extends to numerous industrial sectors. Space is widely recognised as a highly Seizing these opportunities is strategic sector for governments, indispensable to remaining competitive. businesses and citizens because it is vital The profound changes in the space sector to a wide array of services and also offer institutions and policy makers applications across numerous economic the chance to create the most appropriate sectors. conditions for market expansion, and to Historically, existing and expected successfully develop technology-driven benefits from investment in space have led national and regional economies. to a steady demand for space assets. With its dedicated Space Team, PwC offers Several nations have responded by tailored support to public and private launching initiatives to pool resources and entities in space policy, technology road- develop capabilities in space system Luigi Scatteia mapping, market assessment, strategy and production, operation and exploitation, PwC Space Practice economic impact assessment, to assist in and in the last few decades, private Leader their decision-making processes and investors have also shown significant approaches to developing space-related interest in space sector domains that have activities. traditionally been driven by public spending, such as space transportation The team leverages a cross-domain and Earth observation. In order to sectorial expertise that is paramount maximise the return on investment in when operating in a sector like Space, space assets, the sector’s stakeholders characterised by a one-of-a-kind market need to adapt to an environment that in and institutional dynamics and recent years has experienced profound specificities. change. At each level of the value chain, This document describes how PwC’s from space asset development to end-user expertise and service offering addresses exploitation, an understanding of the the needs of the wider space community. evolving landscape is pivotal to creating a PwC is committed to providing effective successful strategy. support to organisations and companies The sector’s transformation offers fresh across the entire space value chain, by opportunities to well-established working closely with our clients to define companies and new players, both from and implement appropriate and profitable within and from outside the space sector. strategies that enable them to thrive in a rapidly evolving sector. The figures presented in this document are based on available data as of September 2016, and are subject to change over time. The monetary values are shown in euros and, when necessary, were converted based on the average annual exchange rate.
Space as a holistic sector: From infrastructure to services 2 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
Overview of the space sector Definition sectors such as natural resource management, transport, health, were of Earth observation instruments, followed by technology The space sector includes all public agriculture, education, meteorology, payloads (tests and demonstrations) and private entities involved in the disaster management, insurance and and communication satellites. development, manufacturing, banking. Beyond these economic Despite representing less than 5% of operation and exploitation of space benefits, space is also an enabler of the launch events operated in 2016 systems and related infrastructure, social development and and 2017, cargo and crewed missions from innovative research activities environmental protection. Space to the International Space Station to the supply of products and applications have a strategic impact still accounted for around 30% of the services to end users. It therefore on the sustainable development of total payload mass launched into includes “pure” space players such as urban areas, preventing the spread space. space agencies and space technology of pollution and soil erosion, companies but also companies with optimising ground transportation, measuring the effectiveness of Space as an enabler a different core expertise (IT, electronics, media, etc.) that rely environmental policies, enabling The importance of the space sector is directly on space infrastructure. communication in remote areas, not in the data or imagery improving the safety of air transmitted through spacecraft, but The space sector is traditionally transportation and more. rather the industries and markets divided into the following main that they enable. Airlines, marine domains: • Communications Space activities transport companies, oil & gas or mining operations, agriculture, • Earth observation today environment, forestry and naturally • Navigation the military sector are all becoming • Space transportation Space activity has experienced increasingly reliant on space • Space Situation Awareness and significant growth since 2012. infrastructure. Data sets including Tracking Orbital launches have increased by satellite imagery and positioning • Science and human spaceflight 22% during the period, reaching 95 signals provide valuable insights for in 2017, operated mainly by Russia, Depending on its purpose or applications as varied as agriculture, the United States, China and Europe. application, space infrastructure can transport, smart city planning and The number of spacecraft launches be operated by civil or military emergency response. excluding nanosatellites (
Segmentation of the value chain The transformation of the space landscape has pushed operators in the sector to adopt a holistic approach, from space infrastructure down to end- user products and services. The competitive environment has changed and companies are adapting by expanding their footprint across the value chain through a series of horizontal and vertical integrations. 2016 Figures of the space economy per stream – CAGR calculated between 2012 and 2016 €92 bn / $102 bn €28 bn / $31 bn €187 bn / $207 bn Upstream (CAGR +1%) Midstream (CAGR +2%) Downstream (CAGR +2%) Commercial satellite market Operators revenues Space services €12 / $14 bn (CAGR -8 %) €19 / $21 bn (CAGR +2%) €95 / $105 bn (CAGR +3%) Launch market Ground infra. and op. Consumer equipment €5 / $5.5 bn (CAGR -7%) €9 / $10 bn (CAGR +1%) €92 / $102 bn (CAGR +2%) Institutional budgets €74 / $82 bn (CAGR +3% The structure of the The role of NewSpace: a recent space value chain institutional entities paradigm shift The space value chain is traditionally Historically, the space sector has The last few years have been marked composed of three activity streams: been almost exclusively driven by by the emergence of various private institutional demand, mainly by initiatives with innovative business “Upstream” includes activities that space agency spending. In the 1990s, models that are targeting the entire contribute to an operational space the privatisation of satellite value chain from upstream to system. It comprises the manufacture telecommunication operators downstream. These NewSpace of space infrastructure and related initiated the raise of commercial players are characterised by their subsystems and components, as well space activities, and although in tendency to move away from the as launch services, programme 2016 more than 80% of financial traditional approach of large, high management and additional activities investment still came from public performance spacecraft with strong provided by space agencies. institutions, since then the role of risk mitigation, manufactured, “Midstream” includes activities private companies has expanded operated and exploited by different related to satellite operation and the substantially. New private entities towards low-cost, easily lease or sale of satellite capacity and investment sources are more and replaceable satellites, launched in data. It also includes support more involved, and greater constellations. This vertically activities, such as user equipment responsibility is transferred to the integrated approach enables these manufacturing (i.e., dishes, industry (e.g., for launchers). players to focus on the downstream satphones, etc.), network Nevertheless, institutional entities segment and data exploitation to management, and associated services are expected to remain influential as create value. that exploit space systems, such as they continue to represent a These lower risk, shorter cycle data storage, processing and substantial revenue source for initiatives attract venture capital dissemination. privately owned organisations. funds and non-space companies, “Downstream” includes activities which are investing heavily in the related to space-infrastructure space sector and stimulating exploitation and the provision of dynamic growth. space-based products and services to end users. 4 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
A sector undergoing profound transformation The space sector is at the crossroads of significant governance, business and technological change and is being challenged more than ever at every level of the value chain and in every market. In this rapidly evolving environment, the space sector is entering a period of profound transformation. Governance Transformation of the space sector Technology Business Governance Business Technology International, European and Innovative NewSpace business The space sector is highly dependent national space policies are set to models and projects are a source of on technological innovation but is also undergo gradual but profound both enthusiasm and doubt in keen to preserve its technical heritage change in the years to come, Europe, but most stakeholders and know-how. However, innovative particularly in the delineation and believe that they represent an projects, such as mega‑constellations distribution of public responsibilities opportunity that should not be or expendable Earth observation and new areas of action, including underestimated. Historical players satellites, are pushing established the expected adoption of are increasingly being challenged in industries to reconsider their high- “application-driven” or “user- various markets by non‑traditional quality and low-risk engineering and oriented” policies. Examples include competitors with innovative business production models and adopt new standardisation, market regulation models and support from venture design-to‑cost and “good enough” risk of space products and services, and capital funds and non‑space acceptance models. Such profound cooperation frameworks. Public companies. Application-driven changes impact every level of an institutions are already formulating markets are a growing segment for organisation, from programme innovative programmes to achieve space industry players looking to management and quality systems to new strategic objectives in the maximise the benefits of their production line modernisation and sector. These programmes will shape investment by expanding their staff structure. Sectors that prioritise future space markets. The growing customer base. Newly developed quality, such as the automotive and involvement of regional and local terrestrial technologies, such as aeronautics industry, have already players in space policies is in-flight connectivity, M2M started implementing new increasingly accepted, particularly in networks, location-based services on manufacturing technologies (e.g., an effort to facilitate economic smartphones, or new Earth additive layer manufacturing) and development. observation data applications, are moving towards Industry 4.0. opening up promising new markets Stakeholders in the space sector are for players in the space sector. closely monitoring this global trend that will soon become a driver of greater competitiveness in the industry. Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 5
Our service offering We are part of a global team of We are able to leverage our over 2,000 industry professionals Global Aerospace & Defence focusing on the Aeronautics network in major space nations Space & Defence sectors in Europe, the United States, the Middle East and Asia 6 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
Our offer is based on five pillars tailored for each of the space domains Strategy With a 100-year legacy in strategy consulting, PwC Strategy& offers a unique “capabilities-driven strategy” approach to maximise its clients’ chances of success. Whether we are supporting government agencies and public institutions, satellite operators, service providers or industrial players, we provide our clients with confidence that their strategies, policies, investments, and organic capabilities will coherently combine to achieve the desired results. • Market characterisation (sizing, trends, competitive landscape, etc.) • Gap analyses and evaluation of market opportunities and barriers • Evaluation of business cases and revenue projections • Assessment of policy options and institutional actions for market • Definition and assessment of diversification strategies development Socio-economic impact assessment PwC has developed a comprehensive suite of methodologies to cover the whole spectrum of socio-economic impact assessments. The approach, which has been used and validated on numerous occasions, can be applied to large-scale public or private investments in infrastructure or space programmes. The assessments rely on commonly accepted methodologies and taxonomies to produce results that can be used to support effective decision making and policy design. • GDP impact assessments • Cost-Benefit Analyses (CBA) • Catalytic and non-monetary impact assessments • Assessment of intangible societal and strategic impacts Governance and Operations We support institutional bodies, space agencies and private customers involved in major space programmes in the analysis of governance, organisational structure and management of human capital. We look at different organisational, operating, and outsourcing models to target governance and operational excellence. • Analysis of national and regional space policies • Audit of space programmes and space agencies • Identification of funding schemes to support the governance structures to maximise economic development of space capabilities development Regulatory We have supported public bodies to analyse regulations impacting the space sector from upstream to downstream. Our team includes legally trained consultants, supported for in-depth assessments by PwC Société d’Avocats, PwC France’s legal services arm, which operates in the global network of PwC lawyers. This allows for timely relevant expertise that is invaluable in cases requiring an understanding of legal challenges with a regional or global reach. • Analysis of the impact of export regulations in satellites • Analysis of IPR, Personal Data Protection and Export and launcher activities Control related to digital solutions and services derived • Assessment of the warranty and liability safeguards of from space data Earth Observation and Navigation data Data analytics Our team works closely with the PwC Advanced Solutions Development team and PwC Geo Analytics teams. Together, we have supported companies in the technical evaluation and development of their digital services offering, capitalising on data fusion from both space and non-space data. Our team of skilled data scientists can also capitalise on the global PwC network, which counts more than 7,000 data & analytics experts. • Analysis and identification of data-driven business models • Development of Proofs Of Concept with PwC software teams derived from the exploitation of space data using scalable and open sources tools • Design of new digital products and services based on space • Creation of products and econometric models based on data via a customer-driven approach (use case-based) geospatial data Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 7
Our expertise in each space sector domain Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 9
Satellites play a vital role in global communications. Although the market is relatively established, the sector is still subject to changes in demand from private and institutional end users that require the development and application of new business models and technologies. Communications 472 €119 bn 80% Estimated number of ($126 bn) Share of revenues of the satcom market communication satellites Estimated global market in operation in 2017 generated downstream for satcoms, from in 2015 upstream to downstream in 2016 Satcoms: the primary The importance Many promising use for space assets of satellite markets still to be Over the past 50 years, use of satellite communication for developed communications (satcoms) has the global economy The development of human activity in skyrocketed to become the most both urban and rural areas is resulting important space sector domain based Satcoms are critical to a wide range of in a growing need for an Information on various indicators, such as mass business, government and leisure and Communication Technology (ICT) launched into orbit or revenue activities. Compared to terrestrial infrastructure. Satcoms are generated by satcom players. In the infrastructure, satcoms provide an increasingly identified as strategic midstream, each of the top 3 fixed- unmatched level of availability, infrastructure for the development of satellite service (FSS) operators coverage, confidentiality and communication networks, often generated more than €1 billion (global resilience. The numerous applications interfaced with terrestrial solutions. In market of $107 billion) in revenue. derived from communication satellites addition, new markets, such as M2M, Services derived from provide public and private stakeholders in‑flight connectivity or Ultra HD, are telecommunication satellites, from with solutions for continuity, safety expected to sustain the satcom market. internet via satellite to television, are and accessibility. among the most lucrative of all the space sector domains. 10 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
A market open to glo- Business and techno- However, big established players are locked in intense competition to bal competition logical challenges enhance their leadership at the expense Historically, governments controlled the derived from a of their main competitors. Global connectivity needs are the major driver satellite telecommunication sector growing demand for for the growing demand for bandwidth, through public intergovernmental organisations. The sector was largely bandwidth pushing operators to expand the capacity of their satellites (e.g., by privatised in North America and Europe The international business environment increasing the number of transponders) and today, private operators control of the satellite telecommunication sector and to introduce technological most of the satcom market. Although is relatively stable with a few leaders innovations (e.g., high throughput local operators are still controlled by the holding the majority of market shares. satellites). government in Asia, South America, the Middle East and Africa, most of the global market remains open, in contrast to the captive domestic public markets that normally exist in other segments of the space sector. Our specialised service offering Strategy Socio-economic impact Governance & Operations satellite operators and assessments capacity buyers • Evaluation of business cases • Technical and economic • Impact analyses of the use of for innovative satellite • Assessments of the potential product portfolio digital tools to support operator go-to-market impact on the satcom performance evaluation and mega-constellation series strategies manufacturing industry of optimisation production • Evaluation of business cases new platforms, such as high • Deployment of design-to- for satellite constellations altitude drones and balloons cost best practices • Analyses of satcom operator • Impact assessments of • Implementation of “good- aftermarket segment governmental satcom enough” engineering models potential programmes • System engineering through • Assessment of the external requirement and growth potential of satellite configuration management players resulting from • Definition of levers to foster diversification strategies collaboration between Selected credentials Assessment of the satellite Business case and strategy India market entry communication capacity evaluation for OEM vertical PwC has supported both Tier-1 space requirements of emergency integration to SATCOM services systems suppliers andseeking to enter services PwC Strategy& conducted a detailed the Indian market. This involved the PwC worked with the European market assessment to determine how a evaluation of numerous use cases, Commission on its assessment of the globally leading satellite manufacturer competitive positioning, and playbooks needs, design and implementation of the might enhance its position across the to inform entry strategies. GOVSATCOM programme dedicated to value chain. We compared alternative Middle East / North Africa new satellite communications for emergency strategies and associated business cases SATCOM operator service organisations (maritime, police, to determine which would offer the civil protection, humanitarian aid and greatest returns with lowest risk to the PwC Strategy& developed the green external action services). Our existing manufacturing business. We field business case to start up a new conclusions led to a strategy based on combined the firm’s strategy, operations, operator serving the Middle East/North scenarios involving proprietary corporate finance and digital Africa region. We engaged with satellites, satellite constellations, the capabilities to evaluate the full institutional and commercial leasing of capacity or services, and implications of the opportunities, which stakeholders on market dynamics, pooling between European countries. directly influenced the client’s corporate business strategy, operations, and strategy decisions. technical details. Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 11
Earth observation (EO) is a promising, fast-growing field boosted by a wide range of applications across various economic sectors, including preci- sion farming, civil protec- tion, insurance, natural resource monitoring, oil and gas exploration, meteorology and urban monitoring. Earth observation Growth potential of operated by Planet (formerly PlanetLabs) or the ICEYE radar Earth observation satellite constellation. Combined with The EO data exploitation market (data the growing and promising EO market, these low infrastructure cost projects 237 sales and value-added services) Earth Observation prompted private investment in space satellites in operation benefits from the highest annual ventures, especially in North America, in 2015 growth of all the space exploitation from venture capital funds, private markets, with an average rate above equity firms or non-space angel 13%. The need for EO data in geo- information products and the investors. In addition, the tremendous amount of data generated by EO €7 bn increasingly central role of Big Data reinforce the development potential of satellites stands as both a challenge for ($7.5 bn) EO companies and an opportunity for Global Earth commercial activities, making the large ICT players, such as Google and Observation market young EO market particularly Amazon, which are fitted to tackle Big in 2015 promising for the years to come. Data issues and willing to cross- fertilise their IT capabilities. PwC A market with profound changes in considers that stimulating private initiatives on the European EO market, 15% supporting more vertically integrated Average annual growth business models and innovative models, developing user- rate of Earth technology oriented data access platforms based Observation value added services over on new design-thinking approaches The recent emergence of low-cost 2014-2019 and ensuring synergies between EO small satellite technology enabled EO and ICT are crucial to maintaining a companies to revolutionise their competitive and inspiring European business models, based on near real- EO sector. time low resolution images, such as those provided by the Dove satellites 12 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
Governance trends Commercial off-the-shelf components for satellite manufacturing and Changes in demand Institutional spending on EO miniaturisation are reducing satellite The demand for EO satellites is growing programmes has increased over the costs. as markets for applications become years and the deployment of Copernicus increasingly diversified. Furthermore, assets that began in 2014 will intensify. Business trends demand from emerging economies is However, national policy differences expanding rapidly. Satellite imagery and a lack of standardisation between The emergence of private business services could however be challenged by frameworks may prove to be an obstacle ventures and new sources of private drone‑based remote sensing offerings, to the efficient use of EO services. financing, especially in the United which could be considered more suitable States, should result in riskier projects in certain markets. Technological trends being pursued. However, the significant amount of EO data will prove The use of microsatellite constellations challenging for Big Data and efficient means that new business models can be data dissemination, as substantial developed, while payload performances investment will be required to cover the continue to improve. infrastructure costs. Our specialised service offering Strategy Socio-economic impact Governance & Operations Regulatory assessments • Analyses of EO downstream • Analyses of intermediate and • Analysis of warranty and market technology, • GDP impact assessments of end-user requirements for liability safeguards governance, business and institutional EO programmes platforms and data embedded in Earth demand trends • Assessments of manipulation interfaces Observation programmes • Benchmarking of existing socio‑economic benefits on • Diagnoses of data platforms’ cloud computing the EO downstream and dissemination processes capabilities and user end-user markets • Big Data capability interfaces • Cost-Benefit Analyses (CBA) requirements and • Gap analyses between of EO programmes opportunity analyses for EO end‑user needs and EO downstream companies market offerings Selected credentials PwC has a breadth of both private and 100 stakeholders, a large scale ex-ante The results should help the European public sector experience in EO societal impact assessment of the Commission to develop its vision for the technology across regions. In particular, programme, and a GDP impact of the Copernicus dissemination platform. PwC has been regularly involved in spending in the Copernicus upstream. supporting the European EO flagship Other governance and policy programme, Copernicus, since the first Assessment of the Earth studies satellite entered into service in 2014 observation market and PwC was also entrusted with with more than 10 dedicated characterisation of new business performing the Copernicus programme assignments. models mid-term review, the assessments of the Socio-economic impact PwC carried out a characterisation of governance schemes of the Copernicus assessments of the Copernicus the EO market for a private investment entrusted entities, and an evaluation of programme fund, with expected market evolution, open data policy impacts. Finally, our industry dynamics, emerging business team carried out a feasibility assessment PwC was mandated by the European models and investment opportunities. on two potential new Copernicus Commission to undertake several products aimed at Ground Motion targeted impact assessment on the EO Review of the Big Data vision for Monitoring and Cultural Heritage downstream and end-user markets, Copernicus Monitoring. including an ex-post downstream assessment of the market impact of PwC defined an approach to facing Big Copernicus along 8 selected value Data challenges and exploiting its chains, in consultation with more than potential in the field of public EO data. Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 13
4 GNSS constellations providing global signals: GPS, Glonass, Galileo and Beidou-2 satellites are being progressively deployed 82 Global and regional navigation satellites in operation in 2018 € 94.8 bn (~$110 bn) Estimated global navigation market revenues in 2015 Navigation Navigation satellites provide positioning and timing data to an ever-expanding user base. Today, they represent one of the most widely used space assets, through navigation and smart- phone terminals or government applications. A ubiquitous asset in manufacture of chipsets and devices, as well as sales of services and Glonass, the Chinese Beidou-2 (former Compass) and the European our society, applications, which generated global Galileo, which is currently ramping providing safety, market revenues estimated at €94.8 up to reach operational capability at billion (~$110 billion) in 2015. the end of the decade. performance and Other satellite constellations like the leisure capabilities Different navigation Japanese Quasi-Zenith Satellite Today, navigation satellites are systems, improving System (QZSS) and the Indian Regional Navigation Satellite System omnipresent in our society. They provide information about positions, the existing (IRNSS) provide regional signals. In routes, speed and timing, and are infrastructure addition, regional augmentation used by an extremely wide range of systems, such as the WAAS in the The first Global Navigation Satellite United States or EGNOS in Europe, users in every economic sector, such System (GNSS) available for civilian are improving the accuracy and as precision farming, transport, use was the US Global Positioning reliability of the signal: these are banking systems, mobile System (GPS), which is exploited by used for demanding applications applications, emergency services, most of the navigation signal (e.g., air transportation). etc. Navigation signals are freely applications commonly used today. emitted by public entities, and their exploitation drives significant Since then, other GNSS have been economic activity including the deployed, such as the Russian 14 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
The GNSS market and Pushing for greater benefiting from the fast growing apps market. GNSS-enabled businesses the legal framework accuracy (device manufacturers and service providers) are not expected to change With the development of GNSS devices The development of multi‑constellation greatly in the years to come. and services, providers are exposed to receivers (compatible with multiple GNSS liability risks in terms of privacy, frequency management, or legal signals) is expected to result in greater uptake by end users and enhance Changes in demand responsibility for satellite guided performance in terms of accuracy and End-user demand is expected to grow in vehicles. Regulations such as the eCall integrity. In addition, navigation signals the years to come, especially for high- for European cars, combined with the will have to resist jamming and spoofing precision and indoor positioning. availability of the Galileo Commercial threats. Augmented signals enable cross-market Service (CS) high precision signal, should applications such as precision farming, lead to greater adoption of navigation Capitalising on oil and gas exploration or fleet services. existing markets management. Emerging economies represent fast‑growing markets with Location-Based Services (LBS) and resource management and weather in-vehicle equipment are undergoing monitoring needs. significant development, with LBS Our specialised service offering Strategy Socio-economic impact Governance & Operations Regulatory assessments • Market assessments of • Support for critical project • Assessments of regulatory critical GNSS component • GDP impact assessments of and programme recovery impacts on GNSS markets supply chains GNSS programmes • Organisational and • Impact of budget changes on • Assessments of market • Impact assessments of risks operational efficiency a GNSS programme opportunities for regional associated with signal evaluation and optimisation augmentation system spamming and spoofing • System life-cycle deployment • Socio-economic impact of assessments and • Assessments of EU navigation activities management high‑precision signal • System architecting exploitation business models Selected credentials System prime for second generation recognised that its own GPS-enabled analyses including a technological analysis Galileo satellites navigation systems may be at risk for and a market assessment to provide disruption. PwC Strategy& evaluated the information for a risk analysis, a GPS case With the implementation of the Galileo gamut of current and projected changes to study with US experts, and a gap Second Generation in 2021 in sight, PwC future navigation technologies and their assessment for the creation of a fully identified a set of possible prime potential to disrupt our client’s technology, European supply chain. management options for the development allowing our client to begin positioning and procurement phases. The itself accordingly. Market entry for the Middle East/ recommendations were based on a North Africa strengths & weaknesses analysis, Market assessment of strategic development of implementation options, PwC assisted a satellite company in its GNSS components establishment of roadmaps, and goals to deploy a satcom and navigation estimation of implementation and Given the critical role played by Atomic system covering the Middle East and North transition costs. Frequency Standards (AFS) in GNSS, PwC Africa. We evaluated market conditions was mandated by the European and technical and procurement Evaluation of future GPS disruption Commission to provide policy action requirements. for US terminal/system recommendations to reduce atomic clock manufacturer supply chain risks and implement double As commercial and military navigation is sourcing for critical Galileo AFS changing at such a fast pace, our client components. PwC conducted several Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 15
Spacefaring nations sup- port their domestic launch sector to guarantee inde- pendent access to space. In an increasingly competitive global market, spacefaring nations need to adapt the economic model of their launcher industry in order to remain competitive. Launchers Strategic assets for Growing competition Number of launch events for major spacefaring nations spacefaring nations on the open launch between 2011 and 2017 Independent access to space not only market depends on being autonomous in Competition in the launch sector has terms of technology and infrastructure traditionally been between fully or (i.e., the industrial base and partially state-owned industries. As spaceports). With new market entrants the delivery of certain payloads is 187 Russia increasing competition on launch important to the national security of costs, independent access to space is launching countries, a significant part now also dependent on the economic of launch services is not open to sustainability of the launch sector. private companies. On the open New industrial setups and practices, as market, newly created private companies and non-historical 144 USA well as modularity or innovative technologies, such as micro-launchers spacefaring nations have been and reusable rockets, will drive the disrupting the established norms. As a competitiveness of the launch sector. result of the increasing competition, spacefaring nations have promoted 118 China their domestic launch systems through dedicated policies and measures, and also pushed their national companies to improve or develop new launch 69 Europe vehicles. €8 bn ($8.6 bn) Global launch services market in 2017 16 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
Innovation as a strate- innovations, such as sharing the risks of satellite launches with operators, are expected to face stable or declining government financing for flagship space gic advantage also being reviewed by launch programmes. As a consequence, launch companies. companies will have to evolve and Launcher integrators and launch service examine new markets. Historical providers are aiming at expanding their scope of activities through innovation Launch companies launcher manufacturers and their associated service providers are and vertical and horizontal integration. need to increase their considering new kinds of services, such Technological innovations, such as partial or full launcher reusability, customer base as using micro-launchers for the flexible delivery of small satellites deployed as methane propulsion or additive layer Despite being subsidised by part of large satellite constellation manufacturing, are expected to bring a governments due to its strategic programmes. strategic advantage on the launch importance, the launch sector is market. In addition, business model Our specialised service offering Strategy Socio-economic impact Governance & Operations • Elaboration of an integrated assessments supply chain interfacing with • Revenue projections of • Analysis of the governance external suppliers global competitors • Impact assessments of new between public and private • Deployment support for • Customer surveys on LSP satellites players on the actors to maximize «digital twin» approaches to selection factors launch services market competitiveness of launcher provide real-time monitoring • Analysis of the market • Scenario analyses of the operations of production assets and potential of micro-launchers market impact of reusable • Definition of levers to foster launch infrastructure • Analysis of diversification launchers collaboration between strategies for launch vehicle scientific and industrial manufacturers communities • Analyses of investor satisfaction in scientific and human spaceflight programmes Selected credentials Benchmarking of the major space Socio-economic impact Global launch market forecast for nations’ launch capabilities and assessment of Ariane5 and Vega European rocket propellant policies programmes provider and space hardware manufacturer PwC was mandated by the European PwC assessed the GDP impact of Commission to perform benchmarking European Space Agency investments in Our team assisted a large rocket on the policies of major spacefaring Ariane5 and Vega launch activities. propellant provider in identifying nations and their impact on their launch Social and non-quantifiable benefits emerging markets and opportunities for capabilities, their industrial landscape, associated with the programmes were the development of their business and national and global launch markets. extrapolated using in-depth analyses of worldwide including launch sand test The analysis included an assessment of the launcher supply chains, and the sites. PwC also identified potential the launch market and a high-level European launch operation capabilities. opportunities for the development of forecast using identified trends and launch vehicle sub systems. their impact on supply and demand. An Market adjacency strategy for analysis of the governance and cost leading US launch system structures of global launch systems was manufacturers and launch also performed. Using our results, we providers were able to provide the European PwC Strategy& has supported the full Commission with strategic value chain of the launch industry, from recommendations for the definition of inorganic strategies in rocket the European launcher space strategy. components to strategic positioning for Those recommendations were later propulsion and cost takeout for launch assessed through a socio-economic services. impact assessment. Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 17
18,300 Estimated number of debris larger than 10cm orbiting in Low Earth Orbit. These debris can cause critical damage to any kind of spacecraft. 5 Number of Member States (FR, DE, ES, UK, IT) composing the European Union SST Consortium which pools national surveillance and tracking capabilities. $1.6 bn (€1.3 bn) Estimated cost of the American Space Fence surveillance system operational in 2019 and capable of tracking objects of 1cm in LEO regime. Space Situational Awareness Space Situational Awareness (SSA) refers to the capability of detecting and tracking man-made and natural threats, predic- ting and assessing the risks involved, and providing services enabling the implementation of appropriate mitigation mea- sures aiming at protecting space and ground assets. A threefold activity ionosphere, and neutral atmosphere. Near Earth Objects (NEO) activities channelled into providing essential services, such as conjunction The use of space has helped enhance have the purpose of observing, assessment warnings, re‑entry the global economy, provide social cataloguing and anticipating warnings and fragmentation benefits, support environmental changes in natural objects in the analysis in the case of SST, which is protection activities and ensure solar system that might cross paths utilised mainly by satellite operators strategic sovereignty. Therefore, with Earth. and other civil protection and many sectors and activities rely on industry users. Even though SSA the protection of space assets against An international assets are owned and operated at national level, international threats such as man-made space objects, space weather events and network of cooperation reinforces the delivery near‑Earth objects. To mitigate these capabilities of reliable and timely SSA services. threats, three solutions have been As such, the EU and its Member instigated through sub-programmes. SSA architecture involves a set of States are developing a network of Space Surveillance and Tracking nationally owned sensors, such as SST assets aiming to enhance (SST) is the monitoring, cataloguing radars, telescopes and laser stations European SST capabilities and and analysis of changes in space as well as space-based assets in the contribute at a global level to the objects. Space Weather (SWE) case of the US. These are used to protection of space assets. The activities encompass the study and detect and track space objects, solar network is completed by strong analysis of the activities of the Sun events and NEOs, and provide key cooperation with the United States, and its effects on solar wind, as well data to SSA data centres, where it is which provides a substantial volume as Earth’s magnetosphere, analysed by specialists. The data is of SST data. 18 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
Increased need for Strategic importance Emergence of a observation capabilities of SSA activities commercial market Even though best practices aiming at The purpose of SST sensors is to observe It appears that several private entities limiting the creation of additional space and track all types of space objects have developed their own network of debris are encouraged among the global orbiting around Earth. As such, SST capabilities to provide SST services. space community, the debris population capabilities play a dual role by tracking However, the security and defense is expected to increase due to an passive threats such as debris and by nature of space surveillance is a upsurge of space activities in the coming observing operated space objects that persistent concern and prevents private years with the potential deployment of can act in an aggressive or unfriendly entities from entirely leading SST mega-constellations primarily instigated manner. Furthermore, in order to limit activities without the support, by commercial players who benefit from the spread of debris, the regulation partnership and cooperation of public cheaper and simplified access to space measures must be reinforced and their players. A sound development of future solutions. This trend testifies to the fact effective application must be controlled SST capabilities addressing space traffic that traditional barriers to entry, which and verified. In that sense, SST sensors management issues must be based on a are specific to the space sector, are being enable better knowledge of the nature relevant ecosystem and governance diminished, opening the sector to new and origin of space debris and can be structure, ensuring service precision entrants which are not necessarily used as a tool to support the and efficiency, international cooperation aware and sensitive to debris release enforcement of mitigation measures. and a thorough data policy. mitigation best practices. Our specialised service offering Strategy Socio-economic impact Governance & Operations Regulatory assessments • Assessments of market • Support to the design and • Support to the definition of opportunities for the • Identification and characterisation of potential data policy linked to the use deployment of Surveillance assessment of impacts programme governance space surveillance and Tracking solutions resulting from the evolution structures information • Forecast of changes in space of the European and global • Evaluation of organisational traffic SSA landscape and operational efficiency • Revenue projection for • Assessment of costs and • System architecting commercial use surveillance benefits implied by the and tracking radar systems implementation of a Space Situational Awareness programme Selected credentials Ex-ante cost benefit analysis of the identification and understanding of key designed to (i) evaluate the state of play in ESA SSA programme strategic aspects to take into consideration SSA at a global level, (ii) identify the full for the evolution of the SSA programme. scope of impacts and benefits resulting The PwC space team has exhaustively from the set of potential development assessed the impacts and benefits linked to Study on the impacts of the EU space options at EU-programme level taken into the three areas of the European Space surveillance and tracking actions in account in the definition of the 2021-2027 Agency (ESA) Space Situational the Space Strategy for Europe Multi-Annual Financial Framework and Awareness programme: Space Weather, In line with the focus of the Space Strategy (iii) provide a robust and clear Near Earth Objects and Space Surveillance for Europe, PwC has provided the comparative analysis of these options. tracking. Through a cost-benefit analysis European Commission with a study approach, the impacts and threats of a supporting the preparation of the decision- scenario in which no action is taken in the making process on the future of SSA field of SSA were quantified and analysed. activities at EU level. The study was The results of this analysis led to the Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 19
Human presence in space was made possible by extraordinary technological and scientific advances: material and physical science, propulsion, and much more. Space exploration 20 €100 bn €3 bn Number of international ($107 bn) ($3.2 bn) partners contributing to Cost of the International Global science spacecraft the James Webb Space Station including market value in 2015 (includes Telescope development, assembly and satellites, interplanetary probes running costs over 10 years and resupply vehicles) Science in space and the James Webb Telescope, designed to replace Hubble, involves 20 countries. Privatisation of the ISS international First launched into orbit in the late collaboration Suborbital flights 2000s, five leading space agencies NASA, ROSCOSMOS, JAXA, ESA and Space exploration beyond Earth’s orbit, Suborbital flights are expected to travel CSA have invested more than €100bn in including research into solar system at an altitude of around 100 km above the ISS. Serving as a microgravity formation and the search for Earth-like sea level (Karman line). Though laboratory, the ISS has been the venue planets and exoplanets, leads to a several private companies such as for experiments in biology, physics and better understanding of how our Virgin Galactic (VSS) or Blue Origin astronomy. However, the private sector universe was formed and of (New Shepard capsule) are currently is gradually taking over the ownership fundamental scientific principles. testing suborbital flight vehicles, no and managing role of the station, National or regional initiatives like the inhabited flights (apart from SpaceShip previously the domain of space agencies. Curiosity Rover or the European 1, winner of the Ansari Prize in 2004) Certain activities have already been Extremely Large Telescope have have yet been made. This technology outsourced and new commercial already emerged. However, looks promising, both to enable activities are emerging: inflatable space international collaboration is scientific experiments in microgravity habitats (Bigelow), deployment of increasingly indispensable to sustain and for space tourism. Legislative cubesats (NanoRacks), hosting of scientific programmes, for changes are currently being made in external payloads (Bartholomeo), space technological and economic reasons: order to ensure the seamless manufacturing (Made in Space), etc. As ESA partnered with NASA for Jason introduction of these new methods. the ISS is expected to retire by 2024- and with ROSCOMOS for ExoMars; the 2028, the opportunities for private US Orion spacecraft uses a service players to invest in this project are module from the European ATV; and expanding. 20 | Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector
Gradual involvement The Moon as a Use of Space resources of commercial players gateway for Deep The development of exploration activities and PPP Space exploration will require more and more equipment to be transported, with strong constraints Exploration missions and space outpost The global space exploration roadmap on mission feasibility in terms of both maintenance are very expensive, and shared by worldwide space agencies engineering and cost. The use of in-situ space agencies alone struggle to finance all envisions ambitious missions to the Moon resources (volatiles and solids) for their scientific programmes. Commercial and Mars as the next steps. The Earth’s propellant and infrastructure players can thus be valuable partners to gravity well raises strong space manufacturing will be key to the success share investments and risks. Current mechanics barriers, making these of this endeavour, with the first step potential opportunities for these types of missions extremely expensive and being the enhancement of our knowledge synergies include the development of challenging. The Lunar Orbit Platform of the elements available on the Moon commercial space habitats under NASA’s Gateway, often presented as the “next and near-Earth asteroids, followed by the NextSTEP programme, the construction of ISS”, would allow the agencies to development of the necessary mining infrastructure in microgravity, overcome this challenge. In addition to and processing technologies. partnerships to be the first customers of being a science driver, it represents a new commercial missions and, more generally, opportunity for global cooperation on an the allocation of competitive grants for the endeavour that will benefit all industry to develop equipment. humankind. Our specialised service offering Strategy Socio-economic impact Governance & Operations Regulatory assessments • Business case assessment • Analyses of investor • Analysis of the legal and revenue projection for • Assessment of market satisfaction in human framework for space mining commercial exploitation of spillovers and technology spaceflight programmes space stations spin-offs from ISRU • Requirement and • Gap analysis and development configuration management identification of market • Impact assessment for Moon for multi-agency exploration barriers for ISRU value exploration programme and programmes chains Global Exploration Roadmap • Definition of roadmap for • Definition of technology additive manufacturing in roadmaps for future space micro and partial gravity exploration missions environments Selected credentials Study on potential future markets Socio-economic review of ESA’s Ex-ante socio-economic assessment and value chains of Space Resource participation in the ISS of ESA’s new partnership proposals Utilisation (SRU) programme for space exploration This study was undertaken to identify On behalf of ESA, PwC analysed the In the context of its position as a business potential future markets and value impact of ESA’s investment in the ISS and partner to select private sector initiatives chains associated with the exploitation of the possible impacts of disengagement. A in the field of space exploration, ESA space resources. We examined the main large-scale economic impact assessment asked PwC to assess partnership challenges and gaps relating to was performed using ESA’s data. Using proposals covering a wide range of topics knowledge of resources, sizing of the data derived from this assessment, including use of the ISS, exploitation of demand, mission architectures and costs, we then created an economic model to LEO and lunar exploration. We began by as well as the relevant technologies. Our produce GDP multipliers. We also assessing the expected economic impact, analysis covered each stage of the value conducted an assessment of the catalytic to provide a high level review of the chain, from prospection to mining, impacts and wider benefits for Member proposed business plans, and continued processing and manufacturing, with a States, with different categories by evaluating major components used in timeframe extending up to 2040. It including space technology, fundamental negotiations (business model, provided the Government of Luxembourg and applied research, international financials). PwC also provided an with an exhaustive picture of the areas cooperation and inspiration. ex-ante socio-economic impact that could benefit from public support assessment addressing wider impacts. and a quantification of the associated socio-economic benefits. Our expertise and specialised service offering for the space sector | 21
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