Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 - Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention ...

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Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 - Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention ...
Greater Sudbury Local Immigration
  Partnership Presentation Part 2

Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and
                   Retention Strategies

          Christina Zefi, Research Analyst (Sudbury)
Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 - Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention ...
Agenda
1.   Introduction
2.   Re-Cap
3.   Migration Trends
4.   Recent News in Immigration
5.   Attraction & Retention Strategies
6.   Conclusion
7.   Discussion
Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 - Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention ...
Introduction
What is Northern Policy Institute?
Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 - Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention ...
Introduction

What is Northern Policy Institute?

Northern Policy Institute is a think tank that conducts independent policy work, to
provide evidence-based solutions to sustain and grow Northern Ontario.

• Independent – authors are free from interference from everyone, including us

• Non-partisan – we do not take “sides”

• Evidence based – we collect, measure and interpret data

• IN the North – we deal with local, regional, provincial, national and international
  issues from a northern perspective
Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 - Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention ...
Re-Cap
Why does Greater Sudbury Need Migration?
Re-Cap
The population in                                               The dependency
Greater Sudbury                    The labour force is          ratio will increase:
   is stagnant,                       expected to               more dependents
 declining, and                         decline.                 and less people
      ageing.                                                        working.

                    What are the Socioeconomic Effects?

                    • An increasing dependency ratio
                      impacts consumption, saving rates,
                      and investment
                    • A lower tax base, which will affect the
                      delivery of necessary services
                    • A decrease in productivity and a skills
                      shortage as workers retire
Re-Cap
Immigration & Migration: A Source of Population Growth
                                                           NET MIGRATION - GREATER SUDBURY
1500

1000

 500

   0

 -500

-1000
        2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016

                    Net interprovincial migration        Net intraprovincial migration         Net international migration         Net migration

Source: author's calculations based on Statistics Canada. Table 051-0063 - Components of population growth by census division, sex and age group for the
period from July 1 to June 30, based on the Standard Geographical Classification (SGC) 2011, annual (persons)
Migration Trends
How is Greater Sudbury doing?
Immigration and Migration
Greater Sudbury had the highest number of immigrants in the 11
northern districts
                              NUMBER OF IMMIGRANTS, PER DISTRICT, 2011-2016

   Thunder Bay                                                    760

        Kenora                           235

    Parry Sound                   140
                                                                                              From 2011-2016, of
       Nipissing                          260
                                                                                                  the 472,170
     Manitoulin        40
                                                                                                immigrants that
       Algoma                                     400
                                                                                              arrived in Ontario,
     Rainy River       50
                                                                                              3,305 came to the
    Timiskaming              95
                                                                                               northern districts.
       Sudbury          60

     Cochrane                             265

Greater Sudbury                                                                 1000

                   0               200          400     600       800         1000     1200

Source: Statistics Canada, 2016 Population Census
Immigration and Migration
Many immigrants stay in the community and Greater Sudbury has
the highest retention
                      PERCENTAGE OF IMMIGRANTS WHO HAVE BEEN LIVING IN THEIR COMMUNITY FOR MORE THAN 5 YEARS, BY DISTRICT, 2016
         95.0%

                      91.9%
         90.0%
                                                                                                                                                     89.2%
                                    88.6%                                                 88.6%
                                                                                                                                         87.6%
                                                                              86.4%
         85.0%
                                                                                                                84.9%

                                                                82.7%
                                                  81.6%                                             81.4%
         80.0%

                                                                                                                              78.7%

         75.0%

         70.0%
                     Greater     Cochrane       Sudbury      Timiskaming   Rainy River   Algoma   Manitoulin   Nipissing   Parry Sound   Kenora   Thunder Bay
                     Sudbury

Source : Author’s calculations based on Statistics Canada, 2016 Population Census
Immigration and Migration
Although Greater Sudbury is doing great, there is still work to be done
                       DEMOGRAPHIC DEPENDENCY RATIO (DDR)
     0.75

     0.70

     0.65

     0.60

     0.55

     0.50

     0.45

     0.40

                        Greater Sudbury      Ontario      Canada

                                                                   Source: Author’s
                              (Population 0-14 + Population 65+)   calculations based
                                                                   on Ontario Ministry of
                      DDR =                                        Finance population
                                   (Population 15-64)              projections – Spring
                                                                   2016
Replacement Demand
Not Enough Workers to Replace Those Who Will Retire
                    JOB VACANCIES IN NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO, NUMBER OF WORKERS REACHING RETIREMENT AGE BY 2021
                                                 AND GRADUATES BY OCCUPATION

                                                  Sales & service occupations

                                                   Management occupations

               Trades, transport & equipment operators & related occupations

              Natural resources, agriculture & related production occupations
                                                                                                                                                       UNDER
                                                                                                                                                       SUPPLY
                                      Occupations in manufacturing & utilities

                               Business, finance & administration occupations
                                                                                                                                                        OVER
                                                                                                                                                       SUPPLY
                                Occupations in art, culture, recreation & sport

                            Natural & applied sciences & related occupations

                                                          Health occupations

   Occupations in education, law & social, community & government services

                                                                                  0   1,000   2,000    3,000    4,000    5,000    6,000    7,000    8,000

                Number of worker who will reach 65 by 2021                  Total Number of Graduates, 2014              Number of Vacancies, 2015

Sources: Jarrod Sundmark, “Labour Market Alignment: Education in the North” Northern Policy Institute, based on Statistics Canada Job Vacancies and Wages Survey,
and CUDO/data provided by Colleges; Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011.
Why do Immigrants move?
     For different reasons
            PRIMARY REASON FOR CHOOSING DESTINATION (CMA)                                                   PRIMARY REASON FOR CHOOSING DESTINATION
                      Other                                                                                              (OUTSIDE TMV)
     Housing           13%
                                                                                                                           Other
       4%                                                                                                Business
                                                                                                                            8%
                                                                                                        Prospects
                                                                                                           6%
Lifestyle
   5%                                                                                               Lifestyle
                                                                                                       6%
                                                                                                                                   Presence of
Education                                               Presence of                                                                friends and
prospects                                               friends and                                                                    family
   5%                                                       family                           Education                                  36%
                                                             59%                             prospects
                                                                                                12%

       Job
    prospects
       14%                                                                                                 Job
                                                                                                        prospects
                                                                                                           32%

 Source: Longitudinal Survey of Immigrants to Canada, 2001 / Enquête longitudinale auprès des immigrants du Canada, 2001
Recent News in Immigration
             What’s new for 2018?
Recent News in Migration
The Ontario Immigration Act, 2015 came into effect
January 1, 2018
• For the Ontario Immigrants Nominee Program (OINP), the job offer
  streams are now a one stage application process and no longer require
  a pre-screen of the employer or position.

• The employer must submit a completed and signed employer form and
  through this, the employer attests that the OINP criteria has been met.

• The Act also creates a number of penalties for violations of the OINP. For
  example, penalties include both administrative and monetary up to
  $150,000 for each contravention of the OINP and bans from using the
  OINP.

• Ideally, with these changes, the process should be easier.
Recent News in Migration
Ontario announces increased allocation for 2018 OINP
• The OINP is now accepting 6,660 immigrants in 2018 (600 more than the 2017
  allocation), making it the largest in Canada.

• The OINP is accepting applications for the following streams: Employer job offers for
  Foreign Worker, International Student, and In-Demand Skills; Ontario’s express entry
  through human capital priorities, French-speaking skilled worker, and skilled trades; and
  through the corporate and entrepreneur stream.

• The OINP Notifications of Interest (NOI) will resume:

   • This allows for Ontario to search the federal express entry pool and select
     candidates in the federal skilled worker class and Canadian experience class for
     applicants who qualify for the human capital priorities stream.

   • Anyone who receives an NOI interest now has 45 days to submit their application.
Opportunity:
Taking Advantage of the OINP?

   Ontario can better utilize the OINP     Easier to Use!

           In 2016, Ontario only         With the new changes,
             selected 3.6% of             the utilization of the
         immigrants through the          OINP should be a more
          OINP while the rest of             simple process.
          Canada selected 39%
Attraction and Retention Strategies
   How can Greater Sudbury attract and retain more
                                         migrants?
Attraction Strategies
Pre-Migration

         Community Driven Immigration Initiative (Morden, Manitoba)

Pilot Project (2012)   Marketing Strategies        Program Steps       Exploratory Visit
o   Needs
o   Opportunities                             1.     Apply for Pilot
o   Recruitment
o   Attraction plans                                 Visit Morden
                                              2.
o   Community input
o   Integration
                                              3.     Apply for MPNP
o   Support
Attraction Strategies
Rural communities and growth

A case study done by the Rural Development Institute (Brandon University, 2015)
    “Identifying assets and making them the foundation for planning initiatives is more
  successful than starting a foundation based on problems and perceived deficiencies.”

 Asset-Based Approach     Growth Strategies            Growing Communities       Declining Communities

  o   Financial Capital   o   Retaining / Attracting    o Attracting /            o Health and Well-
                              People                      Retaining people
  o   Built Capital           Retaining / Attracting
                                                                                    Being
                          o                             o Attracting /
  o   Social Capital          Businesses                  Retaining Businesses
                                                                                  o Recreation
  o   Human Capital       o   Tourism
                                                        o Regional                o Culture
  o   Natural Capital     o   Regional Cooperation                                o Built assets
                          o   Community Capacity          Cooperation
  o   Cultural Capital    o   Health and Well-Being     o Social Capital          o Natural assets
  o   Political Capital   o   Recreation                o Political Capital       o Cultural capital
                          o   Culture
Attraction Strategies
A study done by Rural Development Institute:
Examples of Working Initiatives
                                      Retaining/Attracting
 Retaining/Attracting People                                        Regional Cooperation
                                           Businesses
 o Annual dinners to welcome
                                  o Main street revitalization;   o Establishing the
   new residents;
                                  o Bursaries for students to       cooperation itself;
 o International recruitment of
                                    learn skills and return       o Regional strategic
   immigrants and provision of
                                    home;                           planning;
   settlement services;
                                  o Incentive programs to         o Regional Economic
 o Development of housing
                                    attract customers or            Assessment Process;
   and housing incentives;
                                    support existing local        o Business retention and
   and
                                    businesses; and                 expansion strategy; and
 o Rebranding marketing
                                  o Low taxes.                    o Overseas immigration
   materials and marketing
                                                                    recruitment.
   the community at local,
   regional, provincial, and
   national tradeshows.
Attraction Strategies
Regionalism

                          Benefits of Regionalism
                        o Collaborate with other
                          municipalities in Northern
                          Ontario to market the region
                          nationally and regionally
                        o Advocate for provincial and
                          federal changes to
                          immigration policy to support
                          growth in Northern Ontario
                        o Share resources and ideas
Attraction Strategies
Secondary Migration

       Greater Sudbury
 o Great quality of life.
 o Beautiful, safe, and quiet city.
   Perfect for raising a family!
 o Many activities to do in both the
                                       Rural Employment
   winter and the summer.                   Initiative
 o Very vibrant and full of social
   events.
 o Close to many national parks –
   great way to explore Ontario!
 o Same amenities as any central
   city hub.
 o Cheaper cost of living.
Attraction Strategies
Building Partnerships            Various employers
                                   and industries

              Settlement
           service providers                           Post-Secondary
                                                         Institutions

          Between
     different levels of                               Economic
        government                                    Development
                               Chambers of Commerce     Officers
Retention Strategies
Immigrant Center Inclusion Approach
Retention Strategies
Engaging the Community and Local Businesses

Engaging the Community              Engaging Local Businesses

o Have town hall meetings to        o Engage with local businesses to
  discuss the need for newcomers.     understand their concerns with
o Involve the community in            hiring newcomers and find out
  coming up with attraction and       what can be done to mitigate
  retention ideas.                    these concerns.
o Debunk any negative ideologies    o Important to reach out and find
  about newcomers.                    out what jobs and skills need to
o The more involved the               be filled so that the attraction
  community is, the more              strategy can be targeted. The
  successful integration and          community, employer, and
  retention will be.                  newcomer will benefit from this.
Conclusion

     A targeted and            Strong partnerships
                                                       Northern Ontario should
 collaborative approach      between various parties
                                                        work together to talk
     works best when          should be made and
                                                       about broader initiatives
 attracting and retaining   constant communication
                                                         and join resources.
       newcomers.               is key for success.
Discussion Questions

1. What actors should be involved in the efforts of attracting and retaining newcomers?

2. What can be done to leverage the students in post-secondary institutions?

3. What challenges and opportunities are there currently when looking at attraction and

   retention strategies in Greater Sudbury?

4. How can we apply these attraction and retention strategies in Greater Sudbury?

5. If you had to imagine the perfect pilot program for a northern newcomers strategy, what

   would that look like?
Thank you. Merci. Miigwetch.

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