Economic cities - opening vistas of growth in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia - EY
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Economic cities — opening vistas of growth in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 1
Contents Executive summary 3 Introduction4 Economic diversification — facilitating real estate sector growth 5 1.1 Macroeconomic and non-oil diversification 5 1.2 Real estate industry insights 7 1.3 ECs and cross-sector links 9 ECs — opening floodgates of growth 10 2.1 ECs — primary objectives 10 2.2 ECs — snapshot and development matrix 11 2.3 Real estate sector components of ECs 11 2.4 Benefit for investors 18 2.5 Top challenges to the development of ECs 19 Stakeholders’ role and outlook 20 3.1 Shaping ECs — SAGIA and ECA 20 3.2 Real estate regulations in ECs 21 3.3 Perceptions of key developers, contractors and consultants 23 3.4 Outlook for real estate development of ECs 24 EY’s role 25 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
Executive summary The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) solutions. ECs are expected to create job is currently investing heavily in real opportunities for the private sector, along estate and infrastructure projects. This is with attractive lifestyles, thus providing a a part of the Kingdom’s efforts to resolve business-friendly atmosphere. the housing and employment crisis, The KSA Government sees ECs as drivers resulting from a growing population, of growth, opening up the economy and economic diversification. and attracting more foreign and local The current trend of increased investments. The ECs are expected to investments in real estate and allow foreign real estate investors to infrastructure projects would invariably own property. Efficient administration help the Kingdom build a strong industrial there would ease turnaround time on base to sustain its economy in the future simple transactions, like visas and custom as oil reserves shrink. However, the KSA’s documents. ECs would have relaxed social strong oil reserves and the Government’s rules, improving women’s rights in the resolute economic development plans cities and promoting a mix of Western and provide robust support in moving ahead Saudi styles. with its infrastructure development The EC projects would bring in modern projects. technology, management skills, corporate The KSA continues to attract attention governance and new industries, making worldwide despite the global economic the economy less dependent on oil slowdown and instability in the Middle and gas. East and North Africa (MENA) region. Economic cities — opening vistas of The Kingdom’s position among the top growth is a thought leadership paper world oil producers and its ambitious by the EY Middle East Transaction Real program of developing four economic Estate Advisory Services Team, based cities (ECs) have placed the country on their experience of carrying out in the limelight. market assessments, feasibility studies, Economic cities are considered a and asset and facilities management significant step toward the long-standing for Government agencies and private vision of positioning the Kingdom as a institutions. It offers useful insights of leading destination for both tourists and the four EC projects in the KSA. Besides investors on the world map. providing an analysis into the market drivers and restraints on the current KSA Each of the ECs will have its own area of construction market, the paper provides specialization — being developed around a snapshot of the EC projects and their at least one global competitive cluster objectives, regulatory frameworks and or industry. They are constructed in incentives for investors. compliance with environmental guidelines using state-of-the-art greenfield Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 3
ECs in Saudi Arabia Introduction The Government of KSA is pursuing investments EC projects are more than giant industrial zones. and reforms, enabling the oil-rich nation to They are cities that will nurture new businesses become one of the most competitive economies and residential communities in areas that in the world, by the beginning of 2020. Through have had limited investment to date. They are the ECs initiative in Rabigh, Hail, Madinah and expected to translate into employment growth in Jazan regions, the Government aims to develop the cities; as a result, the ECs are expected to see vibrant urban areas with a business-friendly positive growth in population, resulting in higher environment. This would leverage the KSA’s demand for real estate in the ECs. competitive advantages — low-cost energy and strategic locations. 4 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
Economic diversification — facilitating real estate sector growth 1.1 Macroeconomic and non-oil diversification According to the BP Statistical Review of World The Ministry of Finance of the KSA has estimated Energy 20141, the KSA remains a major player in that the country’s GDP reached US$752.5b at the the global oil market, with an estimated reserve base end of 2014, achieving a growth rate of 1.09% (in of 265.8 billion barrels. The Kingdom possesses current prices) compared with US$745.3b in 2013. about 17% of the world’s proven oil reserves, ranks According to the CDSI2, the Saudi economy grew as the largest exporter of total petroleum liquids in by 3.6% in 2014, up from 2.7% in 2013. With an the world and maintains the world’s largest crude oil increase in oil production, by 0.8%, year-on-year production capacity. (y-o-y), and commissioning of Yasref refinery, a joint venture between Saudi Aramco and Sinopec, in 2014, The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) the overall oil sector growth remained positive at estimates that the Kingdom can keep pumping oil 1.7% while the non-oil sector maintained a growth of for the next 70 to 80 years, given its enormous oil over 6% in 2014. reserves. Oil, together with the Holy Cities of Makkah and Madinah, provides the country’s Government with wealth, power and influence. The KSA has an oil-based economy, with strong Government controls over major economic activities like upstream oil, mining and quarrying, petroleum refining, electricity, gas and water. According to the Central Department of Statistics & Information (CDSI), the petroleum sector, inclusive of upstream crude petroleum, natural gas and petroleum refining, accounts for roughly 80% of the budget revenues, 42% of the GDP and about 85% of the export earnings. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2014, January 2015 1 National Accounts Indicators 2014 — CDSI, March 2015 2 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 5
KSA GDP breakdown by economic activity, 2014 KSA nominal GDP and real GDP growth rate, 2008–14 1.9% Agriculture, Forestry 800 752.5 12.0% 15.6% 733.9 744.2 40.2% and Fishing 669.4 700 10.4% Mining & Quarrying 10.0% 600 Manufacturing 526.7 10.0% 8.0% Electricity, Gas and Water 500 Percentage 5.4% Construction US$b 400 6.0% US$752.5b Wholesale & Retail Trade, 300 Restaurants & Hotels 4.8% 3.6% 4.0% 2.7% Transport, Storage 200 5.1% and Communication 2.0% 100 9.4% Finance, Insurance, Real Estate 5.4% 10.8% 0 0 1.2% and Business Services 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e Other services Nominal GDP (US$b) Real GDP Growth (%) Source: Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) Annual Statistics Source: Central Department of Statistics and Information (CDSI). The non-oil manufacturing growth is expected to remain Key budgetary allocations for 2015, US$b robust, following a growth of 6.3% and 6.5% in 2013 and 2014, respectively. Strong construction project activity and rising Education domestic demand would sustain strong growth in the non-oil and manpower sector. The US$93b King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC), the 42.7 KSA Ministry of Housing’s US$67b 500,000 Houses Program, Health and social the US$40b Sudair Industrial City, the US$20b Kingdom City affairs community development, the US$7b Waad El Shammal Mining Transportation City, the US$5.3b King Abdullah Medical City, and others are 16.8 and infrastructure some of the key non-oil construction projects being developed 57.9 in the country. In March 2014, the Council of Ministers Water, agriculture approved the establishment of the US$530m Saudi Arabian 16.0 and manufacturing Industrial Investments Company. The company will engage 10.7 Municipality services in an investment program worth US$2b in the 2015–2020 period, targeting conversion industries that rely on non-oil manufactured products, including petrochemicals, plastic Source: CDSI, SAMA and steel. The KSA’s economy is expected to maintain its growth Key construction projects allocated momentum in 2015, backed by strong Government spending. • 164 new projects For 2015, the Government has set budget spending of • Rehabilitation of 500 school buildings US$229.3b, focusing on priority investment programs that • Rehabilitation of 11 sport centers enhance sustainable and strong economic development and employment opportunities for Saudi nationals. • Three new universities • 27 new hospitals and health facilities The Government generally ends up spending substantially more than its budget plan, overspending by an annual average of 25% • Funds for 117 hospitals already under construction in 2004–2013. • 8 medical cities (ongoing construction) • 16 sports clubs • 5 centers for individuals with special need Source: NCB Saudi Budget Report 2015. 6 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
According to the Ministry of Finance, the country’s Government Key drivers in the KSA’s RHC market spending reached a record of US$293.3b in 2014, 28% above Developments in the real estate sector are expected to gain the originally planned US$228b3. The number of contracts greater significance, given the increase in population and the signed for Government projects with the private sector in customers’ growing desire for innovative real estate solutions 2014 was 2,572, with a total value of US$49b. The budget that suit different incomes. Furthermore, massive investment will focus on infrastructure, education, health, security, social in mega infrastructure projects, such as ECs and general services, municipal services, water treatment services, roads transportation plans are boosting the growth of the RHC sector and highways, with special emphasis on science and technology in the KSA. projects, as well as eGovernment services. Globally, oil prices have fallen by nearly 60% since June 2014, but the KSA’s economic performance will remain largely insulated from the recent decline in international oil prices. 3 Religious Supported by high Government spending on construction, tourism transport, retail and utilities, the GDP growth in the oil-rich nation is projected to remain strong at around 4.5% in 2015, 4 according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2 1 Ease Demography of doing 1.2 Real estate industry insights Non-oil diversification business In an attempt to reduce dependence on natural resources and the negative influence of oil — price fluctuation on the Saudi budget, the Government is making efforts to diversify from its reliance on oil. Since its accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2005, the Saudi Government has improved its regulatory regime and opened up many sectors to foreign investors. The Government is prioritizing the real estate, hospitality and construction (RHC) industries as key areas for investments. The Saudi Government has invested heavily in national RHC market drivers infrastructure to attract investment. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is seen as one of the most effective ways to diversify the • Fluctuations at the global level are cushioned by economy and provide employment for younger generations. the non-oil sector diversification The authorities welcome FDI for its ability to transfer technology, 1 • Cluster development plans fuel real estate and employ and train the national workforce, foster economic construction development activities development and enhance local raw materials. The country’s controlled inflation and relatively stable exchange rates and • The growing population base and expanding openness to foreign capital in upstream gas as well as extensive 2 urbanization translate into increased demand for privatization programs are among the advantages attracting the residential and commercial office properties investors into the country. Also, access to the world’s largest oil reserves, very low energy costs and a high standard of living are • Religious tourism boosts real estate development decisive factors for foreign investors. 3 in the Kingdom as the KSA is home to the Muslim In March 2015, the Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority world’s two holiest shrines of Makkah and Madinah (SAGIA) reported that it intends to invite foreign Investors for transport and health care projects over the 2015–2020 period, • Simplification of procedure for business with a combined value of nearly US$140b. Oil revenue is now start-ups is expected to reduce the delays for directed into major social infrastructure projects, to attract starting construction projects foreign investment. The Government has allowed foreign 4 • Relaxation of foreign investment laws are expected ownership in ECs by allowing investments in transportation, to permit and promote 100% foreign ownership education, health, information and communications technology, • Mortgage law is expected to boost real estate life sciences and energy. The RHC market is set to gain from the financing and demand for housing Government initiatives to diversify and build the economy. Source: NCB Quarterly Construction Contract Awards Review BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2014, January 2015 3 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 7
With a population of about 30 million, the KSA has one of the KSA RHC opportunities largest real estate markets in the MENA region. The Jeddah Chamber of Commerce and Industry valued the KSA real estate market in 2014 at US$347b4. The Chamber expects the value to • World’s 8th highest education top US$400b within the next few years, with growth averaging spender about 5% to7% year over year. Local and foreign investors, who Education • Building new educational institutes are realizing the potential of the relatively immature market and funding overseas degrees and which could offer high returns, will drive this growth. According training programs for Saudi students to the Chamber, the real estate market further requires US$171b of investments to meet the demand by 2020. Recent trends The measures that the KSA Government introduced in Q1 2014 • Largest construction market in the and 2015 and the investor-friendly environment should help Middle East promote the development of the RHC sector. The introduction Construction • Government focused on improving of these policies reflects a move towards a more westernized infrastructure, transport and framework for the real estate sector, which should help promote real estate the RHC industry as a destination for international investment on a similar level with neighboring states, such as the UAE, Qatar and Bahrain. • ECs are being developed to satisfy the KSA’s commitment to the RHC sector needs of the growing KSA population Economic by providing new living space and • Real Estate Development Fund (REDF) employment opportunities combined cities approved US$2.1b in housing loans to build with world-class infrastructure 19,406 housing units • Economic incentives for investors • New regulations, introduced in July 2014, have made it compulsory for all real estate firms to join the electronic Ijar system • As part of diversification, 2014 • A new court solely dedicated to tackling real Saudi Industrial Property Authority estate disputes. (MODON) is developing new industrial • KSA created its first housing committee, Industrial cities focused on petrochemicals, grouping its public and private sectors, to cities plastics, metal goods, construction deal with the construction of nearly 250,000 materials, electrical appliances houses in Jeddah during the 2015–2025 and more period • KSA Government to construct 3,000 new • Largest market for medical equipment schools and 117 hospitals over the 2015–2020 and healthcare products in the period Middle East health care 2015 Healthcare • Focused on building additional health • Ministry of Housing will launch housing projects on 56 million sqm of land in Jeddah, Taif, care facilities by the construction Eastern Province, Al Qassim Province and Hail of new hospitals, clinics, medical education and research facilities Source: Saudi Gazette, NCB Capital, Global Investment House Source: SAGIA, MEED, Zawya, BMI Reports Jeddah Chamber of Commerce and Industry — Jan 2015 4 8 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
1.3 ECs and cross-sector links ECs of the KSA The Kingdom’s Government budget reflects the importance Prince Abdulaziz Bin Moussed of ongoing growth in the construction sector. Turning to the Economic City composition of the budget, the provisions for 2015 suggest Hail continuity across the country’s key strategic areas for spending Knowledge Economic City and investment: education is allocated 25%, while health care Madinah Riyadh and social development receives 19% of spending. Additionally, Rabigh a general revival in the Saudi economy is likely as demand King Abdullah Economic City for projects continues to increase further, improving the Saudi Arabia financial climate. Jazan Economic City Jazan The RHC sector in the KSA has great potential for growth as demand rises for residential, commercial, housing and institutional construction. The housing segment, in particular, ECs are greenfield developments, which cluster residential is likely to grow the most as the Saudi population is rising by and commercial buildings, and also feature industrial facilities 2.7% a year. The ECs will offer a huge range of contracts and potentially present contractors with more opportunities from port and industrial infrastructure packages to a full range of residential and commercial real estate developments. US$135b 2.7m 1.17m Project value Employment Housing (persons) (persons) Source: ECA, SAGIA Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 9
ECs — opening the floodgates of growth 2.1 ECs — primary objectives The objective of ECs is to grow the national economy and raise the standard of living for Saudis through enhancing the competitiveness of the economy, creating new jobs, improving Saudis’ skill levels, developing regions and diversifying the economy. The private sector is developing each city around at least one globally competitive cluster or industry, which will serve as an anchor and a growth engine for the city, around which other businesses will be located. • Economic diversification • Pilot for base economy • Regional development ECs’ objectives • Job creation for nationals and expected • Domestic and foreign direct benefits investments • Unique lifestyle options • Innovation Source: SAGIA, ECA 10 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
2.2 ECs — snapshot and development matrix SAGIA acts as the regulator, facilitator and promoter of the ECs in the Kingdom. The private sector will work as the capital provider, land owner and developer of the ECs. The ECs, according to SAGIA, are estimated to contribute 20% of the Kingdom’s GDP by 2020. Spread out around a country the size of Western Europe, the new cities will take the pressure off Riyadh, Makkah and the Eastern Province, which now house almost 65% of the population, and are home to 75% of the businesses. The table below provides a snapshot of the ECs. Snapshot of ECs in the KSA King Abdullah Prince AbdulAziz Bin Mousaed Knowledge Economic Jazan Economic Description Economic City (KAEC) Economic City (PABMEC) City (KEC) City (JEC) Master developer Emaar the Economic Al Mal Investment Company Knowledge Economic Saudi Aramco City City Company Contractor Saudi Building Al Dar, Al Arabia Saudi Binladin Group & Construction Architecture & Management (SBCM) Construction Company Limited (Phases 1 and 2), AlRajhi Holding Group Consultants LJA Engineering, Saudi KEO International Consultants AECOM, Dar Al-Handasah Consulting Services (Shair and Partners) SAL, (infrastructure design), JV of HOK, Inc. — Dubai Skidmore Owings and and Branch and IBI Group Merrill (SOM), WATG, Turner Arabia (PMC) Timeline 2006–2029 2009–2025 2006–2020 2007–2037 Current status Construction — On hold Construction — execution Construction — execution (after design execution) execution Expected 2 0.3 0.15 0.3 population (million) Investments 93 8 7 27 (US$b) Employment 1,000,000 55,000 20,000 100,000 (persons) Sources: SAGIA, Zawya Projects Monitor (as of 31 December 2014), MEED Projects (as of 31 December 2014) 2.3 Real estate sector components of ECs Real estate components of ECs Key components KAEC PABMEC KEC JEC Airport Seaport Educational Commercial Residential Hospitality and leisure Logistics, warehouses, industrial Health care Sources: SAGIA, ECA Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 11
King Abdullah Economic City Launched in 2006 to promote economic diversity in the Kingdom, the King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC) has six components — seaport, industrial district, educational zone, central business district, resorts and a residential area. The King Abdullah Economic City KAEC King Abdullah Economic City Location • Rabigh, area: 168sqkm Focus • Logistics • Light and processing industry • Financial services Rabigh Key components • industrial district • Seaport • Residential area • Central business district • Resorts • Educational zone Sources: SAGIA, KAEC website Features of KAEC The table below describes the key components of the KAEC. Key components Description • An industrial district covering an area of 64.8sqkm industrial • The zone will accommodate around 2,700 manufacturers and logistics companies in a special district economic zone • A seaport covering an area of 14.0sqkm Seaport • Handling capacity of 20 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU) • Facilities to handle cargo and equipped to receive the world’s largest vessels • A fully integrated 48sqkm residential zone, providing housing for all income groups Residential • The residential area is planned to include 260,000 apartments and 56,000 villas area • Will be divided into smaller residential, commercial and recreational areas Central business • A 13.5sqkm central business district, featuring high — density living and commercial zone, district a financial island and a central park • A 27.0sqkm resorts area that will feature luxury villas, townhouses, seaside resorts and spa, Resorts shopping centers and other recreational facilities • The number of hotel rooms and suites are estimated to be 11,000 in more than 70 hotels Educational • An educational zone covering an area of 5.0sqkm zone • Multi-university campus designed to accommodate 18,000 students Source: SAGIA 12 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
Prince AbdulAziz Bin Mousaed Economic City The Prince AbdulAziz Bin Mousaed Economic City (PABMEC) is the second economic city launched (after KAEC) in the KSA. The ground-breaking took place in 2009 and the city is expected to be fully completed by 2025. The main objective is to position the new city as the premier commerce, industry, transportation and logistics hub in the Middle East region. The Prince AbdulAziz Bin Mousaed Economic City PABMEC Prince Abdulaziz Bin Moussed Economic Location Key components Hail City • Hail, area: 156sqkm • Logistics and transportation center • Agro-industrial zone Focus • Knowledge center • Logistics and • Petrochemical industries district transportation • Residential area • Agriculture • Entertainment area • Minerals • Mining center • Construction materials Sources: SAGIA, PABMEC website Features of PABMEC The table below describes key components of the PABMEC. Key components Description • An international airport, expected to serve 3 million passengers per year Logistics and • A supply chain center and a multi-modal passenger station transportation • Dry ports with an annual capacity to handle over 1.5 million tons of cargo center • An expanded railway system and road connections to the rest of the KSA, to Jordan and Iraq • This area will group a number of services through activities linked to stages of crop growing, Agro-industrial harvesting and processing zone • An agricultural research center that aims at increasing output with the help of modern production plants • A knowledge center featuring colleges, research centers, vocational and training centers, as well Knowledge as public and private schools center • The education zone will be spread across 10sqkm and is expected to serve nearly 40,000 students Petrochemical • Petrochemical industries district will included an oil refinery, natural gas processing plant, and production facilities for producing pharmaceuticals, fibre, rubber, plastics, basic chemicals, industries district fertilizers and petrochemical feedstock • The residential area will cost about US$2.7b Residential area • Employment and living facilities, with 55,000 potential employment opportunities and up to 15,000 residential units • Hotels, shopping centers and entertainment facilities Entertainment • Expected to attract nearly 70,000 tourists annually, providing additional investment area opportunities in hospitality and tourism-related industries • Visitors will also benefit from a host of health care facilities • Mining center will include a minerals laboratory; land surveying and geotechnical services firms; Mining center mining equipment rental companies; and processing facilities for limestone, kaolin, silica sand and phosphate. Source: SAGIA Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 13
Knowledge Economic City King Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz launched the Knowledge Economic City (KEC) in Madinah in June 2006. It is the third of the four ECs in the Kingdom. The KEC is designed as a project to position the KSA and young Saudi Arabian entrepreneurs as internationally respected leaders in knowledge-based industries. It aims to attract and develop talent from around the world. Knowledge Economic City Knowledge Economic City KEC Location Key components • Madinah, • Complex for technology area: 4.8sqkm and knowledge based economy Focus • Technological and administrative Madinah colleges • Knowledge- • Islamic civilization studies center based • Campus for medical studies, industries biological sciences and health • Tourism services • Services • Business center • Transport • Lifestyle • Commercial plaza • Residential areas Sources: SAGIA, KEC website Features of KEC The table below describes key components of the KEC. Key components Description Complex for • To support technological research and development in the region technology and • The complex has extensive facilities and support services focused on eGovernment, e-libraries, knowledge- e-education, Arabic language technologies and technologies for managing religious tourism based economy Technological and • Technological and administrative colleges will offer advanced technical study options and administrative facilities, including scientific research laboratories, IT, software development, automation, colleges multimedia and business administration Islamic civilization • Focused on collecting, developing and transmitting the knowledge, values and artwork of Islamic studies center civilization, as well as finding Islamic solutions to contemporary problems Campus for medical studies, • To provide medical services to visitors and residents biological sciences • Campus for biological sciences will concentrate on fields critical to the KSA, such as vaccine and health development, crop engineering and biotechnologies for waste and water treatment services • Advanced infrastructure, including conference halls, exhibition centers and offices Business center accommodating up to 10,000 employees • A central transportation station will connect the city with Prince Mohammed Bin Abdul Aziz Transport International Airport and the city with Makkah, Yanbu, KAEC and Jeddah Source: SAGIA 14 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
Key components Description • Commercial complexes • Residential and hospitality facilities • Theme park (Seera Land) Lifestyle • King Abdul Aziz Mosque capable of accommodating 10,000 worshippers • The project will include a shopping mall implemented in two phases. Phase 1 will be 100,000 sqm and will include 300 shops, 4,000 parking lots and a hypermarket. Phase 2 will increase the retail space to 300,000sqm • The main plaza in the center of KEC is surrounded by pedestrian walkways, forming a point of Commercial plaza connection between visitors, workers and residents of Madinah, as well as hotel towers and residential apartments • Residential areas including two villa areas, mid-to high-rise residential buildings, serviced Residential apartments, green spaces and hospitality facilities provided for 30,000 visitors and 150,000 areas residents at a time Source: SAGIA Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 15
Jazan Economic City The Jazan Economic City (JEC) was launched as the fourth Economic City in November 2006 and is located 60km northwest of Jazan City. The JEC will be divided into industrial and non-industrial areas made up of four zones. JEC’s industrial zone will represent two-thirds of the city and will comprise a primary and heavy industry zone, secondary industry zone, and human resources and work development zone. Jazan Economic City Jazan Economic City JEC Location Key components • Jazan, • Power plant area: 113sqkm • Water desalination plant Focus • Industrial port • Heavy, secondary • Aluminum smelter and labor-intensive • Refinery industries • Iron ore complex • Agriculture • Ship building • Energy Sources: SAGIA, JEC website Jazan Features of JEC heavy industry zone The table below describes the key components of primary and heavy industry zones in the JEC. Key components Description • The power plant consists of the main power plant, associated balance-of-plant, electrical substation and fuel storage facilities Power plant • Using a steam cycle technology firing on Arabian crude oil, the power plant will be built with sufficient capacity to provide for the power needs of the Economic City • The desalination plant will be capable of providing about 50,000 cubic meters of potable water Water per day to cater to the internal requirements of JEC as well as to supply water to the distribution desalination plant network • The industrial port will provide an additional terminal on the Red Sea’s coast, becoming one Industrial port of the biggest ports in the region • Aluminum smelter with an annual production capacity of one million metric tons; Aluminum this development is a joint venture between MMC Malaysia Group, Saudi Binladin Group smelter and China Aluminium Company Refinery • Refinery standards with a production capacity of 250,000–400,000 barrels per day • Phase 1 of the South Steel Company (SOLB)’s project aims to produce iron billets with an annual production capacity of one million metric tons Iron ore complex • The project will also comprise a complex for iron raw trade and a raw iron fabrication factory with a production capacity of six million tons per year • An iron plate and fabrication plant with an annual production capacity of two million tons • A dry anchor will annex the main port for the purpose of repairing and maintenance of ships Ship building and fishing boats Source: SAGIA 16 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
Features of JEC secondary industry zone The table below describes the key components of the secondary industry zone in the JEC. Components of JEC secondary industry zone Key components Description Silicon processing • Silicon processing industry being planned due to abundance of silicon in JEC’s vicinity • Tech-park focused on manufacturing, research and development from a wide range of public and commercial sources Tech/agri-tech park • Agri-tech industry to add value to the regional agricultural industry and to make improvements in management of livestock and crops Textile industry • JEC will host a significant artificial textile fiber industry • Food processing is a main focus in JEC, particularly to provide healthy nutritional food to satisfy Food processing the requirements of the KSA • Development of industries involved in the manufacture of nutraceuticals and health-food products, Pharmaceutical industry drawn on agricultural resources in the Jazan region Source: SAGIA Features of other zones of JEC Components of JEC nonindustrial zone Key components Description Human resources • A technical training zone of 100sqm business zone, research and study centers, exhibition and work zone and conference halls, and commercial zone • Residential spaces, 8,000 residential units, public utilities and integral recreational services, Residential and a waterfront that will include 7,000 villas, chalets, hotels, resorts and a marina • 1,000sqm land area for health facilities, 1,400sqm land area for education centers, 200sqm land Social infrastructure area for social facilities • 3,200sqm land area for sport and recreation facilities, 5,500sqm land area for commercial centers Other amenities and 800sqm land area as green spaces Source: SAGIA Following is some additional information on the Jazan Economic City. This information is not available for the other cities referenced in this report. Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 17
2.4 Benefit for investors Description Investor benefits • 100% foreign ownership of projects, including property required to support the business activities, Foreign ownership in addition to owning private residences and employee accommodation Employee sponsorship • No restrictions on sponsoring foreign employees • Minimum capital requirement and no restrictions on repatriation of capital Capital requirement • Ability to carry forward losses indefinitely • Accelerated investment application, business registration and setup process, with a guaranteed Ease of doing business decision for foreign investment applications within 30 days of submission to SAGIA Taxation • No personal income tax and a minimal 20% corporate tax for foreign companies • Exemption from import fees for selected raw materials imported for manufacturing products • No export duties within the 17 countries of the Greater Arab Free Trade Area Export/import duties • Few restrictions on currency conversion, exchanges and transfers and transaction incentives • Duty drawback, a customs refund for raw material imports that are processed and exported as finished goods • Preferential treatment for national products in Saudi Government procurement • Export credit, financing, guarantees and insurance through the Saudi Export Program • Financial support for the training and employment of Saudis from the Human Resources Industrial incentives Development Fund • Low-cost loans from the Saudi Industrial Development Fund and Public Investment Fund • Customs duties exemption on imported machinery, equipment, raw materials and spare parts, if they are for industrial use • Net leasing rate/annum: SAR700/, service charge: SAR120/sqm (total service charge: SAR820/sqm, Leasing and contract to be paid annually in advance on a quarterly basis) terms • Contract term: minimum two years; no escalation during the first two years, year three onward, 5% per annum) Source: SAGIA 18 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
2.5 Top challenges to the development of ECs Challenges of ECs • Uncertainty around global economies might impact private sector participation, Global e.g., following to the global financial crisis, plans to develop several infrastructure slowdown components of the JEC project were delayed. SAGIA terminated the contract awarded to the joint venture of MMC Corporation Berhad and Saudi Binladin Group in 2013 Supply • Developers faced a shortage of contracting capacity while contractors found it difficult to shortages source labor and materials during many phases of the ECs project development • Recent declines in hydrocarbon prices will impact oil revenues and influence the Oil price Government’s spending plans. According to the NCB Quarterly Review of Contract Awards, decline the KSA construction sector witnessed a significant drop in value of contracts awarded during Q3 2014. Contracts worth US$9.14b were awarded; a 77% decline compared with Q3 2013 Project • Delays in awarding projects and challenges developers face while raising funds will hamper delays deter the progress of the ECs project. Two ECs planned in Tabuk and Eastern Province have yet investments to make any progress since the launch in 2006 Source: EY analysis Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 19
Stakeholders’ role and outlook 3.1 Shaping ECs — SAGIA and ECA The establishment of the SAGIA in 2000 was a key milestone in the KSA’s drive to build a world-class economy. SAGIA aims to promote, attract and retain quality local and foreign investments in untapped sectors by developing an optimal business environment. • Started as an agency in 2006 within SAGIA and launched the four ECs Economic Cities • In 2010 by a Royal Decree the ECA was spun off from SAGIA as the regulator and Authority (ECA) supervisor of the ECs • Supervise, serve, and regulate the ECs, including: • Oversee developers to ensure value proposition of the ECs • Support the Kingdom’s socioeconomic development objectives • Monitor developers’ projects’ deadlines • Develop and enforce global reference regulations and standards • Provide world-class services through the 60 minutes an hour, 24 hours a day and 7 days a week (60x24x7) concept • Develop and monitor public–private partnership (PPP) models • Contribute to the promotion of ECs Source: SAGIA, ECA 20 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
Key stakeholders and their roles in ECs projects SAGIA/ECA Master developer (MD) Consultant Contractor • Regulator, facilitator • Capital provider • Planning and urban • Project construction and promoter of ECs • Land owner (only for design and maintenance KAEC and PABMEC • Landscape • Preparation projects) architecture construction • Develop and operate phase plan • Civil engineering ECs • Management of • Project management • Promote investment subcontractors • Contracts and in ECs • Risk management quantity surveying • Liaison with parties • Maintenance of cost involved in ECs and schedule control project system • Workforce and vendor • Other preconstruction management services • As described in the Developer Agreements executed between the MD and SAGIA and/or the ECA, the MD of each economic city will have the power to contract, outsource or license any and all of its duties, powers or responsibilities as permitted by the Developer Agreement. • All developers, sub-developers, contractors, sub-contractors, outsource contractors and licensees shall comply with the master plan. Source: SAGIA, ECA Source: SAGIA, SUSRIS, ECA Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 21
3.2 Real estate regulations in ECs Land ownership Rights of property Foreign investment and development in ECs ownership restrictions in the ECs • SAGIA’s license allows the MD to • Non-GCC/Saudi nationals are • SAGIA has issued a list of some establish and carry out investment covered by the Foreign Investment business activities prohibited to projects in the ECs. Law and the Law of Non-Saudis foreign investment. These include • MD will enter into a master Proprietorship and Investment of manufacturing of military materials, developer agreement with SAGIA. Real Estate issued by the Royal equipment and explosives, oil Decree 15 dated 17/4/1421H exploration and production, services • MD will establish a project company (Foreign R/E Ownership Law). related to security, real estate (PC) to undertake the development • GCC nationals are covered by the brokerage and land transportation of the ECs. GCC Nationals Royal Decree No. 4 services (excluding trains). • The PC will be required to offer 30% dated 12/7/1415/H and Executive of its issued share capital to retail Rules (GCC R/E Ownership Law). investors. Project land ownership in ECs Opportunity • For KAEC and PABMEC projects: the MD acquires land • 100% foreign land — ownership is allowed in the ECs, for the EC; the MD will then transfer the title to the land except for KEC in Al Madinah Al Munawara. that will then transfer to the PC. The PC will transfer the land to investors under a long-term lease or develop the land for sale to third parties or retain ownership of the land and manage the developed property or enter into strategic partnerships, alliances or joint ventures for the development of components of the EC. • For KEC and JEC, the land remains under the ownership of SAGIA and is managed by MD (under Royal Decree number M/15 dated 11/03/1424 (H.) corresponding to 13/05/2003 (G). Source: SUSRIS, SAGIA, ECA 22 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
3.3 Perceptions of key developers, contractors and consultants Voices of key stakeholders “As of 2014, KAEC had attracted more than 70 leading local and international companies, which will use the Industrial Valley as their base of operations.” “Many companies have chosen to invest in KAEC because of its world class service facilities, highly developed infrastructure and the strategic advantages of its location.” “The direct link between the Industrial Valley and King Abdullah Port in KAEC makes it an important logistical hub and an access point to reach 250 million consumers in the Middle East and North Africa.” Rayan Qutub, CEO — KAEC Industrial Valley “King Abdullah Port in the KAEC has the potential to become a global logistics hub, handling trade for the entire region. The port has a capacity for 1.3 million containers in operation and is planning four million in the next two years and seven million by 2017.” Fahd Al Rasheed, CEO — Emaar Economic City “The investment market in the KSA is considered to be the most advanced in the region.“ “The country is currently witnessing significant and unprecedented development and the absorptive capacity of the Saudi economy is huge, while big spending on development projects creates countless investment opportunities. The conditions are very favorable to encourage the entry of promising investment for the national economy.” Nasser Al-Tawayan, Communications Director, SAGIA “Jazan Economic City will become a key contributor to the KSA’s economy as current infrastructure and projects development will provide a solid base for further investments in heavy and secondary industries, petrochemicals, mining and conversion industries.” “Saudi Aramco has been entrusted to build Jazan’s strategic infrastructure through the development of a refinery and terminal, a power plant, a commercial seaport, a water desalination plant, roads and water and sanitary drainage systems, in addition to connecting electricity.” Khalid A. Al-Falih, President and CEO, Saudi Aramco Sources: Arabnews, Zawya, Saudi Gazette Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 23
3.4 Outlook for real estate development of ECs With depleting oil reserves and the necessity to rope in private investment to sustain its ambitious investment plans, including that of the four ECs, the KSA Government is currently focusing on developing clusters to feed the Kingdom’s growing economy. The construction of four integrated ECs promises to considerably alter the economic landscape and provide a wealth of exciting greenfield opportunities to investors. ECs will act as engines for industrial growth, real estate development, seaport and dry port development, and educational advancement in the Kingdom. The ECs are expected to bring a considerable economic and construction boom, with global investors and companies pumping in billions of riyals. The new ECs, according to SAGIA5, would contribute US$150b to the GDP by 2020. They will also provide a living environments for 4 to 5 million people and increase per capita GDP from US$13,000 in 2007 to US$33,500 by 2020. The private sector develops each city by generating private investments in infrastructure, real estate and industry. By identifying and attracting core investors, additional jobs are created, which will then spur jobs in other supporting services. The ECs will be offering an attractive lifestyle to grow beyond a mere industrial free zone. The cities enjoy a globally competitive, business — friendly regulatory environment. While the regulatory climate is more rigid as compared with its Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) counterparts, the Saudi Government’s liberalization measures to simplify procedures were put in place to make the new mortgage laws more transparent. Foreign investments are likely to help attract investment in the ECs and spur growth across the real estate, hospitality and construction industries in the Kingdom. JEconomic Cities Authority Overview - HR Forum” — January 2015 5 “Saudi Arabia’s Economic Cities — Economic Cities Agency SAGIA” , January 2015 24 Economic cities — opening vistas of growth
EY’s role EY’s Middle East Transaction Real • We perform financial and commercial Estate Advisory Services Group due diligence on any target acquisitions is an integrated, cross-functional network in real estate and hospitality sector that of experienced real estate and hospitality clients intend to make. professionals who focus on providing • We can benchmark your property value-added multidisciplinary services and help you identify your key and cutting-edge strategies to companies opportunities for improvement: that own, develop or operate real estate renovation, re-branding, and hospitality assets and project cost containment, enhancing management services. product/service quality, increasing • We advise developers and investors product/service differentiation, on the highest and best use of their improving sales/marketing strategy lands, taking into account location in rooms, food and beverage, and site attributes, market dynamics meeting/banquet and all other and competitive landscape. revenue-generating departments. • We perform market studies • Our restructuring advisory services for developers and investors to assess include guiding your company through opportunities and keep them abreast the liquidity management process of market performance, trends focused on operational cost savings, and outlook. developing and evaluating your business plan and strategic alternatives, • We offer development advisory services providing alternative debt/equity or review and refine clients’ facilities structures based upon your asset base programs. and/or anticipated cash flows, advising • Our services are designed on negotiations and on pre-bankruptcy to select a management company/ and divestiture planning. We also operator on a timely basis to meet provide financial advice throughout our clients’ needs as well as to provide Chapter 11 proceedings, and advise on professional advice during the contract tax aspects of restructuring in and out negotiation process. of bankruptcy. • We help clients assess the fair market value of their real estate assets through market and/or income-based approaches. Economic cities — opening vistas of growth 25
EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory About EY EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory Key Contact services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world Yousef Wahbah over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our Middle East and North Africa Real Estate, Hospitality promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical and Construction Leader role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities. + 971 4 312 9113 yousef.wahbah@ae.ey.com EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com. The MENA practice of EY has been operating in the region since 1923. For over 90 years, we have grown to over 5,000 people united across 20 offices and 15 countries, sharing the same values and an unwavering commitment to quality. As an organization, we continue to develop outstanding leaders who deliver exceptional Contributors services to our clients and who contribute to our communities. We are proud of our accomplishments over the years, reaffirming Maya El Assaad our position as the largest and most established professional services Assistant Manager, TREAS — MENA organization in the region. maya.elassaad@qa.ey.com About EY’s Global Real Estate Sector Today’s real estate sector must adopt new approaches to address Sajith P regulatory requirements and financial risks while meeting Assistant Manager, Business Research the challenges of expanding globally and achieving sustainable growth. EY’s Global Real Estate Sector brings together a worldwide team sajith.p@xe04.ey.com of professionals to help you succeed — a team with deep technical experience in providing assurance, tax, transaction and advisory Harish Krishnamoorthy services. The Sector team works to anticipate market trends, identify Associate, RHC, Business Research their implications and develop points of view on relevant sector issues. harish.krishnamoorthy@xe04.ey.com Ultimately, this team enables us to help you meet your goals and compete more effectively. Sarah K K © 2015 EYGM Limited. All Rights Reserved. Associate, TAS research support, Business Research sarah.k@xe04.ey.com EYG no. DF0210 ED None This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, or other professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice. ey.com/mena
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