Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy

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Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
Futures Academy

                                     Reports
    Dublin Institute of Technology               Year 

                      Imagine Lincoln 2020
                           The Futures Academy

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Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
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Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
IMAGINE LINCOLN

2020
One of the world’s great small cities

                                        A vision for the future of our city
Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
IMAGINE LINCOLN
There is a new sense of purpose and place about Lincoln.
The rapid academic and physical development of a University of Lincoln has had a profound
impact upon a shire seat with a strong sense of history. The university has begun to give back
to the city the drive and status it enjoyed in medieval times.
                                                                                                                                                                             2020
                                                                                                                                                                              One of the world’s great small cities

And the world is beginning to take note.

                                                                                                 The potential for Lincoln to become one of the            IMAGINE
                                                                                                 world’s great small cities is ours for the taking.
                                                                                                 We need imagination - a bold vision of Lincoln in        Imagine one of the world’s great small cities,
                                                                                                 the future as a basis for planning the city.             recognised globally for its creativity, excellent
                                                                                                                                                          networks, quality of life and good governance -
                                                                                                 Most of all we need the collective will to make          a truly attractive place to live, work and play.
                                                                                                 it happen, and recognition of the missed
                                                                                                 opportunity if we fail.                                  Imagine a city recognised as ‘well connected’
                                                                                                                                                          in every sense - well networked socially as a
                                                                                                 As a contribution to this agenda The Futures             community, locally and globally, with excellent
                                                                                                 Academy from Dublin was invited to the                   transport communications and high-powered
                                                                                                 university to help an ad hoc Lincoln Futures             electronic connectivity.
                                                                                                 Group learn how to stand our thinking on its
                                                                                                 head by ‘imagining forwards and planning                 Imagine a city with friends and partners with high
                                                                                                 backwards’. Encouragement from a wider                   integrity and global standing. A city judged by
                                                                                                 audience, following the workshop, to take the            the company it keeps.
                                                                                                 work further has resulted in this document.              Imagine a city at the leading edge of the
                                                                                                 Lincoln 2020 is not a prescription. It is one vision     creative industries in the UK, where university
                                                                                                 of a great small city in 2020 with a leading edge        and industry work seamlessly in partnership,
                                                                                                 and, hopefully, a stimulus for the vision for the        generating wealth and new media
                                                                                                 city in 2020 in which all citizens will play an active   businesses globally.
                                                                                                 part. Planning for the future can no longer be left      Imagine a city where lifestyle and work
                                                                                                 to the specialists - it must be people-based and         are in harmony with exemplary health
                                                                                                 truly collaborative.                                     and social services and a vibrant arts
                                                                                                 I am immensely grateful to Professor John                and cultural programme.
                                                                                                 Ratcliffe, staff of The Futures Academy at DIT,          Imagine a city renowned for its community
                                                                                                 Ireland and the ad hoc Lincoln Futures Group             volunteering, a giving city with a strong,
                                                                                                 who have contributed selflessly to produce               inclusive ethical code of conduct practised
                                                                                                 this report.                                             extensively by its citizens.
                                                                                                 David Chiddick                                           Imagine a city well governed with ethical
                                                                                                 University of Lincoln                                    leadership where the community is
                                                                                                                                                          empowered and all interests work together
                                                                                                                                                          in an ‘All in Lincolnshire Partnership’.
                                                                                                                                                          Imagine an historic cathedral city where
                                                                                                                                                          conservation and tradition are complemented
                                                                                                                                                          by inspiring modern architecture and attractive
                                                                                                                                                          urban spaces.
                                                                                                                                                          Imagine Lincoln in 15 years’ time - this could
                                                                                                                                                          be your city in 2020.

02                                                                                                                                                                                                              03
Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
CONNECTED          QUALITY OF LIFE    COMPETITIVE       WELL GOVERNED    ENVIRONMENT       WHAT IF WE DON’T?
                                                                                                                                                                                                 IMAGINE LINCOLN

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                 One of the world’s great small cities

Imagine one of the world’s great small cities
Lincoln 2020 is a welcoming city within its own community and with the world.                                     What is needed                Imagine a Chinese politician visiting
In 2005 the city set up the Lincoln Futures Academy based at the University of                                                                  Lincoln for a G10 conference staged
Lincoln. One of the outcomes from the first vision for our great city was a strategic                           Joined up Greater Lincoln       in the city for the first time in 2015.
                                                                                                                and Greater Lincolnshire
master-planning process for Greater Lincoln even though, at that time, four local                               Strategic Plans.
                                                                                                                                                Professor Liu Ming is a senior minister in the
authorities had an interest in this still relatively small city. The 2006-16 masterplan                         An Integrated Transport Plan    People’s Republic of China. A graduate of
set the structural framework for all aspects of the city’s development,                                         for Greater Lincoln focusing
                                                                                                                on all modes of transport
                                                                                                                                                Tangshan University, Professor Ming studied
including transportation.                                                                                       with special focus on park      for her MA in Politics and Economics at the
                                                                                                                and ride facilities, bus and    University of Lincoln in 2010. The two
                                                                                                                bicycle lanes and
                                                                                                                pedestrianisation schemes.      universities have developed profound
In 2020 movement around Lincoln is easy since            Super-fast broadband networks across the                                               partnerships in teaching, research and
the rail freight traffic was diverted out of the city,   county link to the Brayford Satellite Uplink,          A recognition that, without
                                                                                                                essential investment,           knowledge transfer since 2004, spinning off a
a dual ring road was completed around the city           making Lincoln a hub of global media                   Lincolnshire will continue to   number of joint venture companies.
and free park and ride facilities were opened            communications. Greater Lincolnshire is known          hold back economic
                                                                                                                development plans for the
north and south with priority ‘green bus’ and            as the most e-networked area in the country, a         East Midlands and so is the
                                                                                                                                                Professor Ming will be giving a keynote
cycle lanes throughout Lincoln.                          feature which facilitates an enhanced work/life        key to regional emergence       address to the G10 summit, being held at
                                                         balance for urban/rural living away from the           as a leader in Europe.          Riseholme Park campus, on global cooling.
Global links were made easier with inter-city rail
                                                         congested south-east.                                  Approved capital                Riseholme Park has emerged as a world
connections reintroduced in 2006, the                                                                           infrastructure expenditure      conference centre and an exemplar of best
completion of the dualling of the A46 to the M1          The city centre pedestrian area extends into the       over the 2006-16 plan period
                                                                                                                of £600m.                       practice in environmental sustainability.
in 2011, fast road links to both the east coast          southern High Street and the Brayford Pool.
holiday and conference resorts and to the East
                                                         The ease of access to and around Lincoln has
Midlands port of Boston and the opening of
                                                         stimulated a strong tourist industry, with the city
Lincoln International Airport at Brigg all in the
                                                         now one of the leading historic cities for visitors
same year.
                                                         to the UK.
                                                         And Lincoln has become a magnet for major
                                                         world academic and political conferences at its
                                                         premier league university, established just over
                                                         25 years ago. Greater Lincoln’s exemplary
                                                         governance and first-class transport and
                                                         electronic communications provide an essential
                                                         backcloth to meetings between world leaders in
                                                         the refurbished Old Bishop’s Palace at the
                                                         university’s Riseholme Park campus.
                                                         Lincoln 2020 is a small city that thrives on the
                                                         global stage.

04                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 05
Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
CONNECTED         QUALITY OF LIFE   COMPETITIVE     WELL GOVERNED    ENVIRONMENT       WHAT IF WE DON’T?
                                                                                                                                                                                                IMAGINE LINCOLN

                                                                                                                                                                                                2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                One of the world’s great small cities

A great place to live
Lincoln is a city whose citizens have a strong, inclusive,                                                    What is needed                 Imagine a Professor
ethical code of conduct in local governance and business, where                                                                              of Primary Care Medicine.
                                                                                                            A commitment by
equality is practised and diversity celebrated. It is a city that has                                       businesses, the voluntary        Professor Lucy Martin graduated
                                                                                                            sector, education, local         in Medicine in 2002 from the University of
embraced its personal and collective identities and cultural                                                authorities and NHS trusts to
                                                                                                                                             Leicester, spending some time in her final year
                                                                                                            work together to focus on
differences - an inclusive city.                                                                            those health, social and         at the then United Lincolnshire Hospitals Trust
                                                                                                            cultural issues which will       (now Lincolnshire University Hospitals Trust).
                                                                                                            make a measurable change
It is a world centre for community volunteering      recognised world excellence for research and           to the quality of life for the   Following six years in Leeds where she qualified
and charitable giving with many charities’           development work in what was once termed               residents of city and county.
                                                                                                                                             as a psychiatrist and general practitioner, she
headquarters located in the city.                    ‘complementary’ but what is now known as               Approval of a Lincoln            completed the first PhD (in Community Health)
                                                     ‘integrated medicine’.                                 Medical School.
                                                                                                                                             from the new Lincoln Medical School in 2010.
For its citizens, flexible working hours,
caring employers and accessible recreational         The cathedral is the main attraction in the city -     A viable plan for the Lincoln
                                                                                                            Arts Centre.                     In 2020 Professor Martin holds a unique position
and cultural facilities help keep lifestyle and      for pilgrimage, retreats or simply appreciation                                         as a Professor of Primary Care and Medical
                                                                                                            Granting of World Heritage
work in balance.                                     of its inspiring architecture. There is growing        Status to the Cathedral          Director of the Acute Trust (LUHT) emphasising
                                                     sense of a ‘guiding hand’ in 2020 which has            Quarter of Lincoln.
                                                                                                                                             the integrated medicine philosophy pioneered
School meals are locally sourced and all
                                                     rekindled a spiritual partnership between the                                           at Lincoln Medical School.
schools offer a breakfast at the start of the day.                                                          A ‘quality of life’ agenda at
                                                     cathedral and the university, redolent of a            the heart of the newly formed
The city boasts exemplary health and social          powerful medieval tradition. Since the cathedral,      Lincolnshire Assembly.
services backed up by the Lincoln Medical            castle and Hillside Quarter (including The             Lincoln world address/host
School opened in 2008. By 2013 the school had        Collection) were designated a World Heritage           for an international (NGO)
                                                                                                            body.
not only remedied the serious shortfall in           Site in 2010, international interest in Lincoln has
qualified health and social care professionals       expanded dramatically.
in Lincolnshire, it had also developed
                                                     Throughout Lincoln there is a vibrant arts and
                                                     cultural programme - a major attraction not only
                                                     to local people and tourists but also to
                                                     delegates attending the many conferences now
                                                     staged in the city.
                                                     The Brayford Wharf Arts Quarter, with the
                                                     Lincoln Arts Centre and Lincoln Central Library,
                                                     provides a hub to an extensive programme of
                                                     performing and visual arts across the county.

06                                                                                                                                                                                                                                07
Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
CONNECTED         QUALITY OF LIFE   COMPETITIVE     WELL GOVERNED    ENVIRONMENT       WHAT IF WE DON’T?
                                                                                                                                                                                         IMAGINE LINCOLN

                                                                                                                                                                                         2020
                                                                                                                                                                                         One of the world’s great small cities

A highly creative city
Lincoln has established itself as a world leader in the new media and                                         What is needed                Imagine a media entrepreneur.
creative industries alongside Tangshan and Chicago over recent years.                                                                       Tom Bray (28) is a successful media
                                                                                                            A joined-up economic            entrepreneur. Tom graduated from the
                                                                                                            strategy and an agreed focus
The University of Lincoln adopted a bold plan in     Lincoln School of Art and Design and the               on discrete achievable          University of Lincoln in 2013 in Media
2003 to recruit leading academics and                leading Chicago Art School. Today, satellite links
                                                                                                            outcomes through the newly      Development, started the New Internet
                                                                                                            formed Lincolnshire
practitioners in the media and computing fields      and ease of transport between the cities have          Assembly (April 2005).          Company (NIC) in the Brayford
and set up an incubator centre for its graduates     created three centres of excellence in the                                             Incubator Centre, rented space on the
                                                                                                            Big ideas to transform
funded by the then East Midlands Development         creative industries.                                   Lincoln’s and Lincolnshire’s    new Brayford Innovation Park and
Agency (now Regional Authority). This was                                                                   economic performance.           used the East Midlands Media and
followed in 2006 by the opening of the East          At Riseholme Park, an exemplar of best practice        Critical friends and            Computing Centre to upload his
Midlands Media and Computing centre on the           in environmental and economic sustainability, a        international champions of      products onto the Lincoln Satellite.
                                                                                                            the University of Lincoln.
Brayford campus with the only satellite uplink       major industry has grown up around the science         Widespread support to
                                                                                                                                            The company, which was jointly
north of London in the UK - and the rest, as they    park, opened in 2007 and specialising in               complete the university’s       owned by Tom and the university,
                                                                                                            development.                    was sold in 2019 for 1 billion.
say, is history.                                     companies researching and generating energy
                                                     from crops.                                            Support through training and    Tom now spends some of his time
                                                                                                            market development of
Today the university and industry work                                                                      successful indigenous
                                                                                                                                            teaching at the university, inspiring
seamlessly in partnership, generating wealth and     The Lincoln Edge Ltd, a private sector-led             companies.                      new undergraduates to follow in
new media businesses globally. Rural living (and     regeneration company spun off from the                 Development of Greater
                                                                                                                                            his footsteps and advising cities
working) for media entrepreneurs has become          Lincolnshire Assembly (founded in 2005 as part         Lincoln as a hub of             across the globe on academic
                                                     of Lincolnshire Enterprise), acts as the catalyst      entrepreneurial activity.       entrepreneurship.
the dominant and most productive workforce in
the East Midlands, transforming what was 15          for economic development for the Greater               Approval of the Lincoln and
                                                                                                            Riseholme Masterplan.
                                                                                                                                            The 21st century will belong to the
years ago the most depressed sub-region of the       Lincoln Authority. Two of its most significant
                                                                                                                                            individual and the achiever, to those
East Midlands economy.                               achievements have been promoting the build-up          Host to a major international
                                                                                                            event.                          capable of exercising their
                                                     of Lincoln as a centre for academic and world
                                                                                                                                            independence, responsibility and
The partnership with Tangshan, also a one-time       leadership conferences and sponsoring the
                                                                                                                                            initiative, whatever their role in society
great engineering city, flourished as the            transformation of the engineering companies
                                                                                                                                            generally.
universities in both cities ‘joined forces’ in new   that once supplied gas turbine industry into a
media R&D. The Chicago link came through a           niche leading-edge group of companies in the
gradual build-up of mutual respect between the       specialist engineering market.

08                                                                                                                                                                                                                         09
Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
CONNECTED   QUALITY OF LIFE   COMPETITIVE   WELL GOVERNED   ENVIRONMENT     WHAT IF WE DON’T?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  IMAGINE LINCOLN

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  One of the world’s great small cities

A well governed city
                                                                                                 A Lincolnshire Assembly, formed in April 2005,                 Imagine an Executive Mayor
                                                                                                 provided for the first time an ‘All in Lincolnshire            for Lincoln.
                                                                                                 Partnership’. Chaired by the Bishop of Lincoln,
                                                                                                 the assembly has now evolved to include:                       Mayor Emmanuel Porto was born in Portugal
                                                                                                                                                                and came to south Lincolnshire to work in the
                                                                                                     local government leaders                                   food industry in 2004. Following an English
                                                                                                     community leaders                                          as a Foreign Language course (EFL) and basic
                                                                                                     the cathedral, diocese and leading faiths                  FE courses in food hygiene, he studied at the
                                                                                                     business                                                   University’s Holbeach campus for a Foundation
                                                                                                                                                                Degree in Food Manufacturing, completing an
                                                                                                     Lincoln Edge Ltd, an urban regeneration
                                                                                                                                                                honours degree at the Brayford campus.
                                                                                                     company formed in 2006
                                                                                                                                                                He was employed by one of the first energy-
                                                                                                     university and colleges.                                   from-crops firms to locate on the Riseholme
                                                                                                 The partnership and local authorities are                      Science Park in 2008 and became its Chief
                                                                                                 recognised nationally as exemplary models of                   Executive in 2015. As a resident of the new
                                                                                                 ethical leadership and advocacy. New leaders                   Riseholme village in 2008 he was Chair of the
                                                                                                 have emerged though the Common Purpose                         first Parish Association, becoming a councillor
                                                                                                 programme set up in 2005 which provided a                      on Greater Lincoln City Council in 2010.
                                                                                                 framework for active and collective learning.                  He was elected Executive Mayor for the
                                                                                                                                                                city in 2019, since which time he has taken a
                                                                                                                                                                sabbatical from his company to devote his full
                                                                                                   What is needed                                               time to this role which combines the one-time
                                                                                                 All partners in the city       The Lincolnshire Assembly       Chief Executive and Leader roles of the City
                                                                                                 and county need generosity     should be supported and         Council. Mayor Porto also takes part in
                                                                                                 of spirit and altruism if      an urban regeneration
                                                                                                 a relevant and effective       company (Lincoln Edge           ceremonial and civic functions, but many
Lincoln is a city putting                    The local authority structure in Greater            governance system is to        Ltd) for Greater Lincoln        fewer since the Parish Associations in
                                             Lincolnshire was fundamentally reformed in          be introduced.                 established at the earliest
                                                                                                                                                                urban and rural communities were given
consultative democracy to work,              2010, extending the boundary of the county          All levels of governance
                                                                                                                                opportunity.
                                                                                                                                                                extended powers.
with imagination and in the                  back to the Humber as a Greater Lincolnshire        must exhibit and practise
                                                                                                 a strong code of ethical and
                                                                                                                                An Executive Mayor
                                                                                                                                would head up the new
                                             unitary authority and forming a unitary Greater
interests of people as citizens.             Lincoln Authority with an Executive Mayor.
                                                                                                 hence trusted leadership.      expanded Greater Lincoln
                                                                                                                                Unitary Council.
                                                                                                 Local government should be
                                             At local level urban and rural parishes were        constructed around natural     The city should embrace the
                                                                                                 economic boundaries -          ‘new localism’ model which
                                             recast, providing an increased voice and            Greater Lincoln and Greater    provides ‘a key and growing
                                             scope for community empowerment including           Lincolnshire. Partners in      role for local involvement in
                                                                                                 Lincolnshire should argue      decision-making about the
                                             self-management of housing for older citizens       collectively for legislation   public services and the
                                             through Parish Associations.                        to that effect.                public realm as part of a
                                                                                                                                wider system of multi-level
                                                                                                                                governance’ (Stoker 2005).

10                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  11
Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
CONNECTED         QUALITY OF LIFE   COMPETITIVE       WELL GOVERNED     ENVIRONMENT        WHAT IF WE DON’T?
                                                                                                                                                                                            IMAGINE LINCOLN

                                                                                                                                                                                            2020
                                                                                                                                                                                            One of the world’s great small cities

A sustainable cathedral city
Greater Lincoln City is an attractive, liveable city, attentive                                                   What is needed
to people’s everyday needs and a model of ‘good design’.                                                                                         Imagine a Principal Architect.
                                                                                                                A countywide design guide
It is a city with inspirational architecture (ancient and modern) and                                           including best practice in the   Paul McGregor was a young architect
                                                                                                                use of sustainable materials.
a true sense of place with open spaces celebrated by well designed                                              Landscape-cum-masterplans
                                                                                                                                                 in a leading London practice when he
                                                                                                                                                 first worked on one of the University of
natural and built landscapes.                                                                                   and development briefs
                                                                                                                for the Cathedral and            Lincoln’s new buildings in 2006. He
                                                                                                                Brayford Quarters.               adopted the city, setting up his own
For example, since the granting of World               Much of the university masterplan was                    Benefits to the local            practice in Lincoln in 2007. In the
Heritage status, the Cathedral Quarter has been        completed by 2010 with an outstanding public             community from new               same year the Lincoln School of
                                                                                                                development through a
transformed with the immediate environs of the         park at its heart and a 24/7 square adjoining            comprehensive planning           Architecture contracted Paul to lead
cathedral opened up – lawns on the north side,         St Marks at its western end. In 2010 the                 gain policy.                     the Lincolnshire Design Guide project
the ‘well’ filled in on the east side and a dramatic   university received several national and                 An uncompromising                team. In 2008 the guide was produced
improvement to the landscape and its                   international awards for the quality of its built        approach to a Percentage         and it had an immediate impact, filling
                                                                                                                to Art Policy for all new
management from Westgate through the castle            environment at the Brayford campus.                      developments.
                                                                                                                                                 the gap in best practice in aesthetic
to The Lawn. The castle has in effect become an                                                                                                  and environmental design.
                                                                                                                Sustainability at the core of
extension to Westgate with all barriers removed.       By 2010 Riseholme Park had also been                     all environmental policies.      Paul is now a Visiting Professor to the
This upper Cathedral Quarter is a favourite            developed as a model of best practice in
                                                                                                                                                 school but also travels Europe talking
venue for external events - not just the               environmental sustainability with a new
                                                                                                                                                 extensively about the guide, now in its
Christmas Market.                                      sustainable village and a park and ride facility
                                                                                                                                                 third updated edition.
                                                       using electric buses powered from fuel from
The Brayford Pool area has gone through                crops. The Riseholme Science Park focuses
several transformations since 2005. Increased          on energy-from-crops industries.
site values have encouraged regeneration,
even of properties built around that time.             The Lincoln School of Architecture produced a
With increased demand the city has been able           new design guide for best practice in urban and
to develop a masterplan for the Brayford which         rural design and sustainability in 2008, in
requires the very highest standards of design.         partnership with all local authorities. The Lincoln
A niche specialist shopping and restaurant zone        Design Guide has become a national model of
on north Brayford and a substantially rebuilt St       best practice and has been adopted by local
Marks Shopping Centre have assisted the city’s         authorities across the country.
emergence as a leading international conference
and visitor centre.                                    Reclamation and recycling is undertaken by the
                                                       city council at no cost. In fact, the city is able to
                                                       generate a profit from this part of its work with
                                                       the increased cost of raw materials and
                                                       reduction of fossil fuels.

12                                                                                                                                                                                                                            13
Imagine Lincoln 2020 Reports - Futures Academy
CONNECTED        QUALITY OF LIFE   COMPETITIVE     WELL GOVERNED    ENVIRONMENT       WHAT IF WE DON’T?

What happens if we fail to adopt                                                                           Acknowledgements
such a vision for Lincoln 2020?
There may be a tacit acceptance by some that Lincoln will find its                                         Lincoln Futures Group
                                                                                                           Andrew Atherton
way without a paradigm shift in the way that it ‘works’. But the                                           Penny Baker
evidence suggests that in 2005 Lincolnshire is failing relative to the                                     Roy Bentham
                                                                                                           Michael Betton
rest of the UK, and that it will continue to do so unless something                                        Peter Boswell
more energising happens.                                                                                   Ian Cairns
                                                                                                           David Chiddick
There are a number of encouraging signs of a        But what if we don’t aspire to                         Derek Cottrell
partnership at all levels emerging with a passion   and achieve such a vision?                             Pat Doody
to make a difference. That partnership founded a        Lincoln(shire) will decline further as the most    David Mullaney
university in 1996, a unique occurrence in the UK       failing economy in the East Midlands and one       Mike Roberts
in the past half-century. It is coming together         of the most failing economies in the UK            Vincent Shacklock
again in 2005 in the Lincolnshire Assembly.                                                                Paul Williamson
                                                        The city will become more isolated nationally
This short booklet has illustrated what might be        and more congested locally
possible if a vision were carried though.               Unemployment will rise whilst key jobs             Dublin Futures Academy
                                                        remain unfilled in the health service              John Ratcliffe
                                                        The university may fail or become elitist and      Ruth Kelly
                                                        marginalised from the rest of Lincoln(shire)       Julie Gannon
                                                        The population will contract as emigration
                                                        of indigenous people grows
                                                        Racial tension will increase
                                                        There will be a greater urban and rural divide
                                                        Tourism and cultural improvements will fail
                                                        Local businesses may relocate out of Lincoln
                                                        Lincoln will become a run-down city
                                                        with a poorly maintained cathedral
                                                        The city will become leaderless
                                                        Local governance in Lincolnshire will become
                                                        isolated from the community it serves.
                                                    So why are we all not pushing for a bold vision
                                                    and greater change?

14
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