Karl Mahler, Head of Investor Relations Eugene Tierney, Global Product Strategy TA Head, CNS - Translating excellence in science into customer ...
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Translating excellence in science into customer benefit – an update on CNS portfolio Karl Mahler, Head of Investor Relations Eugene Tierney, Global Product Strategy TA Head, CNS
Q1 2011: Group sales Supporting full-year guidance, strong currency impact 2010 2011 change in % Excluding CHF m CHF m CHF local Tamiflu1 Pharmaceuticals Division 9,727 8,712 -10 -2 +1 Diagnostics Division 2,518 2,408 -4 +6 +6 Roche Group 12,245 11,120 -9 0 +2 3 1 local currency
Roche: Focused on medically differentiated therapies Focus Pharma Dia Premium for innovation MedTech OTC Generics Differentiation 4
Key Pharmaceuticals & Diagnostics products A risk-diversified portfolio of drugs and BUs 35 2 with > than CHF 6 bn 1 with > than CHF 5 bn Avastin >CHF 6bn* 30 11 with > than CHF 1 bn 25 MabThera/Rituxan Sales (CHF bn) >CHF 5bn* 20 Herceptin 15 Diabetes Care Pegasys Immunochemistry CellCept >CHF 1bn* 10 NeoRecormon Tarceva Clinical Chemistry 5 Xeloda Lucentis Molecular Dx 0 Boniva '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 5 * 2010 sales
Roche: Limited exposure to patent expiries in the short and medium term 2010 2011 2012 2013 40% 35% 30% 25% Business impact 20% from biosimilars 2014/15 15% and beyond? 10% 5% 0% % Sales Lost calculated by subtracting given year sales (‘10, ’11, ‘12, ‘13) from full year sales from year prior to LOE. Data excludes sales lost impact of products with LOE prior to 2010. 6 Source: Evaluate Pharma
Long patent protection Biosimilars facing high hurdles Long primary patent Biosimilars outlook protection of our key biologics EU US: recent healthcare legislation Patents US opens pathway for biosimilars ROW/EM Avastin 2019 similar FDA in the process of developing guidelines marketed Lucentis 2019 by Novartis Data exclusivity for biologics 12 years Rituxan/ 2018 earlier EU: legal and regulatory hurdles likely MabThera to remain high for biosimilars Herceptin 2019 earlier Pegasys 2018 similar ROW/EM: investment in countries with strong IP regulations (China) Brand awareness important 7
A leading pipeline 12 NMEs in late-stage development Number of NMEs Virology CNS 12 HCV pol inh1 Metabolic 10 ocrelizumab MS Inflammation Glycine Glycine reuptake inh reuptake inh Oncology aleglitazar aleglitazar taspoglutide dalcetrapib dalcetrapib lebrikizumab1 ocrelizumab MetMAb1 4 Hedgehog inh Hedgehog inh taspoglutide BRAF inhibitor BRAF inhibitor 2 dalcetrapib T-DM1 T-DM1 GA101 ocrelizumab ocrelizumab GA101 (CLL) (CLL, NHL) Actemra pertuzumab pertuzumab pertuzumab 2007 2008 2009 2010 8 1 LIP decision made, phase III start pending
Creating medical value and improving patient care Six NMEs in late-stage development have PHC approach Diagnostics HER2/3 Met Periostin (Pertuzumab) (MetMAb) (lebrikizumab) Companion Diagnostics HER2 BRAF V600 HCV load, genotype (T-DM1) (BRAF inh) (HCV pol inh) NMEs = new molecular entities PHC = Personalised Healthcare 9 Not all products available in all countries; some products in development
We need to stay above industry success rates Roche 2008 2009 2010 2011 (Jan-Mar) Success (+) Failure (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) Phase II 6 6 7 1 Phase III 21 2 20 1 10 6 4 0 Total 27 2 26 1 17 6 5 0 Ph III success rate 91% 95% 62% 100% Industry ph III success rate 63%1 64%2 10 Based on IR up-dates KMR Group, 1)= 2006-2008, 2)= 2007- 2009,
Key clinical trials since October 2010 18 positive studies in 6 months Compound Indication Study MetMAb 2nd/3rd line NSCLC Randomised Phase II, ESMO 2010 Avastin front line Ovarian Cancer ICON7 Phase III, ESMO 2010 Ocrelizumab RR Multiple Sclerosis Randomised Phase II, ECTRIMS 2010 Mericitabine (RG7128) Hepatitis C PROPEL randomised Phase IIb, interim data AASLD 2010 Vemurafenib (BRAF inh) Metastatic Melanoma BRIM2 Phase II, Melanoma Research Congress 2010 GA101 Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma Randomised Phase II, ASH 2010 Glycine Reuptake inh. (GlyT-1) Schizophrenia Randomised Phase II, ACNP 2010 Pertuzumab Neoadjuvant HER2+ Breast Cancer NEOSPHERE randomised Phase II, SABCS 2010 Lebrikizumab Asthma Randomised Phase II, data in house Dalcetrapib CV risk reduction Dal-VESSEL, Dal-PLAQUE safety data in house T-DM1 1st line HER2-positive breast cancer Randomised Phase II, Apr 2011 Vemurafenib (BRAF inh) Metastatic Melanoma BRIM3 Phase III interim analysis, Jan 2011 Tarceva Advanced NSCLC EURTAC Phase III interim analysis, Jan 2011 Avastin Relapsed Ovarian Cancer OCEANS Phase III, Feb 2011 Lucentis Diabetic macular edema (DME) RISE and RIDE, 2 Phase III studies, Feb-Mar 2011 Vismodegib (Hedgehog inh) Basal Cell Carcinoma (mBCC) Pivotal Phase II, Mar 2011 11 Pivotal studies in Q1 2011
Performance update and strategy Update on CNS portfolio 12
The burden of brain disorders is one of the greatest challenges facing society today… Cause YLD* Cause Percent of millions total DALYs* 1 Unipolar depression 41.0 1 Unipolar depression 8.2 2 Refractive errors 14.0 2 Ischemic heart disease 6.3 3 Hearing loss, adult onset 13.3 3 Cerebrovascular disease 3.9 4 Cataracts 9.9 4 Alzheimer & other dementias 3.6 5 Osteoarthritis 9.5 5 Alcohol use disorders 3.4 6 Schizophrenia 8.0 6 Hearing loss, adult onset 3.4 7 Anaemia 7.4 7 COPD 3.0 8 Bipolar Disorder 7.1 8 Diabetes mellitus 3.0 9 Birth asphyxia & birth 6.9 trauma 9 Trachea, bronchus, lung 3.0 cancers 10 Alzheimer & other dementia 5.8 10 Road traffic accidents 2.6 *YLD: Years lived with disability *DALYs: Years of life lost due to death and disability 13 WHO’s Global Burden of Disease Report, 2004
… and yet commitment to the field is wavering AstraZeneca drops psychiatric, other drug research The decision to drop psychiatry drug research reflects the unpredictable and risky nature of clinical trials to assess medicines working on the brain, as well as a lack of good scientific opportunities, development head Anders Ekblom told Reuters. LONDON, March 02, 2010 (Reuters) Glaxo to Close Italy R&D Center Feb. 5 -- GlaxoSmithKline Plc, the U.K.’s biggest drugmaker, plans to close a facility in Verona, Italy, affecting more than 500 research jobs, labor unions said. Glaxo’s northern Italian center, which specializes in neuroscience research, will be closed by the end of this year, the Filcem-Cgil, Femca- Cisl and Uilcem-Uil unions said in a joint e-mailed statement last night. February 05, 2010 (Bloomberg) 14
Emerging knowledge of neurobiology opens new opportunities Vision Roche Neuroscience harnesses emerging science for serious patient needs Strategy • Focus on serious conditions with no approved, effective or safe treatments • Deliver a differentiated portfolio by focusing on mechanism-based drug discovery • Optimize benefit through early intervention and personalized treatment • Understand the needs of stakeholders: patients, prescribers, regulators & payors Therapeutic areas of focus • Schizophrenia (negative and persistent symptoms) • Depression (Treatment-Resistant Depression) • Neurodevelopmental disorders (Fragile X, Down’s, Autism) • Neurodegeneration (Alzheimer’s Disease, Parkinson’s Disease, Multiple Sclerosis) 15
Glycine reuptake inhibitor (GlyT-1) RG1678, the first GRI in schizophrenia
Schizophrenia Disease and epidemiology Multiple symptoms Epidemiology* POSITIVE • Hallucinations Country Diagnosed • Delusions Prevalence • Thought disorder (%) • Bizarre behavior US 0.7 Japan 0.8 NEGATIVE MOOD France 0.7 • Anhedonia • Anxiety Germany 0.8 • Social withdrawal • Depression • Self-neglect Italy 0.8 Spain 0.7 UK 0.8 COGNITIVE • Attention deficits • Poor executive function • Poor working memory 17 * Source: Decision Resources, Jan. 2010
Available treatment options Only positive symptoms addressed by antipsychotics Positive Dual-dopamine/5HT2 antagonists: • Poor efficacy in negative and cognitive symptoms • Low tolerability: EPS (movement disorders), hypotension, obesity, diabetes, QTc prolongations Mood Anti-depressants Negative Mood stabilisers Anxiolytics Better treatment for positive symptoms Hypnotics needed: • Widespread use of combination therapy (app. 60 % *) • No safety data for D2 combinations Cognitive • No controlled studies with combinations in schizophrenia Unserved market segments 18 * Faries D, Ascher-Svanum H, Zhu B, Correll C, Kane J. BMC Psychiatry. 2005
GlyT-1 in negative symptoms of schizophrenia Significant reduction in negative symptom factor score* Baseline Week 1 Week 2 Week 4 Week 6 Week 8 0 Δ PANSS negative symptom factor –1 –2 10 mg vs placebo –3 30 mg vs placebo score –4 10 mg vs placebo p
Consistent effects on all measured outcomes* Response rate CGI-I of negative symptoms p=0.0126 Very much improved p=0.0882 50 p=0.0255 Much improved 70 65% 60% 45 Minimally improved No change 60 40 35 p=0.061 50 % responders Patients (%) 43% 43% 30 40 25 30 20 20 15 10 10 5 0 Placebo RG1678 RG1678 RG1678 0 Placebo RG1678 RG1678 RG1678 10mg/day 30mg/day 60mg/day 10mg/day 30mg/day 60mg/day Change in function (PSP) Change from baseline Baseline 60 p
GlyT-1 in phase III: exploring two indications Negative symptoms and sub-optimally controlled patients Negative symptoms of schizophrenia Patients with sub-optimally controlled (3 trials) symptoms of schizophrenia (3 trials) 2x 1x 2x 1x No. of N=620 N=620 N=600 N=600 patients 1:1:1 randomisation 1:1:1 randomisation 1:1:1 randomisation 1:1:1 randomisation Primary PANSS negative symptoms factor score PANSS positive symptoms factor score endpoint at week 24 at week 12 Design ARM A: 10 mg GlyT-1 ARM A: 5 mg GlyT-1 ARM A: 10 mg GlyT-1 ARM A: 5 mg GlyT-1 ARM B: 20 mg GlyT-1 ARM B: 10 mg GlyT-1 ARM B: 20 mg GlyT-1 ARM B: 10 mg GlyT-1 ARM C: placebo ARM C: placebo ARM C: placebo ARM C: placebo Status FPI Q4 2010; Expect data 2013 FPI Q4 2010; Expect data 2013 Two new indications, study designs and patient populations agreed with health authorities in US (SPA), Europe and Japan 21
GlyT-1 development: optimizing the data quality Synergies in study design and patient recruitment 6 months treatment 6 months treatment Negative symptoms Extension within protocol x 3 studies Companion studies 3 months 9 months carried out at the same clinical sites Partial responder Extension within protocol x 3 studies Primary end-point read-out Studies for negative symptoms and partial responders developed in parallel at the same clinical sites: •High unmet medical need in both indications •Creates broad safety data base •Synergy in recruitment: reduced risk of rater inflation/deflation 22
Treatment goal in schizophrenia Restoring patient autonomy Functional and social autonomy Functional, quality of life, cognitive gains Maintaining Stability 23 * Weiden et al, J Clin Psych 1996; 57: 53-60
Ocrelizumab Humanized anti-CD20 antibody
Three major types of Multiple Sclerosis Relapse-Remitting (RRMS) Marketplace Mainly inflammatory (60-65%) Clearly defined relapses (attacks) • High unmet need: with remissions initially returning to baseline but gradually result in • high efficacy therapies for sustained disability relapsing forms have major safety issues Inflammatory / Degenerative Secondary Progressive • no treatment for primary (SPMS) (20-25%) progressive disease Disability Initial RRMS followed by disability accumulation. Still experience • diagnosis and classification is relapses which eventually stop difficult, often retrospective and Relapse No Relapse can take 2-5 years • Treatment decisions concentrated Mainly degenerative Primary Progressive mainly in MS centers/hospitals (PPMS) (10-15%) Slow but nearly continuous • Payers pressure has been limited; worsening of disease from outset (no relapses) patients’ advocacy groups powerful in access Time 25 Adapted from Lublin 1996, Arnold 2004
Current treatment dominated by ABCR cycling “Between a rock and a hard place” Available treatment options Cycle / Switch Avonex Betaferon interferon ß1a interferon ß1b Tysabri natalizumab Copaxone Rebif glatiramer acetate interferon ß1a A B Efficacy Gilenya Tysabri fingolimod natalizumab R C Treatment choice: • Efficacy/safety trade-off • Potential risks: Initial management Failure-switch - ABCR: Injection site reactions Switches due to flu, injection based on ABCR efficacy - Tysabri: opport. infect.: PML, liver toxicity site reactions or injection or tolerability issues - Gilenya: cardiovascular- , respiratory effects, frequency livertoxicity, macular edema, lymphomas, fetal risk 26
Ocrelizumab in phase II Efficacy amongst the highest seen in RRMS Mean no. T1 Gd-enhancing lesions Annualized Relapse Rate (ARR) Secondary end point 4.5 1 Placebo (n=54) p=0.0014 4.0 Ocrelizumab 600 mg (n=51) Ocrelizumab 2000 mg (n=52) 0.8 p=0.0005 3.5 IFN beta-1a (n=52) 3.0 0.636 80% 73% 0.6 2.5 Primary end point 2.0 0.4 0.364 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.169 0.125 0.5 0.0 0 0-24 0-24 0-24 0-24 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 (n=54) (n=55) (n=55) (n=54) Weeks 0-24 Placebo Ocrelizumab Ocrelizumab IFN beta-1a Reductions of 96 % (2000mg) and 89 % (600mg); weeks 600 mg 2000 mg p
Ocrelizumab in RRMS Looking for the next step in MS therapy Relative reduction in Annualized Relapse Rate 90 vs placebo in a range of phase 2/3 trials 80 70 60 50 % 40 30 20 10 0 ocrelizumab natalizumab cladribine rituximab fingolimod interferon interferon interferon interferon glatiramer ß-1a ß-1a sc sc ß-1b ß-1bsc acetate NOTES: • Pattern: Solid bars represent Phase III studies; pattern = Phase II • Trial durations vary from 6 mos. to 3 yrs; studies included different patient populations, different in/exclusion criteria, different ARR definitions and data were collected over a time span of more than 20 years 28 • Ph II trials of laquinimod, teriflunomide, and BG12 did not show significantly better efficacy on ARR than placebo and are not included in comparison figures
Ocrelizumab Phase III program in RMS and PMMS Patient Primary progressive Relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) population multiple sclerosis (PPMS) Phase III Phase III Phase III Phase/study OPERA I OPERA II ORATORIO # of patients N=800 N=800 N=630 Design • 96-week treatment period: • 96-week treatment period: • 120-week treatment period: • ARM A: Ocrelizumab 2x 300 mg IV • ARM A: Ocrelizumab 2x 300 mg IV • ARM A: Ocrelizumab 2x 300 mg IV every 24 weeks every 24 weeks every 24 weeks • ARM B: Rebif® (interferon β-1a) • ARM B: Rebif® (interferon β-1a) • ARM B: Placebo Primary • Annualized relapse rate at 96 weeks • Annualized relapse rate at 96 weeks • Sustained disability progression endpoint versus Rebif versus Rebif versus placebo by Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) Status • Expect FPI Q3 2011 • Expect FPI Q3 2011 • FPI Q1 2011 Rebif is a registered trademarks of EMD Serono, Inc. 29
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