Financing for Higher Education in Developing Nations Due to COVID- 19
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Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Financing for Higher Education in Developing Nations Due to COVID- 19 Syed Far Abid Hossain College of Business Administration, IUBAT—International University of Business Agriculture and Technology, 4 Embankment Drive Road, Sector-10, Uttara Model Town, Dhaka 1230 Bangladesh E-mail: abid@iubat.edu Jamee Ahmad College of Business Administration, IUBAT—International University of Business Agriculture and Technology, 4 Embankment Drive Road, Sector-10, Uttara Model Town, Dhaka 1230 Bangladesh E-mail: jamee.ahmad@iubat.edu Zahir Rayhan Salim College of Business Administration, IUBAT—International University of Business Agriculture and Technology, 4 Embankment Drive Road, Sector-10, Uttara Model Town, Dhaka 1230 Bangladesh E-mail: zahir.rayhan@iubat.edu Kazi Mohiuddin School of Transportation, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, Postal Code 200135, China; Email: kazi.mohiuddin@yahoo.com Abdul Qadeer School of Management, Xi'an Jiaotong University, China; E-mail: qadeerakli@gmail.com Abstract - Prerequisite for higher education in developing countries is extremely affected due to COVID-19 recently. Education ministry and WHO has taken measures to protect the students from infection as well as tried to ensure sustainable educational development. Although COVID-19 is investigated in terms of healthcare and coping strategies, little has investigated so far about education financing. In this paper, a detailed scenario of funding in the higher education sector in developing countries due to COVID-19 impact has investigated. The study utilizes person administered survey of 400 students to examine the study. The study discovers that the opportunity for higher education is not satisfactory due to various hindrances and lack of financial capability. It is also predictable that this investigation can provide a milestone for those who are related to the education sector or even though who are concerned about social responsibility and sustainable educational development. The study is conducted with a small sample size (n=400), which may affect the generalizability of the research. Keywords: Financial Assistance; Sustainable education; Higher Education; Developing countries; COVID-19 1. INTRODUCTION Due to the COVID-19 outbreak around the world, higher education financing is at stake due to other necessary measures like healthcare and movement control policy. By 2022, universities in Denmark are expected to miss approximately one-tenth of their up-to-date funding from the Government (Adam, 2020). In 2006, China successfully reformed Education Finance by comparing 1600 provinces in China (Ding, Lu, & Ye, 2020), and in 2018, China enrolled 4,92,185 international students from different parts of the world (China Daily, 2019). China secured the number 1 position in the world (Enago Academy, 2018) for research and scientific publication as a long-run effect of higher education finance reform policy. In developed countries, education is treated as the most valuable asset. Former U.S. President Barack Obama (2016) stated that there is nothing more important than providing everyone the possible best education. As a consequence of his thought, he raised Pell grant award to USD 5550 since 2008, and 9.5 million students received it in 2012-13 school year. Also, for most Americans, the first 4000 USD of a college education is free (Education.com, 2016). Distribution of public resources based on equity and efficiency to reform secondary education policy is measured Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 433
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Figure1: Daily fatality scenario in the world, source: (Our World in Data, 2020) (Kafumbu, 2020). According to figure 1, the daily fatality rate in the world is a threat for continuance of HE. In addition, the overall learning processes of higher education is considered as complex process and investigators suggested mergers of universities (Savović, 2020) and performance-based funding (Adam, 2020). According to Miyan (2013), most of the people in developing nations cannot pursue higher education due to resource constraints. The number of public Universities is not adequate comparing to the number of students completing higher secondary studies. In most of the cases this is due to financial inability of parents or guardians; because the tuition fees in University level especially in private university is pretty high and it is not affordable for many people. As a result, their dream come to an end with full of disappointment and anxiety. In the last decade, the number of private Universities in developing nations increased tremendously but still for bright middle class students it is out-of-the-way because of financial inability. But, the society expects recent graduates to be capable enough to deal with difficult troubles in technology handling (Webster, 2020). The broad objective of this particular article is to examine in depth about the key issues those are responsible for pursuing higher education in developing nations. However, the specific objective is to clarify how financial difficulty is the major hindrance for achieving quality higher degrees in developing nations. 2. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT Over the years, the theory of financial distress (Gordon, 1970) investigated financial issues in various aspects. This study is consistent with the theory of financial distress as during COVID-19, financial measures are primary concerns after healthcare and treatment. Number of achievements of private universities are appreciated by TIB (2015) including creation of higher education opportunity with m-learning (Hossain, Shan, & Nurunnabi, 2019) for a large number of student, emergence as an alternative to highly expensive foreign education, establishment of dedicated universities variety seeking advancement (Hossain, Nurunnabi, Hussain, Saha, & Wang, 2019), creating study opportunity for professionals, scholarship opportunity for meritorious, poor and freedom fighters' children etc. Miyan (2013) considered "financing" as a barrier of Knowledge Based Area Development concept and it might be partially resolved by Educational Loan Scheme by the help of GOB or NGO, or by establishing Educational Bank. Due to globalization, increased number of completion, low government funding and better attempt to admit more international students, the U.K. higher education boosted the "marketisation" (Kalafatis et al, 2016) but the matter of fact is many students go to U.K. and can't pursue higher education due to financial inability and involve with various legal or illegal work. TAM (Technology Acceptance Model) is another theory which supports the technological acceptance (Venkatesh, Thong, & Xu, 2012) although financial issues are key concerns to support this theory. Researchers investigated that limited resources and insufficient facilities such as device based learning opportunities (Hossain, Ying, & Saha, 2019) are the major challenges for quality higher education in developing nations. Also, quality of higher education in Developinng nations has been deteriorating steadily, in some areas quite alarmingly, over the last two decades (Salahuddin & Aminuzzaman, 2011). Brand identity and Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 434
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 brand image could be vital issue for brand extension especially in the case of higher education (Yuan et al, 2016). As a result, many private universities are under threat to impede their operation in extended campuses which are situated mainly outside of the capital city of Bangladesh. According to Sarwar and Khaled (2014), Degree colleges that account for the lion's share of enrolment at the level of higher education suffer from inadequate infra-structural facilities (libraries and laboratories), and lack of qualified teachers with satisfactory emoluments and allowances. In addition, in these degree colleges' voters', not 'teachers' are recruited that adversely affect the quality of university education" – (Masum, 2015) The cost of higher education in a developing country is cheaper compared to developed nations (Bhuiyan and Hakim, 1995). But quality is more important than cost - Sarkar et al. (2013). The result is no Bangladeshi University is in the list of top 400 World's best universities (U. S. News, 2011). Also, Government funding for higher education and research is not adequate and University Grant Commission fails to provide fund according to the need of the public universities (Mobassern and Muhammed, 2010) so in this century Universities are vastly competing specially for international students (Hemsley-Brown, 2016). According to Juditha (2013), Private universities contribute substantially to the higher education sector in Developinng nations. They offer an educational opportunity to qualified students who cannot find seats in the public universities as the seats are very limited as per the report of Financial Express, (2015). "Grameen Kalyan", one of the divisions of Grameen Bank, has increased its objectives via micro credit to include higher education which is known as Higher Education Loan Programme (HELP). The goal is to identify talented young villagers and help them to finance University education through loans. Till December 2014, Grameen Kalyan provided 15.94 million USD (X.E. Currency converter, 2015) for Higher Education Loan (Grameen Kalyan, 2010) According to the first annual survey of student finances by the Halifax bank (U.K.), 52% of students work to fund their studies and living costs while at university and the average part-time weekly wage across the U.K. is £112.20 but the top 15% of students take home more than £200 (The Guardian, 2015). In developing nations, the per capita income is $1190 (bdnews24, 2014) which is less than the part time weekly income of a U.K. student. Regarding involvement of Universities for financing higher education IUBAT-International University of Business Agriculture and Technology, Bangladesh set an example by establishing a higher education finance program name, KBAD-Knowledge Based Area Development. Under this program IUBAT has set out the long term vision of producing one technical graduate from each village as a step towards community self-reliance. Recently China set an eye catching example for promoting higher education around the globe. China Scholarship Council (CSC) offers scholarship in multiple disciplines for Bachelor, Masters and PhD programs throughout China in various recognized Universities. Such initiative by Chinese Government attracted the developing countries. Innumerable applicants are competing to win a scholarship offered by CSC. Unfortunately, it's a matter of regret that the Chinese students don't have this scholarship facility within China. As a result, many of the Chinese students try to achieve scholarship in other developed countries (China Scholarship Council, 2016). Many Private Universities are operating in developing nations without even a permanent campus or they may have just a place for permanent campus but they are still operating in hired campus which is not standard enough for providing quality higher education for the students. On the other hand, instead of increasing education budget every year the Government sometimes decreases the budget such as in 2006-07 fiscal year 15.9% of total budget was allocated for education but in 2015-16 it dropped as below as 11.6% only (Wasim & Tuhin, 2016) Personal Economic Lack of education financing Low average income Political Lack of interest by commercial banks Family support inadequate fund Lack of interest by other financial institutions Problem of distribution Gender issue for financing Political unrest Financial difficulties Family issues Lack of trust Risk for investment Personal Risk factors Lack of secured financing Mentality Lack of social welfare Lack of credit rating Lack of liquid money Social Security Psychological Figure 2: Conceptual Model for financial difficulties regarding higher education using Fishbone diagram Donche and Gijgels, (2013), stated that innumerable personal and environmental related factors are associated to student learning. The major factors behind financial difficulties are shown through a fishbone diagram above. Six major factors have been presented in the diagram which are expanded further in the hypotheses development section below. Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 435
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 A. Personal factors and financial issues in higher education (HE) Average income in the developing countries is not satisfactory (Buckley & Michel, 2020) in attaining sustainable higher education (HE). As a result, low income people may not capable of spending required money for achieving technology-assisted (Wilson, Ritzhaupt, & Cheng, 2020) HE as they need to maintain some other basic needs too. Although many people have a positive mentality to spend more money but they are not capable due to the lack of financial support. According to World Bank (2016), the per capita income of Bangladesh, a developing country in south Asia in 2016 is 1211.7 USD whereas the per capita income of Denmark is 52002.2 USD. Family support is another issue which is important for any student to achieve higher education. Gender issue for higher education in various higher educational establishments attracted researchers in recent decades for innumerable issues like gender equality and so on (Cama et al., 2016). Many parents do not want to spend more money on girls as they think that it's better to spend the money for the boys who will take care for the parents in future. But it is positive that the scenario is changing day by day and the rate of success for the girls is very competitive now a day. According to UNICEF official website (2016), the female adult literacy rate as a percentage of male is 86.2% during 2008-2012. At this stage, we hypothesize that: H1. There is a positive relationship between personal factors and financial factor B. Political Factors and financial crisis during outbreak In most of the developing countries the political stability and strength is not very satisfactory. Many countries are still trying to fulfill their primary needs like food, shelter and safety for their citizen. In this circumstance, financial assistance in educational sector could be a threat for many developing countries. According to Chen et al (2006), comparatively developing countries have diminutive record of democracy and also less apparent government policy and regulation. It's noticeable that the fund for education is inadequate especially for higher education in developing countries. Also, population size and growth rate could be a key variable for the Government to plan, act and implement the budget of education (Thomas and Homer, 2016). According to a data investigation based on Ministry of Finance, Government of developing nations, stipend for primary and secondary school has been observed but no stipend for higher education is observed (Unicef, 2016). It's a matter of great regret that the Government of Bangladesh imposed 7.5% value added tax on private higher education tuition fees in 2015 which was not successful due to protest activities by private university students and other social media (University World News 2007-2014). The education authority was under innumerable questions about adopting tax on higher education because, in 2009, a total number of 51 private universities provided higher education to above 200,000 students. This figure is around 55% of total university students in Bangladesh at that time (The Daily Star, 2016). According to a World Bank report (2016), the Government of many developing countries was doing well between 1990 and 2007. For example, in South Asia the primary education completion rate rose to 81% from 62%. Within just a time period of 17 years the rate increased by 19% which is simply amazing. However, the Government of developing countries may have done excellent work for developing the primary education system with lot of benefits and facilities offered. But the higher education development is still under attempt by most of the developing counties especially on private sector. The figure below represents the scenario of government expenditure on education in different countries in the world. The least percentage of GDP has been spent by China, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka which are 1.9, 2.1 and 2 respectively. Table 1: Government expenditure on education, total (% of GDP) Country 1999 2011 Afghanistan 4.1 n/a Australia n/a 5.1 Albania 3.4 n/a Austria 6.1 5.6 Bangladesh 2.1 n/a Belgium n/a 6.4 Bolivia 5.7 6.9 Brazil 3.8 5.7 Canada 5.6 5.3 China 1.9 n/a Colombia 4.4 4.5 Cuba 6.8 n/a Cyprus 4.8 6.6 Finland 5.9 6.5 Germany n/a 4.8 India 4.3 3.7 Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 436
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Ireland 4.1 5.9 Italy 4.5 4.1 Malaysia 5.7 5.9 Norway 7 6.5 Sri Lanka n/a 2 Sweden 6.9 6.5 UK 4.3 5.8 USA 4.8 5.2 Source: World Bank Group, 2016 At this stage, we hypothesize that, H2. There is a positive relationship between political factors and financial factor C. The effect of economic factors on education financing One of the major economic factors is lack of education financing by various financial institutions due to trust (Park, 2020) in developing countries. For example, education loan is offered by various financial institution but the terms and conditions of receiving the loan cannot be fulfilled by a student or parents due to their weak financial strength or poor credit record. In developing countries, the majority loans are disbursed as a secured loan but education finance is needed for poor students who don't have the ability to spend more but have intelligence to pursue higher education. Commercial Banks are more interested now a day on business finance or SME finance. They are also offering weeding loan, travel loan, Car loan, Carnival loan, Hospitalization loan etc. (Prime Bank, 2016) but education loan seems not very popular in developing countries due to the gap of trust or ability between the loan receiver and the provider. According to Daffodil International University website (2015), a list of 30 non-banking financial institutions has observed in developing nations but none of them is specifically or non- specifically recognized as an education financing institution. At this stage we hypothesize that: H3. There is a positive relationship between economic factors and financial factor D. Social factors associated with HE financing In developing country society is a complex factor and challenge (Wanzenböck & Frenken, 2020) for HE. Many families are observed as a big family consists of more than one child. As a result, it's a big issue for the family to finance equally on all children. Also, there are many broken family where financing is a big issue for higher education. On the other hand, personal risk factors are associated; for example: a student can misuse the money taken from family for higher education. Sometimes the parents are not educated enough to look after these issues and they need to depend on their children which they sometimes consider as a risk factor. Recently some University students are seen to involve with terrorism activities which made the parents worried (BDnews24.com, 2016). At this stage we hypothesize that: H4. There is a positive relationship between Social factors and financial factor E. Security measures to handle for HE financing Lack of trust is highly observed in developing countries due to financial difficulties so that the financial institutions try to take strong safety measure for any financial issues regarding HE (Huang, Li, Liao, & Hu, 2018). For this reason, secured financing is a comparatively easier method to get financial assistance. However, it is rather complicated that the people, who are capable of ensuring secured finance, may don't need financial assistance and vice versa. In addition, the credit rating system has just in the beginning stage in many developing countries. Credit rating is not still available for every account holder in the bank or any other financial institution. At this stage we hypothesize that: H5: There is a positive relationship between Security factors and financial factor F. Psychological Factors associated with financing Return on HE investment and social bias (Heitor, Horta, & Leocádio, 2016) are a crucial issue for many parents in developing countries. Some parents believe that rather than spending money for education they may invest the money for business or share market. Many parents have the mentality in developing countries that higher education will bring more money to the family. Sometimes, lack of liquid money is a significant factor for higher education financing. As a result, parents or guardians sometimes force students to pursue education at low category institutions. Another psychological factor to discuss here is limited part time job opportunity for students in developing countries. Dennis et al (2016) noted that satisfaction, trust and commitment have a very momentous effect on brand in higher education but due to the financial constraints above it's a big challenge for the students of developing countries to pursue higher education in the right place. At this stage we hypothesize that: H6. There is a positive relationship between psychological factors and financial factor Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 437
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Contextual setting The respondents are selected from the higher educational institutions in developing countries for a few number of reasons. First, the theme of the research includes university students and the impact of COVID-19. Second, the university students are adult and their response may increase the generalizability of the research. Finally, based on the cotemporary scenario of the students, we selected them as the context of this study. Data collection procedure The approach taken within this article is inductive and it formulates a theory following the collection of information about the higher education in developing countries. The inductive approach is more suitable to this research because it allows a more flexible structure. Due to the speculative nature of this article, secondary research methodologies are emphasized which increases reliability along with primary data collection. A total number of 400 students from Bangladesh and China including male and female students were interviewed from 10 different private and public universities regarding the financial issues of higher education using five point Likert scale method. Respondents were asked whether financial issue regarding higher education is a major concern or not under various dimensions. 4. FINDINGS &ANALYSIS User Acceptance Questionnaire for Financial Difficulty Analysis A total number of six constructs employed by (Shroff, Deneen, & Ng, 2011) which are the focus of the questionnaire used for this research. The questionnaire showed in Table 2 includes 18 items that may be divided into six categories: three factors on political factors (POF), three factors on personal factors (PEF), three factors on economic factors (ECOF), three items on social factors (SOF), three items on security factors (SEF), three items on psychological factors (PSYF) based on the dependent variable which also consists of two dimensions. The items are on financial difficulty factors (FINF). Students' responses are collected on a 5-point "Likert" scale method where (1 = strongly disagree and 5 = strongly agree). Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 438
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Table 2 Questionnaire for Financial difficulty analysis Code Item POF1 Educational funding is inadequate in my country POF2 Educational budget is not distributed properly POF3 Political unrest affects our higher education PEF1 We have low average income PEF2 Our family support is not satisfactory PEF3 Gender issue effect on pursuing higher education ECOF1 Education financing is not sufficient for us ECOF2 Commercial banks are not convenient enough to finance us ECOF3 Other financial institutions are not interested enough on education sector SOF1 Family issue is crucial for us SOF2 There are personal risk factors regarding educational financing SOF3 Social welfare is not sufficient enough for higher education SOF1 Family issue is crucial for us SOF2 There are personal risk factors regarding educational financing SOF3 Social welfare is not sufficient enough for higher education SEF1 It's difficult to trust people regarding financial issue SEF2 Secured financial process is not convenient for us SEF3 Credit rating system is not still available for mass people PSYF1 There is shortage of liquid money PSYF2 Some parents have negative mentality on higher education FINF1 Financial issue is the most important issue for our higher education FINF2 Our society is highly affected by financial difficulties FINF3 Financial difficulties should be reduced for achieving higher education Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 439
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Demographics Total number Gender of the Male 236 students Female 164 Age (Male 18-22 202 student) 23-27 34 Age ( Female 18-22 student) 140 23-27 24 Student type Regular (Full Time) 376 Irregular (Part Time) 24 Employment Employed 24 status of the Unemployed students 376 Parents' Service 130 Occupation Business 154 Unemployed 20 Retired 96 Parents’ income 3000-4000 USD 224 after Tax (per 4000-5000 USD 106 year) 5000-6000 USD 44 6000+ USD 18 Not Sure/not answered 8 Table 3: Breakdown of the demographic status The questionnaire was collected from the students in the class as per prior permission by the university authority. Although the medium of instruction of the institution is strictly followed by English, for the clarity and authenticity of the research, the writers decided to translate the questionnaire in the respondents' local language so that they could come up with crystal clear output. Altogether 400 samples were used for correlation and regression analysis to estimate respondents' views about higher education financing problems. 250 200 150 100 50 0 Male Male Female Figure 3: Average money spent by students in one semester (4 months). The local currency has been converted into USD by X.E. Currency converter (2015) Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 440
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 B. User acceptance results of financial difficulties Table 4 describes the reliability result for the scales of respondents' questionnaire. Cronbach's alpha result for each dimension of the questionnaire was calculated to examine the strength of reliability. The reliability values ranges from 0.70 to 0.78. The reliability results of all the dimensions were above 0.70 which indicates a valid measurement of the response. Reliability Analysis S.NO Variable Item Alpha 1 Political 3 .75 2 Personal 3 .72 3 Economic 3 .74 4 Social 3 .73 5 Security 3 .78 6 Psychological 2 .70 7 Financial 3 .76 Table 4: Reliability statistics for the questionnaire scales With an attempt to measure strategic flexibility, the authors referred to Sanchez (1995) and framed it with 3 items for each of the independent variables excluding one exception, which is the psychological factor. According to Marcus and Fremeth's (2009) the authors used these items for further operation. Table 5: Factor Loading analysis S.NO Variable Factor loading Political Factors (cr= 0.8074) (AVE=0.5829) Problem of Inadequate fund .741 Problem of distribution .780 Effect of Political unrest .769 Personal Factors (cr=0.7871 ) (AVE=0.5521) Outcome of Low average income .736 Importance of Family support .744 Significance of Gender issue .749 Economic Factors (cr=0.8074 ) (AVE=0.5829) Problem of education financing .672 Lack of interest by commercial banks .503 Lack of interest by other financial institutions .817 Social Factors (cr=0.7091) (AVE=0.4574) Impact of family issue .741 Impact of personal risk factor .780 Lack of social welfare .769 Security Factors (cr=0.7746 ) (AVE=0.5355) Lack of trust .795 Lack of secured financing .743 Absence of credit rating .650 Psychological Factors (cr=0.8091 ) (AVE=0.5859) Mentality for spending on higher education .730 Shortage of liquid money .790 Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 441
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Table 6: Correlation analysis Table 5 above represents the C.R. (Composite Reliability) and AVE (Average Variance Extracted) of the six variables used in this study where the values represents ideal and acceptable score according to statistical experts (McCoach, 2002) including the factor loading score of every single items used in this study. Table 6 below is the representation of correlation analysis. Table 6 above represents the correlation analysis of this study. The result indicates that the results are highly correlated among all the variables used in this study. variable Mean S.D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.Financial(DV) 4.807 .394 1 2. Political 4.588 .401 .32** 0.58 ** 3. Personal 4.510 .399 .30 .47** 0.55 4. Economic 4.445 .371 .29** .48** .39** 0.58 5. Social 4.545 .362 .15** .46** .51** .35** 0.45 ** ** ** ** 6. Security 4.569 .382 .24 .45 .53 .40 .47** 0.53 7.psychological 4.510 .418 .35** .61** .50** .44** .49** .46** 0.58 Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Beta Beta Beta Beta Beta Beta Personal Factors .30*** Political Factors .315*** Social Factors .164** Security Factors .254*** Psychological Factors .338*** . 314*** Economic Factors Observations 400 400 400 400 400 400 R Square .09 .103 .023 .061 .129 .087 Adjusted R Square 0.092 .101 .020 .058 .127 .085 F value 41.456*** 45.640*** 9.292** 25.687*** 58.833*** 37.995*** Table 7: Regression analysis According to the regression analysis described in Table 7, it is clearly observed that the independent variables in this study are correlated and significantly affect the dependent variable of the study. All six hypotheses in this study are supported, which indicates that the financial issue is a major concern due to COVID-19 in HE development in developing countries. Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 442
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Hypotheses design Status H1. There is a positive relationship between personal factors and financial factor Supported H2. There is a positive relationship between political factors and financial factor Supported H3. There is a positive relationship between economic factors and financial factor Supported H4. There is a positive relationship between Social factors and financial factor Supported H5. There is a positive relationship between Security factors and financial factor Supported H6. There is a positive relationship between psychological factors and financial factor Supported Table 8: Hypothesis testing result Financial Assurance 10 Satisfactio Understan 8 n ding 6 4 Importanc 2 Communic e ation 0 Perceptio Expertise n Radar Chart for pursuing Self- higher education criteria Expectatio Developm n ent Figure 4: Radar chart for pursuing higher education criteria As presented in figure 4 above, the radar chart represents the most crucial issue of HE during COVID-19 which is nothing but financial assurance. This criterion is treated as the most important issue due to COVID-19 effects, for achieving quality higher education in developing countries. Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 443
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 School closure - COVID-19 140 133 120 100 80 68.21 60 50 40 25.64 20 4 7 3.59 2.05 1 0.51 0 Closed Closed in Seasonal Open with Open selected area Closures limitations No of countries Percentage Figure 5: School closure status in the world. Source: The World Bank, 2020 Consistent with our research findings, most of the countries in the world closed educational institutions to ensure the safety measures of the students (The World Bank, 2020). To continue smart learning or e-learning, technological support, device management, Apps purchase, Wi-Fi facilities, and so on are major issues in many developing countries in the world. Apart from that, COVID-19 reduced the income level of parents and guardians of the students. As a result, universities should receive the subsidy and sufficient funding to ensure sustainable HE development. Figure 6: Scatterplot Matrix Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 444
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 Figure 6 above is the representation of Social, Psychological, Economic, Personal, Political and Security factors in scatterplot matrix. The graph clearly indicates that economic and social factors are most significant factors in this case and the same representation is observed below in Figure 7 with GGraph analysis. Figure 7: GGraph - Parallel: Social-Psychological-Economic-Personal-Political-Security Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 445
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology ISSN No : 1006-7930 5. IMPLICATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS Theoretical implications This study shows a few important theoretical contributions. First, this study utilizes TAM (Venkatesh, Thong, & Xu, 2012) theory in terms of technology acceptance-based of affordability where TAM is extended in terms of financial capability of the students in developing countries. Second, this study provides insights into the financial assurance in HE sector to ensure sustainable educational development based on smart education and e-learning opportunity due to COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, through the inclusion of the financial assistance is complicated and uncertain, the study added a significant contribution to the current literature to know the fact and plan accordingly. Managerial Implications Due to COVID-19, the HE sector in developing countries is under threat due to technological unavailability and affordability issues. It is very crucial to support the higher education sector with the necessary financing as soon as possible. Some reputed Private Universities in different developing countries are playing a significant role in this phenomenon. The financial crisis should be handled properly otherwise it would be just a dream for many talented students to achieve a higher degree. The Government should take necessary measures to encourage the private sector to play an optimistic role in the enlargement and diversification of quality higher education to uphold quality higher education in the country. Limitations and future research The study covered a very limited number of students in respect of its real scope around a few developing countries. Sometimes respondents may not involve in expressing their truthful opinion due to COVID-19 pandemic and psychological disorder due to an uncertain future. To overcome these limitations, an intensive study of existing literature in this field with a mixed methodology approach may discover the phenomenon better. Data obtained from a few regions may affect the generalizability of the research. Opportunities for potential research have emerged as a result of this research. The study primarily focused on a limited number of university students in few developing nations only. Future research should comprise more universities along with the responses from students, academic staff, administrative staff, and employers. This may provide a better-off data for investigation. Data taken from numerous sources are improved than data taken from a single source (Summers, 2001). Financing for HE for technology-enhanced learning (Webster, 2020) will ensure sustainable academic development in developing nations. Funding: There is no funding received for this research. Conflict of interest: There is no conflict of interest in this study Acknowledgment: The authors sincerely thank Professor Selina Nargis, IUBAT—International University of Business Agriculture and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh, for her encouragement and motivation towards scientific research and publication. The authors are also grateful to the anonymous reviewers for their invaluable feedback and comments. Volume XII, Issue VIII, 2020 Page No: 446
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