Interim Results for the six months ended 31 March 2021 - Sustainable growth through transformation - Barloworld
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Sustainable growth through transformation Interim Results for the six months ended 31 March 2021 24 May 2021
Forward looking statements Barloworld may, in this document, make certain statements that are not historical facts that relate to analyses and other information based on forecasts of future results and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may also relate to our future prospects, developments and business strategies. Examples of such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding exchange rate fluctuations, volume growth, increases in market share, return on invested capital, growth opportunities, capital distribution and cost reductions, including in connection with our business performance outlook. Words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend", “seek”, “will”, “plan”, “could”, “may”, “endeavour”, “target”, “forecast” and “project” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there are risks that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not be achieved. If one or more of these risks materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated. You should understand that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements apply only as of the date on which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All references to interims refer to the six months ended 31 March 2021. Comprehensive additional information is available on our website: www.barloworld.com 2
Presentation overview Group highlights Dominic Sewela, Group CEO Financial overview Nopasika Lila, Group FD Industrial equipment and services Equipment southern Africa Emmy Leeka, CE Equipment Eurasia Quinton McGeer, CE Consumer industries Ingrain Garth Macpherson, MD Car rental and Leasing Avis Budget Rental & Avis Fleet Ramasela Ganda, CE Discontinued operations Motor Retail and Logistics Kamogelo Mmutlana, CE Strategy update and outlook Dominic Sewela Questions and answers Thank you 3
Creating value responsibly and sustainably ESG excellence underpins group strategic actions Recognized for our efforts towards We adopt a people centered approach in doing business, primarily ESG excellence focused on the safety and well being of our employees. People We take seriously the impact of our business on our society and deliberately seek to make a positive, long-lasting difference in the communities in which we operate. Communities We understand the adverse effect of climate change as well as water shortages and take meaningful actions to responsibly reduce our environmental footprint. Environment We are governed by the highest standards and are overseen by an independent, adequately capacitated and active board of directors. Governance 5
Leadership driven focus towards ZERO HARM Strategic initiatives contributed to a safer workplace 97% • Ongoing strategy deployment initiative focused on safety 30% 100% Target: FY21: 100% (also rolled out to acquired businesses) with SMART targets. Reduction in Operational excellence Global leaders contracted • Inclusion of safety metrics in executive scorecards LTIFR from improvement events and committed to operational to enhance accountability. continuing ops with safety visibility performing safety from 1H20* enhancements focused site walks • Active COVID-19 management and support. Lost-time Injury Frequency Rate (LTIFR) Work-related Fatalities Group Continuing (Excluding Ingrain) Continuing Operations Group Including Ingrain and Discontinued Ops Discontinued Operations Number of work-related 0.99 fatalities 0.77 0.77 0.75 2 0.69 3 0.65 0.57 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.51 2 0.44 0.40 LTIFR 0.38 1 1 0.29 0.31 1 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1H20 1H21 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1H20 1H21 for our people, communities & environment 6 * Restated for continuing operations (Motor Retail and Logistics disclosed as discontinued operations and not included in the consolidated figures)
Fostering environmentally responsible operations Exceeded environmental targets against baseline for continuing operations* Carbon Water Energy Emissions Withdrawals Efficiency Scope 1 and 2 FY20/FY15: FY20/FY15: FY20/FY15: 40% improvement 18% improvement 41% improvement 80,000 2.5 500 14 700,000 25 2.1 12.7 450 70,000 11.4 12 600,000 1.9 2.0 400 19.3 20 60,000 17.4 10.4 10 500,000 350 50,000 1.5 300 15 1.3 8 400,000 40,000 250 6 300,000 11.3 1.0 200 10 30,000 150 4 200,000 20,000 0.5 100 5 2 100,000 10,000 50 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1H21 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1H21 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1H21 Consumption Withdrawal Intensity Intensity Intensity Emissions Actual Emissions (tCO2e) Actual Water Withdrawals (ML) Actual non-renewable energy (GJ) Actual Intensity (tCO2e/R'M revenue) Actual Intensity (KL/R'M revenue) Actual Intensity (GJ/R'M revenue) - Continuing excluding Ingrain Intensity Target: 10% improvement by FY20 Intensity Target: 10% improvement by FY20 7 Intensity Target: 10% improvement by FY20 *Excludes Ingrain in 1H21
Financial Performance Overview Highlights from continuing operations Revenue Cost Savings^* Strong EBITDA HEPS 20.2bn 1.2bn 3.1bn 405cps (1H20: 17.9bn) (FY20: 691mn) (1H20: 2.7bn) (1H20: 111cps) Special Dividend* EBITDA/FCF Solid net debt conversion 200cps position* Motor retail** substantive 121% Interim Dividend* 4.9bn conditions met (FY’20: 2.6bn) (1H20: 88%) 137cps 8 ^Further savings: austerity measures taken in 2020. Incl s189 *Total group including discontinued operations **Discontinued operation
Transactions impacting the Financial Statements Key transactions impacting this period versus the prior period Income statement Statement of financial position 1H21 1H20 1H21 1H20 Restated Assets and Restated as a Assets and liabilities Continuing operation liabilities consolidated continued operation consolidated in group in group Restated as Discontinued Assets and liabilities Assets and liabilities discontinued operations held for sale consolidated in group operations • The inclusion of Equipment Mongolia for the 6 months • The inclusion of Ingrain for 5 months beginning 1 November 2020 10 The income statement and Statement of financial position for 1H20 and 1H21 are all inclusive of IFRS 16
Statement of Comprehensive Income Resilient operational performance 1H20 1H21 Unreviewed Rmn Reviewed and restated Change % Group Revenue (Incl Revenue 20 209 17 900 13% discontinued operations) EBITDA 3 145 2 659 18% Depreciation and amortisation of intangibles (1 164) (1 207) (4%) R28.6bn* Operating profit before B-BBEE transaction 1 981 1 452 37% B-BBEE transaction charge (46) (109) (58%) Operating profit 1 935 1 343 44% Fair value adjustment on financial instruments (113) (88) 28% Net finance cost and dividends received (434) (432) 0.5% Operating profit Profit before non-operating capital items 1 388 823 69% R1.9bn Non-operating and capital items 39 (1 741) (>100%) 44% up Profit /(Loss) before taxation 1 427 (919) (>100%) Taxation (540) (469) 15% Profit/(Loss) after taxation 887 (1 388) (> 100%) Net finance costs in line with Loss from Associates and JVs (55) (61) (10%) prior year despite cost of funding Profit/(Loss) – Continuing operations 832 (1 449) (>100%) Ingrain purchase of R5.3bn Loss from discontinued operations (98) (88) 11% Profit from Motor Retail 125 5 Logistics and the Motor Retail Loss from Logistics (223) (93) division are discontinued Profit /(Loss) for the period 734 (1 537) (>100%) operations 11 Group revenue includes revenue from continuing and discontinued operations
Revenue Segmental Our acquisitions contribute to revenue growth 1H20 1H21 Unreviewed and Rmn Reviewed restated Change % Revenue 20 209 17 900 13% 7 1 13 44 Revenue (Rbn) 1H21 10 (%) n Equipment southern Africa 1H20 1H21 n Equipment Eurasia 25 n Ingrain n Car Rental 9 2 n Leasing 20.2 17.9 n Other 18 8.9 8.8 1H20 50 5.1 2.0 1.7 (%) 3.8 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.3 Equipment Equipment Ingrain Car rental Leasing Other Total Group southern Africa Eurasia 21 12 The other segment includes Corporate, Digital Disposal Solutions (including SMD), Khula Sizwe and Handling
Operating Profit Segmental Realising benefits from austerity measures 1H20 1H21 Unreviewed and Rmn Reviewed restated Change % Operating profit 1 935 1 343 44% 12 5 43 Operating Profit (Rmn) 14 1H21 (%) n Equipment southern Africa 1H20 1H21 n Equipment Eurasia 26 n Ingrain n Car Rental 17 n Leasing 1,935 1,343 *Pie graph is exclusive of the other segment 893 12 47 722 1H20 559 370 305 270 264 (%) 194 114 (213) (200) Equipment Equipment Ingrain Car rental Leasing Other Total Group southern Africa Eurasia 24 13 The other segment includes Corporate, Digital Disposal Solutions (including SMD), Khula Sizwe and Handling
Net Finance Costs from continuing operations Net finance costs well managed 1H20 1H21 Unreviewed and Rmn Reviewed restated Change % Net finance cost and dividends received before Ingrain (345) (432) (20)% Ingrain finance cost (89) - - Net finance cost and dividends received including Ingrain (434) (432) 0.5% Net finance costs were in line with the prior year driven by the reduced debt levels in the divisions on the back of the defleeting of rental assets and lower interest rates in South Africa. The above is despite the cost of funding of the Ingrain purchase price of R5.3bn. Finance cost for Ingrain Acquisition R89m 14
HEPS and normalised HEPS analysis Improved earnings from operations cents 600 550 +74 -36 +5 -95 Continued 500 Operations +185 -26 +33 +23 448 450 +20 HEPS 405 400 405 cents (2020: 111 cents) 350 300 +155 250 200 150 111 Group (incl 100 discontinued 50 operations) HEPS - HEPS Ingrain BWE snA DRC and Equipment Equipment Car Rental Leasing Other HEPS IFRS 2 BEE IFRS 16 Normalised Continued ops - March excl associates other associates Russia Mongolia segments continued and other operations BEE impact HEPS Continued 367 cents 2020 charges ops - March (2020: 70 cents) 2021 15 Continuing operations
Group Statement of Financial Position 31 March 2021 Balance sheet remains strong; good working capital management 1H20 Un Reviewed 1H21 and FY20 Rmn Reviewed restated audited Commentary 31 March 2021 impact: The acquisition of Ingrain resulted in an increase in total assets of R6bn and increase in liabilities (excluding debt) of 0.6bn. The decision to hold Motor Retail and Logistics as held for sale impacted most items with assets held for sale of R5.8bn and liabilities held for sale of R4.4bn. Below explanations are in addition to the above. Non-current assets 21 294 19 678 20 470 R4.8bn increase as a result of the Ingrain acquisition (PPE, Goodwill and intangibles). Reduction in inventory in Equipment offset by increased cash reserves from R6.7bn to Current assets 25 238 27 673 27 379 R8.1bn and increased vehicle fleet levels from September due to low base. Assets classified as held Motor Retail and Logistics businesses disclosed as discontinued operations and assets 5 826 218 29 held for sale. for sale Total assets 52 358 47 569 47 878 Equity 20 120 21 537 19 750 Net increase in long term borrowings of R1.5bn for the period offset by a significant Non-current liabilities 9 862 9 990 11 251 reduction in the UK pension fund liability to R0.6bn from R1.9bn in September. Current liabilities 17 919 15 958 16 877 Short term borrowings increased by R2.9bn from funding of the Ingrain acquisition. Liabilities classified as held Motor Retail and Logistics businesses disclosed as discontinued operations and liabilities 4 457 84 0 held for sale. for sale Total equity and liabilities 52 358 47 569 47 878 16
Group Cash flow Exceptional free cash flow generation of R4.0 billion before Ingrain acquisition in tough trading conditions Rmn 4 500 -1,282 +2,454 -1,045 2 500 +242 -973 -5,282 +3,603 500 -1 500 -2 652 -3 500 Free cash flow R4bn -4 935 -5 500 Opening Net debt Operating cashflows Working Capital Investment in fleet Net Finance costs Investing activity Share based Ingrain acquistion Closing net debt incl before WC and vehicle assets and tax paid payments, lease pmts HFS and translation 17
Group Covenants as at 31 March 2021 – excluding IFRS 16 Remain well within our covenants Covenants excl. IFRS 16: Net debt/ EBITDA shall be less than 3 times Rmn times 6 000 1.0 0.9x 0.9 5 000 0.8 0.7 4 000 0.6x 0.6 3 000 0.5 0.4 4 935 2 000 0.3 2 652 0.2 1 000 0.1 - 0.0 FY20 Mar 21 Net debt Reported March 2021: 0.9xNet Debt/ EBITDA (September 2020: 0.6x) 18
Group Covenants as at 31 March 2021 – excluding IFRS 16 Remain well within our covenants Covenants Excl. IFRS 16: EBITDA/gross Interest shall be greater than 3 times Rmn times 5 300 8.0 6.9x 5 200 7.0 6.0 5 100 4.7x 5.0 5 000 5 209 4.0 4 900 3.0 4 800 2.0 4 700 4 830 1.0 4 600 0.0 FY20 Mar 21 Reported EBITDA EBITDA/gross March 2021: 6.9x (Septemberinterest 2020: 4.7x) 19
Returns at 31 March 2021 Tracking well against targets Managing for Metrics focused on returns 1H21 1H20 FY20 value targets ROE 0.9% 7.7% (1.5%) >15% Normalised HEPS* 448 cents 180 cents 70 cents Net gearing 35.6 35.3 25.2 40 – 60% ROIC 3.8% 7.8% 1% >13% EP (R3 147m) (R1 541m) (R3 037m) Positive delta FCF R3 972m (R1 336m) R3 327m Positive Cash conversion FCF – YTD conversion 114% (23%) 70% >50% EBITDA Definitions: ROE: Return on Equity (rolling 12 months) FCF: Free Cash Flow - Excluding acquisitions and disposals ROIC: Return on Invested Capital (rolling 12 months) FCF: Conversion – FCF / EBITDA EP: Economic Profit 20 Normalised headline earnings from continuing operations is adjusted for the B-BBEE charges; impact of IFRS 16 and the USD denominated cash in the UK in September 2020 only
Resumption of dividend Dividend policy : 2.5x – 3x normalised headline earnings from continuing operations Cents per share Gross amount Withholding tax Net amount Ordinary interim dividend 137 20% 109.60 Special dividend 200 20% 160.00 • No dividends declared in prior year – however, special divided and share buyback were implemented • Shares in issue at 31 March 2021 ~201.0 million - all of them qualifying for a dividend (including 3.2 million Treasury shares held for FSP). • Board has declared ordinary dividend of 137 cps - achieving a 3x cover • Group will fund the special dividend from the proceeds from the sale of Motor Retail 21
Subsequent Events No material changes post 31 March 2021 • The Motor Retail proposed disposal is subject to the fulfilment or waiver of a number of conditions precedent and so far these are progressing as planned and with the Competition Tribunal approval, the sale is expected to take place as planned in June 2021. • The Logistics disposal process has commenced with a broad set of interested parties. Non-binding proposals from the interested parties to acquire the Logistics business is anticipated in May 2021. Following the receipt of the non-biding proposals, it is anticipated that a select set of parties shall be permitted to conduct a detailed due diligence of the Logistics business prior to the selection of a preferred bidder and the negotiation of appropriate transaction agreements to give effect to the proposed disposal of Logistics. • The impact of COVID-19 has been considered up to 31 March 2021. Subsequent to the interim reporting there have been no significant changes in the COVID-19 restrictions impacting our businesses and thus no subsequent events related to the COVID-19 crisis have occurred. 22
Industrial equipment and services
Equipment southern Africa Emmy Leeka Chief Executive
Business Overview Strong first half Revenue down 1.8% mainly driven by a decline in machine sales. Operating profit margin at 10.2% (2020: 8.1%) supported by cost reduction of 22.1%. Invested capital significantly reduced by 33.3% to R8.19bn (2020: R12.28bn). Strong free cash flow generation of R1.02bn (2020: R0.74bn). Bartrac JV remained under pressure. Efforts to fix the business yielding results. Revenue (Rbn) EBITDA (Rbn) Operating Margin (%) -1.8% +15.7% +2.1 pp +2.1 pp 1.18 10.2 8.92 8.76 1.02 8.1 1H20 1H21 1H20 1H21 1H20 1H21 25
New equipment sales by segment Lower mining sales offset by improvements in other sectors New Equipment Sales (Rmn) New Equipment Sales Mix -14.0% 2 945 1H20 1H21 E&T 353 2 532 206 15% 19% 707 Construction 24% 748 30% 442 Contract Mining 493 12% 43% Mining 49% 8% 1 443 1 085 1H20 1H21 26 Note: Segmentation by customer segment and not machine type
Sales mix Strong aftermarket contribution improves operating profit margin Sales in Rmn Operating Profit Margin (%) 10.2% 12% 20,000 9.4% 9.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 8.7% 8.5% 10% 8.1% 6.8% 9.8% 15,000 8% 6% 10,000 54% 57% 56% 4% 52% 50% 55% 5,000 43% 41% 2% 33% 58% 59% 0 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1H20 1H21 Aftermarket Equipment Sales Operating profit margin 27
Financial returns by country Optimisation of invested capital continues Average Invested Capital (Rmn) Southern RSA Namibia Botswana Mozambique Zambia Angola Malawi Africa 1H20 7 435 365 396 1 238 845 1 665 104 12 118 1H21 6 641 271 164 1 147 679 1 155 71 10 235 11.8% 9.3% 25.1% 29.3% Group hurdle rate 13.0% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.5% 4.0% 28.6% 2.4% -0.7% -0.8% -3.8% -7.4% -29.3% 1H20 1H21 Hurdle rate 28 Note: The reduced return on invested capital is due to rolling 12 months NOPAT to March.
Bartrac JV Negative returns due to lower activity levels Democratic Republic of Congo Associate Income from Bartrac (Rmn) Operations impacted as key customer is still under care and maintenance. -41 -38 1H21 impacted by write-off of non operating capital items, change in -104 amortisation methods and restructuring provision. Turnaround being executed with full Katanga impact expected in 2022. Income from Bartrac expected to FY20 1H20 1H21 remain under pressure. 29
Divisional strategy Significant progress in fixing our business Fix Focus on Cost Improve Regional services growth reduction performance Improved parts Gross expenses Strong returns for contribution to overall mix reduced by 22.1% Namibia and Botswana Population Optimise Improve execution through Growth Invested Capital Barloworld Business System Market share flat Invested Capital reduced by Improving returns in declining market R4.08bn and customer service 30
Outlook Cautiously optimistic outlook for the rest of 2021 Order Book (Rmn) 2 541 2 394 Mining Construction & Power General 197 370 Power Positive outlook for mining Construction industry likely Turnaround plan to continue supported by robust to remain subdued in the delivering results 507 commodity prices. near term. supported by BBS. Construction 887 Strong free cash flow 660 Contract Mining 193 Increasing interest from LNG projects in Rovuma conversion to be sustained. 2 298 Asian miners in southern region on hold due to African assets. escalating attacks. Return on invested capital Mining 1,117 expected to improve. 1,004 Increasing demand for Continued focus on renewable energy / off grid services growth while 1H20 1H21 energy solutions. leveraging omni-channels. 31
Equipment Eurasia Quinton McGeer Chief Executive Eurasia
Financial performance Strong results and good progress with integrating Mongolia Results include full half year of the new acquisition in Mongolia – pleasing start. Revenue up 33% due to acquisition of Mongolia business supported by robust mining activity across both countries, particularly in gold and other metals, with Russia contributing 73% of total revenue. EBITDA up 53% driven by a combination of revenue growth, improved margins and reduced operating expenses with Russia generating 71% of total operating profit. Aftermarket business remains active but was impacted by the slowdown in the coal sector. Margin realisations were good across the segments and similar in both countries. Positive cash flow generated USD116mn driven by profitable results and good working capital management. Eurasia achieved a ROIC of 14.3% and continue to be well above the group threshold of 13%, with Russia at 18.3% (prior year – 15.8%). Revenue (Rbn) EBITDA (Rmn) Operating margin (%) +33% +53% 1.3% R 5.1bn R698mn 1.4 204 11.0 3.8 9.7 3.7 457 494 1H20 1H21 1H20 1H21 1H20 1H21 33
Aftermarket contribution remains healthy 1H21 New equipment revenue Revenue mix: product support vs equipment sales (%) (USDmn) 700 Product support Equipment sales OP Margin 7% Oil drops Sanctions 3% and 600 to ~USD30 Retaliatory 8% Duties Crimea COVID-19 Crisis and 500 Sanctions Global Financial Crisis 400 10.2% 11.6% 12.1% 11.0% 11.0% 8.7% 300 9.6% 9.1% 82% 11.2% 61% 10.5% 49% 37% 51% 5.6% 200 9.6% 51% 51% 46% 33% Mining Infrastructure Power Other 36% 3.4% 44% 27% 29% 6.1% 100 28% 43% Mining segment remains the main contributor to equipment sales - in both countries 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1H20 1H21 34
Diversified commodity exposure defends against cyclicality Revenue (%) Russia 1H21 18% 3% 49% 11% Eurasia 1H21 Russia 1H20 10% n Gold 16% 15% 9% n Coal 2% 3% 8% n Copper/nickel/aluminium 6% 43% 44% Mongolia 1H21 n Construction 11% 15% 0% n Diamond 0%9% 19% n Other 17% 31% 14% 46% 76%+ Coking Coal 35
Mining accounts KazMinerals (2023-2025) Pavlik USD200mn USD7mn USD6mn USD7mn USD1mn Polyus Alrosa USD37mn USD62mn USD61mn USD23mn USD14mn USD 2mn Polyus Sukhoi Log Norilsk Nickel USD385mn USD9mn USD10mn USD11mn BGK (Udokan) Coal Customers USD120mn USD27mn USD16mn USD6mn BODI (ETT) USD2mn Aspire USD80mn MAK OT Khan Altai/TT/AK USD150mn USD15mn USD4mn USD19mn USD1mn USD1mn USD20mn USD9mn USD25mn Greenfields / Brownfields / Major Projects Firm order YTD March 2021 36
Divisional strategy Key initiatives remain relevant Double services Win Develop online By 2026 greenfields platform Grow CI Improve salvage Improve digital market share capabilities platforms Focus on Focus on Improve talent ROIC safety management 37
Outlook Integrating Mongolia, capitalising on mining Strong Order book (USDmn) opportunities, and optimising best practice in Eurasia region. 1H21 177 42 Firm order book as at March 31 at record levels supported by diversified commodity mix (63% gold and 12% coal). Current trading trajectory expected to continue with potential upside in coal segment. 2020 105 Tight control on expenses and working capital management. Aftermarket contribution for the first half of the financial year remained healthy, supporting overall profitability with further upside potential in coal segment. 1H20 62 Focus on capturing new Greenfields and Brownfields to expand the volume of aftermarket business. ROIC expected to remain well above 13% hurdle rate. USD42mn firm orders signed after close 38
Consumer industries
Ingrain Garth Macpherson Managing Director
Financial performance Resilient performance producing strong results • Revenue growth of 16% compared to the period to March 2020. • EBITDA up 43% (2021: R400mn; 2020: R279mn) driven by growth in sales volumes, improved margins and operating efficiencies. • Margins supported by higher international starch and glucose prices and competitive South African maize prices relative to international prices. • Margins also benefited from improved sales mix and ongoing operational improvements and cost disciplines. • Operating profit margins increased to15,9% with operating profit at R306mn (2020: R226mn). • Strong cash generation on the back of improved operating results and lower working capital requirements. Revenue (Rmn) EBITDA (Rmn) Operating Margin (%) 16% 43% 21% 1 956 15,9 400 279 13,1 1 686 2020 2021 2020 2021 2020 2021 41
Revenue Split between Domestic, Export and Co-products 1H20 Revenue (%) 1H21 Revenue (%) Domestic sales volumes comprise starch and glucose sales (prime 18% 20% products) to the South African market. 11% R1 686mn 11% R1 956mn Exports comprise of sales to markets which include regional Sub-Saharan Africa, Far East and Australia. 71% 69% Co-products sales include sales to n Domestic the animal feed, edible oils and n Export protein markets. n Co-products 42
Domestic Sales Volumes by Sector Continuing to benefit from diverse customer base 2019/20 2020/21 % Growth Outlook Year to Date 2021 vs 2020 Domestic sales Actual Actual Apr - Sep 21 volumes were Alcoholic Beverages 71 989 74 048 2.9% 80 873 3.5% ahead of period to March 2020 Operation Coffee Creamers 31 847 37 969 19.2% 51 089 continues to benefit from Confectionery 26 011 24 092 -7.4% 34 919 diverse customer Strong growth segments Paper 24 894 23 790 -4.4% 29 403 in coffee creamer, canning, prepared foods and paper Prepared Foods 5 575 6 011 7.8% 9 084 converting sectors Alcoholic beverages Other 17 896 18 536 3.6% 25 216 sector has been resilient in the Total 178 212 184 446 3.5% 230 584 face of various Key focus bans on sales of areas: Sales alcohol growth of 8,4% achieved in powdered glucose and 16,8% in modified starches 43 Outlook period is for 6 trading months with actuals representing 5 months
Maize outlook – South African Maize History Forecast large local maize crop expected to continue to support margins 2021/22 Third production Maize Season 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2019/20 2020/21 estimate Hectares planted (000 hectares) 2 653 1 947 2 629 2 319 2 301 2,612 2 755 Yield (tons/hectare) 3.75 3.87 6.37 5.39 4.89 5.86 5.84 Production (000 tons) 9 955 7 537 16 820 12 510 11 275 15 300 16 096 Imports (000 tons) 1 651 2 700 - - 525 463 - Carry in stock (000 tons) 2 074 2 471 1 095 3 689 2 663 1 001 2 118 Total usage incl. Exports (000 tons) 11 209 11 613 14 226 13 536 13 462 14 646 14 646 Stock to Use Ratio 23.3% 10.2% 31.0% 23.6% 8.2% 17.9% 30.1% Outlook for maize/corn International starch and glucose prices • Global demand for corn remains high with increased demand ex China. • Higher international corn prices driving increases in starch and glucose prices. • Weather concerns and planting delays in United States and other key • Cassava root shortages in Thailand continue to support cassava starch prices. production markets impacting prices. • Disruptions to global supply chains resulting in significant freight increases • International prices remain at highest levels since 2013. and continue to impact starch and glucose pricing. • Large South African maize crop ensuring local maize prices more competitive. • Escalating oil prices impacting supply and demand dynamics in agricultural markets. 44
Divisional strategy Accelerating Market Development and Operational Focus Areas Increased sales of powdered Continuing improvements in glucose following resolution Ongoing focus and investment sales mix and growth in import of prior period production in capacity optimisation. replacement programme. constraints. Expanding regional market Enhanced execution of Increasing sales of modified presence and review market operational excellence through starches following completion opportunities as new trade the implementation of the of capital investments Q3 2020. regimes develop. Barloworld Business System. 45
Outlook Volume growth and continued favourable margin environment support earnings growth over prior year Ingrain’s diverse customer base expected to continue to provide support to sales in the domestic market. Sales volumes for the remainder of the financial year expected to benefit from reduced restrictions on economic activity that impacted the early part of the prior year. Initial investments in plants, commissioned in the latter part of 2020, expected to contribute to increases in sales of powdered glucose and modified starches. Above should provide some cushion from the uncertain macro-economic outlook, with the possibility being present of a third wave of Covid-19 infections and further associated lockdowns. Current high international agricultural commodity prices and competitive South African maize prices expected to continue to support margins going forward. 46
Automotive
Car rental and leasing Ramasela Ganda Chief Executive
Car rental Financial performance Operational performance: • The business traded at 83% of 1H20 levels, despite severely subdued international, corporate and public travel. • Management’s focus on repositioning the business towards off-airport business by expanding into mobility subscription offerings yielded positive results. • Market for one-year-old vehicles continued to demonstrate buoyance, yielding good returns. • Utilisation improved by 1.6bps. Business achieved a reduction of 38% in operating expenses resulting from the restructure. Strong cash generation as a result of the operating model agility to defleet in line with the rental market activity, and strategic channel selection. Management continue to focus on decreasing damage expenses and maintaining the lower cost base. Revenue (Rbn) Operating profit (Rmn) Cash flow (Rmn) -17% -41.6% 481 194 101 114 3.2 (336) (664) 2.6 1.9 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 49
Leasing: Avis fleet Financial performance Revenue: • Down on prior year impacted by lower leasing revenue as a result of large contract lead out. • Used vehicle revenue and margins positively impacted by the integrated model with Avis Car Sales network. • Corporate customer contracts have been well retained. • Management’s focus on diversifying the portfolio and capabilities into medium and heavy commercial fleets is yielding good results. Operating margin benefited from lower operating cost structure. Increased estimated credit losses. Revenue (Rbn) Operating profit (Rmn) Cash flow (Rmn) -16% -2% 831 1.7 1.4 270 264 1.3 176 310 264 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 1 2H20 2 1H21 3 1H20 1 2H20 2 1H21 3 50
Integrated Car Rental and Leasing Outlook and strategic focus areas Operation Disciplined focus Technology • International business is still • Sustain the reduced fixed-cost • Continue to develop and expected to be subdued base to ensure an agile deploy the new generation depending largely on the organization. fleet management system. roll-out of the vaccine. • Cash generation. • Integrate systems and digitise • The Used Car Market is still • Grow Commercial leasing processes. expected to be strong on the business. back of shortage of new cars and expected high prices. • Providing quality services and not just prices will continue to be a driving force for rental and leasing business. 51
Discontinued operations
Motor Retail and Logistics Kamogelo Mmutlana Chief Executive
Motor retail Financial performance Revenue marginally down 2.9%, impacted by: • New vehicle dealer market down 3.8%, represented brands down 6.0%. • Despite decline across all segments on prior year, improved results shown since 2H20. Strong used vehicle contribution. Improved operating margin 2.2% (1H20: 0.9%) driven by: • Improved selling gross margins across segments. • reduction in cost base of R100mn due to austerity measures implemented during 2H20. Revenue (Rbn) EBITDA (Rbn) Cash flow (Rbn) -3% +83% -87% 925 244 6.9 6.7 119 133 5.1 (638) (43) 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 54
Motor retail Key performance indicators New and used vehicles sold After sales Revenue -11% -6% +29% +20% 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 55 2H’2020 impacted by 2 months of level 5 and level 4 trading restrictions. Significant impact on trading
Logistics Financial performance Operational performance impacted by: • Subdued trading impacted by end-of-life cycle contracts, down trading and declining volumes due to Covid-19. • Disruptive impact of community and civil unrest on the transport industries continues. • Increased fleet running costs due to delayed contract renewals. • Increased provision for credit losses. • Despite volumes down on last year, shipments improved since 2H20. • Reduction in employee costs of R77mn, net off retrenchment costs. • Negative impact of R34mn once off preparation for disposal costs. Revenue (Rbn) EBITDA (Rbn) Cash flow (Rbn) -19% -48% -100% 62 0 158 (134) 2.1 1.7 1.7 87 82 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 56
Logistics Key performance indicators National shipments Transport -27% +3% -13% -16% 1H20 2H20 1H21 1H20 2H20 1H21 57
Strategy and outlook Dominic Sewela
Strategic Update Strategic actions yielding positive results Motor Retail Disposal Ingrain Equipment Conditions Precedent fulfilled. Integration progressing well. Deliver full potential in southern Africa. Value delivery ahead of expectations. Mongolia integration progressing well Value delivery ahead of expectations Logistics Disposal Rent-a-Car/Avis Fleet Formal sales process Review business performance underway. in line with market conditions. Exit in medium term. Governance Process of appointing a new chairman underway. Active shareholder Capital Allocation Appointed Lead Independent Director. model Continue with disciplined Drive strategic priorities across capital allocation to ensure the group through BBS. strong balance sheet. 59
Return on Invested Capital From continuing operations 13% 15.8 16.2 14.2 14.1 12.5 11.7 11.7 11.9 10.1 9.1 9.5 8.6 8 6.4 6.5 3.8 -3.2 -4.9 Car Rental Leasing Equipment southern Africa Equipment Eurasia Ingrain Mar-20 Sep-20 Mar-21 Mar-21* Invested Capital (R billion) Mar 2020 3.9 3.7 12.3 4.2 N/A Sep 2020 2.8 3.2 9.2 5.6 N/A Mar 2021 2.4 3.0 8.2 4.0 5.1 60 *Annualised return for the 6 months Oct 2020 – Mar 2021
Outlook Pivoting Barloworld for the future Industrial Consumer equipment industries and services Mining Equipment southern Africa CORPORATE Ingrain CENTRE Construction Equipment South Africa Eurasia Corporate Other** Energy and Operations Transportation UK Corporate Avis Budget Avis Car Fleet Rental Car Rental & Leasing* 61 * Motor retail and Logistics are Discontinued operations from 1 February 2021, and the Group’s 50% holding in NMI-DSM is held as an associate. ** Other includes Digital Disposal Solutions (including SMD), Khula Sizwe, Handling and Corporate office
Outlook We are an industrial Industrial Consumer equipment processing, distribution and industries and services services company Mining Equipment southern Africa CORPORATE Ingrain CENTRE Construction Equipment South Africa Eurasia Corporate Other** Energy and Operations Transportation UK Corporate 62 ** Other includes Digital Disposal Solutions (including SMD), Khula Sizwe, Handling and Corporate office
Thank you
Supplementary information
Fair value adjustments of financial instruments from continuing operations Foreign exchange movements impacted by currency volatility 1H20 1H21 Unreviewed Rmn Reviewed Restated Change % Fair value adjustment on financial instruments (113) (89) 28% Included in the Fair value losses of R113mn • UK Corporate has realised YTD losses of R45mn compared to a gain of R36m in the prior year mainly due to weakening of currencies against the British Sterling. • Losses of financial instruments in Equipment snA were 62% lower at R47mn (Due to the stable Kwanza and stronger Metical). 65
Losses from Associates and Joint ventures from continuing operations Bartrac key customer site under care and maintenance 1H20 1H21 Unreviewed Rmn Reviewed Restated Change % Loss from Associates and JV’s (55) (61) (10%) 1H20 1H21 Rmn 1H21 1H20 59 Bartrac (104) (38) 20 7 NMI-DSM 59 20 (4) BHBW (17) (39) (17) (38) (39) Other 7 (4) Total (55) (61) (104) Bartrac NMI-DSM BHBW Other 66
Group Net Debt Increase in net debt of R2.3bn despite acquiring Ingrain for R5.3bn Mar 2021 Sep 2020 Rmn Reviewed Audited Increase Net Debt including held for sale (HFS) 4 935 2 652 2 283 0.4 0.2 4.8 Net Debt (Rmn) Mar 2021 Rbn 12.9 n Debt Sep 2020 Mar 2021 8.1 n Cash n Net Debt n Debt HFS 2.7 n Cash HFS 12,872 9,395 8,114 6,743 Sep 2020 9.4 4,758 Rbn 2,652 400 223 6.7 Net Debt Debt Cash Debt - Held for sale Cash held for sale 67 The other segment includes Corporate, Digital Disposal Solutions (including SMD), Khula Sizwe and Handling
Managing the COVID-19 impact Group cost containment measures Current austerity initiatives Cost savings on retrenchments at Restructuring and consolidating 1H21 to the amount of R571mn subsidiaries Travel, consulting and events Total savings on salary sacrifices and cancelled resulting in a saving of pension holiday (1H21) R66mn R86mn Property operating leases Cancelled all non-essential training savings on of R42mn Capex spend significantly reduced Austerity applied to other expenses resulting in a saving of R1 018mn resulting in a saving of R283mn 68
Income statement impact of acquisitions Continuing operations 1H21 1H21 excluding Rmn Reviewed Mongolia Ingrain acquisitions Revenue 20 209 1 401 1 956 16 852 EBITDA 3 145 204 399 2 552 Depreciation and amortisation of intangibles (1 164) (59) (94) (1 011) Operating profit before B-BBEE transaction 1 981 145 305 1 531 B-BBEE transaction charge (46) (46) Operating profit 1 935 145 305 1 485 Fair value adjustment on financial instruments (113) 1 1 (115) Net finance cost and dividends received (434) (26) (66) (342) Profit before non-operating capital items 1 388 119 240 1 029 Non-operating and capital items 39 39 Profit /(Loss) before taxation 1 427 119 240 1 068 Taxation (540) (50) (27) (463) Profit/(Loss) after taxation 887 69 213 605 Loss from Associates and JVs (55) (55) Profit/(Loss) – Continuing operations 832 69 213 550 Loss from discontinued operations (98) (98) Profit /(Loss) for the period 734 69 213 452 69
Revenue and Operating profit Discontinued Operations Revenue (Rbn) Operating Profit (Rmn) 187 9.0 175 8.4 6.9 6.7 2.1 6.2 42 38 1.7 (30) (30) 27 Logistics Motor Retail Total Logistics Motor Retail Intergroup elimination Total 1H20 1H21 70
Equipment snA: Commodity mix Diverse commodity exposure defends against cyclicality and coal continues to be a strong contributor Mining machines sales split by commodity (%) 2 7 2 5 13 4 4 8 6 9 8 19 9 17 Coal Platinum 4 24 Gold 17 14 Diamonds Copper Iron Ore 44 43 43 Manganese Other FY20 1H20 1H21 71 Other includes Uranium, Zinc, Gemstones and Mineral sands
Equipment snA: Mining projects outlook Project demand remains Copper Gold USD130mn USD34mn Coal Diamond USD30mn MALAWI USD40mn Diamond Platinum ANGOLA USD100mn ZAMBIA USD200mn MOGALAKWENA MOZAMBIQUE Copper ZIMBABWE Coal USD100mn USD65mn NAMIBIA BOTSWANA Manganese Coal USD30mn USD23mn MAFUBE Zinc Platinum SWARTBERG/GAMSBERG USD43mn USD17mn PLATREEF RSA Iron Ore Coal KAPSTEVEL USD70mn USD25mn IMPUNZI Greenfields/Major Projects Brownfields/Replacements 72
Equipment snA: Construction, Energy and Transportation projects outlook Project demand remains Exxon LNG USD30mn Chivu Road USD100mn USD6.2mn Total LNG NSC Pipeline USD20mn USD57mn MALAWI USD66mn Tlou Energy - CBM Discovery CBM ANGOLA USD3mn ZAMBIA USD50mn MOZAMBIQUE NamPower ZIMBABWE EB Cloete Interchange USD280mn USD9.2mn NAMIBIA BOTSWANA OR Tambo Int. Data Centres USD30mn USD20mn REIPP - DMRE Sanral Various Projects USD1bn USD1.2bn RSA Cape Town Int. Sanral Wild C USD493mn USD350mn Construction (Energy) Construction (Airports) Construction (Roads) Engines / Power 73 Notes: NSC – North-South Carrier; CBM - Coal Bed Methane; REIPP - Renewable Energy Independent Power Producers ; DMRE - Department of Minerals and Energy (SA); LNG - Liquified Natural Gas; NamPower - Namibia Power Corporation
Equipment snA: Several challenges and opportunities in 2021 Regional update RSA Mozambique DRC • Mining resilient with strong recovery on • Total’s LNG project on hold due to • Copper & cobalt prices in favor of mining commodity prices and production levels. escalating terrorist attacks. investments • Construction sector remains subdued with • Vale likely to sell Moatize mine to Chinese • New initiative launched to support some optimism on infrastructure projects. or Indian buyers given decision to exit coal. artisanal & small-scale mining of cobalt. Zambia Angola Botswana • Copper prices rally expected to remain in • Increasing oil prices driving OPEC+ to • Demand improving for diamonds with De Beers the near term. gradually increase production. increasing prices by 8% since Dec 2020. • Mining firms calls for favorable investment • Currency depreciation continues • Government support to coal mining sector climate. to impact economic growth. encouraging FDI’s. • Government owned Mopani mine could • New copper T3 Motheo project will diversify limit capital expenditure. Botswana’s mining. Malawi Namibia Zimbabwe • Construction market remains subdued. • Multiple uranium projects on the horizon • Introduction of foreign currency auction • Reduced economic activity levels. depending on the price movement. system to stabilize the exchange rate • Strong gold production forecasted to boost against the US dollar. economic activities. • Government aims to fast-track exploration, • Lack of funding for infrastructure projects evaluation and digitalization of selected impacting the construction sector. mines. 74
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