FINLAND SUPPLEMENT TO THE TRANSATLANTIC ECONOMY 2021 - Annual Survey of Jobs, Trade and Investment between the United States and Finland
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THE FINLAND SUPPLEMENT TO THE TRANSATLANTIC ECONOMY 2021 Annual Survey of Jobs, Trade and Investment between the United States and Finland Produced by
TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION Greetings from Amcham Finland3 Greetings from U.S. Embassy Finland4 Greetings from Ministry for Foreign Affairs Finland5 ANALYSIS Economic Relationship between the U.S. and Finland6 READER'S DIGEST Reader’s Digest: The Finnish-American Reader’s Digest to THE TRANSATLANTIC ECONOMY 2021 Report9 ECONOMIC FORECAST Economic Forecast for the U.S.11 Economic Forecast for Finland12 OVERVIEW Finland and The United States13 LAUNCHPAD USA Launchpad USA14 OPPORTUNITIES Opportunities for U.S.-Finland Cooperation & Business15 2
INTRODUCTION GREETINGS FROM AMCHAM FINLAND Alexandra Pasternak-Jackson, CEO The transatlantic economy remains the largest and wealthiest in the world, not just in terms of trade and investment, but also when it comes to data flows, digital content, and a burgeoning digital economy. In a time of unrelenting change, frequent disruption, and uncertainty, the deep relationships between the U.S. and the EU and the U.S. and Finland remains firm. We are each other’s most important commercial partners when it comes to services, trade, and investment. We share the key common values of democracy, rule of law, human rights, and a shared commitment to be a force of good towards a better future for our children and the generations after us. We are at a pivotal point in history, and promoting a positive and constructive transatlantic economy is our key to mutual growth and competitiveness. To highlight the importance of the economic relationship between the U.S. and Europe, Amcham Finland has co- sponsored the Transatlantic Economy Report, written by Joseph P. Quinlan and Dan Hamilton of SAIS at John Hopkins, and produced by AmCham EU and the U.S. Chamber, in cooperation with AmChams from Finland, Sweden, Ireland, Denmark, and Slovenia. For the first time ever, we offer the Finland Supplement to the Transatlantic Economy Report. We see U.S.-Finnish Economic analysis by Juho Kostiainen, Senior Analyst from Nordea, as well as insights from Wall Street economist Joseph P. Quinlan, a reader’s guide to the Transatlantic Economy Report, and more. There are tremendous opportunities for growth, innovation, and positive impact on both sides of the Atlantic. In these pages you will note the huge market potential for growing together towards an even stronger and more intertwined economic and investment relationship between Finland and the U.S. To be a part of the transatlantic community, indeed to be part of the Amcham Finland community, is to work together towards a brighter future, to really believe that we are more than the sum of our parts. Together, we will always be more innovative, create more value for society, and be more inclusive than we would be apart. The strength of transatlantic ties is in innovation, human capital, technology, trade and investment, and in our willingness to push forward with optimism and grit. We hope you enjoy this first ever Finland supplement to the Transatlantic Economy Report and look forward to working with our members and stakeholders to help business grow, add jobs to our economies, and deepen the economic relationship between the U.S. and Finland. Sincerely, Alexandra Pasternak-Jackson CEO Amcham Finland 3
INTRODUCTION GREETINGS FROM U.S. EMBASSY FINLAND Ian Campbell, Chargé d'Affaires ad interim Transatlantic Business Leaders, Greetings. Congratulations on the publication of the first ever Finland Supplement to The Transatlantic Economy Report. For generations the transatlantic relationship has served as the cornerstone of our collective security and prosperity, and as a solid foundation for partnering to face global challenges. Today, we reaffirm the importance of the transatlantic relationship and our commitment to working in partnership to face the challenges of our time, from confronting the ravages of a global pandemic, to mitigating the effects of climate change, to advancing the digital economy and adapting to the ever-increasing complexity of the economic landscape, to ensuring supply chains are served by ethical and trusted vendors who are dedicated to a rules-based international economic system. Each year The Transatlantic Economy Report shows how vital the transatlantic economy is in terms of global economic activity. This year, the Finland Supplement reveals the power of the Finnish-U.S. economic relationship. While the data alone is impressive, the stories behind (and even beyond) the data are even more compelling and inspirational – when Finnish and American businesses work together, they create solutions that go global. Whether in information technology or new energy solutions or any number of other advanced knowledge-based industries, Finnish and American business leaders are partners at the cutting edge of the innovation economy for global growth. We are delighted by the publication of the first ever Finland Supplement to the Transatlantic Economy Report. And we are looking forward to working with Amcham Finland and our Finnish and American businesses as we get better at telling our story, and as we bring the value of our partnership into sharper and clearer focus in the years to come. Best regards, Ian Campbell Chargé d'Affaires ad interim 4
GREETINGS FROM MINISTRY FOR FOREIGN AFFAIRS FINLAND Ville Skinnari, Minister for Development Cooperation and Foreign Trade I would like to thank Amcham Finland for producing this first of its kind Finland supplement to the annual Transatlantic Economy Report. It is a comprehensive package that gives essential information about jobs, trade and investments between the United States and Finland. It also makes a convincing case for stronger cooperation between Finnish and American businesses in many important sectors. The United States is a key trade and investment partner for Finland and our largest trading partner outside the European Union. As the world’s largest economy, the U.S offers huge market potential and virtually unlimited opportunities for Finnish businesses, and as a highly innovative and open economy, Finland is well equipped for these markets. Together, Finland and the United States lead key areas of technological innovation and environmentally friendly solutions. Finland offers advanced solutions in bio- and circular economy and clean technologies, 5G/6G technologies, ship-building and in the marine industry, such as autonomous vessels and ice breakers. We are global leaders in meteorological science and weather technology, mapping changing conditions in the Arctic and elsewhere. Cooperating successfully with Michigan and Maine in green technologies is a tangible example of the potential for a bright future when Finland and the U.S. work together. Finnish companies are at the forefront of technological innovation, offer secure and reliable networks, and are therefore natural partners for the United States. We are keen to develop research cooperation with U.S universities and institutions as well as joint projects in third countries. Finally, I would like to point out that Finland is an extremely attractive place to invest and do business. We have an open, dynamic market economy with a highly skilled workforce and good infrastructure, and we have a strong entrepreneurial spirit. Finland already has deep cooperation with the United States in each of these fields, and we look forward to strengthening our relationship in these and other sectors in the future. Best regards, Ville Skinnari Minister for Development Cooperation and Foreign Trade 5
ANALYSIS ECONOMIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE U.S. AND FINLAND Juho Kostiainen Economist, Senior Analyst, Nordea Introduction The global pandemic has shaken the world during the opportunities for Finnish companies. Hybrid cars and past year. The negative consequences have also hit biofuels are already exported from Finland to the global trade, which declined 5% in 2020. U.S. The traditional forest industry is also increasingly leaning towards environmentally-friendly products, However, trade between the U.S. and Finland has fared substituting fossil-based fuels and materials with wood- well. Finnish exports to the U.S. increased by 13% in based products. 2020, despite the 11% decrease in Finland’s total exports value for the year. The U.S. was the second-largest Advanced technology is something that Finland and trading partner for Finland in 2020 – almost on a par the U.S. have in common. The U.S. tech giants provide with Sweden. Export growth to the U.S. was driven by services and technology to Finnish customers and services, which grew 34% year-on-year, while exports of companies, and Finland produces niche products for goods increased by just 1%. This development highlights the U.S. market. The frontrunners are medical devices, the underlying trend in Finnish exports, with services machinery and IT devices. This includes 5G networks already accounting for one-third of total exports. and maritime-industry solutions. Competition in technology is furious and China is The change in the U.S. political landscape has improved the outlook for transatlantic co-operation. The new challenging western countries at this game. Transatlantic Biden administration has a more friendly attitude co-operation between companies and researchers towards Europe, easing fears of new trade tariffs. Theshould be further fostered to speed up innovation and global fight against climate change – embraced by the the transition to new technologies. The diffusion of new U.S. administration – could provide good business technology can improve productivity in both importing and exporting countries. Figure 1. Finland's exports by country, 2019 and 2020 (EUR, bn) Sweden United States Germany Netherlands China United Kingdom Russia 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2019 2020 Sources: Statistics Finland and Nordea 6
Service trade Trade in services between Finland and the U.S. has increased significantly in recent years. In 2020, Finland exported services worth EUR 4.6 billion to the U.S., despite two weak quarters in the middle of the year. Exports of services to the U.S. have almost trebled since 2013. In 2020, the U.S. was the most important service export country for Finland, accounting for 18% of Finland’s total exports of services. ICT services are in the leading position, followed by fees for the use of intellectual property. Imported services from the U.S.to Finland were worth EUR 2.5 billion in 2020. Business services represent the largest services import item from the U.S. to Finland. It should be noted that some U.S. companies use European subsidiaries, especially in Ireland, and hence do not show in U.S. bilateral trade statistics. Imports of services from Ireland to Finland totaled almost EUR 2 billion in 2020, a figure that mostly represents trade with U.S. companies based in Ireland. The digital economy is growing fast and has made service exports one of the high-productivity sectors. The U.S. market provides Finnish service suppliers with substantial opportunity to follow the leading example of the IT sector and the gaming industry. On the other hand, Finland can provide good infrastructure and highly-skilled labor to U.S. tech giants looking to expand their European operations. Figure 2. Finland's foreign trade, exports to the U.S. (EUR, bn.) 6 5,5 5,5 5 4,6 4,7 4,6 4,3 4,0 4,1 4 3,8 3,4 3,0 3 2,7 2,5 2,5 2,0 2 1,6 1 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Goods Services Sources: Statistics Finland and Nordea Goods trade Figure 3. Share of goods exports from Finland to the U.S. (%) The U.S. is also one of Finland’s main goods Ships trading partners, with a 9% share of Finland’s Other 20 % total goods exports. In 2020, total exports of 23 % goods from Finland stood at EUR 5.6 billion. The largest category is that of ships, making up 20% of total exports. This is followed by Pharmaceutical medical and optical devices, with an export 3% share of 18%. Transport equipment, mainly Mineral Fuels Optical, passenger cars, also represent a big export 4% Measuring, item to the U.S., although they are not always Medical counted correctly in trade statistics as they Electrical Instruments Machinery and 18 % are exported through a third country. Goods Equipment imports from the U.S. are less significant for 6% Finland, with a value of around EUR 2 billion Machinery and Paper, Articles Mechanical in 2020. of Paper Pulp Appliances €5.5 12 % 14 % bn Sources: Finnish Custom and Nordea total exports of goods from Finland to the U.S. in 2020 7
ANALYSIS Foreign direct investment Foreign direct investment is a significant driver of Finland’s GDP. Foreign-owned multinationals produced close to one-quarter of total added-value on the Finnish market in 2018. Much of that investment is in service-based activities, as 59% of added-value generated by foreign-owned multinationals was from services industries. This was followed by heavy industry, which accounted for one-third of total foreign direct investment. After Sweden, the U.S. is the second-largest source of foreign direct investment in Finland, according to the balance of payments statistics. U.S.-owned enterprises produced most of their added-value in the ICT industry. Almost two-thirds of output from U.S. firms in the ICT industry is exported. The U.S. also undertakes significant foreign direct investments in wholesale trade and the chemicals industry. In 2019, total investments from Finland to the U.S. were USD 14,8 billion according to statistics from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Figure 4. Foreign Direct Investments Position (USD, bn.) 15,0 12,5 Finnish FDIs to the U.S. U.S. FDIs to Finland 10,0 7,5 5,0 2,5 0,0 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Nordea Jobs The Finnish labor market has changed dramatically in the past decades, with many manufacturing jobs disappearing as in the U.S. A significant portion of recent years’ job growth has been in domestically-orientated activities, such as health and social care, but also through growth in firms exporting IT and information services. In fact, average annual employment growth in firms exporting services amounted to more than 15% in nominal terms between 2008 and 2016. Foreign companies are big contributors to the Finnish economy. In 2019, some 279,000 people in Finland (18% of the Finnish workforce) worked in foreign-owned enterprises. U.S. companies employed 21,228 people in Finland and generated annual turnover of EUR 13 billion. Finnish companies employed 36,283 people in North America, with annual turnover of EUR 26 billion. In 2016, about 35% of the Finnish labor force was classified as high-skilled and 53% as medium-skilled. This is relevant as export-oriented firms and multinationals hire more high-skilled workers. Conclusions The U.S. is one of Finland’s key trading partners in goods and services, as well as for direct investment. The Biden administration’s agenda is likely to strengthen the relationship further. The U.S. economy is forecast to recover faster than Europe from the Covid-19 shock, which makes transatlantic trade opportunities even more attractive to Finnish companies. Finland’s stable society, well-educated labor force and access to the EU single market can provide U.S. companies with an attractive environment for their production or R&D activities. Sources: Official Statistics of Finland: Foreign subsidiaries in Finland [online publication]. ISSN = 1797-9552. 2019, Appendix table 1. Foreign subsidiaries by country 2019. Helsinki: Statistics Finland. The Transatlantic Economy 2020: Annual survey of Jobs, Trade and Investment between the United States and Europe. Daniel S. Hamilton and Joseph P. Quinlan. Amcham EU. Suomen ja Yhdysvaltojen Väliset Taloussuhteet. 2009. Markku Kotilainen, Viööe Kaitila, Nuuti Nikula, and Paavo Suni. Etla. Globalisation in Finland: Granular Insights into the Impact on Businesses and Employment. 2020. OECD and Statistics Finland. 8
READER'S DIGEST READER’S DIGEST: THE FINNISH-AMERICAN READER’S DIGEST TO THE TRANSATLANTIC ECONOMY 2021 REPORT These insights for U.S. and Finnish audiences are taken directly from The Transatlantic Economy Report 2021: Annual Survey of Jobs, Trade and Investment between the United States and Europe by Daniel S. Hamilton and Joseph P. Quinlan. The year ahead will be a time to heal. Despite the China $10,262 headwinds and uncertainties brought on by the Covid-19 pandemic, many factors point to continued economic recovery through 2021. There is also an expectation that European companies operating in the United States will enjoy more favorable conditions in the year ahead.1 EU avg. Germany Finland Netherlands Switzerland ~$35,000 $46,445 $48,783 $52,331 $81,994 With mass vaccination drives taking place on both Per capita income compared to China11 sides of the Atlantic, consumer spending is expected Globally, renewable energy is emerging as a key sector to come back with a vengeance.2 In April 2020, the U.S. and is of growing interest for sustainable investing.11 savings rate reached its highest level on record, at 34% Largely unnoticed by the media and politicians, U.S. of disposable personal income. On aggregate, personal companies in Europe have become a driving force income increased by USD 1.2 trillion, or 6.3%, in 2020 – for Europe’s green revolution, especially through the the highest rate of increase in 15 years. High savings and addition of wind and solar capacity on the continent.12 rising incomes have led to a quick recovery in consumer Since 2007, U.S. companies have been responsible spending, especially in durable goods.3 More spending for more than half of the long-term renewable energy means more transatlantic trade in 2021.4 agreements in Europe.13 In fact, Europe and the United Despite the pandemic, Austria, Denmark, Finland, and States accounted for over 80% of all green bonds issued France saw their investment income in the United States in 2020 and 78% of all sustainable debt issuance.14 increase in the first nine months of 2020, compared to The government of Finland plans to devote Finland's the same period in 2019.5 share of a nearly three-billion-euro EU Recovery and Resilience Facility towards helping the country pursue Disruption drives acceleration a "green transition" away from a reliance on fossil fuels, The pandemic and its ripple effects generated while one-quarter of the funding will be used towards disruptions across both China-centric and transatlantic digitalization. This, along with the Biden administration’s supply chains.6 The Transatlantic Economy Report re-entry to the Paris agreement and its other 2021 shows how the ties that bind the EU to the United sustainability commitments, will bring many business States are much thicker and far deeper than those that opportunities for both Finnish and U.S. companies alike. bind either to China.7 Investing in Europe or the United Analysts estimate that the Covid-19 crisis has States is relatively easy, while investing in China remains accelerated the adoption of a wide range of digital difficult. This is due to restrictions on foreign ownership technologies by at least two years.15 Between 2020 and and rules around forced technology transfer, as well as 2023, companies are expected to spend USD 6.8 trillion heavily subsidized competition from state-owned and on digital transformation. By the end of 2021, 60% of state-controlled Chinese companies.8 global GDP will be digitized.16 The pandemic has also In addition to being one of the largest economic blocs been a major accelerant of med-tech research.17 Digital in the world, Europe is also wealthy. This means the bloc tools powered the unprecedented global sharing of enjoys an abundance of skilled labor, world class R&D gene sequencing data to track and treat SARS-CoV-2, infrastructure, and rising per capita incomes.9 Finland’s the virus that causes the Covid-19 disease.18 competitive strengths include strong protection of property rights, macroeconomic stability and transparent institutions.10 DID YOU KNOW? DOWNLOAD ? In 2019, Finland was a top European Import The Transatlantic Economy Report 2021: Market for both Alaska (ranked 3rd) and Annual Survey of Jobs, Trade and Investment Maryland (ranked 5th), providing $26 million between the United States and Europe and $666 million in imports respectively. 9 Page 2, 60 1. 4. Page 6 Page 35 7. 10. Page 81 13. Page 69 16. Page 42 2. Page 6 5. Page 62 8. Page 37 11. Page 68 14. Page 68 17. Page 44 3. Page 60 6. Page 38 9. Page 37, 80 12. Page 69 15. Page 42 18. Page 42
Advances in life sciences and digital services 40 % Transatlantic digital connections are illustrated through cross-border data flows. These exchanges contribute By 2025, 40% of the global more to global growth than global trade in goods, economy will be in health. underpinning and enabling virtually every other kind of cross-border flow.26 While data flows are commercially By 2025, the health sector will account for 40% of the significant, their volume and commercial value are in global economy – the largest share held by any sector constant flux and thus difficult to measure.27 The United or industry. This explosion of genetic and health data States is a major hub for international trade in products holds significant potential for scientific and medical delivered through data flows. Transatlantic flows of data achievements worldwide. Telemedicine, telepresence have traditionally been the fastest and largest in the and telesurgery are transforming medical techniques world, but this dominance is waning. Data flows are now and generating greater cross-border trade in healthcare more globally distributed, and companies are facing services.19 Finland ranks 7th in the Global Innovation significant and growing legal uncertainty in transferring Index 202020, an indication of the country’s vast potential personal information out of the European Union.28 to foster innovative solutions in the life-science sector. The European Commission has advanced major American life-science companies operating in Finland initiatives through its Digital Services Act and Digital appreciate the country’s agility and its potential as a Markets Act that could create additional complications testbed. for U.S. investors and the new U.S. administration alike.29 In 2019, the United States registered a USD 219.9 billion The success of U.S.-EU digital markets rest on successful surplus in trading digitally-enabled services with the cooperation around such issues. Transatlantic business rest of the world. Its main commercial partner was sees potential for U.S.-Finnish collaboration on all digital Europe, to which the U.S. exported more than USD 245 transformations that impact the transatlantic economy. billion in digitally-enabled services, and from which it Partners in innovation and growth imported an estimated USD 133 billion. This generated a trade surplus with Europe of more than USD 112 billion.21 Given all of the above, Europe remains a key destination for U.S. companies looking to expand their global Finland and the United States ranked 6th and 8th footprint. The region is large, wealthy, richly-endowed, respectively in the 2020 Network Readiness Index.22 open for business, and an innovation leader in many The 2020 Network Readiness Index ranks a total of key global industries.30 Meanwhile, transparent 134 economies based on their performance across rule of law, sophisticated accounting, auditing, and 60 variables. The index measures how prepared reporting standards, secure access to credit, ease of countries are to leverage the opportunities offered entrepreneurship, and respect for intellectual property by technological innovation.23 Finland and the United rights have all contributed to the stable and supportive States are both in the top ten performing countries in business environment in the United States. European the world, with huge potential for business growth. firms maintained their dominant foreign investment position in the United States in 2020.31 Demand for international bandwidth is doubling every two years. All the stay-at-home activity driven by the Finland’s competitive strengths and stable business pandemic boosted average international internet traffic environment encompass many of the characteristics by 48% in 2020.24 By the end of 2021, cross-border that U.S. companies value. By increasing its attention to bandwidth is projected to be 400 times the level it was the areas outlined in this Reader’s Digest and the report in 2005. Global Internet Protocol (IP) traffic, a proxy for in full, Finland has tremendous potential to grow its data flows, is projected to reach 150,700 gigabytes per share of transatlantic trade, and the U.S. has a reliable second. This is more than triple the level of three years ago.25 and advanced partner in Finland. Table 2. Finland and the U.S. in Global Business Rankings Finland U.S. Measure Year Ranking Ranking World Bank Ease of Doing Business 2020 20 of 190 6 of 190 World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2019 11 of 141 2 of 141 Forbes Best Countries for Business 2019 13 of 161 17 of 141 Bloomberg Innovation Index 2020 7 of 131 9 of 131 Brand Finance Most Valuable Nation Brands 2018 36 of 100 1 of 100 IMD World Talent Ranking 2020 12 of 63 15 of 63 Sources: World Bank, World Economic Forum, Forbes, Bloomberg, Brand Finance, IMD 10 19. Page 44 22Page 45 25.Page 54 28.Page 54 31.Page 61 20. Page 81 23.Page 45 26Page 54 29.Page 9 21. Page 46 24Page 56 27.Page 55 30.Page 83
ECONOMIC FORECAST ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR THE U.S. Joseph P. Quinlan Senior Fellow, Transatlantic Leadership Network The U.S. economy declined by 3.5% in 2020, but steadily distributed on both sides of the ocean and services gained momentum in the second half of the year, and activities rebound from the depths of recession. is expected to expand by 5.1% this year, according to All of the above is another way of saying that the U.S. estimates from the IMF. The U.S. economy will again economy, while exhibiting signs of resiliency, confronts outperform Europe this year, but there are plenty of plenty of cyclical and structural challenges, in addition to soft spots in the United States, ranging from weak the herculean task of distributing vaccines to hundreds retail demand to a battered travel and leisure industry. of millions of Americans. While manufacturing activity has rebounded, services activities remain weak, creating winners and losers The sooner vaccines can be distributed and across the economy. The stock market has propelled administered across the United States and Europe, average household net worth to record highs in the the sooner the transatlantic economy can heal. In the United States, although nearly two-thirds of Americans near-term, Covid-19 concerns will temper consumer live paycheck to paycheck. Unemployment levels have spending on both sides of the Atlantic, although a come down somewhat from last summer’s highs, but second-half rebound in transatlantic spending is widely the level of unemployment remains elevated among expected. At $14 trillion, U.S. personal consumption U.S. retail workers, women, and Black Americans. remains one of the most potent economic forces in the world, accounting for nearly 30% of global personal We expect the employment picture to improve consumption in 2019 – greater than that of the next gradually this year, following historic declines in 2020. five largest consuming markets in the world combined: Jobs markets in both the United States and Europe are China, Japan, Germany, the UK, and India. Since the U.S. slowly set to improve. A normalized transatlantic jobs consumer accounts for 70% of U.S. GDP, as goes the market is not expected until the vaccine has been widely U.S. consumer, so goes the U.S. economy. Figure 6. The U.S. vs. Euro Area (Real GDP, Annual Percent Change) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 U.S. Euro Area -6 -7 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2020* 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2021* *2020 estimate, 2021 forecast. Data as of March 2021. Sources: International Monetary Fund; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; Eurostat. 11
ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR FINLAND Juho Kostiainen Economist, Senior Analyst, Nordea The Finnish economy is forecast to grow by 3% this Figure 5. Finland: GDP Forecast (Index 2015 = 100) year after a 2.9% drop in 2020. Private consumption will serve as the driver of the economic recovery this 113 year. As the coronavirus restrictions are removed and the economic uncertainty abates, consumers 111 are expected to start spending again, and pent-up demand will begin to unwind. 109 The manufacturing sector has fared substantially better during the coronavirus crisis than in many previous crises, and the recovery of the global 107 economy will improve the outlook for exports and investment. The quick rebound in the housing market 1/2021 has sent the number of building permits for residential 105 construction rising, and housing construction is expected to begin growing again this year. 103 The government has assumed a large role in 5/2020 managing the economic fallout from the coronavirus crisis, offering relief to businesses, municipalities and 101 the unemployed from the public purse.. However, the public finances have a structural deficit that will not 99 fully disappear once the economy picks up. The risks facing the economy have not disappeared 97 either, and the forecasts include a considerable GDP Volume Trend Indicator of Output degree of uncertainty. The forecasts are based on the assumption that the coronavirus crisis in Finland will 95 remain moderate in the spring and will subside in the 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 summer, and that no new sweeping restrictions will have to be imposed next autumn. Sources: Nordea and Macrobond Table 1. Finland: Key Figures 2018 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E Real GDP, % y/y 1,3 1,1 -3,0 3,0 2,0 Consumer prices, % y/y 1,1 1,0 0,3 0,8 1,2 Unemployment rate, % 7,4 6,7 7,7 7,6 6,9 Wages, % y/y 1,7 2,1 1,8 2,0 2,0 Public sector surplus, % of GDP -0,9 -1,0 -4,7 -3,1 -2,5 Publice sector debt, % of GDP 59,6 59,3 70,7 70,5 70,7 ECB deposit interest rate (at year-end) -0,40 -0,50 -0,50 -0,50 -0,50 Sources: Nordea Economic Outlook 2021 12
FINLAND AND THE UNITED STATES United States in Finland Finland in the United States 21,228 Jobs 36,283 Jobs directly supported by majority-owned affiliates. Estimates for 2019. Total U.S.-related jobs are likely to be higher, because these figures do not include jobs created by trade flows, indirect employment effects through distributors or suppliers, or via non-equity arrangements such as strategic alliances, joint ventures, or other deals. $3.7 bn Investment $14.8 bn Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), 2019 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), 2019 The direct investment balance favors the United States, with Finnish investment in the U.S. rising in 2019 to over $14 billion. Total employment by Finnish companies in the U.S. has also risen substantially over the past few years from 23,000 in 2015 to over 36,000 in 2019. Finnish direct investment in the U.S. is heavily concentrated in the wholesale trade and manufacturing industries, representing 15% and 72% of total FDI, respectively. U.S. FDI Position in Finland Finland FDI Position in the U.S. Billion $ Billion $ 16 16 14 14 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Foreign direct investment position, historic-cost basis, 2000-2019. $1.8 bn Trade in Goods $6.4 bn U.S. Goods Exports to Finland, 2019 U.S. Goods Imports from Finland, 2019 2.1% The U.S. supplied 7.5% …but the U.S. share 7.5% The U.S. received 7.5% 18.1% …but the U.S. share 2.1% of Finland's increases to 7.5% of the total goods increases to 18.1% total imports… when intra-EU trade Finland exported to when intra-EU trade is excluded from the the world… is excluded from the total. total. Top Five U.S. Goods Exports to Finland ($ millions) Top Five U.S. Goods Imports from Finland ($ millions) Computers & 385.1 Chemical 1,054.7 Electronics 621.1 Manufactures 171.8 Mining 293.6 Machinery 897.6 93.0 Manufactures 474.6 Transportation 241.9 Petroleum & 851.8 Equipment 215.5 Coal Products 288.2 Chemical 224.3 818.1 Paper Products Manufactures 76.7 702.6 Machinery 164.9 Transportation 786.1 Manufactures 161.5 Equipment 494.6 0 10 1,000 100,000 0 10 1,000 100,000 n 2019 n 2000 n 2019 n 2000 Top State Exporters of Goods to Finland ($ millions) Top State Importers of Goods from Finland ($ millions) 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 239.1 144.0 136.6 97.8 82.3 1,047.6 705.5 665.0 493.5 383.7 Texas California Michigan Georgia Ohio Pennsyl- New Jersey Maryland Texas Georgia vania $2.0 bn Trade in Services $1.8 bn U.S. Services Exports to Finland, 2019 U.S. Services Imports from Finland, 2019 13 Note: U.K. included in EU for purposes of calculating intra-EU trade. Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis; U.S. Commerce Department; International Monetary Fund; Office of Trade and Economic Analysis.
LAUNCHPAD USA LAUNCHPAD USA Mike Klyszeiko Director of Launchpad USA, Amcham Finland Launchpad USA is the most effective U.S. market entry platform available to Finnish companies. It's offered exclusively to members of Amcham Finland. On the Launchpad, Finnish companies receive a tailored market entry plan that is designed to: Minimize risks associated with doing business in America. Accelerate marketing and sales activities. Deepen the knowledge of the U.S. market. Provide ongoing support through the entry and growth stages of doing business in America. "This is exactly the kind of support we have been looking for." Pavlos Ylinen, Managing Director Datafisher Oy "I felt relieved after the first phone call with Mike Klyszeiko from Amcham Finland. Mike’s knowledge of the required actions was reassuring. Mike was clear, logical and effective. He explained the required actions, coached us and helped us to make it all happen. Remarkable expertise!" Tarja Keen, Chairman of the Board Finnero Oy © Cameron Venti To learn more, contact Mike Klyszeiko (mike.klyszeiko.amcham.fi; +358 45 140 4911) or visit our website at amcham.fi/launchpad-usa/ 14
OPPORTUNITIES Innovation and R&D Efforts in High-Tech and Knowledge-Based Industries Strengthening the Transatlantic Trade Relationship Trade & Technology dialogue Finnish Leadership in the context of the EU on Transatlantic Issues Cleantech Shift Towards Renewable Energy Sustainable Consumption and Development Transition to Climate Neutrality Smart City Technology Arctic Technologies Economics and Trade Climate and Energy Opportunities for U.S.-Finland Cooperation & Business Digital Health Care Digital Health Systems Pharmaceuticals Wellness & Care EMR & Patient Monitoring 5G/6G Bio Banks Cybersecurity Finland as a Testbed Age of AI Medical Devices DSA & DMA Global Digital Economy Quantum Technologies Cloud Computing SaaS, Iaas and Paas Solutions; Software and Consulting Services 15
THE FINLAND SUPPLEMENT TO THE TRANSATLANTIC ECONOMY 2021 THE FINLAND SUPPLEMENT TO THE TRANSATLANTIC ECONOMY 2021 Partners:
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