Heat pumps expansion from United Kingdom to Poland
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Angela Medzela Final Project, AP FINI0912, UCN ‘Financial Management’ Aalborg, 26.05.2014 Heat pumps expansion from United Kingdom to Poland What is the profitability for UK FM Group Ltd, entering in the Polish Market for heat pumps? Report analysing profitability of expansion of heat pumps from medium sized, privately held company from UK to emanating with potential Polish Market. Image from http://geogteacher.wordpress.com/2014/03/18/revising-eu-poland-and-uk- case-study/ -0-|Page Number of key strokes in the project: 74,559
TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction............................................................................................................................- 2 - Motivation..............................................................................................................................- 4 - Problem statement ................................................................................................................- 4 - Methodology ..........................................................................................................................- 5 - Brief description of the company ...........................................................................................- 8 - Internal analysis .....................................................................................................................- 9 - VISION ...............................................................................................................................- 9 - PRODUCT MIX OF RENEWABLE TECHNOLOGY LTD DEPARTMENT ....................................................- 9 - PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE ......................................................................................................... - 11 - VALUE CHAIN ................................................................................................................... - 12 - SWOT and Polish investment environment......................................................................... - 15 - SWOT FOR UK FM GROUP LTD. ........................................................................................ - 15 - INVESTING IN POLAND ....................................................................................................... - 16 - External analysis ................................................................................................................. - 18 - PEST ............................................................................................................................. - 19 - PORTER’S 5 FORCES........................................................................................................... - 20 - SUPPLY CHAIN .................................................................................................................. - 21 - MARKET OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................... - 22 - MARKET STRUCTURE ......................................................................................................... - 23 - MARKET TRENDS............................................................................................................... - 23 - CUSTOMER’S BUYING BEHAVIOUR ........................................................................................ - 24 - Cultural differences ............................................................................................................. - 25 - Investment proposal ........................................................................................................... - 28 - Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... - 39 - Appendixes .......................................................................................................................... - 41 - Bibliography ........................................................................................................................ - 43 - -1-|Page
Introduction Being more environmentally friendly is becoming an economic trend. There are many organizations, which are protecting nature and encouraging people to join them to make changes in people’s behaviour and together protect the planet. Mostly they are non- government organizations like e.g. WWF (World Wide Fund for Nature) or Greenpeace, but there are also government ones, like Danish Ministry of Climate and Energy in Denmark. Increased conscious about environment is also influenced by new restrictions and laws, which are made, among others, by European Union to force people to act wisely and responsibly towards our planet. ‘Protection of the environment and sustainable development are policy areas of the European Union where numerous initiatives were developed in the last 40 years. These initiatives resulted in a large amount of legislations, policy papers and judgments by the European Court of Justice (ECJ)’1. The more man is changing the Earth, the more problems start to occur. In present moment, situation is becoming more serious with time, but unfortunately a lot of people still do not see it and do not believe that small changes in human behaviour can make big impact on our environment and do not understand how important it is. People explore planet more and more, wasting non-renewable resources to heat up houses, use cars and in this way humans produce gases, which influence atmosphere. The results are, among others, opening and growth of ozone depletion and ice melting, what leads to increase in sea level, what causes flooding islands and other areas. Through thousands of years human kind explored big part of available resources. Therefore one of the most essential things to do right now is to explore new sources of energy to be able to function after resources will be explored. People who understand the vitality of it are often joining groups, in order to influence others with bigger impact and catch attention of people on things that should matter for all of us. There are plenty of ways man can contribute to positive changes on planet. One way to contribute to it is to act sustainably. Don’t waste paper, use less plastic bags and cups, turn off the light, water, recycle, etc. These are easy, cheap, known for all ways to help nature that every each of us should implement in everyday life. Other way is to use more ecological and environmentally friendly ways of e.g. heating our houses, using eco – friendly parts while building and using alternative energy sources. This can be done by, for example, solar collectors or heat pumps. 1 Citation from: http://www.asser.nl/default.aspx?site_id=7 -2-|Page
Heat pumps are a very interesting product. They are not only able to heat up our apartments, but also to ventilate them and cool them down.2 This is why they are accurate as much during the winter as during the summer. What is more, they do it in very environmentally friendly and pocket friendly way. For example, ‘the most common type of heat pump is the air-source heat pump, which transfers heat between your house and the outside air. If you heat with electricity, a heat pump can trim the amount of electricity you use for heating by as much as 30% to 40%. High-efficiency heat pumps also dehumidify better than standard central air conditioners, resulting in less energy usage and more cooling comfort in summer months.’3 In this way we care not only about nature, but also our households’ budgets. This may be one of the reasons why recently the number of sales of heat pumps, among others on Polish market, is increasing and is expected to grow even more in the future. Poland is a country, which huge potential from human power to growth in many different areas. After the time, when communism had been replaced with democracy, Poland started slow recovery process and slowly but surely is becoming one of the more important countries in Europe. Currently Poland is considered one of the most interesting countries to expand to4, what should be treated as invitation to invest there. Recently there is much information that suggests expansion from United Kingdom to Poland, and it is advised especially for small business. Possibilities and opportunities are waiting for foreigners; heat pumps sales are increasing and if we would add to it high level of communication between Poland and UK we would see that this idea has a lot of advantages. UK FM Group Ltd. is medium- sized, private limited company, which has been till now offering their products on UK market. They were founded in 2005 and since then they became one of the leaders in providing mechanical services in United Kingdom5. One of the products they provide is heat pump. They offer heat pumps in two types: ground and air. On their website6 we can find benefits for both of them and also check which one will suit us best. 2 http://energy.gov/energysaver/articles/heat-pump-systems 3 http://energy.gov/energysaver/articles/heat-pump-systems 4 http://www.startupoverseas.co.uk/expanding-a-business-in-poland 5 https://www.linkedin.com/company/2439838?trk=tyah&trkInfo=tarId%3A1399014427051%2Ctas%3AUKFM %20%2Cidx%3A1-1-1 6 http://www.ukfmrt.com/domestic/domestic/about/ -3-|Page
Motivation For some people topic of heat pumps and expansion for another market may seem boring or at least not as interesting as exotic type of coffee or tea expansion or other thrilling uncommon product. However I find it very intriguing, mostly because of the rapid increase in sales of this product. The reasons might be different, but this is interesting why suddenly item, which is still one of the most expensive ones and is available only for people with income higher than average had gained such popularity and sales of it are predicted to constantly increase. What is even more surprising is the fact that Poland is not a pioneer in environmental issues in Europe and though since 1989 many things changed, Poland is still country with high air pollution, what is followed by acid rain and destruction of forests.7Additionally, Poland is country with increasing, but still low income per household, especially when compared with Western Europe countries. This raises even more questions how it is possible that sales are so quickly going up. To find out if this potential may be used with advantages for both company, supplier, and for the customers abroad I will prepare this report, in which I will try to come up with some answers, among others, is expansion for heat pump Polish market profitable for foreign company. Problem statement According to ‘The Guardian’8 Poland is very interesting country to invest also for smaller, British companies. Among many reasons why to do it, there is mentioned increase in wealth of Poles. Connecting this information with increase in pro – green behaviours, awareness about environment, EU restrictions and higher from year to year number of people implementing environmentally friendly products, it seems logic to expand market of heat pumps to Poland. However, expansion on other territory always has to be preceded by detail analyses, in order to eliminate risk of failure, which also entails losing significant amounts of money. This is why I will prepare internal and external analyses, to determine if expansion of UK FM 7 http://www.indexmundi.com/poland/environment_current_issues.html 8 http://www.theguardian.com/small-business-network/2014/mar/27/british-businesses-exporting-to-poland -4-|Page
Group Ltd. in three years period into polish market will be able to bring some profit for the company. In this case the problem statement would be: What is the profitability for UK FM Group Ltd, entering in the Polish Market for heat pumps? As the topic is very broad and can consist of broad analysis I will only focus on internal analysis of the company and external analysis of the environment only with key competitors. I will focus on data needed to prepare the business plan. Everything beyond it will not be included here in this report. I will not focus on how it can help decrease operational costs, improve marketing, etc. I will solely focus on matter of profitability of this investment – is it profitable investment to expand into polish market. To narrow it even more, I will focus particularly on Renewable Energy brand of the company, and even more – only on heat pumps, so the report will not include other departments or products. This will allow making this report concrete and focused. Methodology Throughout this project, I will describe and analyse the present situation of UK FM Group Ltd., and determine its strengths and weaknesses. Based on a weakness, I will analyse a series of models and financial projections to determine what the profitability of this expansion is. Afterwards, I will propose how to fund the project and analyse how profitable it will be. To begin, I will give a description of the present situation. I will do this to show how UK FM operates and what current state is, what products they offer, the organizational structure, and the history of the company so far. It will help in better understanding of the company. After the company description, I will conduct a situational analysis of ICC through external and internal analyses. In the external analysis, I will include: PEST analysis, Porters-5-forces analysis, supply chain, market structure, competitive position, and strategy, & customers buying behaviour. A PEST analysis is used to find out the external factors that can affect the company, and give an overall picture surrounding the company through political, economic, socio-cultural and technological factors. Porters-5-forces is used to determine the level of competition in the heat pumps industry, through 5 key external forces: threat of entry, bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitutes, and the -5-|Page
industry rivalry. The supply chain analysis is used to state and examine the group of economic agents that contribute directly to the determining of a final product; it shows the operation sequence from raw materials to production to the consumer. The market structure is used to show the overall structure of the heat pumps industry and the type of competition we are dealing with. The competitive position distinguishes between four distinct positions on the market: market leader, market challenger, market follower, and market niche companies. This links to the competitive strategy of the company, which is related to their competitive position; each competitive position is linked to specific competitive strategies for that placement. I will also analyse the customers buying behaviour to see is there need and what the trends among polish customers are. Internal analysis will consist of: Product Life Cycle, value chain analysis, and Porters generic strategies. The Boston model is used to evaluate the strategic position of the business brand and understand which companies are worth investing in. In the PLC curve, we determine the maturity phase of the different brands to decide what strategies each brand should implement to improve. A value chain analysis is used to analyse internal activities and to recognize which activities are valuable, and to determine the primary and support activities of the company. Porter’s generic strategy distinguishes between cost leadership strategy, differentiation strategy, and focus strategy to optimize competitive advantage for the company. After completing both analyses I will prepare also SWOT analysis, which involves both internal and external factors. It is used to identify the strengths and weaknesses that are relevant in meeting opportunities and threats in particular situation. After the analysis, I will prepare investment proposal and first few years after implementation, which will allow determining what the profitability of this expansion is. The summary with answer for problem statement will close the report. Here is the flow of the report presented in a chart (on the next page): -6-|Page
FIGURE 1, FLOW OF THE REPORT Brief description of the company Internal analysis Vision, Product mix, Product Life cycle, Value chain, Porter's Generic Strategies SWOT and Polish investment environment SWOT for UK FM Group Ltd., Investing in Poland External analysis PEST, Porter's 5 Forces, Supply Chain, Market overview, Market structure, Market trends, Customer's buying behaviour, Cultural differences, Poland in & dimensions of culture, Investment Proposal Investment proposal, Financial analysis(Depreciation, Profit and Loss, Cash Flow, Balance Sheet, Profitability Ratios) Conclusion -7-|Page
Brief description of the company UK FM Group Company is on the market already 9 years, which is relatively long time. It has been settled to provide services like commercial heating, ventilation, air conditioning and renewables. It is company that consists of separate firms, which were merged and now are working under one brand name – UK FM Group. It has started in 2005 with four companies: Coolair Services Ltd., G8 Environmental Solutions Ltd., D&D Heating & Electrical Services and Thermotech Engineering Services (Scotland) Ltd. Together they were growing and strengthening their position on UK market. In 2010 UK FM Group noticed demand for renewables technologies and higher interest in acting sustainably. Therefore they established another department: UK FM Renewable Technologies Ltd. This is department on which I will focus the most, because it provides air and ground heat pumps to clients. They do provide their products and services not only to private clients (which are called domestic), but also to commercial customers. This means that they work with two customers: business to consumer (B2C) and business to business (B2B). The structure of management in the company is following9: Table 1, Management structure in UK FM Group Ltd. Board of Directors Managing director Sales team Health Operations directors Admin Manager Finance manager and safety Operations manager Admin team Finance team Regional service Co-ordinators Engineers Currently UK FM Group Ltd. is employing between 51 and 200 employees10. Company is focusing more on qualified workers than on empty number of non-qualified people. 9 http://www.ukfmgroup.com/index.php/the-ukfm-team 10 https://www.linkedin.com/company/ukfm-group-ltd -8-|Page
Year 2012 has been worse for the overall financial situation than previous years, what was caused by crisis in Europe.11 Even though the number of sales has been increased, costs were much higher, what leaded to smaller profit for the year. However, the numbers were still satisfying, because they were on plus. Table 2, Current (2012) numbers of UK FM Group Ltd. 2012 2011 Turnover 10,570,360£ 9,688,954£ Gross Profit 2,308,006£ 2,981,098£ Operational profit 507,653£ 1,265,684£ Profit for the year 322,536£ 993,905£ Internal analysis Internal analysis is giving a better understanding of the company, their abilities and limitations, values, etc. We can make assumptions on what steps should be taken next and in which direction company should go. It is also good way of reviewing company’s present situation, looking where company is at the current moment, if the goals (and maybe milestones) are achieved, or if company is heading towards completely different direction. Internal analysis part will include vision of the company, product mix, product life cycle, value chain and porter’s generic strategies. VISION Vision of the Renewable Technology Ltd. department was to become ‘the UK’s leading supplier and installer of micro renewable technologies.’12 They achieved their goal, at least partly, because currently they are one of the leaders in whole United Kingdom. PRODUCT MIX OF RENEWABLE TECHNOLOGY LTD DEPARTMENT Solar Photovoltaic Solar Thermal Air Source Heat Pumps LED Lighting Ground Source Heat Pumps Biomass Wood Boiler 11 Annual report 2012 12 http://www.ukfmrt.com/domestic/domestic/about/ -9-|Page
Gas Boiler From all these products, two will be main focus in this report, air and ground source heat pumps. I will focus on these two, because of the Polish market demand on especially these products. As mentioned before, Poland noted rapid increase in sales of heat pumps, both air and ground, and therefore I would like to focus on its, as there is visible potential and big chance of success with these products. Air pumps ‘Heat is absorbed from the air which forms as a fluid. The fluid is then passed to a compressor to increase the temperature. Once the temperature has been increased the heat is transferred to the heating and hot water in your house. As the air source heat pumps heat is extracted from the air it is constantly being naturally renewed. Heats pumps do use a small amount of electricity to run but will keep on extracting heat even when it is as cold as -15°C.’13 Ground ‘Water and antifreeze are sent round a ground loop underground. The heat in pumps the ground is absorbed into the fluid and then passed to a heat exchanger which in turn passes the heat to the pump. This method works well as the area underground stays at a constant temperature providing heat even when the ground looks frozen.’14 Benefits are the same for both types of pumps– they will reduce emissions of CO2 and bills, while at the same time they will heat and ventilate apartments/houses without dwellers worrying for the resources. 15 The difference is that air pumps are easier to install, and ground pumps are more efficient. Heat pumps are not equally efficient everywhere. There are some indicators and conditions that have to be met, in order to make the most out of these renewable technologies. In order to make it easier for customers, UK FM Group includes in their service advising, also about what type of heat pump can customer install if can install any. 16 17 13 Quote from website. Product description: http://www.ukfmrt.com/domestic/domestic/products/air-source- heat-pumps/ 14 Quote from: http://www.ukfmrt.com/domestic/domestic/products/ground-source-heat-pumps/ 15 Data from official site. http://www.ukfmrt.com 16 http://www.savewithsrp.com/advice/heatpump.aspx 17 http://www.enviko.com/technology/heat-pumps/ground-source-heat-pumps-2 - 10 - | P a g e
PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE18 Product Life Cycle model consists of four main stages: introduction, growth, maturity and decline phase. Introduction is phase where product is newly launched on the market and number of people who are buying it is small, as well as number of competitors. Next phase is when product has more and more followers and competition is growing. Maturity is when product has stable position on the market and decline phase is when product is not as tempting and/or useful anymore and is slowly replaced by other product till the point it will not be produced anymore. Arrow points a place on the Product Life Cycle curve, in which phase we can find heat pumps from UK FM Renewable Energy Group. This department is relatively young (4 years) and therefore its products are in the growth stage. We can observe it also in Annual Report, Profit and Loss statement, when we analyse, e.g. number of sales. Other characteristics are Figure 2, Product Life Cycle with placement of UK FM Group Ltd. focus on gaining market shares, targeting moderate customers, which are willing to be with trends and got products that are already widely available on the, but still are not owned by everyone. Number of competitors is still increasing, mostly because of the huge potential of this market. Product Life Cycle is useful tool to analyse in which directions company should go and helps predict the future. In this case we can establish few facts. First, the potential of the market 18 http://indrajitdas89837.blogspot.dk/2013/10/product-life-cycle-of-tzinga.html - 11 - | P a g e
is really big, so it should be used. Second, number of competitors is still increasing; however the competition is not focused on price wars yet, but on quality and service differences. Third, business focus should be on getting market shares and establishing better position. VALUE CHAIN Value chain is a tool, which company can use to optimize processes and deliver greater value for the customers, what should help increase sales and with this – profits. 19 It is built from two parts: primary and additional (supporting) activities. Figure 3, Value chain 20 Organizational system Support activities Human resource management Technology development Procurement Strategic objective Marketing Inbound Operations Outbound Sales Service logistics logistic Primary activities ‘Primary activities relate directly to the physical creation, sale, maintenance and support of a product or service. They consist of the following: Inbound logistics – These are all the processes related to receiving, storing, and distributing inputs internally. Your supplier relationships are a key factor in creating value here. Operations – These are the transformation activities that change inputs into outputs that are sold to customers. Here, your operational systems create value. Outbound logistics – These activities deliver your product or service to your customer. These are things like collection, storage, and distribution systems, and they may be internal or external to your organization. 19 http://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/newTMC_10.htm 20 Service logo - http://www.barnabeservice.com; sales logo - http://www.powerthechange.com/sales-skills/; inbound logistic - http://www.training-classes.com/publications/00/12/1206_inbound_logistics.php; outbound logistics - http://doodleslide.com/porters-value-chain-analysis-powerpoint-templates/; operations - http://www.clker.com/clipart-operations-banner-logo.html - 12 - | P a g e
Marketing and sales – These are the processes you use to persuade clients to purchase from you instead of your competitors. The benefits you offer, and how well you communicate them, are sources of value here. Service – These are the activities related to maintaining the value of your product or service to your customers, once it's been purchased.’21 Value chain can be also analysed in three steps: activity analysis, value analysis and evaluation stage22. UK FM offers not only the product itself, but also service, which brings big value and is what differentiate them from other companies. Besides heat pumps, they offer service, installation, on-going maintenance and supply23. They rely on theirs qualified workers, which are able to provide valuable services to customers. Analysing products and services that UK FM is providing to their customers, there is one factor that makes it all possible – qualified workers. Without them, firm will not be able to provide good services, help with installation, maintenance, advices and others. Therefore the human resources management should be on the highest level. Workers should feel appreciated and always have opportunity to develop. Technology development is what drives all businesses nowadays. This is a way to get ahead of others and not get out of a track. It must be controlled and updated all the time. Organizational systems make is easier to run operations and manage company and processes. They had to be optimized from time to time, and adjusted with any changes that company is making. Procurement and marketing are areas which you always can improve and adjust, and there is no one, ideal way to do it. It has many variables and depends on the target group, timing and much more. It is changing constantly and it is important to always be with or even ahead of trends. PORTER’S GENERIC STRATEGIES24 In business there are many jokes about how client can choose the product and there are three possibilities: cheap and good but slow, fast and good but expensive, cheap and fast but inferior.25The lesson behind this is that we cannot get everything at once. We cannot provide cheap, very good quality and original product at the same time. This is why we have 21 Quotation: http://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/newSTR_66.htm 22 http://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/newTMC_10.htm 23 Data taken from official website 24 http://www.learnmarketing.net/generic.htm 25 http://www.sixside.com/fast_good_cheap.asp - 13 - | P a g e
to choose one specialty and focus on it, to compete with other firms. Model, which helps us to define it, is called Porter’s generic strategies. We have three main areas to choose. Company can either do cost leadership – which is providing very cheap prices compared with competitors and no differentiation (like e.g. Ikea). Differentiation is going for original, not mass products, with prices little bit higher. The third is cost focus and is usually involving niche market, but not necessarily. Usually when company is following cost focus strategy is choosing niche market and focusing on low prices within. Fourth option is differentiation focus. This strategy is based on differentiated products in niche markets (usually). Sometimes, company does choose all of these four and then is placed in grey area, which on this chart is called ‘stuck in the middle’. That means that company has no advantage over competitors, which is the worst scenario for company. Figure 4, Porter's Generic strategic model Offered by UK FM Group Ltd. products and services are indicating their strategy is differentiation. They do not offer the lowest prices in the country or on the market in general, but, on the other hand, they are not the most expensive ones either. Products they offer are similar to other products offered on the market, but what differentiates them is the service and additional features they provide. They do have many features in their service, like installation, maintenance, guarantee, etc. and moreover they do have highly skilled workers, engineers, on every position, and this is huge advantage over competitors. - 14 - | P a g e
Additionally, they offer some kind of financial help – they got proposal of wide range of ‘energy efficiency finance schemes through a variety of funding partners’.26 This gives even higher value to value proposition they have for customers, because beside core product and service they also make it easier for buyers to purchase the product in financial terms. SWOT and Polish investment environment This section is placed between internal and external analysis, because it will include some models that entail both types. Moreover, I will place here some facts about Polish investment environment, e.g. how easy is to open business in Poland, and is it worth to invest there, what is the advantage with other countries. SWOT FOR UK FM GROUP LTD. SWOT analysis is presented to give an overview of the company’s situation. Acknowledging the strengths shows what firm is good at, opportunities show where to go next, weaknesses give chance to improve ratings and threats let us prepare, or at least realise things we should be aware of and watch out for. SWOT is model used for both internal and external analyses and this is why it is placed in section between two mentioned ones. Table 3, SWOT for UK FM Group Ltd. Strengths Weaknesses Environmentally friendly solutions Financial situation of some of Energy saving products departments28 Money saving products Lack of international presence Very good quality Marketing and advertisement Customer oriented Great service Qualified workers Few departments Growth of the company27 One of the leaders in UK 26 http://www.ukfmrt.com/domestic/domestic/about/ 27 number of employees increased from 91 to 188 in just one year; based on numbers from Annual report 2012; 28 In 2012, Renewable technology department faced the loss of approximately 136 000 £. Also overall profits dropped in 2012; based on Annual report 2012. - 15 - | P a g e
Opportunities Threats International markets Many competitors New eco trends Price wars Improved advertising Change in trends Creating stronger and more Economic situation changes recognizable brand New technologies – new ways of heating UK FM Group Ltd. has very good position. Is one of the leading providers in UK, has wide range of products, amazing service and qualified workers. However, there are some weaknesses, like lack of presence on international markets. Eliminating this particular weakness will be also using opportunity of expansion on different territories. In this way, UK FM will be able to create stronger and more recognizable brand, what will bring more benefits for them. One of the possible markets is Poland. There are lot of information and statistics, which indicate that Poland is one of the best choices as place for investment and expansion. ‘Given the recent increase in energy costs and the impact on household budgets and consumer spending, it is not surprising that most Polish households have been looking for ways to cut their energy use. In a recent survey conducted by optimalenergy.pl, 82% of respondents in the south of the country said they regularly try to control their energy consumption and 98% of those said they have seen the results on reduced bills. In the north of the country, 78% of respondents said they try to save energy, and 67% of those said they believe they can lower their bills through their own energy-saving efforts. In central regions, 82% of respondents said they make efforts to save energy.’29 INVESTING IN POLAND On the graph it is visible, that Poland is very good country to invest. In the Global Competitiveness Index Score ranking from 2013 (which is created by World Economic Forum), out of 148 countries Poland held very high 42nd position. That indicates the conditions to open new business/ new department in this Eastern European country are more than good. Poland: Global Competitiveness Index Score 201330 29 Quote from Euromonitor International, Consumer Lifestyles in Poland, 2014 30 Figure from Euromonitor International, Business Environment Poland, 2014 - 16 - | P a g e
Figure 5, Competitiveness Level of Poland according to Euromonitor Poland is good place to invest because of many reasons. First is that it has lots of labour force. In Poland live nearly 40 millions of people. Out of this number 1.8 million of people are studying. What is more, every 10th student in Europe is Polish. Out of 1.8 million students, majority learns two or more languages. That shows how educated Polish nation is. One of the economic reasons may be that in Poland unemployment is relatively high (even 14% on January 201431), what means there is a lot of well-educated people that seek jobs. Additionally, the salaries grow slower than work force productivity, and therefore salaries are lower compared to most of the Western European countries. This is great opportunity for foreign investors. Moreover, every 2nd new opened job in Europe after crisis (2012) is opened in Poland. Investors can also find stability in Poland. Both economic and political. It was visible also during the crisis in 2012, when Poland was only country in European Union that was not in recession, but, even better, had positive growth.32 Additionally, Poland is European leader in home appliances, electronics and automotive.33 One more very important highlight about Poland is that according to United Nations Poland holds 6th place for the most attractive location in the world and is 21st world’s largest economy.34 These information are the best advertisement for Poland, and with these two rankings there should be no doubt that Poland is really one of the best places to expand to. 31 http://www.tradingeconomics.com/poland/unemployment-rate 32 Graph and text from: http://www.edufeedr.net/pg/edufeedr/view_post/34/296659 33 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBbtig6-kFQ 34 http://www.santanderbreakthrough.co.uk/advice/distribution/exporting-poland - 17 - | P a g e
Figure 6, Opening business in Poland factors. Appendix nr1 In figure number 6 there are listed few of the features of opening business in Poland. At the very top of the table we can see that in another ranking from 2014, out of 189 countries, Poland was rated 45th in terms of how easy is to make business there. That is another classification in which Poland shows its potential. Next listed thing is how many days it takes to start a business and number of procedures it takes to make it. In Poland you can open business in 30 days with 4 proceedings. When business wants to (or requires) place build from the scratch, then it should be taken under consideration, that number of days it take to get construction permit in Poland is 161 days and number of proceedings is 16. Another listed characteristic is number of hours that manufacturer workers spend daily at work, which is usually 8 and the number of annual pay days for worker who has been over 1 year in a company is 20 days. Here comes tax data. Total tax rate is 41.6% of income, labour tax is 26% and the VAT is 23%. What is important to know, corporate tax (CIT – corporate income tax) in Poland is 19% compared to 24% in UK.35 Time to export things takes 17 days, and to import to Poland takes 14 days. Costs of importing are slightly lower than exporting (1025 for import and 1050 for export in US dollars per container). Last figure on the list is how much, in a scale from 0-10, country is protecting theirs investors. Poland got a high score 6, which shows that investors are in good position and are protected. External analysis External analysis is prepared in order to analyse the environment of the business and the country. It can be done domestically, for United Kingdom, or externally, for country to which business wants to expand. In this report I will focus on foreign environment, due to fact that it is more useful and logic to have an overview of market, to which company wants to move in to. External analysis consists of PEST analysis, Porter’s 5 forces, supply chain, market overview and customer buying behaviour. 35 Data found in document: ’Taxation trends in European Union’ 2013. - 18 - | P a g e
PEST PEST is model which analyses features of four main areas of environment. These areas are Politics, Economics, Social, and Technology. Each of these four blocks covers different subjects. For example Politics includes laws and restrictions, what type of country it is: monarchist, democratic, etc. Economics sums up the current economic situation like unemployment, currency, imports, exports, labour costs, financial situation, growth of the country, etc. Social factors are presenting trends among customers, facts about society and culture. Technology covers all discoveries, level of usage of new technologies, predictions about using them, etc. PEST model normally is focused on one country, and if there is need to analyse two, it’s done separately. In my report I compare some of the facts about Poland with UK, so reader got, at least, little overview of the differences between these lands. Table 4, PEST analysis of UK and Poland Political Both countries are in EU, so there will be no political problems. Laws are common for both counties, due to EU membership, so there are no (or only minor) differences, what will make processes easy. Poland is stable country in terms of politics. Economic Higher labour costs in UK than in PL Demand for energy saving products is growing, especially on heat pumps (both) Financial situation of Poles is getting better Poland is one of the fastest growing EU countries in past few years( in terms of economy) In the next few years Poland may take EURO as currency. ‘More than 90% of Poland’s electricity requirements comes from coal-fired power stations but the government wants to cut this to less than 60% by 2030. Rising demand for power will be met by nuclear facilities and renewable sources.’36 Unemployment in UK is lower than in Poland. Social Polish society is getting more focused on acting sustainably and being ‘green’ and ecological. Poles are expected to spend more money in 201437 Every 10th student in Europe is polish. Majority of students in Poland learns two or more languages. 36 Passport: Poland Country Profile; pdf 37 Passport: Poland Country Profile; pdf - 19 - | P a g e
Technology Poland is slowly heading towards new, renewable technologies Poland is European leader in home appliances, electronics and automotive. ‘The EU and Poland are working together to develop a solar- energy network’38 PEST is little sum up of things that were mentioned before in this reports. Reader can mark once again that Poland is stable country, also in EU like UK, economically stable with increase in income of Poles and lower labour costs than in United Kingdom, but higher unemployment. Social features present highly educated nation with a lot of potential, and technologies reveal that Poland is heading towards new technologies and is willing not only to wait for them, but to explore them together with EU. PORTER’S 5 FORCES This model is great tool for analysing power of external factors, like suppliers, buyers, and new competitors. There are signs that this view is rapidly changing, however, as the power of customer service as a potential means of differentiation is increasingly recognized. In more and more markets the power if the brand has declined and customers are more willing to accept substitutes.’39 1. Threat of substitute product Competitive 2. Threat of 4. Bargain new power of rivaly entrants suppliers 3. Bargain power of customers 38 Passport: Poland country Pulse; pdf 39 ‘Logistics and supply chain management’ Martin Christopher; Third edition - 20 - | P a g e
Threat of substitute product exists in every business and branch. Here substitute products can be used till now sources of heating. However, they are more expensive, and are not environmentally friendly, so the value proposition is completely different in this example. We cannot eliminate the risk of substitution completely, because ‘the old’ product has been for a long time and many people is still using it due to habits, fear of new technologies or prejudices. Though, I would still risk statement that there is no substitution with the value proposition air and ground heat pumps have. Threat of new entrants is medium. Barriers are medium. As barrier we can count specific knowledge in engineering field, time to open the business, which in this case is not short, because of obtaining all approvals for selling specific appliances and certificates, money to invest into it, where it has to be considered that these products are quite expensive. So barriers exist, but are not impossible to overcome, what can indicate e.g. increasing number of competitors on heat pump market. Answer will be that there is medium threat of new entrants, but only in monopoly situation there is, almost, no threat. In any other business there is medium or high threat of new competitors, which in natural things on market. Bargain power of customers. Buyers can’t drive prices easily. Not at present time at least. Their price sensitivity is small, because people who invest into new solution are usually people who care more about other factors than price. New technologies cost always more than old, not ecological solutions. Therefore currently the buyers do not have big power, however, if the competition and number of buyers will increase significantly, the business can move into price wars, what will cause bigger power of customers. Now it is not the case, so the power of customers is small. Bargain power of suppliers. In this case there is no bargain power of suppliers, because there are a lot of suppliers of these materials and the number will probably increase. Additionally it will be easy to change from one supplier to another at no costs, therefore power does not exists, or even if, is very, very small. To sum up, the competitive rivalry is on medium level. In conclusion the UK FM Group LTD. is in good position to enter the market. SUPPLY CHAIN This is commonly known, simple supply chain. It consists of suppliers, purchasing raw materials, production, quality inspection, delivery and end consumer. - 21 - | P a g e
Suppliers Purchasing Quality Delivery of raw Production Sales Customer inspection products materials First company contacts suppliers, and purchases raw materials. Sometimes companies by ready product, to which they add some kind of value. Normally, however, firm will buy raw materials to create product themselves. After purchase and delivery of materials goes production process followed by quality inspection. This is very important steep, because here we can spot defective units and eliminate them, so they will not be sold to customers, what, if happen in big quantity, will make clients unpleased, lower company’s good image and may even cause losing some of the customers. Additionally, it gives company a chance to improve their production processes. Next steps are sales and delivery of products to mid- seller or straight to consumer. Now product reached end of the supply chain. Supply chain is not only going into one direction. The process is influenced very much by end chain, which is in this case customer. When company gets feedback from clients, it is wise to use it, by implementing changes in order to improve. Therefore the feedback from customer will go all the way backwards to the supplier, if there is a need for it. There are many variations of supply chains. Here is supply chain model, which main goal is to help companies to develop supply chains models. Figure 7, supply chain model with 3 pillars. Appendix nr2 In this model (appendix number 2) we can distinguish three pillars, which are operational, transactional and organizational supply chain. All three of them have got a goal, and depending on needs, company can focus on one of them, or if it is really necessary, implement all of them. Model can be found in appendixes. MARKET OVERVIEW Market overview will be analysis of Polish market, which will include market structure, market trends. Market position will not be used, because lack of presence UK FM Group Ltd on polish market. - 22 - | P a g e
MARKET STRUCTURE40 Table 5, Market structure Comparing Market types Another Type of Number of Kind of Barriers to name for Special traits market Producers competition entry Firms Monopoly No entry One None Price-setter Only one firm possible Firms can Primarily Medium collude and Oligopoly A few non-price N/A barriers behave as competition monopolist Non-price Product Monopolistic competition; Many Low barriers Price-maker differentiation competition price and branding competition Perfectly Prefect Price A great many No barriers Price-taker elastic competition competition demand At this moment, market structure of heat pumps is closest to oligopoly. There are not so many providers, number of people, who want to buy it, is somewhat high and still growing, but not too high, the entry barriers exist. One of the most important barriers is highly educated group of workers. The competition is not based on price wars, due to the fact, that every, even small change in price of one of the suppliers will have immediate influence on all the others and therefore no company will make changes in prices before considering it and consulting with others. What characterize UK FM Group Ltd is existence of some medium barriers, number of competitors is high, but compared to, for example, number of competitors in fashion industry the number of competitors for heat pump market is relatively small, price wars are not implemented yet, number of customers is growing, and workers are highly skilled and educated. MARKET TRENDS In recent years polish heat pumps sales noted very high increases. In 2012 the growth was as high as 20% and the number of heat pumps was equal 12 650 units sold. Actually growth 40 Figure from: http://mrshearingeconomics.weebly.com/market-structures.html - 23 - | P a g e
since year 2006 is impressive. From 2006 Polish heat pumps market grew almost five times in just 4 years. Sales of heat pumps in Poland in years 2006-201041 Figure 8, Sales of heat pumps in Poland 2006-2010 What is more, predictions show that till year 2016 number of sold heat pumps should reach 16000 per year. It is trend, which will continue on going, because of change in Polish mind- set. They finally start to see benefits of air and ground heat pumps and this shift is visible in number of sold products. 42 CUSTOMER’S BUYING BEHAVIOUR Customers in all sectors have got their own favourite time in the year, when they do specific shopping. In case of heat pumps it is October and November. 43 Customers pay attention to price, very close to quality, but are very open minded, when it comes to source of the product, what means they do not mind if product is domestic or foreign.44 Clients at the current moment are more focused on quality than price. However we cannot forget that price is also very relevant for them, and it will be more and more, along with growth of the heat pump market and increased number of competitors. Polish consumers do not have preferences about the origin of the product, what is good news for companies from abroad. 41 Figure from presentation about ‘Polish market of Heat pumps’ from Międzynarodowe Targi Instalacyjne - INSTALACJE 2010, Poznań 26 - 29 IV 2010. 42 http://www.worldpumps.com/view/34479/polish-heat-pump-market-upsurge/ 43 http://www.worldpumps.com/view/34479/polish-heat-pump-market-upsurge/ 44 http://export.gov/Poland/doingbusinessinpoland/index.asp - 24 - | P a g e
Cultural differences45 Cultural differences are also very important aspect to analyse. Knowledge about them gives advantage for the company, because it allows adjusting strategy to these conditions and some unwritten rules. Normally to do this will be used model presented by Geert Hofstede. However I will use expanded, more detailed model identified and presented by Fons Trompenaars and Charles Hampden-Turner. This model is called seven dimensions. Model differentiates fourteen features in seven dimensions. In every dimension there are two features, but country can only by classified with one. It means that country is described in seven dimensions by seven features. Country have got to choose universalism versus particularism, individualism versus collectivism, specific versus diffuse, neutral versus emotional, achievement versus ascription, sequential time versus synchronous time, internal direction versus outer direction. Universalism versus particularism is choosing between the law and the relationships. In universal country, everything is happening along with rules and is solely based on them. There are no exceptions from them and everyone has to follow them. In particular one, rules are not that important as human relations, so things are solved differently, depending on situation. Circumstances can change, so do solutions to situations. Individualism versus collectivism. In individualistic country people can live in a way they think is the best, do not have to think about others. It is not required from them in any way other than morale. Citizens are responsible for themselves. In collective country, there is group responsibility. People are not as free in making own choices and mistakes as in individualistic land. Specific versus diffuse. In specific country citizens focus on professional site of work, and not on building relations with co-workers. Work life is more important than any relationships. In diffuse land people pay equal attention to relationships and work in professional life. They spend social time with colleges and are in deeper relations than purely work ones. Neutral versus emotional. Neutral means people are not bringing any emotions or feelings to business. If it is negotiation or making business deal everything is calm and neutral. In emotional countries people express feelings and emotions at work, during negotiations and business deals. Workers show when they are angry, happy, sad, excited, joyful, disappointed. 45 Theoretic part of this section has been done with use of two sources: http://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/seven-dimensions.htm and ‘Seven Dimensions of Culture’ pdf. - 25 - | P a g e
Achievement versus ascription. Countries where people judge others by their accomplishments and work are achievement countries. There people are not discriminated because of the social status or other independent on person factors. On the other side we can find countries where people judge by place of birth, status, gender, connections. It is very hard to change the image, when one got a label, even if accomplishments are very impressive. Sequential time versus synchronous time. Countries which are very focused on order, planning, clean schedules, punctuality, and selectivity of tasks done at once are sequential. These countries are very concentrated on order. Synchronous countries are very flexible, adjustable, multitasking and handling few projects at once is common thing, but also see how valid is to be punctual. Internal versus outer direction. When people know, or think they know that they are capable of influencing environment and are able to make changes in it, when are open to show there is a conflict and to talk about it, and are in charge of their experience, these people are following internal direction. When people are not changing environment, because they think they cannot and are dependent on it, are afraid to cause open conflicts and usually hide them, and are unsecure and need to be guided, these people follow outer direction. POLAND IN SEVEN DIMENSIONS OF CULTURE46 Poland is country similar to United Kingdom, but also very different. They had different histories, UK did not have to face communism as Poland did, and they got different realities and cultures. But even though, there are many similarities between them. Poland is universal country, because they follow rules more than relationships. However it is not uncommon to use connections to overcome some obstacles. Poland is also very individualistic. People focus on themselves and not on common good and wealth. It is very hard to gain attention of other people in matters that are important, especially if they require some sacrifices, even small as time and presence. Polish people think how to make it better for them and are very jealous, too. This country is also specific. Normally people have their own groups of friends and with them spending time after work, not with co-workers and work relations are not developed very much. However from time to time Poles are having social time with colleges from work and it is also fine. 46 Chosen types were based on http://knowmecct.oncampus.de/loop/Development_of_Trompenaars'_cultural_dimensions, and own knowledge - 26 - | P a g e
Poland is neutral. Polish people will not express their feeling about work towards managers and people who are up on the leader positions. They will express them to family, friends and even co-workers, but not to people who actually can have an impact on it. Poland is trying to make shift from achievement to ascription focus, but is still more ascription than achievement country. Mainly because of many prejudges. It matters from which site of Poland you are, where you were going to school, what was your parents and your social status, etc. In the business world it is however more and more visible, that people care more about achievement and abilities than origin. Background, on the other hand will be factor that will always count. At work Polish people are more strict than flexible. Punctuality, planning and executing planned tasks is more important than flexibility. There is no place for creativity.47 Tasks are given and it is required to fulfil them. This is why Poland is sequential. Poland is internal, but I would say it is both. Many people believe that they got influence on environment and on their own experience. Nonetheless they do not change it, even if they are not satisfied, because they think that they do not have other choice. So on the one hand they think they do have impact on what is happening around, but on the other they do not use it as often as they would like to or as they should. To visualise it, in table will be shown Poland’s and UK’s 7 dimensions. Table 6, Comparison of cultural characteristics of Poland and UK Poland UK Universal Universal Individualistic Individualistic Specific Specific Neutral Neutral Ascription Achievement Sequential Synchronic Internal/External Internal To sum up, cultural differences are not very big. Anyway it is very useful and important to know them, in order to be able to run profitable business smoothly. 47 Of course it is very general. In jobs that require creativity and innovation it is not the case. Here, however, I will focus on jobs like shopping assistant, accountant, and company worker. - 27 - | P a g e
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