Home24 presentation Building the online destination for Home & Living March 2021
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Our challenge is to change the Home & Living shopping experience for mass market consumers We want to empower people to create happy homes... ...by offering great value ...in a convenient and inspirational products people love... shopping experience Broad but relevant, curated assortment Fast, reliable and flexible delivery times, paired empowering customers to choose from a wide with convenient payment methods and services range of styles, materials and prices Effective & friendly customer service support and transparent communication whenever needed Exclusive assortment only available at home24, combined with a broad selection of relevant third party products Opportunities to get a touch and feel for the product offering online, but also in showrooms With a great value for money and product Personalized relevant content that inspires and $ consults, helping to make a complex purchase quality aspiration, creating happy homes, and a clear commitment to sustainability decisions easier (ref. no strong consumer brands) 3
Management board combines deep experience and entrepreneurial mindset Marc Appelhoff Brigitte Wittekind Philipp Steinhäuser CEO COO CFO 11 years with home24 6 years with home24 7 years with home24 4
We are already a leading pure-play Home & Living e-commerce platform in continental Europe and Brazil #1 In continental Europe #1 In Brazil Positive €492m >44% c.€350 46% First order Adj. EBITDA
FY 2020 Management summary Order intake growth accelerated to 58% in Q4 2020, raising FY 2020 growth to 46% YoY. QTD trading with continued strong momentum in order intake of +73% YoY (EU: +80% YoY, LatAm: +48% YoY, all in CC). Q4 revenue growth of 50% brings FY 2020 to 42% and thus upper end of guidance range (in CC, last upgraded Nov 11th). Q4 adj. EBITDA at 3% or EUR 5m, leading to FY adj. EBITDA of 3% or EUR 16m (significant improvement of 11pp or EUR 44m YoY). Financial year 2020 cash flow positive, also excluding capital increase of EUR 46m. Cash and cash equivalents at the end of 2020 at EUR 103m (pre Mobly IPO). Public listing of our Brazilian business Mobly on February 5, to make growth financing more independent from home24. Gross proceeds of c. EUR 121m to Mobly, and EUR 24m to home24. Pricing of BRL 21 per share at c. 4x LTM Q3 2020 Sales (in BRL). Post capital measures, both EU and LatAm segments of home24 have more than EUR 100m funds available to invest in accelerated growth, having reached core profitability in 2020. home24 anticipates revenue growth of +20% and +40% (in CC) in 2021 and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 0% and +2%. The outlook considers a strong first quarter as well as the strong PY comparison and the possibility of increased volatility in consumer demand from Q2 onwards. All 2021 figures preliminary and unaudited 6
Huge addressable market with low online penetration Global Home & Living market1 >€560bn home24 footprint2 Home & Living market >€120bn home24 footprint2 Online Home & Living market >€10bn €0.45bn3 Source: Euromonitor International. (~4-5% mkt. share) 1. Home & Living market defined as Euromonitor Passport: Home and Garden categories “homewares” and “home furnishings” (EUR using 2019 fixed exchange rates). 8 2. home24 markets consist of Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland and Brazil. 3. home24 revenue Oct 2019 - Sep 2020
Demographics, changes in consumer habits and technology boost online penetration with potential proven in the US and UK Online penetration by industry in home24 markets1 Home & Living online penetration by geography Traditional toys 30% and games 30% Consumer electronics 4x 2x Penetration Upside Penetration Upside 20% Consumer 20% appliance Fashion 10% 10% Home & Living Home & Living 0% Early days Acceleration Growth 0% Early days Acceleration Growth Source: Euromonitor International; Management Estimates 9 1. Consists of home24’s target markets Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, Switzerland and Brazil.
Home & Living has some category specific challenges which we have mastered, creating significant barriers to entry Products with high basket size / AOV and without established I consumer brands in mass market Identify and source relevant assortment in a market with no II brands and abundant product variety Inventory management: make bulky and high value items available III at short delivery times and still remain working capital neutral has cracked the code IV Scalable online demand largely in short tail generic search without brands V Extremely complex logistics and delivery for multi-component and heavy/bulky products 10
2 A leading pure-play online platform in continental Europe and Brazil 11
Home & Living challenge I: • Products with high basket size / AOV and without established consumer brands in mass market Low value High value High brand trust low brand trust 12
There are no strong consumer brands in Home & Living SOFA ? 13
Market ripe for disruption due to highly fragmented supplier landscape and retail landscape Fragmented supplier landscape1 Fragmented retail landscape2 c. 97% 72% of all suppliers have of the market limited market highly fragmented power with no strong brands 28% 3% c.1% Companies with Companies with Companies with Top 5 Rest of the market revenue < €10m revenue of €10m – €100m revenue > €100m Huge private label opportunity International market leader IKEA only has 15% share3 Negotiation power lies with the Market beyond top 5 is extremely strongest retail platform fragmented with mostly local / regional players No strong online presence even by offline market Opportunity to build a leading platform brand leaders Source: PwC – “PwC Marktstudie Möbelbranche 2019”; Euromonitor International. 1. Germany only. 2. 2019 revenues in home24 markets converted to EUR using 2019 exchange rates; refers to Euromonitor “homewares and home furnishings stores” segment by brand shares. 14 3. Blended share across home24 markets.
We have built a leading pure-play online Home & Living brand in Germany Brand awareness1 Source: Survey by DCMN Insights. National representative sample (n=1003) for DE, ages 18-69, 50% women, 50% men in Q4 2020. 1. Proportion of interviewed people aware of those brands, aided. 2. Price comparison website. 15
home24’s leading online approach is supported by offline activities providing a unique shopping experience to customers Online Offline Go-to-destination AR feature to various Increase brand awareness Europe: 10 showrooms an products and engagement outlets Mobile first approach with best-in-class app Search by image Improve conversion of LatAm: 11 retail stores online sales (megastores, Mobly ZIP an Broad, curated product AI-based product outlets) offering recommendation engine Focus on consultation in showrooms Conceptually profit center Distinguished product Interactive VR mood pictures within first quarters information Touch and feel for larger baskets, esp. private label offering 16
3 Unique home24 business model driving superior economics and customer proposition 17
Home & Living challenges II and III: • Identify and source relevant assortment in a market with no brands and abundant product variety • Inventory management: make bulky and high value items available at short delivery times and still remain working capital neutral 18
home24 solves these challenges by combining non-inventory 3rd party model with vertically integrated private label model Model 3rd party products Private label Assortment Broad assortment Attractive bestsellers focus (high conversion, mostly long tail) (high margin) Sourcing & Mostly non-inventory and Vertically integrated, fulfilment drop-shipped Big data to mostly held on stock identify • Broad but curated assortment bestsellers • Superior gross margin & pricing • No inventory risk • Minimal inventory risk Benefits • Negative working capital • Direct sourcing focus • Rich data on customer preferences • Very short delivery times • c.50% of sales • c.50% of sales Economics • c.75% of SKUs • c.25% of SKUs 19
4 Scalable first order profitable customer acquisition 20
Home & Living challenge IV: scalable online demand largely in short tail generic search without brands \ Strong brands – multiple specific search terms No brands – few generic search terms 21
First order profitability driven by unique home24 model • Large relevant assortment More impressions & higher • Short delivery times conversion • Attractive consumer prices • c.50% private label share + • High AOV Superior contribution margin • Low returns + • Automated proprietary Efficient customer acquisition marketing engine = First order profitability 22
5 Scalable end-to-end automated and vertically integrated value chain 23
Home & Living challenge V: • Extremely complex supply chain management for multi-component and heavy/bulky products ○ Supplier challenges: fragmented supplier network, mostly SME ○ Warehousing: lack of format patterns, labor intense 2MH ○ Transportation challenges: less advanced networks in large and oversized products 24
We invest heavily to create an end-to-end process optimized and automated fulfilment platform Integrated end-to-end automated platform Automated End-to-end Sourcing Warehousing Delivery • 1000+ supplier network, • 7 own operated • Self-managed inbound / 500+ in EU and LatAm each warehouses for own mid-mile logistics • Flexible crossdock, dropship inventory and crossdock • Network of 3rd party last and own inventory model • >200,000 sqm of gross mile providers managed • Curated supplier selection WH capacity with by home24 Scalable expansion headroom • Asset light own last mile • ERP integration to drive transparency and tracking • Customized for parcel delivery in Brazil (40% of and bulky items volume) for faster • On the ground quality delivery with higher control • Automated data driven 25 reordering reliability
6 Best-in-class technology platform empowering data-driven decision making and automation 26 25
We collect vast volumes of data on a daily basis to drive superior decisions across the value chain Input Customer data Assortment data Fulfilment data 3rd party data Order history Browsing Available Crawling of competitor price & Supplier Availability Stock levels delivery times carriers Google 360 Marketing Demographics Session analytics costs data Product Delivery Pricing Item location Decision time Reviews features mode Industry X-Device lag fairs/events session Design trends ! Risk scoring Accurate Audience Optimise Identify & fill Optimise Automated Sorting Curation marketing optimised warehouse white spaces availability re-stocking contribution acquisition utilization Predict & Develop Personalised Optimise marketing Live delivery Minimise stock superior Search Personalisation suggestions/ channel on information delivery time bestsellers private label offers daily basis Output Assortment Webshop Marketing & CRM Fulfilment 27
Long story short - home24 understands and solves the key points for consumers Consumer Pain Points home24 Delivers Broad and relevant assortment covering all price points, Discovering the right product styles, tastes in the mass market through a diversified suppliers base State of the art online user experience paired with unique Poor shopping experience go-to-market approach incl. showrooms, fabric samples, spare parts, print catalogue etc. Better value for money through more than 50% private Finding good quality products at fair prices label share. 3rd party products with low price guarantee Free delivery and free returns in EU, decentralized logistics Prohibitive shipping costs footprint fulfilled by own specialized last mile delivery (esp. LatAm) Hybrid model combining various delivery modes with Long and unreliable delivery times majority of sales from warehouse. Inventory with full control of the value chain 28
7 Financials & Outlook 29 27
We have built the best-in-class platform to drive profitable growth Q2‘2018 – Q1‘2019 Q2‘2019 – Q4‘2019 2020 - POST-IPO INVESTMENTS & PATH TO PROFITABLE CHALLENGING MARKET PROFITABILITY GROWTH FY 2018: 85%+ p.a. FY 4%+2019: yoy FY 2020: 13%+ yoy 2011-2016 +18% YoY revenue +20%2015-2016 YoY revenue 2016-2017 +42% YoY revenue growth1 growth1 growth1 -13% adj. EBITDA Q4 adj. EBITDA +3% adj. EBITDA Margin break even margin 2015 2016 2017 Long term key investments into Continuously balancing Investments pay off in terms logistics, brand, return growth and profitability of profitability and growth clearance, ERP system etc. Demand accelerated by Gain of market shares in All milestones achieved to consumer behaviour during challenging market conditions reach goal of break-even the COVID pandemic 30 1. Based on constant currency using previous year BRL/EUR FX rates.
Strong revenue growth and positive adj. EBITDA demonstrate structural profitability of home24 Revenue Group in EURm, Revenue Growth in CC YoY in %, Adj. EBITDA in EURm, Adj. EBITDA margin in % 31
Outlook ■ Home24 has laid the foundation of further growth with the capital increase and the Mobly IPO. With EUR >100m funds dedicated to both EU and LatAm, we will step up deliberate investments into Working Capital, customer acquisition and Capex. ■ While we see our terminal margin profile of low double digit adj. EBITDA margins confirmed by recent profitability improvements (>10pp YoY FY 2020), we believe the market opportunity is attractive to accelerate growth and take market share. ■ QTD trading with continued strong momentum in order intake (+73% YoY Group, +80% YoY EU, +48% YoY LatAm, all in CC). Yet, uncertainty around COVID-19 pandemic prevails both on demand and supply side. ■ Backed by the active customer base of >2.2 million and the ability to step up marketing expenses having reached core break-even, we are in a good position to deliver significant IFRS growth in 2021 despite strong YoY comparables. ■ home24 anticipates revenue growth of +20% and +40% (in CC) in 2021 and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 0% and +2%. The outlook considers a strong first quarter as well as the strong PY comparison and the possibility of increased volatility in consumer demand from Q2 onwards. 32
home24 has multi-dimensional drivers for sustainable long-term growth Structural Market Platform Market growth + penetration + development + expansion Expand into Accelerate Enhance Introduce new Enhance Adopt new Benefit from new through further product categories e.g. shopping technologies to increasing geographies roll-out of offering in to drive journey to foster online and capitalize “go-to-market” existing purchase increase brand competitive penetration on high market approach categories frequency loyalty advantage fragmentation 33
home24 remains uniquely positioned to exploit the vast Home & Living opportunity, even more than before the COVID pandemic Market Customer value Huge market opportunity proposition characterized by low online Best value offering and most penetration with huge catch- relevant selection brought to up potential, accelerated by life in a customer centric go-to- consumer behaviour during market approach the COVID pandemic Value chain Data & Technology Scalable and automated value Pioneering technologies chain that delivers improve shopping experience sustainable scale effects and empower data-driven decisions 34
8 Latest Financial Update 35 33
Q4 2020 order intake growth accelerated to 58%, bringing FY 2020 growth to 46% (all CC) GOV in EURm, Active customers and Total gross orders in k, Average order value in EUR ▪ home24 further accelerates growth at 58% YoY GOV in Q4 2020. ▪ Milestone of +2m active customers surpassed with now 2.2m active customers. ▪ Further FX impact due to decrease in BRL/EUR weighing on real currency basket size and growth rate. 36
Q4 revenue growth of +50% (in CC) brings FY with +42% at upper end of latest guidance, despite significant spillover to Q1 in EU Revenue in EURm and Growth YoY in % ▪ Both segments broadly contributed in a similar way to FY growth of +42% in CC. ▪ In Europe, spillover of Q4 order intake into Q1 or even Q2 revenue due to significantly longer delivery times (GOV growth: +66%, IFRS growth: +53%). ▪ In LatAm, stronger revenue realization due to strong sales campaigns focusing on available warehouse stock (GOV growth: +35%, IFRS growth: +43%, all CC). 37
Q4 adj. EBITDA at 3% or EUR 5m, leading to FY adj. EBITDA of EUR 15m, an improvement of EUR 44m compared to prior year Adj. EBITDA in EURm and in % of Revenue ▪ Another strong quarter with adj. EBITDA margin of 3%. ▪ Strong >40% FY revenue growth paired with 11pp adj. EBITDA margin improvement led to EUR 44m profitability increase. ▪ Improvements in all P&L line items: ○ -2pp COGS ○ -2pp Fulfillment Expenses ○ -3pp Marketing Expenses ○ -4pp SG&A ▪ Q4 20 in LatAm influenced by tax contingencies of ~EUR1m related to a recent tax ruling. 38
Cash and cash equivalents ended 2020 at above EUR 100m. FY 2020 cash flow positive also excl. capital increase of EUR 46m Cash flow FY 2020 in EURm ▪ Positive operating cash flow in all quarters 2020, with total +EUR 32m in 2020, solid basis for continuously improved cash position. ▪ Due to the 10% capital increase executed in Dec cash level of more than EUR 100m. ▪ Cash inflows from Working Capital esp. in Europe significantly increased due to low stock levels. This is expected 1 to partly reverse in 2021, once delivery times decrease again and growth trajectory stabilizes. 39 1 Including e.g. changes in provisions, changes in other assets/liabilities, finance costs, taxes and FX effects
Profit and loss statement - Group In EURm and in % of Revenue 1 2 2 40 1 Including impairment losses on financial assets
Our mission: to be the online destination for Home & Living ▪ Huge and uniquely attractive Home & Living market opportunity of >EUR 120 billion ▪ Markets characterized by low online penetration of
Investor Contact Media Contact Philipp Steinhäuser Anne Gaida CFO Senior Communications Manager home24 SE home24 SE Greifswalder Str. 212/213 Greifswalder Str. 212/213 10405 Berlin 10405 Berlin E-Mail: ir@home24.de E-Mail: anne.gaida@home24.de Phone: +49 30 201 634 728 Phone: +49 30 201 632 9416
KPI definitions KPI Definition Defined as the aggregated gross order value of the orders placed in the respective period, Gross order value including VAT and without factoring in cancellations and returns as well as subsequent [in EUR] discounts and vouchers Number of active Defined as the number of customers that have placed at least one non-canceled order in the customers [#] 12 months prior to the respective date, without factoring in returns Defined as the number of orders placed in the relevant period, regardless of cancellations Total gross orders or returns Defined as the aggregated gross order value of the orders placed in the respective period, Average order value including VAT, divided by the number of orders, without factoring in cancellations and [in EUR] returns as well as subsequent discounts and vouchers Growth at constant Defined as growth using constant BRL/EUR exchange rates from the previous year currency (CC) EBITDA defined as the sum of operating result (EBIT) and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted for share-based compensation expenses and costs incurred in connection with the [in EUR] listing of existing shares and other one-off expenses, mainly service fees for legal and other consulting services associated with the IPO 43
Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by home24 SE (the “Company“). All material contained in this document and the information presented is for information purposes only and does not purport to be a full or complete description of the Company and its affiliated entities. This presentation must not be relied on for any purpose. This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the current views, expectations, assumptions and information of the management of the Company. Forward-looking statements should not be construed as a promise of future results and developments and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements, and neither the Company nor any other person accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the underlying assumptions. The Company does not assume any obligations to update any forward- looking statements. This presentation contains certain financial measures that are not calculated in accordance with IFRS and are therefore considered “non-IFRS financial measures”. The management of the Company believes that these non-IFRS financial measures used by the Company, when considered in conjunction with, but not in lieu of, other measures that are computed in accordance with IFRS, enhance an understanding of the Company’s results of operations, financial position and cash flows. A number of these non-IFRS financial measures are also commonly used by securities analysts, credit rating agencies and investors to evaluate and compare the periodic and future operating performance and value of other companies with which the Company competes. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered in isolation as a measure of the Company’s profitability or liquidity, and should be considered in addition to, rather than as a substitute for, income data or cash flow data prepared in accordance with IFRS. In particular, there are material limitations associated with the use of non-IFRS financial measures, including the limitations inherent in determination of each of the relevant adjustments. The non-IFRS financial measures used by the Company may differ from, and not be comparable to, similarly- titled measures used by other companies. Certain numerical data, financial information and market data, including percentages, in this presentation have been rounded according to established commercial standards. Furthermore, in tables and charts, these rounded figures may not add up exactly to the totals contained in the respective tables and charts. 44
You can also read