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Occurrence of depredation by common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) on reef fish captured and released by rod and reel fisheries in the ...
Occurrence of depredation by
     common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus)
on reef fish captured and released by rod and reel fisheries
             in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico
                                           by

                                   Corie E. Grewal

                           Advisor: Dr. Andrew J. Read

       Prepared for: Jessica Powell, National Marine Fisheries Service

                                    April 30, 2021

  Masters project submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Master of
 Environmental Management degree in the Nicholas School of the Environment of Duke
                                        University
Occurrence of depredation by common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) on reef fish captured and released by rod and reel fisheries in the ...
Executive Summary

       In the Gulf of Mexico, common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) have been
observed depredating fish from rod and reel anglers. Depredation is defined as the removal of
captured fish or bait by a predator, in this case bottlenose dolphins. Depredation can cause
serious injury and mortality for dolphins who may become entangled or hooked in fishing gear
and also increases the costs of fishing for anglers by forcing them to replace gear and bait, as
well as the loss of catch to dolphins. Protected species managers in the Gulf are receiving an
increasing number of reports about depredation from anglers and are hoping to gain more insight
into how such interactions can be reduced.
       To better understand the nature and extent of these interactions, I examined potential
factors that could influence the probability of depredation and the spatial distribution and
frequency of such interactions. I analyzed data collected from the Florida Fish and Wildlife
Conservation Commission (FWC) fisheries-dependent monitoring at-sea observer program to
determine which factors played a role in rod and reel dolphin depredation of rod and reel
fisheries between 2009 and 2020. Every observation in the dataset represented a fish caught by a
rod and reel angler, and depredation was recorded in the dataset after fish were discarded and
observed being consumed by a dolphin. I chose potential predictive factors based on their known
or hypothesized influence on dolphin behavior and used a generalized linear model (GLM) to
examine relationships between instances of depredation and these predictive factors. The
variables that I examined included year, depth, geographic location binned by latitude and
longitude into fishing zones, vessel type, fishing mode, the number of anglers fishing, taxonomic
family of captured fish, fish fork length and whether or not the fish was vented. To reduce
dependence between individual observations that may have taken place on the same trip or at the
same location, I also created and included a lag variable.
       The most parsimonious model was the best fit to the data, and included year, the number
of anglers fishing, two geographic areas surrounding Panama City and Destin, Florida, and the
fish families Lutjanidae (snapper family), Carangidae (jack family), Serranidae (grouper and sea
bass family), and a binned group of other species that were individually captured less frequently.
All of these variables were significant predictive factors in the model.
       The results suggest that food provisioning in the Florida panhandle is a driver of
depredation and that the incidence of depredation has increased over time. A spatial analysis of

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Occurrence of depredation by common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) on reef fish captured and released by rod and reel fisheries in the ...
the location of depredation events indicates that the northern and eastern coastal stocks, which
occur over the near-shore shelf off the Florida gulf coast, have become conditioned to exhibit a
range of low cost foraging techniques, such as scavenging, begging, and depredation. Snappers
were observed in 78% of depredation events and this family was the most significant predictive
factor in the model, revealing a regional prey preference for snapper by dolphins of the northern
coastal stock.
       To deter dolphins from depredation, a number of mitigation techniques such as acoustic
deterrents, gear modifications, and avoidance are possible, but each technique has advantages
and disadvantages that must be considered. Acoustic devices have been shown to be effective in
deterring some other marine mammal species, but are likely to draw bottlenose dolphins towards
fishing activities, acting as a “dinner bell”. Gear modifications and avoidance may create
additional economic burdens for anglers, but are more promising and deserve further study.
       The analysis presented here can help inform management and mitigation of bottlenose
dolphin depredation in the Gulf of Mexico and provides a baseline for future scientific study.
This study was the first to analyze the factors influencing the incidence of bottlenose dolphin
depredation using data from fishery observers. The use of previously existing data reduced the
time and funding necessary for this study, but also created limitations. The dataset was created
for fishery managers and needed to be intensively edited for use with this depredation case study.
Furthermore, the relatively small number of depredation events compared with the total number
of observations, and the manner in which depredation events were recorded complicated this
assessment. Future research should employ experimental designs that are designed to address
depredation events.

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Occurrence of depredation by common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) on reef fish captured and released by rod and reel fisheries in the ...
Table of Contents

Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………..1

Materials and Methods……………………………………………………………………………5
       Data Source……………………………………………………………………………… 5
       Data Preparation………………………………………………………………………….8
       Modeling………………………………………………………………………………....10
       Model Selection and Analysis …………………………………………………………....10
       Spatial Analysis…………………………………………………………………………..10

Results…………………………………………………………………………………………....11

Discussion………………………………………………………………………………………..15

Acknowledgements……………………………………………………………………………....24

References………………………………………………………………………………………..25

                                                              iii
Introduction
      Over the past few decades, depredation by common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops

truncatus) has emerged as a complex conflict for marine resource management. In rod and reel

angling (private and for-hire) fisheries, depredation events can consist of a dolphin taking a

target fish off a hook as the angler is attempting to reel it in, but can also include taking bait off

the line or scavenging to collect fish that are thrown back after being caught (Tixier et al. 2020,

Zollett and Read 2006). Depredation has negative consequences for bottlenose dolphins because

dolphins that become conditioned to depredate have a higher chance of injury or mortality

(Christiansen et al. 2016). It can also lead to bycatch because depredating dolphins are more

likely to become entangled or ingest fishing gear (Read 2008, Wallace 1985). Bycatch is non-

target catch that becomes trapped in gear during fishing (Read 2008). Bycaught animals may be

difficult to free from gear, causing serious injury or death to the individual (Read 2008, Wells

and Scott 1994). Dolphins can also be injured or killed due to vessel strikes when depredating

(Wells and Scott 1997). Depredation causes additional economic burdens for private and for-hire

anglers who lose out on profitable catch or need to purchase extra bait or replace gear to account

for losses to marine mammals (Read 2008, Tixier et al. 2020). Frustration stemming from

interactions with dolphins can lead to harassment and retaliation efforts (Department of Justice

2006, Department of Justice 2007, NMFS 2016, Read 2005, Zollet and Read 2006). The Gulf of

Mexico has been referred to as a hotbed for retaliation against depredating bottlenose dolphins

and several documented observations of retaliation have been observed (Department of Justice

2006, Department of Justice 2007, NMFS 2016, Vail 2016, Wursig 2017).

        In the Gulf of Mexico, there have been numerous anecdotal reports of bottlenose dolphin

depredation events in rod and reel (also known as hook and line) fisheries. In Florida, there have

been several documented cases of dolphin depredation in various locations such as Destin,

                                                                                                         1
Panama City, and Sarasota Bay, and some private and for-hire anglers report increased

depredation over time (Cunningham-Smith et al. 2006, Powell et al. 2018, Powell and Wells

2011, Samuels and Bejder 2004, Shippee et al. 2017, Zollet and Read 2006). There are several

potential reasons for depredation, which likely interact with one another in the Gulf. One reason

is overfishing, which has depleted fish stocks sufficiently to create direct competition between

fisheries and dolphin populations (DeMaster et al. 2001, Read 2008, Reichmont et al. 2018). In

the Gulf of Mexico, stable reef fish populations lead to healthy ecosystem functions such as

balanced predator-prey interactions (Coleman and Koenig 2010). However, the effects of climate

change and other anthropogenic disturbances further exacerbate this balance (Coleman and

Koenig 2010). In the northeastern Gulf, competition is also driven by declines in fish populations

after periodic harmful algal blooms, increased fish predation by the invasive lionfish, and the

2010 BP Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill (Green et al. 2012, Lewis et al. 2020, Powell and Wells

2011). Another potential reason for depredation by dolphins in Florida is intentional feeding.

Higher incidence of food provisioning escalates depredation because conditioned dolphins learn

that humans offer the potential opportunity for a meal (Powell et al. 2018, Samuels and Bejder

2004). This conditioned behavior may be passed on to social associates and younger individuals

through cultural transmission (Christiansen et al. 2016, Herzing 2005, Wells 2003).

       While bottlenose dolphins are not threatened or endangered under the Endangered

Species Act, they are protected under the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA) of 1972 and

require conservation consideration in the United States. Bycatch, feeding, and intentional harm

are deemed “takes” under the MMPA and are thus prohibited except under specific permits

issued by protected species managers (MMPA 1972). Permits for takes are based on level of

potential biological removal (PBR), calculated based on estimated population size, reproduction

                                                                                                    2
rate, and a recovery factor (MMPA 1972). Take associated with bycatch is hard to avoid due to

its unintentional nature, but other activities like feeding and retaliation are intentional and

avoidable behaviors that constitute harassment and are always considered illegal (MMPA 1972).

By reducing illegal feeding, depredation interactions will also likely be reduced and angler

frustration with dolphins and associated occurrence of retaliation may also be slowed or halted.

       To more thoroughly understand the effects of depredation on bottlenose dolphin

populations in the Gulf, it is important to study the systems that create opportunities for

depredation to take place (Read 2008, Tixier et al. 2020). While there have been prior studies of

bottlenose dolphin depredation on rod and reel fisheries in Florida and Gulf of Mexico waters,

they often did not incorporate fisheries data, while many others focused on crab pot, gillnet, and

troll fisheries (Noke and Odell 2002, Powell and Wells 2011, Reichmont et al. 2018, Shippee et

al. 2017, Zollett and Read 2006). Despite these examples, there is little understanding of the

impact of dolphin depredation on rod and reel private and for-hire fisheries.

       Rod and reel fisheries can be more complicated for data collection because there are often

several different relevant fishing modes that fall under this category (National Research Council

Ocean Studies Board 2006, Powers and Anson 2016). For instance, individuals can participate in

rod and reel fishing off of a private vessel, or a group of people can take part in a fishing charter

that is owned and operated by another party. Individuals can also fish off of a headboat that is

operated similarly to a fishing charter. Despite differences in fishing mode, all of these

approaches use the same types of rod and reel gear and likely target the same species, making

them all potential opportunities for depredation. However, surveys interested in understanding

depredation may only target boat captains or may only be surveying anglers at limited access

                                                                                                        3
points, missing important and relevant information from anglers (National Research Council

Ocean Studies Board 2006, Powers and Anson 2016).

       While depredation has been studied in other fisheries, none have closely examined trends

in depredation for rod and reel private and for-hire anglers. Recreational fishing, and rod and reel

angling in particular, is important in the Gulf of Mexico, accounting for 64% of total landings

and exerting particular influence on high-value species like red snapper and red drum (Coleman

et al. 2004, Powers and Anson 2016). Using a dataset collected by the fisheries-dependent

monitoring at-sea observer program operated and maintained by the Florida Fish and Wildlife

Conservation Commission (FWC), the aim of this study is to determine whether bottlenose

dolphin depredation has increased over the last decade, where these interactions are most often

happening, which dolphin stocks are depredating most, and understand factors related to

bottlenose dolphin depredation events with rod and reel anglers. To do this, I modeled the

relationships between depredation events and several independent variables that fell into three

categories. The first two categories of independent variables I was interested in were geographic

location and behavioral characteristics of anglers and vessels. The third category examined the

relationships between depredation events and the fish being depredated. Year was also included

to determine whether depredation has been increasing over time. The dataset includes

information about whether depredation occurred in each observation, which provides the

capability to determine which relevant factors influence depredation. I also conducted a spatial

analysis to examine the geographic data visually and attempt to determine which dolphin stocks

were depredating. Creating context on the specifics of depredation, such as whether it is

increasing, where it is happening, what fish are most often targeted, which dolphin stocks are

                                                                                                    4
depredating, and what techniques anglers are using while on-board is important for future

research on potential mitigation strategies for depredation.

Materials and Methods
Data Source
       The dataset used was collected as part of the FWC fisheries-dependent monitoring at-sea

observer program, which consisted of observations recorded by FWC fisheries observers on rod

and reel fishing trips between 2009 and 2020. Observations run along the Florida gulf coast,

although some are located in Alabama waters (Figure 1). Each observation represented one fish

caught by an angler. For each observation, there were >100 associated variables recorded by the

observer to provide context for the conditions that gave rise to the fish being caught and released

or kept by the angler. Observations were identified by a reference number that was created using

the date of the trip, a trip number for that date, and a station number that the vessel was fishing

at. Stations were unique to the trip and were organized in chronological order from the beginning

of the trip (the first station) to the end of the trip (the last station). At each station, another

variable identified the chronological order in which fish were caught in. Although the dataset is

extremely comprehensive, there are instances where an observer did not record all fish caught

during the trip, particularly on larger vessels where there may have been visual impairments or

too many anglers for the observer to keep a constant record.

        Events that were considered depredation were recorded as a factor under a variable that

included several values describing potential actions that could happen to the fish following

release. This variable was only recorded upon discard, so it was only possible to analyze

depredation events that happened following release, although it is important to note that

depredation is most often reported by anglers as removal of captured fish still on the line prior to

                                                                                                      5
bringing on-board the vessel. Additionally, this variable did not specify the species of marine

mammal involved in the interaction. However, spotted dolphins and bottlenose dolphins are the

only two marine mammal species that can be found on the continental shelf in the Gulf of

Mexico, and of those two species, bottlenose is the only one associated with depredation,

scavenging, and begging behavior (Balmer et al. 2016, Samuels and Bejder 2004, Powell and

Wells 2011, Powell et al. 2018, Tixier 2020). To use this dataset, I assumed that all depredating

marine mammals included in the dataset were bottlenose dolphins because all depredation events

occurred on the continental shelf (Figure 1).

 Figure 1. Map of the gulf coast of Florida indicating all observations in the FWC fisheries dependent
monitoring at-sea observer program dataset, with depredation events highlighted as stars. The continental
                                    shelf is indicated in lighter blue.

                                                                                                        6
Independent variables used in the final models were chosen based on initial examinations

of the dataset and their potential to influence dolphin behavior. Many of the variables deemed

potentially important for this study were factors rather than continuous variables. I chose to use

water depth and location based on Florida Fish and Wildlife’s fishing zone area codes to

examine the relationship between geographic location and depredation events. The zone codes

were designated based on latitude and longitude and provided one variable that integrated these

two factors together (Figure 2). The second group of variables included the vessel type, the

fishing mode, and the number of anglers fishing. The vessel types included charter, headboat,

multi-day trips, and research trips. Multi-day and research trips took place on-board charter and

headboat vessels, but were categorized separately and made up a very small portion of the

dataset. Fishing modes included anchored fishing, drift fishing, trolling, and holding, also known

as idling. The variables included regarding the characteristics of depredated fish included the

taxonomic family of fish, fish fork length (length of the fish from front of face to middle of the

tail) and whether the fish was vented before release. The use of bait was originally included as a

variable, but was later eliminated from consideration because it had a very low amount of

complete observations, which both reduced the model’s ability to accurately predict its

occurrence and severely truncated the dataset. Another variable that was ultimately discarded

was whether the fish was alive or dead on release, but all depredation events were on fish that

were alive. Year was included into the model to determine whether depredation was increasing

over time.

                                                                                                     7
Figure 2. Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission fishing area code map. Provided by FWC.

Data Preparation
      All data manipulation and analysis was completed using R 3.6.1 software (R Core Team,

2019). To isolate the ‘preyed upon by a marine mammal’ value of the actions post-release

variable, a new binary depredation variable was created, where 1 referred to all instances where

the ‘preyed upon by marine mammal’ value was found, and all other observations were 0 (Figure

1).

       Fish species were truncated to a taxonomic family level to reduce the number of levels

for the variable. Initially, there were 230 individual fish species originally recorded in the

dataset, including reef fishes, demersal fishes, large pelagics, elasmobranchs, and cephalopods

(Table 1). Once these observations were reduced to the family level, there were still 65 families,

many with very few observations. Thus, due to the size of the dataset, only families with >1,000

observations in the complete dataset were included as separate factors, and all other families

were included under one ‘other’ factor (Table 1). Five families were separated with >1,000

observations and 55 families were combined into the ‘other’ category (Table 1). Although this

                                                                                                     8
removed some families from individual consideration in the model, I felt that these divisions

were more representative of the most commonly captured fish and could accurately display the

variability I wanted to address.
  Fish Family                                                 Species Included

                 Gray triggerfish, ocean triggerfish, queen triggerfish
    Balistidae
                 African Pompano, almaco jack, amberjacks, Atlantic bumper, Atlantic moonfish, banded
   Carangidae
                 rudderfish, bar jack, bigeye scad, blue runner, crevalle jack, greater amberjack, horse-eye jack,
                 jacks and pompanos*, leatherjacket, lesser amberjack, mackerel scad, permit, rainbow runner,
                 round scad, rough scad, yellow jack
   Haemulidae
                 Bluestriped grunt, cottonwick, French grunt, margate, tomtate, white grunt, pigfish, porkfish

   Lutjanidae    Cubera snapper, dog snapper, gray snapper, lane snapper, mutton snapper, red snapper,
                 schoolmaster, yellowtail snapper, vermillion snapper

                 Bank sea bass, black grouper, black sea bass, butter hamlet, coney, creole-fish, gag, goliath
   Serranidae    grouper, graysby, red grouper, red hind, rock hind, rock sea bass, sand perch, scamp,
                 soapfishes*, Spanish flag, yellowmouth grouper, tattler, whitespotted soapfish, yellowedge
                 grouper
                 Atlantic bonito, Atlantic croaker, Atlantic mackerel, Atlantic sharpnose shark, Atlantic
                 spadefish, Atlantic thread herring, banded jawfish, bandtail searobin, bandtail puffer, bank
                 butterflyfish, bank cusk-eel, baitfish, barracudas*, batfishes*, Bermuda chub, bigeyes*, bighead
                 searobin, blackbar drum, blackbelly rosefish, blackedge moray, blackfin tuna, blackline tilefish,
                 blacknose shark, blacktip shark, blackwing searobin, blowfishes*, bluefishes*, blueline tilefish,
                 blue parrotfish, bonnethead, bull shark, cero, chub mackerel, clearnose skate, cobia, checkered
                 puffer, common moray, common puffer, conger eel, cubbyu, doctorfish, dolphinfish, dusky
                 damselfish, dusky flounder, dusky shark, filefishes*, finetooth shark, Florida smoothhound,
                 flounders*, gafftopsail catfish, great barracuda, grass porgy, gray angelfish, green moray,
                 guaguanche, gulf flounder, gulf toadfish, hammerhead shark, hardhead catfish, high-hat,
                 hogfishes*, inshore lizardfish, jawfishes*, jolthead porgy, king mackerel, knobbed porgy,
                 lefteye flounder, ladyfish, lemon shark, leopard toadfish, lionfish, little tunny, littlehead porgy,
      Other      lizardfishes*, loggerhead sea turtle, longspine squirrelfish, mackerels*, morays*, Northern
                 sennet, Northern puffer, nurse shark, ocellated frogfish, oceanic puffer, ocellated flounder,
                 ocellated moray, octopus*, orange filefish, oyster toadfish, pearly razorfish, pinfishes*,
                 planehead filefish, porgies*, puddingwife, red drum, red mullet, red porgy, redband parrotfish,
                 remora, requiem shark, reticulate moray, sailfish, sandbar shark, sanddabs, sand diver, sand
                 seatrout, sand tilefish, saucereye porgy, scaled sardine, scorpionfishes*, scrawled cowfish,
                 scrawled filefish, sea robins*, sharks*, sharksuckers*, sharpnose lizardfish, sheepshead, short
                 bigeye, silky shark, slippery dick, silver seatrout, smooth dogfish, smooth puffer, snakefish,
                 Southern flounder, Southern sennet, Southern stingray, Southern puffer, Spanish hogfish,
                 Spanish mackerel, Spanish sardine, spiny dogfish, spiny lobster, spinycheek scorpionfish,
                 spinner shark, spot, spotfin hogfish, spottail pinfish, spotted moray, spotted scorpionfish,
                 spotted seatrout, squirrelfishes*, stingrays*, striped burrfish, tiger shark, tilefishes*, toadfishes*,
                 tripletail, turtles*, unicorn filefish, wahoo, white marlin, whitebone porgy, whitefin sharksucker,
                 yellowcheek wrasse
          Table 1. Fish species included in truncated taxonomic family groups. Species denoted with an
                  asterisk were only identified at the genus level by the at-sea observer.

                                                                                                                      9
Many of the depredation events happened on the same trip or at the same station, so that

those observations were not independent. To account for this issue, a binary lag variable was

created where 0 was used for all observations before the depredation event on a trip and 1

included the depredation event and all subsequent observations on the trip. The lag variable was

incorporated as an independent variable in all models.

Modeling
      I developed a generalized linear model (GLM) to examine the potential influence of

independent variables listed above on the occurrence of depredation. I used binomial regression

to portray the proportional distribution of depredation events to all other observations. The

dataset consisted of 333,912 observations with 110,575 complete observations ultimately

included in modeling. This subset of the data included 269 depredation events. The original

model included all independent variables but was parsed to find the model with the best fit.

Model Selection and Analysis
      Model summaries, Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) and a chi-squared analysis of

variance (ANOVA) were all methods used in tandem to determine the model with the best fit to

the data. I used the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) to test for collinearity and the ratio of

deviance and residual degrees of freedom to assess dispersion. I verified the goodness-of-fit of

the selected model using r.squaredGLMM, which calculates the amount of variation that can be

described by the variables. Coefficients were transformed using inv.logit to determine the

probabilities of the effects of each predictor variable on depredation events.

Spatial Analysis
        A spatial analysis was conducted using ESRI’s ArcGIS Pro software (ESRI Inc. 2021).

Points were generated to designate all observations using the latitude and longitude coordinates

recorded in the fishery observer dataset. Spatial data for Gulf of Mexico bottlenose dolphin

                                                                                                   10
stocks was provided by NMFS, and was used to determine which stocks were depredating based

on where depredation happened in the fishery observer dataset. An examination of the

frequencies of depredation events was also conducted in each fishing zone to understand where

depredation hot spots occurred.

Results
       After examining the summaries of parsed models with various combinations of the

predictors, I determined that the most parsimonious model had the best fit (ANOVA: p
of all depredated fish (Table 2, Table 3). In comparison, the Carangidae family, made up of

jacks, pompanos, and scad, made up only 0.01% of all observations and 4% of depredated fish,

but was also a significant factor in the model (Table 2, Table 3).

                                        Table 2. Results of the GLM.

Serranidae, or grouper and sea bass species, made up 0.03% of all observations but 14% of

depredated fish (Table 3). The ‘other’ category only had 0.004% depredation out of all

observations, but made up 1.49% of all observations, so although the frequency of depredation

was low, the variable was still significant (Table 2, Table 3). While these families were

depredated, the frequency of depredation on Lutjanidae species is much higher (Table 3).

                                                                                                12
Table 3. Table indicating frequency of depredation events on each fish family within the context of the
                                     entire dataset of observations.

       More recent years since 2015 were significant in the model, with the exception of 2016

(Table 2, Figure 3). 2012 had a high number of depredation events and the largest frequency of

depredation events out of all observations, but it was not significant (Figure 3, Table 2). This

may also be attributed to the large number of observations that year, which was more than any

other year in the dataset.

            Figure 3. Frequency of depredation occurrences out of all observations per year.

                                                                                                       13
The spatial analysis informed where depredation events are occurring and which dolphins

are depredating. Using spatial data relaying the boundaries of dolphin stocks along the gulf coast,

I was able to determine that bottlenose dolphins from the northern coastal stock are those most

often depredating in the waters off Panama City and Destin, Florida (Figure 4). Bottlenose

dolphins from the eastern coastal stock are depredating near Clearwater, Florida (Figure 4). The

coastal stocks are most often found between coastline beaches and the 20 meter isobath, whereas

bay stocks are found in coastal bays and estuaries (Balmer et al. 2019, Figure 4). The bay stocks

rarely leave those enclosed ranges and thus are less likely to be depredating out on the

continental shelf (Balmer et al. 2019, Figure 4). While the locations in the panhandle were both

significant in the model, the location off the coast of Clearwater was not, but the

 Figure 4. Map of bottlenose dolphin stocks and depredation events in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
             Bathymetry data developed by Scripps Institute of Oceanography at UCSD.

                                                                                                     14
frequency of observations that had depredation events in the Clearwater fishing zone was much

lower than the frequencies found in panhandle fishing zones (Table 2, Figure 5).

Figure 5. Percent of observations that include depredation in each geographic fishing zone designated by
                                FWC in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Discussion
       The variables that were significant in the model point to a combination of foraging theory

and prey preference as reasons for increased depredation. The probability of a depredation event

occurring was high in the Panama City and Destin areas, where there has already been a high

percentage of depredation events between 2009 and 2020 (Table 2, Figure 5). Thus, our data

                                                                                                      15
backs up the evidence observed in Panama City and Destin that conditioned dolphins with more

access to human interactions are more likely to depredate. Since the 1980s, there is ample

evidence of food provisioning in the northeastern gulf to high numbers of wild dolphins, who

become conditioned to initiate begging and scavenging when vessels and people are nearby

(NMFS 1994, Powell et al. 2018, Samuels and Bejder 2004). In these cases, conditioned

dolphins engaged with humans between 73-77% of the time when a human stimulus was within

50 meters (Powell et al. 2018).

       Feeding dolphins to encourage them to participate in swim-with programs is another

widely practiced means for food provisioning in the Panama City and Destin areas, and also

increases opportunities for dolphins to become conditioned to foraging for food provided by

humans (Powell et al. 2018, Samuels and Bejder 2004, S. Horstman 2021, personal

communication). Although securing food provisions the dolphin with energy, prey search and

capture require both time and energy as inputs. To maximize fitness, dolphins adopt foraging

tactics that provide the most energy from prey at the lowest cost in terms of conserving time and

energy (Torres and Read 2009, Weiss 2006). Traits like high plasticity and knowledge transfer

between conspecifics make it easier for bottlenose dolphins to find and exploit foraging tactics

based around human behaviors, such as food provisioning and fishing, for their own benefit

(Torres and Read 2009, Weiss 2006). One study on bottlenose dolphins in Florida observed that

individuals that specialized in a foraging tactic would focus on using only that tactic as much as

possible, and even limit their spatial distribution to facilitate the use of their specialized foraging

technique (Torres and Read, 2009). Powell et al. (2018) witnessed two conditioned dolphins who

were known beggars directly attempting to depredate from recreational anglers in Panama City,

                                                                                                     16
indicating that these foraging tactics all fall under the same specialization skill set for bottlenose

dolphins.

       There are three coastal stocks of bottlenose dolphins that stay within the bounds of the

continental shelf break in the Gulf of Mexico, as well as 31 smaller stocks that primarily reside

in bay, sound, and estuary (BSE) areas with more restricted ranges than the coastal stocks

(Balmer et al. 2019). Seven BSE stocks and one coastal stock can be found in the Florida

panhandle alone (Figure 4, Balmer et al. 2016, NMFS 2016). There is minimal spatial overlap

between BSE and coastal stocks in the Panama City and Destin areas, the groups are rarely

sighted together, and stocks have significant genetic differentiation (Balmer et al. 2016, Balmer

et al. 2019, Sellas et al. 2005). The coastal stock can often be found swimming along shore, and

is more often the stock targeted for food provisioning and swim-with programs by beach goers

and tourism ventures, although individuals from both stocks have been documented being

provisioned (Figure 4, Balmer et al. 2016). Animals in the same stock are more likely to exhibit

social transmission, so the dolphins that learn to forage by means of human interaction near the

beach are able to spread that knowledge to others and ultimately increase depredation at

nearshore reefs on the continental shelf (Herzing 2005, Wells 2003). In 2016, the northern

coastal stock was estimated to be around ~ 7000 individuals, while the St. Andrews Bay stock

found in the bays around Panama City is estimated at ~200 individuals (Balmer et al. 2019).

Both stocks are experiencing mortality and serious injury at rates higher than their PBR (NMFS

2016, NOAA 2019). Behavior resulting from provisioned dolphins by both dolphins and anglers

include depredation and retaliation. Thus, one or more of the mitigation practices outlined below

need to be implemented in the Panama City and Destin areas immediately in order to eliminate

                                                                                                    17
the occurrence of these behaviors, reducing incidence of depredation events for anglers and

serious injury and mortality for dolphins.

       I determined that for each unit increase in the number of anglers, the probability of a

depredation event occurring also increased (Table 2). More anglers fishing in one area are more

likely to be noticed and depredated by conditioned dolphins foraging for food, particularly since

bottlenose dolphins have been documented begging and scavenging around fishing boats once

they realize that there are opportunities for food (Samuels and Bejder 2004, Shippee et al. 2017,

Powell et al. 2018). Conditioned dolphins have also been documented repeatedly returning to

areas where anglers normally fish to forage, or restricting their range to only include those areas

(Cantor et al. 2018). Thus, in Panama City and Destin where dolphins have already become

closely associated with humans, it is likely that they have learned to follow boats to known

fishing sites and end up staying in the area. Another study also reported bottlenose dolphins

responding to fish vocalizations by turning towards the sound and increasing echolocation

frequency, which would also be more likely around boats with many anglers at a large fishing

ground (Gannon et al. 2005). Ultimately, it is understandable that this variable is significant

while others examining angler behavior are not. Vessel type and fishing mode are more human-

centric variables, whereas number of anglers more directly considers dolphin sensation and

behavior.

       The Lutjanidae family, which includes snapper and schoolmaster species, were

depredated in 78% of all depredation events, indicating a high overall level of depredation in

comparison to all other families (Table 3). This could be attributed to dolphin foraging theory,

but may also indicate a prey preference for bottlenose dolphins in the Gulf. There is evidence

that marine mammals target prey based on quality rather than focusing solely on quantity

                                                                                                   18
because the metabolic cost of living is correlated with diet quality (Spitz et al. 2012).

Additionally, bottlenose dolphin prey preference for soniferous fishes (such as species found in

the Lutjanid, Serranid and Carangid families) has been demonstrated in Florida (McCabe et al.

2010). Consistency in the diet of bottlenose dolphins residing in a restricted range has been

demonstrated in Florida, indicating that populations do exhibit prey preference, and prey species

recorded in the study examining bottlenose dolphin stomach contents included snapper species

(Dunshea et al. 2013). Additionally, anglers in the field have observed bottlenose dolphins

exhibiting prey preference for snapper species (J. Powell 2021, personal communication). Thus,

there is a high likelihood that bottlenose dolphins off the Gulf coast of Florida do prefer those

species and target them specifically as prey.

       The frequency of snapper depredated is important to consider for Gulf of Mexico anglers,

who target red snapper under strictly managed regulations such as shortened catch seasons and

required discards of fish smaller than the legal size limit. After discarding fish below the legal

limit and watching them be depredated by dolphins, anglers may become more frustrated with

the imposed regulations and thus report depredation more frequently. This has also been

suggested by Shippee et al. (2017) as a reason for increased complaints. This increase in

complaints is justified given our results, which show that over time, depredation is increasing.

While the frequency of depredation events stayed fairly even over time except for a large number

in 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 and 2019 were all significant to the model, indicating that there was a

higher probability of depredation happening in those years (Figure 3, Table 2). There was not

enough data from 2020 recorded at the launch of this study to determine a continuation of the

trend. Depredation is part of a harmful cycle of human interactions with dolphins, and since

anglers are struggling to deal with increasing events and their effects on economically important

                                                                                                     19
catch, it is imperative that changes are implemented sooner rather than later to reduce this

particular trend.

       Several studies have focused on venting as a means for mitigating barotrauma in reef fish

that may be impaired after being caught (Drumhiller et al. 2014, Pulver 2017). While venting has

demonstrated improvements in recovery for fish and has been thought to assist them in evading

predatory marine mammals, it was not significant in this study and was not included in the final

model (Drumhiller et al. 2014). However, using barotrauma mitigation tactics as a preventative

measure against depredation may be useful for anglers. There is evidence that anglers prefer

other barotrauma mitigation methods, such as descending devices, and that these may be better at

preventing depredation from dolphins as well as other large predators such as sharks because the

behavior of the fish on a descending device is more fluid and natural, rather than erratic (Ayala

2020, Curtis et al. 2019, Shippee et al. 2017). However, there is also anecdotal evidence that

bottlenose dolphins can learn to depredate fish off descending devices in short periods of time (J.

Powell 2021, personal communication). This is not surprising given the high plasticity and

preference for low cost foraging behavior that bottlenose dolphins are known for, particularly in

uncommon habitats and across varying prey sources (Torres and Read 2009, Weiss 2006).

       Other potential mitigation techniques for reducing the occurrence of dolphin depredation

events include the use of deterrents such as acoustic pingers, gear modifications, and avoidance.

Deterrent devices and gear modifications are often used as mitigation techniques for marine

mammal bycatch, but have also been studied in the context of reducing depredation (Dawson et

al. 2013, Hamer et al. 2015, McPherson 2011, Tixier et al. 2020, Zollett and Read 2006). While

both methods have demonstrated some success at deterring marine mammals from depredating, a

comparison of the two in a review of depredation mitigation techniques showed that gear

                                                                                                    20
modifications have emerged as the more promising method, particularly for foraging bottlenose

dolphins, where conclusions on pinger usage have been mixed (Dawson et al. 2013, Hamilton

and Baker 2019, Tixier et al. 2020). While some groups have seen small reductions in

depredation when pingers are used, a complete elimination of depredation using this method has

never been described, and there are no examples of long term pinger use in any fishery (Dawson

et al. 2013). In fact, the use of pingers for bottlenose dolphins has been linked to the “dinner bell

effect” whereby bottlenose dolphins become habituated to the sound and use it to determine

where to depredate, despite gear type, due to their characteristic food motivation (Cox et al.

2004, Dawson et al. 2013). However, a potential gear modification for rod and reel use was

created and tested on the Florida king mackerel commercial troll fishery in 2006, and was

successful at deterring bottlenose dolphins from depredating without reducing catch (Zollett and

Read 2006). Further studies using this methodology may be helpful for private and for-hire

anglers to determine whether it should be expanded as an option for reducing depredation. In

practice, both acoustic pingers and gear modifications create supplementary economic burdens

for anglers, because they become responsible for purchasing pingers or new gear and may need

to hire more crew members to help with new methods for catch (Dawson et al. 2013, Hamer et

al. 2015). The method most widely accepted as best for depredation mitigation is avoidance,

because it is the only method that relies on human behavior to implement (Fader et al. 2021,

Werner et al. 2015). There are two tactics for avoidance: moving on from sites where dolphins

are and targeting fishing times and locations where dolphins can be avoided altogether (Tixier et

al. 2020). While avoidance is seen as a safer and more effective way to prevent depredation, it

may increase costs for anglers because they must travel more to move on from a fishing site

where dolphins are depredating or to get to sites where they know that dolphins may not be

                                                                                                   21
(Tixier et al. 2020). It also may require more planning and consideration for dolphin behavior

than other methods, which may be burdensome for some anglers (Werner et al. 2015). However,

implementing avoidance in the Gulf for a set period of time may cause dolphins to develop other

foraging techniques to account for losses from depredation, giving anglers more flexibility in the

long term for fishing where they would like.

       As bottlenose dolphin depredation continues to be problematic for anglers, this study

provides more understanding of the trends that may be contributing to the issue, and can be used

to inform protected species management concerned with preserving local bottlenose dolphin

populations and anglers hoping to reduce interactions with dolphins. The variables deemed

significant by the model definitively point to the problems with food provisioning in Panama

City and Destin as management issues that need to be addressed. A reduction in illegal dolphin

feeding would likely prevent increases in dolphin scavenging, begging, and depredation, or even

reduce depredation over time. While reducing the number of anglers and targeting non-preferred

prey species will likely also reduce depredation, these would be unrealistic recommendations.

However, these trends do warrant consideration for fisheries and protected species management

as fundamental dynamics of the interactions between dolphins and anglers in the Gulf and

knowledge of their roles will be important for future studies of dolphin depredation. These trends

point to learned dolphin foraging tactics and prey preference as reasons for increasing

depredation in the Gulf, and mitigation techniques need to be implemented in order to reverse the

effects of these behaviors. Ultimately, other studies are needed to address the gaps in knowledge

for rod and reel depredation. Several reviews of depredation studies and mitigation techniques

echo this opinion, as data for closely examining the effects of depredation and mitigation in

different fisheries systems are often lacking or incomplete (Tixier et al. 2020, Werner et al.

                                                                                                 22
2015). A more direct approach to studying these interactions would be useful to complement the

results found using the fishery observer dataset and could incorporate an examination of

potential mitigation techniques like barotrauma mitigation tools, deterrent devices, and

avoidance tactics. This study examined data from for-hire fishing vessels, which includes several

relevant stakeholder groups, but excludes private anglers. Future studies able to incorporate data

from private anglers would be better for diagnosing issues with depredation in the Gulf by

incorporating data from all affected rod and reel groups, providing more information about who

is depredated, although according to our research, it is likely that for-hire vessels experience

more depredation because there are more anglers with lines in the water. Examining the use of

bait as a trend for depredation would also be applicable. I attempted to look at bait, but there was

a large amount of missing data which rendered the variable not useful for the model. Finally,

expanding study of bottlenose dolphin depredation events on rod and reel angling ventures

across the entire Gulf of Mexico would provide managers with more information and allow them

to apply mitigation techniques more holistically across the region. It would also provide

justification for other anglers who are concerned about depredation in their areas. Ultimately,

human interactions with bottlenose dolphins are hard to avoid in the Gulf. However, increasing

food provisioning and swim-with programs has led to an increase in depredation events that is

proving detrimental to local anglers. This cycle must be broken in order to reverse these trends

and give dolphins the space they need to learn to forage without the assistance of humans.

                                                                                                   23
Acknowledgements

I would like to thank the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, and particularly

Oscar Ayala, for sharing the data used to generate this report, Will Cioffi for consulting on

coding for edits to the dataset and statistical analyses and Matt Duggan for his help sorting fish

species.

                                                                                                     24
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