Federal Aviation Administration Office of Commercial Space Transportation February 2005
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Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets About FAA/AST About the Office of Commercial Space Transportation The Federal Aviation Administration’s Office of Commercial Space Transportation (FAA/AST) licenses and regulates U.S. commercial space launch and reentry activity, as well as the operation of non-federal launch and reentry sites, as authorized by Executive Order 12465 and Title 49 United States Code, Subtitle IX, Chapter 701 (formerly the Commercial Space Launch Act). FAA/AST’s mission is to ensure public health and safety and the safety of property while protecting the national security and foreign policy interests of the United States during commercial launch and reentry operations. In addition, FAA/AST is directed to encour- age, facilitate, and promote commercial space launches and reentries. Additional information concerning commercial space transportation can be found on FAA/AST’s web site at http://ast.faa.gov. Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation i
About FAA/AST Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets NOTICE Use of trade names or names of manufacturers in this document does not constitute an official endorsement of such products or manufacturers, either expressed or implied, by the Federal Aviation Administration. ii Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Contents Table of Contents Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Vehicles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 Spaceports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 Recent Events in Commercial Suborbital Spaceflight . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 Suborbital Markets - An Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 SRLV Emerging Markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Tourism and Adventure Travel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Science and High-Speed Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Microsatellite Orbital Insertion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Microgravity Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Media, Advertising, and Sponsorship . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Hardware Qualification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Commercial Remote Sensing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Military Surveillance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Space Diving . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 SRLV Long-Term Markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Fast Package Delivery . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 High-Speed Aerospace Transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Launch Company Profiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Acceleration Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Advent Launch Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 American Astronautics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Armadillo Aerospace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Beyond-Earth Enterprises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 High Altitude Research Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Masten Space Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Micro-Space . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 PanAero, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Rocketplane Ltd. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Scaled Composites . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Space Transport Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 SpaceDev . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 TGV Rockets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Vanguard Spacecraft . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 XCOR Aerospace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Space Tourism Company Profiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Incredible Adventures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Space Adventures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Virgin Galactic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation iii
Contents Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Spaceports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 FAA Licensed Spaceports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Mojave Civilian Flight Test Center . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 Proposed Spaceports Seeking an FAA License . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 Oklahoma Spaceport . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 Texas Spaceports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 Appendix: A Brief History of Major U.S. Suborbital Vehicles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 The WAC-Corporal (1944-1950) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 The V-2 (1945-1952) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 The Bumper-WAC (1948-1952) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34 The Viking (1946-1957) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34 The Aerobee (1946-1965) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 The Nike (1946 to present) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 Loki (1951-1985) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Honest John/Taurus (1951 to present) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Terrier (1959-present) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 iv Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Introduction Introduction Suborbital launch activity has long been over- After initially pursuing the orbital satellite looked by the commercial market, which for many market for low Earth orbit (LEO) constellations in years focused exclusively on launching satellites. the mid-and late-1990s which has since collapsed, Suborbital launch operations remained primarily in several launch companies have switched to pursuit the government sector, supporting missile tests and of suborbital vehicles in a new market: public space scientific work, and even there activity declined sig- travel and space tourism. New companies have also nificantly after the end of the Cold War. Recently, started attracting investors in the past four years. however, there has been a resurgence of interest in Much of the interest in suborbital space tourism has commercial suborbital spaceflight, stimulated by the been galvanized by the Ansari X Prize, a $10- emergence of new markets, notably space tourism, million award offered to the builders of the first and new vehicles developed by entrepreneurs. With privately-developed reusable suborbital vehicle the successful claiming of the Ansari X Prize, high capable of carrying three people to 100 kilometers public interest in space travel, and new vehicles (62 miles) altitude twice within two weeks. The under construction, entrepreneurial ventures are prize requirements were formulated to create pushing a new industry forward at a rapid pace. vehicles that serve the space tourism market after winning the prize. In addition, market surveys have The Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles shown considerable interest in suborbital space- (SRLV) and Emerging Markets report provides the flight by members of the public, including those first comprehensive assessment by the Federal able to afford ticket prices of around $100,000 to Aviation Administration’s Office of Commercial $200,000 per flight. Space Transportation (FAA/AST) of the commer- cial suborbital reusable launch industry in the SRLV Proponents anticpate more markets than United States. This document reviews three key space tourism. Vehicles that can fly to altitudes of areas in this commercial suborbital renaissance: 100 kilometers or more can serve commercial, civil, new markets for suborbital spaceflight, companies or military remote sensing markets, filling a niche that are developing vehicles to serve those markets, between aircraft and orbiting spacecraft. The flight and spaceports from which these vehicles can oper- profiles of such vehicles will result in several contin- ate. This report also discusses the recent develop- uous minutes of microgravity, far longer than can be ments in commercial suborbital spaceflight and the created with aircraft like NASA’s KC-135 “Vomit history of suborbital rocketry. Comet,” or its C-9 replacement, which would permit extended microgravity science applications as well Markets as the qualification of experiments intended for flight on the International Space Station. Suborbital One of the biggest challenges for the commer- vehicles can also serve as the first stage of an orbital cial suborbital launch industry-arguably bigger than launch system, carrying an expendable upper stage developing the launch vehicles themselves-has been that could place small spacecraft into orbit at identifying and developing markets that can be potentially far lower costs than existing expendable served by suborbital vehicles. The commercial launch vehicles. Other markets include: advertising, orbital launch industry has the benefit of a major, hardware qualification, remote sensing, and well-defined market: launching spacecraft to serve space diving. telecommunications, remote sensing, and other applications for commercial, civil government and Should some or all of these initial suborbital military clients. By contrast, although there is a markets prove viable, the resulting income will government market for expendable suborbital provide vehicle developers and operators with a launch services, what exists is mostly confined to cash flow that will enable the development of new missile defense and scientific applications that have generations of more capable reusable suborbital little commercial applicability. vehicles. These vehicles, capable of flying to higher Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation 1
Introduction Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets altitudes or longer distances downrange, can in turn microgravity, and lower operating costs. In addi- open new suborbital markets, including rapid deliv- tion, standards for payloads will be important (e.g. ery of critical packages and, eventually, high-speed vehicle interfaces) for suborbital payloads so as to passenger transportation. However, these markets reduce customer dependence on a single launch may take decades to fully develop, as they require services provider. This should have the effect of not just new suborbital vehicles but improvements reducing the risk of scheduling problems, while in the overall transportation infrastructure. fostering competition. Historically, one of the enabling elements for new markets and for market Vehicles expansion has been the development of common industry-wide standards. Suborbital launches predate their orbital counterparts by decades-centuries if one considers Spaceports early rocketry experimentation in Europe and Asia. Existing expendable suborbital rockets can trace The United States currently has 10 commercial their heritage back to the efforts of Robert Goddard and federal spaceports. These facilities, however, are and Wernher von Braun in the 1920s and 1930s. designed primarily to support orbital launch activity, The early rockets were primarily sponsored for as well as a limited number of conventional, non- the development missiles rather than space launch commercial suborbital launches. The established vehicles. After the second world war their uses federal ranges are less well suited, however, to were expanded and they became the forerunners support launch activities by the emerging generation of both orbital and suborbital launch vehicles in of piloted reusable suborbital vehicles. These vehi- use today. cles often do not require the launch pads or range infrastructure of orbital launch vehicles: many need The new generation of commercial suborbital little more than a flat pad or runway, as well as fairly vehicles under development today bears little modest tracking capabilities. Moreover, industry is resemblance to its predecessors. Most of these new concerned about the cost and regulatory burdens of vehicles were designed to be eligible for the Ansari federal launch ranges and co-located spaceports, due X Prize, and thus are designed to safely carry three to suborbital vehicle operators’ desire to fly on flexi- people and be reusable. Beyond that, however, ble schedules and minimize their range fees. In the there were few design restrictions for the prize, and opinion of some potential operators range fees thus there has been an array of different designs put would account for the dominant portion of their forward. Vehicles under development include those operations costs.1 that launch vertically and horizontally, as well as those deployed from aircraft or balloons. Landing To address the needs of suborbital vehicle systems include a combination of wings, jets, operators, several new spaceports specifically rockets, and parachutes. A variety of other unique designed to support commercial suborbital launch design features were also employed to permit the activities have been or are currently being devel- development of reusable suborbital vehicles that oped. Mojave Airport in California is the latest could meet the requirements of the prize. facility to obtain an FAA/AST launch site operator license, in June 2004, specifically to serve subor- Because many of these vehicles are still in the bital vehicles that take off and land horizontally. early development and test stages, it is not clear yet Other spaceports in New Mexico, Oklahoma, and what vehicle designs will prove optimal to serve Texas, are continuing to develop and are seeking commercial suborbital markets. It’s quite possible FAA/AST spaceport licenses in addition to those that different vehicles will emerge to serve different already licensed in California (at Vandenberg Air markets, depending on the unique requirements of Force Base), Florida, Virginia, and Alaska. New those markets and their commercial potential. Mexico was selected to host the X Prize Cup, an Vehicle developers are also considering future gen- exhibition and competition of suborbital vehicles, erations of piloted reusable suborbital spacecraft, scheduled to start in 2006. including those with increased passenger or cargo capacity, higher peak altitudes, increased time in 2 Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Recent Events Recent Events in Commercial Suborbital Spaceflight 2003 October 28: The da Vinci Project of Toronto, Ontario, announced that it will perform the X Prize April 9: Starchaser Industries of Cheshire, qualification flights of its Wild Fire suborbital RLV England, test-fired its Churchill Mk 2 bi-propellant from Kindersley, Saskatchewan. engine for the first time. The engine will be used on the company’s Thunderbird and Thunderstar subor- October 30: FAA/AST determined that XCOR bital RLV vehicles. Aerospace’s launch license application for a manned suborbital RLV was sufficiently complete. April 16: XCOR Aerospace of Mojave, California, announced $187,500 in additional equity invest- November 22: High Altitude Research Corporation ments. The investments qualify the company for a (HARC) of Huntsville, Alabama, unveiled its Defense Department program that matches private Liberator suborbital RLV project. capital four to one. The company will use the investment to develop rocket pump technology December 15: The X Prize adds two teams to its for its planned suborbital RLV. competition: HARC and Space Transport Corporation of Forks, Washington. April 18: Scaled Composites of Mojave, California, unveiled its “Tier One” suborbital December 17: On the centennial of the Wright spaceflight program, consisting of an aircraft, Brothers’ first airplane flight, Scaled Composites White Knight, which carries aloft a rocket-powered conducted the first powered flight of spacecraft, SpaceShipOne. SpaceShipOne, achieving a top speed of Mach 1.2 May 20: Scaled Composites flew the first captive and peak altitude of 20,720 meters (68,000 feet). carry flight of SpaceShipOne and White Knight The company also announced that Microsoft co- from the Mojave Airport in California. founder Paul Allen has been the financial sponsor of the project. June 26: Canadian Arrow of London, Ontario, announced its team of six astronauts - four Canadian, 2004 one American, and one Ukrainian - who will fly the January 12: Rocketplane Ltd. (formerly Pioneer company’s eponymous suborbital RLV. Rocketplane) announced that it had broken ground on facilities at the Oklahoma Spaceport in Burns July 5: Armadillo Aerospace of Mesquite, Texas, Flat, Oklahoma. Those facilities will be used to performed a drop test of a prototype of its Black build and operate its planned suborbital RLV. Armadillo vehicle to test parachute deployment and its crushable nose cone. January 21: The X Prize Foundation selected Florida and New Mexico as finalists to host the X July 22: Starchaser Industries conducted a drop test Prize Cup, a competition among suborbital RLV of its Nova 2 capsule, part of its Thunderbird subor- companies. bital RLV, at Red Lake, Arizona. February 4: The House Science Committee August 7: Scaled Composites flew the first glide approved by voice vote H.R. 3752, the Commercial test of SpaceShipOne, detaching from the White Space Launch Amendments Act of 2004. The legis- Knight carrier aircraft at an altitude of 14,320 lation specifically identifies AST as the regulating meters (47,000 feet) and gliding to a landing at the authority for suborbital spaceflight, establishes an Mojave Airport 19 minutes later. experimental permit system for RLVs, and extends the existing liability regime to cover commercial October 20: The FAA published a notice in the RLV flights, including those carrying passengers. Federal Register officially defining suborbital rockets and suborbital trajectories and stating that vehicles that meet these definitions will be regulated by AST. Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation 3
Recent Events Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets March 4: The House of Representatives approved June 21: Scaled Composites conducted the third H.R. 3752 on a vote of 402-1. powered flight of SpaceShipOne, achieving a maxi- mum speed of Mach 2.9 and a peak altitude of March 28: Space Transport Corporation success- 100,124 meters (328,491 feet). The flight was the fully test-fired its 53,400-newton (12,000-pounds- first time a commercial manned suborbital space- force) solid-propellant engine that will power the craft reached space. The pilot, Michael Melvill, was company’s suborbital RLV. awarded FAA/AST commercial astronaut wings. April 1: FAA/AST awarded a launch license to June 23: Starchaser Industries announced it would Scaled Composites for SpaceShipOne, the first open a U.S. office in Las Cruces, New Mexico, manned suborbital launch license issued by the with plans to begin flight operations from the agency. Southwest Regional Spaceport as early as 2006. April 8: Scaled Composites conducted the second July 22: The Space Commercial Human Ascent powered flight of SpaceShipOne, achieving a top Serving Expeditions (CHASE) Act, S.2722, the speed of Mach 1.6 and peak altitude of 32,000 Senate version of H.R. 3752, was introduced. meters (105,000 feet). July 27: Mojave Aerospace Ventures (the official April 23: FAA/AST awarded a launch license to name of the Ansari X Prize team led by Scaled XCOR Aerospace for its Sphinx manned suborbital Composites and funded by Paul Allen) announced RLV. that it would conduct the first of its two planned Ansari X Prize qualification flights on September May 5: The X Prize announced a multimillion- 29 from Mojave, California. dollar donation from entrepreneurs Anousheh Ansari and Amir Ansari. The prize was renamed the August 5: The da Vinci Project announced that it Ansari X Prize. would conduct the first of its two planned Ansari X Prize qualification flights on October 2 from May 11: The X Prize Foundation selected New Kindersley, Saskatchewan. Mexico as the state where the annual X Prize Cup, a series of flight competitions for suborbital vehi- August 7: A subscale technology demonstration cles, expected to begin in 2006, will be held. vehicle built by Armadillo Aerospace crashed during a test flight in Mesquite, Texas, when the May 17: GoFast, a suborbital rocket built by the vehicle ran out of propellant at an altitude of amateur Civilian Space Exploration Team, achieved approximately 180 meters (600 feet). a maximum altitude of 124 kilometers (77 miles) in a launch from the Black Rock Desert, Nevada. The August 8: Space Transport Corporation’s Rubicon launch was the first time an amateur-built rocket 1 vehicle was destroyed during a test flight near reached space. Queets, Washington, when one of the vehicle’s two solid fuel motors exploded on ignition. June 15: Armadillo Aerospace conducted a successful test flight of its subscale technology August 14: Canadian Arrow conducted a successful demonstrator vehicle in Mesquite, Texas, achieving drop test of its passenger capsule, dropping it 2,400 a maximum altitude of 40 meters (131 feet). meters (7,900 feet) from a helicopter into Lake Ontario near Toronto. June 17: FAA/AST awarded a launch site operator license to the East Kern Airport District to cover August 16: Masten Space Systems, of Santa Clara, suborbital spaceflight activities at Mojave Airport. California, announced that it planned to develop the XA-1, a reusable unmanned suborbital vehicle capa- ble of flying to 100 km altitude to serve microgravity and other research and development markets. 4 Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Recent Events August 17: The da Vinci Project announced it had October 4: SpaceShipOne, piloted by Brian Binnie, changed its name to “The GoldenPalace.com Space completed the second of its two Ansari X Prize Project: Powered by the da Vinci Project.” qualification flights at Mojave Airport, reaching a peak altitude of 112,000 meters (367,442 feet). The September 23: The GoldenPalace.com Space prize judging team declared the flight a success the Project: Powered by the da Vinci Project announced same day, and officially declared Mojave Aerospace that its planned October 2 launch from Kindersley, Ventures, sponsors of the SpaceShipOne team, the Saskatchewan, would be delayed for an unspecified winners of the prize. period because of delays in the availability of a few key components. November 6: Mojave Aerospace Ventures was presented with a check for $10 million dollars and September 25: Beyond-Earth Enterprises of a trophy for capturing the Ansari X Prize in a cere- Colorado Springs, Colorado, conducted two flight mony at the St. Louis Science Center in St. Louis, tests of one-third scale demonstrators of its planned Missouri. recoverable suborbital rocket from Frederick, Oklahoma; one rocket reached an altitude of over November 20: U.S. House of Representative 4,575 meters (15,000 feet). passed H.R. 5382, a revision of H.R. 3752 by a vote of 269 to 120. H.R. 5382 addressed concerns September 29: SpaceShipOne, piloted by Mike about language definining what types of vehicles Melvill, completed the first of its two Ansari X are considered as suborbital, crew safety and Prize qualification flights at Mojave Airport, passengers rights to sue operators. reaching a peak altitude of 102,870 meters (337,500 feet). The prize judging team declared the flight a December 9: U.S. Senate passes H.R. 5382 by a successful attempt the following day. unanimous vote. October 1: The GoldenPalace.com Space Project: Powered by the da Vinci Project announced that Transport Canada, the Canadian equivalent of the U.S. Department of Transportation, had awarded the team a launch license for its Wild Fire vehicle. The license expired on November 1, 2004. October 4: Rocketplane Ltd. announced that it had entered into an agreement with tourism company Incredible Adventures, of Sarasota, Florida, to market tourist flights on Rocketplane’s XP vehicle starting in 2007, at a ticket price of $99,500. Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation 5
Recent Events Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets 6 Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Suborbital Markets - An Overview Suborbital Markets - An Overview Expendable suborbital vehicles have been serving enthusiasts interested in building and launching several distinct markets for over 40 years. However, rockets. These rockets have become more powerful, the suborbital field has seen many changes during and it is possible that a handful of these rocket that time. The use of suborbital vehicles, including amateurs may pursue business plans based on sounding rockets, has dropped considerably since successful vehicle performance. the Cold War period, when several hundred such vehicles were launched annually. Suborbital vehi- Reusable suborbital vehicles, on the other hand, cles were then used predominantly for military and are expected to lead a renaissance in the suborbital scientific research funded almost entirely through marketplace, beginning with human suborbital government budget allocations. Universities were adventure travel. While the idea of a human-rated also major participants in sounding rocket pro- vehicle capable of suborbital missions is not new, grams, a relationship enabled by public funding in the potential for a commercial suborbital industry the form of research grants. However, the number is. Recent studies have demonstrated that customer of Ph.D. theses dedicated to atmospheric or astro- demand for suborbital adventure travel is robust nomical research dependent on sounding rockets enough to get an industry rolling, and it is expected has continually declined since the 1970s. that the winning of the Ansari X Prize will effec- tively initiate this emerging market. During the suborbital heyday of the Cold War, it was not uncommon for more than 700 suborbital Other short-term commercial suborbital markets rockets to be launched annually to serve the mili- that may emerge in the next ten years include tary and scientific markets. Even in the late 1980s science and high-speed research, microsatellite the average number of suborbital rockets launched insertion, microgravity research, hardware qualifi- for military, scientific, and educational purposes cation, military and commercial remote sensing, remained over 300 annually. A significant decrease and advertising and sponsorship. Still more markets in the early 1990s, however, has left the annual are expected to emerge 30-40 years from now, market for suborbital launches at well under 100. when second- and third-generation vehicles allow This decrease in demand for suborbital launches for point-to-point travel and are supported by more has many causes, but three factors appear as the extensive ground infrastructure. most significant. First, with the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 and the end of the Cold War, SRLV Emerging Markets the number of military suborbital research and Tourism and Adventure Travel missile test launches has dropped. Second, students pursuing graduate research appear less likely to do Space tourism and adventure travel is likely so in fields requiring sounding rockets, instead to become the first successful suborbital market to focusing on genetics, microbiology, computer engi- emerge during the next ten years. The birth of this neering, and other disciplines. Finally, traditional market is expected to begin around 2007, spurred in users of suborbital vehicle technology are increas- large part by the emergence of suborbital vehicle ingly turning to other options, such as computer entrepreneurs outside the aerospace industry simulations, stratospheric balloons, and high- mainstream and competitive pursuit of the Ansari altitude aircraft, to perform their research. X Prize, which was won in October 2004. The X Prize Foundation was established in 1996 to award There are, however, a few signs that the number of $10 million to the first team to launch a suborbital expendable suborbital vehicles launched annually reusable launch vehicle (SRLV) capable of carrying will increase in the near future. For example, the three people to an altitude of 100 kilometers, return Department of Defense (DoD) will continue to safely to Earth, and repeat the exercise within two launch interceptor and target vehicles in support of weeks. With patronage from the Ansari family, the an anti-ballistic missile shield. Another positive renamed competition produced a group of 20 plus sign is the growing number of rocket hobbyists and domestic and international contenders and symbol- Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation 7
Suborbital Markets - An Overview Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets izes the introduction of a truly reusable passenger- Aerospace Ventures won the Ansari X Prize, Virgin carrying space launch vehicle. Even though the Galactic alone reported that 7,000 people had regis- Ansari X Prize has been won, SRLV development tered for future tourist flights on a vehicle based on and testing by the various teams is expected to con- SpaceShipOne to be built by Scaled Composites. tinue in pursuit of recognition, business ambitions and other prize competitions. The Foundation will Futron Corporation produced a comprehen- sponsor special events around the world similar in sive report2 of space tourism and adventure travel in principle to air shows, designed to promote nascent 2002. Futron contracted with Zogby International to suborbital markets and provide competitions to survey 450 individuals with annual incomes of at keep innovation thriving. The X Prize Foundation is least $250,000 or a net worth of at least $1 million. attempting to create a new business model for space The study identified realistic price points: between business to include sponsorships. $25,000 and $250,000 per suborbital flight, and $1 million to $25 million per orbital flight. A for- To follow-on the successful X Prize, the X mer Space Shuttle commander with substantial Prize Cup has been announced. The Cup will fea- experience in human spaceflight helped to draft ture a series of cash prize competitions ranging a description of what a realistic space experience from fastest turn-around time, maximum number would be like for a private citizen. of passengers per flight and during the entire Cup event, to maximum altitude attained and fastest The responses gathered from the 450 surveyed flight time from take-off to landing. An overall individuals were analyzed over a period of eight annual X Prize Cup title will also be awarded based months, and profiles of those who were most likely on points in the other competitions. Flight competi- to pay for a space experience were developed. Some tions for the X Prize Cup are scheduled for October 42 percent of the respondents characterized them- 2006. A Public Spaceflight Exhibition is planned selves as either “somewhat likely,” “very likely,” or for October 2005. Both Cup-related events will be “definitely likely” to pay for a suborbital ride, and held in New Mexico. 51 percent of those indicated they would pay at least $25,000 for the privilege. Customer preferences were Unlike the commercial satellite launch market identified for the basic trip scenarios and compared - the focus market of initial RLV entrepreneurs- with the realistic description of a trip to space. the demand for tourism flights is expected to be significant in the coming years. Tourism companies The analysis, which resulted in a 20-year involved with marketing space travel, including forecast of passengers and revenue, did not address Space Adventures, Ltd, Incredible Adventures, and the business case for a suborbital vehicle; rather, it Virgin Galactic, have described a high level of fas- addressed the demand for services that might be cination and interest from the public. After Mojave provided via a suborbital or orbital vehicle. The Table 1: Announced Suborbital Space Tourism Agreements Passengers Tourism Estimated First Advertised Vehicle Passengers Registered for Vehicle Name Marketing Operations Price Per Launch Site Operator Per Flight Future Company* Flight Passenger Flights** Mojave Mojave Airport, Aerospace SpaceShipTwo Virgin Galactic 2007 $190,000 5 7,000 California Ventures, LLC Rocketplane Incredible Burns Flat, Rocketplane XP 2007 $99,500 2 Unannounced Ltd Adventures Oklahoma XCOR Space Mojave Airport, Xerus 2007 $98,000 1 Unannounced Aerospace Adventures California *Some operators have more than one marketing company. **Space Adventures has reported over 100 deposits for space flights for vehicles to be determined. 8 Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Suborbital Markets - An Overview challenge for the aerospace industry is to develop a with no budget to actually launch them. Principal vehicle that can most effectively meet this demand. investigators funded by NASA are unable to select their own commercial launch services because their Results of the study showed that demand for experiment funding includes money to launch on suborbital space adventure travel exists, and that it government-built suborbital vehicles, typically from remains latent because of a lack of vehicles. Once Wallops Flight Facility in Virginia. This has led to vehicles are introduced (and the assumption for U.S. government control of the vehicle market for purposes of the study was that such vehicles could civil science payloads. carry two passengers), the study forecast that a total of almost 16,500 people could be traveling to Because of recent budget cuts to NASA’s suborbital altitudes by the year 2021. Those passen- sounding rocket program, fewer launches are gers would pay suborbital vehicle operators fares expected and scientific review panels are taking that, combined, would total an estimated $800 fewer risks.3 The cost of launching solar and astro- million in revenues. physics missions requiring higher performance vehicles and recoverable payloads from White It should be noted that this study focused on Sands Missile Range is no longer affordable.4 suborbital and orbital passenger flights, and did not address demand for other services in detail. In addi- New, reusable suborbital launch vehicle firms tion, the scope for the study did not focus on the believe they can offer more frequent flight opportu- support infrastructure necessary to sustain the pro- nities at similar or lower costs than NASA if jected number of flights. It is possible that addition- science investigators were given funding vouchers al, perhaps more significant, sources of revenue for selecting their own launch vehicles. resulting from suborbital activity will emerge. Additional space tourism studies have been done by A small but proven international commercial Space Adventures, NASA, National Space Society, market for expendable suborbital vehicles has been and Patrick Collins among others. a high-speed test bed for scientific experiments. Australia’s University of Queensland flew two Science and High-Speed Research supersonic combustion ramjet (scramjet) test mis- sions called Hyshot from Woomera, Australia, on Not long after rockets were invented, it Astrotech’s Terrier-Orion vehicles. Even though the became clear that instruments for measuring the launch was not conducted for or by the U.S. gov- upper atmosphere, imaging the Sun, and otherwise ernment, the Terrier-Orion vehicle was built by an studying the environment many hundreds of American company, Astrotech and therefore these kilometers above the Earth could be installed as missions were licensed by the FAA. The 2001 and payloads. In the earliest cases, data was retrieved 2002 flights will be repeated with future missions on tapes that returned to Earth after a short flight. by DTI (formerly Astrotech), possibly in 2005. Often the data was destroyed, but sometimes it returned intact and revealed information about the Other countries have emerged as major ionosphere and the Sun’s corona. Launching spe- providers of suborbital launch services, including cialized suborbital rockets (sounding rockets are so Norway, Japan, Brazil, and India. No particular named because they have been primarily limited to country dominates the field of suborbital high- atmospheric research,) has continued to this day, altitude research. but at a much reduced level. SRLVs may introduce a resurgence in subor- Since 1989, the FAA has licensed 14 subor- bital high-altitude research, perhaps akin to the bital launches by expendable vehicles, all connect- phenomenally successful joint NASA-Air Force ed to government sponsors. For most universities X-15 vehicle flights of the 1960s. One advantage of with interest in flying space science experiments the X-15, beyond its high speed, was the ability to and satellites, cost is the primary issue. Launches change out instrument racks quickly and efficiently, have been difficult to fund without government reducing turn-around time in order to accommodate support: some universities build complete satellites researchers’ schedules. Such an approach would be Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation 9
Suborbital Markets - An Overview Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets ideal for a commercial vehicle used for research several of their satellites remain on the shelves and other purposes. In addition, a single SRLV can because universities simply cannot afford the be used to monitor the Earth’s upper atmosphere launch costs. The satellite may cost as little as a over the span of many years at potentially a much few thousand dollars, but the launch is orders of lower total cost than to conduct the same research magnitude more expensive. If a vehicle could using many expendable rockets. launch them at lower costs, OSSS foresees thou- sands of its satellites being launched annually in Microsatellite Orbital Insertion twenty years. Suborbital vehicles can be designed as a first Similarly, agencies like DARPA have stage for launching small satellites into LEO. an interest in studying technologies related to Essentially, a piloted SRLV would reach a specific microsatellites, including constellations of maneu- altitude determined by such parameters as orbit verable mini-spacecraft. Some high technology desired, atmospheric conditions, and mass of the research and development efforts end without payload, and then release an upper stage with the achieving actual space testing. If the price tag payload attached. The upper stage - in much the of such projects could be reduced by utilizing same way an upper stage would send a satellite to inexpensive launch options, more money could geosynchronous orbit (GEO) after separating from be spent on satellites and related technologies. an orbital launch vehicle - would boost the small satellite to the required orbit. The SRLV would then Microgravity Research coast back to a landing site, either powered or unpowered depending on the design. SRLVs may participate in and stimulate microgravity research. While suborbital RLVs cannot A similar concept already being pursued by match the extended microgravity research possible in the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency orbit, more experiments can be sent up than might be (DARPA) is called RASCAL, or Responsive otherwise possible for customers waiting for orbital Access, Small Cargo, Affordable Launch. RASCAL flights with a faster turnaround. SRLVs can also will be composed of an air-breathing first stage allow researchers greater flexibility at lower costs capable of reaching 61 kilometers (200,000 ft) alti- than for researchers who must depend on the occa- tude while carrying a small upper stage. The com- sional orbital launch that costs hundreds of millions plete system will be capable of deploying 50 kilo- of dollars. For example, physiological research gram (110 pound) microsatellites directly into could be conducted on a routine basis, a particular- orbits with any inclination. The RASCAL vehicle ly useful scenario if the vehicle can maneuver (as will be able to take off within one hour of a launch opposed to a ballistic vehicle whose maneuverability command and refly again within 24 hours at a cost is relatively limited). Indeed, the researcher himself of no more than $750,000 per flight. The program or herself can go along for the ride on a SRLV, rather has progressed past the Preliminary Design Review than depend on a professional astronaut who must stage due to the efforts of the Space Launch be trained. Corporation contractor team. Phase 3 development is scheduled to begin during 1st quarter of 2005. Media, Advertising, and Sponsorship During Phase 3 prototype vehicles will be construt- Entertainment media outlets, advertising ed. The first satellite launches are expected to occur agencies, and sponsorship by a wide variety of in 2008.5 interested parties is expected to show interest in new suborbital launch vehicles. While these groups The market for microsatellites is not well will not necessarily purchase a launch, they will understood, but enough data exists to indicate that provide an important source of revenue for SRLV at least two customer groups would be interested in operators. In addition, it is probable that there will a very low-cost method of launching “throwaway” be an initial spike of interest among these groups to microsatellites. One Stop Satellite Solutions exploit the “newness” of SRLV technologies, fol- (OSSS), based in Utah, builds microsatellites pri- lowed by a gradual flattening out as the overall mar- marily for university clients. According to OSSS, ket matures. Feature and documentary filmmakers 10 Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Suborbital Markets - An Overview may have an interest in pursuing new opportunities exploited in orbit is granting astronauts the right to presented by access to space on suborbital vehicles. utilize a product in space in exchange for the novel- The Discovery Channel paid for rights to telecast ty of simply seeing the product used in space. two documentaries about the Ansari X Prize in October 2004. Similarly, access to Russian sub- Public sponsorship through the collection of mersibles, previously unavailable to the commercial monies from interested organizations and individu- sector, allowed filmmaker James Cameron to visit als to create prizes to be awarded for a variety of the sunken Titanic up close for the movie “Titanic” contests related to SRLVs, such as the Ansari X and documentary “Ghosts of the Abyss.” Realistic Prize and the X Prize Cup will perhaps profoundly microgravity scenes in “Apollo 13” were filmed affect the development of SRLVs. Contests take aboard a modified KC-135 (“Vomit Comet”) air- advantage of the competitive streak in human plane, which has since been turned into a commer- beings and promote creativity, innovation, and cial business by the Zero-Gravity Corporation. teamwork, often across traditional political barriers. Commercial SRLV operators may provide a new These contests by necessity break through stagnant outlet for visual entertainment in the decades ahead. thinking and the status quo, which is why they are effective in jump-starting emerging markets. Advertising is a tried-and-true method of selling products and ideas. Commercial SRLVs, and Prizes sponsored by companies and wealthy even non-commercial ones, will likely be embla- investors were awarded for a variety of aviation zoned with the livery of the manufacturers and firsts and were key motivators in sparking what has sponsors in the same tradition we see today with become the commercial aviation industry today. orbital launch vehicles. It is rare that a third party Prizes often promote more spending than the amount will pay for the privilege to advertise on a launch of the purse. They allow the promoter to advance his vehicle, but it has been done. Pizza Hut, in one goal without choosing a technology or a vehicle. famous example, paid to have its logo pasted to the Development of the required technology often con- side of a Russian Proton vehicle. During the final tinues after the reward has been claimed. An histori- Ansari X Prize qualifying flight SpaceShipOne cal example of this is the Vin Fiz-sponsored cross featured the Virgin Group logo on its fuselage. country flight in 1911, in which Cal Rogers flew a Wright Flyer from Long Island to Long Beach in Advertising could also come from companies pursuit of the Hearst Prize. Publisher William who provided subcomponents, engineering, design, Randolph Hearst offered a $50,000 prize to the first and other services for the prime contractor or SRLV aviator to cross the country in 30 days or less. operator. Other opportunities exist for non-profit Rogers took 84 days, 16 stops and endured 19 crash- organizations and political campaigns. SRLVs es during the flight, but kept going even after it was present a unique opportunity for advertisers not clear he could not win the prize. In a more recent only because of their novelty, but also because example, Canada’s Da Vinci Project, Canadian SRLVs represent an opportunity to link the once- Arrow, America’s Armadillo Aerospace and others distant idea of space with the average consumer. have continued development of their vehicles, even Media exposure also makes SRLV advertising though Mojave Aerospace Ventures has already won attractive to potential advertisers. the Ansari X Prize. Finally, sponsorship, which has a long history Hardware Qualification in jump-starting nascent markets, will have a role Another potential use of SRLVs would be to to play as the emerging SRLV industry gains a subject equipment to the launch and microgravity foothold. Sponsorship can come in a variety of environment prior to certification on manned space forms, including sending people into space as a platforms like the International Space Station. result of winning a lottery or prize paid for by the However, this market would compete with cheaper sponsor, or providing astronauts and passengers testing methods currently available such as with jumpsuits covered in patches representing aircraft and ground-based load-testing facilities. donor organizations (similar to the suits worn by Furthermore, the loads offered by the piloted NASCAR drivers). Another opportunity already Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation 11
Suborbital Markets - An Overview Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets vehicles currently in development might only be over selected territories. Remote sensing satellites, attractive to equipment developers intending their in contrast, orbit high above the Earth providing hardware for transport and use aboard manned space essentially the same types of services at less expen- vehicles. Unmanned rockets subject equipment to sive rates relative to aerial methods, though gener- sounds, loads, and vibrations in excess of human ally with a slightly degraded resolution (this is rap- tolerances. Aircraft offer about 30 seconds of idly changing, however). Also, real-time commer- microgravity during the arcing flight paths they use cial satellite remote sensing products are not yet to generate microgravity conditions. The current available. Some emerging SRLV businesses have generation of SRLVs while offering several minutes recognized a “gap” between altitudes exploited by of microgravity, are not envisioned to conduct air- aerial platforms and those occupied by LEO satel- craft style flight profiles. SRLV operators would lites. This niche, the suborbital remote sensing have to develop a method to repeat or extend the realm, may prove useful for some clients interested microgravity times during a single flight in order to in high-resolution, quick-turnaround imagery cover- offer a competing experience to hardware develop- ing a larger area than an aircraft could. A satellite ers. The aircraft in current use also offer more could cover the same area, but its orbit may not tra- volume for experimentation. While no SRLVs are verse the area of interest for several days. currently being offered with similar accommoda- tions, as the designs mature larger vehicles may Potential clients include disaster relief agen- appear. However, it is conceivable that if an cies, insurance companies, oil companies, interna- equipment item is small enough to share a flight tional banks, meteorologists, and military organiza- with other cargo or passengers then cost might tions. These groups have a strong interest in inex- become low enough to make SRLVs a viable pensive, real-time, high-resolution, quick-turn- alternative to established methods of manned around remote sensing products. The challenge for flight hardware qualifications. commercial SRLV operators will be to keep the cost of operating and maintaining their SRLVs low, Commercial Remote Sensing so that inexpensive services relative to aerial plat- forms can be provided. And like aircraft, a SRLV The remote sensing industry consists of conducting remote sensing flights would need to four main parts: aerial imagery, ground stations, operate near the target area of interest. The flexibil- value-added products (often called geographic ity of operating from multiple locations and local information systems, or GIS), and satellites. Total airspace regulations would need to be considered. sales for all sectors of the U.S. remote sensing Some emerging SRLV providers, like TGV industry amounted to an estimated $2 billion in Rockets, expect to reap the benefits of this 2001, with the bulk attributable to the sales of GIS untapped market. software and services and aerial imagery. Worldwide sales of raw commercial satellite remote sensing Military Surveillance imagery generated an estimated $200 million in revenues for 2001, with a projected revenue total Collection of national security imagery is approaching $500 million by 2010. done by both aerial platforms and satellites. Crewed aircraft have been used by the military for almost a Typical platforms (aircraft and satellites) host century. Uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) are a suite of passive sensors designed to detect reflect- relatively new to modern warfare, with projections ed light and include panchromatic (visible imagery, showing that many such vehicles will be flying such as that produced by a camera) and infrared around the war zones of the future. As it is today, (IR) sensors. Active sensors providing radar and these systems cover several “layers” in terms of lidar imagery are also examples of services offered remote sensing platforms. Satellites adequately by aerial and satellite remote sensing providers. cover the ultimate high ground but have limited While aerial imagery is obtained relatively close to maneuvering ability, while UAVs and crewed the Earth, yielding high-resolution imagery and reconnaissance aircraft like the U-2 are deployed real-time data across a broad spectrum, the services within the Earth’s atmosphere and are highly provided are expensive. In addition, legal and inter- maneuverable. national restrictions prevent aircraft from flying 12 Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation
Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Emerging Markets Suborbital Markets - An Overview Suborbital launch vehicle remote sensing sys- sport called “spacediving.”8 As Canadian Arrow tems have been proposed as a method of “filling in” envisions it, future spacedivers could routinely take the layer between satellites and aircraft. Such a 60-second suborbital flights, reach apogee, then system is envisioned by TGV Rockets, as a “pop-up” proceed to jump out while wearing a counter pres- capability giving military leaders a near real-time sure suit, and free fall to Earth from an altitude of snapshot (perhaps even video for short periods) 64 kilometers (40 miles) or more. Today, reaching of theater-wide operations. TGV plans to offer its an altitude of 37,000 meters (121,400 feet) to make mobile platform launched MICHELLE B vehicle a high-altitude jump requires a balloon ride of for this purpose.6 The challenge for suborbital many hours. An SRLV, on the other hand, could systems is to be cost-competitive with other take spacedivers from the ground to this altitude in aerial vehicles while offering unique services. minutes. This sport will likely start with jumps ini- tially at lower altitude; with higher record-breaking Space Diving jumps following as experience is gained. During the late 1950s and early 1960s, the Space diving could bring about new advances U.S. Navy and the U.S. Air Force conducted in spacesuit design. One anticipated development manned parachute jumps from high altitude bal- is the counter pressure suit. This type of suit uses loons, prior to the first NASA Mercury astronaut elastic material instead of gas pressure to protect suborbital and orbital missions. Joe Kittinger of the an astronaut from the vacuum of space. United States Air Force, who successfully jumped from an altitude of 31,300 meters (102,800 feet) in A detailed market analysis on the demand for 1960, currently holds the world record for a human space diving remains to be pursued. According to high-altitude dive.7 During the 1960s, the National Christchurch Parachute School in New Zealand, Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) researched orbital escape systems for astronauts. “there are a growing number of people who are Several “space parachutes” were designed featuring trying skydiving in the search for the ultimate maneuvering thrusters, conical drag skirts, inflat- leisure activity. Consequently, the skydiving able cones, and spray-on ablative shielding to industry is experiencing rapid growth in the protect a single astronaut during reentry. It was adventure tourism market to cater for this need. concluded that a self-contained ballistic recovery This demand is creating a whole new industry system could be designed to bring a stranded for people to become involved in and creating astronaut safely to the ground. many new full-time positions not previously considered as serious career options.” Recently, there have been plans by some to break Joe Kittinger’s 31-kilometer (19 miles) alti- If leisure skydiving is increasing in popularity, it tude record. Several teams from across the globe stands to reason that a small but growing minority are intent on jumping from altitudes of almost 45 will be interested in pushing the envelope ever kilometers (28 miles). Some of the competitors are: higher. Skydivers will make excellent suborbital Cheryl Sterns, who will make an attempt from an customers, as they understand safety procedures undisclosed site in the western United States during and systems. The adventurous few who have made September 2005; Michel Fournier of France; and high-altitude jumps will be familiar with oxygen Rodd Millner of Australia. These jumps will be systems and high-altitude survival. conducted using stratospheric balloons. The balloon is the limiting factor for the world record pursuers. SRLV Long-Term Markets The use of an SRLV, which is less reliant on atmos- pheric conditions, will allow competitors to easily Fast Package Delivery break any previously held altitude records using In a typical business as services become more balloons as platforms. efficient, competition will become fiercer and cus- tomers will demand more. Delivering packages is The Canadian Arrow team, a competitor for an excellent example of this phenomenon. Consider the Ansari X Prize, is proposing a new extreme that before 1973, when Federal Express began Federal Aviation Administration/Office of Commercial Space Transportation 13
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