Digitalization in Freight Forwarding-Beyond the Platform Hype - Deloitte

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Digitalization in Freight Forwarding-Beyond the Platform Hype - Deloitte
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding –
Beyond the Platform Hype
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding-Beyond the Platform Hype - Deloitte
02
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

Abstract                                                                          04
The platform hype in freight forwarding                                           06
The platform prohibitors in freight forwarding                                    10
The platform derivatives in freight forwarding                                    13

                                                                                             03
Abstract
Digital transformation showed platform-op-        Our survey reveals industry-specific pro-
erated companies such as UBER, Airbnb or          hibitors that run counter to a bare platform
Facebook to be digital disruptors. In many        model:
industries, we state that, in the blink of an
eye, digital platforms dis-intermediate entire    1) s hipper's need for customization, guar-
industries. We can see the same platform             anteed prices & loading capacity, and
hype at our clients from the transportation          consolidated invoicing;
industry, where many players aspire to
disrupt a market of a multi-billion industry      2) r obust and rigid re-liability requirements
worldwide. Forwarders as intermediaries              between different parties involved in
were expected to become redundant and a              transportation;
bare platform model was expected to allow
for direct interaction between carriers and       3) n
                                                      eed for involvement of many different
shippers. Yet, despite numerous efforts, all         types of parties in shipments;
platform wannabes have failed to generate
game-changing effects and the market is as        4) t raditionally analog mindset and a short-
hyperfragmented as ever.                             term investment culture at incumbents; and

This discrepancy calls for a qualitative study    5) s carcity of ambidextrous capabilities and
to better understand the reasons for plat-           digital forwarder talents.
form failure in relation to freight forwarding.
This is why we have conducted guided deep         Given these industry-specific prohibitors,
dive interviews with practitioners at incum-      our analysis suggests that three platform
bents, startups, carriers, and shippers to        derivatives will evolve as future business
find out why platform wannabes possibly fail      models in transportation: niche platforms,
and to develop potential business models          regional ecosystems, and digital forwarders.
based on our findings.                            Keeping these insights in mind, our Point
                                                  of View helps Deloitte's clients to navigate
                                                  through an increasingly competitive
                                                  universe by providing useful insights to
                                                  the leaders as they seek to address digital
                                                  threats and opportunities.

04
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

                                                            05
The platform hype in freight forwarding
The freight forwarding industry is                        ruption. In contrast to the digital disruptors   their company – with good reason. Looking
said to be a business model prone to                      mentioned above, the incumbents of the           at the underlying business model of freight
dis-intermediation, with many players                     freight forwarding industry come from            forwarders, a certain “platformization”
aspiring to realize its platformization                   analog times. Since medieval times, freight      potential is evident:
potential in recent years.                                forwarders have organized transportation
Much has been said and written about the                  on behalf of a) shippers, by air, ocean or       Their fundamental intermediary function
digital era we live in. It is a global phenom-            land, and b) carriers, to get physical goods     between carriers and shippers was the
enon that affects every aspect of both our                from A to B. They have contracts with car-       main reason freight forwarders were fore-
private and our professional lives. How-                  riers to move goods and guarantee loading        cast to become extinct as a self-contained
ever, the most intriguing and challenging                 capacity at stable prices. They allow for        business in the future (McKinsey, 2017).
aspect of this era is not digitization, which             consolidated invoicing because shippers          Digital connectors may have the potential
transforms existing analog processes into                 do not need to interact with all the carriers,   to reduce the need for freight forwarders
digital ones (Schallmo & Williams, 2018), but             ground handling agents, customs agents,          to organize shipments for multiple parties
digitalization, which rather constitutes a                etc. involved, but only with a single coun-      manually. Direct interaction between ship-
restructuring of an entire status quo (Bren-              terparty. In the process, freight forwarders     pers and carriers is technologically feasible
nen & Kreiss, 2016). The most prominent                   have become supply chain, warehousing,           with digital connectors (Deloitte, 2017) and
examples of such a restructuring of entire                packaging, and documentation experts,            makes economic sense if a certain platform
industries are the well-known platform                    too. This does not necessarily require           is able to bring together a critical mass of
companies UBER, Tencent, Apple, Airbnb,                   assets in terms of ships, trucks or planes1.     players in its realm. As a consequence, the
and Facebook. Their platform business                     As such, the traditional freight forwarder       intermediary function of freight forwarders
models allow each type of participant to                  is part of the wider transportation market       is threatened by dis-intermediation and
be a customer of the platform in some                     and serves as a manual platform between          suggests that they are the predecessor of
relevant way as the platform enables direct               shippers and carriers, optimizing time,          a multi-sided (industry) platform without
interaction between two or more sides                     costs, and representing reliability.             transport liability. Figure 1 compares this
(Hagiu & Wright, 2015). This is the true                                                                   new platform to the traditional model.
power of the digital era – in the blink of an             Indeed, recent studies confirm a huge
eye, platform companies can re-structure                  platform interest (with)in the industry          On top of this, a polypoly market structure
entire industries, leaving longstanding and               (DSLV, 2019). Half of the respondents of         defines freight forwarding and exacerbates
well-deserved players lagging behind.                     the “Transport Intelligence” survey (2017)       the platform potential of the underlying
                                                          have tested industry platforms. Of these,        business model. Global market leaders
Freight forwarding is said to be a business               64 percent have gone on to use such a            such as DHL, Kuehne + Nagel, and DB
model prone to precisely this kind of dis-                system as a permanent solution within            Schenker have a market share of about

06      1
            This is why in ocean freight the term non-vessel owning carrier is also widespread.
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

one-digit percent each2. Obviously, there                     of freight forwarders become more and                           continuous demand for low-cost shipping
have been thousands of players in freight                     more commoditized, which fuels rivalry and                      (given alone the rise of e-commerce across
forwarding around the globe for decades                       price wars (Hofman & Osterwalder, 2017).                        the globe), still high demand for integrated
with very similar value propositions. There                                                                                   services, and an increasing trend of inter-
are no signs of any of them gaining any                       Given this fundamental dis-intermediation                       modal freight transportation (Allied Market
significant market share, with only singular                  potential in freight forwarding, the stakes                     Research, 2019). The economic potential
consolidation phenomena such as the                           are high for the industry. The transporta-                      that could be tapped with the use of a
merger of two industry incumbents –                           tion market is a backbone to a globalized                       platform would thus be significant, and the
Panalpina and DSV (Aircargonews, 2019).                       world economy but with margins often                            player to implement THE central industry
With the apparent absence of a unique                         highly volatile and under pressure. When                        platform would impact the global transpor-
selling proposition, the market seems to be                   it comes to the sub-segment of freight for-                     tation business extensively and profoundly.
calling for consolidation by means of a cen-                  warding, a market growth of 8 percent can
tral, unified platform. As such, the services                 be observed (MarketWatch, 2018). There is

Fig. 1 – Paradigmatic comparison of today's analog intermediary function of forwarding vs. potential platform model, allowing
for direct interaction between carrier and shipper [Own illustration based on Hagiu & Wright (2015), Schramm (2012)]

              Forwarding an an (Analog) Intermediary                                                              Transport as a (Digital) Platform
                  between Shippers and Carriers                                                                    between Shippers and Carriers

                                 Intermediary                                                                                   Direct interactions
     Shipper                         freight                        Carrier                         Shipper                                                            Carrier
                                   forwarder
                                                                                                               Affi
                 Forwarding                          Contract of                                                   lia                                            ns
                                                                                                                      tio                                     tio
                  Contract                            carriage                                                           ns                               lia
                                                                                                                                                       Affi
                                                                                                                                    Platform

2
    Market sizing figures vary depending on the source used because there are only estimates to what extent their turnover originates from freight forwarding
    (Ojala & Jämsä, 2006). In addition, the terminology is not coherently used in practice. The statistics differ depending on what it is subsumed under/under-
    stood by terms such as “logistics”, “supply chain management”, “third-party logistics”, “freight forwarding” or similar. This article is based on the definition of
    section 93 of the German Commercial Code (“Handelsgesetzbuch”) for forwarding.                                                                                               07
Within the freight forwarding ecosystem,          shippers. They are matchmakers and derive          integrate these companies' capabilities into
players from all market categories have           their profit from transactions for platform        their digital unit and, in the longer term, in
already exploited the industry's digital          usage while not having any transport lia-          their core business. Even if these endeavors
potential. Of these, the digital leaders          bility, for instance Freightos, uShip or Uber      might not (yet?) fully constitute a true plat-
among the shippers (or customers of freight       Freight. Other startups leverage their digital     form business model, it could be the next
forwarders) are keenly aware of the digitali-     capabilities in related fields such as virtual     logical step for incumbents to prepare for
zation potential and have already started to      supply chain management, real-time pricing         the freight marketplace cannibalizing their
integrate backwards. Prominent examples           or volume forecasting. Overall, startups           own historically grown business model.
are Alibaba or Amazon, the latter acquiring       predominantly target the asset-light com-
an ocean-forwarding license, and Google,          ponents of the forwarding chain. They have         These examples clearly demonstrate
which has held a patent for electronic ship-      received much attention from investors             the race among forwarding incumbents,
ping notifications for years. Both Amazon         over recent years, with well over $11 billion      startups, carriers & shippers to become
and Google are very well aware of their data      in funding since 2007 and record sums              THE freight forwarding platform. There is
trove, hold patents in the field of forwarding,   especially in North America and Asia (Oliver       only one problem: Not a single platform
and constantly promote new services.              Wyman, 2016).                                      wannabe has so far won a landslide victory.
                                                                                                     Notwithstanding the platformization efforts
Equally, we observe that the freight              Faced with this situation, most incumbents         seen in recent years, none of the players
forwarders' suppliers, the carriers, have         digit(al)ize to the best of their ability: DHL's   has made traditional forwarding redundant
understood the digital game and actively          saloodo platform connects shippers with            as yet. Big players such as Kuehne + Nagel,
integrate forward. Freight forwarders are an      FTL/LTL carriers in Europe and elsewhere.          DHL, and Panalpina still make billions with
intermediary that impedes direct access to        K+N's Freight-Net platform provides binding        their traditional business model born in
the customer. Nowadays, these interfaces          carrier quotations, direct booking, and            medieval times. So despite the numerous
are getting easier and easier to create, which    online tracking. With Connect4land, DB             attempts of many players across the globe,
may increase margins for carriers. One of         Schenker's European division for land              digitalization has failed to exert its disrupt-
the biggest carriers in ocean freight, Maersk,    transportation aspires to offer a state-of-        ing potential and there is still no Airbnb of
partners with Alibaba's One Touch platform        the-art online service for domestic and            freight forwarding in sight. Figure 2 shows
to allow shippers to directly book vessel         international network freight. Furthermore,        that transportation including the forward-
capacity online and heavily invests in TWILL      it offers immediate e-pricing, scheduling          ing market remains a highly fragmented
and DAMCO. Such approaches probably               details, and tracking information. With this,      business with hundreds of thousands of
have the most potential with respect to full      incumbents aim to make the shopping ex-            companies operating in this market. Even
truck load shipping.                              perience for which the B2C sector is already       market leaders have low market shares, low
                                                  known available to the field of professional       bargaining power, and are far from generat-
Thousands of new market entrants to the in-       B2B freight forwarding. Some of them have          ing skyrocketing margins. If platformization
dustry are fueling this competitive situation,    established separate entities for this, such       is to take place anywhere, it must be under
with an estimate of possibly hundreds of          as DHL with saloodo, hiring digital natives.       the radar without a breakthrough being
startups offering digital platforms to initiate   Others prefer cooperating with startups            discernible to the general public.
interaction directly between carriers and         such as DB Schenker and uShip, hoping to

08
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

Fig. 2 – Fragmented structure of the freight forwarding industry with selection of major players [own Illustration based on
ARMSTRONG & ASSOCIATES (2018a, b), BIFA (2018), BCG (2018), own sources]

                                                                    Hellmann Worldwide Logistics – 2%
                                                     Agility – 2%
                                       Yusen Logistics – 2%
                                   Kerry Logistics – 2%                                  DHL Supply Chain & Global Forwarding – 13%
                                CJ Logistics – 2%
                           Toll Group – 2%
       Kintetsu World Express – 2%

         Bollore Logistics – 2%

           Panalpina – 3%
                                                                                                                      Kuehne + Nagel – 11%
       Hitachi Transport
       System – 3%

        GEODIS – 3%

       Dachser – 3%

                                                                                                                          DB Schenker – 9%
      Expeditors – 3%

      CEVA Logistics – 3%

                      UPS – 4%
                                                                                                             Nippon Express – 9%

                                  XPO – 4%

                                         Sinotrans – 4%                                 C.H. Robinson – 7%
                                                                DSV – 5%

                                                                                                                                                 09
The platform prohibitors in
freight forwarding
Industry-specific prohibitors in                 About the research
freight forwarding run counter to the            This Point of View is part of Deloitte's broader transportation practice Germany. It
landslide victory of a bare platform             draws on in-depth interviews with designated experts in the field of digitalization
business model.                                  in freight forwarding. The interviewees come from all five forces of the market
This empirical evidence suggests the exist-      comprising:
ence of industry-specific prohibitors to plat-
form models which prevent forwarding from        a) incumbents/traditional competitors;
being disrupted. These prohibitors explain       b) startups/new entrants;
why none of the platform endeavors has yet       c) shippers/customers;
won a landslide victory and are detailed in      d) carriers/suppliers and asset owners;
the following:                                   e) representatives from potential substitute products such as 3D printing.

                                                 The interviews were conducted between April and June 2019 either online or face-
                                                 to-face following a dedicated guide. This guide checks the interviewees' opinion as
                                                 to whether platform basics are fulfilled by the current platform wannabes or not.
                                                 If interviewees argued that these key factors did not apply, the objective was to
                                                 understand the prohibitors they see in this respect (see next pages).

10
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

1. Shipper's interest in customization,          2. Need for robust and rigid re-liability           3. Need for involvement of many differ-
consolidated invoicing, and guaranteed           requirements in transportation                      ent types of parties per shipment
prices & loading capacity                        Many successful platforms often excel in            Further platform wannabes need to know
Most multisided platforms have to offer          quantity aspects compared to traditional            how many and which sides to bring on
their services for free or at subsidized         competitors. Yet, the interviews reveal             board. However, our interviews show that in
prices to at least one side of the platform      that in freight forwarding “an attractive           many cases there appears to be an insuffi-
and derive their profits from the other          platform needs to offer both quality and            cient number of (different types of) parties
side (Hagiu & Wright, 2015). The interviews      quantity” from the very beginning: “Quantity        on the platform. This requirement is crucial
show that this is an aspect many platform        is key for uncritical hinterland shipments,         in the “very complex and frictional [freight
wannabes neglect and or even disavow. The        while quality entry gates are required for          forwarding] industry [that] can easily com-
most sophisticated strategy interviewees         time-critical shipments of precious goods.”         prise up to 16 different parties involved in
mentioned was to redirect inquiries from         This quotation shows that quantity is a nec-        an international shipment” such as trucking
traditional systems to the new ones in           essary hygiene factor in forwarding, while          companies, ocean carriers, air carriers, cus-
order to generate traffic and attenuate the      quality is the decisive differentiator. Freight     tom agents for various countries, warehouse
chicken-egg challenge. However, this seems       forwarding is an industry in which players in       operators, drivers, assurance companies,
far from being a sophisticated incentive for     the supply chain control only a very limited        ground handling agents, data providers, etc.
shippers looking mainly for “guaranteed          part of the entire process. This means that a       This underpins the huge challenge of plat-
loading capacity, customized processes,          platform needs MANY carriers to be attrac-          form wannabes. Particularly in the European
consolidated invoicing and stable prices – a     tive for shippers. The same holds true for          transportation sector, platform providers
service portfolio no bare platform can offer,”   the attractiveness of a platform for carriers:      do not offer significant added value to many
as one industry expert states. Without           the higher the number of shippers partici-          dispatchers because a single phone call or
guaranteed loading capacity and stable           pating in the platform, the more attractive it      email is still enough to touch a huge net-
prices, there are very few incentives to join    is for carriers. Quality is important because       work, whereas platforms rather imply typing
a platform. Moreover, time and again cus-        of the high level of fragility of supply chains     in the same information multiple times and
tomer-specific solutions call for meticulous     that shippers do want “re-liable” (sic!) freight    therefore do not deliver an efficiency gain (at
optimization of complex processes, deep          forwarders taking care of. In contrast to B2C,      most a saving in transport costs). This leads
customer knowledge, and tailor-made,             in a B2B environment shippers trust freight         to an uncritical mass of participants on the
consolidated services that run counter to a      forwarders with their precious goods pre-           platform, which again has a negative impact
one-size-fits-all platform.                      cisely because humans – rather than just an         on convenience compared to incumbents.
                                                 algorithm – take care of them. Quality also
                                                 ensures a sufficient return on investment for
                                                 those who are licensed in highly competitive
                                                 markets, such as trucking (for instance Con-
                                                 nect4land by DB Schenker). This fine-tuned
                                                 balance of liabilities, the industry's trust, and
                                                 (re-)liability requirements prevent a pure
                                                 platform business model from developing
                                                 attractive governance.

                                                                                                                                                    11
4. Traditionally analog mindset with a               5. Scarcity of ambidextrous capabilities       Summing up, our study revealed the indus-
short-term investment culture at incum-              and digital forwarder talents                  try-specific prohibitors to a complete and
bents                                                A successful platform requires a cutting-      disrupting platformization of the industry.
From a technology perspective, the right ar-         edge user experience. However, the in-         We might assume that the scarcity of digital
chitecture and interfaces are key to building        terviewees often mentioned convenience         forwarder talents, the missing ambidextrous
successful digital platforms. Yet, interviewees      deficiencies in using forwarding platforms.    capabilities, and the missing R&D long-term
confirm that “there is no culture of embracing       B2B freight forwarder platforms do their       investment culture will probably be over-
technology in the industry.” Incumbents              best to imitate the B2C shopping experi-       come simply in time; people can be trained
rarely think long term when it comes to in-          ence and have improved their frontends         and corporate culture can be changed even
vesting in technology. On the contrary: Either       in recent years, but our interviewees from     if it requires a lot of will, focus and energy.
the customer pays for it directly or there is a      shippers still expressed their “persevera-     However, the successful realization of the
clear business case justifying the investment.       tive desire” for a smart platform and that     business factors touches the very fragile
Furthermore, incumbents struggle with the            current platform wannabes “do not differ       foundations of the industry because these
optimal approach for absorbing cutting-edge          significantly in their user experience.” Our   are at the very core of the forwarders' selling
technologies, miss intellectual property re-         interviewees put this weakness down to a       proposition: Incentives to substitute for
gimes, and prefer to focus on the support of         scarcity of “digital forwarder talents” who    guaranteed loading capacity and prices will
external experts such as research institutes.        are competent in both digital technologies     remain limited as they run counter to the
Such cooperation increases transaction costs         as well as the forwarding business. This       basic idea of a platform. The same holds
and slows down innovation processes; so the          becomes apparent when looking at the           true for the rigid reliability requirements
successful street scooter example of DHL in          process of data exchange in ocean freight at   prevailing in the industry and a regulatory
this context is the exception rather than the        many forwarders as it stands today: There      environment prohibiting the integration of a
rule. Moreover, given the many frictions with-       are easily four to five players and an equal   critical mass of qualified partners on a plat-
in the industry, incumbents already seriously        number of middleware providers involved.       form. These factors will prevent one single
struggle with their complex IT legacy. It takes      To clean up such IT legacy with a simple API   platform from dominating the entire market
a lot of time to digitize it and to align with the   is not enough; this requires both forwarding   in the upcoming years and winning over the
respective counterparts to finally understand        expertise as well as digital excellence for    industry in a simple landslide victory. Our
to what degree the platform interfaces               knowing which functionality or features to     survey suggests that derivatives of a pure
should be open to outside complementors.             include in the platform.                       platform model are more likely to thrive.
Looking at tech trends such as blockchain
and autonomous driving as a complementary
source of innovation for freight forwarding,
not a single platform systematically incen-
tivizes this technology deployment. Lastly,
by definition freight forwarders are far from
being digital: In the end, it comes down to
shipping physical goods from A to B. Hence,
digital technologies can only ever have a
limited impact.

12
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

The platform derivatives in
freight forwarding
Beyond the platform hype, three                   •• Niche platforms follow a bare platform        •• Digital forwarders persist as an inter-
derivatives are on the horizon: niche                model with no transport liability. As            mediary platform between shipper and
platforms, regional ecosystems, and                  matchmakers they derive profit from              carrier with their unique selling proposi-
digital forwarders.                                  transaction fees for the platform usage.         tion of liability, guaranteed capacity, price
Given the industry-specific prohibitors to a         This business model will only work in            stability, and invoice consolidation.
bare platform approach, the interviews lead          closed systems, which means the number
us to believe that there will be a variety or        of parties involved will remain limited.
co-existence of three platform derivatives
in forwarding. It is likely that these will not   •• Regional ecosystems will enrich their
constitute either the traditional analog inter-      existing platform business model by add-
mediary model in forwarding or the new dig-          ing freight forwarding services, building
ital platform model. Rather, the three trends        huge competitive gravitation in suitable
combine aspects of both poles by having the          economic environments.
same purpose of offering a kind of platform
to connect shippers and carriers in one way
or another. In total, three distinguishable         Anonymized case Study:
derivatives became apparent:                        Incumbent/Startup cooperation to build the platform
                                                    The freight forwarder incumbent signed an exclusive agreement with a startup to
                                                    pair shippers with truckers in order to initiate platform activities. To deepen the
                                                    ties, the incumbent took a stake in the online freight booking platform startup.
                                                    A separate project was set up to combine the incumbent's industry expertise
                                                    with the startup's digital excellence. The incumbent's digital unit was expected to
                                                    absorb the startup's capabilities in a manner that would allow for new services.
                                                    Yet, after several years of headaches and massive investment, a leading industry
                                                    platform had not evolved; instead, the two will split again, struggling once more
                                                    on their own. The reasons for the failure are complex – not least the cultural
                                                    differences. Plus, the fact that contracts were set up on the hoof, not describing
                                                    sufficiently the actual value to be delivered, exacerbated the missing absorptive
                                                    capacity at the incumbent. Lastly, change management failed to involve the
                                                    incumbent's departments working in the traditional lines. They felt threatened by
                                                    the progressive endeavor, which led to permanent resistance.

                                                                                                                                                  13
Niche Platforms                                    1. In such a closed setup, “competition inter     In addition to such platforms allowing for
In the digital age, the attacker's advantage          pares” among the carriers will be possible      direct interaction between shippers and
of new entrants will allow laptop and coding          by incentivizing both carriers and ship-        carriers to align on a shipment, the experts
capabilities to remain virtually the only entry       pers to participate in the platform. Yet,       also expect visibility platforms to evolve.
barrier to this market. This will essentially         given the closed setup, they will struggle      Such platforms allow for collaboration and
hold true for land transportation (without            to incentivize many others, e.g. warehous-      the fusion of financial and physical supply
autonomous fleets in the short-term                   ing platforms, to complement their offer        chain processes across trade communities
future). As the typical customer persona              to a very high degree.                          by offering different software modules. They
is millennials (Barclays, 2013), specialized                                                          will generate profit from subscriptions and
platforms will perfect the means of interac-       2. The advantage of the closed setup will be      transaction fees. While such niche platforms
tion with their users (KPMG, 2016). These             trust to evolve among its participants. The     do not directly target the core of traditional
platforms are characterized by providing              limited number of parties with dedicated        forwarders, they might offer a service that
the digital platform to initiate and operate          needs and services allows for sufficient        adds more value than that of the incum-
an interaction directly between carrier and           confidence in the platform.                     bents. In the long run, they may use their
shipper. As matchmakers their profit comes                                                            data power to grow their business into core
from transaction fees for platform usage           3. Niche platforms intrinsically favor quality    transportation services, too.
without any transport liability. However,             over quantity with their specific yet limited
drawing parallels with the dot-com bubble,            number of players.
the experts surveyed assume that most of
these platforms will fail to thrive due to their   4. Furthermore, given the inherently limited
inability to offer sufficient incentives to join      scope, niche platforms will have trouble
the platform in the first place.                      funding the overheads required to build
They rather expect “niche platforms” to               first-rate intellectual property.
survive by focusing on specific client needs
and carrier competencies. The interviewees         5. By growing their own digital forwarder
assume that niche platforms will be capable           talents within their niche area, they will
of luring away customers of “spot market              improve their platform's user experience.
business and specific types of smaller
customers with recurrent transport needs”
from the traditionally large freight forward-
ers because they are characterized by the
following traits:

14
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

Regional Ecosystems                               1. W
                                                      ith such a huge service portfolio and            McKinsey (2019) has already elaborated in
By contrast, the experts interviewed expect          parties already part of the original eco-          detail on the impact of such cross-cutting
the leading global digital players to grow           system, incentives to join the regional            ecosystems without borders. For forwarding
their dominant regional ecosystems and,              ecosystem for transportation services              this means that, with such service offerings,
based on necessity and opportunity, enrich           are expected to be rather high. A user's           regional platforms will be capable of luring
their existing business with the required            switching costs will increase as soon              shippers away from traditional freight for-
forwarding platform capabilities. Such a             as a small number of regional platform             warders. In such a universe, one interviewee
platform will bundle digital solutions from          providers dominate and leverage network            even considers that “offering transport
transportation & logistics, for instance             effects. Carriers will find themselves in          services for free can become true and
different apps from multiple players, and            devastating price wars.                            would be a game changer for all”, ranging
connect supply chain players with a uniform                                                             from carriers to forwarders to shippers.
information and application system. They          2. A s many participants will have long-             Speaking of such a winner-takes-all logic, this
may even use existing businesses such as             standing relationships with the regional           trend will dominate Asian and, to a lesser
banking or assurance to complement their             ecosystem for other purposes, trust and            extent, North-American markets. This is
cross-industry platform offering, as custom          reliability will be sufficiently high.             emphasized by the fact that China is the
authorities' interests as well as legal and tax                                                         most active country in terms of transport
aspects will be taken care of.                    3. The regional dominator platform will have         deals worldwide (Oliver Wyman, 2019; PwC,
                                                     more than two sides integrated. Given its          2018). The European market, with a different
                                                     reliable revenue streams from other ac-            freight forwarding structure, a well-
                                                     tivities, it will be able to afford to subsidize   established service culture, as well as an un-
                                                     any player wishing to join the platform.           derstanding of competition (EU Commission,
                                                                                                        2018) will be less prone to such a regional
                                                  4. Enriched by technological excellence              dominator platform in freight forwarding.
                                                     and a profound awareness of intellectual           Overall, this industry trend is expected to
                                                     property, these players will lead by having        realize most of the platform potential as
                                                     their own fleet of autonomous trucks,              depicted in Figure 3.
                                                     extending control in the supply chains,
                                                     and building critical mass.

                                                  5. Even if not forwarding-specific, the digital
                                                     talents of the platform will allow shippers
                                                     to benefit from the seamless end-to-end
                                                     user experience.

                                                                                                                                                       15
Fig. 3 – Competition between the platform derivatives in forwarding (simplified)

                                                                                               Niche Platforms

                              Shippers with specific                                            Direct interactions
                               recurrent needs and                    Shipper                                                        Carrier
                                        carriers with
                                specialised services                             Affi
                                                                                   lia                                          ns
                                                                                      tio                                   tio
                                                                                         ns                             lia
                                                                                                                     Affi
                       Digital Forwarder                                                           Platform

                               Digital
     Shipper                                             Carrier
                            Intermediary

                 Digital                     Digital
               Forwarding                  Contract of
                Contract                    carriage
                                                                                              Regional Ecosystem

                                  Carriers locked in,
                                                                                            Transport as a by-product
                                       shippers with                 Service B                                                       Service C
                             regional, limited needs

                                                                     Service A                     Service E                      Service D

16
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

Digital Forwarders                                   3. As such, the digital freight forwarders will be
In parallel to the continuing deployment of             able to coordinate even better the different
the industry's platform potential, it is antici-        parties they already synchronize manu-
pated that freight forwarding will persist be-          ally: customs, shippers, carriers, drivers,
cause an intermediary function is expected.             ground-handling agents, assurance, etc.
Incumbents who succeed in digitalizing their
business will become digital forwarders.             4. Traditional freight forwarders have
                                                        already started to “grow” their own digital
1. D
    igital forwarders incentivize shippers to          talents and apparently continue to do so
   entrust them with their goods by present-            with their dedicated digital units, inten-
   ing a selling proposition of liability, guaran-      sified R&D cooperation, and new hiring
   teed capacity, price stability, and invoice          profiles.
   consolidation. They can offer customized
   solutions to large clients and complex            5. This will increase their technological
   traffic flows with key activities managed by         maturity with their own intellectual
   humans, while activities such as capacity            property in route optimization or tracking
   brokerage, routing, and pricing will become          devices, ultimately allowing for a smooth
   digitalized. This will allow small clients with      information service to the customer. Yet,
   sporadic, simple shipments and without               their technological maturity will drag
   complex customs management to be                     behind the maturity of regional dominator
   serviced easily.                                     ecosystems as their play money required
                                                        for significant investment is probably sig-
2. These digital forwarders will be partners           nificantly lower. They will struggle to de-
   of choice. The ability to combine both               velop unique, compelling features that are
   poles of governance in their intermediary            hard to imitate (see intellectual property)
   platform is a unique asset of digital freight        and absorb technology features from an
   forwarders: On the one hand, they offer              adjacent market such as the automotive
   quality – liability and trust, while on the          industry.
   other they also offer quantity – proprietary
   hubs, domestic shipments, and a network
   of tens of thousands of carriers in multiple
   countries for executing international
   shipments

                                                                                                                                                          17
These findings show – and all experts            support from digital coaches who master
interviewed agree – that the market is about     both digital change and technology can be a
to interpret the general digitalization and      good way to start.
platformization potential for the industry.
The three up-and-coming forwarding plat-         Second, traditional freight forwarders
form derivatives will intensify competition:     should make use of their valuable resources
“New types of players will evolve, luring away   in a smart manner. They can build difficult
customers even from digital forwarders.”         to imitate resources and leverage them
Figure 3 shows that customers with recur-        into attractive new products and markets,
ring, specific needs might be tempted to use     for instance matching algorithms or fleets
niche platforms to increase profit margins.      of autonomous trucks. They might need
Shippers with an already thriving business       to ensure their advantage with unfamiliar
might build critical mass to lock in carriers,   means such through property rights; but
which enables highly competitive and even        path dependence and time is on their side
“aggressive” prices to be offered to shippers.   (given the effort needed to develop the
Hence, the overall pressure on profit mar-       same resources). Plus, for certain strate-
gins will increase further.                      gically important resources, it might even
                                                 make sense for incumbents to coevolve
Traditional freight forwarders need a smart      them with the industry, which might partially
strategy to counter this increased com-          go hand-in-hand with further consolidation
petitive pressure. In such an environment,       of the industry.
the sustainability of their competitive
advantages remains at maximum medium             Will all of this be done tomorrow? Probably
term for them. This is why the leaders of the    not. But we expect the forwarding universe
incumbents should consider the following         to further evolve and hope that this report
two main aspects.                                provides useful insights to the leaders of
                                                 incumbents as they seek to address digital
First, digitize: Increase process efficiency     threats and opportunities. To flourish,
with the help of digital technologies such       freight forwarders should trust in one of
as RPA. This aspect might pertain to             their oldest skills: seeing the way ahead.
cross-cutting functions such as controlling
or procurement to core functions such as
state-of-the-art transport management
systems. The major challenge related here is
about overcoming organizational resistance.
Dedicated change agents and / or unbiased

18
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

                                                            19
Endnotes
Aircargonews (2019): Breaking news:             Barclays (2013): A summary of talking about      Focused Cargo Network (2016): Global
Panalpina and DSV set to merge in $4.6bn        my generation: exploring the benefits of         Freight Forwarding. Overview of the global
deal, https://www.aircargonews.net/             engagement culture, http://www.mas.org.          forwarding sector and its impact on glo-
freight-forwarder/breaking-news-panalpina-      uk/uploads/artlib/talking-about-my-gen-          balization. http://focusedcargonetwork.
and-dsv-set-to-merge/, 3.6.2019.                eration-exploring-the-benefits-engage-           com/download/Focused-Whitepaper-Glob-
                                                ment-challenge.pdf, 28.4.2019.                   al-Freight-Forwarding.pdf, 28.4.2019.
BCG (2018): The Digital Imperative in Freight
Forwarding, https://www.bcg.com/publica-        Bingham, Christopher, Eisenhardt,                Gassmann, Oliver & Sutter, Philipp
tions/2018/digital-imperative-freight-for-      Kathleen, Furr, Nathan (2011): Which             (2016): Digitale Transformation im Unterneh-
warding.aspx, 5.8.2019.                         strategy when. MIT Sloan Management              men gestalten. Carl Hanser Verlag, Munich.
                                                Review 53.1: 71–77.
BIFA (2018): Global freight forwarding                                                           Gawer, Annabelle & Cusumano, Michael
growth only half as strong as last year,        Brennen, Scott & Kreiss, Daniela                 (2007). A strategy toolkit for platform leader
https://www.bifa.org/news/articles/2018/        (2016): Digitalization. The International        wannabes. At DRUID summer conference
nov/global-freight-forwarding-growth-only-      Encyclopedia of Communication Theory and         (pp. 1–33).
half-as-strong-as-last-year, 5.8.2019.          Philosophy.
                                                                                                 Gawer, Annabelle & Cusumano, Michael
Armstrong & Associates (2018a): A&A's           Deloitte, 2917: The Future of Freight,           (2014): Industry platforms and ecosystem
Top 25 Global Freight Forwarders List,          https://www2.deloitte.com/insights/us/           innovation, Journal of Product Innovation
Ranked by 2017 Logistics Gross Revenue/         en/focus/future-of-mobility/future-of-           Management, 31(3), pp. 417–433.
Turnover and Freight Forwarding Volumes,        freight-simplifying-last-mile-logistics.html,
https://www.3plogistics.com/3pl-mar-            21.6.2019.                                       Hagiu, Andrei, & Wright, Julian (2015):
ket-info-resources/3pl-market-information/                                                       Multi-sided platforms. International Journal
aas-top-25-global-freight-forwarders-list/,     DSLV Bundesverband Spedition und                 of Industrial Organization, 43, p. 162–174.
26.4.2019.                                      Logistik (2019): Innovationsradar. Digitalisi-
                                                erung der Logistik.                              Hofmann, Erik & Osterwalder, Florin
Armstrong & Associates (2018b):                                                                  (2017): Third-Party Logistics Providers in
Global 3PL Market Size Estimates, https://      EU Commission (2018): online platforms:          the Digital Age: Towards a New Competitive
www.3plogistics.com/3pl-market-info-re-         Commission sets new standards on trans-          Arena? Logistics, 1(2), pp. 1–28.
sources/3pl-market-information/glob-            parency and fairness, https://ec.europa.
al-3pl-market-size-estimates/, 22.7.2019.       eu/growth/content/online-platforms-com-          Kelder, Märt (2017): End of road for truck-
                                                mission-sets-new-standards-transparen-           ing startup Palleter, https://medium.com/@
                                                cy-and-fairness_en, 28.4.2019.                   MartKelder/end-of-road-for-trucking-start-
                                                                                                 up-palleter-523a4a906fe9, 28.4.2019.

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Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

KPMG (2016): KPMG Transport Tracker,          Oliver Wyman (2016): How startups digi-           Transport Intelligence (2017): The
https://home.kpmg/xx/en/home/in-              talize logistics, https://www.oliverwyman.de/     Global Freight Forwarding Survey 2017,
sights/2018/06/kpmg-transport-tracker.        our-expertise/insights/2017/sep/oliver-wy-        https://www.ti-insight.com/wp-content/
html, 28.4.2019.                              man-transport-and-logistics-2017/innova-          uploads/2017/11/The-Global-Freight-For-
                                              tions/how-startups-digitalize-logistics.html,     warding-Survey-2017.pdf?utm_medium=e-
Market Watch (2018): Global Freight           28.4.2019.                                        mail&utm_campaign=GSCi%20update%20
Forwarding Market Report 2018: Analysis                                                         10&utm_content=GSCi%20update%20
& Forecast through 2017-2022, https://        Oliver Wyman (2019): Asiens Großangriff           10+CID_a9cc4858d25876febf4ab24f19ce-
www.marketwatch.com/press-release/            auf Europas Logistiker, https://www.              b869&utm_source=Campaign%20Moni-
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port-2018-analysis-forecast-throu             logistik-start-ups-analyse.html, 25.7.2019.       dium=email&utm_campaign=GSCi%20
gh-2017-2022-2018-07-31, 3.6.2019.                                                              update%2013&utm_content=GSCi%20up-
                                              PwC (2018): M&A in the Transport &                date%2013+CID_f8a2ee07a3aa636c0ed43e-
McKinsey (2017): Container Shipping. The      Logistics Industry, https://www.pwc.de/de/        4ba1675e3c&utm_source=Campaign%20
next 50 years, https://www.safety4sea.        transport-und-logistik/pwc-m-and-a-report-        Monitor&utm_term=The%20global%20
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insey-Container-shipping-The-next-50-                                                           3.6.2019.
years-2017_10.pdf, 28.4.2019.                 Schallmo, Daniel & Williams, Christo-
                                              pher (2018): Digital Transformation Now!          Weill, Peter & Woerner, Stephanie (2013):
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Winning in a world of ecosystems, https://    Business Model, Springer.                         Sloan Management Review, 54(3).
www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey/
industries/financial%20services/our%20        Schramm, Hans-Joachim (2012): Freight
insights/winning%20in%20a%20world%20          Forwarder's Intermediary Role in Multi-
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Ojala, Lauri & Jämsä, Pia (2006): Third       Statista (2016): Global Industry Forecasts,
Party Logistics – Finish and Swedish Expe-    https://cdn.statcdn.com/static/promo/
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warding.pdf, 28.4.2019.

                                                                                                                                               21
Authors
Tillman Hentschel                                   Dorothea Haas                                  Marton Farkas
Deloitte Consulting Germany                         Deloitte Consulting Germany                    Deloitte Consulting Germany
Transportation, Hospitality and Services            Transportation, Hospitality and Services       Transportation, Hospitality and Services
thentschel@deloitte.de                              dhaas@deloitte.de                              mfarkas@deloitte.de

Kai Krotki                                          Nargiza Umetova                                Christoph Semmelmann
Deloitte Consulting Germany                         Deloitte Consulting Germany                    Deloitte Consulting Germany
Transportation, Hospitality and Services            Transportation, Hospitality and Services       Transportation, Hospitality and Services
kkrotki@deloitte.de                                 numetova@deloitte.de                           csemmelmann@deloitte.de

The German transportation team consists             Through our close collaboration within and
of more than 20 dedicated industry experts          beyond service lines we act as door-openers
with focus clients in the fields of Postal, Avia-   and ensure the highest degree of quality for
tion, Railway and Logistic Providers.               our clients.

Our deep industry experience and digital ex-        We are therefore able to consult our clients
cellence enable us to create tailor-made cus-       along the whole value chain – from the
tomer solutions for key industry trends and         concept creation to the hands-on imple-
topics such as robotics process automation,         mentation.
transport management system support and
digital procurement solutions.

22
Digitalization in Freight Forwarding | Beyond the Platform Hype

                                                            23
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