Heineken International - Case Synopsis - BUS 478 - D300
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Heineken International Case Synopsis BUS 478 - D300 October 28th, 2014 Submitted by: Mohammad Basij Leslie Chow Domenico Delli Santi Sara Loski Robert Marzitelli
FIRM OVERVIEW Background History Heineken International (“Heineken” or “the company”) is a Dutch brewing company that was founded in 1864, just outside of Amsterdam, when Gerard Adriaan Heineken purchased the Haystack brewery. Over the years Heineken has acquired many different breweries throughout the world. Heineken owns over 250 different beer brands, some are popular all over the world and some are more popular depending on location (The Heineken Company). The table below lists some examples of its brands: TABLE 1: Heineken brands related to location Global Brands Heineken, Amstel, Desperados, SOL, Strongbow, & Affligem Western Europe Cruzcampo and Gold Central and Eastern Europe Zywiec, Zlaty Bazant, and Russian Oxota Africa and Middle East Star, Primas, and Mutzig The Americas Dos Equis, Kaiser, Tecate, and Cristal Asia Pacific Anchor, Tiger, Kingfisher, and Bintang Heineken’s stated mission is: To delight consumers, day in day out, with perfect cider and beer experiences In support of Heineken’s mission, its values are enjoyment, respect, and passion. More specifically its values inspire the company to: • Please customers • Continue sponsoring sporting, music, and art events • Promote responsible alcohol consumption • Embrace diversity • Commit to making Heineken a great place to work 1
Heineken Today Heineken wishes to have sustainable growth in its brand. Heineken is available in over 70 countries worldwide. The company is currently the third largest brewer in the world along with SABMiller, the second largest, and Anheuser-Busch InBev (AB InBev), the largest (Welch, D., Cambel, M., & Bagoirri, M. 2014, Sept 15). Heineken has a global market share of 17.7 percent compared to a 15.5 percent market share of SABMiller and a 29.6 percent market share of AB InBev (Rooney, 2014). The company also strongly sponsors sporting events such as the UEFA Champions League, Europe’s premier soccer club tournament (The Heineken Company). Notable News Recently, Heineken’s European sales have decreased due to Europe’s unseasonably rainy summer. Although European sales have decreased, “Heineken nevertheless repeated it’s [expectations] of full-year margins” (“UPDATE 2-Wet”, 2014) as strong sales in Asia as well as higher prices offset this decrease. In September 2014, SABMiller, wished to purchase Heineken in the hopes of being able to better compete with the market leader AB InBev. Heineken did not accept this offer and it is unclear if either SABMiller will act again. There is also the possibility that AB InBev will attempt to acquire Heineken since it has spent “$100 billion over the past decade to purchase … Corona to Budweiser” (Welch, D., Cambel, M., & Bagoirri, M. 2014, Sept 15). AB InBev has spent a lot of money to become the market leader, and therefore, it has a lot of motive to retain this position. Financial Performance Heineken has experienced much success in over 70 countries and wishes to continue its financial performance throughout the coming years. Predominantly a single-product company, Heineken has developed solid reputations with suppliers, distributors and customers to earn increasing profit margins and revenue streams. The tables below highlight the growth of Heineken in the coming years along with its 2013 fiscal year financial results. 2
TABLE 2: Annual Income Statement Data Year Financials 2013 Expected 2014 Expected 2015 Expected 2016 Sales (In Millions of €) 19,203 19,352 20,259 21,194 Earnings Per Share (EPS) 2.37 2.70 3.14 3.48 Net Income (In Millions of €) 1,364 1,554 1,784 1,961 Debt (In Millions of €) 10,758 9,820 8,624 7,272 Yield (%) 1.56% 1.70% 1.96% 2.18% TABLE 3: Profitability Year Financials Expected 2014 Expected 2015 Net Margin (%) 8.03% 8.81% Return On Assets (ROA) 5.2% 5.63% Return On Equity (ROE) 14.2% 14.6% Adapted from 4-traders: Heineken Report, by 4-traders.com – Thomson Reuters, 2013, retrieved from http://www.4- traders.com/HEINEKEN-6283/financials/ Copyright © 2013 by 4-traders.com What should be noted is the expected increase in sales from 2014 to 2016 along with decreasing debt. These expectations are to be supported by cooperative strategies and the strategic alliances Heineken posses with companies such as Asia Pacific Breweries in Singapore and Brau Holding International & Co in Germany (4-traders, 2014). GENERAL ENVIRONMENT Global Environment As the global economies continue to develop, new industrialized countries emerge. This provides great potential consumer markets for alcoholic beverages. The emergence of developing countries also creates new markets that have not been exploited previously by the industry leaders, allowing for growth from companies like Heineken with global presence to enter those markets. The global alcoholic beverages market is continuously growing and remains as a high opportunity market for the alcoholic beverages industry (Euromonitor, 2013). 3
Demographic Environment Beer consumption is divided between all types of demographics globally. The Generation Y population, which is a larger group than their predecessors, Generation X, are less inclined to drink beer (Clarke, 2012). According to a 2011 study by the Harris Poll, 37 percent of Generation Y says beer is the drink of choice, compared to 41 percent of Generation X. Tara Carraro, senior director for corporate communications at Heineken USA, says Generation Y consumers are a prime target for Heineken USA. Senior multicultural director for MillerCoors, Al Patel states “younger consumers are more adventurous, therefore incorporating more brands into their routine”. Craft beers, which directly compete with Heineken, appear to be the biggest beneficiaries of the Generation Y’s adventurous character. Even when craft beer drinkers commit to a brand, their adventurous character provides interests in variety and will almost always consider new brands (Clarke, 2012). Men and women represent 75 percent and 25 percent of the beer market, respectively. Heineken is attempting to target both by different packaging standards for each segment. With this in mind, it is crucial for Heineken to continue to appeal to the male market as it represents the majority of the market. The largest beer markets in the world are Russia, China, United States, Brazil, and Mexico. Heineken’s shares in these markets are 12.1 percent, 0.4 percent, 4.4 percent, 8.3 percent, and 43.6 percent, respectively. In addition, Heineken’s market share is significant in Nigeria, Netherlands, Spain, France, Austria, and New Zealand (Euromonitor, 2013). Political and Legal Environment Heineken, being one of the global leaders in beer industry, must abide by the rules and regulations of the countries of operation. With the increasing concerns about drinking and driving, alcoholic companies must be responsible and include such cautions and promote safety. Heineken’s 'Enjoy Heineken Responsibly' campaign assists in overcoming these challenges by informing and educating consumers about the safe and responsible consumption of alcohol. 4
Economic Environment One of the most important beer market growth indicators is a country’s economic growth. According to Heineken’s 2014 Annual Report, six of the ten fastest growing economies in the world are located in Africa. This is an important factor in the creation of a brand-conscious middle class in a market that Heineken is looking to target. Sociocultural Environment In the last decade there has been a dramatic increase in health awareness leading to a social movement towards healthier lifestyles worldwide. These new trends in the global beer market appear to show a higher preference toward healthier beers with lower calories and carbohydrates. Heineken has introduced new lines of beer products under the “light” branding, which satisfies the new consumer needs. Currently, the majority of the Heineken beer sales in the US market are from the “light beer” brands with the lower calories. Technological Environment As a single-product industry, Heineken aims to develop new and exciting innovations through extensive Research and Development. Heineken recently launched “Heineken Ignite” on April 9, 2014 during Milan Design Week as a part of Heineken’s Lounge of the Future concept (Digital Synopsis, 2014). With help from Tribal DDB Amsterdam, Heineken Ignite has become the first interactive bottle. This product contains clever technology that “brings the bottle to life” through lights and sparks when in contact with another bottle (Digital Synopsis, 2014). Innovations and product development such as this draws attention from consumers and leads to a more connected drinking experience. INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Threat of New Entry - Moderate The threat of new entrants in the beer industry is moderate. With the adequate amount of capital, competitors could decide to enter the market by acquiring the necessary equipment and skilled brewers. Many people enjoy a wide variety of different beers, and since switching costs for beers is low, many 5
enjoy trying out small or locally brewed beers. However, with companies like Anheuser-Busch InBev (19.7% in 2013) and Heineken (9.2% in 2013) having large portions of the global market share in the beer industry, it may be difficult for new entrants to grow a lot in the industry. Many of these the existing competitors also have large amounts of capital and experience. If new entrants do not have an adequate amount of capital to compete, they can easily become overpowered. The many years of experience these existing competitors have gained also allow them to create economies of scale, as well as having access to a large number of distribution channels, which is difficult for new entrants to obtain. Lastly, many existing companies have developed well-known reputations and have successfully differentiated its product. For example, Heineken has successfully developed a brand that is recognized globally, and the organization is most well known for its premium lager and dark beer products. Threat of Substitutes - High The threat of substitute products in the beer industry is high. This is due to the low switching costs customers face with beer products. In the alcoholic drink market alone, consumers have many different other choices such as wine, spirits, and ciders. Beer may also be substituted for non-alcoholic drinks such as soft drinks and coffee. Bargaining Power of Suppliers - Low The bargaining power of suppliers is relatively low in the beer industry. Even though the commodities required to brew beer such as hops, wheat, and barley are important components; these items are generally easy to obtain from a variety of farmers. Therefore, companies would not face many switching costs in order to find other suppliers. Previously, the hop production market had a supply shortage in 2006, but returned back to normal in 2009 (Euromonitor, 2011). In addition, the beer industry makes up a large portion of these commodities' sales every year. In terms of brewing, many larger companies own their own breweries, allowing the company to control costs. For companies that do not own their own breweries in certain regions or markets, it is possible to contract with a brewing company or license to brew their products. 6
Bargaining Power of Buyers – Moderate/High The buyers' bargaining power is moderate to high. Consumers have very low switching costs, which allow them to move from product to product. In addition, the beer industry has a wide variety of options in which customers can choose from. However, many companies have differentiated their products by building a strong company brand, and product taste which reduces buyers' bargaining power if they enjoy that product specifically. Intensity of Rivalry – Moderate/High The intensity of rivalry in the beer industry is moderate to high. This is due to the large number of competitors in the beer industry. However, there are several firms who control more global market share than others. These top companies are generally equivalent in size and power, and are constantly fighting to maintain and gain market share. The only exception would be Anheuser-Busch InBev NV, who owns a much larger proportion of the market than any other competitor. Many of these companies have high strategic stakes in this industry, meaning it is very important for them to perform well in the market. In addition, the low switching costs buyers have also create a very competitive environment. MAIN STRATEGIC CHALLENGES Decreasing Revenue Streams in the US and Europe In 2013 Heineken experienced decreases in beer sales volume in all markets except Asia over its first quarter (Financial Times, 2013). This was most noticeable in Western Europe and the United States, where Heineken’s key markets are located. The decreases were due to unseasonably bad weather in Europe and weak customer confidence in the United States. Heineken’s exposure within Europe has also contributed to its recent disappointing results. Russia was hurt by a kiosk sales ban (2013), which was directly felt by Heineken as it recently acquired Efes, a beer sold predominantly in Russia, from SABMiller. Additionally, Heineken struggled to compete in the US market with the recent craft beer phenomenon as craft beers have been taking the lion’s share of beer market growth in the US for the last decade 7
(Bouckley, 2013). Heineken decided it could not compete directly with craft beers and instead chose to focus on growth in the cider category (2013). As craft beer continues to gain popularity in the US market, Heineken will be hard pressed to sway customers back to its product. Major Reliance on the European Market Heineken has been recently expanding into emerging markets in countries such as Nigeria, Vietnam, and China. This is to attempt to offset the major reliance that the company places on the European market for its success. However, despite its aggressive and effective expansion into emerging markets, the company still remains highly leveraged to Europe for nearly 40 percent of its earnings (Wehring, 2014). As Europe is a difficult market to operate in if conditions are not right, this poses as a challenge for the brewery to perhaps find more reliable sources of revenue. Increasing Competition with SABMiller and AB InBev Heineken has been constantly competing with the two other major brewing companies of SABMiller and Anheuser-Busch InBev (AB InBev). In September SABMiller made an offer to purchase Heineken (Van Daalen, 2014). The company rejected the takeover approach stating that it intends to preserve the heritage and identity of Heineken as an independent company (2014). With advanced competition between these three brewing giants, Heineken will be pressured to continue strong sales in order to ensure that either company does not acquire it. 8
REFERENCES Bouckley, B. (2013, August 21). “Heineken cannot compete with US craft beer phenomenon”: CEO. William Reed Business Media. Retrieved from http://www.beveragedaily.com/Manufacturers/Heineken-cannot-compete-with-US-craft-beer- phenomenon-CEO Clarke, J. (2012, May 1) Who is The New Beer Consumer? Beverage Media Group. Retrieved from: http://www.beveragemedia.com/index.php/2012/05/who-is-the-new-beer- consumer-brewers-ready-to-say-ihola-and-more-to-expand-reach/ Esterl, M. (2014, September 14). Heineken Rebuffs SABMiller Overture. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from: http://online.wsj.com/articles/heineken-rebuffs-sabmiller-overture-1410736024 Rooney, B. (2014, October 9). Beer 101: big changes are brewing. CNN Money. Retrieved from http://money.cnn.com/2014/10/09/news/companies/beer-101/ Van Daalen, R. (2014, October 22). Heineken profit declines, post lower sales in Europe. The Wall Street Journal.Retrieved from http://online.wsj.com/articles/heineken-third-quarter-profit- falls-1413960678 Wehring, O. (2014, October 23) Analysis – Time for Heineken to make a European break. Just-drinks. Retrieved from http://www.just-drinks.com/analysis/analysis-time-for-heineken-to-make-a- european-break_id115229.aspx Welch, D., Cambel, M., & Bagoirri, M. (2014, September 15) SABMiller Said to Approach Heineken Family With Offer For Brewer. Bloomberg. Retrieved from: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-14/sabmiller-said-to-approach-heineken-family-with- offer-for-brewer.html (2013) Alcoholic industry Statistics. Euromonitor International. Retrieved from: http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.proxy.lib.sfu.ca/portal (2014) Digital Synopsis. Retrieved on October 27, 2014 from http://digitalsynopsis.com/advertising/heineken-ignite-interactive-beer-bottle/ (2011) Global Performance and Prospects for Beer. Euromonitor International. Retrieved from: http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.proxy.lib.sfu.ca/portal (2011) Growth Opportunities for Beer Suppliers. Euromonitor International. Retrieved from: http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.proxy.lib.sfu.ca/portal (2013, April 25) Heineken. The Financial Times. Retreived from https://global-factiva-com.proxy.lib.sfu.ca/ga/default.aspx (2014) Heineken (HEIA). 4 Traders. Retrieved from http://www.4-traders.com/HEINEKEN-6283/financials/ (2014) Heineken Ignite. Retrieved from http://heinekenignite.tumblr.com 9
(2014, October 22). UPDATE 2-Wet European summer dampens Heineken beer sales. Reuters. Retrieved from: http://in.reuters.com/article/2014/10/22/heineken-nl-results- idINL6N0SH0XO20141022?type=companyNews (2014) We are HEINEKEN Company Presentation. Heineken NV. Retrieved from: https://secure.theheinekencompany.com/latest-reports 10
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