MIND THE GAPHow data, digital and - technology can help Scotland recover from Covid-19, transform health & social care and boost our economy
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MIND THE GAP How data, digital and technology can help Scotland recover from Covid-19, transform health & social care and boost our economy
Mind the Gap CONTENTS 1 SUMMARY 7 INTRODUCTION Recovery and Resilience after COVID-19: Ambition, Innovation & Investment in Health & Social Care 15 CHAPTER 1 Data Saves Lives, Time & Money: Social & Economic Gains of Closing the Data Gap 23 CHAPTER 2 Strategy 28 CHAPTER 3 Culture & Leadership 34 CHAPTER 4 Skills 41 CHAPTER 5 Infrastructure 45 CONCLUSION Our Key Recommendation 47 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 5
Mind the Gap SUMMARY Closing Scotland’s Data Gap COVID-19 has tested Scotland like perhaps never before. From the NHS to care homes to community pharmacy, health & social care are on the frontline of our emergency response to the global pandemic. The sector has made important progress in harnessing data, digital and technology to tackle the virus – particularly through the Test and Protect strategy, the Protect Scotland app, the expansion of online video consultations and more timely ethical data sharing. But there is much more still to do. Even before the pandemic, Scotland faced a series of major and escalating public health challenges and crises which will continue to damage our society and the economy if they are not tackled, preventing our nation and its people from achieving our potential. We need to learn the lessons of COVID-19. A healthy society is essential for a healthy economy. Access to real- world health & social care data has informed and enhanced decision-making and policymaking throughout the crisis, helping to identify and control outbreaks, develop appropriate restrictions and roll out vaccines. Long-term, strategic investment in health & social care innovation is critical. New and emerging technologies – enabled and underpinned by ethical, robust and secure data – can and should play a vital role in transforming health & social care. Nations which recognised these priorities long before the pandemic – albeit with different political and health systems, such as Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan – have better utilised data, digital and technology to respond more swiftly and more successfully to the virus. Their action and investment has saved lives, protected livelihoods and minimised disruption to daily life. If we act now to close Scotland’s Data Gap between the health & social care data we have and the health & social care data we need, there will be big social and economic gains for everyone. As we look to recover and build resilience from the COVID-19 crisis, it has never been more important. Scotland’s Data Gap Health & Social Care data we collect, utilise or share V Health & Social Care data we need and could collect, utilise or share 1
Mind the Gap Our Vision for 2024 Our vision is of a health & social care sector transformed by the Fourth Industrial Revolution, harnessing data, digital and technology to close Scotland’s Data Gap, deliver big social and economic gains and improve public health to among the best in Western Europe by 2040. We believe Scotland can become a world leader in data, digital and technology in public health, attracting health & social care professionals and researchers, entrepreneurs and innovators, investors and industry, from around the world. We believe Scotland can build on our strengths across the public, private and third sectors to close the Data Gap. Our nationally integrated, publicly owned NHS is globally unique. Our data, life sciences and tech sectors are diverse, growing and supported by a renowned ecosystem of world-class academics, research universities and new centres of expertise and innovation. However, in the global recovery from COVID-19, Scotland has a narrow window of opportunity to establish itself as a world leader and to win the global race for investment, jobs and inclusive growth to boost our economy. Researchers and industry are primarily interested in insights from aggregated, anonymised data at a regional and national level, rather than identifiable health & social care data at an individual level, which could potentially breach personal privacy if not used in the right way. Personal health & social care data must be ethical, secure and anonymised as far as possible with robust and transparent governance arrangements. Data must be trustworthy Social and Economic Gains Data saves lives, time and money. Harnessing and sharing data, digital and technology in health & social care can deliver big gains for patients and service users, staff, communities and taxpayers through improved care, better outcomes, higher productivity, lower costs and new jobs. Scotland’s health & social care data could be worth an estimated £800 million every year for our society and our economy. Big Data Analytics could also deliver an estimated £5.4 billion in savings for NHS Scotland, 38% of its current budget and three times its predicted budget shortfall by 2025, which could be reinvested in health & social care. The health tech sector could be Scotland’s next key growth sector to rival FinTech. Overview of Social and Economic Gains Social J Saving lives and delivering better outcomes for patients and service users J Improving physical and mental health, wellbeing and quality of life J Reducing health inequalities Economic J Attracting investment and creating jobs J Reducing economic inactivity and sickness absence J Increasing productivity and inclusive growth J Easing demand pressures on health & social care staff and services J Delivering value and protecting the long-term future of the NHS 2
Mind the Gap Four Pillars of a New Data Strategy for Health & Social Care We welcome the Scottish Government’s commitment in the Programme for Government 2020/21 to ‘create a dedicated data strategy for health & social care for the first time’. We believe that this new national Data Strategy – due to be published later in 2021 – should be backed by a Health & Social Care Transformation Fund which invests in strengthening four key pillars to close Scotland’s Data Gap: STRATEGY CULTURE & SKILLS INFRASTRUCTURE LEADERSHIP Developing Empowering Investing Modernising and an ambitious, leaders to drive in reskilling, upgrading health collaborative change by building upskilling and & social care and innovative an ambitious and lifelong learning infrastructure national approach collaborative to develop a to build a single to harnessing national culture health & social national data data to transform of innovation in care workforce architecture health & social data, digital and better equipped which integrates care which technology. to harness systems, enables maximises social data, digital and ethical data and economic technology. sharing and gains. creates secure digital health records. The Scottish Government is leading the development of the new Data Strategy. However, the new Data Strategy and the Transformation Fund should also be designed and delivered in partnership with the diversity of partners and stakeholders across the sector – especially citizens, patients and service users, and including the voice of staff and industry – to build understanding, trust, support and agency across our society and our economy as the foundation for the future of health & social care. SCOTLAND’S DATA STRATEGY FOR HEALTH & SOCIAL CARE Strategy Culture & Leadership Skills Infrastructure Trust & Transparency 3
Mind the Gap Strategy Successful small nations are more agile and can unite behind a national mission. Scotland is small enough to link and manage health & social care data together nationwide, while also big enough to provide a demographic critical mass for research and insights by global academia, industry and others. But Scotland’s historic approach to health & social care data innovation has often been incremental. There has been a failure to scale-up nationally. Despite the extraordinary spirit of partnership and collaboration during the pandemic, the health & social care landscapes remain complex, fragmented and siloed. The lack of a common commitment or approach to issues such as data standards or governance is a barrier to collecting, sharing and harnessing ethical and secure data. The new Scottish approach should be focused on driving forward innovation at pace and at scale for the benefit of all. The new Data Strategy for Health & Social Care in Scotland will be an essential part of our recovery from COVID-19 and must be aligned – in its design and in its delivery – with Scotland’s many other relevant strategies for the sector. Culture & Leadership Change should be people-led to overcome cultural barriers. NHS Scotland, service providers and health & social care professionals should be risk-aware rather than risk-averse, flexible to new ways of working and open to collaboration for the common good with public, private and third sector partners. There should be strong, joined-up leadership at a political level and across government and the public sector to drive change and build a national culture of innovation. Health & social care needs to attract, retain and nurture data champions at all levels and in all areas, as well as act to increase workforce diversity. Senior leaders and decision-makers need to have the personal and professional experience and expertise which the sector needs to understand, support and implement cultural and technological change. There needs to be more action to invest in data research and innovation, identify and spread best practice and accelerate national scale-up. Public Health Scotland’s Data Driven Innovation directorate could act as such a hub for Scotland’s national culture of health & social care data innovation. Skills Health & social care’s workforce has proven extraordinarily flexible and resilient in its emergency response to COVID-19. But they will need support to adapt to the disruption of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, working alongside technology to harness data. Existing roles will change, new ones will be created, some may be displaced. The health & social care workforce of the future will need to be data and digital ready. 90% of all NHS jobs will require digital skills by 2040. Everyone will need to be data and digital literate, as well as understand data privacy and security. Many will need to interpret data to gain insights and deliver applied intelligence. Some will need practical skills to service, maintain and protect tech infrastructure. The sector’s informatics workforce of data scientists and analysts will require investment to expand Big Data Analytics capacity. Reskilling, upskilling and lifelong learning for all health & social care workers, at all stages and in all careers will be essential. Developing knowledge and skills in data, digital and technology, and exploring related ethical and safety issues, should be a core part of all health & social care learning, from undergraduate and postgraduate degrees to work-based learning and CPD. Employers and educators will have to keep pace with change and refresh curricula more frequently. 4
Mind the Gap Infrastructure Health & social care needs the right physical and digital infrastructure to close the Data Gap and achieve our vision. The sector lags others in the use of technology. Much of the sector is burdened with archaic, inadequate or obsolete technology and equipment. Many facilities and workers struggle without basic software and hardware or with poor connectivity. The NHS estate and Scotland’s wider health & social care infrastructure urgently requires significant investment to get the basics right, while also unlocking opportunities to prepare for an accelerated transition to a high-tech future. The sector’s myriad systems do not link to or communicate with each other, preventing access to or ethical and secure sharing of data. The openness, integration and interoperability of data sets and systems to create a single national data architecture – underpinned by common data standards – would facilitate ethical and secure data sharing at a national level and the creation of a single, comprehensive digital health record for everyone in Scotland across primary, secondary, tertiary and social care. The ongoing project by NHS Education for Scotland to build a National Digital Platform for health & social care is an important first step. Fully integrated personal data giving a holistic picture of patients’ and service users’ experiences and outcomes could then be ethically and securely accessed by health & social care professionals to enhance patient care and better inform clinical decision-making for the short-term benefit of individuals. Consistent, high quality aggregated, anonymised Big Data at a national or regional level could be accessed by researchers and innovators for the long-term benefit of all. Our Key Recommendation J The Scottish Government’s new Data Strategy for Health & Social Care should be backed by a Health & Social Care Transformation Fund which invests in Strategy, Culture & Leadership, Skills and Infrastructure to close Scotland’s Data Gap. 5
Mind the Gap INTRODUCTION Recovering from COVID-19: Innovation, Resilience & Transformation in Health & Social Care COVID-19 has tested Scotland like perhaps never video consultations has expanded massively to before. We have all made difficult sacrifices to protect enable patients and service users to consult GPs and help each other. From the NHS to care homes to remotely and safely.4 community pharmacy, health & social care are on the frontline of our emergency response to the pandemic. But there is much more still to do. Our doctors, nurses, social care professionals, Learning the Lessons of COVID-19 pharmacists and other key workers across the health & social care sector have given so much in the COVID-19 has underlined the benefits of long-term, fight against the virus, demonstrating extraordinary strategic investment in the innovation, resilience courage, commitment and skill. The sector has and transformation of health & social care and responded to the immediate challenges and the importance of access to real-world health & imperatives of the crisis by making important progress social care data. We need to learn the lessons in harnessing data, digital and technology to tackle of the pandemic and from the success of other COVID-19 and protect public health.1 nations – including those in different contexts and with different political and health systems, which Test and Protect – Scotland’s system for Scotland would not and should not replicate. implementing its ‘test, trace, isolate, support’ strategy – has gathered and utilised large quantities Singapore, Taiwan and South Korea, for example, of data to monitor, suppress and prevent the recognised this as a national priority long before transmission of the COVID-19 across the country, COVID-19 after the SARS outbreak in East Asia as well as informing decision-making about in 2002. They have had much greater success in restrictions and support for workers, businesses and suppressing or even eliminating the virus, as well communities.2 The rollout of the Protect Scotland as in minimising disruption and negative impacts of app has enlisted over 1 million citizens to help track the pandemic on their public health, societies and and control the virus.3 Access to NearMe online economies.5 They have harnessed data, digital and 1 www.digihealthcare.scot/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Scotlands-digital-health-and-care-response-to-Covid19_JUNE-2020.pdf 2 www.nhsinform.scot/campaigns/test-and-protect 3 www.protect.scot 4 www.nearme.scot 5 www.thelancet.com/journals/lanwpc/article/PIIS2666-6065(20)30044-4/fulltext 7
Mind the Gap technology to ensure less transmission and fewer Scotland’s public health challenges deaths per capita; minimise or prevent restrictions on business activity and community life; and better protect livelihoods, employment and prosperity.6 Lowest life expectancy in Western Europe 11 By investing in data, digital and technology in Scotland 79 years old health & social care to harness its full potential we Belgium 81 years old can ensure we are better prepared for the public Germany 81 years old health challenges, crises and disruptions of the Denmark 81 years old future. COVID-19 and our response to it will have Netherlands 82 years old a lasting impact, with lag effects and unintended Wales 82 years old consequences which we need to prepare for too. Northern Ireland 82 years old Norway 82 years old If we act now to close Scotland’s Data Gap between Spain 82 years old the health & social care data we have and the health England 83 years old & social care data we need, there will be big social France 83 years old and economic gains for everyone. If we fail to, the Portugal 83 years old price will be high for us and for future generations. Italy 83 years old Sweden 83 years old The pandemic has been a social, economic and health crisis which has underlined that a healthy society is essential for a healthy economy. Our physical and mental health impacts on our wellbeing and quality of life as individuals, our income and productivity as workers and the public services we Life expectancy increases have stalled in access as citizens.7 recent years However, even before the pandemic Scotland Life expenctancy at birth (years) faced a series of major and escalating public health 2017-19 challenges and crises which will continue to damage 81.1 our society and the economy if they are not tackled, preventing our nation and its people from achieving our potential.8 9 77.1 Females 75.3 Severe inequalities in outcomes are entrenched across Scotland, with life expectancy dramatically Life expenctancy lower in deprived communities. Mental health issues Males has shown from anxiety to stress to depression are affecting virtually no 69.1 improvement increasing numbers of people, especially 1980-82 since 2012-2014 young people. The costs to families, communities and taxpayers of long-term ill-health are high, as Source: www.nrscotland.gov.uk are levels of obesity, alcohol misuse and substance abuse.10 6 https://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/singapore-south_korea-taiwan-used-technology-combat-covid-19 7 www.who.int/choice/publications/d_economic_impact_guide.pdf?ua=1 8 www.gov.scot/collections/scottish-health-survey 9 www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/corporate-report/2018/06/scotlands-public-health-priorities/documents/00536757-pd f/00536757-pdf/govscot%3Adocument/00536757.pdf 10 www.gov.scot/collections/long-term-monitoring-of-health-inequalities 11 www.scotpho.org.uk/population-dynamics/healthy-life-expectancy/data/international-comparisons 8
Mind the Gap High levels of drug and alcohol abuse Entrenched health inequalities 1 in 4 people in Scotland consume alcohol at LGBT people are more than twice as likely to hazardous levels 12 attempt suicide 15 Alcohol harm costs Scotland £3.6bn every Gypsy/Travellers are twice as likely to suffer year in health & social care, crime, lost from health problems and disabilities 16 productivity and wider impacts 13 Scotland has more drug deaths per capita than any other European country 14 Females Good health Poor health 10% MOST 63.3% in 75.6 deprived 35.7% good health years areas Scotland has more drug deaths per capita 10% than any European country MOST 69.3% in 69.6 deprived 30.7% good health years Number of deaths per million people, latest available data areas SCOTLAND Males ESTONIA Good health Poor health SWEDEN 10% NORWAY MOST 84.8% in 85.4 UNITED KINGDOM IRELAND deprived good health years DENMARK areas FINLAND LITHUANIA 15.2% SLOVENIA AUSTRIA CYPRUS 10% CROATIA MOST 86.2% in 82.7 EUROPEAN UNION deprived good health years NETHERLANDS areas GERMANY LUXEMBOURG LATVIA 13.8% TURKEY MALTA The unparalleled scale and intensity of the SPAIN BELGIUM COVID-19 crisis has exacerbated the underlying ITALY FRANCE challenges of demand and capacity faced across POLAND the health & social care sector. Our NHS is facing CZECH REPUBLIC HUNGARY unprecedented pressures on its finite resources, SLOVAKIA mature infrastructure and stretched staff. The BULGARIA PORTUGAL expanding role of community pharmacy is creating ROMANIA new challenges for the sector after under- 0 50 100 150 200 investment in its workforce and infrastructure. Social Source: National Records of Scotland. Note: No data available for Greece care has been struggling to deal with the intensifying pressures of meeting demand from a rapidly ageing population. 12 www.alcohol-focus-scotland.org.uk/alcohol-information/alcohol-facts-and-figures 13 www.alcohol-focus-scotland.org.uk/alcohol-information/alcohol-facts-and-figures 14 www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/drug-related-deaths/2019/drug-related-deaths-19-pub.pdf 15 www.stonewallscotland.org.uk/our-work/stonewall-research/lgbt-scotland-%E2%80%93-health-report 16 www.gov.scot/publications/ethnic-groups-poorest-health 9
Mind the Gap Our Report Our Vision This independent report was commissioned by Data will fuel the global economy of the future. Janssen UK and authored by SCDI with input from Large, complex data sets are being generated, a Steering Group composed of representatives digitised and analysed by automation and AI to from Janssen UK, The Data Lab, ABPI Scotland, develop rich new evidence, information and insights, the University of Strathclyde and the Scottish opening a whole new plane of knowledge about Government. our people, our society and our economy, as well as enabling new and emerging technologies. Over 90% Its conclusions have been informed and shaped of the world’s data has been generated in the past by months of engagement with key stakeholders, two years alone as the Fourth Industrial Revolution leaders, experts and workers from across the health gathers pace.20 & social care, data and technology sectors. We have also listened to the insights and priorities of SCDI members from all sectors and all geographies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution Scottish economy. technologies In Numbers: Our Evidence-Build Automation = Automatic working of a machine, process or system by mechanical or electronic devices without human intervention 5 12 27 3 58 1 Partners Meetings Interviews Focus Online Literature Artificial/Assistive/Augmented Intelligence of the with groups with survey review = Set of techniques used to allow computers Steering experts responses to perform tasks normally requiring human Group and stakeholders 16 intelligence (e.g. visual perception, speech members recognition, translation, decision-making) It builds on SCDI’s other recent work in this space – Big Data Analytics = Collection, organisation including our Automatic… For the People? (2018)17, and analysis of high volume, velocity and Building a World-Leading AI and Data Strategy variety of data sets to systematically extract for an Inclusive Scotland (2019)18 and Upskilling information or insights to inform decision- Scotland (2020)19 reports – which identified the making major challenges and opportunities for Scotland in the Fourth Industrial Revolution and presented a Connected and Autonomous Vehicles = roadmap towards an AI Strategy for Scotland, which Vehicles which utilise advanced AI and sensors is now being developed. to undertake all aspects of dynamic driving tasks in all conditions without input from a In this report we propose an ambitious new vision driver for data, digital and technology in health & social cont/- care in Scotland. We identify the major priorities and urgent actions which must be taken together by the Scottish Government, NHS Scotland, industry and the other service providers and stakeholders across the sector as part of the new national Data Strategy Data-driven insights can inform and shape due to be published later in 2021. policymaking and decision-making by governments, 17 www.scdi.org.uk/policy/automatic-for-the-people 18 www.scdi.org.uk/policy/ai-and-data 19 www.scdi.org.uk/policy/skillsleadershipgroup 20 http://download.microsoft.com/documents/en-us/sam/bsadatastudy_en.pdf 10
Mind the Gap ethically and securely harness data-driven insights Digitisation = Restructuring and and innovations to create jobs, support cutting-edge transformation of processes or operations with research and attract inward investment, delivering digital technologies (e.g. computers, software, big social and economic gains for everyone in internet- and cloud-based services) Scotland. Internet of Things = Networked devices or But health & social care in Scotland today faces a sensors connected via the internet to collect, Data Gap between the health & social care data we send and receive citizen-generated data (e.g. collect, utilise or share and the health & social care via wearables) or clinician-generated data (e.g. data we need and could collect, utilise or share. hospital equipment) We believe Scotland can build on its strengths to Nanotechnology = Design, manufacture and close the Data Gap and become a world leader application of materials on a very small scale, in the fifth wave of public health. Our vision is including in the discovery and development of of a health & social care sector transformed by new medicines harnessing the technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, utilising data, digital and technology Precision Medicine = Medicine personalised to deliver big social and economic gains so that to the individual characteristics, especially Scotland’s public health is among the best in genetic profile, of each patient to deliver ‘the Western Europe by 2040. right drug, for the right patient, at the right time’ A Fifth Wave of Public Health? 21 Smart Hospitals = Facilities which embed new data, digital and automated technologies into 1 Structural – e.g. public works like clean their design, operations and delivery of care water, sewers, drainage 2 Biomedical – e.g. early scientific progress in vaccines, antibiotics businesses, scientists, workers, consumers and 3 Clinical – e.g. tackling lifestyle-related citizens alike. In every sector – not least health & diseases social care – ethical and secure data-driven insights 4 Social – e.g. tackling inequalities, social can be harnessed to develop new innovations, determinants of health design new products and services and improve 5 Technological – e.g. Big Data & Digital outcomes. Health Big Data can be utilised to monitor the effectiveness of all interventions along the care pathway. Big Scotland’s world-class academics, researchers and Data can be utilised to develop new medicines entrepreneurs, together with our universal, publicly and technologies, as well as design new forms of owned NHS, provides a globally unrivalled platform care, such as personalised and precision medicine. for innovation and competitiveness. Our NHS is Whether generated by health & social care at the heart of Scottish life with strong support professionals and service providers or by citizens, across society, politics and the economy, with a patients and service users themselves, Big Data shared commitment to make sure it is fit for the provides real-world evidence which can complement future. Scotland has a renowned life sciences sector, evidence from randomised controlled trials and a burgeoning tech sector and a pharmaceutical give us richer knowledge about outcomes. We can industry contributing £2.5bn to the Scottish 21 Adapted from https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21256366 11
Mind the Gap economy, 5,600 direct jobs and £575m in exports.22 possible with robust and transparent governance Scotland attracts a third more UK public research arrangements. funds than our population share would suggest.23 Researchers and industry are primarily interested However, the pace of progress elsewhere, from the in insights from aggregated, anonymised data at a Baltics and Scandinavia to East Asia, means that regional and national level, rather than identifiable Scotland must strive to keep up by raising the level health & social care data at an individual level which of our ambition, the scale of our investment and the could breach personal privacy. The NHS Charter pace of our action. Other countries’ faster and more of Patient Rights and Responsibilities must be effective responses to COVID-19 have reflected respected, including the ‘right to privacy and for my their more advanced and more mature data, digital personal health information to be protected when and technology capacities in health & social care.24 using NHS services’.25 In the global recovery from the pandemic, Scotland Personal health and social care data – whether has a narrow window of opportunity to establish generated by health & social care professionals itself as a world leader and to win the global race for and services providers or citizens, patients and investment, jobs and inclusive growth to boost our service users themselves – should only be used by economy. the NHS, direct providers, service users or those seeking to develop innovations for patient benefit. Appropriate governance arrangements need to be in Big Data can be harnessed to… place to ensure privacy, security and custodianship by the NHS, patients and service users to build J Save lives and deliver better outcomes understanding, trust, support and agency. Data must for patients and service users be trustworthy and trusted. J Improve public health, wellbeing and productivity Our Pillars J Deliver value and protect the long-term future of the NHS This report is structured around four pillars, which J Build an infrastructure which attracts we have identified as supporting our vision, and inward investment which must rest together upon a strong foundation J Create high quality, high skill jobs in of trust and transparency: health & social care, data science, technology and innovation Strategy Scotland’s national strategy needs to deliver an ambitious, collaborative and innovative national Our Values approach to harnessing data to transform health & social care which maximises social and economic The trust and support of citizens, patients and gains. service users is essential to achieve our vision. Public awareness of and sensitivity to data privacy Culture & Leadership and security issues has grown in recent years after Scotland’s political and health & social care high-profile controversies about the misuse of leadership need to drive change by building an personal data. Personal health & social care data ambitious and collaborative national culture of must be ethical, secure and anonymised as far as innovation in data, digital and technology. 22 www.abpi.org.uk/publications/the-economic-contribution-of-the-pharmaceuticals-sector-in-scotland 23 www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/research-and-analysis/2015/10/delivering-innovation-through-research-scottish-govern- ment-health-social-care-research/documents/00488082-pdf/00488082-pdf/govscot%3Adocument/00488082.pdf 24 https://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/singapore-south_korea-taiwan-used-technology-combat-covid-19 25 www.nhsinform.scot/care-support-and-rights/health-rights/patient-charter/the-charter-of-patient-rights-and-responsibilities 12
Mind the Gap Skills Scotland needs to invest in reskilling, upskilling and lifelong learning to develop a health & social care workforce better equipped to harness data, digital and technology. Infrastructure Scotland needs to modernise and upgrade health & social care infrastructure to build a single national data architecture which integrates systems, enables ethical data sharing and creates secure digital health records. Chapter 1 asks: What and Why? What is the Data Gap? Why should closing it be a national priority? What would be the social and economic gains for everyone in Scotland? Chapters 2, 3, 4 and 5 ask: How? How can we close the Data Gap? What do we need to do to maximise the social and economic gains for a healthy society and a healthy economy? What should be the priorities of the new Data Strategy for Health & Social Care? 13
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Mind the Gap CHAPTER 1 Data Saves Lives, Time & Money: Social & Economic Gains of Closing the Data Gap Mind the Gap interventions along the care pathway can deliver truly holistic health & social care insights.2 Scotland’s Data Gap is about the health & social care data the sector collects, utilises or shares Scotland’s Data Gap today, and the health & social care which it needs to collect, utilise or share to improve public health Health & Social Care data we collect, utilise or share V and to enable new and emerging technologies to be harnessed. Some areas of health & social care in Scotland are acknowledged to be relatively data rich. Primary Health & Social Care data we need and care has high-quality data on millions of patients. could collect, utilise or share The project to build a National Digital Platform for health & social care aims, in time, to connect all of Scotland’s health and care data for all patients and The rollout of the Test and Protect strategy and service users.1 the Protect Scotland app during the pandemic has demonstrated the power of data to save lives, time However, across the sector data collection needs to and money. Data has been vital in efforts to monitor, be improved and expanded, and data needs to be suppress and prevent the transmission of COVID-19 better utilised in a consistent way with common data – including identifying outbreaks, tracing contacts, standards to enhance health & social care and scale- managing resources, increasing digital service up innovation nationally. Scotland needs to better accessibility and rolling out vaccines to priority utilise existing health & social care data and to groups.3 close the Data Gap across large parts of the system. Real-world and citizen-generated data, together Consistent, high quality aggregated and anonymised with randomised controlled trials evidence, in data can be analysed and interpreted to review relation to the effectiveness of medicines and other effectiveness to better inform clinical decisions 1 https://nds.nhs.scot 2 Scottish Government’s Data Scoping Taskforce (2018) Medicines Use and Digital Capabilities – Building capability to assess real-world benefits, risks and value of medicines: Towards a Scottish Medicines Intelligence Unit 3 www.protect.scot 15
Mind the Gap about care, prevention, prescriptions, value of Last year’s inquiry into the supply and demand of interventions and reimbursement, as well as medicines by the Scottish Parliament’s Health and innovation to improve drug discovery, design Sport Committee argued that an ‘almost complete and manufacture. It is also a critical enabler for absence of useable data’ was holding back the technologies like AI and automation. Health & social system and harming public health. It found that care professionals could then utilise all available data there was a ‘lack of data collection and analysis to gain new insights to help them provide better on outcomes achieved via the prescriptions of care for patients and service users. medicines’ with the ‘impact on individual patients’ neither being sought nor examined by GPs, pharmacists or others across primary care.4 This lack of qualitative and citizen-generated data, and Randomised controlled trials evidence & Real- the failure to utilise commercial data which already world data => Holistic health & social care exists to benefit public health, is a major part of insights Scotland’s Data Gap. The result of the Data Gap is a major knowledge Primary, secondary, tertiary and social care data deficit in public health in Scotland, which is bad is not yet linked to enable a fully holistic view of for patients and service users, health & social patient experiences, journeys and intervention care professionals and our economy and society. outcomes and to provide informed and truly Poor quality data means that we understand less integrated health & social care. Currently, many about the people we need to help, the problems GP surgeries, care homes and hospitals lack the they face and the effectiveness of treatments and fundamental infrastructure required to record, track interventions along the care pathway at improving and analyse basic patient data or to support rollout their health, wellbeing and quality of life. Closing of digital services like NearMe. the gap would deliver big social and economic gains for patients, service users, health & social care Data needs to be consistent in quality, as well as professionals, NHS, government and industry. securely connected and ethically shared across systems throughout health & social care without geographical, sectoral or organisational silos. A “Accurate data is the lifeblood of good policy and single, comprehensive digital health record for decision-making.” everyone in Scotland would be transformational. Antonio Guterres Secretary-General, United Nations Citizen-generated data, commercial data and the Internet of Things (IoT) could be rich sources of valuable qualitative and quantitative data for health It is estimated by EY that the data held across the & social care. For example, smart sensors utilised NHS across the UK could be worth £9.6 billion to predict and prevent falls or heart attacks in every year in social and economic gains, including at-risk or elderly people living independently or in saving lives, improving patient outcomes and care homes. Data already collected by the private creating new jobs. For Scotland, this could represent and third sectors, such as by wearables or service a health & social care data dividend of up to £800 providers, could be better utilised to inform clinical million every year for our society and our economy.5 decision-making, service design and the allocation or targeting of resources at communities or groups Social Gains most in need. The social costs of the status quo are clear and 4 www.parliament.scot/parliamentarybusiness/CurrentCommittees/113038.aspx 5 www.ey.com/en_uk/life-sciences/how-we-can-place-a-value-on-health-care-data 16
Mind the Gap significant. Many patients and service users receive sub-optimal health & social care due to poor quality, What could a patient journey look like inconsistent, or unshared data, leading to: in the future…? J Lower levels of happiness and wellbeing and Having, analysing and sharing ethical, robust and poorer quality of life. secure health & social care data will enable us to J Higher levels of health inequalities. transform health & social care in Scotland with J Lower levels of household income and wealth new insights and technologies: due to economic inactivity from long-term and chronic ill-health. J Elderly woman living alone has bad fall. Detected – or even predicted and Data saves lives. Quantitative data about patient prevented – by IoT wearables or sensors health and qualitative data about patient lived in her smart home. Home IoT calls 999 experience and quality of life enriches and expands and notifies family or neighbours the information which doctors, nurses, pharmacists, J Nearest available ambulance is carers and other health & social care professionals Connected and Autonomous Vehicle can draw on to deliver better care. Data enhances (CAV). Assigned rapidly by algorithm prevention, prescribing and treatments to be more J Paramedics have immediate (but effective. Currently, many patients and service users permissions- and time-limited) access to have poorer outcomes or will even die because patient’s single, comprehensive digital their data is not collected or shared. The use of health record via tablets. Informed of data globally in the fight against COVID-19 has existing conditions, previous illnesses, demonstrated the power of data to save lives, from allergies and other patient needs identifying and suppressing outbreaks to supporting J Paramedics collect patient. CAV rollout of vaccines to at-risk priority groups.6 ambulance is tracked. Tablets communicate information and data (e.g. Data empowers the health & social care workforce condition, estimated arrival time) to A&E to design and deliver precision medicine or care en route personalised to patient or service user needs. A J Hospital’s AI system identifies and single, comprehensive digital health record for secures staff and resources required, everyone in Scotland could deliver a truly integrated, ready for patient in A&E. Manages most informed care and a seamless, holistic patient productive division of labour experience by storing all lifetime patient data in J Automated devices record and one place. The creation of digital health records organise patient-doctor interactions in requires complex integration of data sets, systems hospital. Removes need for notetaking. and architecture across health & social care, as well Automatically added to digital health as greater investment in other Fourth Industrial record Revolution technologies to maximise gains for J Two-way AI-powered language patients or service users. Data can enable service translation if required change, accelerate technological transformation and J Scans, x-rays or tests enhanced with underpin a truly seamless patient journey. automated image interpretation using AI or informed by anonymised Big Data and patient’s digital health record cont/- 6 https://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/singapore-south_korea-taiwan-used-technology-combat-covid-19 17
Mind the Gap care in some parts of the world – with the J Emergency surgical procedures (or lab collection, sharing and utilisation of the right data at work) conducted with assistance of the right time. robotics J Clinical judgements on most effective Data is critical for evidence-based public policy, options for care and treatment informed enabling the identification and analysis of health by patient data and insights from inequalities to inform the design and delivery of anonymised, aggregated data more effective, targeted interventions. Health J Patient prescribed by doctors and inequalities are significant and entrenched in pharmacists with more effective Scotland between different communities on the precision medicine shaped by AI- basis of deprivation, gender, ethnicity and sexuality.7 automated drug discovery, real-world data and randomised controlled trial Economic Gains evidence in laboratories locally and globally A healthy society is essential for a healthy economy. J Patient discharged from hospital. Workers who are less physically or mentally healthy Returns home after recovery. are less productive. Learners who are less healthy Community care and support delivered achieve lower levels of education. A healthier in-person by carers, via phone and population provides employers with access to a digitally by video consultation. larger talent pool for their workforce. Ill-health can J Automated collection of quantitative force individuals to leave the workforce and the data (and remote monitoring of) on labour market. Illness and injury therefore often patient’s recovery from smart housing result in lower household income and earnings and wearables potential, or higher living costs. J Qualitative citizen-generated and clinician-generated data on patient’s recovery, lived experience and quality “Poverty is both a cause and a consequence of life collected in-person, via phone or of poor health. Poverty increases the chances digitally by video consultation with GP of poor health. Poor health, in turn, traps surgeries or community pharmacy communities in poverty.” J All data added to digital health record. Patient (and doctor or carer) can Health Poverty Action access in real time online or via secure smartphone app. Data harnessed for prediction and prevention. Patient can Scotland’s public health is among the worst in choose to share her data with family Western Europe, contributing to: J Patient also goes online or uses smartphone app for supported self- J Lower levels of productivity and inclusive care and self-management of long-term growth. health. Accesses further advice or makes J Higher levels of economic inactivity and appointments sickness absence. J Unprecedented demand pressures and higher All these examples are technically feasible with costs for the NHS and Scottish Exchequer. today’s proven and emerging technologies – and some have already become reality in health & social Economic inactivity has historically been stubbornly high in Scotland, reducing employer access to the 7 www.gov.scot/collections/long-term-monitoring-of-health-inequalities 18
Mind the Gap labour, skills and talent they need. Around a third of the economically inactive are not in work or looking “The introduction of disciplines such as for work due to long-term sickness, disability or improvement science and process engineering temporary sickness or injury.8 based on modern data analytics rather than on the pursuit of targets, could transform Scotland’s The NHS alone has lost more than 1.3 million NHS into one of the most effective and efficient working days due to COVID-19.9 The cost to systems in the world.” employers of lost working days and weakened productivity due to the pandemic is expected to Prof. Sir Harry Burns reach several billion pounds. Even in more normal former Chief Medical Officer for Scotland times, an estimated 141.4 million working days were lost due to sickness or injury across the UK in 2018, representing an average of 4.4 days per worker or 2% of total working time. The sickness absence rate The value of the European data sector was over in Scotland is the highest of the nations and regions €300 billion in 2016 – of which a substantial of the UK at 2.4%. The average cost to employers is proportion was directly or indirectly connected to around £570 per employee every year.10 health & social care – representing nearly 6.1 million jobs and 2% of Europe’s GDP. The sector doubled in Health is the single largest area of public spending size to 4% of the continent’s economy by the end of in Scotland at over £15 billion. Since devolution 2020.14 The size of the potential prize for Scotland in 1999, its proportion of the Scottish Budget has is immense if we can achieve world leader status grown relentlessly. The Scottish Government now and export our expertise and technological solutions spends 42% of its total budget on the NHS.11 This across Europe and beyond. raises significant concerns and ‘major risks’ about its long-term financial sustainability, according to Scotland has a narrow window of opportunity to Audit Scotland. Health & social care spending will establish itself as a world leader in Big Data in have to increase by to £20.6 billion in the next five health & social care and in the global race for inward years to meet the scale of rising demand in the face investment, jobs and inclusive growth to boost our of an ageing population. A shortfall of £1.8 billion is economy. The conclusions of the Logan Review in forecast.12 Reducing costs needs to be a priority to 2020 underlined how far Scotland still must go to reinvest savings in staff and infrastructure, ease the nurture a mature Scottish technology ecosystem.15 fiscal burden on other public services and secure the long-term future of the NHS. We need to learn from and keep pace with the progress of other leading countries, including those Research by Dell EMC estimates that better use which have responded quickly and effectively to the of information and harnessing Big Data Analytics challenges of COVID-19, including those in different could reduce NHS costs across the UK by between contexts and with different political and health £16 billion and £66 billion every year. Big Data systems. could deliver between £1.3 billion and £5.4 billion in savings for NHS Scotland, a staggering 9% to In Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan, dense 38% of its current total budget, which could be testing networks have been deployed and a wide reinvested across health & social care.13 range of diverse data sources from across society utilised to track, trace and successfully suppress the 8 www.gov.scot/collections/labour-market-statistics 9 www.heraldscotland.com/news/national-news/18744789.1-3-million-nhs-working-days-lost-covid-england-figures-show 10 www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/labourproductivity/articles/sicknessabsenceinthelabourmarket/2018 11 www.gov.scot/budget 12 www.audit-scotland.gov.uk/report/nhs-in-scotland-2019 13 https://volterra.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Final-EMC-Volterra-Healthcare-report-web-version.pdf 14 https://ec.europa.eu/digital-single-market/en/news/final-results-european-data-market-study-measuring-size-and-trends-eu-data-economy 15 www.gov.scot/publications/scottish-technology-ecosystem-review 19
Mind the Gap transmission of the virus.16 nationally integrated, publicly owned, universal system, it could provide a holistic picture of patient Estonia has developed a nationwide system of experiences and journeys by harnessing diverse electronic patient records and handles 99% of data. prescriptions online.17 Finland has created Findata, a single source for public health data, and a Our world-class research universities have renowned single regulatory authority for access to health & life sciences expertise which is a critical part of social care data for research and innovation open the jigsaw.23 Scotland’s pharmaceutical industry to patients, service users, health & social care contributes £2.5bn to the Scottish economy, 5,600 professionals, academics and industry.18 direct jobs and £575m in exports, with strong potential for further growth.24 The Edinburgh Singapore is home to a dense network of health and South East Scotland City Region Deal has an tech start-ups which are developing innovative new exceptional ambition and vision of Edinburgh as the products and services and make the city-state South ‘data capital of Europe’.25 The tech sector is worth East Asia’s Big Data hub.19 Denmark is building £4.9 billion to the Scottish economy, with over a national register of the genomes of its entire 100,000 people employed as tech professionals population.20 Canada and China are pioneering the across all sectors.26 The health tech and data sector first ‘all-digital’ hospitals.21 could be Scotland’s next key growth sector to rival FinTech. Scotland must therefore raise the level of its ambition, the scale of its investment and the Building Trust, Meeting Expectations urgency of its action to be a global leader. Investors, innovators and researchers will only be attracted The social and economic gains of Big Data must to Scotland if we can demonstrate our status as a be clearly communicated to the public. Data saves global first mover with a proposition unique in its lives, time and money, supporting our health and our maturity and opportunities. They will be attracted to wealth by attracting inward investment, creating jobs wherever they can access high quality, consistent, and fuelling inclusive growth. aggregated and anonymised Big Data on a large scale and at a national level to discover new The trust of citizens, patients and service users is medicines, design better treatments, manufacture essential to enabling the transformation of health & innovative products or test pioneering approaches. social care with Big Data. Public awareness of and Scaling and sharing data is essential to developing a sensitivity to data privacy and security issues has successful health data economy.22 increased significantly in recent years after many high-profile scandals in which personal data has Scotland can build on the progress being made and been misused or privacy violated by firms. Personal our existing strengths, which are considerable, as health & social care data must be ethical, secure it designs and delivers its first-ever Data Strategy and anonymised as far as possible with robust and for Health & Social Care. NHS Scotland is in unique transparent governance arrangements. institution globally with its unrivalled ability to collect and harness Big Data. As the heart of a 16 www.thelancet.com/journals/lanwpc/article/PIIS2666-6065(20)30044-4/fulltext 17 https://e-estonia.com/solutions/healthcare/e-health-record 18 www.findata.fi/en 19 www.edb.gov.sg/en/business-insights/market-and-industry-reports/the-singapore-healthtech-ecosystem.html 20 https://eng.ngc.dk 21 www.bouygues-es.com/buildings/humber-river-first-fully-digital-hospital-north-america 22 www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6284141 23 www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/research-and-analysis/2015/10/delivering-innovation-through-research-scottish-govern- ment-health-social-care-research/documents/00488082-pdf/00488082-pdf/govscot%3Adocument/00488082.pdf 24 www.abpi.org.uk/publications/the-economic-contribution-of-the-pharmaceuticals-sector-in-scotland 25 http://esescityregiondeal.org.uk 26 www.skillsdevelopmentscotland.co.uk/media/46258/scotlands-digital-technologies-summary-report.pdf 20
Mind the Gap Nevertheless, patient expectations are changing support online. Patients want to know that health & and rising in the fifth wave of public health. Health social care professionals are empowered with all the & social care needs to recognise and respond to the insights they need to make informed decisions. needs, concerns and expectations of patients and service users. There is a growing movement across the UK which articulates the case for change and Understanding Patient Data suggests increasing public support. Understanding Patient Data work to democratise knowledge about health data Patients in Scotland want to share their issues and opportunities among patients and data and want to use technology 27 clinicians, while pressing for a better and more systemic use of ethical and secure patient data J 77% support their data being shared across health and social care. J 86% happy for their data to be shared www.understandingpatientdata.org.uk across primary care team J 61% happy for their data to be shared across whole NHS Patients and service users overwhelmingly support J 79% would use wearable devices their data being shared ethically and securely for to monitor activity levels and blood their benefit and for the benefit of others – in fact, pressures and allow information to be they expect it and are often shocked to learn that it transmitted direct to GPs is not. Even basic data or information is not always J 90% want to use technology to order shared by services or colleagues across health & repeat prescriptions social care or even within the NHS to the detriment J 82% want to make appointments online of care and the damage of patients. Patients are J 76% would like to receive test results often frustrated by having to repeat information or digitally retell their stories to multiple professionals within J 69% happy to have a telephone the same organisation due to a failure to share consultation and 52% by video call appropriate data. J 82% want to use digital resources to access information. Human Rights Charter for Technology There is a mandate for change. Levels of support and Digital in Social Care for data sharing and digital approaches are high. Scottish Care, the voice of Scotland’s Patients want to be able to access their data, independent care sector, has developed a schedule appointments and get more information or human rights-based charter to guide the sector’s employers and employees as they respond to the ethical and practical issues use MY data raised by the Fourth Industrial Revolution. use MY data is an independent movement The Charter is based on 17 principles and 5 of patients, relatives and carers which is values – Participation; Accountability; Non- educating, amplifying and harnessing the Discrimination; Empowerment; Legality patient voice – including through powerful – to ensure consensual, ethical, secure and patient testimonies – to use data to improve transparent use of data for the benefit of healthcare for everyone. service users. www.usemydata.org 27 www.parliament.scot/parliamentarybusiness/CurrentCommittees/113038.aspx 21
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