Evaluating Animal Welfare with Choice Experiments: An Application to Swedish Pig Production
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Evaluating Animal Welfare with Choice Experiments: An Application to Swedish Pig Production Carolina Liljenstolpe Department of Economics, SLU, Uppsala, Sweden. E-mail: carolina.liljenstolpe@ekon.slu.se ABSTRACT In this study, the demand for animal welfare attributes when buying pork fillet is investigated among Swedish respondents. The issue is of importance in order to ensure an economically viable pig industry while applying an increasing number of animal friendly practices. In order to obtain information about consumer demand, an indirect utility function and willingness to pay (WTP) for animal welfare attributes are estimated. The attributes are solely associated with animal friendly practices. An investigation of numerous housing and managerial practices of pig production has not yet been performed. The indirect utility function is estimated using a random parameter logit model. A realistic approach when modeling consumer choice is to allow for heterogeneity in preferences. The relevance of assuming randomness of some of the parameters is evaluated by using a specification test developed by McFadden and Train (2000). The WTP is also estimated at the individual level. The results indicate that WTP for animal welfare attributes may be negative or positive. The preferences are also heterogeneous among respondents, which may be explained by a segmentation of preferences. Finally, the WTP estimates for animal welfare practices are compared with cost estimates for such production systems. [Econlit subject codes: C010, C500, Q100] r 2008 Wiley-Liss, Inc. 1. BACKGROUND TO AND OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY Pig production in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries during the recent decades has been undergoing an industrializa- tion process, characterized in part by fewer, larger, and more efficient production operations (Lundeheim & Holmgren, 1994; Paarlberg, Boehlje, Foster, Doering, & Wallace, 1999). Along with a substantial demand for inexpensive meat products, and yet a consideration for sensory-specific qualities and food safety, the public debate has focused on animal rights and the handling of animals in the industrialized sector (see for example American Veterinary Medical Association [AVMA], 2006 and Lindgren & Forslund, 1990). Integration of more animal friendly practices into the production system by imposing stricter animal welfare regulations1 is a problematic 1 Animal welfare regulation in this regard implies the rules that are stipulated in order to improve the wellbeing of livestock and affect practices in production in terms of housing conditions, veterinary care, feed and transportation. Agribusiness, Vol. 24 (1) 67–84 (2008) r 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI: 10.1002/AGR.20147 67
68 LILJENSTOLPE issue as it probably incurs additional costs for producers which, in turn, increases the price paid by consumers (Henson & Traill, 2000; McInerney, 1991; Stott et al., 2005). Consequently, it is vital that there exists a demand for animal friendly practices in order to ensure an economically viable industry. If that is the case there ought to exist a willingness to pay (WTP) for animal welfare attributes, i.e.,, for procedures that promote improvements in animal well-being. Such demand analysis could be of value for the conventional as well as for the organic pig production because it could enhance the competitiveness of the industry. Public demand in Sweden for animal welfare attributes could also be of international interest, as Sweden has already adopted relatively strict regulations for pig production (e.g., ‘‘The Swedish model’’2). Also, national demand should be taken into account prior to a harmonization of animal welfare legislation (see European Commission, 2006). The credence character of animal friendly practices raises a complex problem when evaluating the demand for products with specific qualities. As actual sales data for hypothetical products are not available, a postulated demand for animal welfare attributes is required in order to evaluate animal friendly production. Previous surveys examining hypothetical markets have mostly used the contingent valuation method (CVM)—a few them include Anderson and Frykblom (1999), Bennett (1997), Bennett and Larson (1996), Drake and Holm (1989), and Rolfe (1999). The drawback of the CVM approach is that estimates are obtained as absolute values and therefore comparisons are not meaningful. Due to the diversified character of preferences, it can be useful to adopt a multiple choice approach for the evaluation of agricultural production systems. Den Ouden (1996) used conjoint analysis to evaluate 12 attributes in pig production, using a small sample of consumers and experts on pig welfare issues. It is common practice in choice experiments to assume that preferences are heterogeneous across respondents. Often a random parameter logit model (RPL) is used to estimate WTP. Extensive surveys of the evaluation of preferences have been performed to consider preference heterogeneity for animal welfare. More recent studies include Andersen (2003), Carlsson, Frykblom, and Lagerkvist (2004), Enneking (2004), Lagerkvist, Carlsson, and Viske (2006), and Larue, West, Gendron, and Lambert (2004). Previous studies of animal welfare attributes use a mixture of animal welfare attributes and food safety attributes. However, these studies reveal a relatively high evaluation of food safety related attributes compared to animal welfare attributes, which indicates that preferences may be segmented. A choice experiment study of WTP for animal welfare attributes adhering to the Swedish model have not been performed hitherto. The objective of this study is to evaluate animal welfare attributes and animal friendly production standards in the Swedish pig production. These may be attributable to the voluntary rules stipulated in ‘‘the Swedish model’’ or are practiced experimentally. The WTP for animal welfare attributes among costumers that buy 2 The ‘‘Swedish model’’ refers to Swedish Animal Welfare Acts of 1988 and additional directives of 1989 and 1993 (Swedish Gov. Offices, 1988, 1989, and 1993). Some additional voluntary action programmes are normally also included in this definition. The features of the ‘‘Swedish model’’ that are analyzed in this survey are rules concerning bedding straw, air partition, castration, transportation, feed, housing and handling. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
EVALUATING ANIMAL WELFARE WITH CHOICE EXPERIMENTS 69 pork fillet is estimated by applying a RPL model. This model also allows for individual ranking of WTP, which makes it possible to estimate the distribution of WTP and hence detect its diversity. This study provides insights into consumer behavior: why results from similar studies may differ and why a substantial segmentation of preferences may exist. Furthermore, in order to motivate the use of the animal welfare attributes, a comparison between WTP values and the corresponding costs for such production systems is made. A comparison as such has not been done in previous choice experiments of pig production. Most animal welfare attributes are regarded as welfare improving by the respondents, which to some extent supports the results of previous studies. Also, even if a hypothetical bias exists, the WTP values exceed approximated costs of implementation. These results motivate the use of the animal friendly practices into production systems. The article is organized as follows. First, the econometric model is presented with a definition of the indirect utility function and WTP and derivation of WTP estimates on individual level. Next, the design of the choice experiment is described, followed by presentation of the econometric results. At the end of the article, a discussion of the findings and some concluding remarks are presented. 2. ECONOMETRIC MODEL SPECIFICATIONS The relative utility of an individual in a discrete choice model is represented by linear utility function. Utility is assumed to either increase or decrease according to price and animal welfare attributes, depending on how the respondent regards animal friendly practices. For an individual n choosing alternative j, the indirect utility is assumed to take the following form: Unj ¼ anj þ gj Sn þ b0n xnj þ Enj ð2:1Þ The obtained indirect utility may vary between choice j and individuals n (the total number of individuals is n 5 1,y, N). Indirect utility is assumed to consist of a deterministic part Vnj 5 anj1cjsn1bn’xnj and a stochastic part enj. The deterministic component of the utility function consists of anj which is the option specific intercept that corresponds to individual n’s intrinsic preference for alternative j. The socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of the individual, sn, and the coefficient vector cj correspond to the systematic preference heterogeneity among the individuals in the sample. Altogether, 12 animal welfare attribute coefficients are estimated and, with the price coefficient bn1 , there are 13 coefficients; (bn ¼ ½bn1 ; . . . ; bn13 ’). These coefficients are assumed to be generic (i.e., the coefficients of the explanatory variables do not vary across the options). Hence, an assumption of stable preferences is made. The logit choice probability is derived by assuming independence and a distribution of the error terms in the utility function (see McFadden, 1974). This causes the multinomial logit model (MNL) to overestimate the joint probability of close substitutes because of its independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property and because it does not allow for random taste variation as the unknown utility terms enj are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). The IIA property is restrictive. In order to test whether certain parameters exhibit randomness, McFadden and Train (2000) propose a Lagrange Multiplier Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
70 LILJENSTOLPE test.3 The artificial variables zni capture heterogeneity in terms of a correlation between the chosen and nonchosen alternatives. The hypothesis that the coefficients of the variables in zni are equal to zero is tested. The RPL model relaxes the IIA and iid by assuming heterogeneity among the sample of individuals (for a derivation of the model, see for example Ben-Akiva & Lerman, 1985 and Revelt & Train, 1998). The extent to which an individual bn differs from the population mean b constitutes an unobserved taste variation in the sample. One cannot observe enough replications to obtain estimates of bn. Instead, the expected value across the population is used and distributional assumptions are made about each coefficient in bn 5 [bn1,y,bn13]’ (Ben-Akiva & Lerman). The distributional assumptions of the parameters may have a considerable impact on the results. Hensher and Greene (2003) developed an empirical procedure to identify the true distribution. A procedure is suggested that estimates (n1) models, at each step removing one individual observation. The parameter estimates are plotted in order to establish the empirical profile of the unobserved heterogeneity. The RPL model is estimated by simulating maximum likelihood with Nlogit 3.0 (Greene, 2002). Several authors suggest that the fit and computation time of RPL models would be improved with fewer and more even draws from the distribution, so-called Halton draws (Bhat, 2000; Hensher, 2001; Revelt & Train, 1998). Train (2000) suggests that several hundred replications are needed to obtain an unbiased estimator. The WTP of individual n is most often defined as the net income change that equates to a change in quality or quantity of a particular good (Freeman, 1993; Just, Hueth, & Schmitz, 2004). This makes the interpretation of a marginal WTP from the utility function straightforward; marginal WTP is the marginal change in the price parameter required to keep utility constant after a marginal change in attribute parameter. Based on the estimated parameters, the marginal WTP for animal welfare attributes are calculated. The standard errors can be approximated by using the Delta method (Greene, 2000). The RPL model makes it possible to retrieve individual-level parameters from the estimated model by the use of Bayes Theorem. Thus, it is possible to obtain an estimate of the location of single respondent and a sample distribution of WTP (Train, 2003). R b bn Pni f ðbn Þdbn E½bn ¼ Rn ð2:2Þ b Pni f ðdbn Þn 3 The product of the estimated logit choice probabilities Pni in a choice set and the choice vector, xni: is summed over each choice set in order to obtain xni: X xni ¼ xni Pni i The artificial variables in zni are created as: 1 zni ¼ ðxnj xni Þ2 2 The vector zni is linearly independent of the vector of chosen alternatives xnj and the MNL model is re- estimated including the artificial variables. A likelihood ratio test is performed in order to test for the hypothesis where artificial variables are to be omitted from the MNL model or if mixing of certain parameters is needed. For a proof of the specification test, see McFadden and Train (2000). Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
EVALUATING ANIMAL WELFARE WITH CHOICE EXPERIMENTS 71 TABLE 1. Animal Welfare Attributes in Swedish Pig Production Attribute Level Transport 1. Transports according to existing regulations and limited by time 2. Mobile abattoirs 3. Transports according to existing regulations and limited by distance Castration 1. Castration of piglet without anesthesia 2. Castration of piglet with anesthesia 3. No castration Housing system 1. Reared in a pen holding 8 pigs (size 5 4.92 square feet/cwt pig) 2. Reared in deep litter holding 50 pigs (size 5 7.14 square feet/cwt pig) 3. Reared in a pen holding 8 pigs with a possibility to stay inside or outside (size 5 10.9 square feet/cwt pig). During summertime, pasture is provided with an opportunity for mud bathing and grazing Feed 1. No restrictions on feed, or minimum limit of on-farm produced feed 2. No minimum level of on-farm produced feed but all feed must be Swedish 3. All feed must be Swedish and at least half of it has to be produced at the farm Mixing of pigs 1. Mixing of unfamiliar pigs allowed 2. Mixing of unfamiliar pigs forbidden Stock size 1. A maximum of 400 pigs in one section 2. A maximum of 200 pigs in one section 3. A maximum of 100 pigs in one section Bedding straw 1. No minimum restriction of bedding straw 2. Minimum amount of bedding straw Price (US$/lb) 0.18, 0.45, 0.73, 0.91, 1.30, 1.50 and 1.90 The sample distribution may illustrate potential problems of unobserved hetero- geneity; if the parameters change sign due to large standard deviations and if there are segmentations in preferences. The integral in 2.2 is complex and must be estimated by numerical simulations. 3. THE CHOICE EXPERIMENT Based on the literature,4 current regulation of organic pig rearing, two focus groups5 and interviews with representatives from consumer associations—the Swedish Farmers Federation (LRF), Swedish Meats, and the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences—, seven welfare attributes in pig production are defined. The welfare attributes (cf. Table 1) concern transportation, housing systems, stock density, supply of bedding straw, castration, mixing pigs from different litters, and types of feed. The choice experiment data was collected exclusively from Swedish 4 Due to space limitation, the literature review is not included in the paper but can be provided by the author upon request. 5 Due to space limitation, the notes from the focus group discussion are not included in the paper but may be provided by the author upon request. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
72 LILJENSTOLPE consumers using conjoint choice modeling technique (Louviere, Hensher, & Swait, 2000). There are 972 possible combinations of animal welfare attributes (or utility levels). With the OPTEX procedure in SAS, a linear D-optimal design procedure (Kuhfeld, 2001), 32 orthogonal combinations were created for the survey. These were blocked into four different survey versions, each containing four choice sets. The product chosen for the survey was pork fillet, which constitutes about 1.4% of the pig carcass. The price of pork fillet depends on market demand and is characterized by a complex relationship with the carcass price (Swedish Meats, 2006). Each respondent evaluated four choice sets, choosing among three options. The first option always referred to a base scenario level with no extra charge. Alternatives 2 and 3 included an extra charge due to the enhanced level of animal well-being. The prices of the attribute vector were chosen in order to be realistic in terms of the associated costs of production systems and to be acceptable to the respondent with respect to their budget constraints. It was not necessary to have all four choice-sets completed in order to be included in the data set. The questionnaire consisted of two parts. In addition to multiple choice questions, the respondents provided socioeconomic information on income, education, and age. Each questionnaire was accompanied by an information sheet explaining the different stages and attributes of the Swedish pig production chain. This was necessary to minimize potential information bias due to the limited knowledge of respondents regarding agricultural products. 4. ECONOMETRIC RESULTS A sample of Swedish respondents aged between 18 and 75 was obtained from SPAR.6 A total of 3,000 individuals in Sweden received the questionnaire in May 2002. After 2 weeks, a reminder was sent to those who had not responded. Altogether, 1,400 (45%) of the questionnaires were returned and out of these 1,250 (43%) were available for an empirical analysis. Table 2 presents some demographic and socioeconomic statistics of the sample. Where national statistics were available, comparisons with the descriptive statistics of the sample were performed to assess the representativeness of the sample. The mean age in the sample was slightly higher: women had a higher response rate and the average ratio of children/respondent and the average number of persons per household were higher. Vegetarians were excluded from the sample. The socio- economic variables that were significant at the 10% level were included in the analysis. The specification of the RPL model (Table 3) includes the variables gender and income. The generic form facilitates the interaction with the option specific intercept anj and be included in the two alternatives that imply changes in animal friendly practices. Men in the sample were found to derive greater utility from the use of animal friendly practices. A negative sign on ‘Income’ indicates that respondents with high income are less concerned with improved animal well-being. Randomness/taste variation among the respondents is confirmed through the estimation of a MNL model including artificial variables. McFadden and Train (2000) use t-statistics to test the hypothesis of the coefficient vector being statistically 6 ’’Swedish census registry’’ Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
EVALUATING ANIMAL WELFARE WITH CHOICE EXPERIMENTS 73 TABLE 2. Demographic and Socioeconomic Statistics of the Respondents Variables Description Mean Std deva Min Max Age Average age of respondent 46.10 15.23 18 75 Male Proportion of men in sample 0.4463 0.4971 0 1 Child Proportion households with children 0.3434 0.4749 0 1 Dummy Proportion of questions concerning pork 0.1014 0.3018 0 1 chops or pork fillet Prhh Average number of persons in household 2.6120 1.2820 1 8 Inc Average household income/month after tax 2,1450 994 1028 4625 (US$) Rel Proportion of persons who consider 0.5203 0.4996 0 1 themselves to have relation to the agricultural sector Sass Proportion of members of a ‘‘socially 0.1308 0.3372 0 1 oriented’’ association Eass Proportion of members of an 0.1252 0.3310 0 1 ‘‘environmentally oriented’’ association Shop Proportion of respondents doing the 0.8386 0.3679 0 1 household shopping NonVeg Proportion of non-vegetarians in sample 0.9834 0.1278 0 1 Samh Proportion living in a village (1,000–9,999 0.1841 0.3875 0 1 inhabitants) Minc Proportion living in a minor city 0.1595 0.3661 0 1 (10,000–39,999 inhabitants) Medc Proportion living in a medium sized city 0.2094 0.4069 0 1 (440,000 inhabitants) Stad Proportion living in a big city (Stockholm, 0.2707 0.4443 0 1 Gothenburg or Malmö) Note. According to Statistics Sweden (2003) the average age was 44.8 years in 2002. There were 49.74% women and 50.26% men between 18–75 years in the population in 2002. Proportion of households with children was 38.26 %. Average number of persons in household was 2.01. The average disposable income (net of all taxes and social transfers) for all households in Sweden 2002 was 1,708 US$/month. Proportions of individuals living in a small village were 6%, in a minor city 33%, in a medium sized city 32% and in a big city 29%. a Std dev: standard deviation. different from zero. The decision rule applied in order to reject the null of no randomness requires the absolute t-value to be greater than one. The artificial variables ‘‘Mobile slaughter’ (t 5 2.619), ‘‘Big Box’’ (t 5 1.117), ‘‘No castration’’ (t 5 1.501), ‘‘Stock limit: 200 pigs’’ (t 5 2.004), ‘‘Stock limit: 100 pigs’’ (t 5 2.066), ‘‘No mixing of pigs’’ (t 5 1.801), and ‘‘Minimum amount of bedding straw’’ (t 5 1.082) all have an absolute t-value in excess of one. Accordingly, they are considered as random parameters. The empirical distributions of the random parameters were generated from 800 repeated estimations of a model for all but one respondent; i.e., removing one individual each time. For ‘‘Mobile slaughter’’ the estimated value from the full-sample MNL model is 0.34007 and is placed in the middle of the histogram in Figure 1 below. 7 The results from these MNL estimations are available from the author upon request. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
74 LILJENSTOLPE Density 350 mtsp 300 250 200 150 100 50 0.332 0.333 0.334 0.335 0.336 0.337 0.338 0.339 0.340 0.341 0.342 0.343 0.344 0.345 0.346 0.347 Figure 1 The empirical distribution of ‘‘Mobile slaughter.’’ The histogram plot suggests that individual error terms enj are drawn from a normal distribution. Depending on the form of the histogram, a triangular distribution could be more suitable. However, estimation imposing a triangular distribution did not considerably change the results compared to a normal distribution. The assumption that the random parameters follow a normal distribution implies that both negative and positive values for this parameter may exist if preferences are very heterogeneous. The RPL model was simulated using 300 replications, with a maximum of 100 iterations through Halton draws. As random attributes ‘‘Minimum amount of bedding straw’’ and ‘‘Big box’’ caused nonconvergence, the parameters were modeled as fixed in the random model specification. Their random status was questionable in light of their absolute t-values which were close to unity in the specification test. Furthermore, the price parameter was kept fixed to ensure that the distribution of WTP matches the distribution of animal welfare attributes (Ruud, 1996). The results of the RPL estimation are presented in Table 3. Not surprisingly, the price coefficient of the utility function is negative and significantly different from zero, which means that a price increase lessens the probability that a respondent would choose an improved quality alternative. Based on the estimated parameters, the marginal WTP values are calculated and the results are reported in Table 4. The standard errors are obtained by the Delta method. Most of the attributes are perceived by respondents as likely to improve animal well-being. Among the random variables, the attributes ‘‘Mobile slaughter’’ and ‘‘Stock limit: 100 pigs’’ yield the highest WTP. The ‘‘Mobile slaughter’’ attribute yields a mean WTP about 19% higher than base. The individual level parameters of marginal WTP are obtained using Bayes rule. The results of these calculations are presented in Table 5. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
EVALUATING ANIMAL WELFARE WITH CHOICE EXPERIMENTS 75 TABLE 3. Random Parameter Logit Model Attribute Coefficient SEa Fixed effects Transports decided by distance, b1 0.0045 0.1630 Castration with anesthesia, b4 0.4592 0.1700 Big box, b5 0.3115 0.1782 In-out box, b6 0.8734 0.3153 Swedish feed, b7 0.4486 0.2340 Farm feed, b8 0.6256 0.1521 Minimum amount of bedding straw, b12 0.2499 0.1492 Intercept, ánj 0.6511 0.3099 Price, b1 0.0168 0.0096 Gender, g1 0.3506 0.1225 Inc, g2 0.0342 0.0143 Random effects Mobile slaughter, b2 0.5091 0.1531 No castration, b3 0.4030 0.2113 Stock limit: 200 pigs, b9 0.3876 0.1907 Stock limit: 100 pigs, b10 0.5404 0.2437 No mixing of unfamiliar pigs, b11 0.3640 0.1367 Log-likelihood 3529 Pseudo-R2 0.1455 a SE: standard error. TABLE 4. Mean Willingness to Pay (WTP) for Random Parameters Percentage difference WTP 90% confidence from base scenario Attribute (US$/lb) SEa interval price (%) Mobile slaughter, b2 1.41 0.68 0.29–2.53 19 No castration, b3 1.13 1.00 2.78–0.52 15 Stock limit: 200 pigs, b9 1.09 0.79 0.21–2.39 15 Stock limit: 100 pigs, b10 1.50 1.02 0.18–3.18 20 No mixing of unfamiliar pigs, b11 1.00 0.68 0.12–2.12 13 a SE: standard error. The mean individual WTP values are similar to the estimated population means reported in Table 4. The probability of a sign reversal is reported in the last column in Table 5. The probabilities of a sign reversal are high, which indicates that there may exist heterogeneity in preferences. The highest degree of heterogeneity is found for the ‘‘Mobile slaughter,’’ ‘‘No castration’’ and ‘‘No mixing’’ attributes. Figure 2 shows the actual frequency distribution of WTP for ‘‘Mobile slaughter.’’ This distribution is bi-modal. Hence one segment of the population perceives benefit from the attribute, another segment sees drawbacks with the attribute. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
76 LILJENSTOLPE TABLE 5. Estimated Individual WTP Sign Attribute Mean Std deva Min Max reversal (%) Mobile slaughter, b2 1.54 2.44 5.69 6.77 0.36 No castration, b3 1.21 1.61 4.92 3.19 0.18 Stock limit: 200 pigs, b9 1.21 0.83 0.34 3.03 0.08 Stock limit: 100 pigs, b10 1.57 1.00 1.13 3.23 0.11 No mixing of unfamiliar pigs, b11 1.01 1.78 3.45 3.91 0.32 a Std dev: standard deviation. Density 0.250 Mtsp 0.225 0.200 0.175 0.150 0.125 0.100 0.075 0.050 0.025 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Wtp Figure 2 Individual marginal WTP for the attribute ‘‘Mobile slaughter.’’ 6. DISCUSSION 6.1. Heterogeneous Preferences We can draw several conclusions from our model measuring consumer utility derived from animal welfare attributes in Swedish pig production. First, preferences for such attributes are heterogeneous among the respondents. The estimated distributions of individual WTP indicate that the probabilities of a sign reversal are high. Sometimes, this is considered as a problem8 (Hensher & Greene, 2003). However, for the 8 Lognormal distribution is often applied in order to reduce a probability of sign reversal. However, this distribution has a long right-hand tail which can be a disadvantage for WTP estimates that result in a large proportion of unreasonable values. Further, the lognormal distribution is known to cause problems with convergence in the model estimation (Hensher & Greene, 2003). The convergence problem is also experienced in this study. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
EVALUATING ANIMAL WELFARE WITH CHOICE EXPERIMENTS 77 evaluation of animal welfare it may be reasonable that individual parameter estimates take different signs as one animal welfare attribute may be perceived to enhance the well-being of pigs by one individual while another individual might be concerned about the attribute’s impact on for example food safety. The results of the pre-investigatory focus group discussions give some further insights into this issue. The interviews reveal a definite concern over three issues: food prices, food safety, and animal well-being. On the one hand, animal welfare attributes concerning housing systems, like deep litter boxes and indoor-outdoor boxes, were considered very important, along with the importance of handling animals humanely, from birth to slaughter. Also, ‘‘Mobile slaughter’’ was regarded as a good alternative to transportation. On the other hand, the importance of high quality feed and concerns about the use of antibiotics and traces of pesticides or medicines in food were evident. Contradictory opinions which possibly interact and affect the results were also observed by Ngapo et al. (2003), where fear of BSE spread via animal feed was expressed and long-distance transport in confined spaces were considered as deleterious. Verbeke (2000) and Verbeke and Ward (2001) also found conflicts in consumer perceptions and behavior between food safety and animal well-being. If different motives underlie individual choices, e.g., food safety, or environmental and animal welfare concerns, the utility parameters may have a discrete support, which cannot be handled within the RPL modeling framework. According to Hanemann and Kanninen (1998), heterogeneous preferences among respondents may require different probability models. Thus, too many aims within the choice-set may be further exacerbated by combining attributes related to animal friendly practices and attributes closely associated to food safety matters within the same choice-set. The attributes in this study are solely related to animal friendly practices. Nevertheless, the attribute ‘‘No castration’’ may be considered as a ‘‘food safety’’ oriented attribute due to the increased risk of boar taint resulting from not castrating piglets. The attribute ‘‘Mobile slaughter’’ may be ‘‘environmentally’’ oriented as the use of mobile abattoirs implies that the pigs do not have to be transported over long distances. However, these attributes also have an important animal welfare dimension. Therefore heterogeneity of preferences and discrete supports for attributes may be the reason why choice experiment studies concerning attributes in pig production may give contrasting and sometimes contradictory results. In Table 6, the results from this study are compared with results from Carlsson et al. (2004) and Lagerkvist et al. (2006). In Carlsson et al. (2004), the mean WTP for TABLE 6. Comparison Between Choice Experiment Studies of Animal Welfare in Pig Production Attribute This study Carlsson et al. (2004) Lagerkvist et al. (2006) Mobile abattoir 119% 110% for beef 18% n.a. for pork No castration 15% n.a. 21% Outdoor pigs 132% 167% 34% (interacted with shopping experience) 158% Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
78 LILJENSTOLPE ‘‘Mobile abattoir’’ is about 10% higher than the base scenario option for beef and 8% higher for pork. In Lagerkvist et al. (2006), ‘‘No castration’’ was intensely disliked; 21% lower than the base scenario price. Carlsson et al. (2004) found the attribute ‘‘Outdoors summertime’’ to be particularly important, with a WTP about 67% above the base scenario price. Lagerkvist et al. (2006) found varying support for the outdoor attribute: a negative WTP of 34% from the base scenario when shopping experience was interacting with the attribute and an ordinary WTP of 58% above the base scenario. 6.2. Cost of Implementation Is it economically feasible to incorporate animal friendly practices into production? Some of the attributes (e.g., ‘‘Mobile slaughter’’ and ‘‘No castration’’) are only practiced on small scale basis, which complicates the assessment of differences in earnings. However, calculations may still be performed to provide ‘‘rough’’ benefits-costs estimates for each attribute. These results are presented in Table 7. As the fillet constitutes 2% of the carcass weight, the fillet price is not representative of the average price of the carcass. Instead the average retail price of pork is approximated. For that purpose, it is assumed that the average retail price and is directly related to the wholesale price and production cost. The wholesale price in 2002 averaged 0.54 US$/lb (Swedish Meats, 2006). Assuming TABLE 7. Cost-Benefit Approximations of Animal Friendly Practices Cost change adjusted for marketing margins. WTP for Cost change at VAT and WTP attribute wholesale level inflationcd Revenue Attribute (%) (US$/lb)a (US$/lb)b (US$l/lb) (US$/lb)e Ratiof Mobile abattoir: South of Sweden 19 0.172 0.018 0.032 0.141 0.814 North of Sweden 0.064 0.113 0.286 0.343 No castration 15 0.136 0.031 0.050 0.186 0.632 Air partition: Limit 200 pigs 15 0.136 0.001 0.002 1.134 0.985 Limit 100 pigs 20 0.181 1.179 0.989 No mixing 13 0.118 0.002 0.003 0.115 0.975 a Willingness to Pay (WTP) for attribute(US$/lb): wtp*0,91. b Cost change: 0,54*change in cost. From Andersson et al. (1997), Botermans (2003), and Helgesson (2000). c The inflation rate is derived from consumer price index (CPI). d Adjusted cost change: cost change*(adjustment level depends on inflation, the VAT, and retail margin). e Revenue: wtp for attribute-adjusted cost change. f The ratio is calculated as (1-adjusted change in cost*[wtp for attribute]1) and can be interpreted as the maximum allowed size of a hypothetical bias. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
EVALUATING ANIMAL WELFARE WITH CHOICE EXPERIMENTS 79 a margin of 50%9 and value added adjustment,10 the average retail price of pork would be 0.91 US$/lb. In a Swedish study that evaluated the costs of a mobile slaughter system for pigs (Helgesson, 2000), large cost differences were found between different regions in the country. The north, with smaller-sized abattoirs and considerable transport distances, would gain 0.064 US$/lb by adopting mobile systems, whereas the south would incur an increase in the slaughter cost of 0.018 US$/lb pork. Adjusting the associated costs and for retail margin, inflation11 and the value added tax, the revenues are 0.14 and 0.29 US$/lb pork, respectively. Hence, it can be concluded that the increase in slaughter costs in both southern and northern Sweden may be compensated by a high WTP for mobile abattoirs. The attribute ‘‘No castration’’ is regarded negatively by the respondents as indicated by a WTP 15% below the base scenario price. In Britain and Denmark, un-castrated male piglets are produced as fattening pigs, which means that some 5–9% of the herd has to be eliminated by slaughter due to boar taint. Using the model developed by Botermans (2003),12 the cost of not castrating male piglets would increase overall cost by 6% or 0.031 US$/lb. An important observation is that this cost measure accounts for rejection rate of 9% due to boar taint. Alternative uses for this meat are not included in this approximation. The adjusted values for ‘‘No castration’’ yield a return of 0.19 US$/lb. It may therefore be justified to retain the practice of castrating piglets. Botermans’ model13 yields a 0.3% cost increase (0.0014 US$/lb) with air partitioning. Thus, taking into account the attributes ‘‘Stock limit: 200 pigs’’ and ‘‘Stock limit: 100 pigs’’ (assuming the same increase in costs when producing the pig barn) yield adjusted profit of 1.14 and 1.18 US$/lb pork. According to Andersson and Jonasson (1997), the increasing costs as due to reduced capacity utilization of farm buildings may be compensated by a reduced need for antibiotics in feed. If this is the case, the benefits of applying air partition would be further improved. Andersson, Campos, and Jonasson (2000) estimated the cost of not separating litters to 0.40 US$/pig. For a live slaughter weight of 50 lb, a cost increase of 0.002 US$/lb is expected. The adjusted value of WTP is 0.003 and yield an approximated economic benefit of 0.115 US$/lb, which motivates the practice of not mixing litters. In order to assess the maximum allowed size of a hypothetical bias, the ratio between the WTP value and cost approximate is calculated. These ratios are overall high. This indicates that the practices can be economically motivated, even if a large hypothetical bias exists. 6.3. Results in an International Perspective As the results of this study are obtained from data from Swedish respondents, it is of interest to learn whether these results may be generalized to consumers in other 9 Normally, the retail margin for fresh meat is assessed to be about 30–50% (Supermarket, 2005). 10 In 2002 the value added tax for food commodities reached 12%. 11 The inflation rate is derived from the consumer price index (CPI). 12 For this particular experiment the elimination of castration is assumed to promote growth rate (1 5%), improve feed conversion (16%), increase classification rate (11.5%), reduce the time/sow and year (10%) while the rejection rate is assumed to be high for this scenario (19%) (Botermans, 2003). 13 The number of slaughter pig places and sow places increases by 10%, growth rate increases 10%, feed conversion improves by 2%, contagion rate decreases by 10%, mortality rate decreases by 2% and use of medicines decreases by 5% (Botermans, 2003). Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
80 LILJENSTOLPE European markets? Ngapo et al. (2003) compiled results from focus groups in four different EU countries: France, Britain, Sweden, and Denmark. The results of this study indicate that preferences are heterogeneous both within and between countries. National differences in perception of meat quality were found. While the Swedish group was concerned about ‘‘Slaughtered on farm,’’ ‘‘Raised nearby’’ and ‘‘From a small abattoir,’’ the French respondents had clear preferences for an appetizing visual appearance, the English respondents for disease-free pigs, and the Danish for cooking qualities. Thus, preferences may reveal national segmentation patterns. Hence, the relative importance of WTP vis-à-vis mobile abattoirs in this study may be considered typical of Swedish consumers. The level of WTP observed in this study raises the question: Why is the share of organic products in the market so small? Organic, KRAV-labeled meat constitutes only about 1% of the meat market in Sweden. In the focus group discussions, organic production was associated with environmentally friendly production. One problem may be that the KRAV label is not considered a true ‘‘animal welfare’’ designation. The KRAV label includes additional environmental regulations that presumably affect the pricing. This is supported by Andersen (2003), who found that consumers perceive organic eggs to be more ‘‘environmentally friendly.’’ However, ‘‘conventional eggs’’ ‘‘free-range eggs,’’ and ‘‘barn eggs’’ are believed to be produced with a greater degree of animal well-being. Thus, there exist information asymmetries regarding food safety products, products produced with animal friendly practices and environmentally safe products. It is therefore not possible to conclude with certainty that a small market share of KRAV labeled products implies a weak demand for, or disinterest, in animal friendly practices. 5. CONCLUDING REMARKS Animal welfare attributes of pig production associated with ‘‘the Swedish model’’ or practiced on an experimental basis have been analyzed. The attributes pertain to transportation, housing systems, feed, castration, stock size, mixing of pigs, and improved environment. As far as we know, this kind of large-scale choice experiment14 for animal welfare attributes in primary pig production had not been undertaken before. However, some important issues should be taken into consideration when interpreting the results. In order to be able to calculate WTP from the estimated parameters, exogeneity of price in the utility function has to be assumed. If the respondents have well defined preferences an inclusion of a price attribute should not affect the valuation of animal welfare attributes. However, it should be taken into consideration that inclusion of prices in choice experiment can lead to different preference ranking. Inclusion of a price attribute may decrease the estimated values of marginal rate of substitution between attributes (Tversky & Thaler, 1990). Another important issue is that the WTP values for different attributes are not additive; one cannot obtain a total value of WTP by summing all values (see Nilsson, Foster, & Lusk, 2006 for a derivation). The degree of WTP depends on the experimental design. Therefore, the WTP obtained should be interpreted with caution. One may still suspect that the WTP 14 Den Ouden (1996) performed a conjoint analysis of 12 welfare attributes in pig production chain in a small sample of respondents. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
EVALUATING ANIMAL WELFARE WITH CHOICE EXPERIMENTS 81 values are overstated (see for example Bennett, 1997; Cummings & Taylor, 1999; Harrison & Rutstrom, 1995; Frykblom, 1997; or Johannesson, 1997). Some authors have tackled the problem of hypothetical bias by calibrating factors. The size of commodity-specific calibration factors has been estimated by Alfnes (2003), Bennett (1997), Fox, Shogren, Hayes, and Kliebenstein (1998) and List and Shogren (1998). The size of the factor is assumed to be commodity specific (List & Shogren). A wide range of calibration factors is suggested for meat products.15 In order to ensure that the absolute values of WTP are realistic, one has to take into account the hypothetical bias. In order to provide viable policy recommendations from the estimated costs and WTP for animal friendly practices presented in Table 7, one must also deal with possibly inflated values of WTP. The RPL model approach is an appealing tool to account for heterogeneous preferences. The model allows a range of attitudes towards animal welfare attributes and identifies a mean and a spread of values around the mean. However, a well- known shortcoming of the model is that it requires strong distributional assumptions. Some heterogeneities can be treated within the RPL model formula- tion; but, if one suspects that the evaluation of attributes is affected by strong underlying preferences, i.e., similar preferences within groups and considerable intergroup heterogeneity, the estimation might be improved by using a latent model formulation (see for example Ben-Akiva et al., 2002). To identify the right segmentation criteria is an important topic for further research. As advocated by Greene and Hensher (2003), it should be worthwhile to compare and contrast the RPL model and the latent class model. The use of a latent class formulation may elicit further information regarding market asymmetries, the importance of socioeconomic characteristics, and the segmentation of preferences, which could be useful for policy and marketing analysis. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This study has been conducted as a part of the research theme project ’Animal Welfare for Quality in Food Production’ at the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. The research program funded the study. This article has benefited from comments by professor Hans Andersson, professor Yves Surry, associate professor Lotta Rydhmer and two anonymous reviewers. The responsibility of any remaining errors lies with the author. REFERENCES Alfnes, F. (2003). Willingness to pay for quality in experimental auction markets and stated choice surveys. Doctoral dissertation, Agricultural University of Norway, Ås. Andersen, L. (2003). Consumer evaluation of environmental and animal welfare labelling: An econometric analysis of panel data using mixed multinomial logit model (Working Paper 6). AKF, Denmark. Anderson, J., & Frykblom, P. (1999). Exploring nonmarket values for the social impact of farm animal welfare (Working Paper 99/2). Department of Economics, SLU, Sweden. 15 List and Shogren (1998) proposed a factor of 0.6 in an irradiated/radiated meat survey. Alfnes (2003) reports a calibration factor of 0.1 in a hypothetical survey of hormone treated US-beef. Bennett (1997) finds that the factor is nearly 0.1 for a legislation of battery cages. Agribusiness DOI 10.1002/agr
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