Digest of Tourism Statistics - Updated December 2013 - Liverpool LEP
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Digest of Tourism Statistics Updated December 2013 Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP £10 December 2013 FREE to Members Page 1
Contents Introduction 3 The Key Facts 4 1 Overall Size of the Visitor Economy (STEAM) 5 1.1 Number of visitors (volume) 5 1.2 Total spend by visitors (value) 6 1.3 Jobs supported by the visitor economy 7 1.4 Change over time 9 1.5 STEAM Methodology 10 2 Local data from the Visitor Economy 11 2.1 Hotel occupancy 11 2.2 Hotel stock 14 2.3 Visits to attractions 15 2.4 Sport 16 2.5 Events 17 2.6 Transport data 18 3 Visitor profile data 23 3.1 Visitor Origin 23 3.2 Mode of transport 27 3.3 Purpose of visit 28 3.4 Demographics 29 3.5 Group type 31 4 National data 32 4.1 Occupancy trends 32 4.2 Visits to attractions trends 33 4.3 Domestic visitors (GBTS) 34 4.4 Inbound visitors (IPS) 36 5 Forecasts 38 5.1 Trends from the Liverpool City Region 3-year Action Plan 38 6 Articles 39 6.1 Business Performance 39 6.2 Tourism Business Confidence - Nationally 44 6.3 News 46 Appendices 48 Further reference sources 48 SIC codes defining the visitor economy 49 Crude guide to statistical confidence levels 50 Details of available publications 51 Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 2 FREE to Members
Introduction Welcome to the latest edition of the Digest of Tourism Statistics. The Digest collates a range of key tourism research sets for the Liverpool City Region and is intended for all users of tourism data; whether businesses, consultants or students. Each edition sees a presentation of key tourism statistics – which may change only once during a year – together with the latest data and any recent research that the tourist board has commissioned or sponsored. There are also links for further information. 1 This Digest presents STEAM data for 2012 – that is, the estimated visitor numbers recorded by the city and wider city region. These figures show that in 2012 the number of staying visitors, both for Liverpool and the City Region, has over taken the record levels achieved in 2008, Liverpool‟s European Capital of Culture year. Previous year‟s statistics have been updated using 2012 values. We welcome feedback on this document; if you feel there is some aspect of research it should cover, please do let us know on research@liverpoolLEP.org. The Liverpool City Region We describe the geography covered by the tourist board as being the “Liverpool City Region” (not to be confused with the Liverpool Local Authority area or the City Centre). Although there are a number of definitions, for our purposes this covers the six districts comprising „Merseyside and Halton‟; the same area as covered by the Liverpool City Region Local Enterprise Partnership: 1 Scarborough Tourism Economic Activity Monitor, the primary method used by the Liverpool LEP and many tourist boards in the UK to measure the value and volume of tourism. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 3
Size of the Visitor Economy Key Facts about the visitor economy in the Liverpool City Region 1. In 2012 there were 57m visitors to the Liverpool City Region. 2. In 2012 the visitor economy was worth £3.4bn to the Liverpool City Region. 3. In 2012 approximately 45,900 jobs were supported by visitor spend. 4. Liverpool is in the top 10 of all UK towns or cities visited by overseas visitors th (and is now placed 5 ). 5. Five attractions drew in over half a million visitors in 2012; the Museum of Liverpool, Tate Liverpool, Merseyside Maritime Museum, Mersey Ferries and World Museum Liverpool, 6. Average hotel room occupancy in 2013 was 71%, an increase of 2% since 2012. 7. Over 1.3 m hotel rooms were sold in Liverpool City Centre in 2013. 8. 4,461,443 passengers passed through Liverpool John Lennon Airport in 2012. 9. Some 600,000 passengers arrived or departed the City Region on one of the three ferry routes in 2012. 10. Liverpool One, the retail and leisure development in the City Centre, recorded a footfall of over 26m people in 2013 – this is 5% up on 2012. North West Research The Digest is produced by the research team at The Liverpool City Region Local Enterprise Partnership, who collate a wide range of tourism statistics for the Liverpool City Region. Surveys include Destination Benchmarking, the Airport Gateway study and a quarterly Tourism Business Performance survey. Under the banner of the North West Research (formerly England’s North West Research Service), the team conducts commercial research in a range of different sectors across the North west, with a particular specialism in the tourism industry and event impact evaluation. Amongst the research packages we can offer are: Customer profiling and segmentation Customer satisfaction studies Economic impact studies Gap analysis Marketing / branding evaluation and assessment Performance monitoring For more information, contact anna.biagetti@liverpoollep.org. . Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 4
Size of the Visitor Economy 1 Overall size of the visitor economy (STEAM) 1.1 Number of visitors (Volume) In total there were an estimated 57m visitors to the Liverpool City Region in 2012; this includes 52m day visitors and 5m staying visitors. For the city of Liverpool itself, this equated to a total of 32m visitors (30m day visitors and 2m staying visitors). Liverpool City Thousands of visitors 2012 Liverpool Region Serviced Accommodation 1,219.9 2,179.8 Non-Serviced Accommodation 130.7 229.4 Staying with Friends and Relatives 753.9 2,223.0 Day Visitors 30,138.9 52,128.0 TOTAL 32,243.4 56,760.2 Source: STEAM Day Visitors (000s) Staying Visitors (000s) Liverpool 8,526.8 1,045.8 Sefton 6,191.8 2,104.5 Wirral 30,138.9 792.5 7,270.5 Halton, Knowsley , St.Helens 689.4 Statistical Note: Although in the charts above we provide data for each district, a certain amount of caution should be exercised. STEAM is very much an input-based model (see section 1.5), and whilst a good range of inputs are available for the whole city region and Liverpool itself, this is less the case at district level. Hence, although figures for the whole area and Liverpool are statistically robust, the exact split of visitor numbers and impact amongst the other five districts has a lower level of statistical reliability. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 5
Size of the Visitor Economy 1.2 Total spend by visitors (Value) Total spend by visitors is shown in the table below. Note that this covers both the direct spend by visitors and the indirect spend resulting (for example, spend within the local economy by businesses using local goods and services). In 2012 the visitor economy was estimated as being worth £3.4bn to the Liverpool City Region - £991m of this coming from staying visitors. The visitor economy was worth £2.3bn to Liverpool itself. Liverpool City Economic impact of visitors 2012 (£m) Liverpool Region Serviced Accommodation £375.5 £595.3 Non-Serviced Accommodation £119.5 £163.9 Staying with Friends and Relatives 103.9 £232.5 Day Visitors £1,652.4 £2,421.2 TOTAL £2,251.4 £3,412.9 Source: STEAM Economic Impact (£m) £416.5 Liverpool £313.4 Sefton Wirral £431.7 £2,251.4 Halton, Knowsley, St.Helens The sectors where spend occurs are detailed below. Liverpool City Economic impact of visitors 2012 (£m) Liverpool Region Accommodation £111.0 £190.5 Food and drink £462.3 £640.4 Recreation £145.9 £193.5 Shopping £488.5 £812.4 Transport £196.2 £267.5 Total Direct Revenue £1,403.8 £2,104.3 Indirect Expenditure £566.9 £887.7 VAT £280.8 £420.9 TOTAL £2,251.4 £3,412.9 Source: STEAM Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 6
Size of the Visitor Economy 1.3 Jobs supported by the visitor economy In terms of jobs in the visitor economy, there are two broad approaches to estimating this. The first is to estimate the jobs supported by visitor spend (as adopted by the STEAM model). The 2 second is to decide which SIC codes are applicable to tourism and use survey data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) to determine „actual‟ jobs. Neither method is an exact estimate, as using STEAM is clearly not counting direct jobs, whilst using ONS data does not count the jobs that may be supported by spend made with sectors outside the SIC codes – nor does this approach allow for the calculation of indirect jobs being supported. a) Using STEAM data. This estimates that there were 45,890 jobs supported by tourism expenditure throughout the Liverpool City Region – 35,300 of these were direct jobs. In Liverpool there were 29,833 jobs supported by tourism spend. Liverpool City Jobs supported by visitor spend (FTE) 2012 Liverpool Region Accommodation 1,390 3,204 Food and drink 8,547 11,839 Recreation 3,272 4,342 Shopping 8,233 13,693 Transport 1,620 2,209 Total Direct Revenue 23,062 35,287 Indirect Expenditure 6,771 10,603 TOTAL 29,833 45,890 Source: STEAM Direct Jobs Total Jobs (Incl. indirect) 4,489 5,716 Liverpool 3,497 4,424 Sefton 4,239 23,062 Wirral 5,917 29,833 Halton, Knowsley , St.Helens Source: STEAM 2 Standard Industrial Classification – the list of codes used by ONS to allocate all industries into specific sectors, last revised in 2007. Typically, many economic activity sectors – such as „tourism‟ do not fit neatly into the codes used by ONS, but are instead assumed to involve a range of sectors and sub-sectors. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 7
Size of the Visitor Economy b) Using data from ONS A selection of SIC codes have been chosen as providing the closest fit possible in terms of the visitor economy sector and these are listed in the appendix. This suggests that there were 45,075 direct jobs in visitor economy-related SIC codes. As indicated above though, this is likely to undervalue the jobs connected to the visitor economy; an easy example to illustrate the point is that this data does not cover jobs in the retail sector, when STEAM suggest that over a third of visitor spend was made on „shopping‟, thus supporting jobs in this sector. 3 4 All Employment All Employment Jobs in the visitor economy, Liverpool City Region 2011 2012 Accommodation 6,687 5,422 Food and drink 30,177 31,873 Transport & travel 1,963 3,205 Culture, attractions, entertainment, other 4,745 4,575 TOTAL 43,572 45,075 Source: Business Register & Employment Survey 2012, ONS. 3 “All employment” includes both employees and self employed such as sole traders. 4 “All employment” includes both employees and self employed such as sole traders. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 8
Size of the Visitor Economy 1.4 Change over time Although the headline figures produced by STEAM are useful, it is perhaps even more helpful in illustrating growth or decline in the visitor economy. In the series of charts below, data is tracked 5 back to 2005 . Numbers of day visitors Numbers of staying visitors 60,000 5,000 4,500 50,000 4,000 3,500 40,000 3,000 (000s) (000s) 30,000 2,500 2,000 20,000 1,500 50,088 1,000 22,124 44,193 22,476 45,167 23,280 46,098 31,707 55,429 25,890 48,209 28,112 28,511 50,506 30,138 52,128 10,000 1,628 4,108 1,491 3,954 4,188 1,703 4,296 1,913 4,453 1,735 1,958 4,419 1,984 4,482 2,104 4,632 500 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Liverpool Liverpool City Region Liverpool Liverpool City Region Source: STEAM Both day and staying visitor numbers show an increase from last year; day visitors are at their highest ever level excluding Capital of Culture year, whilst staying visits across the whole city region reached a new record level. In terms of the economic impact of the sector, 2012 figures overtook the record set in the 2008 Capital of Culture year. Economic impact - Whole City Region Economic impact - Liverpool £4,000m £2,500m £3,500m £2,000m £3,000m £1,652.0m £2,421.0m £2,479.0m £1,673.0m £2,500m £1,504.0m £1,483.0m £2,245.0m £2,225.0m £1,500m £2,119.0m £2,097.0m £1,366.0m £2,063.0m £1,991.0m £1,250.0m £1,207.0m 2005 £386.0m £1,169.0m £2,000m £1,000m £1,500m £1,000m £599.0m £500m 2010 £538.0m 2011 £533.0m £992.0m 2009 £492.0m 2008 £490.0m £906.0m 2007 £434.0m £898.0m £892.0m 2007 £863.0m 2006 £406.0m 2009 £859.0m 2006 £826.0m 2005 £790.0m £500m £m £m 2012 2008 2010 2011 2012 Staying visitors Day visitors Staying visitors Day visitors Source: STEAM 5 Note: where economic data is traced back to 2005, all figures shown are “at 2012 values”. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 9
Size of the Visitor Economy 1.5 STEAM Methodology 6 To estimate the volume and value of tourism, the Liverpool City Region uses the STEAM model – this model is widely (though not universally) used across the UK, including other tourist boards in North West England. STEAM is owned and operated by Global Tourism Solutions (UK) Ltd. 7 STEAM relies on local-level data to drive the estimates, principally : o Accommodation stock o Local occupancy surveys o Visits to attractions / events o Visits to Tourist Information Centres o Hotel Occupancy in the City Region A key component of the way in which STEAM works is its definition of „day visitors‟; this is defined as a person travelling to a district other than that in which they live, for a non-routine purpose, with a stay of over 3 hours. Thus, someone making a trip to Southport Pier from Liverpool could be classed as a day visitor, but not someone making a similar trip who lived in Formby. The important note to make here is that the number of the day visits recorded by STEAM for the Liverpool City Region will contain a certain amount of intra-city region tourism. Local data for the preceding year is gathered by the research team in January-March each year. This data is passed to Global Tourism Solutions, with reports typically available by mid-year. Currently the most recently available data is that for 2012. Note: GTS-UK has utilised research conducted on behalf of the Northwest Regional Development Agency (NWDA) in 2007/2009 to update the initial baseline estimates which the model has used – much of this information having not previously been available. This change has resulted in significant alterations to data and this affects not just the Liverpool City Region but also the whole of the Northwest. Therefore, the figures used within this Digest replace completely any STEAM figures from 2009 or before. For more guidance on this change (if required), please contact the research team: research@liverpoolLEP.org. 6 Scarborough Tourism Economic Activity Monitor – so-called because Scarborough was the first UK location where the model was applied. 7 Notice that STEAM uses a further range of inputs, although the components which have the biggest influence on the model are listed here. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 10
Local Data 2 Local data from the Visitor Economy 2.1 Hotel occupancy 8 Hotel occupancy data is drawn from the STR Global® . it includes a number of establishments based in the districts. Room occupancy, Liverpool City Region 2012 2013 Weekday average (Mo-Th) 68.9% 69.9% Weekend average (Fr-Sa) 84.9% 83.6% Sunday 51.9% 53.6% Total average 68.8% 71.2% SOURCE: STR GLOBAL, LTD. REPUBLICATION OR OTHER RE-USE OF THIS DATA WITHOUT THE EXPRESS WRITTEN PERMISSION OF STR GLOBAL IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED In 2013 room occupancy in the city region averaged 71%, an increase of 2% since 2012. Below, the latest occupancy data is compared with earlier years. 90% Occupancy monthly tends 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 55.8% 73.5% 55.6% 52.1% 67.9% 63.8% 70.0% 66.8% 67.1% 69.5% 74.8% 70.9% 69.1% 68.3% 70.1% 74.8% 72.3% 72.8% 75.1% 77.5% 72.4% 75.6% 74.2% 71.9% 76.6% 76.7% 74.4% 74.6% 76.5% 75.0% 79.1% 74.0% 74.5% 62.7% 57.6% 62.9% 10% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2011 2012 2013 SOURCE: STR GLOBAL, LTD. REPUBLICATION OR OTHER RE-USE OF THIS DATA WITHOUT THE EXPRESS WRITTEN PERMISSION OF STR GLOBAL IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED 8 STR Global is a tool run by Smith Travel Research Global that allows hotel and tourism managers to see an up-to- date picture of room occupancy and availability in their city. Please note change over from LJ forecaster to STR Global occurred in April 2013 Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 11
Local Data Most establishments also complete a section of the STR Global dealing with revenue analysis. This gives the Average Daily Rate (ADR) and Revenue Per Available Rooms (RevPAR) – the latter tending to be the preferred measure in terms of economic performance. Room revenue, Liverpool City Region 2012 2013 ADR weekday average (Mo-Th) £52.54 £53.02 ADR weekend average (Fr-Sa) £66.56 £66.17 ADR average £56.66 £57.09 REVPAR weekday average (Mo-Th) £36.24 £35.29 REVPAR weekend average (Fr-Sa) £57.17 £55.09 REVPAR average £39.09 £41.00 SOURCE: STR GLOBAL, LTD. REPUBLICATION OR OTHER RE-USE OF THIS DATA WITHOUT THE EXPRESS WRITTEN PERMISSION OF STR GLOBAL IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED The average room yield (RevPAR) in the city region in 2013 was £41.00, a slight increase since 2012. £60 Room yield monthly tends £50 £40 £30 £20 £38.09 £42.90 £29.78 £28.91 £35.27 £38.06 £38.89 £47.91 £44.37 £38.11 £39.50 £38.67 £41.18 £40.54 £38.94 £39.18 £39.27 £47.66 £43.71 £44.44 £43.43 £48.10 £42.57 £44.05 £44.90 £34.12 £31.60 £35.40 £26.14 £38.08 £39.82 £46.80 £42.60 £43.60 £40.90 £42.70 £10 £0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2011 2012 2013 SOURCE: STR GLOBAL, LTD. REPUBLICATION OR OTHER RE-USE OF THIS DATA WITHOUT THE EXPRESS WRITTEN PERMISSION OF STR GLOBAL IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED All hotel performance – both in terms of occupancy levels and yield – needs to be viewed in the light of the hotel room stock in the city (see section 2.2). Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 12
Local Data In the table below, known city centre hotel stock is overlaid by the occupancy levels shown in the STR Global to produce an estimate of the actual number of hotel rooms that have been sold: Liverpool 9 Hotel rooms sold City Centre 2004 720,000 2005 705,000 2006 694,000 2007 725,000 2008 910,000 2009 897,000 2010 1,046,000 2012 1,244,000 2013 1,326,936 Source: Tourist board room stock data This indicates a growth in the numbers of visitors staying in hotels in the city and in 2013 1 million 327 thousand rooms were sold in the city centre. This is higher than in any previous year (including Capital of Culture year) and shows Liverpool‟s ongoing growth as a destination. Importantly, besides the attractiveness of the destination, this is also a product of increasing stock levels; below we see the monthly results, with each month indicating record numbers of rooms being sold on the year before. City Centre rooms sold 114,000.00 101,460.12 102,530.08 104,065.24 105,321.28 110,205.88 108,484.64 111,000.00 118,000.00 81,964.87 92,295.68 94,000.00 100,000 108,000 114,000 120,000 117,000 107,000 120,000 100,000 120,000 115,000 105,000 124,000 101,000 115,000 103,000 72,000 75,000 81,000 95,000 86,000 98,000 91,000 91,000 92,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2011 2012 2013 Source: STR Global / Tourist board room stock data 9 Figures rounded to the nearest 000. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 13
Local Data 2.2 Hotel stock Hotel room stock is (as seen in 2.1) an important component behind performance; in the charts below we show growth both in the room stock and the number of establishments. Note that in order to simplify this visually, we present the data split between Liverpool City Centre and elsewhere in the city region (including the Liverpool suburbs). Hotel room stock Hotel establishments 6,000 200 180 5,000 160 4,000 140 120 3,000 100 80 2,000 60 3,420 3,608 3,920 4,056 4,218 4,292 4,524 4,517 4,867 4,547 1,000 40 122 126 130 134 176 30 34 37 39 41 20 0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region Source: Tourist board room stock data Figures for the City Centre include the most recent openings: o The 141 room Travelodge on The Strand (opened February 2012) o The 183 room Premier Inn on Hanover Street (October 2012) o The 19 room Podworks on Henry Street (September 2012) 2013 data will include: o The 125 room Travelodge on Exchange St East (opened March 2013) o The 122 room Ibis Styles on Dale Street (opened October 2013) o The 129 room Adagio at Lewis‟ Building (opened April 2013) o The 51 room The Richmond, Hatton Garden (opened April 2013) o The 12 room (sleeps111) Signature Hotel (opened April 2013) o The 35 room Hoax Liverpool, Stanley Street (opened July 2013) o The 92 room Z Hotel (opened May 2013) o The 14 room Epic aparthotel (sleeps 50+) and outside the city centre: o The 25 room Lorne Hotel, Wirral o The 101 room Travelodge, Southport Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 14
Local Data 2.3 Visits to Attractions In the table below, we show the top attractions in the Liverpool City Region in 2012; this shows the diverse range of attractions, both free and paid, that the city region offers. It should be noted that this excludes some major attractions in the area where it is not possible to obtain accurate counts, such as the Albert Dock, Wirral Coastal Park and Another Place. Note that we can only show those attractions who respond to our annual attractions survey and who permit us to show their data. We specifically note here that the new Museum of Liverpool opened in July 2011 on the waterfront; a major new attraction for the city. In the 20 months since its July opening, the venue has seen over 1.5m visitors. Top “free” attractions Attendance Attraction Type District 2012 1 Museum of Liverpool Museum / gallery Liverpool 1,011,058 2 Merseyside Maritime Museum Museum / gallery Liverpool 845,709 3 World Museum Liverpool Museum / gallery Liverpool 716,579 4 Tate Liverpool Museum / gallery Liverpool 620,124 5 Bluecoat Museum / gallery Liverpool 615,824& 6 Liverpool Cathedral Place of worship Liverpool 471,044 7 International Slavery Museum Museum / gallery Liverpool 444,070 8 FACT Museum / gallery Liverpool 360,361* 9 Walker Art Gallery Museum / gallery Liverpool 337,799 10 Southport Pier Other Sefton 317,007* 11 Liverpool Metropolitan Cathedral Place of worship Liverpool 313,744 12 National Trust, Formby Nature / wildlife / zoo Sefton 267,375& 13 Lady Lever Art Gallery Museum / gallery Wirral 200,759 14 Tam O‟Shanter Urban Farm Farms Wirral 108,000* 15 Sudley House Historic Property Liverpool 65,053 Source: Tourist board annual Visitor Attractions Survey Top “paid” attractions Attendance Attraction Type District 2012 Liverpool 1 Mersey Ferries Other 637,312 &Wirral 2 Echo Arena Liverpool Entertainment Liverpool 574,748& 3 Knowsley Safari Park Nature / wildlife / zoo Knowsley 530,691@ 4 Liverpool Philharmonic Entertainment Liverpool 262,382 5 Beatles Story Museum / gallery Liverpool 241,188 6 Liverpool Football Club Museum & Tour Museum / gallery Liverpool 143,122# 7 New Palace Family Amusement Centre Leisure / theme parks Wirral 140,000# 8 Croxteth Hall & Country Park Historic Property Liverpool 117,361@ 9 Yellow Duckmarine Tour Liverpool 107,271& 10 Ness Botanic Gardens Gardens Wirral 101,701* 11 Speke Hall, Gardens & Estate Historic Property Liverpool 105,771& 12 Port Sunlight Museum Museum / gallery Wirral 35,178& 13 Beatles Magical Mystery Tour Tour Liverpool 33,757* 14 World of Glass Visitor Centre St.Helens 33,191 15 Norton Priory Historic Property Halton 29,673* Source: Tourist board annual Visitor Attractions Survey & 2012 figures * 2010 figures @ 2009 figures # 2008 figures Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 15
Local Data 2.4 Sport As well as visitor attractions, „sport‟ is a key driver behind visits to the city region; the following 10 are the attendance figures recorded at key venues for the most recent sporting year . Venue District Attendance 1 Liverpool FC Liverpool 850,184 2 Everton FC Liverpool 747,576 3 St.Helens Saints RLFC St.Helens 228,810 4 Aintree Racecourse Liverpool 177,506 5 Haydock Park Racecourse St.Helens 170,183 6 Tranmere Rovers FC Wirral 127,765 7 Widnes Vikings RLFC Halton 76,832 Source: Media / publicity 10 For racecourses this is a calendar year; for others this relates to the 2012/13 sport season. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 16
Local Data 2.5 Events In addition to the list of top attractions we also record the top 10 free and paid events. Where local authorities or event organisers have published a figure we use this; other than that, use is made of figures quoted in the press. A higher degree of reliability is associated with visitor numbers at paid events, as the ticketed data provides a robust measure. Again, as with attractions, we can only show those events where organisers respond to our request for figures and permit us to publish their data. Top “free” events 2012 Event District Attendance 11 1 Mathew Street Liverpool 160,000 2 Brazilica Liverpool 80,000 3 Liverpool Pride Liverpool 52,000 4 Hope Street Festival Liverpool 30,000 5 Southport Food & Drink Sefton 24,000 6 Festival of Transport Wirral 35,000 7 Hoylake RNLI Open Day Wirral 20,000 8 Wirral Kite Festival Wirral 18,500 9 Wirral Egg run Wirral 12,000 10 Halloween Lantern Carnival Sefton 10,000 Source: Media / publicity Top “paid” events 2012 Event District Attendance 1 Grand National Liverpool 150,000 2 Southport Air Show Sefton 150,000 3 Southport Flower Show Sefton 70,000 4 Creamfields Halton 60,000 5 Liverpool Food and Drink Festival Liverpool 36,000 6 Wirral Food and Drink Festival Wirral 20,000 7 Liverpool International Tennis Tournament Liverpool 20,000 12 8 RunLiverpool Marathon Liverpool / Wirral 10,000 9 NW Masters – Haydock St Helens 10,000 10 Port Sunlight Christmas Fayre Wirral 6,000 Source: Media / publicity 11 Saturday figure only, due to event being cancelled because of bad weather 12 Figure covers >10,000 runners Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 17
Local Data 2.6 Transport data a) Passenger levels LJLA A range of airlines provide routes out of Liverpool John Lennon Airport (LJLA) including the scheduled operators EasyJet, FlyBE, Ryanair and Wizz Air. LJLA passenger numbers Passenger levels 300 Change (indexed to 2000) 6,000,000 250 5,000,000 5,517,667 5,402,982 200 5,247,109 5,008,455 4,971,361 4,000,000 4,942,981 150 4,461,443 4,416,751 3,000,000 100 50 2,000,000 0 1,000,000 2007 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ALL UK airports LJLA Source: CAA Airport Statistics During 2012 just under 5m passengers travelled through LJLA; this is a slight downturn on figures recorded during the previous 2 years. However, there are a number of considerations to be taken into account here: 13 14 The above data represents both inbound and outbound travellers; there being no contiguous source disaggregating changing tourism levels from (potentially lower) domestic outbound travellers. 13 “Inbound” = Overseas visitors to the UK. 14 “Outbound” = UK nationals travelling overseas. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 18
Local Data Monthly Terminal Pax, LJLA 241,000 520,000 485,000 321,000 309,000 295,000 363,000 342,000 311,000 255,000 421,000 393,000 352,000 258,000 363,000 486,000 390,000 314,000 415,000 485,000 389,000 359,000 465,000 486,000 416,000 387,000 551,000 454,000 428,000 556,000 575,000 469,000 488,000 512,000 433,000 402,000 481,000 488,000 407,000 394,000 313,000 302,000 267,000 301,000 317,000 266,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: CAA Airport Statistics The change on a monthly basis can be seen above; whilst below we show in the year to date the number of passengers by route of destination/origin. Again do bear in mind that this covers both inbound and outbound travellers, and is not necessarily an indication of the strength of different visitor markets. Passengers - International Route analysis Spain 1,100,893 Eire 460,084 Poland 378,921 France 336,929 Netherlands 246,467 Portugal 238,979 Canary Islands 199,819 Switzerland 134,763 Germany 92,150 Italy 69,471 Belgium 44,703 Norway 53,138 Slovak Republic 47,636 Greece 44,633 Lithuania 50,355 Gibraltar 35,113 Latvia 36,086 Malta 26,174 Estonia 23,080 Turkey 20,472 Austria 11,583 Sweden 8,122 Source: CAA Airport Statistics Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 19
Local Data b) Irish Sea Ferry passengers Until recently, four passenger routes were operated from the Liverpool City Region: Liverpool – Isle of Man (Steam Packet) Liverpool – Dublin (P&O) Birkenhead – Dublin (Norfolkline DFDS) Birkenhead – Belfast (Norfolkline DFDS Stena) In 2010, DFDS acquired Norfolkline; unfortunately, despite strong market potential DFDS disposed of the Irish Sea part of the Norfolkline group within a year – this decision may particularly have been influenced by the condition of the Irish economy. The Belfast link was sold to Stena and the Dublin link closed as at January 2012. Stena have since undertaken significant refurbishment of the ships on their „new‟ Belfast link, with strong marketing promotion. Liverpool Sea Passengers 350 300 250 2006 2007 (000s Pax) 200 2008 150 2009 2010 100 2011 121.3 161.7 173.3 172.1 171.0 189.5 117.5 171.0 187.2 189.9 187.1 221.2 245.5 206.6 265.0 290.0 278.8 276.0 278.4 259.3 270.3 50 2012 0 Liverpool - Dublin Liverpool - Belfast Liverpool - Douglas (Birkenhead) Source: Sea Passenger Statistics, DfT In 2012, some 600,000 passengers travelled to and from Liverpool by one of the three ferry routes. 2010 saw a significantly higher level of traffic on all routes, partially benefitting from the disruption to aviation caused by the eruption of Eyjafjellajokull; however a quarterly analysis of route data indicates a level of modal shift, with growth in ferry passengers across the whole year. The much smaller passenger capacity now offered to Dublin is evident, despite P&O introducing a third vessel onto their route (weekly passenger capacity is now c5,700, compared to c10,900 in 2010). An expansion / reopening or an improved offer is here unlikely until both UK and Irish economies improve. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 20
Local Data c) Cruise Ship Passengers Since Liverpool‟s Cruise Terminal was inaugurated in September 2007, allowing vessels to berth alongside the waterfront (rather than mid-river or in the North Docks), the cruise market has shown significant growth. In 2012 those which are on a cruise originating or terminating in Liverpool were permitted to this facility for the first time, having previously been located in the Langton Dock; temporary terminal check-in and baggage facilities have been constructed on adjoining land. The charts below show both cruise ship calls and originating/terminating cruises; both in terms of 15 passenger numbers and vessel trips. Cruise Passengers Vessel trips 45,000 40 40,000 35 35,000 30 30,000 25 25,000 20 20,000 15 15,000 10,000 10 41,677 24,384 26,422 26,470 23,644 10,990 10,160 9,680 8,400 9,600 5,000 5 15 17 15 15 34 25 12 10 12 11 0 0 Cruise calls Originating / Cruise calls Originating / terminating cruises terminating cruises 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Port / operator publicity In 2013 it was estimated that there would be potentially 41,677 passengers on cruise ships visiting the city and an estimated 9,680 on cruise ships departing the city. The estimated number of passengers on „cruise calls‟ at the terminal in 2013 is significantly higher on last year, though broadly comparable. 2013 saw a significant increase in cruises/pax originating or terminating in the city. Partially this is due to the ability to now use the Liverpool Cruise Terminal (operators had expressed dissatisfaction with the location, facilities and the need to „lock in and out‟ at the Langton Dock terminal, especially in comparison with the Liverpool Cruise Terminal). 15 Passengers shown is for the “potential pax”, i.e., if each ship were operating at capacity, (based on the listed passenger capacity on the operators‟ websites) and hence may not fully reflect actual passenger numbers. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 21
Local Data d) Rail Passengers Data on rail passengers is hard to come by; despite rail operation in the UK being operated through government-supported franchises, less information is available than in the private sectors of shipping and aviation. Possibly the only usable data comes from the Rail Regulator‟s monitor of station usage. This only 16 covers total passengers not just visitors. Nevertheless we show on the left the top UK stations 17 compared to other major UK cities and on the right usage levels of other key stations within the Liverpool City Region. Most recent data comes from the 2011-12 financial year. Selected key city Key destinations Exits region stations Exits Birmingham New St 15,606,921 Liverpool Central 7,104,621 Moorfields 3,178,383 Glasgow Central 13,319,709 Liverpool James 1,459,710 Street Leeds 12,510,016 Southport 1,337,373 Edinburgh 11,252,588 Formby 756,606 Manchester Piccadilly 9,292,355 New Brighton 515,393 Bristol Temple Meads 8,874,542 West Kirby 377,983 Brighton 8,025,599 Liverpool South 366,850 Parkway Liverpool Lime St 6,917,657 St.Helens Central 361,228 Cardiff Central 5,751,040 Port Sunlight 348,048 Source: Station usage data, Office of the Rail Regulator. Statistical note: As data is drawn from ticket sales data from the rail industry, trips undertaken using multi-modal ticket in former metropolitan areas (such as “Merseyside”) are estimated and included within these figures. 16 Excluding London & key commuter terminals 17 Stations are selected based on their central locations or proximity to key visitor attractions. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 22
Visitor Profile 3 Visitor Profile data A number of major surveys are conducted periodically by The Liverpool LEP, which aids the 18 tourism intelligence of the area. These include the Liverpool City Region Visitor Survey and the 19 Destination Benchmarking survey. Within this section we present key data from both – be aware the former represents the profile of visitors to the whole area, the latter just that of visitors to the city centre. 3.1 Visitor origin a) Day Visitors Visitors to the % of day Visitors to % of day whole City Region visitors Liverpool City Centre visitors City Region residents 36% City Region residents 37% Cheshire 13% Cheshire 8% Greater Manchester 16% Greater Manchester 19% Lancashire 13% Lancashire 15% Cumbria
Visitor Profile Day Visitor Origins - Summary 100% 1% 1% 8% 90% 15% 14% 24% 31% 29% 80% 70% 60% 64% 56% 32% 31% 59% 32% 50% Overseas 40% Further afield UK 30% Elsewhere NW 20% 39% 44% Elsewhere City Region 37% 28% 26% 30% 10% 0% Wirral Halton Sefton Liverpool Knowsley St.Helens Besides those living elsewhere in the city region, there were strong levels of day visits from Lancashire and Cheshire. To some extent these form part of the City Region‟s natural hinterland. Other major day visitor markets included Greater Manchester and Yorkshire (the latter thanks in part to good Trans-Pennine links); but we also see relatively high levels of day visitors from the West Midlands. For Wales, day visitors tend to be a reflection of visitors from the North Wales area; this extending as far as Gwynedd, rather than the whole principality. As indicated in the previous Digest, the timings now offered on the upgraded West Coast Main Line mean that there were day visitors from Greater London evident too. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 24
Visitor Profile b) Staying Visitors Visitors to the % of Visitors to % of whole City Region staying Liverpool City Centre staying visitors visitors City Region residents 6% City Region residents 1% Cheshire 5% Cheshire 2% Greater Manchester 3% Greater Manchester 2% Lancashire 5% Lancashire 1% Cumbria
Visitor Profile Staying Visitor Origins - Summary 100% 9% 12% 90% 15% 23% 80% 43% 50% 70% 60% 64% 31% 50% 71% 69% Overseas 40% 8% Further afield UK 30% 52% Elsewhere NW 50% 20% 18% 39% Elsewhere City Region 10% 15% 13% 9% 4% 0% 1% 2% 3% Wirral Halton Sefton Liverpool Knowsley St.Helens There is a relatively low level of staying visitors from the Southwest, Northeast or Scotland; this may owe much to relatively poor direct transport links from these locations. There is strong evidence of London & the South East being important markets; in total, over a fifth of all staying visitors to Liverpool (21%) came from these areas. As evidence of a growing market, this was 15% in 2006 (more information on growth / decline by geography can be found in the previous Digest). Notice that overseas visitors form a very important part of the staying visitor market in Liverpool; less so elsewhere in the city region. c) Key Overseas Markets % of all staying visitors As evidenced above, overseas markets form a Eire 7% very important part of the inbound visitor market USA 1% for Liverpool. Australia 3% Germany 5% Data from our Destination Benchmarking study Spain 6% suggests that the following were the top origins Netherland 1% visiting Liverpool itself in 2012. Although France 2% Australia may be a surprise being placed so high Switzerland 1% on this list, data from Visit Britain has confirmed Austria 1% something of a boost for visits to the UK from Italy 2% Norway
Visitor Profile 3.2 Mode of transport Transport mode is an important aspect of understanding the visitor market. On the one hand, it may reflect where good linkages exist, with the potential for further visit generation; on the other hand, coupled with visitor origin, it may reveal where markets are underperforming due to lower than ideal levels of connectivity. This is especially important in the current climate, where twin pressures of costs and environmental concerns influence modal choice. Below we summarise transport choices both for day and staying visitors from key markets. a) Modal Choice: Day Visitors 4% 6% 15% 12% 14% 10% 15% 14% 21% 10% 9% 22% 15% 6% 11% 50% 34% 23% 78% 72% 73% 71% 67% 47% 40% 39% Within LCR Cheshire Lancs. Greater West Yorks N Wales London & Manchester Midlands Southeast Car/van/etc Train Scheduled Bus / Coach Coach tour / Private hire Ferry Plane Other b) Modal Choice: Staying Visitors 6% 11% 10% 7% 10% 14% 10% 8% 55% 9% 10% 6% 10% 40% 16% 10% 20% 17% 5% 29% 5% 10% 42% 70% 65% 24% 57% 61% 49% 5% 11% 23% NW England / London & SE Midlands Yorks & NE SW England & Ireland Overseas N Wales S Wales Car/van/etc Train Scheduled Bus / Coach Coach tour / Private hire Ferry Plane Other Note: percentages may add up to more than 100% as more than one mode of transport may have been involved in the trip. Also note that ‟ferry‟ covers both Mersey Ferry and Irish Sea routes, and that whilst „plane‟ may relate to Liverpool John Lennon Airport, it may also reflect on other UK gateways. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 27
Visitor Profile 3.3 Purpose of visit The data shows the key reasons behind the visit to the area. Note that this data shows the main reasons; the survey length unfortunately means that „contributory‟ reasons were not asked. It is worth noting that due to the survey methodology, the data shown probably „undervalues‟ the level of business and golf/sporting trips to the city region. Notice also that especially in the case of St.Helens, “Events” includes sporting events, such as horse racing at Haydock Park. a) Purpose: Day Visitors Halton Knowsley Liverpool Sightseeing 41% Attractions 82% Attractions 89% Shopping 22% Events 14% VFR 3% VFR 13% VFR 2% Explore area 3% Attractions 5% Explore area 2% Events 5% Sefton St.Helens Wirral Explore area 68% Attractions 63% Attractions 46% Attractions 15% Events 20% Explore area 45% Shopping 8% Shopping 10% VFR 6% Events 4% VFR 5% Events 4% VFR 3% Explore area 2% Shopping 1% b) Purpose: Staying Visitors Halton Knowsley Liverpool Sightseeing 60% VFR 13% VFR 50% Attractions 92% Attractions 9% Attractions 50% VFR 8% Events 7% Conferences 2% Sefton St.Helens Wirral Explore area 66% Attractions 40% VFR 60% VFR 15% Explore area 27% Events 20% Events 9% VFR 27% Attractions 7% Attractions 6% Events 2% Shopping 7% Golf 2% Cycling 2% Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 28
Visitor Profile 3.4 Visitor Demographics In terms of the visitor age / gender composition, the data comes from asking about both the respondent and all the people in the group they were visiting the Liverpool City Region with. a) Day visitors Visitors to the % of day Visitors to % of day whole City Region visitors Liverpool City Centre visitors Children (
Visitor Profile b) Staying visitors Visitors to the % of day Visitors to % of day whole City Region visitors Liverpool City Centre visitors Children (
Visitor Profile 3.5 Group Type Besides raw demographics, there is also the question as to which type of group visitors were with. Those visiting with their children made up over half of the total day trip market in the area (53%); those on a staying trip were most likely to be with their partner or spouse (41% - and this is even more likely in Liverpool itself, at 50%). a) Day visitors 60% 53% 50% 39% 40% 30% 24% 22% 20% 10% 12% 13% 9% 9% 7% 10% 6% 1% 0% On my own With family With family With partner / With friends Organised (incl. children) (excl. Children) spouse group Whole City Region Liverpool City Centre b) Staying visitors 60% 50% 50% 41% 40% 30% 27% 20% 22% 20% 16% 10% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 3% 0% On my own With family With family With partner / With friends Organised (incl. children) (excl. Children) spouse group Whole City Region Liverpool City Centre Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 31
National Data 4 National data Within this section of the report we turn to what national data tells us is happening in the visitor economy across the country. This helps us benchmark the city region‟s current performance and understand emerging trends. Much of this information comes from Visit Britain and Visit England‟s tourism intelligence pages, and links to a full range of data sources are provided within the appendix. In all cases, the data should be compared with the relevant local data, as provided earlier in this Digest. 4.1 Occupancy trends England Hotel Room Occupancy Monthly Trends 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 56% 46% 47% 49% 54% 60% 59% 59% 63% 63% 63% 66% 67% 68% 71% 75% 73% 75% 77% 72% 78% 72% 73% 77% 75% 77% 67% 71% 61% 64% 52% 56% 10% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2011 2012 2013 Source: England Occupancy Survey National data indicates that overall for this year to date occupancy figures are slightly up on last year (66% for January to July, compared to 62% in the same period of 2012). This is only of course the national picture; regions most likely to have seen an ongoing improvement were the Midlands, Southeast and East of England; London and the Northeast both appeared to show a drop in occupancy levels in the year to date figures. The North West region as a whole appeared relatively static; given the „local‟ occupancy results reported in section 2.1, this suggests a better performance by the Liverpool City Region than its nearby competitors. Growth in the year to date has mainly been recorded by small towns, with what appears to be a drop in occupancy levels for large towns and countryside locations. Room occupancy 80% (Jan -Aug) 60% 40% 20% 73% 72% 76% 61% 62% 65% 57% 57% 59% 57% 55% 55% 0% City / Large town Small town Seaside Countryside 2011 2012 2013 Source: England Occupancy Survey Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 32
National Data 4.2 Visits to attractions trends The chart below highlights changes in visitor growth to different attraction genres across the country. We note first of all that overall there have been three consecutive years where attractions have recorded growth in visits – a net 5% of all attractions showed growth increasing visitor numbers from 2010 to 2012, building on a 3% rise the previous year and 5% in the year before that. Year on year change in visits to attractions, England 20% 15% % of attractions reporting a rise/drop in admissions 12% 15% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 7% 7% 10% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% -1% -1% -5% -3% -3% -3% -5% -6% -10% -15% -20% Workplaces Wildlife attractions/zoos Farms Gardens Historic houses/castles Other Country parks Museums/art galleries England average Other historic properties Visitor/heritage centres Places of worship Leisure/theme parks Steam/heritage railways 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 Source: Annual England Attractions Survey The graph suggests that over the last year growth across England has been strongest in visits to, Gardens, Historic Houses, Other Historic Properties and Places of worship. In the case of the former group, it is possible that this is connected to the current ongoing popularity of costume dramas such as “Downton Abbey”. There has also been strong growth in visitor numbers at Wildlife attractions. Growth has been weakest for Steam / Heritage Railways – and a relatively neutral experience for Museums and Art Galleries. Note that despite the economic climate, +6% of paid attractions recorded a rise in admissions, against +1% of free attractions. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 33
Forecasts 4.3 Domestic visitors (GBTS) a) Overall results Top Towns 2012: Staying visits (000s) The Great Britain Tourist Survey (GBTS) is by GB residents the main measure of the national volume of 3,000 domestic tourism and is supported by the 20 national tourist boards. GBTS measures 2,500 overnight trips, rather than the total domestic 2,000 market. 1,500 Data from the Great Britain Tourism Survey 1,000 2012 (GBTS) indicates that Liverpool was the 12,152 2,748 1,470 3,126 1,726 1,548 1,518 1,517 1,298 1,251 8th most visited town/city in England by 500 21, domestic tourists with an estimated 0 1,470,000 overnight trips. This is an increase Birmingham London Manchester Blackpool Scarborough Leeds Bristol Liverpool York Newcastle upon Tyne in one rank position from that seen in 2011. Source: GBTS, Visit England Top 20 most visited English Cities & Towns by UK residents 2010 2011 2012 Visits Visits Visits Town/City (000s) Town/City (000s) Town/City (000s) 1 London 11,580 1 London 11,093 1 London 12,152 2 Manchester 2,177 2 Manchester 2,613 2 Manchester 3,126 3 Birmingham 2,059 3 Birmingham 2,251 3 Birmingham 2,748 4 Blackpool 1,717 4 Bristol 1,828 4 Scarborough 1,726 5 Scarborough 1,495 5 Scarborough 1,645 5 Leeds 1,548 6 Bristol 1,490 6 York 1,615 6 Bristol 1,518 7 Leeds 1,478 7 Leeds 1,493 7 York 1,517 8 York 1,374 8 Blackpool 1,478 8 Liverpool 1,470 9 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 1,244 9 Liverpool 1,428 9 Blackpool 1,298 10 Liverpool 1,194 10 Newcastle upon Tyne 1,303 10 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 1,251 11 Isle of Wight 1,042 11 Sheffield 1,293 11 Sheffield 1,233 12 Skegness 1,012 12 Brighton and Hove 1,096 12 Nottingham 1,081 13 Nottingham 928 13 Nottingham 1,066 13 Skegness 1,074 14 Bournemouth 925 14 Isle of Wight 1,053 14 Brighton and Hove 1,047 15 Brighton and Hove 921 15 Bournemouth 1,051 15 Isle of Wight 1,006 16 Norwich 842 16 Skegness 992 16 Bournemouth 917 17 Sheffield 816 17 Southampton 973 17 Portsmouth 855 18 Southampton 759 18 Norwich 934 18 Southampton 792 19 Bath 710 19 Cambridge 769 19 Oxford 780 20 Oxford 700 20 Plymouth 745 20 Norwich 771 Source: GBTS, Visit England 20 Note that the GBTS is primarily a national survey and not as accurate at destination level; whilst we would use our STEAM numbers at local level, the rank order is useful. 21 Defined as staying visitors from England, Scotland and Wales; those from Northern Ireland are no longer included in the survey (to reflect this, the survey is now known as “GBTS” – previously it was “UKTS”). Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 34
Forecasts b) Results from different markets The data shows that Liverpool is ranked 9th for “pure holiday visits” – this is an increase in rank than was achieved in 2011 but the information within the survey suggests significant increase in visits. The city is ranked 9th though for business visits – this is a drop from last year (when it was th ranked 8 ) and may reflect on major conferences in the city. Top Towns 2012: Top Towns 2012: Pure holiday staying trips (000s) Business staying trips (000s) 0 500 1,000 1,500 0 200 400 600 800 London 4,168 London 3,248 Scarborough 1,531 Manchester 885 Blackpool 1,073 Birmingham 874 Skegness 982 Leeds 420 Manchester 963 Sheffield 314 York 844 Bristol 290 Birmingham 714 Newcastle upon Tyne 273 Isle of Wight 710 Northampton 208 Liverpool 654 Liverpool 202 Great Yarmouth 636 Portsmouth 182 Source: GBTS, Visit England c) Trends GBTS: Trends Looking at the national trends observed by 120 Change from 2006 (100 = "No change") the GBTS, it appears that there has been strong growth in holiday overnight visits 110 (possibly including the „staycation‟ impact). 100 Against this, during the recession period, it seems that both „VFR‟ and staying business 90 trips showed significant drops. These markets showed strong recovery during 80 2012, although both remained below 70 historic levels. 60 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Holidays VFR Business Source: GBTS, Visit England A fuller briefing note on key messages from the GBTS is available on request from the LEP. Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 35
Forecasts 4.4 Inbound visitors (IPS) a) Overall results The International Passenger Survey is conducted Top towns: Staying Visits (000s) by ONS on behalf of Visit Britain. Passengers by overseas visitors (IPS) arriving through major airports (including LJLA), 2,000 seaports and the Channel Tunnel are surveyed. The survey shows that Liverpool‟s ongoing 1,500 growth as a visitor destination means it is now the th 5 -most visited city in Britain by overseas residents. This is the highest position the city has 1,000 th attained, having been 6 since 2005. The city recorded approximately 550,000 500 London… 15,461 Edinburgh… 1,256 overseas staying visits in 2012, and is only Brighton / Hove… 345 Manchester… 932 Birmingham… 713 Liverpool… 550 Glasgow… 521 Oxford… 430 Cambridge… 398 Bristol… 395 behind London, Edinburgh, Manchester and 0 Birmingham. In terms of geographically close „competitors‟ (who might also feed our day visits market), Manchester recorded an estimated 932,000 overseas staying visits.. Source: IPS, VisitBritain / ONS Top 20 most visited UK Cities & Towns by Overseas residents 2010 2011 2012 Visits Visits Visits Town/City (000s) Town/City (000s) Town/City (000s) 1 London 14706 1 London 15289 1 London 15,461 2 Edinburgh 1305 2 Edinburgh 1342 2 Edinburgh 1,256 3 Manchester 811 3 Manchester 934 3 Manchester 932 4 Birmingham 740 4 Birmingham 733 4 Birmingham 713 5 Glasgow 551 5 Liverpool 545 5 Liverpool 550 6 Liverpool 452 6 Glasgow 475 6 Glasgow 521 7 Oxford 412 7 Oxford 465 7 Oxford 430 8 Bristol 377 8 Bristol 430 8 Cambridge 398 9 Cambridge 367 9 Cambridge 387 9 Bristol 395 10 Brighton / Hove 303 10 Leeds 306 10 Brighton / Hove 345 11 Bath 263 11 Brighton / Hove 304 11 Cardiff 301 12 Cardiff 260 12 Cardiff 291 12 Leeds 299 13 Inverness 238 13 Aberdeen 250 13 Nottingham 215 14 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 224 14 Nottingham 244 14 Inverness 213 15 Nottingham 224 15 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 239 15 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 212 16 York 224 16 Bath 232 16 Bath 211 17 Leeds 213 17 York 222 17 Aberdeen 208 18 Aberdeen 168 18 Inverness 215 18 York 199 19 Southampton 164 19 Windsor 211 19 Reading 196 20 Windsor 162 20 Canterbury 191 20 Windsor 182 Source: IPS, VisitBritain / ONS Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 36
Forecasts b) Results from different markets The following charts breakdown the information by purpose of visit. Please note that those visiting to attend sporting events are an important contributor to the figures relating to „other purpose‟. Top Towns: Top Towns: Pure holiday staying trips (000s) VFR staying trips (000s) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 London 7,649 London 3,529 Edinburgh 818 Manchester 254 Glasgow 295 Edinburgh 248 Manchester 215 Birmingham 189 Inverness 178 Bristol 151 Liverpool 173 Cambridge 136 Brighton / Hove 167 Oxford 122 Oxford 140 Liverpool 119 Bath 119 Leeds 118 Birmingham 116 Nottingham 96 Top Towns: Top Towns: Business staying trips (000s) "Other purpose" (000s) 0 100 200 300 400 0 50 100 150 200 London 3,068 London 1,035 Birmingham 358 Manchester 172 Manchester 280 Liverpool 146 Edinburgh 132 Birmingham 42 Oxford 120 Edinburgh 30 Liverpool 105 Cambridge 23 Aberdeen 104 Oxford 18 Bristol 100 Leeds 15 Leeds 100 Glasgow 15 Cambridge 94 Newcastle 8 Source: IPS, VisitBritain / ONS Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 37
Forecasts 5 Forecasts 5.1 Trends from the Liverpool City Region 3-year Action Plan The visitor economy has seen strong growth over the last few years, as evidenced earlier in this Digest. Despite current economic conditions, strong growth is still expected from the sector. The graph below shows the expected trends (indexed to 2006). Figures have been updated from the previous Digest, following the latest STEAM data (as noted in section 1) and known hotel developments. Tourism growth trend - Liverpool City Region 150 140 Change (indexed to 2006) 130 120 110 100 90 80 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Staying Visitors Day Visitors Source: Destination Management Plan Certain components of change we already know; below we summarise the key hotel developments, both currently under way and those planned over the next few years. Hotel room stock Hotel establishments 7000 100 90 6000 80 5000 70 4000 60 50 3000 40 2000 30 20 5,062 4,611 5,717 4,805 6,067 4,865 1000 10 43 85 45 88 52 89 0 0 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region Source: Tourist board hotel stock data Digest of Tourism Statistics North West Research The Liverpool LEP December 2013 Page 38
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