Light-duty EVs & Rural Perspectives - Preparing Rural Communities for Electric Vehicles: Drive Electric Tennessee
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Preparing Rural Communities for Electric Vehicles: Light-duty EVs & Rural Perspectives April 21, 2021 Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee
Agenda Welcome & Opening Remarks - Jonathan Overly, 5 mins Welcome, housekeeping, announcements “EV Testbed” Project Overview / Upper Cumberland (UC) Region - Dr. Pingen Chen, 5 mins EV 101 - Max Lamantia, 10 mins - What are the primary things you need to know about EVs? Three Upper Cumberland EV Drivers/Testers - 15 mins EV User 1 – Sam & Diane Glasgow EV User 2 – Andrea Kruszka EV User 3 – Theodore (Ted) McWilliams OEM Presentations on Their EVs & Electrification Plans - 21 mins OEM 1 – Nissan USA: Aditya Jairaj, Dir. of EV Marketing, Sales & Revenue OEM 2 – Volkswagen USA: Reagan Shawn, Senior Product Strategy Specialist OEM 3 – General Motors: Kevin Couturier, Business Development Manager (based in TN) “EV Testbed” Project: What is the early data saying? - Dr. Pingen Chen, 5 mins Vehicle two-week test drive opportunity – almost 50 so far! What are the drivers saying, and what does the data say? Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 2
Slide from EDTA. Announcements from OEMs Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 3
Announcements in 2021… February 2 – “Electric Vehicle Fast Charging Network Coming to March 2 – “AEP, Dominion, Duke, Entergy, Tennessee” Southern Company and TVA Add Electric Vehicle ($20M committed to DCFC for Fast Chargers to Connect Gulf Coast, Midwest corridor completion in TN) and Atlantic State Destinations” Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 4
“This is a new learning process for everyone involved. How can we partner to learn and educate our communities together?” Leading now three EV- 76 company reps and 14-state project led by related projects in TN: individuals participating ETCleanFuels to propagate EV Testbed, MD eTruck to reduce barriers to EV effective state-wide EV Pilot, CAV-EV Project adoption in TN programs in all states www.TNTech.edu www.DriveElectricTN.org www.DriveElectricUSA.org Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 5
Project: “Developing an EV Demo Testbed in the UC Region of TN” Rural work is important – 97% of US land area, 60M people “UC” is economically distressed - mix of agriculture, manufacturing, tourism TNTech has program called “Rural Reimagined” that focuses on rural transformation Multiple objectives surrounding developing rural “testbed” for educating UC citizens about EVs, setting up test drives for 5 EVs, and analyzing all collected data 3 Nissan Leafs (BEV) 1 plug-in hybrid F-250 (PHEV) 1 E-450 shuttle (BEV, UC Human Resource Agency will operate) Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 6
Project Partners – Diverse & Capable Core Team: LPC Partners: “LPC” = Local Power Company Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 7
LEGEND: Project L2 install Project DCFC install Project Progress – Installing EVSE Other public L2 Other public DCFC – Combo + CHAdeMO Other public DCFC – Tesla Superchargers Sites and hosts for 8 level-2 and 1 DC fast charging stations identified (Completed) Acquisition of all charging stations (Completed) Installation of charging stations (8 level-2 and 1 DCFC completed) (a) Dual-port Level-2 (7.2 kW) (b) DCFC (62.5 kW) (Each charging station has two charging ports) Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 8
Project Progress - Events Photos from EV Ride-n-Drive event in Crossville TN on 10/03/20 (two additional events held in Cookeville in 2020 and 2021) NEXT Upper Cumberland EV Ride-n-Drive! - April 17 - Cookeville Sam’s Club Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 9
Project Progress - Data Sample of Data Analysis – Q: “Can EVs meet the needs in rural UC region?” A: YES. Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 10
Project Test Drives – 2 weeks and free! FREE opportunity to test drive one of three Nissan Leafs or F-250 for two weeks • Nissan Leaf Models include SV (150 mi. range), SV Plus, SL Plus (220 mi. range) • F-250 is plug-in hybrid (XL system) Paperwork involved; collect driver information, must pass background check (similar to car rental process) CONTACT - Dr. Pingen Chen, Tennessee Tech. University pchen@tntech.edu, 931-372-3310 Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 11
EV 101 Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 12
EV 101: How they work Mechanically simple – barely any maintenance Usually single-gear transmission Low center of gravity – safer Can charge while you sleep Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 13
EV 101: Performance Instant torque delivery Smooth acceleration Plenty of AWD options Regenerative braking One-pedal driving Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 14
EV 101: Charging Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 15
EV 101: Range Several models out on the market today with over 300-mile range Models releasing within a year with 500+ mile range Outside of the occasional long- distance trip for vacation: how far do you really drive each day? Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 16
EV 101: Purchase Price & Price/Range Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 17
EV 101: Models PlugStar has a very useful shopping assistant Input your driving route, seating, and charging needs Gives each EV a match rating and lists range https://plugstar.com/guide Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 18
EV 101: Models Lists main features and lets you build your own Tells you how fast you can expect it to charge Lists all incentives available Gives reviews and photos from others who bought Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 19
EV 101: Models Analyzes the cost savings for you comparing whatever gas equivalent car you want Considers depreciation, fuel, maintenance, insurance Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 20
EV 101: Greenhouse Gas Impact Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 21
User Experience #1 – Diane and Sam Glasgow, Cookeville First-time driver through TNTech program - Nissan Leaf Positive experience. Loved the heated steering wheel, quiet motor, easy handling and start-up. We used the dryer outlet to plug in and charge. The Nissan dealership has an EV repairman now! We do not believe that the grid is a barrier to EV adoption, but we need adequate government support for charging stations. Challenges for Rural: Range and driving distances Good incentives for us to buy would be government tax EV rebate for owners and increased range Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 22
User Experience #2 – Andrea Kruszka, Cookeville First-time driver through TNTech program - Nissan Leaf The experience is like regular vehicle; I plugged into regular outlet Rural perceptions of EV needs: Awareness & DCFC (“fast”) Rural barriers: EV vehicle cost and low range Good prompts to buy include better range, knowledge, charging opportunities and cost savings Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 23
User Experience #3 – Ted McWilliams, Cookeville First-time driver through TNTech program - Nissan Leaf No difference from regular car. Paid attention to the power level and quiet ride. Great acceleration! Rural folks like it quiet. EVs are quiet - nice. Rural folks don’t always like change although if you can show regular car with EV then this technology will have better chance of adoption. Challenges for Rural: charging, range, ease and longer ”refueling” Good prompts to buy include better range, shorter charging time, purchase incentives, and easy fuel comparison tools Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 24
Electric Vehicles in the US A fast evolving landscape Aditya Jairaj & Paul Hawson Director – Electric Vehicles Marketing & Sales Strategy Director – Product Planning April 21, 2021
The Growing EV Landscape Shift from compliance to match mass market customer expectations 1• Today: EVs account for < 2% of TIV (260k) • Non-lux EV strategy focused on emissions compliance 2• FY23: EV TIV grows 400% (~1M) • Non-lux EV shifts to match mass market customer’ expectations (size, features, range, etc.) 10 Non-Lux EVs 29 Non-Lux EVs 9.1% 2,000,000 8.6% 8.5% 1 2 8.1% 1,800,000 7.3% 1,518,803 1,600,000 6.4% 1,424,623 6.5% 1,315,920 1,400,000 5.3% 1,176,008 1M 1,200,000 4.5% 3.9% 1,000,000 845,967 1.8% 800,000 2.5% 608,192 1.6% 1.3% 600,000 260K 0.5% 400,000 228,268 258,672 200,000 -1.5% - FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 EV TIV EV % of TIV 2 Nissan Confidential C
Money is flowing into EVs Significant investments in the EV space USA EV Centric Stocks (New Players) Company Ticker Market Cap (rounded) Tesla TSLA $839B Plug Power PLUG $31B Magna MGA $21B QuantumScape QS $18B Nikola NKLA $11B FuelCell FCEL $8B Lordstown RIDE $5B Fisker FSR $5B Workhorse WKHS $4B Canoo GOEV $4B Hyliion HYLN $3B Blink BLNK $3B 27 Market Cap – Jan 21 Nissan Confidential C
Nissan LEAF Over 500,000 units on the road with over 5 billion miles driven Nissan LEAF, the Best-Selling Industry Firsts Electric Vehicle of all-time FIRST Battery EV sold nationwide Over 500,000 units sold FIRST affordable EV with over 100-mile EPA driving range worldwide since launch in 2010 MOST units in operation (UIO) of any Battery EV worldwide > 150,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 28 Nissan Confidential C
Why do customer buy EVs today? 29 Nissan Confidential C 29
Why is customer demand going to increase? Higher environmental awareness, added products and better awareness Environmental Awareness Increased Awareness Tech Adoption Younger generations are more conscious about 100 all new EV models towards 2026. Despite only a Electric vehicles undergoing accelerating tech progress environment & willing to pay for eco-friendly products few top-sellers, EV awareness will continue to increase customer benefit What Should be America's Energy Policy Priority? 100 BENEFITS 71 69 120 all-new models 60 41 over 10k PHASE Developing 47 alternative sources of 40 100 by 2026 energy 30 25 24 Expanding exploration Tech Advancement 80 # EV Models and production of oil, coal & nat. gas Millennial Gen X Boomer Silent 60 Tesla Model 3 20 Willing to pay more for eco-friendly products 40 models today 20 HEADACHES 58% 61% 55% 46% PHASE 0 Gen Z Gen Y Gen X Boomers t Source: PEW Research, 2017 UUNS Source: IHS Global Insight 30 Nissan Confidential C 30
US EV public charging environment Network QC Outlets QC Stations Tesla 9,680 976 Electrify America 4,820 560 EVgo 2,628 818 Chargepoint 2,499 750 ~3,100 stations 31 Nissan Confidential C
# of gas stations in the US? Today: ~200,000 Next big business opportunity? 32 Nissan Confidential C
The all new Nissan ARIYA – coming soon • Cross-over EV • All-wheel Drive EV (e=4ORCE) • Flat floor EV layout • 300 miles of driving range • 0 to 60 in less than 5 seconds • Next generation of Autonomous Driving 33 Source: Automotive News (Oct 2019, January 2020) Nissan Confidential C 33
Electric Vehicle Strategy and Actions Volkswagen North America Volkswagen e-Mobility
The challenge • Change the culture of one of the largest automakers and its dealer partners • Design a scalable product that has high customer value • Prepare for manufacturing and production ramp- up • Sell Electric Vehicles Nationwide
36 Creation date: mm.dd.yy | Responsible department for filing: xxxx-xx | CSD-Class: xx.x – xx years
Ich Fahre Elektrish Volkswagen has a history of electrification 1985 Golf CityStromer 1993 Golf CityStromer HP: 31 HP: 27 Battery: Lead-gel Battery: Lead-gel Range: 37 miles Range: 43 miles 1976 Electro-Golf HP: 20 Battery: Lead-acid Range: 30 miles 1970’s MEB 1981 Golf CityStromer 1987 Jetta CityStromer 2010 Golf VI Blue e-Motion HP: 30 HP: 25 HP: 115 Battery: Lead-acid Battery: Sodium-Sulphur Battery: Lithium-ion Range: 37 miles Range: 75 miles Range: 87 miles
The MEB platform is optimized to deliver competitive performance and value across multiple vehicle segments • Larger wheelbase • More space in driver‘s • Rear drive + 4WD Short overhangs area and in the back • Trunk volume ~ ICE • No center tunnel • Higher seating position • Central computer unit • Enhanced capability for • Larger EV services and wheel diameter autonomous driving
VOLKSWAGEN’S U.S. ELECTRIC VEHICLE MANUFACTURING BASE 2022 - $800 million investment Expand to become - Create up to 1,000 VW jobs at the plant, Home of plus additional jobs at suppliers Volkswagen Electric - Begin EV production in 2022 2021 Home of Passat and Atlas Producing electric cars in Chattanooga is a key part of our growth strategy in North America Author / Department
Volkswagen plans to address customer EV rejection points to drive adoption nationwide Price / Value Range Charging $379 / month lease nationwide, with additional incentives in select areas
Thank you
GM and the Future of EVs
WE’RE LEADING A TRANSPORTATION REVOLUTION POWERED BY A PURPOSE • We remain committed to our vision of delivering a world with: – zero crashes, – zero emissions – zero congestion • The three parts of our vision are deeply intertwined — and we’re working on each piece of our vision in tandem • We’re transitioning to all-electric vehicles, which are central to a zero- emissions future • Autonomous vehicles will help lead to fewer crashes and less congestion – This can lead to less time on the road and, therefore, lower emissions as the world transitions from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to EVs
WE’RE RAPIDLY EXPANDING OUR EV PORTFOLIO ON OUR WAY TO AN ALL- ELECTRIC FUTURE • With emissions from the use of GM vehicles as the primary contributor to our carbon footprint, the most significant way we can make progress toward our zero-emissions vision is by transitioning to an electric vehicle portfolio • $20 billion in capital and engineering resources will be allocated to EV and AV programs between 2020 and 2025 – $2.2.B investment converting Detroit- Hamtramck into Factory ZERO • We’re committed to 20 new EVs by 2023 — and we have plans for additional models taking us beyond that
GM is COMMITTED TO AN ALL-EV FUTURE 31% of all drivers consider buying an electric car as their next vehicle 63% have at least some interest* 5% will definitely buy an EV as their next vehicle 1*Source: Consumer Reports 2019 EV Survey
• GM’s new modular-architecture Ultium batteries can be stacked vertically or horizontally inside the battery pack for optimal battery energy storage and layout for each vehicle design. • Energy Storage options: • 50 to 200 kWh • GM-estimated range up to 400+ miles • 0 to 60 mph acceleration as low as 3 sec • Motors designed in-house will support: • Front-wheel drive • Rear-wheel drive • All-wheel drive • Performance all-wheel drive • DC Fast Charging • Up to 200 kW fast-charging capability • Current Bolt EV is 55 kW maximum • Truck platform: 800-volt battery packs and 350 kW fast-charging capability.
• GM just announced new factory in Spring Hill, TN • 1300 new jobs • 2nd Battery Factory in US • $2.3 Billion investment • In addition to $2B renovation to build Lyriq .
WE HAVE ALL-NEW EVs ON THE WAY Show car shown. Not available for sale. 2020 Chevrolet Bolt EV shown. Preproduction 2022 GMC HUMMER EV shown. Actual production model may vary. CHEVROLET GMC CADILLAC • Chevrolet will build on the success of • GMC is bringing back the iconic • Cadillac plans an upcoming portfolio of the Bolt EV HUMMER brand through two models battery-electric luxury vehicles, starting – The 2022 Chevrolet Bolt EUV is expected – The 2022 GMC HUMMER EV truck with the 2022 LYRIQ summer 2021 (expected Fall 2021), which boasts – Will be the brand’s first all-electric • Distinct SUV design that offers Super Cruise1 performance of 1,000 horsepower3, 11,500 crossover driver assistance feature for compatible highways lb.-ft. of torque3 and 0-to-60 mph — the first vehicle outside of Cadillac to do so acceleration in 3.0 seconds3 – Built on GM’s next-generation battery- electric architecture, with Ultium at its core – Chevrolet BET Truck will be the brand's first – GMC HUMMER EV SUV builds off the GMC electric full-size pickup, offering up to 400 HUMMER EV truck but will be configured as miles of range on a single charge2,3 an off-road-capable SUV – A midsize SUV for customers looking for an electric option in this segment 1 Even while using the Super Cruise driver assistance feature, always pay attention while driving and do not use a handheld device. Visit cadillacsupercruise.com for compatible highways and more information. Requires properly equipped vehicle, active Super Cruise subscription, working electrical system, cell reception and GPS signal. 2 Your actual range will vary based on several factors, including temperature, terrain and driving technique. 3 Preliminary GM estimate.
WE’RE DESIGNING FOR THE ENVIRONMENT WAYS WE’RE DRIVING EFFICIENCY • Using sustainable materials, such as those with recycled, bio-based or renewable content, as inputs into our products • Reducing, reusing and recycling the resources used to manufacture our vehicles • Ensuring those resources can be further repurposed at the end of a process or a vehicle’s usable life • Adopting construction and manufacturing processes that minimize the use of energy and water NOTE: GM is working to increase the sustainable materials used to make our vehicles. Here’s some of the progress we’ve already made. While these materials are not all available on all vehicles, each improvement provides valuable insights and brings us closer toward our goal.
WE CONTINUE TO ADDRESS BARRIERS TO EV ADOPTION • How do I charge? • Where do I charge? • How long do I charge? • What do they cost?
MYCHEVROLET APP – ENERGY ASSIST FEATURE
Local View of the Cookeville, TN Area GM CONFIDENTIAL
WE CONTINUE TO ADDRESS BARRIERS TO EV ADOPTION WHAT DO YOU WANT • Level 2 Charger available with GM • Charging Stations installation-Qmerit • Knowledgeable Salespeople—EV Specialist at EV dealers • Adding 2700 Fast Chargers--EVGo
HOW ELECTRIC VEHICLES IMPACT TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP Potential Cost Savings • Could save you over $1000 a year in fuel costs compared to the average new vehicle1 • Requires less maintenance than is typical of a gas vehicle – 20 moving parts vs 20,000 in ICE – Less brake/tire wear • EVs have higher residual values than ICE counterparts* . 1 US Department of Energy, go to https://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/Find.do?action=sbs&id=40520. Based on 45% highway, 55% city driving, 15,000 annual miles and current fuel prices * Based on ALG & Manheim estimations.
Survey and Interview Tools Pre-demonstration Survey: capture current EV perception and EV experience of participants before test drives Post-demonstration Survey: capture updated EV perception and EV experience of participants after 2-week test drives Post-demonstration Survey: collect feedbacks of participants on EV test drives for test drives
Impact of EV Experience on EV Adoption Change in Likelihood of Considering EV as Next Vehicle 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Much More Likely Slightly More Likely Neutral Likelihood Slightly Less Likely Much Less Likely
Driving Behavior: Rural vs Urban (Data source: NHTS, 2017) (Baataret al., 2019) More rural drivers driving more daily miles, compared to urban drivers
Driving Behavior in Rural UC Region 12 10 8 6 149 miles 4 2 0 Daily Trip Range (Miles)
Post-Demonstration Interview Data - Samples “Exciting new technology, positive environmental impact, instantaneous torque makes them very fun to drive!” “EVs are very practical for city driving, running errands, and weekend excursions.” “They are more exciting to drive than you may think!” “I am impressed to say the least, Everyone thinks it is really a neat car. The power is unreal for an electric car. I see now why everyone needs a test drive. My perception or expectations of the EV were definitely wrong.”
OEMs Contact Information Aditya Jairaj, Nissan USA Director - EV Sales & Marketing Strategy Aditya.Jairaj@Nissan-USA.com, 615-725-5888 Reagan Shawn, Volkswagen USA Senior Product Strategy Specialist Reagan.Shawn@vw.com, 571-471-9581 Kevin Couturier, General Motors Business Development Manager, GM Fleet Kevin.Couturier@gm.com, 615-917-9988 Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 62
Learn more about the project - https://www.tntech.edu/engineering/research/ev-demo-testbed.php Questions? Dr. Pingen Chen, Tennessee Tech. University TNTech Project Lead & Assistant Professor, Mechanical Eng. pchen@tntech.edu, 931-372-3310 Jonathan G. Overly, TNTech Project Subcontractor Director ETCleanFuels & Administrator Drive Electric TN jonathan@etcleanfuels.org, 865-974-3625 Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 63
Chapters Locations – Planning Across Tennessee Plan is to develop ~10 chapters over the coming few years. Long-term vision is that most urban areas and some rural areas will have chapters by 2023 “Appalachian Highlands” and Upper Cumberland are #1 and #2 4 big urban areas are part of ensuing efforts DET “Chapter Development Guide” is in the works and will provide additional guidance to members Developing an EV Demonstration Testbed In the Upper Cumberland Region of Tennessee 64
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