Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI

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Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
applied
           sciences
Article
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral
Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes
William Araujo         and Christian Ledezma *
 Department of Structural and Geotechnical Engineering, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile,
 Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Santiago 7820436, Chile; wsaraujo@uc.cl
 * Correspondence: cledezma@uc.cl; Tel.: +56-2-2354-4207
                                                                                                     
 Received: 11 August 2020; Accepted: 13 September 2020; Published: 18 September 2020                 

 Abstract: Liquefaction-induced lateral spreading can induce significant deformations and damage in
 existing structures, such as ports, bridges, and pipes. Past earthquakes have caused this phenomenon
 in coastal areas and rivers in many parts of the world. Current lateral spreading prediction models
 tend to either overestimate or underestimate the actual displacements by a factor of two or more when
 applied to large subduction earthquake events. The purpose of this study was to identify ground
 motion intensity measures and soil parameters that better correlate with observed lateral spreading
 under large-magnitude (Mw ≥ 7.5) subduction earthquakes that have occurred in countries like Chile,
 Japan, and Peru. A numerical approach was first validated against centrifuge and historical cases and
 then used to generate parametric models on which statistical analysis was applied. Our results show
 that cumulative absolute velocity (CAV), Housner intensity (HI), and sustained maximum velocity
 (SMV) have a reasonably good correlation with lateral spreading for the analyzed cases.

 Keywords: lateral spreading; parametric study; subduction earthquakes

1. Introduction
      Several models, either analytical, empirical, or computational, have been formulated to predict
the behavior of liquefiable soils and to anticipate the amount of lateral displacements that can
be generated during earthquakes. The purpose has been to provide recommendations for the
design of, e.g., foundations and embankments to mitigate losses in the case of future earthquakes
(Valsamis et al. (2010) [1]). An evaluation of currently used empirical models (Bartlett et al. (1995) [2],
Faris et al. (2006) [3], Zhang et al. (2012) [4], Youd et al. (2002) [5], Rauch et al. (2006) [6]) was
made by Tryon (2014) [7] and Williams (2015) [8] using historical cases of large-magnitude subduction
earthquakes. They found weaknesses in those empirical models. Firstly, there was a lack of historical
case data with earthquakes of moment magnitudes greater than 8 (the only historical case was the 1964
Alaska Mw 9.2 earthquake). Secondly, the term referring to the distance from the site to the seismic
source (R) is more challenging to determine when dealing with large magnitude earthquakes.
      The main aim of this paper is to investigate, using an appropriate numerical model
(Elgamal et al. (2002) [9]), the effects of different geotechnical and seismic parameters on the amount
of lateral spreading in free-field conditions during large-magnitude subduction earthquakes.

2. Background of Lateral Spreading in Subduction Earthquakes
     Current techniques used to predict liquefaction-induced lateral spreading are mostly empirical
(Bray et al. (2010) [10]). Observations from recent earthquakes have shown that these models become
inaccurate when extrapolated beyond their limits, such as large-magnitude events or different fault
types. In this section, the phenomena of liquefaction and lateral spreading and the issues with current
prediction models, when applied to subduction earthquakes, are described.

Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503; doi:10.3390/app10186503                               www.mdpi.com/journal/applsci
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Liquefaction is a relevant soil phenomenon for geotechnical design as it may cause local or global
failures of foundations and even the collapse of complete structures (Jia (2017) [13]). Among the
potential
Appl.          consequences
      Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER   ofREVIEW
                                     soil liquefaction, one of the most dangerous ones is lateral spreading. 2Youd                         of 21
(2018)[12] defined this phenomenon as the horizontal displacement of a soil layer riding on liquefied
2.1.
soil Liquefaction
Appl.  either
      Sci. 2020,down  anda Lateral
                 10, 6503    gentleSpreading
                                       slope or toward a free face like a river channel (Figure 2). When                                 2 ofthe
                                                                                                                                              21
underlying
      The word   soilliquefaction
                        layer liquefies,was the firstnon-liquefied
                                                       used after theupper  1964 soil    crustMw7.6
                                                                                   Niigata       continues      moving(Kawata
                                                                                                          earthquake         down until  et al.it
reaches
2018         a  new   equilibrium
       [11]). This phenomenon           position.      Figure      3  shows    two    recent   examples      of   liquefaction-induced
                                          is defined as a change of the soil phase from a solid to a liquid state due
2.1. Liquefaction      and Lateral Spreading
lateral
to         spreading:
   pore water      pressure(1) west    levee and
                                increment,       of thetheWestside
                                                             correspondingMain loss
                                                                                  Canal    in the 2010
                                                                                       of effective         Sierra
                                                                                                       stress,   duringEl Mayor       Mw 7.1
                                                                                                                           an earthquake
(Figure 1). As Youd (2018) [12] indicated, when an earthquake occurs, waves propagate through[11]).
       The
earthquake,  word   liquefaction
                  where     a        was
                              cumulative   first  used   after
                                                horizontal      the  1964  Niigata
                                                                displacement       ofMw7.6
                                                                                       more   earthquake
                                                                                              than   1  m    (Kawata
                                                                                                           was    observed et  al.  2018
                                                                                                                                (Figure     3a),
                                                                                                                                            the
This
and   phenomenon
       (2)  the  Muzoi    is defined
                           Bridge    inas   a
                                          the  change
                                                2005      of
                                                        Nias  the  soil
                                                                Island  phase
                                                                          Mw    from
                                                                                8.6     a solid
                                                                                     earthquake, to a  liquid
                                                                                                      where
soil, shear strains increase, pore water pressure goes up, and the intergranular forces get reduced. As         state
                                                                                                                a       due
                                                                                                                   lateral    to pore
                                                                                                                             movement    waterof
pressure
morewater
pore     than increment,
                4pressures
                  m towards   and   theriver
                                  the
                                reach    acorresponding
                                                 on both
                                            critical             loss
                                                             sides
                                                        level,    andofof  effective
                                                                         the
                                                                        the  bridge    stress,
                                                                                       was
                                                                             intergranular       during
                                                                                             reported
                                                                                                 stresses  anapproach
                                                                                                                earthquake
                                                                                                          (Figure     3b). zero,   (Figure
                                                                                                                                      the soil1).
As  Youd      (2018)
       Prediction     [12]
                       of    indicated,
                           lateral          when
                                     spreading
behavior goes from a solid to a viscous liquid state. an
                                                      is   earthquake
                                                          essential         occurs,
                                                                       because     it waves
                                                                                      can      propagate
                                                                                            cause   damage     through
                                                                                                                  to  the   the    soil,
                                                                                                                            overlying    shear
                                                                                                                                           and
strains
subsurfaceincrease,
      Liquefaction     pore
                         is a water
                 infrastructure,      pressure
                               relevant andsoilthe   goes
                                                       amount
                                                  phenomenon up, and  forthe
                                                                     of      intergranular
                                                                          displacement
                                                                          geotechnical       mayforces
                                                                                            design   as get
                                                                                                     influencereduced.
                                                                                                         it may             As pore
                                                                                                                     the design
                                                                                                                   cause    local        water
                                                                                                                                        of   the
                                                                                                                                     or global
pressures
failures    ofreach
infrastructure         a criticaland
                     concerning
                foundations         level,
                                     theeven andthe
                                           decision thecollapse
                                                           intergranular
                                                         to, for instance,    stresses
                                                                               perform
                                                                      of complete         approach      zero,
                                                                                           soil improvement
                                                                                       structures     (Jia      the in
                                                                                                            (2017)    soil
                                                                                                                         thebehavior
                                                                                                                       [13]).  area
                                                                                                                                Among     goes
                                                                                                                                      affected
                                                                                                                                            the
from
by      a
     this solid   to
           phenomenona  viscous    liquid
                               (Bray  et     state.
                                           al.  (2017)    [10]).
potential consequences of soil liquefaction, one of the most dangerous ones is lateral spreading. Youd
(2018)[12] defined this phenomenon as the horizontal displacement of a soil layer riding on liquefied
soil either down a gentle slope or toward a free face like a river channel (Figure 2). When the
underlying soil layer liquefies, the non-liquefied upper soil crust continues moving down until it
reaches a new equilibrium position. Figure 3 shows two recent examples of liquefaction-induced
lateral spreading: (1) west levee of the Westside Main Canal in the 2010 Sierra El Mayor Mw 7.1
earthquake, where a cumulative horizontal displacement of more than 1 m was observed (Figure 3a),
and (2) the Muzoi Bridge in the 2005 Nias Island Mw 8.6 earthquake, where a lateral movement of
more than 4 m towards the river on both sides of the bridge was reported (Figure 3b).
     Prediction of lateral spreading is essential because it can cause damage to the overlying and
subsurface infrastructure, and the amount of displacement may influence the design of the
infrastructure concerning the decision to, for instance, perform soil improvement in the area affected
by this phenomenon (Bray et al. (2017) [10]).

      Figure
      Figure 1.
             1. Liquefaction
                Liquefaction mechanism:
                             mechanism: soil
                                        soil particles
                                             particles floating
                                                       floating due
                                                                due to
                                                                    to the increment of
                                                                       the increment of pore
                                                                                        pore water
                                                                                             water pressure.
                                                                                                   pressure

     Liquefaction is a relevant soil phenomenon for geotechnical design as it may cause local or global
failures of foundations and even the collapse of complete structures (Jia (2017) [13]). Among the
potential consequences of soil liquefaction, one of the most dangerous ones is lateral spreading.
Youd (2018) [12] defined this phenomenon as the horizontal displacement of a soil layer riding on
liquefied soil either down a gentle slope or toward a free face like a river channel (Figure 2). When the
underlying soil layer liquefies, the non-liquefied upper soil crust continues moving down until it
reaches a new equilibrium position. Figure 3 shows two recent examples of liquefaction-induced lateral
spreading: (1) west levee of the Westside Main Canal in the 2010 Sierra El Mayor Mw 7.1 earthquake,
where a cumulative     horizontal
                   Figure         displacement
                          2. Schematic            of more
                                       representation       thanspreading
                                                      of lateral 1 m was(Youd
                                                                          observed  (Figure
                                                                               (2018) [12]). 3a), and (2) the
Muzoi Bridge in the 2005 Nias Island Mw 8.6 earthquake, where a lateral movement of more than 4 m
towards the river on both sides of the bridge was reported (Figure 3b).
      Figure 1. Liquefaction mechanism: soil particles floating due to the increment of pore water pressure

                        Figure
                        Figure 2.
                               2. Schematic
                                  Schematic representation
                                             representation of
                                                            of lateral
                                                               lateral spreading
                                                                       spreading (Youd (2018) [12]).
                                                                                 (Youd (2018) [12]).
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                                  3 of 21
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW                                                                                   3 of 21

                             (a)                                                             (b)
      Figure 3. Historical
                Historicalcases
                             casesof oflateral
                                        lateralspread:
                                                 spread:(a)
                                                          (a)lateral
                                                               lateralspread
                                                                       spreadground
                                                                                 groundfailure
                                                                                            failurenear
                                                                                                    nearthe
                                                                                                          thewest
                                                                                                              westlevee ofof
                                                                                                                    levee
      Westside Main Canal
                      Canal in in the
                                  the 2010
                                      2010Sierra
                                             SierraEl
                                                    ElMayor
                                                        MayorMw7.1
                                                                Mw7.1earthquake
                                                                         earthquake(photo
                                                                                        (phototaken
                                                                                                 takenbybyJohn
                                                                                                            JohnTinsley onon
                                                                                                                  Tinsley
      4/7/10, Mccrick et
                      et al.
                         al. (2011)
                              (2011)[14]);
                                      [14]);(b)
                                             (b)lateral
                                                 lateralspread
                                                         spreadaffecting
                                                                  affectingthethepiers
                                                                                  piersofofthe
                                                                                             theMuzoi
                                                                                                 Muzoi  Bridge
                                                                                                         Bridgeinin
                                                                                                                  the 2005
                                                                                                                    the 2005
      Nias Island Mw   8.6 earthquake     (modified   from  Aydan     et al.
                  Mw 8.6 earthquake (modified from Aydan et al. (2005) [15]).(2005) [15]).

       Prediction
2.2. Lateral         of lateral
              Spreading            spreading
                            Prediction  Modelsis essential because it can cause damage to the overlying and
subsurface infrastructure, and the amount of displacement may influence the design of the infrastructure
       Most of the lateral spreading prediction models are empirical. They use regression procedures
concerning the decision to, for instance, perform soil improvement in the area affected by this
to fit equations with field case histories (Hamada et al. (1987) [16], Bartlett and Youd (1995) [2], Youd
phenomenon (Bray et al. (2017) [10]).
et al. (2002) [5]). These models take different algebraic forms, and they rely on parameters such as
the liquefiable
2.2.               soil’s thickness,
      Lateral Spreading      Predictiondensity,
                                         Models and fines content; earthquake magnitude; and site-to-source
distance. Semi-empirical models (Zhang et al. (2004) [17]; Faris et al. (2006) [3]) use other variables,
       Most strain
like shear    of the ratios
                      lateralandspreading    prediction
                                    earthquake     intensitymodels    are empirical.
                                                               measures,    such as peakThey   use regression
                                                                                             surface   acceleration.procedures
                                                                                                                        Table
to  fit equations
1 shows               with field
           a list of existing        casespreading
                                 lateral  histories prediction
                                                       (Hamada modelset al. (1987)    [16],main
                                                                              and their     Bartlett   and Youd (1995) [2],
                                                                                                 variables.
Youd et al. (2002) [5]). These models take different algebraic forms, and they rely on parameters such
as the liquefiable soil’s thickness,  Tabledensity,   and
                                             1. Lateral     fines content;
                                                         spreading           earthquake
                                                                     prediction  models. magnitude; and site-to-source
distance. Semi-empirical models (Zhang et al. (2004) [17]; Faris et al. (2006) [3]) use other variables,
            Author(s)                                                       Variables
like shear strain ratios and earthquake intensity measures, such as peak surface acceleration. Table 1
  Hamada et al. (1987) [16]            Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer
shows a list of existing lateral spreading prediction models and their main variables.
  Bartlett and Youd (1995)             Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
  [2]                                  average grain size, earthquake magnitude, horizontal distance from
                                       Table 1. Lateral spreading prediction models.
                                       the site to the seismic energy source.
  Youd et al. (2002)      [5]
                      Author(s)        Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable
                                                                                Variables layer, fines content,
         Hamada et al. (1987) [16]     average   grain   size,  earthquake    magnitude,
                                                 Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable  horizontal
                                                                                                 layer distance from
         Bartlett and Youd (1995) [2]  the site to  the  seismic   energy   source.
                                                 Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
  Zhang et al. (2004) [17]             Ground average      grain size,of
                                                 slope, thickness       earthquake   magnitude,
                                                                          the liquefiable   layer,horizontal    distance
                                                                                                    shear strain,
                                                 from   the site to the seismic  energy  source.
                                       earthquake magnitude, depth to the liquefiable layer.
         Youd et al. (2002) [5]                  Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
  Faris et al. (2006) [3]              Seismic coefficient,     earthquake magnitude, horizontal distance from
                                                 average grain size, earthquake magnitude, horizontal distance
                                       the site to  thethe
                                                 from    seismic
                                                            site toenergy   source.
                                                                    the seismic  energy source.
  OlsonZhang
          and Jhonson       (2008)
                  et al. (2004)  [17] Ground Ground
                                                  slope, thickness     of the of
                                                           slope, thickness   liquefiable   layer,layer,
                                                                                 the liquefiable    finesshear
                                                                                                           content,
                                                                                                                strain,
  [18]                                 average earthquake
                                                 grain size, magnitude,
                                                                earthquakedepth     to the liquefiable
                                                                              magnitude,     horizontal  layer.
                                                                                                            distance from
         Faris et al. (2006) [3]                 Seismic
                                       the site to         coefficient,
                                                    the seismic         earthquake
                                                                   energy   source,magnitude,      horizontal
                                                                                      post-liquefaction         distance
                                                                                                            undrained
                                                 from the site to the seismic energy source.
         Olson and Jhonson (2008)shear  [18] strength.
                                                 Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
  Zhang et al. (2012) [4]              Ground average
                                                 slope, thickness
                                                           grain size,of  the liquefiable
                                                                        earthquake          layer,horizontal
                                                                                     magnitude,     fines content,
                                                                                                                distance
                                       average from
                                                 grainthesize,
                                                            sitepseudo-spectral     displacement.
                                                                 to the seismic energy   source, post-liquefaction
  Gillins and Bartlett (2014) Ground undrained                 shear strength.
                                                  slope, thickness     of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
         Zhang et al. (2012) [4]                 Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
  [19]                                 average grain size, earthquake magnitude, horizontal distance from
                                                 average grain size, pseudo-spectral displacement.
                                       the site to the seismic energy source.
  Pirhadi et al. (2019) [20]           Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
                                       average grain size, earthquake magnitude, cumulative absolute
                                       velocity, peak ground acceleration.
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                                        4 of 21

                                                           Table 1. Cont.

                      Author(s)                                                    Variables
         Gillins and Bartlett (2014) [19]          Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
                                                   average grain size, earthquake magnitude, horizontal distance
                                                   from the site to the seismic energy source.
         Pirhadi et al. (2019) [20]                Ground slope, thickness of the liquefiable layer, fines content,
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW             average grain size, earthquake magnitude, cumulative             4 of 21
                                                   absolute velocity, peak ground acceleration.
2.3. Current Models and Large-Magnitude Subduction Earthquakes
2.3. Current Models and Large-Magnitude Subduction Earthquakes
      Tryon (2014) [7] evaluated six empirical models used in practice (Youd et al. (2002) [5]; Bartlett
      Tryon(1995)
and Youd       (2014)[2],
                        [7] Faris
                             evaluated
                                   et al. six  empirical
                                           (2006)            models
                                                     [3], Zhang          used
                                                                     et al.      in practice
                                                                             (2012)   [4], and(Youd
                                                                                                 Zhangetetal.al.(2002)
                                                                                                                   (2004)[5];    Bartlett
                                                                                                                             [17]) with
and   Youd   (1995)    [2],  Faris et  al. (2006)    [3], Zhang      et al.  (2012)    [4], and  Zhang
three case-histories from the 2010 Maule Mw 8.8 subduction earthquake. He found that site-to-source        et  al.  (2004)   [17]) with
three  case-histories     from   the  2010   Maule     Mw    8.8  subduction       earthquake.
distances are difficult to define accurately for large subduction zone earthquakes. They can vary   He   found   that   site-to-source
distances arebetween
significantly      difficultseismic
                               to define    accurately
                                       regions,    making  forit large   subduction
                                                                 difficult    to recommend zone aearthquakes.         They can such
                                                                                                    method for calculating          vary
significantly     between      seismic   regions,     making      it difficult    to  recommend
an “R” value. Figure 4 shows a summary of different distance terms that can be considered: D1 =        a  method      for   calculating
such an “R”distance,
hypocentral      value. Figure       4 shows adistance,
                              D2 = epicentral       summaryD3       of=different     distancetoterms
                                                                        closest distance                  that can
                                                                                                  high-stress         be considered:
                                                                                                                   zone,    D4 = closet
D1  =  hypocentral       distance,    D2    =  epicentral      distance,      D3   =   closest   distance
distance to the edge of the fault rupture, D5 = closest distance to the surface projection of the rupture     to   high-stress     zone,
D4  =  closet  distance     to the edge    of the   fault  rupture,     D5   =  closest   distance
(Joyner Boore distance). In large subduction earthquakes, although there is a small area where the    to the  surface    projection    of
the rupture begins
earthquake      (Joyner(hypocenter),
                           Boore distance). thereInarelarge  subduction
                                                          multiple     zonesearthquakes,
                                                                                on the contact   although
                                                                                                     betweenthereplatesis a(“patches”)
                                                                                                                             small area
where    the earthquake        begins   (hypocenter),       there    are  multiple      zones   on
where energy is released at different times and with different intensities. Hence, although distancesthe  contact    between      plates
(“patches”)    where     energy   is released    at  different    times   and    with   different
D1, D2, and D3 could be defined, they do not necessarily have a reasonable correlation with the     intensities.    Hence,     although
distances of
intensity   D1,theD2,   and D3motion
                     ground       could be at defined,
                                              the site of they    do notAdditionally,
                                                             interest.      necessarily have  for aseismically
                                                                                                     reasonableactivecorrelation    with
                                                                                                                             countries,
the  intensity   of the   ground    motion    at  the  site of  interest.    Additionally,
such as Chile and Peru, D4 and D5 are very small or even zero. From a design point of view,    for   seismically     active   countries,
such as Chile
estimating        anddistances
              these     Peru, D4 before
                                   and D5an   areearthquake
                                                   very small occurs
                                                                  or eveniszero.veryFrom     a design point of view, estimating
                                                                                       difficult.
these distances before an earthquake occurs is very difficult.

      Figure 4. Distances
                Distances from
                          from an
                               an earthquake
                                  earthquake source
                                             source to
                                                    to the
                                                       the site
                                                           site of
                                                                of interest
                                                                   interest (adapted
                                                                            (adapted from
                                                                                     from Joyner and Boore
      (1988) [21]).

       Similarly, Williams
      Similarly,     Williams (2015)(2015) [8]
                                            [8] used
                                                used twotwo case-histories     from the
                                                             case-histories from      the 2010
                                                                                          2010 Maule
                                                                                                 Maule Mw  Mw 8.8
                                                                                                                8.8 earthquake
                                                                                                                      earthquake
to  evaluate     the    empirical     methods     developed        by Youd  et  al.  (2002)  [5]
to evaluate the empirical methods developed by Youd et al. (2002) [5] and by Bartlett and Youd    and   by  Bartlett    and(1995)
                                                                                                                             Youd
(1995)   [2], concluding        that   they  are  extremely      sensitive to the   distance  term,
[2], concluding that they are extremely sensitive to the distance term, R, and that the current       R, and   that   the  current
definition of
definition    of RR for
                      for these
                            these two
                                    two methods
                                          methods (the(the Joyner
                                                            Joyner Boore
                                                                      Boore distance)
                                                                             distance) resulted
                                                                                         resulted inin predictions
                                                                                                        predictions thatthat were
                                                                                                                              were
more    than   two     times   the   measured      values.   The    semi-empirical     models    by
more than two times the measured values. The semi-empirical models by Zhang et al. (2004) [17] and   Zhang    et  al.  (2004)  [17]
and   Faris   et  al.   (2006)   [3]  also  over  predicted      the  displacement    but  in these
Faris et al. (2006) [3] also over predicted the displacement but in these cases due to the depth      cases  due    to  the  depth
weighting factor
weighting     factor of     their models.
                         of their  models. In In particular,
                                                 particular, the     empirical model
                                                                the empirical   model of   Zhang et
                                                                                        of Zhang       al. (2004)
                                                                                                    et al. (2004) [4]
                                                                                                                    [4] predicted
                                                                                                                         predicted
displacements       roughly      six  to  eight times    larger   than the measured     displacements.
displacements roughly six to eight times larger than the measured displacements. On the other hand,         On  the   other  hand,
De   la Maza    et  al.   (2017)   [22]  studied   one    case history   (Caleta  Lo  Rojas)  from
De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] studied one case history (Caleta Lo Rojas) from the 2010 Maule Mw8.8    the  2010   Maule     Mw8.8
earthquake. They
earthquake.      They used used the
                                  theYoud
                                       Youdetetal.al.(2002)
                                                      (2002)[5][5]methodology
                                                                    methodology  with   different
                                                                                     with differentdistances,   finding
                                                                                                       distances,          thatthat
                                                                                                                     finding    the
the distance to the zone that bounds 10% of the largest slips resulted in satisfactory values when
compared against in-situ post-earthquake measurements.
     In this study, we analyzed 13 lateral spread cases from six sites affected by the 2010 Maule Mw
8.8 earthquake, where lateral spreading took place (Figure 5). Figure 6 shows a comparison between
observed and calculated lateral spreading using Youd et al.’s (2002) [5] methodology with three R-
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                                            5 of 21

Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW                                                                                               5 of 21
  Appl. Sci.to
distance     2020,
                the10,  x FOR
                      zone     PEER
                             that     REVIEW
                                  bounds     10% of the largest slips resulted in satisfactory values when compared                 5 of 21

against    in-situ
       InInall        post-earthquake        measurements.
             allcases,
                  cases,thetheconclusion
                               conclusionwas  wassimilar
                                                    similar to to those
                                                                  those of
                                                                         of Tryon     (2014) [7],
                                                                            Tryon (2014)        [7], Williams
                                                                                                      Williams(2015)
                                                                                                                   (2015)[8],[8],and
                                                                                                                                  andDe  De
       In this
lalaMaza     et   study,
                  al.      we analyzed
                       (2017)   [22],        13 lateral
                                        namely     in  thatspread
                                                              the   cases from
                                                                    Youd   et  al. six  sites[5]
                                                                                    (2002)     affected
                                                                                                    model,  byfor
                                                                                                                thelarge-magnitude
                                                                                                                     2010 Maule Mw
      Maza et al. (2017) [22], namely in that the Youd et al. (2002) [5] model, for large-magnitude
8.8  earthquake,
subduction              where lateral spreading the      took place (Figure 5). Figure          6 shows      a comparison       between
  subductionearthquakes,
                    earthquakes,overestimates
                                      overestimates the liquefaction-induced
                                                              liquefaction-induced laterallateral   displacements
                                                                                                    displacements      bybyaafactor
                                                                                                                                 factorofof
observed
more    than andtwo.calculated
                        Figure  6clateral
                                     shows,spreading
                                               however,   using
                                                            that  Youd
                                                                  there et al.’s
                                                                         are a   (2002)
                                                                                few   sites[5] methodology
                                                                                              where     the        with
                                                                                                             predictions threewereR-value
                                                                                                                                      close
  more than two. Figure 6c shows, however, that there are a few sites where the predictions were close
definitions.
totothe           The first one
          measurements.             is the
                                Those       original
                                         sites  were   Rthose
                                                          fromwhere
                                                                 Youd ettheal.’s (2002)was
                                                                             R-value        [5] methodology,
                                                                                                 that  of  De   la  the second
                                                                                                                   Maza     et  al.  one is
                                                                                                                                    (2017)
      the measurements. Those sites were those where the R-value was that of De la Maza et al. (2017)
the
[22] distance
  [22]andandwhere
                   to the
               wherethe
                            maximum
                         theaverage
                              averagefines
                                          observed
                                         finescontent
                                                        coastal
                                                content in in the
                                                                  uplift, and the
                                                               the cumulative
                                                                                     third one
                                                                                  thickness
                                                                   cumulative thickness          of is
                                                                                                of
                                                                                                       the
                                                                                                     the
                                                                                                    the
                                                                                                            distancegranular
                                                                                                          saturated
                                                                                                         saturated
                                                                                                                        used bylayer
                                                                                                                       granular      De   la
                                                                                                                                      layer
Maza
was
  was   et
      less  al.
            than
         less    (2017)
               than 5%.   [22],
                       5%.This  which
                            Thisis   onlyis
                                 isonly   andefined
                                           an initial  as  the distance
                                               initialobservation,
                                                        observation,   and
                                                                       andtomuch
                                                                             the zone
                                                                             much     more
                                                                                      more that   bounds 10%need
                                                                                              case-histories
                                                                                              case-histories       of the
                                                                                                                   need totolargest
                                                                                                                              bestudied
                                                                                                                             be        slips.
                                                                                                                                  studied
The
beforemeasured
  beforegeneralizing, lateral  displacements
            generalizing,orornot   notgeneralizing,at the
                                        generalizing,this   selected  sites
                                                          this conclusion.
                                                                conclusion. were     between      1  and   2 m.

        Figure 5. Google Earth® view of sites with lateral spreading for the 2010 Maule Mw 8.8 Earthquake
      Figure 5. Google Earth®    view of
                               ® view  of sites
                                          sites with
                                                with lateral
                                                     lateral spreading
                                                             spreading for
                                                                       for the 2010 Maule Mw 8.8 Earthquake
        using Moreno et al.’s (2010) [23] coseismal slip distribution model.
      using Moreno et al.’s (2010) [23] coseismal slip
                                                    slip distribution
                                                         distribution model.
                                                                      model.

                      (a)                                           (b)                                           (c)
                     (a)                                            (b)                                            (c)
        Figure
      Figure   6. 6.Observed
                     Observed   versus
                              versus    estimated
                                     estimated      lateral
                                                 lateral    displacements
                                                         displacements      using:
                                                                          using: (a)(a) original
                                                                                     original    R-value
                                                                                              R-value    from
                                                                                                      from  YoudYoud  et
                                                                                                                  et al.’s
        al.‘s (2002)
      (2002)
      Figure           equation,
               equation,
                6. Observed      (b) distance
                           (b) versus
                               distance  to thetomaximum
                                      estimated   the  maximum
                                                   lateral         uplift,
                                                               uplift, andand
                                                            displacements  (c) (c) distance
                                                                               distance
                                                                            using:           adopted
                                                                                         adopted
                                                                                    (a) original   bybyDeDe
                                                                                                 R-value  la la
                                                                                                          from  Maza
                                                                                                              Maza  etetal.
                                                                                                                 Youd   et
        al.
      (2017)(2017)
              [22].  [22].
      al.‘s (2002) equation, (b) distance to the maximum uplift, and (c) distance adopted by De la Maza et
      al. (2017) [22].
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                    6 of 21

     In all cases, the conclusion was similar to those of Tryon (2014) [7], Williams (2015) [8], and De la
Maza et al. (2017) [22], namely in that the Youd et al. (2002) [5] model, for large-magnitude subduction
earthquakes, overestimates the liquefaction-induced lateral displacements by a factor of more than
two. Figure 6c shows, however, that there are a few sites where the predictions were close to the
measurements. Those sites were those where the R-value was that of De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] and
where the average fines content in the cumulative thickness of the saturated granular layer was less
than 5%. This is only an initial observation, and much more case-histories need to be studied before
generalizing, or not generalizing, this conclusion.

3. Validation of the Numerical Methodology
      The simulations in this study were performed using Cyclic1D, a finite-element program for
one-dimensional dynamic site-response analyses (Elgamal et al. (2002) [9]). Cyclic1D uses a
multi-yield-surface plasticity constitutive model to simulate the cyclic mobility response mechanism.
The constitutive model uses a non-associative flow rule for simulating volumetrically contractive or
dilative response due to shear loading. More details of the constitutive model are presented in Elgamal
et al. (2002) [9], Yang et al. (2003) [24], and Elgamal et al. (2003) [25].

3.1. Validation with Centrifuge Tests
     To evaluate the accuracy of the selected numerical methodology, several centrifuge tests were
simulated. Table 2 gives a list of the centrifuge experiments that were used, where i = surface inclination,
Dr = relative density of the liquefiable layer, H = thickness of the liquefiable layer, amax = maximum
horizontal acceleration of the input ground motion, and Dh = residual lateral displacement at the
surface. Table 3 shows a list of input parameters of the constitutive model, a suggested range of values
recommended in Cyclic1D user’s manual (Elgamal et al. (2015) [26]) for saturated granular soil, and the
calibrated model parameters for Nevada and Ottawa sand used in this study.

                            Table 2. Centrifuge tests used to validate the numerical methodology.

               Test          i [◦ ]   Dr [%]   H [m]   amax [g]   Dh [cm]              Reference
              M1-2            0       40–45     10       0.23       1.7      Taboada and Dobry (1998) [27]
              M2-2           1.94     40–45     10       0.23       47.0     Taboada and Dobry (1998) [27]
             M2c-6           3.95     40–45     10       0.17       72.5     Taboada and Dobry (1998) [27]
            L45V2-10          2        45       10       0.23        66          Sharp et al. (2003) [28]
            L65V2-10          2        65       10       0.20        28          Sharp et al. (2003) [28]
            L75V2-10          2        75       10       0.21        23          Sharp et al. (2003) [28]
             RPI-02           5        65        5       0.17        35         Ziotopoulou (2018) [29]

     The numerical methodology was previously validated against centrifuge experiments by other
researchers (Elgamal et al. (2002) [9]). In this study, we reproduced the experimental results from
the projects VELACS (Arulanandan and Scott (1993) [32], Taboada and Dobry (1998) [27]) and LEAP
(Kutter et al. (2018) [33], Ziotopoulou (2018) [29]), in addition to the centrifuge tests from Sharp et al.
(2003) [28].
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                                 7 of 21

                                 Table 3. Input variables for Cyclic1D’s numerical model.

                                      Nevada Sand       Ottawa F65                          Standard       Coefficient of
              Parameter                                                 Mean Value 1
                                       Dr = 40%         Dr = 65%                           Deviation 1     Variation 1 [%]
    Mass density [ρ] (kg/m3 )             1800             1900              1570               270                 9%
    Reference shear wave
                                          203.3            203.3             242.5             16.5                 28%
    velocity [Vs ref] (m/s)
    Confinement
                                           0.5              0.5
    coefficient [coeff]
    Coefficient of lateral
                                           0.5              0.67
    pressure [Ko]
    Friction angle [ϕ] (◦ )                31.4             31.4             40.5               2.1                 5%
    Peak shear strain
                                            5                   5
    [γ max] (%)
    Number of yield surfaces
                                            20               20
    [NYS]
    Phase transformation angle
                                           26.5             26.5             32.9               2.2                 7%
    [PT angle] (◦ )
    Contraction parameter 1 [c1]           0.19             0.19             0.12              0.04                 32%
    Contraction parameter 2 [c2]            0.2              0.2
    Dilatation parameter 1 [d1]            0.2              0.2              0.11              0.04                 42%
    Dilatation parameter 2 [d2]             10               10
    Liquefaction parameter [Liq]          0.015            0.015
    Permeability coefficient
                                        3.3 × 10−3       6.6 × 10−5
    [Perm k] (m/s)
              1   Mean value and standard deviation from Mercado et al. (2019) [30] and Phoon et al. (1995) [31].

3.1.1. General Description of the Centrifuge Tests
      The project Verification of Liquefaction Analysis by Centrifuge Studies (VELACS) was a cooperative
research effort involving eight universities to study soil liquefaction problems (Arulanandan and
Scott (1993) [32]). In that project, a series of dynamic centrifuge tests was performed on a variety of
different saturated soil models (Arulanandan and Scott (1993) [32]). In this section, we present the
simulation of the centrifuge model 2 of the VELACS project conducted at Rennselaer Polytechnic
Institute (RPI) by Taboada and Dobry (1998) [27] and numerically validated by Elgamal et al. (2002) [9].
In this test, the soil profile consisted of submerged 20 cm high (physical model) uniform Nevada sand,
of Dr = 40%–45%, inclined by 2◦ with respect to the horizontal (more details in Table 4). The experiment
was conducted at 50 g centrifugal acceleration. A sketch of the laminar box and the instrumentation is
shown in Figure 7. The lateral input shaking applied to the base of the model and its corresponding 5%
damped pseudo acceleration response spectra are shown in Figure 8.

                       Table 4. Characteristics of Nevada Sand (Taboada and Dobry (1998) [27]).

                                                     Property               Value
                                              Specific gravity               2.68
                                           Maximum dry density          17.33 kN/m3
                                           Minimum dry density          13.87 kN/m3
                                            Maximum void ratio              0.894
                                            Minimum void ratio              0.516
                                                    D50                   0.15 mm
                                           Hydraulic conductivity       0.0021 cm/s
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Maximum dry density                             17.33 kN/m3
                           Minimum dry density                             13.87 kN/m3
                            Maximum void ratio                                 0.894
                            Minimum void ratio                                 0.516
 Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503          D50                                      0.15 mm                                       8 of 21
                           Hydraulic conductivity                          0.0021 cm/s

Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW                                                                                   8 of 21

      Figure
       Figure7.7.Laminar
                  Laminarbox
                           boxcontainer
                               containerofofthe
                                             theVerification
                                                 VerificationofofLiquefaction
                                                                  LiquefactionAnalysis
                                                                               Analysisby
                                                                                        byCentrifuge
                                                                                           CentrifugeStudies
                                                                                                      Studies
      (VELACS)    model 2 centrifuge test (Elgamal et al. (2002) [9]).
       (VELACS) model 2 centrifuge test (Elgamal et al. (2002) [9]).

                               (a)                                                              (b)
      Figure
       Figure8.8.(a)
                   (a)Lateral
                       Lateralacceleration
                               accelerationatatthe
                                                 thebase
                                                     baseofofthe
                                                               thelaminar
                                                                    laminarboxboxofofVELACS
                                                                                      VELACSmodel
                                                                                              model2 2(Elgamal
                                                                                                        (Elgamaletetal.al.
      (2002)
       (2002) [9]) (b) 5%-damped spectral acceleration at the base of the laminar box of VELACSmodel
             [9]) (b)  5%-damped    spectral acceleration   at  the  base of the laminar box of VELACS     model2.2.

        Similarly,the
      Similarly,     theLiquefaction
                          LiquefactionExperiments
                                            Experimentsand    andAnalysis
                                                                  AnalysisProjectProject(LEAP)
                                                                                         (LEAP)was wasaacooperative
                                                                                                            cooperativeeffort
                                                                                                                            effort
  amongseveral
among       severaluniversities
                      universitiesand  andresearch
                                              researchinstitutes
                                                          institutestotoinvestigate
                                                                             investigateliquefaction
                                                                                           liquefactionand andits itseffects
                                                                                                                       effectsonon
  geostructures(Kutter
geostructures       (Kutteretetal.al. (2018)
                                        (2018)[33]).
                                                  [33]).The
                                                          Thedata
                                                                dataare
                                                                      areavailable
                                                                              availableononthetheNetwork
                                                                                                  Networkfor  forEarthquake
                                                                                                                    Earthquake
  EngineeringSimulations
Engineering        Simulations(NEES)
                                   (NEES)websitewebsite(Carey
                                                           (Careyet etal.al.(2017)
                                                                                (2017)  [34]).
                                                                                    [34]).       In section,
                                                                                            In this  this section,
                                                                                                                we showwe showthe
  the simulation
simulation    of theof  the centrifuge
                      centrifuge    LEAP LEAPprojectproject    conducted
                                                       conducted               at Rennselaer
                                                                    at Rennselaer     PolytechnicPolytechnic
                                                                                                      Institute Institute    (RPI)
                                                                                                                 (RPI) (Kutter
et(Kutter  et al.[33]).
    al. (2018)    (2018)In[33]).
                            this In   thisthe
                                  test,     test, thelayer
                                               soil    soil layer
                                                             was 4wasm 4high
                                                                           m high    at the
                                                                                 at the      center
                                                                                         center   of of
                                                                                                     thethemodel
                                                                                                             model(prototype
                                                                                                                      (prototype
dimension),
  dimension),and  andaauniform
                          uniformmediummediumdense  densesand
                                                            sand(Ottawa
                                                                  (OttawaF-65)  F-65)was
                                                                                      wasused.
                                                                                             used. The
                                                                                                     Thesoil
                                                                                                           soilhad
                                                                                                                hadaarelative
                                                                                                                          relative
density
  densityofofDrDr==65%65%andandaa5°  5◦slope
                                         slope(more
                                                  (moredetails
                                                          detailsininTable
                                                                       Table5). 5).AAsketch
                                                                                       sketchofofthe
                                                                                                   thelaminar
                                                                                                        laminarbox  boxandandthe
                                                                                                                               the
instrumentation
  instrumentationthat that was
                           was used is shownshown in  inFigure
                                                         Figure9.9.The
                                                                     Thelateral
                                                                           lateralinput
                                                                                    inputshaking
                                                                                            shaking   (motion
                                                                                                    (motion   2) 2)  applied
                                                                                                                  applied      to
                                                                                                                            to the
the  base
  base      of the
        of the      model
                model   andand     its corresponding
                              its corresponding             5% damped
                                                       5% damped      pseudo  pseudo   acceleration
                                                                                 acceleration          response
                                                                                                response    spectra spectra   are
                                                                                                                      are shown
shown    in Figure
  in Figure  10.      10.

                       Table 5. Index parameter of Ottawa F-65 Sand (Parra et al. (2017) [35]).

                                Property                                       Value
                             Specific gravity                                   2.665
                          Maximum dry density                               1736 kg/m3
                          Minimum dry density                               1515 kg/m3
                                   D10                                       0.133 mm
                                   D50                                       0.173 mm
                                   D60                                       0.215 mm
                          Hydraulic conductivity                            0.016 cm/s
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
et al. (2018) [33]). In this test, the soil layer was 4 m high at the center of the model (prototype
  dimension), and a uniform medium dense sand (Ottawa F-65) was used. The soil had a relative
  density of Dr = 65% and a 5° slope (more details in Table 5). A sketch of the laminar box and the
  instrumentation that was used is shown in Figure 9. The lateral input shaking (motion 2) applied to
  theSci.
 Appl. base  of10,
          2020, the6503
                     model and its corresponding 5% damped pseudo acceleration response spectra9are of 21
  shown in Figure 10.

                         Table5.5.Index
                        Table      Indexparameter
                                         parameter of
                                                   of Ottawa
                                                      Ottawa F-65
                                                             F-65 Sand (Parra et
                                                                  Sand (Parra et al.
                                                                                 al. (2017)
                                                                                      (2017)[35]).
                                                                                             [35]).

                                  Property Property                         Value
                                                                              Value
                               Specific gravity
                                           Specific gravity                     2.665
                                                                             2.665
                                        Maximum                                     3
                            Maximum dry    densitydry density            1736  kg/m
                                                                            1736  kg/m3
                                        Minimum                                     3
                            Minimum dry    densitydry density            1515  kg/m
                                                                            1515  kg/m3
                                                 D10                      0.133 mm
                                     D10                                     0.133 mm
                                                 D50                      0.173 mm
                                     D50         D60                         0.173
                                                                          0.215  mmmm
                                     D60Hydraulic conductivity               0.215
                                                                         0.016 cm/smm
                            Hydraulic conductivity                           0.016 cm/s

        Figure 9. 9.Laminar  boxbox
                                 container of LEAP centrifuge test (C).test
                                                                        All dimensions are in meters
                                                                                                  are(Ziotopoulou
Appl. Sci. Figure       Laminar
           2020, 10, x FOR           container
                           PEER REVIEW          of LEAP   centrifuge        (C). All dimensions        in meters9 of 21
       (2018) [29]).
         (Ziotopoulou (2018) [29]).

                               (a)                                                            (b)
      Figure
       Figure10.
              10.(a)
                   (a)Lateral
                       Lateralacceleration
                                accelerationatatthethebase
                                                        baseofofthe
                                                                  thelaminar
                                                                       laminarbox
                                                                               boxofofLEAP
                                                                                       LEAPconducted
                                                                                              conductedatatRensselaer
                                                                                                              Rensselaer
      Polytechnic
       PolytechnicInstitute,
                    Institute,RPI
                               RPI(Kutter
                                    (Kutteretetal.
                                                al.(2018)
                                                     (2018)[33])
                                                             [33])(b)
                                                                   (b)5%5%damped
                                                                           dampedspectral
                                                                                    spectralacceleration
                                                                                             accelerationatatthe
                                                                                                              thebase
                                                                                                                  baseofof
      the
       thelaminar
           laminarbox
                    boxofofLEAP
                            LEAPconducted
                                   conductedby  byRPI.
                                                     RPI.

  3.1.2. Model Input Parameters
3.1.2. Model Input Parameters
         The multi-yield-surface plasticity constitutive model has 14 parameters that must be calibrated
        The multi-yield-surface
  to reproduce         the liquefaction   plasticity
                                             phenomenonconstitutive
                                                              and the  model  has
                                                                        lateral    14 parameters
                                                                                spreading.     Table that  mustthe
                                                                                                      3 shows     be parameters
                                                                                                                     calibrated
towe   used for Nevada sand (Dr = 40%) and Ottawa F65 sand (Dr = 65%). The calibration was realized
    reproduce        the   liquefaction    phenomenon        and  the  lateral spreading.     Table 3  shows  the  parameters
webyused
       trial for
               andNevada
                     error tosandobtain(Dra =good
                                              40%)fit and
                                                        to Ottawa   F65 sand
                                                           the measured         (Dr = 65%).
                                                                             response    of theThe  calibration
                                                                                                 centrifuge       was
                                                                                                             tests.     realized
                                                                                                                     Peak   shear
by   trial    and   error    to obtain   a good   fit  to the  measured     response    of  the centrifuge
  strain, friction angle, and phase angle were estimated from the triaxial tests of VELACS (Arulmoli et al. tests.  Peak   shear
strain,
  (1992)friction
             [36]) and angle,
                          LEAP  and  phase
                                   (Carey  etangle    were[34]).
                                              al. (2017)     estimated    from the of
                                                                  The coefficient   triaxial
                                                                                       lateraltests of VELACS
                                                                                                pressure          (Arulmoli
                                                                                                          was estimated        et
                                                                                                                            using
al. (1992)
  Jaky’s        [36]) and
             relation   (JakyLEAP
                                (1944)(Carey   et al.shear
                                        [37]). The     (2017)  [34]).
                                                            wave       The coefficient
                                                                   velocity              of lateral
                                                                             was estimated     usingpressure    wasby
                                                                                                      correlations   estimated
                                                                                                                        Seed and
using     Jaky’s    relation    (Jaky  (1944)  [37]).  The   shear  wave    velocity was    estimated   using
  Idriss (1970) [38]. Default values were used for the contraction, dilation, and liquefaction parameters      correlations   by
Seed
  (c1 , cand    Idriss (1970) [38]. Default values were used for the contraction, dilation, and liquefaction
          2 , d1 , d2 , liq), and the number of yield surfaces (Elgamal et al. (2015) [26]). Finally, additional
parameters
  Rayleigh-type    (c1, damping
                         c2, d1, d2,was
                                     liq),set
                                           and  the the
                                              using    number
                                                          modulusof yield   surfaces
                                                                      reduction       (Elgamal
                                                                                 curves    and theetdamping
                                                                                                     al. (2015)curves
                                                                                                                 [26]). proposed
                                                                                                                         Finally,
additional        Rayleigh-type
  by Darandelli (2001) [39].          damping     was    set  using   the  modulus    reduction    curves  and   the  damping
curves proposed by Darandelli (2001) [39].

3.1.3. Comparison of Results
     The modeling approach was verified by comparing various dynamic responses under
earthquakes loading using two experimental cases: M2-2 and RPI-02, from the VELACS and LEAP
Factors That Affect Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spreading in Large Subduction Earthquakes - MDPI
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                              10 of 21

3.1.3. Comparison of Results
       The modeling approach was verified by comparing various dynamic responses under earthquakes
loading using two experimental cases: M2-2 and RPI-02, from the VELACS and LEAP projects,
respectively. Figures 11–13 show the good fit between predicted and measured excess pore water
pressure (EPP), horizontal accelerations, and lateral displacements from these two tests. In the case
of RIP-02 lateral displacement, no measurements were made, so we used the numerical results of
Ziotopoulou
 Appl. Sci.
 Appl. Sci. 2020,  (2018)
            2020, 10,
                  10,    FOR[29],
                      xx FOR PEERCase
                             PEER     B, for comparison.
                                  REVIEW
                                  REVIEW                                                       10 of
                                                                                               10 of 21
                                                                                                     21

                            (a)                                                  (b)
      Figure 11.
      Figure  11. Numerical
                  Numerical versus
                            versus experimental
                                   experimental excess
                                                excess pore pressure in
                                                       pore pressure in (a)
                                                                        (a) M2-2
                                                                            M2-2 and
                                                                                 and (b)
                                                                                     (b) RPI-02
                                                                                         RPI-02 at
                                                                                                at two
                                                                                                    two
      differentdepths.
      different depths.

                                  (a)                                                  (b)
          Figure12.
          Figure 12. Numerical
                     Numerical versus
                               versusexperimental
                                      experimentalhorizontal
                                                  horizontalaccelerations
                                                             accelerationsin
                                                                           in(a)
                                                                              (a)M2-2
                                                                                 M2-2and
                                                                                      and(b)
                                                                                          (b)RPI-02.
                                                                                             RPI-02
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503
                                (a)                                                        (b)              11 of 21
           Figure 12. Numerical versus experimental horizontal accelerations in (a) M2-2 and (b) RPI-02

                                  (a)
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW                                                     (b)              11 of 21

      Figure
      Figure 13.  (a) Numerical
             13. (a)  Numerical and
                                  and experimental
                                        experimental lateral
                                                       lateral displacement
                                                               displacement atat the surface in M2-2, and (b)
      numerical
      numericaldisplacement
                  displacementin in
                                 RPI-02  withwith
                                    RPI-02     Cyclid1D   simulation
                                                     Cyclid1D        and Fast
                                                               simulation  andLagrangian Analysis of
                                                                                 Fast Lagrangian     Continua,
                                                                                                  Analysis  of
      FLAC  (Ziotopoulou
      Continua,           (2018) [29]).(2018) [29]).
                 FLAC (Ziotopoulou

     Figure 14 shows the good fit between the predicted and the measured lateral displacements from
     Figure 14 shows the good fit between the predicted and the measured lateral displacements from
centrifuge tests of Table 4.
centrifuge tests of Table 4.

     Figure
   Figure 14. 14.   Estimated
              Estimated  versus versus measured
                                measured          lateral displacements
                                         lateral displacements           usingfrom
                                                               using Cyclic1D   Cyclic1D  from
                                                                                   selected     selected
                                                                                            centrifuge tests.
     centrifuge tests.
3.2. Validation with Historical Cases
3.2. Validation with Historical Cases
      Validation using field case histories is more challenging due to the inherent variability of soil
     Validation using field case histories is more challenging due to the inherent variability of soil and
and earthquake properties. We simulated the response of two case-histories of lateral spreading
earthquake properties. We simulated the response of two case-histories of lateral spreading during
during large-magnitude subduction earthquakes: the Lo Rojas Port, in the 2010 Mw8.8 Maule Chile
large-magnitude subduction earthquakes: the Lo Rojas Port, in the 2010 Mw8.8 Maule Chile earthquake,
earthquake, and the Matanuska Bridge in the 1964 Mw 9.2 Alaska earthquake. As site effects are
and the Matanuska Bridge in the 1964 Mw 9.2 Alaska earthquake. As site effects are considered
considered explicitly in the numerical model approach, only strong motions recorded in rock stations
explicitly in the numerical model approach, only strong motions recorded in rock stations are adequate
are adequate for this study. For the Chile case, we used the records from the Rapel Station (34.0° S
for this study. For the Chile case, we used the records from the Rapel Station (34.0◦ S 71.6◦ W) from
71.6° W) from both horizontal components (PGANS = 0.20 g and PGAEW = 0.19 g), where PGA = Peak
both horizontal components (PGANS = 0.20 g and PGAEW = 0.19 g), where PGA = Peak Ground
Ground Acceleration. For the Alaska case, we used synthetic records estimated by Mavroeidis et al.
Acceleration. For the Alaska case, we used synthetic records estimated by Mavroeidis et al. (2008) [40]
(2008) [40] for the city of Anchorage in both horizontal components (PGANS = 0.25 g and PGAEW = 0.23
for the city of Anchorage in both horizontal components (PGANS = 0.25 g and PGAEW = 0.23 g).
g).

3.2.1. Description of Field Conditions
     For the Lo Rojas site, there is reliable information on layer stratification, in situ testing, and
laboratory tests documented in De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] and Barrueto et al. (2017) [41]. Likewise,
the papers of Bartlett and Youd (1992) [42] and Gillins and Bartlett (2014) [19] show test field data
from the Matanuska site.
     For the Lo Rojas site, the same modeling section selected by De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] was
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                          12 of 21

3.2.1. Description of Field Conditions
      For the Lo Rojas site, there is reliable information on layer stratification, in situ testing,
and laboratory tests documented in De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] and Barrueto et al. (2017) [41].
Likewise, the papers of Bartlett and Youd (1992) [42] and Gillins and Bartlett (2014) [19] show test field
data from the Matanuska site.
      For the Lo Rojas site, the same modeling section selected by De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] was
used for validation. This geotechnical model was developed according to the bathymetry and field test
information provided by the Ports Department of the Ministry of Public Works. According to Barrueto
et al. (2017) [41], the soil profile was composed of four soil units, from top to bottom: poorly graded
sand (~10 m thick), clayey sand (~9 m thick), high plasticity clay (~5 m thick), and low plasticity clay
(down to 70 m deep before a highly cemented soil). Several laboratory tests were conducted to obtain
the mechanical parameters for the soil layers: monotonic triaxial, cyclic triaxial, and column shear test
(details in De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] and Barrueto et al. (2017) [41]). Table 6 shows the calibrated
parameters used for the Lo Rojas model in this study. Using the pore water pressure-based criteria by
Wu et al. 2004 [43], the numerical results show that the upper poorly graded sand liquefied as the
excess pore pressure ratio (ru ) reached 1.0 after 20 seconds during the seismic event.

                                  Table 6. Model parameters for the Lo Rojas site.

    Unit [USCS]      Depth [m]   ρ [kN/m3 ]   Vs [m/s]   coeff   k0     φ [◦ ]   PT [◦ ]   Su [kPa]    K [m/s]     NYS
         SP              0–10       16          203      0.50    0.50   31.4      26.5        -       3.3 ×10−5    25
         SC             10–20       20          224      0.50    0.65    35       26.5        -       6.6 × 10−5   20
         CH             20–35       20          224        0     0.65     -        -         75       1.0 × 10−7   20
         CL             35–70       21          254        0     0.65     -        -         150      1.0 × 10−7   20

     For the Matanuska site, the modeling section was developed considering the boreholes taken at
the Railroad Bridge Mile Post near the Matanuska River (Bartlett and Youd (1992) [42]). According to
Gillins and Bartlett (2014) [19] the selected soil profile was composed, from top to bottom, of gravel
sand (~6 m thick), well-graded gravel (~2 m thick), poorly graded sand (~5 m thick), clayed sand (~9
m thick), and low plasticity clay (down to 70 m deep before a highly cemented soil). Table 7 shows the
parameters used in the Matanuska model. Figure 15 shows the soil geotechnical layout at both sites.

                                 Table 7. Model parameters for the Matanuska site.

    Unit [USCS]      Depth [m]   ρ [kN/m3 ]   Vs [m/s]   coeff   k0     φ [◦ ]   PT [◦ ]   Su [kPa]    K [m/s]     NYS
         SM              0–6        20          203      0.50    0.50   31.6      26.5        -       1.2 × 10−3   20
         GP               6–9       20          204      0.50    0.67   31.4      26.5        -       1.0 × 10−7   20
         SM              9–17       20          204      0.50    0.67   31.4       24         -       6.6 × 10−5   20
         SP             17–25       20          224      0.50    0.67   31.4       22         -       6.6 × 10−5   20
         CL             25–70       21          300        0     0.67    -          -        75       1.0 × 10−9   20

      The Lo Rojas and the Matanuska sites have a stratigraphy of alluvial sediments characterized
by upper layers of liquefiable sands underlain by clay. For both sites, default values of Cyclid1D
were adopted for the contraction, dilation, and liquefaction parameters (c1, c2, d1, d2, liq), and the
number of yield surfaces (Elgamal et al. (2015) [26]). The coefficient of lateral pressure was estimated
using Jaky’s equation (Jaky (1944) [37]). Mass density was estimated from the Standard Penetration
Test (SPT) sounding from De la Maza et al. (2017) [22] for the Lo Rojas case, and the SPT sounding
from Gillins and Bartlett (2014) [19] for the Matanuska case. Shear wave velocities were obtained
from geophysical field tests from Barrueto et al. (2017) [41] for the Lo Rojas case, and using Mayne
(2007) [44] correlations for the Matanuska case. For the clays in the Lo Rojas site, peak shear strain,
friction angle, and undrained shear strength were obtained from the geotechnical model of De La
Maza et al. (2017) [22] and Barrueto et al. (2017) [41] which were based on monotonic and dynamic
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW                                                                                                       13 of 21

 Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                                                     13 of 21

 triaxial tests. For the Matanuska site, we chose pre-defined Cyclic 1D values based on the information
 from   the2020,
 Appl. Sci. boreholes    documented
                 10, x FOR PEER REVIEWin Bartlett and Youd (1992) [42] and Gillins and Bartlett (2014) 13
                                                                                                       [19].
                                                                                                          of 21

                                   (a)                                                                         (b)
                          Figure 15. Soil layout at (a) the Lo Rojas site, and (b) the Matanuska site

3.2.2. Model Input Ground Motion
     The 2010 Maule Mw8.8 earthquake caused extensive damage to ports and bridges (Bray et al.
(2012) [45] and Ledezma et al. (2012) [46]). Liquefaction-induced lateral spreading significantly
damaged the Lo Rojas fishermen port in Coronel, Bío-Bio Region. As De la Maza et al. (2017) [22]
                                     (a)                                                                       (b)
indicated, only strong motions recorded in rock stations are adequate for the numerical analyses. In
                            Figure 15. Soil layout at (a) the Lo Rojas site, and (b) the Matanuska site
this case, recordings       Figure
                               in rock15. Soil    layoutwere
                                            stations       at (a)obtained
                                                                   the Lo Rojas   site,RAP
                                                                              at the    and (b)    the Matanuska
                                                                                               (Rapel),                 site
                                                                                                           COV (Convento),               and USM
(Santa Maria University). According to the USGS coseismic slip model (Pollitz et al. (2011) [47]), the
 3.2.2.
 3.2.2. Model Input Ground Motion           Motion
3-D distance to the Rapel Station and the interplate fault is 31 km. That distance is very similar to the
one atThethe 2010
        The  2010
             Lo       Maule
                      Maule
                   Rojas     site,Mw8.8
                                    whichearthquake
                                  Mw8.8         is approximately caused32extensive
                                                                             km. For thatdamage reason,to ports
                                                                                                           De laand  Maza  bridges       (Bray [22]
                                                                                                                               et al. (2017)       et al.
 (2012)
 (2012) [45]
selected   [45]  and
                  and Ledezma
           the Rapel       Ledezma
                           (RAP) ground   etetal.    (2012)
                                                      (2012) [46]).
                                                al.motion.      [46]).
                                                                We       Liquefaction-induced
                                                                            the same criterion tolateral
                                                                         Liquefaction-induced
                                                                      used                                 select spreading
                                                                                                                    the station significantly
                                                                                                                    spreading         significantly
                                                                                                                                      to simulate
 damaged
 damaged      the
               the   Lo
                      Lo   Rojas
                            Rojas   fishermen
                                     fishermen         port
                                                       port  in
                                                              in  Coronel,
                                                                   Coronel,   Bío-Bio
                                                                               Bío-Bio   Region.
                                                                                          Region.
the lateral spreading in the Lo Rojas site in this study. Figure 16 shows the chosen record            As  De
                                                                                                            De   la
                                                                                                                  la Maza
                                                                                                                      Maza     et
                                                                                                                                et  al.
                                                                                                                                    al.  (2017)
                                                                                                                                          (2017)    [22]
                                                                                                                                                    [22]
                                                                                                                                                (both
 indicated,
 indicated,only
directions)     onlystrong
               with    astrong   motions
                                   motions
                           significant          recorded
                                                   recorded
                                             duration      ofinapproximately
                                                                  rock
                                                                 in     stations
                                                                     rock  stationsare adequate
                                                                                    34are
                                                                                        s andadequatefor the
                                                                                                 a PGA    for  numerical
                                                                                                                theg.numerical
                                                                                                           of 0.2                analyses.      In this
                                                                                                                                        analyses.     In
 case,
 thisTherecordings
      case,   recordings
            1964         in rock
                     Alaska      in
                                  Mwstations
                                     rock          were obtained
                                          9.2stations
                                                 earthquakewere caused  at the
                                                                    obtained     RAP
                                                                                at
                                                                             ground the(Rapel),
                                                                                         RAP
                                                                                         failures   COV
                                                                                                     and (Convento),
                                                                                                 (Rapel),    COV (Convento),
                                                                                                             collapsing         and USM
                                                                                                                               structures   and(Santa
                                                                                                                                                   USM
                                                                                                                                                 from
 Maria
lateral   University).
 (Santaspreading,          andAccording
          Maria University).             According
                                 the associated   to thetsunami
                                                           USGS
                                                           to        coseismic
                                                               the USGS
                                                                      caused       slip 130
                                                                             coseismic
                                                                                about    model
                                                                                            slip    (Pollitz
                                                                                                  model
                                                                                               deaths          et al.and
                                                                                                            (Pollitz
                                                                                                         (Bartlett       (2011)
                                                                                                                        et   al.
                                                                                                                              Youd   [47]),
                                                                                                                                  (2011)      the[2]).
                                                                                                                                             [47]),
                                                                                                                                        (1995)      3-D
                                                                                                                                                     the
 distance
According   toto
 3-D distance   the toRapel     Station
                        the Rapel
                   Mavroeidis                and
                                       etStation
                                            al.     the
                                                     and
                                                 (2008)  interplate    fault isfault
                                                           the interplate
                                                           [40],   no strong     31 km.
                                                                                      is 31That
                                                                                 motion       km.distance      is very
                                                                                                    That distance
                                                                                            instruments       were       issimilar     towhen
                                                                                                                             very similar
                                                                                                                       operative           the oneto  at
                                                                                                                                                     the
                                                                                                                                                   that
 the
 oneLoat Rojas
          the Lo
destructive       site,
                     Rojas
                seismic    which
                               site,iswhich
                              event      approximately
                                         occurred,              32direct
                                                  is approximately
                                                          so no      km. For
                                                                           32   that For
                                                                               km.    reason,
                                                                            measurement    that De    la Maza
                                                                                                  reason,
                                                                                                  of  near   De
                                                                                                              fieldet
                                                                                                                   la al.
                                                                                                                      Maza  (2017)
                                                                                                                       ground         [22]
                                                                                                                                 et motions
                                                                                                                                     al.      selected
                                                                                                                                          (2017)    [22]
                                                                                                                                                    are
 the Rapelthe
 selected
available.    (RAP)
                  Rapel  ground
             Consequently,   (RAP)motion.
                                       ground
                                       we     used  We  aused
                                                      motion.    the
                                                                  Wesame
                                                           simulated   used  criterion
                                                                              the same
                                                                          ground          tocriterion
                                                                                      motion  select
                                                                                                  at the to station
                                                                                                             select
                                                                                                             Anchorage to simulate
                                                                                                                      the    station     tothe
                                                                                                                                 site shared    lateral
                                                                                                                                             simulateby
 spreading
 the lateralin
Mavroeidis         the
                     al. Lo
                 spreading
                et            Rojas
                          (2008)       sitetoLo
                                  in[40]
                                       the    inreproduce
                                                   this  study.
                                                     Rojas         Figure
                                                             sitethe    this16study.
                                                                    inlateral   showsFigure
                                                                                spreadingthe case.
                                                                                               chosen     record17
                                                                                                   16 Figure
                                                                                                        shows        (both
                                                                                                                   the        directions)
                                                                                                                         chosen
                                                                                                                      shows        therecord    with
                                                                                                                                         simulated(botha
 significant
 directions)    duration
                 with     a    of  approximately
                             significant      duration      34
                                                             of s  and  a PGA
                                                                 approximately    of 0.2
                                                                                      34 sg. and
record (both directions) with a significant duration of approximately 152 s and a PGA of 0.25 g.   a PGA     of  0.2  g.
        The 1964 Alaska Mw 9.2 earthquake caused ground failures and collapsing structures from
 lateral spreading, and the associated tsunami caused about 130 deaths (Bartlett and Youd (1995) [2]).
 According to Mavroeidis et al. (2008) [40], no strong motion instruments were operative when that
 destructive seismic event occurred, so no direct measurement of near field ground motions are
 available. Consequently, we used a simulated ground motion at the Anchorage site shared by
 Mavroeidis et al. (2008) [40] to reproduce the lateral spreading case. Figure 17 shows the simulated
 record (both directions) with a significant duration of approximately 152 s and a PGA of 0.25 g.

                                   (a)                                                                        (b)
       Figure
        Figure16.
               16.(a)
                    (a)North-South
                        North-South(NS)
                                     (NS)and
                                          andEast-West
                                              East-West(EW)
                                                        (EW)acceleration
                                                             accelerationtime
                                                                           timehistories
                                                                                historiesfor
                                                                                          forthe
                                                                                              theRapel
                                                                                                   Rapelstation,
                                                                                                         station,
       (b)
        (b)spectral
            spectralacceleration
                     acceleration(5%
                                  (5%damping)
                                      damping)ofofthe
                                                   theNS
                                                      NSand
                                                         andEW
                                                             EWcomponents
                                                                 componentsfor forthe
                                                                                   theRapel
                                                                                       Rapelstation.
                                                                                               station.

      The 1964 Alaska Mw 9.2 earthquake caused ground failures and collapsing structures from
 lateral spreading, and the associated tsunami caused about 130 deaths (Bartlett and Youd (1995) [2]).

                                     (a)                                                                        (b)
         Figure 16. (a) North-South (NS) and East-West (EW) acceleration time histories for the Rapel station,
         (b) spectral acceleration (5% damping) of the NS and EW components for the Rapel station.
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 6503                                                                                                         14 of 21
 Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW                                                                                         14 of 21

 According to Mavroeidis et al. (2008) [40], no strong motion instruments were operative when that
 destructive seismic event occurred, so no direct measurement of near field ground motions are available.
 Consequently, we used a simulated ground motion at the Anchorage site shared by Mavroeidis et al.
 (2008) [40] to reproduce the lateral spreading case. Figure 17 shows the simulated record (both
 directions)
Appl. Sci. 2020, with   a significant
                 10, x FOR            duration of approximately 152 s and a PGA of 0.25 g.
                            PEER REVIEW                                                          14 of 21

                                 (a)                                                                (b)
        Figure 17. (a) Acceleration time-histories of the NS and EW components of the simulated ground
        motion in Anchorage by Mavroeidis et al. (2008) [40] (b) spectral Acceleration (5% damping) of the
        NS and EW components.

  3.2.3. Simulation Results
                                 (a)                                                                     (b)
        Tables 6 and 7 show the constitutive models’ parameters used for the numerical runs. They were
  based   on the
      Figure
        Figure   17.recommendations
               17.   (a)
                       (a)Acceleration      by Elgamal of
                           Accelerationtime-histories
                                           time-histories     (2015)
                                                                 ofthe  [26]
                                                                    theNSNSandandEW
                                                                              and   thecomponents
                                                                                    EW   available
                                                                                          components geotechnical
                                                                                                        ofofthe        data of
                                                                                                             thesimulated
                                                                                                                  simulated     the sites
                                                                                                                             ground
                                                                                                                              ground
  (Demotion
       la Maza  inet   al. (2017)
                    Anchorage
        motion in Anchorage by     [22],
                                   by    Barrueto
                                      Mavroeidis      et  al.   (2017)   [41],  Bartlett   and  Youd    (1992)   [42]  and
                                                     et al. (2008) [40] (b) spectral Acceleration (5% damping) of thethe
                                                      et  al.  (2008)   [40]  (b) spectral   Acceleration    (5%   damping) Gillins
                                                                                                                              of     and
                                                                                                                                    NS
  Bartlett
      NSand  (2014)
           and
             EWEW      [19]).  For
                       components.
                  components.       each   field   site,  horizontal        motions     in  both   directions    were    analyzed    and
  simulated. The average slope of the Lo Rojas site was based on the geotechnical model of the cross-
 3.2.3.
3.2.3.   Simulation
       Simulation
  section                  Results
            by De la Results
                         Maza    et al. (2017) [22]. In Matanuska’s case, Youd et al. (2002) [5] and Rauch (1997)
  [48] reported
        Tables66and  the  ground
                   and77show showtheslope   of that location
                                    theconstitutive
                                         constitutive      models’  in their   database.
                                                                         parameters       usedfor
                                                                                                forthe
                                                                                                     thenumerical
                                                                                                           numericalruns.runs.They
                                                                                                                                Theywere
                                                                                                                                       were
      Tables                                              models’      parameters       used
 based  Figures
          on  the   18 and 19 show the
                   recommendations           by   numerical
                                                 Elgamal            modeling
                                                                (2015)    [26]    results
                                                                                and   the   of the historical
                                                                                           available    geotechnicalcasesdata
                                                                                                                           in terms
                                                                                                                               of  the of
                                                                                                                                       sites
based on the recommendations by Elgamal (2015) [26] and the available geotechnical data of the sites
  acceleration,
 (DelalaMaza       excess
          Mazaetetal.al.      pore
                             (2017) pressure
                                     [22],      ratio,
                                            Barrueto     and     lateral
                                                           et (2017)
                                                                al. (2017) displacement      time   history.   The   results in  Table  8
(De                       (2017)  [22],  Barrueto     et al.             [41],[41],   Bartlett
                                                                                Bartlett         and Youd
                                                                                           and Youd      (1992) (1992)   [42]Gillins
                                                                                                                   [42] and   and Gillins
                                                                                                                                       and
  demonstrate
 and Bartlett      the   applicability    of the   proposed         model.   The   simulated     displacements        were  reasonably
Bartlett   (2014)(2014)
                      [19]). [19]).
                              For eachFor field
                                           each site,
                                                   fieldhorizontal
                                                           site, horizontal motions motions
                                                                                         in bothin directions
                                                                                                    both directionswere were
                                                                                                                          analyzedanalyzed
                                                                                                                                       and
  closesimulated.
 and     to the measured The    ones, with
                               average        a maximum
                                          slope    of  the   Lo    difference
                                                                    Rojas   site of about
                                                                                  was   based30%.on  the   geotechnical     model    of the
simulated. The average slope of the Lo Rojas site was based on the geotechnical model of the cross-
 cross-section
section   by De la   byMaza
                         De laetMaza     et al. [22].
                                   al. (2017)    (2017) In [22].     In Matanuska’s
                                                            Matanuska’s          case,     case,etYoud
                                                                                        Youd               et al.[5]
                                                                                                                   (2002)
                                                                                                                      and [5]  and(1997)
                                                                                                                                     Rauch
                                  Table  8. Comparison        of results for the   historical  fieldal. (2002)
                                                                                                     cases.                Rauch
 (1997)   [48]  reported      the ground     slope    of  that
[48] reported the ground slope of that location in their database.location    in  their   database.
        Figures18
      Figures       18 and19        Maximum
                                19 show            Measured modeling
                                            the numerical               Maximum         Simulated
                                                                                    results              Measured/Simulated
                                                                                              of the historical        cases in terms of
         Historical and Case show the numerical modeling results of the historical cases in terms of
 acceleration,     excess     pore       Displacement
                                    pressure     ratio,   and     lateral    Displacement
                                                                            displacement
acceleration, excess pore pressure ratio, and lateral displacement time history. The results   time   history.      Ratio
                                                                                                                  The   resultsininTable
                                                                                                                                    Table88
 demonstrate  Lo  Rojas
                   the   applicability     of 2.85
                                              the   m
                                                    proposed         model.    The   2.44
                                                                                      simulated
demonstrate the applicability of the proposed model. The simulated displacements were reasonably    displacements    1.20were  reasonably
           Matanuska
 closetotothe
            themeasured
                 measuredones,          with2.50
                                 ones,with          m                             of3.10                             1.30
close                                         aamaximum
                                                 maximum            differenceof
                                                                   difference         about30%.
                                                                                     about    30%.

                                Table 8. Comparison of results for the historical field cases.

                                  Maximum Measured                   Maximum Simulated                 Measured/Simulated
       Historical Case
                                    Displacement                       Displacement                          Ratio
           Lo Rojas                    2.85 m                              2.44                               1.20
          Matanuska                    2.50 m                              3.10                               1.30

                      (a)                                           (b)                                          (c)
       Figure 18.
       Figure   18. Numerical
                      Numericalmodeling
                                   modeling  results using
                                                results     bothboth
                                                        using    horizontal motions
                                                                     horizontal       from from
                                                                                 motions    the Rapel station.station.
                                                                                                 the Rapel      (a)
       horizontal
       (a)          acceleration
           horizontal             at theatsurface,
                        acceleration               (b) excess
                                           the surface,       pressure
                                                         (b) excess    pore ratio
                                                                     pressure poreat ratio
                                                                                     a 5 matdepth,
                                                                                              a 5 mand (c) lateral
                                                                                                     depth,  and (c)
       displacement    at the surface.
       lateral displacement at the surface.

                     (a)                                            (b)                                            (c)
      Figure 18. Numerical modeling results using both horizontal motions from the Rapel station. (a)
      horizontal acceleration at the surface, (b) excess pressure pore ratio at a 5 m depth, and (c) lateral
      displacement at the surface.
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