Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 - Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention ...
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Greater Sudbury Local Immigration Partnership Presentation Part 2 Immigration and Migration in Greater Sudbury: Attraction and Retention Strategies Christina Zefi, Research Analyst (Sudbury)
Agenda 1. Introduction 2. Re-Cap 3. Migration Trends 4. Recent News in Immigration 5. Attraction & Retention Strategies 6. Conclusion 7. Discussion
Introduction What is Northern Policy Institute? Northern Policy Institute is a think tank that conducts independent policy work, to provide evidence-based solutions to sustain and grow Northern Ontario. • Independent – authors are free from interference from everyone, including us • Non-partisan – we do not take “sides” • Evidence based – we collect, measure and interpret data • IN the North – we deal with local, regional, provincial, national and international issues from a northern perspective
Re-Cap The population in The dependency Greater Sudbury The labour force is ratio will increase: is stagnant, expected to more dependents declining, and decline. and less people ageing. working. What are the Socioeconomic Effects? • An increasing dependency ratio impacts consumption, saving rates, and investment • A lower tax base, which will affect the delivery of necessary services • A decrease in productivity and a skills shortage as workers retire
Re-Cap Immigration & Migration: A Source of Population Growth NET MIGRATION - GREATER SUDBURY 1500 1000 500 0 -500 -1000 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 Net interprovincial migration Net intraprovincial migration Net international migration Net migration Source: author's calculations based on Statistics Canada. Table 051-0063 - Components of population growth by census division, sex and age group for the period from July 1 to June 30, based on the Standard Geographical Classification (SGC) 2011, annual (persons)
Migration Trends How is Greater Sudbury doing?
Immigration and Migration Greater Sudbury had the highest number of immigrants in the 11 northern districts NUMBER OF IMMIGRANTS, PER DISTRICT, 2011-2016 Thunder Bay 760 Kenora 235 Parry Sound 140 From 2011-2016, of Nipissing 260 the 472,170 Manitoulin 40 immigrants that Algoma 400 arrived in Ontario, Rainy River 50 3,305 came to the Timiskaming 95 northern districts. Sudbury 60 Cochrane 265 Greater Sudbury 1000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Source: Statistics Canada, 2016 Population Census
Immigration and Migration Many immigrants stay in the community and Greater Sudbury has the highest retention PERCENTAGE OF IMMIGRANTS WHO HAVE BEEN LIVING IN THEIR COMMUNITY FOR MORE THAN 5 YEARS, BY DISTRICT, 2016 95.0% 91.9% 90.0% 89.2% 88.6% 88.6% 87.6% 86.4% 85.0% 84.9% 82.7% 81.6% 81.4% 80.0% 78.7% 75.0% 70.0% Greater Cochrane Sudbury Timiskaming Rainy River Algoma Manitoulin Nipissing Parry Sound Kenora Thunder Bay Sudbury Source : Author’s calculations based on Statistics Canada, 2016 Population Census
Immigration and Migration Although Greater Sudbury is doing great, there is still work to be done DEMOGRAPHIC DEPENDENCY RATIO (DDR) 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 Greater Sudbury Ontario Canada Source: Author’s (Population 0-14 + Population 65+) calculations based on Ontario Ministry of DDR = Finance population (Population 15-64) projections – Spring 2016
Replacement Demand Not Enough Workers to Replace Those Who Will Retire JOB VACANCIES IN NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO, NUMBER OF WORKERS REACHING RETIREMENT AGE BY 2021 AND GRADUATES BY OCCUPATION Sales & service occupations Management occupations Trades, transport & equipment operators & related occupations Natural resources, agriculture & related production occupations UNDER SUPPLY Occupations in manufacturing & utilities Business, finance & administration occupations OVER SUPPLY Occupations in art, culture, recreation & sport Natural & applied sciences & related occupations Health occupations Occupations in education, law & social, community & government services 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Number of worker who will reach 65 by 2021 Total Number of Graduates, 2014 Number of Vacancies, 2015 Sources: Jarrod Sundmark, “Labour Market Alignment: Education in the North” Northern Policy Institute, based on Statistics Canada Job Vacancies and Wages Survey, and CUDO/data provided by Colleges; Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011.
Why do Immigrants move? For different reasons PRIMARY REASON FOR CHOOSING DESTINATION (CMA) PRIMARY REASON FOR CHOOSING DESTINATION Other (OUTSIDE TMV) Housing 13% Other 4% Business 8% Prospects 6% Lifestyle 5% Lifestyle 6% Presence of Education Presence of friends and prospects friends and family 5% family Education 36% 59% prospects 12% Job prospects 14% Job prospects 32% Source: Longitudinal Survey of Immigrants to Canada, 2001 / Enquête longitudinale auprès des immigrants du Canada, 2001
Recent News in Immigration What’s new for 2018?
Recent News in Migration The Ontario Immigration Act, 2015 came into effect January 1, 2018 • For the Ontario Immigrants Nominee Program (OINP), the job offer streams are now a one stage application process and no longer require a pre-screen of the employer or position. • The employer must submit a completed and signed employer form and through this, the employer attests that the OINP criteria has been met. • The Act also creates a number of penalties for violations of the OINP. For example, penalties include both administrative and monetary up to $150,000 for each contravention of the OINP and bans from using the OINP. • Ideally, with these changes, the process should be easier.
Recent News in Migration Ontario announces increased allocation for 2018 OINP • The OINP is now accepting 6,660 immigrants in 2018 (600 more than the 2017 allocation), making it the largest in Canada. • The OINP is accepting applications for the following streams: Employer job offers for Foreign Worker, International Student, and In-Demand Skills; Ontario’s express entry through human capital priorities, French-speaking skilled worker, and skilled trades; and through the corporate and entrepreneur stream. • The OINP Notifications of Interest (NOI) will resume: • This allows for Ontario to search the federal express entry pool and select candidates in the federal skilled worker class and Canadian experience class for applicants who qualify for the human capital priorities stream. • Anyone who receives an NOI interest now has 45 days to submit their application.
Opportunity: Taking Advantage of the OINP? Ontario can better utilize the OINP Easier to Use! In 2016, Ontario only With the new changes, selected 3.6% of the utilization of the immigrants through the OINP should be a more OINP while the rest of simple process. Canada selected 39%
Attraction and Retention Strategies How can Greater Sudbury attract and retain more migrants?
Attraction Strategies Pre-Migration Community Driven Immigration Initiative (Morden, Manitoba) Pilot Project (2012) Marketing Strategies Program Steps Exploratory Visit o Needs o Opportunities 1. Apply for Pilot o Recruitment o Attraction plans Visit Morden 2. o Community input o Integration 3. Apply for MPNP o Support
Attraction Strategies Rural communities and growth A case study done by the Rural Development Institute (Brandon University, 2015) “Identifying assets and making them the foundation for planning initiatives is more successful than starting a foundation based on problems and perceived deficiencies.” Asset-Based Approach Growth Strategies Growing Communities Declining Communities o Financial Capital o Retaining / Attracting o Attracting / o Health and Well- People Retaining people o Built Capital Retaining / Attracting Being o o Attracting / o Social Capital Businesses Retaining Businesses o Recreation o Human Capital o Tourism o Regional o Culture o Natural Capital o Regional Cooperation o Built assets o Community Capacity Cooperation o Cultural Capital o Health and Well-Being o Social Capital o Natural assets o Political Capital o Recreation o Political Capital o Cultural capital o Culture
Attraction Strategies A study done by Rural Development Institute: Examples of Working Initiatives Retaining/Attracting Retaining/Attracting People Regional Cooperation Businesses o Annual dinners to welcome o Main street revitalization; o Establishing the new residents; o Bursaries for students to cooperation itself; o International recruitment of learn skills and return o Regional strategic immigrants and provision of home; planning; settlement services; o Incentive programs to o Regional Economic o Development of housing attract customers or Assessment Process; and housing incentives; support existing local o Business retention and and businesses; and expansion strategy; and o Rebranding marketing o Low taxes. o Overseas immigration materials and marketing recruitment. the community at local, regional, provincial, and national tradeshows.
Attraction Strategies Regionalism Benefits of Regionalism o Collaborate with other municipalities in Northern Ontario to market the region nationally and regionally o Advocate for provincial and federal changes to immigration policy to support growth in Northern Ontario o Share resources and ideas
Attraction Strategies Secondary Migration Greater Sudbury o Great quality of life. o Beautiful, safe, and quiet city. Perfect for raising a family! o Many activities to do in both the Rural Employment winter and the summer. Initiative o Very vibrant and full of social events. o Close to many national parks – great way to explore Ontario! o Same amenities as any central city hub. o Cheaper cost of living.
Attraction Strategies Building Partnerships Various employers and industries Settlement service providers Post-Secondary Institutions Between different levels of Economic government Development Chambers of Commerce Officers
Retention Strategies Immigrant Center Inclusion Approach
Retention Strategies Engaging the Community and Local Businesses Engaging the Community Engaging Local Businesses o Have town hall meetings to o Engage with local businesses to discuss the need for newcomers. understand their concerns with o Involve the community in hiring newcomers and find out coming up with attraction and what can be done to mitigate retention ideas. these concerns. o Debunk any negative ideologies o Important to reach out and find about newcomers. out what jobs and skills need to o The more involved the be filled so that the attraction community is, the more strategy can be targeted. The successful integration and community, employer, and retention will be. newcomer will benefit from this.
Conclusion A targeted and Strong partnerships Northern Ontario should collaborative approach between various parties work together to talk works best when should be made and about broader initiatives attracting and retaining constant communication and join resources. newcomers. is key for success.
Discussion Questions 1. What actors should be involved in the efforts of attracting and retaining newcomers? 2. What can be done to leverage the students in post-secondary institutions? 3. What challenges and opportunities are there currently when looking at attraction and retention strategies in Greater Sudbury? 4. How can we apply these attraction and retention strategies in Greater Sudbury? 5. If you had to imagine the perfect pilot program for a northern newcomers strategy, what would that look like?
Thank you. Merci. Miigwetch. www.northernpolicy.ca / NorthernPolicy northernpolicy @NorthernPolicy Northern Policy Monthly e- Institute newsletter
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