HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 - SPEECH AT THE HDS/L PRESS CONFERENCE ON MARCH 12th, 2018 IN DÜSSELDORF
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Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 SPEECH AT THE HDS/L PRESS CONFERENCE ON MARCH 12th, 2018 IN DÜSSELDORF Carl-August Seibel Chairman Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry Dear Ladies and Gentlemen, The good economic climate also has an impact on the German shoe industry. According to information from the Federal Statistics Office, sales of German shoe manufacturers with at least 50 employees increased by 5.9 percent, going from 2.7 billion to 2.9 billion euros. Companies recorded a 6.7 percent increase in the employment figures, reaching 14,762. Foreign trade also experienced a significant increase in 2017. Last year, Germany exported 280 million pairs of shoes, equivalent to a 9.8 percent increase. HDS/L managing director Manfred Junkert will explain to you in detail the current shoe industry statistics. Everybody talks about the term digitalization. Although partially overused and even rated as exaggerated by futurologists, the term describes like no other the technological changes and resulting requirements for companies. Sales channels must be rebalanced with the platform economy. Producers are not only product manufacturers, but they must also take care of data, logistics, services and evaluations in this economy. Nonetheless, of all sales channels, retailers are still the most important channel. For this reason, closer cooperation with retailers is in demand: The German shoe industry supports specialized retailers in the digitalization of business processes. This is reflected in the various projects of the industry and stationary specialized retailers. Thus, the sector solution is currently being implemented at raw electronic accounting by the industry, ANWR, SABU and the service provider raw Rechen-Anlage West GmbH. This electronic accounting solution is not only cheaper than paper invoices but also offers legal security. Among other things, it is characterized by easier handling for the industry and retailers. The retailer’s incoming invoices are recorded in a centralized location and configured in a legally compliant retailer archive. However, retailers that are not EDI-capable can also be included, since only a web browser and e-mail are needed to access the portal. This simplification has massively increased the acceptance of electronic accounting among retailers. The digitalization of the sales channels also changes product data requirements and their meaning. As an industry, in order to offer retailers a centralized control of product data, the German shoe industry is currently supporting the expansion of a centralized product database through the HDS/L. In this content society, the HDS/L will represent the interests of the industry as a strategic partner. Through this database, retailers will receive top quality article information, marketing materials and product photos as quickly as possible. Download: http://www.hdsl.eu/Downloads-en
Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry The changes brought about in the economy by digitalization also place new demands on the political system and create new regulations. The European General Data Protection Regulation becomes effective on May 25, 2018. New information, reporting and documentation obligations as well as the establishment of an operational data protection appointee are the result for all companies. To avoid fines of up to 4 percent of worldwide annual sales, the HDS/L recommends taking advantage of the remaining time to prepare for the General Data Protection Regulation before it takes effect. There are also new basic legal conditions in the field of geoblocking. In May 2015, the EU Commission presented its Digital Single Market Strategy in order to create a uniform internal market from the 28 markets of the individual EU member states in the area of the digital economy. While implementing this strategy, European institutions agreed on ending the geoblocking for consumers in November 2017. Now, providers are no longer allowed to block or limit customer access to their online interface due to their nationality or place of residence. This poses new challenges for producers with a view to the existing sales structures. However, not only the German shoe industry is in upheaval, but also Germany’s political system. The 2017 parliamentary elections resulted in a Bundestag with six parties, which dramatically hindered the formation of a new government. Exploratory discussions about a coalition consisting of the CDU/CSU, FDP and Greens collapsed after almost four weeks. Finally, after tough negotiations, the coalition agreement for a Grand Coalition was also accepted by the SPD in the members’ decision. The coalition agreement decided between the CDU, CSU and SPD revealed in many points an imbalance towards more redistribution and less market economy. This becomes especially clear in the structuring of the energy transition and the future topic of digitalization. Furthermore, a clear commitment for R&D tax incentives is missing. We support the commitment for a strong European Union, paired with the rejection of protectionism. It is now necessary for the new old government to resume work as quickly as possible in order to make up for lost time and take measures to strengthen Germany as an industrial location. Press contact: Dr. Claudia Schulz Phone +49 69 829741-10 bund@hdsl.eu Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry Reinhardtstraße 14 – 16 The spoken word applies. 10117 Berlin HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 Page 2
Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 SPEECH AT THE HDS/L PRESS CONFERENCE ON MARCH 12th, 2018 IN DÜSSELDORF Manfred Junkert Managing Director Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry • Strong domestic business for the German shoe industry • Employment increase • Export increases in the European markets Sales and employment trend According to the information provided by the Federal Statistical Office, sales of German shoe manufacturers having at least 50 employees increased by 5.9 percent in 2017, going from 2.7 billion to 2.9 billion euros. The sales growth is based on domestic business, which increased to 2.3 billion euros in 2017, an 8.2 percent increase. On the other hand, the significance of foreign markets for the German shoe industry decreased. Whereas sales abroad reached approximately 595 million euros in 2016, companies achieved foreign sales of 580 million euros in 2017, which corresponds to a drop of 2.6 percent. This means that in 2017 the share of foreign business in total sales decreased as in the previous year, specifically from 20.7 to 18.4 percent. Employment also reflects the positive trend in domestic business. Here, as in previous years, the number of employees rose. Thus, in the shoe industry, the employment figure went up by 6.7 percent and reached 14,762. However, the lack of skilled workers in the sector is becoming increasingly noticeable. In this year‘s HDS/L survey, the participating companies reported that it has become noticeably harder to find skilled workers for the areas of research & development and IT. One third of companies also indicated problems in securing skilled production workers. These areas, however, are essential for the German shoe industry to drive innovations and corporate digitalization forward. Prices Producer prices for shoes rose an average of one percent in 2017. The increase was higher than in clothing, but lower than in leather goods (clothing: 0.1 percent; leather goods: 2.1 percent). Total consumer prices increased by an average of 1.8 percent in 2017, while consumer prices for shoes increased by 2.3 percent. Download: http://www.hdsl.eu/Downloads-en
Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry Exports Compared to 2016, the number of exported shoe pairs from Germany rose by 9.8 percent in 2017, going from 255 million pairs to 280 million pairs. The most important buyer countries in 2017 were France (+19.6 percent, reaching 37.8 million pairs), Poland (+21.0 percent, reaching 35.7 million pairs) and the Netherlands (-13.7 percent, reaching 26.3 million pairs). The most dynamic and important export markets for the German shoe industry in 2017 were Italy and Great Britain. Thus, 15.1 million pairs of shoes were exported to Italy, which corresponds to a 40.5 percent increase. In 2017, 18.2 million pairs of shoes were exported from Germany to the United Kingdom (+21.5 percent). In 2016, 221 million pairs of shoes were exported from Germany to the countries of the European Union, which represented a share of 86.4 percent of all German shoe exports. This share dropped by 2.1 percentage points in 2017, down to 84.3 percent, with a simultaneous increase of the absolute number of exported shoes in EU member states to 236 million pairs. These figures illustrate the considerable significance of the European internal market for the German shoe industry. Outside of the EU, increases of shoe exports to the USA can be seen. In 2017, 7 million pairs of shoes were exported to the USA, a 14.7 percent increase compared to the previous year. The average price of a shoe exported from Germany rose from 19.31 euros to 22.04 euros in 2017, a 14.2 percent increase. The export figures show that the sneaker hype also continued in 2017. For textile upper shoes, exports grew by 17.9 percent compared to the previous year. The number of exported textile upper shoes rose from 85 million pairs to 101 million pairs. An especially dynamic development was seen in the export business with textile upper sports shoes, where an export growth from 22.2 percent to 41 million pairs was recorded. The growing international demand for shoes from German manufacturers is seen in leather upper shoes. Whereas 73 million pairs were exported from Germany in 2016, the export of leather upper shoes increased by 15 percent in 2017 to 84 million pairs. Imports After stagnating import figures in 2016 compared to 2015, the number of imported shoes rose by 3.5 percent in 2017, going from 669 million pairs to 692 million pairs. The largest shoe importer, as in previous years, was China with a share of 46.9 percent of all shoes imported into Germany. In 2011, the share of shoe imports from China in Germany was still 55 percent. In 2017, Germany imported 324 million pairs of shoes from China. Thus, shoe imports from China increased by 3.6 percent compared to the previous year. Additional shoe importers important for Germany are Vietnam (+11.5 percent, reaching 109 million pairs), Indonesia (+9.3 percent, reaching 31 million pairs) and Italy (+5.8 percent, reaching 28 million pairs). Strong import increases were seen for Portugal (+15.7 percent), Spain (+11 percent) and France (+8.5 percent). As in exports, the importance of textile upper shoes has also grown in imports. In 2017, 41.6 percent of all shoes imported into Germany had a textile upper (+8.9 percent, reaching 288 million pairs). With textile upper sports shoes, the imported quantity rose from 77 million pairs to 88 million pairs, a 14.7 percent increase. A stronger demand for foreign leather upper shoes was observed in Germany in 2017. For this type of shoe, the imported quantity rose by 4.6 percent and reached 187 million pairs. Most of the imported leather upper shoes are street shoes (+6.9 percent, reaching 140 million pairs). The average price for imported shoes also rose by 3.4 percent in 2017 compared to 2016, and reached 14.35 euros. HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 Page 2
Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry Outlook for 2018 The German shoe industry is cautiously optimistic for 2018 in spite of the constantly changing basic political and economic conditions. According to a HDS/L survey, roughly 60 percent of the companies surveyed are counting on an increasing sales trend. The companies that participated in the survey expect medium single- digit sales growth. The most current economic report of the ifo Institute confirms this outlook. Accordingly, shoe producers foresee a somewhat more favorable business development in the following six months compared to the previous months. In order to do justice to these developments, two thirds of the companies that participated in the HDS/L survey are planning domestic investments, whereas every third company intends to invest in other EU countries. 80 percent of the planned investments are replacement investments. The innovation pressure is also reflected in the investment figures. Thus, roughly 18 percent of companies planned rationalization investments in 2016. On the other hand, 33 percent of companies in the HDS/L survey reported that they were planning rationalization investments in 2017. Press contact: Dr. Claudia Schulz Phone +49 69 829741-10 bund@hdsl.eu Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry Reinhardtstraße 14 – 16 Source: Federal Statistical Office, 2018 10117 Berlin The spoken word applies. HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 Page 3
Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry Footwear industry: Key figures Companies with 1 Change vs. previous year more than 50 employees 2016 39 0.0% 2017 36 -7.6% 2 Employees 2016 13,837 7.4% 2017 14,762 6.7% 3 Gross wages and salaries (in million €) 2016 527 9.8% 2017 584 10.8% 4 Hours workes (in thousands) 2016 24,566 8.4% 2017 25,563 4.0% 5 Total turnover (in million €) 2016 2,777 5.9% 2017 2,941 5.9% 6 Domestic turnover (in million €) 2016 2,181 7.9% 2017 2,360 8.2% 7 Foreign turnover (in million €) 2016 595 -0.6% 2017 580 -2.5% 8 Producer prices (Index, 2010 = 100) Clothing 2017 112.7 0.1% Leather goods 2017 114.4 2.1% Shoes 112.3 1.0% 9 Consumer prices (Index, 2010 = 100) Shoes 2017 110.1 2.3% Clothing 2017 108.2 1.3% Total 2017 109.3 1.8% FOREIGN TRADE Annual Annual Annual value in € Foreign Trade Pairs percentage percentage Price / pair percentage change 1,000 change change Export 2016 255,888,358 7.4% 4,941,632 16.4% 19.31 € 8.2% 2017 280,855,614 9.8% 6,191,858 25.3% 22.05 € 14.2% Import 2016 669,177,551 2.1% 9,286,805 5.2% 13.88 € 2.9% 2017 692,729,426 3.5% 9,937,715 7.0% 14.35 € 3.4% HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 Source: Federal Statistical Office, 2018
Federal Association of the German Footwear and Leather Goods Industry Footwear Kennziffern EXPORTS industry: Schuhindustrie Key figures IMPORTS HDS/L Press info March 12th, 2018 Source: Federal Statistical Office, 2018
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