Express Delivery Services: Integrating ASEAN to Global Markets
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Express Delivery Services: Integrating ASEAN to Global Markets June 2005 A Report By: US-ASEAN Business Council 1101 17th St., NW Suite 411 Washington, DC 20036 Tel: (202) 289-1911 Fax: (202) 289-0519 The US-ASEAN Business Council is dedicated to the strengthening of business, cultural, and political ties between the United States and the ASEAN region. For more information, please refer to our website at http://www.us-asean.org
EXPRESS DELIVERY SERVICES: INTEGRATING ASEAN TO GLOBAL MARKETS TABLE OF CONTENTS I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................. 2 II. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................... 3 III. EXPRESS DELIVERY SERVICES: AN OVERVIEW.................................................. 6 A. CHARACTERISTICS OF AN EXPRESS DELIVERY COMPANY ................................................. 6 B. BENEFITS TO BUSINESSES .................................................................................................. 7 C. ECONOMIC BENEFITS.......................................................................................................... 8 IV. INTERNATIONAL TRADE POLICY AND GOVERNMENT REGULATION ....... 14 A. INDUSTRY LIBERALIZATION AND GOVERNMENT POLICY ................................................ 14 B. THE WTO AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE POLICY ............................................................. 21 C. REGIONAL INTEGRATION.................................................................................................. 22 V. CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................. 24 ANNEX A: ASEAN COUNTRY PROFILES AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS .... 25 BRUNEI DARUSSALAM .............................................................................................................. 25 CAMBODIA ................................................................................................................................ 26 INDONESIA................................................................................................................................. 27 LAO PDR................................................................................................................................... 28 MALAYSIA ................................................................................................................................. 29 MYANMAR................................................................................................................................. 30 PHILIPPINES ............................................................................................................................... 31 SINGAPORE ................................................................................................................................ 32 THAILAND ................................................................................................................................. 33 VIETNAM ................................................................................................................................... 34 ANNEX B: ASEAN EXPRESS DELIVERY SERVICES REGULATORY MATRIX ........ 35 1
I. Executive Summary The express delivery services (EDS) sector is a great catalyst for trade and investment growth. Delivering the fastest and most reliable services in the logistics sector, EDS is essential to modern manufacturing and service industries. Demanding “end to end” solutions, “just in time” services, and accurate information, businesses view EDS as critical to efficient supply chain management and maintaining their own competitiveness. The multiplier effects stemming from efficiencies in this sector are profound, and contribute greatly to economic growth across several vertical industries. For example, in addition to the functions of its core businesses, EDS firms are also supported by information technology and data centers, financial services centers, and distribution centers. The additional investment and employment generated across vertical industries stimulates growth and benefits multiple stakeholders, creating a positive impact on foreign investment, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), and regional development. The ASEAN region (Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) can greatly benefit from an improved environment for EDS. Today, the region is experiencing an interesting dynamic. South East Asia’s “tiger” economies of the 1980s and 1990s now face strong competition from other global markets including China and India. As such, ASEAN as a region is tasked with the challenge of strengthening its global competitiveness as a trade and investment hub, and further integrating itself into the networks of global supply chains. Recognizing the transportation and logistics sector as one of the lead drivers for economic growth and regional integration, the corporate membership of the US-ASEAN Business Council looks forward to working with Governments to develop an efficient regulatory environment where non- discrimination, transparency, and predictability exist. As a priority and achievable target for the immediate term, we call upon ASEAN member countries to improve customs clearance and undertake measures to promote trade facilitation, including the establishment of appropriate de minimus levels; the introduction of full Electronic Data Interchange (EDI); and the adoption of risk management strategies. To promote robust inter-regional trade, harmonization of customs policies and procedures in ASEAN should also be accelerated. In addition, we urge ASEAN Governments to support bilateral, multilateral, and regional open-skies initiatives, with focus on fifth and seventh freedom rights (for all cargo carriers). To stimulate further investment in this sector, we encourage ASEAN Governments to pursue the following additional strategies for the medium term: - Improve market access for EDS firms including more opportunities for full equity ownership in Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand, and Indonesia. - Provide national treatment so that express delivery service providers can operate on a level playing field with local industry. - Address fair competition in the sector including cross subsidization provided by national postal administrations, and the need for the establishment of an independent regulator; - In addition to regional harmonization of customs and trade facilitation measures, consider accelerating ASEAN initiatives to integrate and implement the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA), ASEAN Framework for Services (AFAS), Roadmap for ASEAN Competitive Air Services Policy, ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement and ASEAN-India Free Trade Agreement. 2
II. Introduction A liberal environment for express delivery services (EDS) can stimulate growth in the ASEAN region. (Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) The industry is a strong catalyst for trade and investment and has the potential to generate multiplier effects for the wider economy. EDS links local businesses to regional and global markets and supply chains. A restricted, inefficient EDS sector chokes overall growth by making it difficult for local firms to efficiently access international buyers and low cost suppliers. Expediting border control procedures, liberalizing aviation regimes, and promoting foreign investment in this important service sector will produce efficiencies that ultimately lead to lower costs and greater access to global supply chains for ASEAN’s exporters. Balancing Brick-and-Mortar Projects with Sound Policies Progress on logistics must keep pace of growth in trade. While there is a basic need for the development of core infrastructure, such programs should “rapidly be supplemented by initiatives to make supply chains more efficient.”1 According to a study conducted by the McKinsey Group, many countries mistakenly focus too much attention on expanding core infrastructure, and overlook the importance of efficient networks brought about by sound policies. Indeed, to sustain air cargo growth for the region currently forecasted at 8.4 percent annually through 20212, development in core infrastructure must be paired with progress on network efficiency. Significant differences in capabilities among countries in the ASEAN region have been found to impede trade growth as a bloc. According to studies done by the World Bank, only 20 percent of ASEAN’s trade is internal trade. This is the result of the “pattern of logistics costs and the institutional barriers to land-based trade.”3 These attributes render many countries in the region closer to industrial countries than to their geographical neighbors. (Thailand, for example, is closer, in an economic sense, to the U.S. market, than to some markets in Vietnam) Therefore, to promote further growth, bringing lagging economies and landlocked countries in the region up to median performance levels is a must. The EDS industry can assist with bringing markets closer to lagging economies, and is a catalyst for promoting robust inter and intra-regional trade. Integrating SMEs into Global Supply Chains As the largest source of domestic employment, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in ASEAN are a powerful potential engine driving economic growth. Recognizing this, Governments have set out to establish policies aimed at accelerating the formation and integration of SMEs into competitive and dynamic regional and global suppliers, and encouraging the formation of SME- based clusters and special economic zones, inter-firm networks, and linkages within and beyond ASEAN. A recent study published in the UPS Asia Business Monitor surveying 1,200 SMEs in 2004 cites access to overseas markets, cash flow, and supply chain efficiency as some of the biggest challenges to success for SMEs in the region.4 EDS firms play an important role in meeting these needs through the establishment of dynamically linked networks, and provide opportunities for SMEs to achieve economies of scale and overall cost savings. Capturing Opportunities from the Changing Competitive Landscape ASEAN today is experiencing an interesting dynamic. With China’s integration into the global community and India’s rapid economic growth, ASEAN countries face the challenge of not only 1 Nikolai Dobberstein, Carl-Stefan Neumann, and Markus Zils, “Logistics in Emerging Markets,” McKinsey Quarterly, 2005, Number 1 2 Boeing World Air Cargo Forecast, 2002-2003 3 Robin Carruthers; Jitendra N. Bajpai, and David Hummels, Trade & Logistics in East Asia: A Development Agenda, EASTR Working Paper No. 3, Transport Sector Unit, Infrastructure Department, East Asia and Pacific Region, World Bank. June 2003. 4 UPS Asia Business Monitor, 2005 3
competing with each other as they traditionally have, but also with their neighbors in the north and in the west for foreign direct investment (FDI). China’s accession to the WTO in 2001, coupled with overall reforms aimed at eliminating trade barriers and ensuring non-discriminatory treatment, predictability and transparency for foreign investors, is drawing robust inflows of FDI. In 2004, China attracted FDI in excess of $60 billion.5 In contrast, FDI to ASEAN only amounted to a little over $20 billion6. To foster the growth of its manufacturing sector, China has been proactive in opening up its EDS sector. The U.S.-China Air Services Agreement signed in June 2004 not only allows for more than a 500 percent increase in cargo capacity between the U.S. and China for the next five years, but also provides “open skies” type rights, including fifth and seventh freedom rights, for U.S. carriers that establish hubs in China. China’s WTO services obligations also commit it to allow wholly-owned foreign courier companies in December 2005. India’s market, with its one billion plus population, is also force to reckon with. Since 1991, India’s economic growth has averaged 6 percent, making it one of the ten fastest growing countries in the world.7 Early this year, India signed an Open Skies Agreement with the U.S., allowing the unlimited operations of U.S. carriers in India. But China and India’s growth also present many opportunities. In recent years, intra-Asia trade has grown from representing 38 percent of world trade to more than 49 percent8. While complementary economies like Japan and Korea are expected to benefit most from these trends, ASEAN countries like Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, and Malaysia are also expected to benefit if they also further liberalize their EDS sector.9 To integrate more fully into the world’s supply chain networks, ASEAN must strengthen its own global competitiveness as a leading trade and investment hub. The US-ASEAN Business Council is dedicated to the strengthening of business, cultural, and political ties between the United States and the ASEAN region. With a membership of close to 150 U.S. companies, the Council aims to build strong public-private partnerships with U.S. and ASEAN Governments. This report explores in greater depth issues mentioned in the 2000 US- ASEAN Business Council Report “The Integrated Express Industry in the ASEAN Region: Delivery Business into the 21st Century.” It is our hope that this will provide useful feedback to policy makers and industry regulators on issues important to the efficient operation of EDS. There is much to be gained from an efficient EDS sector if sound policies are adopted in areas of customs and trade facilitation, market access, national treatment; and competition policy. The adoption of open skies policies by Governments is also a priority. The Council would like to thank members of the Project Oversight Committee - UPS, FedEx, APL, Boeing, and Unisys - for their guidance. Additional thanks also to the Singapore Economic Development Board, Embassy of Indonesia (Singapore), Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BHPM), Indonesia Directorate General of Customs and Excise, Philpost, Royal Malaysia Customs Directorate, PWC Laos, Embassy of Brunei (Singapore), Vietnam General Department of Customs, and Vietnam Ministry of Transportation. The author would also like to extend her sincere thanks to the following members of the US-ASEAN Business Council team for their assistance to the project: Dana Doan, Elizabeth Hernandez, Virginia Foote, Evelyn Mariano, 5 China, Ministry of Foreign Affairs & Commerce, Foreign Investment Administration, http://www.fdi.gov.cn. For the purposes of this report, all dollar amounts, unless otherwise specified, refer to US dollars. 6 ASEAN Secretariat, http://www.aseansec.org 7 U.S. Commercial Services, http://www.buyusa.gov, March 2005 8 World Trade Organization, 2004 9 Richard Cohen, Trade Liberalization, Regional Growth and the Air Express Industry, Robert Cohen, Economic Strategy Institute, February 2004. 4
Marc Mealy, Susan McKinney, Pham Minh Tri, Fauzia Sheh, Ira Sugita, Patricia Tran, Vu Thanh Thuy, and Frances Zwenig. Finally, on behalf of the US-ASEAN Business Council and its corporate members, we thank the Governments of ASEAN for the opportunity to provide feedback on the industry. We remain committed to assisting with ASEAN’s overall development and look forward to strengthening our partnership with both Government and business in the region. The Author Shiumei Lin is Sr. International Trade Policy Analyst for the US-ASEAN Business Council. She covers trade policy for the ASEAN region including issues relating to the U.S.-Thai FTA, U.S.-Singapore-FTA, U.S.-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement, and Vietnam’s and Cambodia’s WTO accession. Since 1996, she has through her work with the U.S.-Vietnam Trade Council collaborated with U.S. companies and the international trade legal community to provide technical assistance programs in support of BTA implementation and WTO Accession for Vietnam. Ms. Lin has a Master of Arts in International Trade & Investment Policy from the George Washington University Elliott School of International Affairs. 5
III. Express Delivery Services: An Overview A. Characteristics of an Express Delivery Company Four major integrators – UPS, FedEx, TNT, and DHL – account for almost 85 percent of the world’s express shipments.10 The services that these companies provide generally share the following characteristics which differentiate them from other traditional forms of delivery services: - Door to door delivery: This includes the seamless transfer across multiple - High level of reliability: EDS firms modes of transport. The “integrated” promise that packages will arrive at the aspect of the service offered frees the required destination, on time. This is customer from the need to make particularly important for shipments of complex transportation arrangements high-tech components due for for pick-up and delivery. production lines, as well as essential financial documents. - Close custodial control: Using sophisticated information systems that - Global service: The major EDS firms enhance security, EDS firms maintain offer their customers delivery to markets close custodial and administrative and cities worldwide through an intricate control over all shipments. This is network of air hubs and stations. EDS particularly important to reduce the risk is a network business. of loss or damage to goods in transit. - Speed of delivery: Most importantly, - Track and trace technology: Shippers Overnight and Second-day express and consignees may track the precise services reduce overall inventory and movement and location of their warehousing needs, and maximize shipments and confirm delivery with the supply chain efficiency. The average use of sophisticated ‘track and trace’ shipping time from the U.S. to Southeast technology that an EDS firm provides. Asia is about 2-3 working days door-to- door. - Facilitation of customs clearance: EDS firms assist with customs Together, these characteristics bring clearance so that customers do not businesses timely, secure, and guaranteed have to navigate bureaucratic customs worldwide delivery of documents, products, regimes and the required paperwork. components, and spare parts to assist with efficient supply chain management. 10 The Integrated Express Industry in China, U.S.- China Business Council, 2003. 6
B. Benefits to Businesses Air cargo represents 40 percent of the value of global trade.11 The bulk of this is handled by EDS firms.12 Servicing the needs of both multinational corporations and the emergent small and medium enterprise (SME) sector in their manufacturing, import, and export activities, this industry has been an important engine for economic growth. Sectors which heavily rely on EDS to remain competitive are knowledge-based and technologically advanced, including that of pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, information technology and telecoms, textiles, automotive & transport, engineering, financial and business services, and traditional manufacturing.13 To remain competitive, companies today focus not only on product performance but also factor in how well costs can be managed and reduced through distribution and production, and how quickly parts can be brought together, assembled, and distributed to global markets. EDS firms help with the smooth orchestration of these activities and are therefore part of the critical infrastructure for efficient supply chain management. National Semiconductor / UPS Global Distribution Center, Jurong, Singapore. Reducing Inventory and Other Indirect Costs With the support of EDS, companies no longer have to maintain large inventories and can therefore carry out better concentration, rationalization, and location of warehouses. In a study conducted by Gausch and Kogan (2001), companies in developing countries were found to have 2 - 5 times more inventory holdings in the manufacturing sector than companies in the U.S.14 Halving these inventories could consequently reduce unit production costs by 20 percent. In a typical Asian emerging market, logistics supply chain costs is as high as 22 - 24 percent of total production costs for manufacturers.15 In another study, it was found that for every $1 spent on express transportation, companies would save $1.50 in warehousing and inventory cost.16 For manufacturers, taking advantage of the availability of EDS allows for more efficient stock management and production techniques to be practiced, including the ability to respond more 11 Boeing World Air Cargo Forecast, 2002-2003 12 D. Kay, “It’s Time to Set Air Cargo Free,” Airport World, 2004. 13 The Economic Impact of Express Carriers in Europe, Oxford Economic Forecasting, October 2004. 14 Luis J. Gausch and J. Kogan, Inventories in Developing Countries: Levels and Determinants, a Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth, World Bank, 2001 15 Dobberstein, Neumann & Zils, McKinsey Quarterly, 2005, Number 1 16 Essential Trade Infrastructure: Express Delivery Services, FedEx, March 2002 7
quickly to stock outages, and production interruptions. These indirect costs are not always visible and often overlooked but are critical to SMEs in emerging economies. Other immediate cost savings can also be realized through greater flexibility in sourcing. The flexibility allows companies to source from a wider array of suppliers and reduce their input costs. Introducing Flexibility into Business Structure EDS allows for more flexible business solutions. Relying on EDS to bridge distances removes the traditionally important time-to-market consideration and allows companies to make strategic decisions on where to locate their business units based on factors of competition, proximity to supporting industries, and complementary industry hubs. This is particularly relevant for knowledge-based industries in the biomedical and pharmaceutical field. In a survey conducted of European companies in Germany on the usage of EDS, 80 percent of survey respondents reported the importance of being based in locations providing “maximum participation in leading research associations.”17 Decentralization of research & development units to hubs where these laboratories, testing centers, hospitals, patent registration offices, and research think tanks are located allows businesses to benefit from an environment of innovation important to product development. At the same time, product development units rely on EDS to ship samples to markets for clinical trials, deliver highly classified and proprietary legal documents and patent applications, ship urgently needed drugs to hospitals; and maintain “just- in-time” stock-management practices for its laboratories. C. Economic Benefits In many parts of the world, the EDS sector has been a catalyst to trade and investment growth, generating profound multiplier effects for the wider economy. For ASEAN countries looking to extend their reach to global markets, networks that EDS firms build are critical. These networks render supply chains more efficient and contribute greatly to export growth, stimulate foreign direct investment, and foster regional development and SME growth. Facilitating Export Growth In ASEAN, intra-regional trade accounts for about 20 percent of overall trade.18 This is considerably less than in most regions. The main reasons for the limited intra-regional trade are the “pattern of logistics costs and institutional barriers to land-based trade.”19 This phenomenon makes countries of the region effectively closer to industrial countries than to each other. To fully realize the benefits the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA), bringing lagging economies and landlocked countries in the region up to median performance levels is key. There is a causal link between connectivity and overall growth in trade, and an even stronger correlation between transportation and logistics infrastructure and export performance. Transportation and logistics-related costs in ASEAN continue to represent a substantial percentage of the actual cost of goods. A country with high logistics costs is far, in an economic sense, from international markets. In the study “Towards a Geography of Trade Costs” (Hummel 1999) which compared sales by manufacturers of similar products, exporters with 1 percent lower shipping costs enjoy a 5 - 8 percent higher market share. 20 In another study conducted by the McKinsey Group, annual GDP for one Asian country is forecasted to increase by 1.5 to 2 percent by 2010 if logistics costs are reduced by 15 to 20 percent. (This is in contrast to an ongoing $10 17 Oxford Economic Forecasting, October 2004. 18 Carruthers, Bajpai, & Hummels, World Bank, June 2003. 19 Ibid, p.9 20 David Hummels, Towards a Geography of Trade Costs, University of Chicago (1999) 8
billion infrastructure project which would only generate 0.7 to 1 percent GDP growth over the same period).21 Indeed, injecting competition into the industry to lower logistics costs can give a UPS Pampanga Clark Hub: Facilitating the exports of local manufacturers in the Philippines. significant competitive edge to producers in an open economy. Efficient inter-modal transportation, including the use of EDS, would result in more efficient supply chain management. These efficiencies undoubtedly replicate gains in the export sector. A study conducted by the Economic Strategy Institute concluded that further development and liberalization in the air express industry could result in percentage gains for exports per year from 2004 - 2008 between 0.386 - 0.562 percent per year for Singapore; 2.895 – 4.215 percent per year for Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines; and 3.86 – 5.62 percent per year for Vietnam and Indonesia.22 (See Table 1) Country Cluster Gains Relative to Low Range Gain High Range Gain China Singapore, Taiwan, 0.2 0.386 0.562 Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand Japan and Korea 0.5 0.965 1.405 China and Sri Lanka 1 1.93 2.81 Malaysia, Thailand 1.5 2.895 4.215 Philippines, India Vietnam, Indonesia, 2 3.86 5.62 Pakistan Table 1: Export Gains due to Liberalization of the Air Express Industry, Percentage Gain per year, 2004 – 2008 (Source: Economic Strategy Institute, 2004) 21 Dobberstein, Neumann, & Zils, McKinsey Quarterly, 2005, Number 1 22 Economic Strategy Institute, February 2004. 9
Integrating Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) into Global Supply Chains As the largest source of domestic employment, SMEs in the ASEAN region are potentially a powerful source of economic growth. Recognizing this, Governments have introduced policies and measures aimed at accelerating the formation and integration of SMEs into competitive and dynamic regional and global supply networks. These policies focus on encouraging the formation of SME-based clusters, inter-firm networks, and linkages within and beyond ASEAN. With cash flow, resources, and funding as their primary concerns, SMEs in Asia count on EDS to provide the following: - Networks for reaching global markets EDS firms create networks for SMEs to reach global markets without the heavy burden of establishing a commercial presence through investment. Such networks not only allow SMEs to have access to customers outside their domestic market, they also allow manufacturers to have access to a greater variety of inputs and raw materials to lower overall production costs. - Expertise to navigate complex import and export regulations EDS firms provide their clients with expertise on import and export regulations. This is of great value especially to SMEs without the in-house expertise necessary to navigate the web of proliferating free trade agreements (FTAs) faced by importers and exporters today. - Opportunities to achieve economies of scale and overall cost savings EDS firms allow for greater flexibility to be practiced by businesses. Companies benefit from the flexibility of shipping small quantities and are able to take advantage of economies of scale on costs relating to freight, transportation, insurance, and security. Opportunities for cost savings are key considerations for SMEs in the ASEAN region – with 23 percent identifying cash flow and funding as the most worrying issue, and 78 percent emphasizing the importance of the transport and logistics to growth in the next two years.23 The benefits and export gains for SMEs in the ASEAN region are supported by analyses conducted by the Economic Strategy Institute illustrated in Table 1. With further liberalization of the industry, the study demonstrates that gains for Vietnam would be double that of benefits earned by China and estimated at 3.86 – 5.62 percent gain in exports per year for 2004 – 2008. Export gains for Thailand could range from 2.895 – 4.315 percent per year, 1.5 times more than benefits gained by China.24 These gains are likely to mainly benefit the SME sector. Continued……. 23 UPS Asia Business Monitor Survey, 2005 24 Economic Strategy Institute, February 2004. 10
SMEs continued…. Thailand In 2004, SMEs accounted for 2.5 trillion baht of Thailand’s overall trade and represented 38.4 percent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP). To date, the average logistics costs of SMEs in Thailand is 25 - 30 percent of total production costs.25 The comparable figure for SMEs in the U.S. and Japan is 10 - 11 percent, and in Europe is 7 percent. Thailand’s Office for Small and Medium Enterprises expects SME trade volume to grow by 50 percent in the medium term. EDS firms are committed to assisting with this growth target and are actively participating in the Government’s “One Tambon One Product Project” promoting local products of rural villages and connecting them to the world. Vietnam Local FedEx and UPS managers in Vietnam believe SMEs represent approximately 80 percent of their client base. In 2002, Vietnam’s SMEs - a large percentage of which are in the informal sector - made up 99.7 percent of enterprises.26 Industrial output value by SMEs accounted for about 28 percent of national industrial output value, and 35 percent of export volumes. In the IT sector, software localization companies rely on the services of EDS firms to import industry sensitive data for translation. The services of such carriers are particularly important due to the high telecommunication costs and low internet bandwidth capacity in Vietnam. Proprietary data is then re-exported in a timely, secure, and trackable way back to the U.S. and other countries where Vietnamese versions of such software are sold on the market. The Vietnamese software localization industry is one of Vietnam’s highest valued exports in the service sector. The success of this industry is highly dependent on the ability of EDS firms to operate efficiently in Vietnam. 25 Thailand, Office of Small and Medium Enterprises 26 Vietnam, Statistics General Bureau, 2003. In 2002, there were 733.453 businesses having less than 300 labourers, hold 99.7% of enterprises, with an assumption that enterprises without tax code are considered SMEs. Enterprises having less than 10 labourers hold the majority. 11
Facilitating FDI and Promoting Regional Development EDS firms play a critical role in influencing company decisions on how much and where to invest. This is especially applicable to remote markets where EDS firms assist in overcoming problems of geography and weaker transportation infrastructure. Fifty-eight percent of participating companies in a survey conducted for the report “The Economic Impact of Express Carriers in Europe” (Oxford Economic Forecasting, 2004) consider easy access to markets, customers or clients, as “absolutely essential” when deciding where to locate.27 In the EU, the importance of EDS is compelling – without EDS, 35 percent of those interviewed for a study in Portugal said they would have to relocate; 15 percent of the UK and 10 percent of the Italian companies surveyed would consider relocating abroad; and 30 percent of the French companies and 10 percent of the Belgian firms surveyed would consider outsourcing.28 The EDS industry now supports 530,000 direct and indirect jobs in the EU. Their presence has injected the much needed downstream investment for creating jobs in the 10 new EU member states. 12,000 employees work directly for the four main integrators in new EU countries, and countless more are employed in automotive manufacturing, warehousing, IT support, and service centers. The EDS industry is a dynamic instigator of regional development in two ways. First, it allows for businesses to be located in regions that are not close to their markets. Second, the clustering effect (businesses wanting to be near hubs to take advantage of the latest pick-up time possible) that major express hubs create stimulates regional development. For example, it is estimated that further liberalization of the industry in China will do much to assist with the regional development of its western provinces. Already, it is expected that growth in the industry will generate $84 billion in increased manufacturing output, and 800,000 jobs for China’s export industry over five years.29 Similar benefits can be expected in ASEAN. The experiences of FedEx and UPS in the Philippines provide an excellent example. FedEx has been located in Subic Bay since 1995, and UPS has had its intra-Asia hub in Pampanga Clark since 2002. Both hubs, with dynamic networks to all parts of Southeast Asia, have been successful in bringing about the clustering of industry, and stimulating development for regions in the Philippines vacated by the U.S. military. 27 Oxford Economic Forecasting, May 2004 28 Ibid, p. 25 29 U.S.-China Business Council, 2003. 12
FedEx Subic Bay Hub Contributions In September 1995, FedEx opened its first Asia Pacific (APAC) hub in Subic Bay, Philippines and also launched a comprehensive intra-Asian overnight service through the FedEx AsiaOne network. Based on the innovative "hub and spoke" concept introduced by the company in its U.S. operations, the APAC hub now connects more than 30 countries and territories in the region. FedEx started its Subic hub with six flights per day and about 100 employees. The facility now employs over 650 people that manage over twenty flights per day. In the five years between 1993 and 1998, general employment in Subic Bay grew from 7,000 to 40,000. Investment has grown from $436 million to $2.4 billion. Between 1995 and 2000, 150 new firms were established around the airport and exports increased from $24 million to more than $1 billion annually. FedEx now employs over 1,000 people in the Philippines FedEx Sorting Center and has 295 intra-Asian flights per week. Subic Bay, Philippines UPS and Pampanga Clark Hub Contributions UPS operates its intra-Asia hub out of Pampanga in the Philippines. Since its establishment in 2002, flights operating out of the hub have increased from an initial 24 to 90 flights per week, while employees have increased from 124 to over 200 working two shifts. Volumes have grown steadily since the opening of the hub. For the fourth quarter of 2004, export volumes are estimated to have grown by 30 percent as compared to the same quarter in 2003. To meet the growing demand from trade growth, UPS has recently invested $1.4 The newly expanded UPS hub in million and expanded its intra-Asia hub by Pampanga Clark will serve as the central tripling its sorting capacity from 2,500 to sorting point within four hours of all major 7,500 packages per hour. The 5,900 square Asian cities. meter hub directly links Clark to major Asian cities including Hong Kong, Shanghai, Toyko, Singapore, and Taipei. In April 2005, UPS added another two flights directly connecting Clark with Osaka, Japan and Shenzhen, China. The Clark Special Economic Zone now hosts more than 400 local and foreign investors.30 30 Clark Development Corporation, http://www.clark.com.ph 13
IV. International Trade Policy and Government Regulation The EDS industry thrives in countries with efficient import and export procedures, open aviation regimes, and attractive investment climates. The environment for the EDS industry in ASEAN ranges from highly liberalized and open economies with independent regulators to those in which postal administrations continue to maintain jurisdiction and control over the provision of such services. To avail themselves of the benefits that accrue to economies with efficient EDS, ASEAN countries must take immediate steps to improve border clearance procedures and liberalize aviation regimes. Over the medium term, greater market access, including the liberalization of investment regimes, fair competition, and closer regional integration should be pursued with vigor. Several trends affect this sector in ASEAN. National postal administrations are corporatizing and extending their services to include telecommunications, internet, financial services, and EDS. Initiatives have been launched to integrate the region into a single market for goods and services, with active participation by Governments to liberalize air transport services and regional aviation markets. For WTO members, further commitments with regard to market access, national treatment, and fair competition are expected under the Doha Round. Separately, rigorous disciplines for the service sector have already been incorporated into the U.S.-Singapore Free Trade Agreement, and are expected under the U.S.-Thailand FTA. A. Industry Liberalization and Government Policy The most efficient and highest standard economies are those in which the distribution sector is competitive and has been left free of burdensome regulations and barriers to investment and market entry. The US-ASEAN Business Council looks forward to working with ASEAN Governments to shape policy that will assist with the efficient movement of goods and services. As a priority and an achievable target for the immediate term, we urge ASEAN member countries to undertake measures to promote trade facilitation including the elimination of barriers to efficient customs clearance; the establishment of appropriate de minimus levels; the introduction of full Electronic Data Interchange (EDI), and overall integration for customs policies and procedures. Customs and Trade Facilitation Customs and trade facilitation is a priority for the industry and one of the four key areas proposed under the WTO Doha Round (2001) for discussion.31 In an era of heightened security requirements, the adoption of trade facilitation measures is essential. Facilitative customs measures - the adoption of automated customs clearance, risk management strategies, the separation of goods release from accounting processes, the establishment of a de minimus level, and the general simplification and modernization of customs processes and procedures - would most benefit less developed and developing economies, where on average 25 percent of costs and 20 percent of transit time are spent in and/or on customs practices.32 - Automated and Expedited Customs Clearance In 2002, customs clearance times in Asian countries were high. Average customs clearance times were 3.7 days at airports, and 8 days and 4.6 days respectively for LCL (Less than Container Load) and FCL (Full Container Load) shipments at sea ports.33 With the application of Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) technology, and the adoption of risk management 31 Known collectively as the “Singapore” issues, four areas – trade facilitation, investment, competition policy, and government procurement - are under discussion under the WTO Doha Round. 32 “The 2003 Air Cargo Quality Survey.” The International Logistics Quality Institute, Air Cargo World, October 2003 33 International Exhibition Logistics Associates, http://www.iela.org, 2002 14
strategies (which will be discussed below), ASEAN countries such as Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, and Malaysia have successfully reduced average air shipment customs processing to one day or less. In Singapore, 90 percent of the physical cargo is cleared within 8 minutes, 100 percent within 13 minutes.34 EDI allows traders to input data electronically, with links to customs and other supporting import licensing agencies, for efficient approval and release of goods. Recognizing the need for adequate resources and infrastructure for the development of EDI particularly in the ASEAN CLMV (Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar & Vietnam) countries, EDS firms are committed to working with Governments and donors to provide technical assistance. ASEAN Country Average Customs Clearance EDI for Air Shipments Singapore Same day (100 percent of cargo Yes cleared in 13 minutes) Malaysia Same day Yes Philippines 1 working day Yes Thailand 1 working day Yes Brunei 1 working day No Cambodia 1 working day No Vietnam 1 working day No Indonesia 1-2 working days Yes Lao PDR 1-2 working days No Myanmar No service available No service available Table 2: Customs Clearance Times for Air Cargo and the Use of EDI. [Note: These values are an "average" for a high value shipments not requiring special import documentation such as quarantine certificates, import licenses etc. Air express volumes are also relatively low in Brunei, Cambodia, Vietnam, and Laos]. Source: UPS In addition to the introduction of automation, customs clearance for imports can also be facilitated through moderate restructuring in administrative practices. Specifically, improvements could be achieved by conducting customs operations beyond traditional office hours, allowing for shipments to be processed at the place of arrival (in this case at airports), and most importantly, separating the release of goods from the accounting process. On the latter, a two-step process should be undertaken: the more urgent process of releasing shipments is separated from the more complex process of customs and other border entry paperwork. Countries that have introduced the use of surety bonds and other bank guarantees for importers, plus a system of post-clearance audit, have found such policies to be more time efficient and cost effective, without revenue losses. - Establishment of a de minimus To assist with efficient processing, customs administrations across the world set de minimus levels and value thresholds for the import of goods. The concept of “de minimus” is the point at which it will cost Governments more resources to collect duties than to simply waive them. De minimus levels vary according to country – in the United States, this is $200; in Mexico this is $50; and in New Zealand this is NZD400 (approximately $235). The establishment of such a de minimus level does not mean that Governments forego their rights to police borders. Such shipments continue to be subject to inspection, detention or seizure if suspected to be illegal. 34 Singapore Economic Development Board, 2005 15
Among ASEAN countries, de minimus levels range from S$400 (approximately $241) in Singapore to 10 pesos (approximately $0.18) in the Philippines. Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam do not have de minimus thresholds. To promote greater efficiency at borders, we look forward to the opportunity to provide feedback on appropriate de minimus levels for businesses in ASEAN. (Please see Annex B – ASEAN Regulatory Matrix for comparative de minimus levels among ASEAN members.) - Risk Management To expedite customs clearance, Governments ought to should consider the establishment of a risk management system where vigilant enforcement could be practiced without sacrificing trade facilitation. Risk management strategies match factors affecting risk with probability and likelihood, and take into account past performance to come up with a profile for importers. Based on such factors, and with the use of X-Ray equipment, Governments are able to identify high risk categories and focus their efforts on monitoring and enforcing compliance for these importers. - Customs harmonization for ASEAN To facilitate trade and fully benefit from trade liberalization in ASEAN, harmonization of customs practices is critical. Harmonization is even more crucial if ASEAN is to smoothly implement the ASEAN-China FTA35 and the planned ASEAN-India FTA. To promote intra- regional trade facilitation and take advantage of China and India’s supply chains, risk management strategies that ensure pre-entry clearance and post-clearance audit ought to be undertaken. Finally, to transform ASEAN into a single platform for manufacturing, harmonization of policies and practices must be paired with the vision of ASEAN as a single customs union. We urge ASEAN Governments to consider the acceleration of these initiatives to develop and enhance the region’s competitiveness as a manufacturing center. With the goal of offering its customers the most efficient express service for shipments of any size, weight, and value, the industry looks forward to working with ASEAN Governments, including providing technical assistance, in the adoption and implementation of such policies. Market Access and Equity Ownership Few countries have undertaken market access commitments in this service sector under the WTO. Restrictions on equity ownership in this sector serve no economic purpose and are in fact inimical to the economic interests of local businesses they are designed to protect because they raise prices for consumers and limit the sales options of local entrepreneurs who might wish to sell a business to an international firm. Liberal investment policies give service providers greater control over their operations allowing companies to raise productivity and efficiency. This in turn encourages further investment into the sector and other vertical industries. (Transportation, infrastructure, information technology, telecommunications) Market access and foreign ownership continues to be restricted in some ASEAN countries, limiting EDS firms to doing business through an agent. In some countries, this arrangement is further aggravated when counterpart agencies are national postal administration bodies, making it difficult for EDS firms to have full custodial control over their consignments and protect proprietary business information from potential competitors. Agency agreements are also an extra cost, and are for this service industry the least efficient business model to adopt. While joint-ventures come with similar problems, they are preferable if majority ownership is permitted and if companies are able to freely enter into or exit from joint ventures with local, non-local, private, or government partners. Also important to the industry is access to inter-modal markets, which allows service providers to practice flexible and seamless solutions. Inter-modal rights allow companies to have control over 35 Implementation of the ASEAN-China FTA (Goods Agreement) begins on 1 July 2005. 16
their airline operations and conduct their own ground pick-ups and deliveries. These rights encourage companies to invest further in the downstream end of the supply chain including vehicles, drivers, parking and auto-maintenance, customer service, IT support, and financial service centers. FedEx’s fleet of vans at Kuala Lumpur International Airport (KLIA). Greater market access promotes downstream investment in vehicles, drivers, parking, and auto- maintenance centers. 17
Access to Aviation Markets While “traditional” market access issues (commercial presence) are of great importance to service providers, access to aviation markets or air routes for cargo – arising out of civil aviation agreements between countries – is equally important. The causal link between air cargo and growth in overall trade warrants a strong call for the liberalization of aviation markets. When considering the liberalization of aviation markets and the adoption of “open skies” policies, Governments ought to be reminded that air routes represent highways in the sky, and are as important as surface transportation infrastructure. EDS firms serve the ASEAN region using point-to-point or hub services or a combination of both. They may use their own aircraft, chartered aircraft, or secure space in the bellies of scheduled passenger aircraft.36 To meet the demands of modern global supply chains, “fifth freedom”37 and “seventh freedom”38 rights are instrumental. These rights allow EDS firms operating through a “hub and spoke” network to connect to third countries so that aircraft may be efficiently utilized. With manufacturers and businesses demanding inputs from multiple sources, fifth and seventh freedom rights lend the greatest flexibility to carriers serving these dynamically linked multiple nodes. Naturally, the granting of such rights by Governments has also been instrumental in influencing investment decisions affecting the location of hubs for EDS firms. More importantly, other businesses - especially those that are reliant on EDS - also choose to invest in locations where there is a mature aviation transportation infrastructure to receive their inputs and get their products to global markets. In ASEAN, aviation liberalization allows countries with less developed trade flows with the U.S. or Europe (where these carriers originate), to take advantage of an existing network for intra-regional, or intra-ASEAN trade. Thus, while Laos or Cambodia may not have strong bilateral trade with the U.S., they could become part of a larger network provided by EDS firms and other airlines to service strong bilateral trade with other ASEAN countries and beyond with access to their aviation market through fifth and seventh freedom rights Continued…….. 36 The Integrated Express Industry in the ASEAN Region: Delivery Business into the 21st Century, US-ASEAN Business Council, 1999. 37 Fifth Freedom Rights: “The right or privilege, in respect of scheduled international air services, granted by one State to another State to put down and to take on, in the territory of the first State, traffic coming from or destined to a third State.” Manual on the Regulation of International Air Transport of the Air, ICAO, http://www.icao.int/icao/en/trivia/freedoms_air.htm 38 Seventh Freedom Rights: “The right or privilege, in respect of scheduled international air services, granted by one State to another State, of transporting traffic between the territory of the granting State and any third State with no requirement to include on such operation any point in the territory of the recipient State, i.e. the service need not connect to or be an extension of any service to/from the home State of the carrier.” Ibid, http://www.icao.int/icao/en/trivia/freedoms_air.htm 18
Access to aviation markets continued… Among the ASEAN member nations, Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand,39 and Singapore permit unlimited fifth and seventh freedom rights for U.S. cargo carriers. The Philippines recently passed regulations allowing open skies in Clark and Subic Bay. Vietnam permits bilateral access and limited fifth freedom access, but does not permit seventh freedom access for cargo carriers. (See Annex B: ASEAN Express Delivery Services Regulatory Matrix) In March 2004, Singapore, Thailand, and Brunei formalized a multilateral Open Skies Air Cargo Agreement, including the granting of fifth and seventh freedom rights, allowing carriers from the three countries to operate unlimited air cargo services. The US-ASEAN Business Council applauds this move and urges ASEAN Governments to consider further liberalization of aviation markets, including the effective implementation of the Roadmap for Integration of ASEAN to achieve full liberalization of air freight services by 2006.40 On the multilateral front, Brunei and Singapore have signed on to the Multilateral Agreement on the Liberalization of International Air Transportation (MALIAT), of which the United States, New Zealand, Chile, Peru and Samoa are also party to. The MALIAT is the first multilateral agreement to contain elements of an open skies regime. The US-ASEAN Business Council encourages ASEAN country members to participate in this Open skies policies allow FedEx to manage its regime. “hub and spoke” operations out of Subic Bay in the Philippines. National Treatment and the Establishment of a Level Playing Field Very important to industries across all sectors, national treatment or non-discriminatory treatment ensures that foreign companies are able to reap the benefits of market access and compete on an equal basis with domestic entities. As the basis of all WTO and international trade agreements, national treatment is instrumental to the maintenance of an attractive foreign investment regime, and encouraging the local industry to become competitive. Measures that deny national treatment include the lack of access to government programs available to domestic providers, and discriminatory access to facilities (highways, airports, and railroads), radio frequency, and location of warehouses. We hope that such issues could be addressed by ASEAN Governments in the formulation of policies for the service sector. Competition Policy and Deregulation Due to the predominance of state-owned operators and the tendency for national administrations to extend their services beyond their core business, meaningful liberalization in the EDS sector 39 The U.S. and Thailand have an Open Skies Agreement for cargo carriers (signed in October 2003) and are building upon this agreement towards an Open Skies Agreement for passenger traffic. 40 In 2002, a Memorandum of Understanding on Air Freight Services was established under the ASEAN Framework. http://www.aseansec.org/13144.htm 19
can only be achieved by addressing issues such as the establishment of an independent regulator, postal subsidies, cross subsidization and fair competition in this sector. Such measures prevent suppliers from distorting fair participation in the market and engaging in or continuing anti-competitive measures as a result of their dominant market position. - Defining the scope of the postal monopoly In determining the scope of the postal monopoly, Governments should uphold the principle of reserving such a monopoly only to ensure the provision of basic and essential universal postal delivery services. EDS firms are not in direct competition with national administrations in the provision of postal services, but request the establishment of at least a level playing field in the services in which they do intersect. Defining the scope of the monopoly in the narrowest way, and excluding all value-added services such as EDS, will not only stimulate economic efficiency but increase consumer choice by promoting competition.41 It is for this reason that the industry strongly supports a separate classification for their services and advocates this agenda as part of the ongoing services negotiations under the WTO Doha Round. (See section on “The WTO and International Trade Policy” and “Revising the Industry’s Services Classification”) - Establishment of an independent regulator for postal services Instrumental to the provision of fair market conditions in the EDS sector is the establishment of an independent regulatory body. In China for example, China Post plays a dual role as operator and regulator. This makes it difficult for it to be impartial when making decisions affecting the regulation of the industry. According to the Universal Postal Union (UPU), an independent regulator is determined by the following criteria:42 - In its decisions, the regulator is guided solely by the criteria of post-specific and competition legislation. - The regulator’s decisions are not subject to political influence. - In making regulatory decisions, the regulator does not take instructions from other parties. - The regulator monitors the entire postal market, not just the public operator. All operators are required to comply with the same rules. - The regulator decides in an impartial, fair and transparent manner, i.e. the process of decision making is transparent for both operators and customers. - Cross subsidization Recent FTAs concluded with the United States have incorporated disciplines on cross- subsidization by state owned operators.43 These disciplines prohibit state-owned operators like postal administrations from using profits derived from government granted monopoly operations (e.g. postal services) to subsidize operations for which it competes with others on. Such policies not only ensure a level playing field for private EDS firms but also encourage postal administrations to be more competitive. These disciplines were adopted by Singapore in its FTA with the U.S. Accordingly, “Singapore Post Pte. Ltd. is prohibited from using revenues from the provision of postal services to cross subsidize in an anti-competitive manner the price of express delivery services.”44 We applaud this effort and hope that Governments across ASEAN will also consider adopting such disciplines. 41 “Foreign Industry Associations Call for Level Playing Field and Equal Footing in Postal Privatization.” Coalition of Service Industries, 28 March 2005 42 Universal Postal Union, http://www.upu.int 43 U.S.-Singapore Free Trade Agreement, Chapter 8, Annex 8A, 2003. 44 Ibid 20
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