HOW ING-DIBA CONQUERED THE GERMAN RETAIL BANKING MARKET
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How ING-DiBa conquered the German retail banking market André Güttler* European Business School, Finance Department, Germany Andreas Hackethal† European Business School, Finance Department, Germany Purpose: Over the last four years, more than 50,000 German bank employees lost their jobs and aggregate debt write-downs in the German banking market added up to 100 billion euros. Yet, these four problem-stricken years witnessed one of the biggest success stories in German banking, namely the rise of ING-DiBa to become Germany’s fourth largest retail bank with over four million customers. This paper explores the internal and external success factors of ING-DiBa Methodology/Approach: In-depth case study. Findings: Extensive marketing expenditures and information technology has enabled ING-DiBa to implement a consistent business model which German competitors find almost impossible to imitate. ING-Diba’s business model is consiis built on offering a very limited number of aggressively priced prod- ucts through direct channels, very strong branding and highly standardized processes. Practical implications: Given the immense success of ING-DiBa’s plain cost-leadership strategy, we perceive the German retail banking market as an interesting example of how technology combined with a smart marketing strategy can force open encrusted market struc- tures. Originality/value of paper: Having access to internal data of one of the most impres- sive internet banking growth stories, we give exclusive insights into ING-DiBa’s success fac- tors. Keywords: IT development, strategic success factors, direct bank, German financial system Category: Case study * André Güttler, Assistant Professor, European Business School, Finance Department, Schloss Reichartshausen, 65375 Oestrich-Winkel, Germany, andre.guettler@ebs.de, Phone: +49 672369286, Facsimile: +49 672369208 (corresponding au- thor). † Andreas Hackethal, HCI Endowed Chair of Financial Services Sales and Distribution, European Business School, Finance Department, Schloss Reichartshausen, 65375 Oestrich-Winkel, Germany, andreas.hackethal@ebs.de, Phone: +49 672369284. We thank the management and staff of ING-DiBa, and especially Martin Krebs, for providing internal data and for participat- ing in helpful discussions. We also thank Stefan Hohmann for his excellent research assistance. All errors and opinions ex- pressed in this paper are of course our own.
Introduction In recent years, the German banking market has been characterized by decreasing profitabil- ity. Bad loans totaling about 300 billion euros had been accumulated, and decisive measures had to be taken to reduce this huge amount.[1] Over 50,000 German bank employees lost their jobs between 2001 and 2004 as the banks tried to cut their costs significantly. At this time, the influence of the state-controlled banking sector with its access to funds on preferential terms and conditions was still quite substantial; these public-sector institutions commanded a 40% market share, creating a tough competitive climate for private-sector banks. And the situation was exacerbated by the fact that the German economy had the lowest growth rates in Europe. At first sight, these facts would hardly seem likely to induce foreign banks to consider ex- panding into the German banking market. Yet, against this background, we show how ING- DiBa has defied the odds, rising to fourth place in the German retail banking business in terms of the number of customers served. This makes ING-DiBa the most successful subsidiary of ING Direct, which is itself the direct banking subsidiary of the Dutch bancassurance company ING Group. To shed light on ING-DiBa’s outstanding and rather puzzling success, we have compiled this case study,[2] which sets out to answer the following questions: Which factors have been re- sponsible for ING-DiBa’s strong market share gain? To what extent was the bank’s success attributable to its direct banking concept? What are the implications for the further develop- ment of direct banks? ING-DiBa concentrates on marketing a narrow range of products without providing any in- vestment advice. We identify this narrow focus as the main success factor, since it has al- lowed the bank to minimize the number of processes, which in turn has enabled it to deploy extraordinarily efficient IT structures. ING-DiBa has no physical branches, but maintains ac- tive customer contact, particularly through advertising and mailings, channels of communica- tion which the bank has optimized through state-of-the-art customer relationship management 1
(CRM). Its services are offered solely via phone, internet, and a large network of ATMs. Apart from the technical aspects of security settlement ING-DiBa has executed all key activi- ties of a retail bank internally, which has increased both its speed and its flexibility. Its attractive call money account (the “Extra-Konto”) is designed as an interesting alternative to the ordinary passbook savings account, a product which competitors had not used before as an instrument to attract new customers. It appeals in particular to the many retail investors who have become very risk averse since the stock market bubble burst, and who have there- fore been willing to accept low interest rates for risk-free investments. Direct banking as a business concept has also benefited from the increasing acceptance of the internet in Ger- many. However, ING-DiBa’s success is not only based on the existence of individual success factors; rather, it is attributable to a particular combination of factors: its hitherto unique busi- ness model as a direct bank, its concentration on a small number of retail products and its mass marketing of the “teaser” Extra-Konto, coupled with the fact that, at the time when this approach was being implemented, Germany was an ideal environment for it. The study is organized as follows. In section 2 we describe particularities of the German banking market. The next section covers ING-DiBa’s operational development and compares it with its competitors in the years 1999–2004. In section 4 we identify the success factors which help to explain ING-DiBa’s sharp market share gain. The final section contains con- cluding remarks. Particularities of the German banking market The German banking system is a universal banking system, i.e. banks are allowed to operate simultaneously in the retail, insurance and wholesale market segments (c.f., Hackethal, 2004). The German banking system consists of three different groups: state-controlled savings banks, credit cooperatives and private banks.[3] Given that ING-DiBa is foreign controlled, it makes sense to further divide the private sector into domestic and foreign private banks. 2
At the end of 2004, the state-controlled sector consisted of 489 independent banks with 14,841 branches. Of this total, 549 branches were part of the nationwide (or in some cases, internationally operating) Landesbanks, which concentrate on serving large business custom- ers. The group as a whole accounted for 40% of all assets and personal loans in the banking system, and 32% of the call money held by retail clients. Until 2004, the German government guaranteed the savings banks’ obligations, i.e. the entire group enjoyed Germany’s AAA sov- ereign rating, and was able to obtain funds on that basis. Since the abolition of the govern- ment guarantee on new liabilities, the savings banks have been confronted with funding terms and conditions that accord with their own individual rating. However, this banking group is still not oriented purely toward profit maximization, but is also dedicated to serving the public interest, and especially to satisfying the credit needs of small and medium-sized enterprises and providing basic financial services to broad (unprivileged) segments of the population. Given this policy, the savings banks would seem to achieve acceptable levels of efficiency, with cost/income ratios between 65% and 70%. With a return on assets (ROA) (mostly) in excess of 1%, this group is the national leader in terms of profitability. Its net interest margins (NIM) were between 2.3% and 2.5% in the six years under observation. With 1,338 banks and 12,978 branches at the end of 2004, credit cooperatives formed the sec- ond largest German banking group. These banks are much smaller on average compared with the savings banks. Credit cooperatives accounted for 13.7% of all assets, 22.6% of personal loans and 17.2% of total call money held on account at the end of 2004. The cooperatives’ cost/income ratios were consistently somewhat higher than those of the savings banks. How- ever, in terms of ROA and NIM, their performance was comparable to the savings banks’. Germany’s privately owned banks are a very heterogeneous group. At one end of the scale, there are four big private banks, which account for the bulk of the group’s business volume. At the other end, there are small private banks which are typically controlled by owner- managers who are personally liable for the financial obligations of their banks. Overall, at the 3
end of 2004 there were 168 domestic private banks with 6,454 branches; they controlled 31.5% of all assets, 31% of personal loans and 39% of the call money in retail clients’ ac- counts. With cost/income ratios of significantly more than 70%, this banking group exhibited the lowest efficiency levels. Their ROA was also notably lower than that of the other two banking groups. Foreign private banks were operating 83 branches in Germany at the end of 2004.[4] They made up 14.6% of all assets, 6.5% of personal loans and 12% of retail investors’ call money. They led the other banking groups in terms of cost/income ratios, with values around 55% in the last four years of the observation period. However, their ROA was lower than the average for the other banking groups. The NIM figures are only available for the do- mestic and foreign private banks together. In 2004, it was only half that of the savings banks and cooperative banks. This might be explained by the fact that private banks do not rely heavily on interest business, or, viewed from a different perspective, that the non-interest business is more important for them than it is for the savings banks and cooperative banks. As a very prominent example, Deutsche Bank has a very strong position in international invest- ment banking. The difficult market conditions, most notably in the credit business, were reflected in the huge volume of bad loans. A considerable portion of these bad debts were mortgage loans taken out in the eastern states, i.e. former East Germany, where the real estate markets collapsed. In 2002, all German banks together disclosed write-downs of loans and equity investments of 37.63 billion euros. Even in 2004, at 20 billion euros, this value was well above the long-term average. Dresdner Bank alone transferred bad loans with a nominal value of 35 billion euros to a special subsidiary called Institutional Restructuring Unit (IRU). This company sold these loans to institutional investors. Despite previously having explicitly written down the value of the bad loan portfolio, and despite the competition that existed among potential institutional investors, the IRU had to conduct additional write-downs of 884 million euros in 2003.[5] 4
On top of the problems they faced in the credit business, German banks also had to contend with steadily decreasing interest margins. In this context, it is useful to view the development over the longer term. The NIM decreased from an industry-wide average of 2.2% for the years 1985–1989, to 2.1% for 1990–1994, to 1.8% for 1995–1999, to 1.2% for the years 2000– 2004. In other words, the period under observation in this study saw a further sharp decrease in the profitability of the banks’ interest business. One reason for this might have been the large number of branches. In comparison with other banking markets, Germany seemed to be over-banked: it had 0.58 branches per 1,000 habitants, as against 0.26 and 0.27 for the UK and the US (White, 1998). Against the background of a low level of concentration in the banking market, a struggling credit business and decreasing interest margins, the years 1999– 2004 saw a large number of mergers in the banking sector; which all took place between banks belonging to the same respective banking group. For example, during the course of these six years the number of banks in the cooperative banking sector decreased by 34.4%. Given the need to economize and the growing demand for online banking services, a large percentage of the bank’s branches have been closed. The savings banks and cooperative banks reduced the number of branches in their networks by 19% and 17.9%, respectively. The 2004 statistics for the private banks are distorted by the fact that the Postbank was included in this group for the first time. Nevertheless, even between 1999 and 2003, the number of branches in the private banking sector decreased by 25.2%. This was clearly a reaction to low profit- ability due to the underutilization of branches in the retail business. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (2000) estimated that the risk-weighted assets per branch, loans per branch and loans per employee were (on average) clearly lower than for the larger savings banks in 1998. ING-DiBa’s business development in Germany since 1999 ING-DiBa has prospered more than any other German bank in the last few years, and has be- come Europe’s largest direct bank (according to figures published at the end of 2004). 5
“take in Table I” The table shows the development of ING-DiBa’s most important financial ratios for the years 1999 to 2004. The very pronounced growth, which is most obviously manifested in the num- ber of accounts and the amount of call money, began in 2001. Since then, ING-DiBa has ad- vanced to fourth place in the German retail banking business (after Dresdner Bank, Deutsche Bank and Postbank) with more than 4.3 million clients (as of end-2004). The primary engine of growth has been the call money account “Extra-Konto”. In 2003, after swallowing up the German competitor Entrium, ING-DiBa started to develop its personal loan business as well, since Entrium, a former subsidiary of the leading mail-order company Quelle, had a well de- veloped customer base in this segment. Furthermore, Entrium had a strong market position in brokerage. The acquisition doubled ING-DiBa’s fee income in 2003 in comparison to 2002. Hence, the different strengths of the two banks, ING-DiBa with its call money account and mortgage business and Entrium with its personal loans and brokerage, complement one an- other very well. ING-DiBa gained roughly one million clients through the acquisition. The bank also fuelled its growth by investing heavily in marketing, spending roughly 100 million euros in 2004 or 23.7% of its overall operating expenses. The success of its marketing cam- paigns is obvious: brand awareness increased from 33% in 2000 to 87% in 2004. Additionally, ING-DiBa fulfilled ING Group’s internal profitability requirements of 18.5% RAROC (Risk Adjusted Return On Capital) in 2004. Even in the difficult preceding years, and in contrast to the majority of German banks, ING-DiBa always operated at a profit. Thanks to its business model as a direct bank without any branches, ING-DiBa’s strong growth was accompanied by only a disproportionately small increase in its staffing levels. Hence, whereas ING-DiBa’s assets increased tenfold during our observation period, it had to take on only four times as many new employees. A comparison with the main competitors yields specific insights into ING-DiBa’s growth dynamics in the relevant businesses. 6
“take in Table II” We consider the following banks to be ING-DiBa’s main competitors: Apotheker- und Aerz- tebank (Apo Bank), which is Germany’s largest cooperative bank; Hamburger Sparkasse (Haspa), the largest savings bank, and a highly successful one; Volkswagen Bank, the largest and most established bank specializing in car loans (the financial subsidiary of the Volks- wagen corporation); Postbank, the largest retail bank in terms of branch network size; CC Bank (subsidiary of the Spanish Santander Central Hispano) and Citibank (short for “Citibank Privatkunden AG”, a subsidiary of Citigroup), two foreign private banks which are market leaders in the personal loan business. In terms of cost/income ratio, CC Bank and Citibank are the most efficient, with ratios under 40% in 2004. By comparison, ING-DiBa reported cost/income ratios of over 70%, while the other banks’ figures lay somewhere in between. In interpreting this result, one has to bear in mind that ING-DiBa’s immense marketing expenses might induce a bias. For example, with- out the 100 million euros spent on marketing, the cost/income ratio would have been around 57.5% in 2004, which would have been very good. We therefore also analyze the ratio of op- erating expenses to average assets as a further efficiency measure. Due to its very large asset volume, ING-DiBa scored better according to this second measure. Starting at more than 2% in 1999, this ratio improved to 0.81% in 2004. Only Apo Bank achieved nearly comparable figures, with 1.13% for 2004. Remarkably, Citibank scored very high figures of more than 5%, due to the wide margins in its personal loan business, which enabled it to accept high expense ratios. Panel 3 of Table II delivers the most impressive results. During the years 1999 to 2004, ING- DiBa became the market leader for call money investments by retail clients.[6] At the end of 2004, it had a 6.27% share of the market in this segment, which is twice the figure for Post- bank, the market leader in retail banking as a whole. CC Bank and Citibank also succeeded in 7
enlarging their market share substantially, but even so, both remained short of 1% in 2004. In contrast, Postbank, Apo Bank and Haspa were not able to increase their market shares. The factors behind ING-DiBa’s success ING-DiBa’s growth in recent years has been attributable to many different factors. In the fol- lowing section, we try to identify these success factors, and analyze how they are intercon- nected and mutually reinforcing, according to Porter (1996). We divide the success factors into two groups: internal factors, i.e. those which were influenced by ING-DiBa itself, and external factors. ING-DiBa has deliberately restricted its range to a small number of 12 products, which means that it has very few processes, and these processes are of low complexity. Consequently, ING- DiBa has been able to make exceptionally efficient use of IT systems. The narrow product range has been one of the pivotal requirements for the first part of ING-DiBa’s advertising slogan “easy, fast, cheap”. It has communicated this internally via what it calls the four Fs – “focused, fair, friendly, faultless” – where again (in the word “focused”) the small number of products comes to the fore. It is able to provide “faultless” service precisely because of the small number of processes and their low level of complexity. Relative faultless services are not only important because of cost-saving reasons, but also to avoid customer dissatisfaction due to technology failures (cf. Meuter et al., 2000; Joseph et al., 1999). On the other hand, restricting itself to a focused product range does not allow a close relationship to its customers (cf. Kimball, 1990). However, Lang and Colgate (2003) provide evidence that a convenient online channel enables financial service providers to forge stronger relationships with their customers. Besides, ING-DiBa has adopted a stable pricing scheme, changing its tariffs relatively infre- quently. For example, the staff in charge of the mortgage business have had no scope to influ- ence terms and conditions. For this product type, whose pricing tends to be complex at other 8
banks, ING-DiBa has employed only three pricing dimensions: three lending limits, two pur- chase price segments and three maturities. All of these conditions are solely a function of the purchase price and not, as is customary, the value of the mortgaged property. Of course, on the one hand, this has made the product easier for the customers to understand, and it has also made the lending procedure faster and more efficient, since it cuts out the need to have the real estate valued by a specialist. ING-DiBa has also opted not to offer any investment advice, e.g. regarding asset allocation or asset selection, and has thus saved itself the cost of having to provide its staff with expensive training, the cost of documenting the risk assessment of the selected investments, and the potential costs associated with possible legal responsibility. ING-DiBa has also taken an independent approach to maintaining active contact with its cli- ents. Most obviously, it has not opened any branches, but has limited itself to mailings and advertising. Restricting itself to these channels of communication has enabled ING-DiBa to offer better terms than its competitors with branch networks. It has exploited its competitive advantage primarily by strongly promoting its attractive call money account “Extra-Konto” as a teaser product. The importance of attractive products to getting more customers for the bank through online services was also mentioned by Dixon (1999). If we differentiate between the way a bank makes first contact with non-clients and the way it maintains contact with existing clients, we notice that ING-DiBa has been the only player in the market for savings products to have launched mailings for these products on a significant scale. It has maximized the impact of its mailings to potential new clients by adopting the following strategy: it has focused its mailings on zip codes with a high concentration of exist- ing clients. ING-DiBa assumes that the people who live in these neighborhoods probably have a particular affinity to direct banking and savings products. Empirical research by Page and Luding (2003) support this hypothesis. They find that purchase intention is influenced by atti- tudes toward direct marketing media rather than response channels. In addition, it has ana- lyzed official statistics on automobile ownership in certain areas in order to estimate the num- 9
ber of cars or the amount of horse-power per household. Given this kind of data, it has been able to gauge the business potential of customers in the respective areas. It has also used con- tact data obtained from mail-order companies that supply high-quality durable goods, since these customers are expected to have an above-average affinity for direct sales channels as well. All these approaches have yielded above-average response ratios to mailings. Over time, ING-DiBa has varied its mailing intensity according to the clients’ responses to these mail- ings. For example, a customer who does not react to mailings will receive them less fre- quently, whereas responsive customers will receive them more often. The cross-selling ratio signals the impact of such successful CRM approaches and systems. Despite the concentration of marketing efforts on the Extra-Konto, roughly 18% of ING-DiBa’s customers were using two or more of its products at the end of August 2005. To increase this ratio, the bank waived its fees on its securities account facilities at the beginning of 2004, and offered them as a sen- sible second product for holders of the Extra-Konto. Retail investors are therefore able to shift their (excess) liquidity from the Extra-Konto to investment funds, bonds or stocks, which are administrated free of charge. With databank-based response sensitivities of more than four million customers, ING-DiBa has an immense advantage over its smaller competitors, since it has been able to optimize its cross-selling based on customers’ past behavior in response to previous mailings. ING-DiBa’s losses due to non-selective mailings are therefore probably much smaller than those incurred by its competitors. ING-DiBa has also organized its customer service differently than banks with a branch net- work. Service is provided through two channels only: via the internet and by phone (addition- ally, ING-DiBa operates a network of 970 ATMs as of October 2005). For example, ING- DiBa processed 75% of all customer transactions and inquiries in August 2005 via the inter- net. Automatic phone systems processed a further 9%, and only the remaining fraction re- quired input from call center staff. These employees processed customer inquiries within 20 10
seconds in 80% of all cases; only 3% of all callers canceled their call due to long waiting times. These numbers seems to outperform the results of Feinberg et al. (2002). They found for 138 call centers of financial institutions an average speed of answer of 30.1 seconds and an abandonment rate of 4.7%. Although the fees for internet transactions and phone calls were the same, the fraction of transactions processed by call center staff decreased by 4% during the twelve months to August 2005.[7] In addition, of the 700,000 free-text inquiries submitted by e-mail in 2004, one third were answered automatically. The texts of incoming e-mails are analyzed automatically and if the algorithms detect certain predefined contents, a routine pre- fabricated response is sent out. If there is any uncertainty about the content of the e-mail or the customer has sent a second inquiry of a similar nature, specialized staff process the e- mails manually. According to ING-DiBa’s management, a further success factor has been the fact that apart from the technical aspects of security settlement, no operations have been outsourced. All other key banking activities have been executed in-house. ING-DiBa argues as follows: Out- sourcing would not have been economic, given the size of the customer base. Second, ING- DiBa has achieved very high operating speeds thanks to its concentration on in-house produc- tion. For example, instead of being outsourced, the CRM team has operated directly alongside the marketing team. This has made the process of selecting appropriate marketing campaigns much faster than it would otherwise have been. Third, fewer interfaces to outsourced proc- esses have reduced the level of complexity, and thus also the percentage of errors and the ex- penditure of time and effort on communications. We can make out a number of additional success factors underlying these IT-induced factors. First, ING-DiBa identified savings products as a product group that had been neglected by its competitors. Banks with branch networks offer only very low interest rates on money depos- ited in passbook accounts. Customers with larger amounts of money are recommended to in- vest them in money market funds. However, customers then have to set up costly securities 11
accounts, for which they have to pay yearly management fees. In contrast, ING-DiBa’s call money product Extra-Konto has been free of charge. Since summer 2001 it has consistently paid a higher interest rate than the interbank overnight lending rate, which is most directly comparable to the call money rate. “take in Figure 1” By offering better terms, ING-DiBa has won substantial numbers of new customers. In doing so, the (direct) costs of attracting new customers have been lower than the sector average, since gas vouchers worth 25 euros have been the only material incentive received by new cus- tomers. Compare that to, say, Comdirect Bank’s premiums of up to 500 euros for a new secu- rities account. The well-heeled holding company ING Group has permitted ING-DiBa to in- cur high marketing expenses, e.g. for advertisements featuring the national sports hero Dirk Nowitzki of the NBA basketball team Dallas Mavericks, as it has given preference to strong growth rates over higher dividends in the short term. Marketing expenses increased from 18 million euros in 2000 to around 100 million euros in 2004, and were thus almost on a par with the bank’s total personnel expenses, which came to 102 million euros in 2004.[8] Using Nowitzky might have also increased the trust into ING-DiBa as an online bank as a whole, since the player is highly respected and known as faithful character. Since trust is one impor- tant determinant for online adaptation, at least according to empirical studies, e.g. by Suh and Han (2002), Nowitzki’s selection was a very good choice. Besides the internal success factors described above, we can also observe a number of exter- nal factors which have influenced ING-DiBa’s business development in a positive way. Since 2000, after the stock market bubble burst, retail investors have lost interest in stock markets. This crisis of investor confidence was exacerbated by the especially dramatic decline of tech- nology stocks on the Neuer Markt, a special market segment in Germany for young and fast growing companies, comparable to the AIM in London, which had been very popular with retail investors. Even after a healthy recovery of the German stock market, the most important 12
stock index, the DAX-30, still quoted far below the record high levels recorded during our observation period. Following the recent tremendous losses, which have increased risk aver- sion sharply, a significant fraction of investors have reallocated liquidity to money market funds or to ING-DiBa’s Extra-Konto. Thus the bank’s marketing offensive and the Extra- Konto’s aggressive terms and conditions have dovetailed very neatly with the deterioration of stock market performance and the trend toward risk-free investments on the part of retail in- vestors. The problems facing the credit business (see section 2) which began in earnest in 2001 have forced ING-DiBa’s competitors to concentrate their management capacities on the task of reducing their stock of bad loans. At the same time, banks with branch networks have closed branches and laid off staff in order to reduce their costs. This has meant that ING-DiBa has not been confronted with serious rival expansion strategies in the German retail business. In addition, ING-DiBa has benefited from an increasing acceptance and use of the internet in Germany, which consequently helped to improve the attitude towards online banking (e.g., Karjaluoto, 2002). For example, the fraction of households with internet access quadrupled from 14% in 2000 to 57% in 2004. And even if they did not have a home connection, most people have had internet access at their workplace or university, or via internet cafés. The willingness of Germans to use online banking facilities has also increased sharply. Despite the security issues associated with online banking, such as Phishing (fraudulent attempts to ac- quire sensitive information by masquerading as a trustworthy business in an apparently offi- cial electronic communication), 39% of German households with internet access used online banking in 2004. Concluding remarks In this case study we have tried to solve the apparent mystery of how the direct bank ING- DiBa succeeded in gaining significant market share in the German retail banking market, 13
which is commonly regarded as being quite difficult. We have identified potential success factors, but have come to the conclusion that ING-DiBa’s success does not rest upon individ- ual success factors but rather on a particular combination of factors: the concentration on few products, a hitherto unique IT-based direct banking strategy, a huge marketing effort to pro- mote the call money account Extra-Konto, and a business environment that has been favor- able to a strategy of this kind. In particular, the new strategic business model has been made possible by technological de- velopments, specifically the internet and efficient call centers. It is a model which more con- ventional banks with branch networks cannot imitate because of the heavier burden imposed by their cost structures. ING-DiBa has demonstrated that, with an appropriate strategy, retail banking services in Germany can be provided profitably, though this seemed impossible for German banks − and for the private domestic banks in particular − due to their exaggerated branch networks. Ex-post, ING-DiBa’s strategy might seem so obvious that one wonders why no-one had tried it before, as if conquering the German retail market were almost too easy. The independent observer might find it astonishing that the “old bulls” of the German banking sector allowed a newcomer like ING-DiBa to gain such a significant share of the retail bank- ing market. Ex-ante, however, the huge potential of ING-DiBa’s strategy was anything but obvious. It was not at all clear whether the German market would yield enough retail custom- ers who were willing to do without the service and advice they were accustomed to receiving at a local branch, where they had direct contact to staff members they knew and trusted. Nor was it clear whether those customers could be won over at a reasonable cost. We take the view that it was ultimately a bold strategic move which was rewarded with significant market share gains and an early mover advantage against imitators. ING-DiBa’s strategy could not be countered by the same means, since the established German banks were not bold enough to found independent direct banks of their own. In other words, it was not as easy to earn money in the German banking market as ING-DiBa had made it look. 14
It is questionable, however, whether ING-DiBa’s success will be sustainable in the long term. For example, car loan banks like Volkswagen Bank have successfully copied its strategy. These mostly new banks have the advantage that they can use the most modern IT systems from the beginning, whereas ING-DiBa is still using relatively old-fashioned IT systems for some of its operations. However, new competitors must first win a vast number of customers before they can benefit from scale effects. Besides, they will have to invest heavily in the es- tablishment of their own brands. On both counts, ING-DiBa has early mover advantages. Tra- ditional banks will also react to the increasing possibilities of the internet. According to Bradely and Steward (2002), experts expect that more than 85% of all traditional banks will offer internet-banking services as well in 2011. However, we do not expect these banks as main competitors to ING-DiBa (and other direct banks) due to their cost disadvantages. Sec- ond, banks with branch networks have begun to offer more favorable terms in an attempt to compete with ING-DiBa and other direct banks. Nevertheless, it would seem impossible for traditional banks to compete with the direct banks’ terms and conditions in the long run while they continue to maintain their branch networks, which imply less favorable cost structures. The direct banks’ target customers, who are exceedingly cost sensitive and “internet affine”, seem to be lost for traditional banks with branch networks. Even worse for these banks, which also offer their customers a wide range of internet functionalities, both because it is demanded by customers and because it is necessary as a means of cutting costs: offering them online banking facilities actually trains them to use the internet, which increases the likelihood of their switching to ING-DiBa or another direct bank. Furthermore, ING-DiBa is at an advan- tage insofar as it can always reduce its marketing efforts in order to improve its terms and conditions. Besides, the advantage of a branch network in terms of advice and service dimin- ishes with every branch closure. Moreover, the coexistence of direct banks and traditional banks with branch networks could lead to adverse selection: clients might leave only the per- sonnel-intensive business to the traditional banks, where the latter lose money. For example, 15
customers seeking standard mortgages might favor direct banks because they offer a better deal, while the more complex mortgages, e.g. those involving some form of government aid, remain with the traditional banks. These patterns con be found in Hitt and Frey (2002), who provide evidence that online banking customers are more profitable in comparison to custom- ers of traditional banks. To conclude, ING-DiBa has attained a very strong position in the German retail banking mar- ket through a coherent, IT-based and market-driven business strategy. Since traditional banks with branch networks are not able to imitate the successful business model of direct banks, we expect in the future to see price-oriented direct banks that offer a clearly defined range of ser- vices coexisting alongside advice-oriented banks with branch networks (cf. Howcroft et al., 2002). 16
Table I: Overview of ING-DiBa’s performance In the first row, the number of accounts is given in thousands. The amounts shown in the next ten rows are given in millions of euros. All figures are based on annual reports, analysts’ presentations, or internal management accounting figures (part of the marketing expenses, IT expenses, and RAROC). Figures based on annual reports are given according to German accounting standards (HGB). Personnel expenses do not include the personnel expenses of ING-DiBa’s call centers. Staff also includes employees of ING-DiBa’s call centers. 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Number of accounts 531 619 878 1,861 3,700 4,700 Assets 5,431 5,716 7,761 20,870 39,706 51,898 Call money 1,471 1,622 4,884 15,726 32,429 42,840 Personal loans 142 195 217 460 1,732 2,000 Mortgages 2,008 2,149 2,347 2,600 4,145 7,900 Interest income 221 285 338 745 1,438 1,732 Provisions 13.14 31.77 30.64 33.82 61.36 68.32 Marketing expenses n.a. 18 21 32.2 70 100 Personnel expenses 18.17 26.63 25.50 33.41 73.33 79.05 IT expenses n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 39 73 Earnings (after tax) 14.32 8.63 6.58 20.87 30.50 55.21 RAROC n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 12.4% 21.3% Brand name recognition n.a. 33% 48% n.a. >50% 87% Staff 521 584 621 914 1,802 2,088 17
Table II: Benchmarking ING-DiBa with German competitors This table benchmarks several key ratios for ING-DiBa and its main competitors in the German retail banking market. Panel I is based on Bankscope. The other three panels are based on the annual reports of the companies in question. 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Panel 1: CI-Ratio ING-DiBa 65.39% 85.22% 75.51% 88.69% 83.19% 74.78% Dt. Apotheker- und Aerztebank 55.56% 57.33% 57.69% 61.85% 61.32% 59.15% Hamburger Sparkasse 71.72% 69.62% 79.21% 71.66% 63.54% 63.95% Volkswagen Bank 48.32% 52.43% 54.37% 67.71% 70.30% 59.08% Postbank 85.05% 85.46% 80.27% 77.84% 73.54% 70.06% CC Bank 55.78% 53.11% 57.10% 51.23% 50.59% 38.67% Citibank 49.77% 52.22% 41.94% 40.45% 42.61% 39.11% Panel 2: Operating expenses/assets ING-DiBa 2.15% 1.70% 1.37% 0.87% 0.83% 0.81% Dt. Apotheker- und Aerztebank 1.16% 1.31% 1.20% 1.17% 1.05% 1.13% Hamburger Sparkasse 2.04% 1.83% 1.91% 1.85% 1.88% 1.94% Volkswagen Bank n.a. n.a. 2.42% 3.31% 3.85% 2.60% Postbank 1.18% 1.36% 1.30% 1.33% 1.36% 1.48% CC Bank 4.26% 4.38% 4.80% 3.05% 2.94% 2.15% Citibank 7.50% 7.50% 5.44% 5.90% 7.26% 6.01% Panel 3: Call money, market share ING-DiBa 0.33% 0.34% 0.87% 2.58% 4.94% 6.27% Dt. Apotheker- und Aerztebank 0.51% 0.49% 0.51% 0.55% 0.63% 0.63% Hamburger Sparkasse 0.74% 0.70% 0.70% 0.69% 0.69% 0.78% Volkswagen Bank n.a n.a 0.69% 0.80% 1.33% 1.76% Postbank 3.53% 3.33% 3.27% 2.73% 3.08% 3.11% CC Bank 0.23% 0.19% 0.23% 0.25% 0.74% 0.92% Citibank 0.51% 0.55% 0.47% 0.48% 0.78% 0.89% Panel 4: Personal loans, market share ING-DiBa 0.25% 0.26% 0.28% 0.32% 0.60% 1.00% Dt. Apotheker- und Aerztebank n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Hamburger Sparkasse 0.15% 0.15% 0.17% 0.19% 0.20% 0.20% Volkswagen Bank 0.00% 0.75% 0.81% 1.00% 1.06% 1.00% Postbank 0.05% 0.07% 0.08% 0.10% 0.10% 0.12% CC Bank 0.23% 0.28% 0.78% 0.91% 1.01% 1.17% Citibank 0.86% 0.90% 0.94% 1.00% 1.00% 0.98% 18
Figure 1: Comparison of interest rates This figure compares the Frankfurt interbank call money rates (Source: Deutsche Bundesbank; average values over 20 days) with the interest rate of ING-DiBa’s most successful savings product, the “Extra-Konto”. This type of account gives customers full daily access to their savings. Frankfurt interbank call money Extra-Konto 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- 99 99 00 00 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 19
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Notes [1] The Banker (2005), Lone Star sees the Silver shining. Online on 4.4.2005. Available (January 2006) www.thebanker.com/ [2] We obtained internal data and further insights through discussions with a leading member of ING-DiBa’s management. [3] We do not address special institutions in this paper, since they represent only a small fraction of the banking market in Germany. Moreover, German mortgage banks lost their special status after the introduction of a new law on covered bonds (“Pfand- briefe”) on July 19, 2005. This leaves building and loan associations and investment companies as the most important remaining types of special institution. [4] The number of banks (252) was higher than the number of branches, since not all banks operated publicly accessible branches but rather (small) representative offices, or like ING-DiBa, decided to operate without any branches at all. [5] Allianz (2004), Annual report. Available (January 2006) www.allianz.de/ [6] ING-DiBa itself defines the whole segment of call money, savings money and time deposits as its relevant market. However, it is the growth of its call money business that illustrates ING-DiBa’s dynamic development most obviously. [7] The only exception to this rule was in brokerage, where the terms for internet users are slightly better than for phone callers. [8] The figure of 102 million euros includes the personnel expenses of ING-DiBa’s call center subsidiary. In its individual financial statements, these costs are reported as ma- terial expenses. This explains why the figure for personnel expenses shown in Table 1 is smaller. 22
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