LIBOR Sunset Update - What to Do Now
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LIBOR Sunset Update – What to Do Now By the end of 2021, banks will no longer be required to publish rates that are used to calculate the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). LIBOR serves as a reference rate for derivative transactions, as well as bond investments, bank loans and variable-rate mortgages. Market participants need a replacement rate that is supported by a liquid market and behaves in a predictable manner. LIBOR is deeply entrenched in financial markets and weaning off that rate is moving slower than expected. While progress is being made, there is still a lot of work to be done. A September 2019 Accenture survey found that fewer than half of the 177 companies surveyed are confident they will be prepared for LIBOR’s demise. Although 84 percent have begun preparations, only 47 percent expect those efforts would be completed in time. This article provides an update on reference rate reform activities and guidance on what companies should do now. SOFR Update In 2017, the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) was selected by the Alternative Reference Rates Committee (ARRC), an industry panel, as the preferred alternative rate for U.S. dollar LIBOR. SOFR is a measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight—collateralized by U.S. Treasury securities—and is based on directly observable U.S. Treasury-backed repurchase (repo) transactions. Some significant progress has occurred since 2017: April 2018 – The Federal Reserve Bank of New York began publishing the SOFR rate May 2019 – The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched SOFR-based futures contracts June 2019 – A U.S. Treasury official announced the department is considering issuing SOFR-linked debt (the Treasury is currently converting its auction system, delaying SOFR note issuance until late 2020 at best) July 2019 – Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae announced a plan to use SOFR for new adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) originations September 2019 – The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced that by the end of the first quarter of 2020, all member banks should stop selling LIBOR-linked debt maturing after December 2021 January 2020 – CME launched options on the three-month SOFR January 2020 – SOFR-denominated debt issuances reach a record monthly high of $10 billion. Total outstanding SOFR debt now stands at $328 billion February 2020 – FHFA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced they will no longer acquire LIBOR ARMs and will retire all LIBOR ARM plans later this year
LIBOR Sunset – What to Do Now Volumes Volatility As noted above, SOFR is calculated from repo transactions. Volatility in repo markets can cause disruption in the SOFR rate, as evidenced by a sudden spike in September 2019. A cash shortage caused repo rates to spike until the Federal Reserve intervened to inject billions of dollars of overnight loans. SOFR supporters point out that short- term averages should be used for LIBOR transition, noting that the one-day spike caused only a 0.04-percent increase in the three-month LIBOR average and a 0.02-percent increase in the 90-day average. Source: https://www.pensford.com/resources/libor-vs-sofr/ 2
LIBOR Sunset – What to Do Now LIBOR vs. SOFR LIBOR SOFR Unsecured rate Secured rate Various maturities Overnight Built-in credit component Minimal credit risk Partially transaction-based Wholly transaction-based $500 million of underlying transactions $750 billion of underlying transactions Forward-looking Backward-looking currently (term structure planned for late 2021) SOFR Alternatives ARRC’s selection of SOFR as a LIBOR replacement is a recommendation and is not mandatory. The Bank for International Settlements has noted that a one-size-fits-all alternative may be neither feasible nor desirable. Empirically, SOFR has been more volatile than federal funds, overnight indexed swap (OIS) or LIBOR and subject to seasonality (intra-month jumps due to Treasury settlements). In September 2019, executives from 10 regional banks wrote a letter to the Fed, the FDIC and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency stating they did not think SOFR is a suitable LIBOR replacement for lending products. Because SOFR is tied to Treasuries, the rate would likely experience disproportionate swings during times of economic stress because investors tend to rush to Treasuries for security. Banks may face heightened risk from SOFR rate moves as a result. The banks asked for the creation of a private market participant industry working group on this topic. Ameribor A potential SOFR alternative gaining some traction is Ameribor. Created in 2015, Ameribor is a benchmark overnight rate for unsecured loans based on transactions of members of the American Financial Exchange (AFX). The AFX is an electronic marketplace where small and midsize banks trade loans daily. Annual volume in 2019 was $428 billion, which more than doubled 2018 volume of $192 billion. Record daily volume peaked on September 19, 2019, at $3 billion. Ameribor contains a credit spread component based on unsecured loans in contrast to SOFR, which is based on collateralized loans. Ameribor tends to be roughly 15 basis points higher than both LIBOR and SOFR. In September 2019, ServisFirst Bank—a Birmingham, Alabama-based commercial lending bank with $7 billion in assets—made the first-ever Ameribor referenced loan. As of January 1, 2020, ServisFirst will transition to Ameribor ahead of the LIBOR sunset. Accounting Relief FASB FASB approved SOFR OIS as a benchmark interest rate for hedge accounting purposes in October 2018 (see BKD article SOFR Approved as a Hedging Benchmark Rate). In September 2019, FASB released an exposure draft that would temporarily update hedge accounting rules so when companies adjust contracts to scrap references to LIBOR or any other discontinued reference rate, they will not lose the favorable accounting method for common risk management strategies. For other contracts, the 3
LIBOR Sunset – What to Do Now proposal would simplify accounting analyses under current generally accepted accounting principles for contract modifications. The proposal includes a general principle that would temporarily permit entities to: Consider contract modifications due to reference rate reform to be a continuation of those contracts Not reassess previous determinations See BKD article FASB Proposes Accounting Relief for LIBOR Transition. GASB Derivatives are widely used by states and other larger governments, certain business-type entities and pension plans. GASB, the governing body for governmental accounting guidance, issued an exposure draft to address reference rate reform in October 2019 and a final standard is planned for June 2020. For governments, LIBOR’s sunset will affect the hedge accounting provisions of Statement No. 53, Accounting and Financial Reporting for Derivative Instruments. For derivatives that are effective hedges, changes in their fair value are recognized as deferred outflows or deferred inflows of resources. Should a hedging derivative cease to be effective or terminate, the accumulated deferrals are recognized in investment income and subsequent changes in the derivative’s fair value also would be recognized in investment income. Tentative decisions for the exposure draft, subject to change, include: An exception to the lease modification guidance for contracts amended only to change the index rate for variable payments. The scope of the exception will be limited to circumstances in which the original contract references an interbank offered rate (IBOR) or a rate based on an IBOR. For purposes of determining whether an expected transaction is probable of occurring, a government should assume the reference rate on which the hedged cash flows are based is not altered as a result of reference rate reform. An exception to the hedge accounting termination provisions for certain hedging derivative instruments. This exception would be limited to hedging derivative instruments that continue to be effective and in which the original hedging derivative instrument references an IBOR or a rate based on an IBOR. GASB will not propose specific guidance on which reference rates may be selected as a replacement. If the replacement is effectuated by ending the original hedging derivative instrument and entering into a new hedging derivative instrument, those transactions must be ended and entered into on the same date. In addition, critical term changes that are either essential to or related to the replacement of a reference rate would be permitted. IRS In October 2019, the Treasury Department and the IRS released proposed legislation offering LIBOR transition relief. The IRS recognized that the alternation of a debt instrument or a modification of a hedging agreement to accommodate the LIBOR sunset could result in a realized gain or loss and income or deductions for federal taxes. Highlights include: Section 1001 Changes as a result of LIBOR transition would not result in the realization of income, deduction, gain or loss for the purposes of Section 1001. Integrated Transactions & Hedges A taxpayer would be permitted to alter a debt instrument’s terms or modify one or more of the other components of an integrated or hedged transaction to replace LIBOR with a qualified rate without affecting the tax treatment of either the underlying transaction or the hedge, provided that the integrated or hedged transaction as modified continues to qualify for integration. 4
LIBOR Sunset – What to Do Now Source & Character of a One-Time Payment Because there is no exact substitute for LIBOR, counterparties will need to agree on how appropriate a rate spreads and/or a one-time payment to balance future cash flows. The proposal seeks feedback from market participants on appropriate tax relief. REMICs An interest in a real estate mortgage investment conduit (REMIC) would be able to retain its status as a regular interest for modification to transition from LIBOR. Tax-Exempt Bonds Issuers of tax-exempt bonds are required to file IRS Form 8038 if there is a material modification to a bond. Noncompliance could adversely affect an offering’s tax-exempt status. The IRS proposal would exempt changes to a LIBOR alternative from the notification requirements. The new rate change must result in a “substantially equivalent fair market value (FMV).” The IRS included two safe harbors in determining the FMV equivalence. The proposed regulations apply to changes to affected contracts made upon the finalization of the proposed regulations. Taxpayers and their related parties optionally may apply the proposed regulations to changes that occur before then, provided proposed regulations are applied consistently. The comment deadline was November 25, 2019. SEC The SEC is actively monitoring the extent to which market participants are identifying and addressing the risks associated with LIBOR discontinuation and transition to a new rate(s). In July 2019, the SEC released Staff Statement on LIBOR Transition. A number of existing rules or regulations may require disclosure related to the expected discontinuation of LIBOR, including disclosure of risk factors, management’s discussion and analysis, board risk oversight and financial statements. The SEC’s Division of Corporation Finance encourages companies to consider the following guidance: The evaluation and mitigation of risks related to the expected discontinuation of LIBOR may span several reporting periods. Consider disclosing the status of company efforts to date and the significant matters yet to be addressed. When a company has identified a material exposure to LIBOR but does not yet know or cannot yet reasonably estimate the expected impact, consider disclosing that fact. Disclosures that allow investors to see this issue through management’s eyes are likely to be the most useful for investors. This may entail sharing information used by management and the board in assessing and monitoring how transitioning from LIBOR to an alternative reference rate (ARR) may affect the company. This could include qualitative disclosures and—when material—quantitative disclosures, such as the notional value of contracts referencing LIBOR and extending past 2021. In recent speeches, SEC representatives have commented that current disclosures are too generic; many said only that the end of LIBOR exposed the company to risk. SEC Division of Corporation Finance Director William Hinman noted, “We are really pushing for more tailored disclosure that reflects the company’s actual situation.” The value, type and number of contracts tied to LIBOR would be useful information. ARRC The ARRC’s recommendations are voluntary, and the Federal Reserve is not mandating what fallbacks to use, but there is a lot of value in a common approach. If LIBOR ceases and different instruments that use it fall back to different rates or at different times, basis risk will be higher and hedging more difficult. The ARRC started its fallback work by adopting a set of guiding principles to apply across all product types. Among other things, those 5
LIBOR Sunset – What to Do Now guidelines suggested that—to the extent practicable and appropriate—market participants should (1) maintain consistency of fallbacks across asset classes and minimize basis risk between products; (2) use SOFR or a benchmark based on SOFR as the replacement rate; (3) minimize value transfer over the life of the contract if the fallback is triggered; and (4) include specific triggers that activate the fallback. Following these overall principles, the ARRC commenced consultations on specific fallbacks for four types of cash products: floating-rate notes, syndicated business loans, bilateral business loans and securitizations. In general, the consultations proposed that following a trigger event—such as LIBOR being discontinued—the instrument would instead pay interest at SOFR or a rate based on SOFR, adjusted so the new rate is comparable to the old one. ARRC’s consultations recognized that different solutions may be necessary or preferable for different markets and products but promoted common approaches as much as possible. What to Do Now Companies should begin the process of identifying existing contracts that extend past 2021 to determine their LIBOR exposure. Many legacy contracts have interest rate provisions referencing LIBOR that, when drafted, did not contemplate the permanent discontinuation of LIBOR and, as a result, there may be uncertainty or disagreement over how the contracts should be interpreted. Existing Contracts Companies should consider the following questions for existing LIBOR contracts: Do you have or are you or your customers exposed to any contracts extending past 2021 that reference LIBOR? Are these contracts, individually or in the aggregate, material? For identified contracts, what effect will the LIBOR discontinuation have on the contract’s operation? Do loan documents address the calculation of interest rates in the absence of LIBOR? For contracts with no LIBOR fallback language—or with fallback language that does not contemplate LIBOR’s permanent discontinuation—do you need to take actions to mitigate risk, such as proactive renegotiations with counterparties to address the contractual uncertainty? What are each of the party’s rights in the event LIBOR is no longer available? What ARR might replace LIBOR in existing contracts? What are the differences between LIBOR and the ARR that would need to be adjusted? For LIBOR-based derivative contracts that are used to hedge floating-rate investments or obligations, what is the impact on the effectiveness of the company’s hedging strategy? Other items to consider that may have an accounting and financial reporting effect include: Inputs used in valuation models—property, cost of capital, pension liabilities and capital asset pricing models Benchmarks for asset managers Project finance calculations Late-payment clauses in commercial contracts, price escalation or adjustment clauses Many business loans in existence today will mature or be renegotiated before the end of 2021 in the ordinary course and, therefore, the loans can be converted entirely to SOFR loans before the clock runs out on LIBOR, or at least fallback provisions can be added. A large percentage of derivative contracts also are shorter-term. Over-the-counter derivatives that do extend past 2021 can be amended to incorporate new rates and fallback provisions through a protocol procedure that the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) will put in place. That is still a lot of work for everyone who 6
LIBOR Sunset – What to Do Now has LIBOR derivatives, but it is a relatively clear way forward. Also, for exchange-traded derivatives, the exchanges themselves can specify fallbacks through rulebook amendments. The exchanges have indicated they will adopt the same basic fallback methodologies as ISDA. This is all good news. Consumer loans present different issues. The documentation generally gives the lender discretion to unilaterally choose a comparable rate if LIBOR goes away. That sounds simple. However, in practice, the knot of reputational, operational and legal considerations involved in changing the interest rate basis on consumer loans will require attention and resources to unravel. Also, more than 40 percent of LIBOR-based residential mortgage loans currently outstanding extend past 2021. One of the more difficult challenges is the one posed by floating-rate notes, securitizations and preferred stock whose payments are tied to LIBOR. These securities either have no fallbacks at all to handle a LIBOR cessation, or they effectively become fixed-rate instruments. Also, in practice, it is very difficult—if not impossible—to add the kind of provisions that will be standard for new issuances going forward. New Contracts Market participants should stop writing new LIBOR contracts and start using SOFR or another appropriate alternative. Also, especially if you need to keep using LIBOR, make sure your new contracts have strong and workable fallback language. Companies should consider whether contracts entered into in the future should reference an alternative rate to LIBOR (such as SOFR) or—if such contracts reference LIBOR—include effective fallback language. The transition away from LIBOR will be complicated and likely will require significant hours to implement correctly for companies with a large volume of contracts. If you would like assistance, contact your BKD Trusted Advisor™. Contributor Anne Coughlan Director 317.383.4000 acoughlan@bkd.com 7
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