DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES

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DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
SLOVENIAN
NETWORK
DEVELOPMENT
PLAN
2019–2028
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
SLOVENIAN
NETWORK
DEVELOPMENT
PLAN
2019–2028

Aleksander Mervar, MSc
Chief Executive Officer
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
CONTENTS

                   1     INTRODUCTION                                                           6

                   2     BASES FOR PREPARING THE NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN                       8
                         2.1   Electricity demand in the past                                    9
                         2.2   Electricity generation on the transmission network in the past   10
                         2.3   Electricity balance in Slovenia in the past                      11
                         2.4   Transmission network operation in the past                       11
                   		          2.4.1   Trends of Transmission Network Loading                   11
                   		          2.4.2   N-1 Security in the Slovenian Transmission Network       11

                   3     ELECTRICITY DEMAND AND GENERATION SCENARIOS OVERVIEW                   13
                         3.1   Scenarios of future electricity demand                           14
                         3.2   Evolution of generation in the transmission network              15

                   4     ELECTRICITY DEMAND AND PEAK LOADS FORECAST                             17
                         4.1   Electricity demand forecast at the transmission level            18
                         4.2   Peak loads and minimal loads forecast                            19

                   5     COVERING ELECTRICITY DEMAND FROM THE TRANSMISSION
                         NETWORK                                                                21
                         5.1   Covering electrity demand                                        22
                         5.2   Projection of achieving energy and climate targets               23
                   		          5.2.1   Electricity balance forecast                             23

                         5.3   Projection of ancillary services and power reserves              24
                         5.4   Regional electricity exchange                                    25

4   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
6   TRANSMISSION NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN AND RESEARCH
    AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES                                                                                 27
    6.1   Slovenian transmission network development in the next 10-year period                                28
    6.2   Projects of common interest                                                                          32
    6.3   Other investments priorities in the next 10-year period                                              32
		        6.3.1   SINCRO.GRID Project                                                                          32
		        6.3.2   NEDO Project                                                                                 32
		        6.3.3   SUMO Project                                                                                 33
		        6.3.4   ELES Beričevo Technology Centre                                                              33
		        6.3.5   Development of Diagnostics and Analytics Centre                                              33
		        6.3.6   Battery Energy Storage Systems                                                               33
		        6.3.7   Compensation devices for voltage control                                                     33
		 6.3.8          Construction of advanced infrastructure for ensuring flexibility from electric vehicles –
			               the E8 concept                                                                               34
		 6.3.9          Implementation of Article 35 of the Energy Act (EZ-1) – Acquisition of 110 kV transmission
			               network owned by other companies                                                             34

    6.4   Research and development activities                                                                  34
		        6.4.1   FutureFlow Project                                                                           34
		        6.4.2   MIGRATE Project (Massive InteGRATion of power Electronic devices)                            35
		        6.4.3   BioEnergyTrain Project                                                                       35
		        6.4.4   OSMOSE Project                                                                               35
		        6.4.5   Defender Project                                                                             35
		        6.4.6   TDX-ASSIST Project                                                                           35
		        6.4.7   Activities in the Area of Demand Response and Distributed Generation                         35
		        6.4.8   System reserve from DG sources of uninterrupted power supply – diesel electric generators    36
		        6.4.9   Wide Area Measurement, Protection and Control System (WAMPAC)                                36

    6.5   Long-term transmission network development                                                           36

7   CONCLUSION                                                                                                 40

    ABBREVIATIONS USED                                                                                         42

    REFERENCES                                                                                                 43

                                                                  NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES           5
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
Social Responsibility

    INTRODUCTION
                    1                                      S u s ta i n a b l e
                                                           d e v e lo p m e n t

6   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
This document is a summary of the document »Slovenian Network Devel-
opment Plan 2019–2028«, prepared by ELES on 21 December 2018. The
main purpose of the Network Development Plan of the Republic of Slo-
venia from 2019 to 2028 is to present an overview of the current situa-
tion and define the needed investments in the transmission network in
upcoming decades, which will provide for the adequate transfer capacity
of the transmission grid and adequate voltage conditions in the transmis-
sion network of the Republic of Slovenia, thus ensuring the reliable and
high-quality supply of electricity to stakeholders of the power system. The
summary has been meaningfully shortened and provides all relevant infor-
mation and data necessary for presentation to the broader professional
public and electricity market participants.

Long-term network development plans are pre-            ting new overhead line connections in space or re-
pared for the purpose of identifying the necessary      constructing existing ones, experts examine the
investments in the transmission system that will,       most favourable routes while synthetically con-
in a constantly changing environment, meet and          sidering the relevant spatial, security, functional
satisfy the growing needs of all electricity con-       and economic aspects, as well as the aspect of
sumers, from household to business. In the long         social acceptability.
term, the goal of the network's development is to
ensure the best possible quality of electricity sup-    ELES has to ensure the sufficient capacity of the
ply at minimum costs and with higher utilisation        network at all times in order to satisfy the peak
of existing devices and facilities, a maximum level     load. This will guarantee the safe, reliable and
of investment effectiveness, and minimum im-            quality supply of electric power to consumers in
pacts on the environment.                               future as well, and increase the efficiency and
                                                        cost-effectiveness of transmission services in the
Owing to difficulties in the siting of facilities in    electric power system while pursing the goal of
physical space on the one hand and the growing
                                                        providing for the energy industry's gradual tran-
needs for transfer capacities on the other, we are
                                                        sition to the use of more sustainable electricity
searching for ways to transmit larger quantities of
                                                        sources. For this reason the first and main step
electricity while retaining the same utilisation of
                                                        in achieving the set goals in the energy sector on
space. The electricity market that connects, in a
                                                        the European Union (EU) level is to prepare an
liberalized way, all countries in the ENTSO-E sys-
                                                        adequate strategy for the development of elec-
tem is pushing the electric power system closer to
                                                        tricity grids. In preparing the ten-year network
transfer capacities and operational security limits,
and towards the increased utilisation of existing       development plan, the transmission system op-
infrastructure in general.                              erator formulates reasonable assumptions on the
                                                        development of production, supply, consumption
ELES carries out activities related to the siting of    and exchanges with other countries, taking into
electricity facilities in physical space in accord-     consideration the investment plans for regional
ance with applicable legislation, which is chang-       networks [3] and other relevant documents im-
ing more rapidly than it is possible to carry out       pacting the preparation of the development plan.
the actual siting of a particular facility in space.
On 1st June 2018 the new Spatial Planning Act           Data on the current state of the network, data
(ZureP-2) [1] and the Building Act (GZ) [2] came        obtained from all electricity generation and dis-
into effect, both of which stipulate significant        tribution companies and direct consumers, as well
changes in procedures for siting electricity facili-    as data on 220 kV and 400 kV networks obtained
ties in physical space. In all areas ELES is conduct-   from other TSOs across Europe, were used in the
ing activities aimed at the more effective siting       preparation of analyses that served as a basis for
of electricity transfer facilities in space. When si-   elaboration of the development plan.

                                                             NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES          7
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
BASES
              FOR PREPARING
              THE NETWORK
              DEVELOPMENT PLAN

                                Economic
                                 G r ow t h

                                              L a rg e C o n s u m e rs

8   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
2.1 ELECTRICITY DEMAND IN THE PAST
       A review of the previous ten-year period shows a                                                             Consequently, due to low temperatures in Feb-
       decline in electricity demand in 2008 due to the                                                             ruary 2012 and January 2017, the highest peak
       economic crisis, followed by a gradual recovery                                                              power increased substantially, exhibiting a high
       that lasted relatively long in Slovenia – until 2014.                                                        temperature dependence of demand. This will
       Afterwards, electricity demand again began to                                                                continue to increase in upcoming years as a result
       rise sharply and reached the 2007 level in 2017.                                                             of changes in heating methods (heating pumps).
       A slightly higher dynamic than electricity demand                                                            Although the periods of extremely low or high
       on the transmission network (TN) was shown by                                                                temperatures are short on a yearly level and do
       the peak powers in TN, which are, among others,                                                              not occur every year, the transmission network
       also strongly dependent on weather conditions.                                                               must be capable of withstanding such extremes.

       Figure 2.1: Total electricity demand on TN and annual peak powers in the 2008-2017
       period

                                                           18,000                                                                                               2,300
Total electricity demand at the transmittion level [GWh]

                                                           16,000                                                                                               2,100

                                                           14,000                                                                                               1,900

                                                           12,000                                                                                               1,700

                                                                                                                                                                        Peak power [MW]
                                                           10,000                                                                                               1,500

                                                            8,000                                                                                               1,300

                                                            6,000                                                                                               1,100

                                                            4,000                                                                                               900

                                                            2,000                                                                                               700

                                                               0                                                                                                500
                                                                    2008     2009       2010     2011    2012     2013      2014     2015   2016      2017

                                                                           Peak power                   PSP – pumping                          Distributions – Total
                                                                           Transmission losses          Locations of direct consumption

                                                                                                                          NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES                         9
DEVELOPMENT PLAN SLOVENIAN NETWORK - ELES
2.2 ELECTRICITY GENERATION ON THE
               TRANSMISSION NETWORK IN THE PAST

           The quantity of generated electricity and an over-                                  units was the new Unit VI at the Šoštanj Thermal
           view of the net installed capacity of units in the                                  Power Plant. At the end of 2017, the generation
           past ten years show that previous investments                                       units connected to the Slovenian transmission
           in the Republic of Slovenia were made primarily                                     network had a net total installed capacity of
           into peak units (Hydro Power Plant (HPP) on the                                     3,535 MW, of which 696 MW in the Krško Nuclear
           Lower Sava River, Avče Pumped Storage Power                                         Power Plant (NPP Krško), 1,654 MW in TPPs, 1,000
           Plant (PSP), gas units at the Šoštanj Thermal Po-                                   MW in HPPs, and 185 MW in PSPs.
           wer Plant (TPP)). The only investment in base-load

        Figure 2.2: Electricity generation of HPPs, TPPs and NPP Krško and net installed capacity

                                    16,000                                                                                                   4,000
                                                                                                        273
                                                         4          184
                                                                          144                                              278      271
                                    14,000                                            187    293                                             3,500
                                                                                                                  282
                                             3,512                        3,218
                                                       4,274    4,064                                  5,520
                                    12,000                                           3,543                                 4,015   3,453     3,000
     Electricity generation [GWh]

                                                                                             4,187
                                                                                                                 3,426

                                                                                                                                                     Net installed capacity [MW]
                                    10,000                                                                                                   2,500

                                             4,868                        4,787
                                     8,000             4,700    4,795                                                              4,262     2,000
                                                                                     4,636             3,242               4,401
                                                                                             4,381               3,809

                                     6,000                                                                                                   1,500

                                             2,985                        2,949                        3,030                       2,983
                                     4,000             2,726    2,686                2,616                       2,685     2,712             1,000
                                                                                             2,512

                                     2,000                                                                                                   500
                                             2,985     2,726    2,686     2,949      2,616   2,512     2,030     2,685     2,712   2,983

                                        0                                                                                                    0
                                             2008      2009     2010      2011       2012    2013      2014      2015     2016     2017

                                                     NPP SLO (1/2)                Thermal            PSP                                   Net installed
                                                                                                                                           capacity
                                                     NPP HR (1/2)                 Hydro              Other Gen. on Trans. Level

10         ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
2.3 ELECTRICITY BALANCE IN SLOVENIA IN
    THE PAST

In previous periods, Slovenia almost always had       Krško can be included among domestic sources,
a negative electricity balance which, although        Slovenia is in reality a net importer of electricity,
fluctuating significantly over the years, is mostly   i.e., approximately up to 20%. In times of higher
due to its large dependence on hydrology. If only     demand in the network, Slovenia covers a major
the physical conditions are observed and the en-      part of its needs by importing electricity, whereas
tire electricity generated at NPP Krško is taken      during lower demand, it is still capable of gene-
into account, Slovenia is a net exporter. However,    rating surpluses of electricity that are exported to
since only half of the electricity generated at NPP   neighbouring markets.

2.4 TRANSMISSION NETWORK OPERATION
    IN THE PAST
The basis for forecasting the future loading of       Germany. Figure 2.4 is particularly indicative, as
network elements and, consequently, any new in-       no decline in network loading can hardly be noted
vestments in the electricity network, is a precise    anywhere. Although loading is stagnant in certain
insight into the current state of the electricity     areas (southeastern region, Pomurje), it is increas-
system. The large quantity of measurement data        ing in all other parts of Slovenia.
kept by ELES allows us to consider several diffe-
rent criteria regarding transmission line loading
and not only the highest yearly loads, as practised   2.4.2 N-1 Security in the Slovenian
in the past. The map of Slovenia in Figure 2.3        Transmission Network
shows the overhead lines with the highest loading
and with a 95% probability of loading occurring       The basic criterion for network planning and ope-
above a rated capacity of 60%.                        rating requirements foresee that the N-1 security
                                                      criterion is to be ensured at all times. The goal of
                                                      ensuring this criterion is to prevent the occurrence
2.4.1 Trends of Transmission                          of major disturbances and their spread due to the
                                                      failure of any individual element. This is a simple,
Network Loading
                                                      robust, coordinated and established criterion in
Figure 2.4 shows the trend of overhead line load-     transmission network planning. Figure 2.5 shows
ing in the period between 2012 and 2017 (inclu-       compliance with the N-1 criterion on the basis of
sive), where an increase or decrease represents a     simulations, where all Slovenian and cross-bor-
change expressed as a percentage of the rated         der lines, as well as the majority of double circuit
line capacity. The figure reveals a constant net-     lines, were considered in the analysis. The figure
work loading growth in the lower Gorenjska re-        indicates that in case of failures, the most difficul-
gion, where the same trend was noted in previous      ties can be expected in the networks of Primorska
years, but has intensified in the past two years.     and Dolenjska; high network loading was also att-
The trend of increasing network loading is pro-       ained in the Pomurje network. For the mentioned
nounced on the 220 kV and 400 kV levels. This         apparent difficulties in Slovenia's transmission
means that the interconnection links are exposed      grid, ELES had already foreseen upgrades of the
to considerable power flows in both directions as     network in its previous transmission system devel-
the result of the gradual decommissioning of nu-      opment plans. In future, these could provide for
clear power plants and other conventional power       the quality supply of electricity to consumers and
plants, as well as the concurrent implementation      better resilience to potential disturbances occur-
of renewable energy sources (RES) in Italy and        ring in the electricity power system.

                                                           NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES             11
Figure 2.3: Overhead lines with the highest current loading with respect to the 95-percent
     probability limit
                                                                     Kainachtal
                                       Obersielach                                                            Rated capacity above 70%
                                         (Na Selu)
                                                                                                              Rated capacity between 60% and 70%
                                                             Ravne
                                                                                       Maribor
                                                       Šoštanj                                                Rated capacity between 50% and 60%
                                                                            Cirkovce
                                       Okroglo                   Podlog

                                     Kleče       Beričevo                                        Žerjavinec

      Redipuglia                                                          Krško
     (Sredipolje)                                                                        Tumbri
               Padriciano   Divača
                (Padriče)

                              Pehlin          Melina

     Figure 2.4: Trends of transmission network loading based on five-year measurements

                                                                     Kainachtal
                                       Obersielach                                                            Over 3% increase per year
                                         (Na Selu)
                                                                                                              1% - 3% increase per year
                                                             Ravne
                                                                                       Maribor
                                                       Šoštanj                                                1% - 3% decrease per year
                                                                            Cirkovce
                                       Okroglo                   Podlog
                                                                                                              3% decrease per year
                                  Kleče          Beričevo                                        Žerjavinec

      Redipuglia                                                          Krško
     (Sredipolje)
                                                                                         Tumbri
               Padriciano   Divača
                (Padriče)

                              Pehlin          Melina

     Figure 2.5: Line loading in a N-1 situation

                                                                     Kainachtal
                                       Obersielach                                                            Above 100% rated capacity
                                         (Na Selu)
                                                                                                              80% - 100% rated capacity
                                                             Ravne
                                                                                      Maribor
                                                       Šoštanj                                                60% - 80% rated capacity
                                                                           Cirkovce
                                       Okroglo                   Podlog
                                                                                                              Line causing partial outage
                                  Kleče          Beričevo                                        Žerjavinec

      Redipuglia                                                          Krško
     (Sredipolje)                                                                        Tumbri
               Padriciano   Divača
                (Padriče)

                              Pehlin         Melina

12   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
transport

                                         ELECTRICITY DEMAND
                                         AND GENERATION
                                         SCENARIOS

     Control of the
 S lov e n i a n E l e c t r i c i t y
                                         overview
      P ow e r Syst e m

                                               NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES   13
3.1 SCENARIOS OF FUTURE ELECTRICITY
         DEMAND
     The scenarios of future electricity demand and                               policies and targets defined for the entire EU
     transmission network loading are designed to con-                            for the year 2030. Electricity needs are inten-
     sider as far as possible the requirements defined                            sifying due to the extensive use of heating
     by ENTSO-E TYNDP ([4], [5]), as well as the sce-                             pumps. The reduction of petroleum products
     narios presented in the draft Energy Concept of                              in transport and their gradual replacement
     Slovenia (ECS) [6]. Drawing on the defined guide-                            with natural gas is taken into account, but in
     lines and on the basis of projections of economic                            contrast to Sc1 this scenario is more ambi-
     development, four development scenarios have                                 tious and considers a higher growth of electric
     been created, as follows:                                                    mobility. The long-term vision, which extends
     • Sc1 foresees a lower growth of economic deve-                              beyond the ten-year period, includes the con-
       lopment and development in the attainment of                               struction of a new nuclear power plant in
       energy policy targets, with results focused on                             Slovenia. By its targets, the Sc2 Scenario cor-
       moving closer to ECS targets. Electricity needs                            responds to the ENTSO-E Distributed Genera-
       are intensifying due to the extensive use of                               tion scenario.
       heating pumps. The consumption of petroleum                         • Sc3 anticipates a higher growth of economic
       products is gradually decreasing and these are                        development. It includes policies and meas-
       being replaced by natural gas. In the Sc1 sce-                        ures adopted at the EU level and in Slovenia
       nario, the introduction of electric mobility and                      until 1st September 2016. Sc3 is therefore de-
       gas fuels is assessed according to technical and                      signed to bring the results closer to ECS targets
       financial capabilities, where EU targets regard-                      by continuing the trend of measures from AN-
       ing the reduction of emissions have not been                          URE-2020 [7]. Due to higher economic growth
       achieved. Also, the construction of distributed                       the intensity of traffic is increasing, where a
       generation (DG) on the distribution level is ex-                      very high increase of natural gas consumption
       tremely limited.                                                      is foreseen. By its targets, the Sc3 Scenario
     • Sc2 foresees a lower growth of economic de-                           corresponds to the ENTSO-E Sustainable Tran-
       velopment. It takes into account the energy                           sition scenario.

     Figure 3.1: Development scenarios overview

                                   Final energy demand

                                                                                                         Sc1
             Electric vehicles                               Electricity demand
                                                                                                         Sc2

                                                                         Electricity consumption         Sc3
     Air condition
                                                                         in households
                                                                                                         Sc4

          Solar                                                            Peak power in transmission
                                                                           network

                     Wind                                           Transmission losses

        HPP (Drava, Sava, Soča, Mura)              Distribution losses

14   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
• Sc4 foresees that the energy targets and po-             order to create a more attractive environment
  licies defined for the entire EU for the year            for the implementation of renewable energy
  2030 will be met. It is assumed that in order            sources. Sc4 considers the more favourable
  to achieve the target of reducing emissions by           macroeconomic conditions, which is why the
  80% on the EU level by 2050 in comparison                number of heating pumps is increasing rapid-
  with 1990, the national target for electricity           ly. Favourable economic conditions are conse-
  generation up to the year 2050 is 100% co-               quently also increasing the intensity of traffic
  verage from renewable energy sources. Policies           with the highest level of electric mobility. By its
  promoting the further application of renewa-             targets, the Sc4 Scenario corresponds to the
  ble energy sources are being implemented in              ENTSO-E Global Climate Action scenario.

3.2 EVOLUTION OF GENERATION IN THE
    TRANSMISSION NETWORK
For the purposes of preparing forecasts of the          • Sc4 is, as regards generation units, even more
evolution of generation units in the transmission         ambitious than Sc3, where all investments an-
system according to individual development sce-           nounced by investors are realised. This scenario
narios, ELES has obtained from generation com-            is based on the assumptions that all targets in
panies the relevant data on planned new genera-           the action plans for RES and energy efficiency
tion units and decommissioning plans for existing         (EE) will be achieved by 2030.
units, which are shown in Table 3.1. Based on their     In comparison with the previous network develop-
current status, the generation units were classi-       ment plan, the 2019-2028 plan presents a set of
fied under scenarios as follows:                        planned generation units in TN where the majo-
• Sc1 takes into account only those new ge-             rity of changes can be found in the year of their
  neration units that are already in the phase of       construction and not in their selection. Most of
  construction and have obtained a building and         them have been delayed for two years. TPP Trbov-
  an environmental permit (TPP Brestanica PB7,          lje reappeared on the list after its liquidation was
  CHP Ljubljana). The probability of their execu-       terminated on 1st January 2018. In line with the
  tion is therefore high. With the exception of the     adopted business plan of the HSE Group, the stor-
  above-mentioned sources, Scenario no. 1 does          age of petroleum products will be carried out at
  not foresee any new investments in other ge-          this location within the scope of compulsory emer-
  neration sources.                                     gency reserves prescribed by the state and ancil-
                                                        lary services in the electric power system. For this
• Sc2 considers investments in generation units         purpose two gas units have been preserved at this
  that can be realistically expected. However, due      location, but only until 2022, when the termination
  to siting difficulties, delays in the completion of   of production at the TPP Trbovlje location is fore-
  construction are particularly frequent in HPPs,       seen. Previous development plans indicated the in-
  which is why the uncertainty of their construc-       tention to construct a second unit of the Krško Nu-
  tion is slightly higher than in generation sour-      clear Power Plant which, according to the investor,
  ces classified under Scenario no. 1. The scenario     will foreseeably be realised beyond the ten-year
  therefore foresees a delay in the construction of     period, after 2028; a decision on its construction
  new HPPs, and the opinions of investors are also      has not yet been adopted [8]. The modernisation
  considered [8]. In addition to generation sour-       of the high-pressure turbine at NPP Krško is fore-
  ces included in Scenario no. 1, the construction      seen in 2021, which will increase its net capacity by
  of HPP Mokrice is also included here.                 approximately 1%. Unit IV at TPP Šoštanj has an
• Sc3 foresees the realisation of all announced         operating permit valid until 2022, but is currently
  investments in existing and new generation            non-operational due to the revitalisation of Unit V,
  units according to data received from investors,      which has been operating at full capacity since the
  which also includes the construction of PSP           summer of 2018. Namely, both units (IV and V at
  Kozjak and two HPPs on the Mura River.                TPP Šoštanj) cannot operate simultaneously.

                                                             NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES             15
Table 3.1: Overview of the planned electricity generation units in TN in the upcoming ten-year period (MW) [8]

     Power units in TN                                 2019    2020    2021    2022    2023    2024    2025    2026    2027    2028    Scenario
                            Dravograd                    26      26      26      26      26      26       26      26      26      26
                            Vuzenica                     56      56      56      56      56      56       56      56      56      56
                            Vuhred                       72      72      72      72      72      72       72      72      72      72
                            Ožbalt                       73      73      73      73      73      73       73      73      73      73
                            Fala                         58      58      58      58      58      58       58      58      58      58
                            Mariborski otok              60      60      60      60      60      60       60      60      60      60
                            Zlatoličje                  126     126     126     126     126     126      126     126     126     126
                            Formin                      116     116     116     116     116     116      116     116     116     116
                            PSP Kozjak                                                                   420     420     420     420      Sc3,4
                            HPPs on the Drava River     587     587     587     587     587     587    1,007   1,007   1,007   1,007
                            Ceršak                                                                                20      20      20      Sc3,4
                            Hrastje Mota                                                         20      20       20      20      20      Sc3,4
                            HPPs on the Mura River        0       0       0       0       0      20      20       40      40      40
                            Moste, Moste Završnica       21      21      21      21      21      21      21       21      21      21
     HYDRO POWER PLANTS

                            Moste II                                                                     42       42      42      42      Sc3,4
                            Mavčiče                      38      38      38      38      38      38      38       38      38      38
                            Medvode                      25      25      25      25      25      25      25       25      25      25
                            Suhadol                                                                               44      44      44      Sc3,4
                            Vrhovo                       34      34      34      34      34      34       34      34      34      34
                            Boštanj                      32      32      32      32      32      32       32      32      32      32
                            Blanca                       39      39      39      39      39      39       39      39      39      39
                            Krško                        39      39      39      39      39      39       39      39      39      39
                            Brežice                      48      48      48      48      48      48       48      48      48      48
                            Mokrice                                              28      28      28       28      28      28      28    Sc2,3,4
                            HPPs on the Sava River      276     276     276     304     304     304      346     390     390     390
                            Doblar I                     30      30      30      30      30      30       30      30      30      30
                            Doblar II                    40      40      40      40      40      40       40      40      40      40
                            Plave I                      15      15      15      15      15      15       15      15      15      15
                            Plave II                     20      20      20      20      20      20       20      20      20      20
                            Solkan                       32      32      32      32      32      32       32      32      32      32
                            PSP Avče                    185     185     185     185     185     185      185     185     185     185
                            Učja                                                                          34      34      34      34      Sc3,4
                            HPPs on the Soča River       322     322     322     322     322     322     356     356     356     356
                            Total HPPs                 1,186   1,186   1,186   1,214   1,214   1,234   1,730   1,794   1,794   1,794
                            TEŠ unit IV                  248     248     248     248
                            TEŠ unit V                   305     305     305     305    305     305     305     305     305     305
                            TEŠ gas unit 51               42      42      42      42     42      42      42      42      42      42
                            TEŠ gas unit 52               42      42      42      42     42      42      42      42      42      42
                            TEŠ unit VI                  539     539     539     539    539     539     539     539     539     539
                            TPP Šoštanj                1,176   1,176   1,176   1,176    928     928     928     928     928     928
                            Gas unit I+II                 58      58      58      58
                            TPP Trbovlje (HSE – EDT)      58      58      58      58      0       0       0       0       0       0
     THERMAL POWER PLANTS

                            Gas unit 1                    23      23      23
                            Gas unit 2                    23      23      23     23      23      23      23      23
                            Gas unit 3                    23      23      23     23      23      23      23      23
                            Gas unit 4                   114     114     114    114     114     114     114     114     114     114
                            Gas unit 5                   114     114     114    114     114     114     114     114     114     114
                            Gas unit 6                    53      53      53     53      53      53      53      53      53      53
                            Gas unit 7                                    50     50      50      50      50      50      50      50    Sc1,2,3,4
                            TPP Brestanica              350     350      400    377     377     377     377     377     331     331
                            Unit I coal                  39      39
                            Unit II coal                 39      39
                            Unit III coal, wood.
                                                         45      45      45      45      45      45      45      45      45      45
                            biomass RES
                            PPE-TOL                                      139     139     139     139     139     139     139     139   Sc1,2,3,4
                            TE-TO Ljubljana              123     123     184     184     184     184     184     184     184     184
                            Total TPPs                 1,707   1,707   1,818   1,795   1,489   1,489   1,489   1,489   1,443   1,443
                            NPP Krško                    696     696     703     703     703     703     703     703     703     703   Sc1,2,3,4
                            TOTAL                      3,589   3,589   3,707   3,712   3,406   3,426   3,922   3,986   3,940   3,940

16   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
   AND PEAK LOADS

FORECAST

                     INNOVATION

     Smart Grids

                           NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES   17
4.1 ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECAST AT
              THE TRANSMISSION LEVEL
        One of the bases of network planning is forecast-                                          tion of distributed generation (DG) sources in DN
        ing future electricity demand. Inadequate initial                                          and the losses in TN and DN, which is reflected
        assumptions are a frequent reason for suboptimal                                           in the reduced total demand of distribution com-
        investments in the network. For this reason a pre-                                         panies at the transmission level. Figure 4.1 shows
        cise analysis of the future electricity demand at                                          the forecast of installed capacity of DG in DN, and
        the transmission level was prepared in the plan-                                           Figure 4.2 presents a scenario assessment of elec-
        ning process for all development scenarios.                                                tricity generated from DG in DN until 2028.
        When identifying the needs of TN it is also neces-
        sary, among other things, to forecast the genera-

        Figure 4.1: Scenario assessment of the quantity of installed capacity from DG until 2028

                                    3,000

                                    2,500
     Net capacity [MW]

                                    2,000

                                    1,500

                                    1,000

                                     500

                                       0
                                                   2016      Sc1    Sc2 Sc3     Sc4          Sc1   Sc2 Sc3   Sc4          Sc1    Sc2 Sc3    Sc4
                                                                      2020                           2025                          2028

                                                   CHP               Biomass                   Solar
                                                   Hydro             Wind                      Geothermal

        Figure 4.2: Scenario assessment of electricity generation from DG until 2028 [8]

                                    3,500

                                    3,000
     Electricity generation [GWh]

                                    2,500

                                    2,000

                                    1,500

                                    1,000

                                     500
                                            2019      2020   2021        2022         2023     2024      2025      2026         2027       2028

                                                    Sc1            Sc2                Sc3              Sc4

18      ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
Figure 4.3: Scenario assessment of electricity demand until 2028 [8]

                           17,000

                           16,000
Electricity demand [GWh]

                           15,000

                           14,000

                           13,000

                           12,000

                           11,000
                                    2006   2008   2010     2012   2014   2016    2018      2020    2022   2024     2026    2028

                            Previous period          Sc1            Sc1' (without DG)             Sc3            Sc3' (without DG)

                                                     Sc2            Sc2' (without DG)             Sc4            Sc4' (without DG)

   Figure 4.3 presents the forecast of electricity de-                                  The results in Figure 4.3 show that the highest
   mand at the transmission level until 2028 (solid                                     growth of electricity demand is expected in Sc1,
   curves) and the electricity needs of Slovenian                                       also as the consequence of the lower growth of
   customers, or the electricity needs at the trans-                                    DG. In 2028, electricity demand ranging from 14.5
   mission level if there were no DG (dotted curves)                                    to 15.4 TWh can be expected at the transmission
   installed in DN. The dotted curves show the total                                    network level (without PSP), which represents an
   electricity demand (including losses in TN and                                       increase of 11.0 to 17.6 percent over 2017, or, on
   DN) in Slovenia.                                                                     an annual level, 1.1 to 1.8 percent [8].

   4.2 PEAK LOADS AND MINIMAL LOADS
       FORECAST
   The peak loads and minimal loads forecast in the                                     resting to note the dynamic of movement of min-
   next ten-year period for all four scenarios is shown                                 imal loads, where Sc4 is highlighted, as it assumes
   in Figures 4.4 and 4.5, together with the impact of                                  the high growth of DG. Minimal load is expected
   DG on peak and minimal loads for each scenario.                                      to occur on 1st or 2nd May in night time, when the
   It can be observed from the figures that genera-                                     majority of generation is not operational, but DG
   tion from DG will impact the peak load levels at                                     are operating (wind power stations, cogeneration
   the transmission level, depending on the quantity                                    plants, small HPPs, etc.).
   of DG, which will have a direct effect on reduced
   electricity demand and peak load at the trans-
   mission level. The peak load in 2028 will therefore
   range from 2,401 to 2,491 MW, and is expected
   to occur in December or January. It is also inte-

                                                                                             NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES          19
Figure 4.4: Peak loads forecast until 2028 [8]

                                                   2,700

                                                   2,600
      Peak load at the transmission level [MW]

                                                   2,500

                                                   2,400

                                                   2,300

                                                   2,200

                                                   2,100

                                                   2,000

                                                   1,900
                                                           2006      2008   2010     2012   2014   2016    2018   2020    2022   2024      2026    2028

                                                   Previous period             Sc1            Sc1' (without DG)          Sc3            Sc3' (without DG)

                                                                               Sc2            Sc2' (without DG)          Sc4            Sc4' (without DG)

          Figure 4.5: Minimal loads forecast until 2028 [8]

                                                   1,200

                                                   1,100
     Minimal load at the transmission level [MW]

                                                   1,000

                                                    900

                                                    800

                                                    700

                                                    600

                                                    500

                                                    400

                                                    300
                                                           2006   2008      2010     2012   2014   2016    2018   2020    2022   2024     2026    2028

                                                   Previous period             Sc1            Sc1' (without DG)          Sc3            Sc3' (without DG)

                                                                               Sc2            Sc2' (without DG)          Sc4            Sc4' (without DG)

20          ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
5
                    Cr o ss - b o r d e r
                     e xc h a n g e s

    COVERING
    ELECTRICITY DEMAND
    FROM THE TRANSMISSION
    NETWORK

                         Interoperability
                          o f Tr a n s m i ss i o n
                        S y s t e m O p e r ato rs

                 NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES   21
5.1 COVERING ELECTRITY DEMAND

       Electricity demand at the transmission level is                                     tricity generation at the Ljubljana Combined Heat
       covered by generation sources connected to the                                      and Power Plant (TE-TOL) is a side product, since
       transmission network. The annual quantities of                                      its primary role is supplying most of Ljubljana with
       electricity generated from these sources are cal-                                   heating energy and industrial steam. The quantity
       culated according to the climatic conditions in an                                  of electricity generated at PSP Avče is assessed on
       average year, i.e., by taking into account the aver-                                the basis of its previous operation and amounts
       age precipitation and temperatures in the calcu-                                    to 285 GWh. The covering of electricity demand
       lations. The quantity of electricity generated from                                 from the transmission network until 2028 and for
       RES is entirely dependent on weather conditions,                                    all scenarios is shown in Figure 5.1.
       while the main role in electricity generated from
       TPPs is played by the electricity market. As a rule,                                The results indicate a deficit in domestic generation
       the quantities of energy generated from conven-                                     on a similar level in all four visions, primarily as a
       tional sources are obtained with the help of mar-                                   consequence of the uneconomical operation of
       ket simulations within the entire ENTSO-E system.                                   available domestic generation units. The difference
       NPP Krško operates at full capacity with its low                                    will be covered in the market by importing electri-
       production price of electricity. This also applies for                              city from abroad. The structure of generation will
       Unit VI of TPP Šoštanj, although its production                                     not change significantly, and the highest increase
       price is currently higher than market prices. Elec-                                 in generation can be expected in the Sc4 scenario.

       Figure 5.1: Covering of electricity demand from transmission network until 2028 for all
       four scenarios

                         18,000

                         15,000

                         12,000

                          9,000

                          6,000

                          3,000
     Electricity [GWh]

                             0
                                  2019   2020   2021   2022   2023   2024    2025   2026   2027   2028    2019    2020   2021   2022   2023   2024   2025   2026   2027   2028
                                                                 Sc1                                                                      Sc2

                         18,000

                         15,000

                         12,000

                          9,000

                          6,000

                          3,000

                             0
                                  2019   2020   2021   2022   2023   2024    2025   2026   2027   2028     2019   2020   2021   2022   2023   2024   2025   2026   2027   2028
                                                                 Sc3                                                                      Sc4

                                         NPP SLO (1/2)                 TPP                 HPP           PSP              Demand TN

22     ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
5.2 PROJECTION OF ACHIEVING ENERGY
          AND CLIMATE TARGETS

         In line with the requirements of European environ-                                                                 set targets. Only in the optimistic Sc4 scenario,
         mental legislation, the Republic of Slovenia is re-                                                                under which all HPPs on the Sava, Soča, and also
         quired to meet the set energy and climate targets                                                                  on the Mura and Idrijca rivers have been built
         by 2020 and thus contribute to the reduction of                                                                    and, additionally, solar and wind power stations
         greenhouse gas emissions. Slovenia's goal in the                                                                   are being constructed at a rapid pace, does Slo-
         area of electricity supply is to cover at least 38.6%                                                              venia almost come close to its set goal for 2030,
         of its final gross electricity demand in 2020 from                                                                 i.e., 47.4%.
         RES. Figure 5.2 shows a scenario assessment of
         the share of covering final electricity demand from
         RES until 2030. The results show that Slovenia will                                                                5.2.1         Electricity balance forecast
         not fulfil the objectives for 2020 even under the
                                                                                                                            The electricity balance is defined as the differ-
         most optimistic forecasts. To achieve these tar-
                                                                                                                            ence between electricity demand and generation
         gets, Slovenia would need additional generation
                                                                                                                            at the transmission level, where only half of the
         from RES in a quantity between 650 and 1,050
                                                                                                                            energy obtained from NPP Krško (Slovenia owns
         GWh. For comparison, the cascade of HPPs on the
                                                                                                                            50%) is taken into account in the calculation.
         lower Sava River (from HPP Vrhovo to HPP Krško,
                                                                                                                            The results show a negative balance throughout
         without HPP Brežice) has a net total installed ca-
                                                                                                                            the entire observed period for all four scenarios.
         pacity of 144 MW, annually generating from 490
                                                                                                                            Since no additional, large generation units will be
         to 630 GWh of electricity in varying hydrologic
                                                                                                                            constructed in the Slovenian electric power net-
         conditions. On the other hand, photovoltaics with
                                                                                                                            work in the upcoming ten-year period, and con-
         a total capacity of 277 MW generates on average
                                                                                                                            sidering the growth of electricity consumption,
         approximately 270 GWh of electricity per year.
                                                                                                                            Slovenia's dependence on imports can again
         In most of the outlined scenarios until 2030, Slo-                                                                 be expected in future, i.e., between 14% and
         venia is moving away from the increasingly higher                                                                  20% in 2028.

      Figure 5.2: Share of final electricity demand covered with RES for all four scenarios
Share of final electricity demand covered with RES

                                                     55%                                                                                           Sc1

                                                     50%                                                                                  47.4%    Sc2

                                                     45%                                              43.5%                                        Sc3

                                                     40%          38.6%                                                                            Sc4

                                                     35%                                                                                           Energy-climate
                                                                                                                                                   targets
                                                     30%

                                                     25%
                                                           2019   2020    2021   2022   2023   2024   2025    2026   2027   2028   2029   2030

                                                                                                                                   NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES        23
Table 5.1: Electricity balance forecast and import dependence at the transmission level for
     all four scenarios in the upcoming ten-year period (GWh)

                      2019        2020     2021     2022     2023     2024      2025      2026     2027      2028

      Electricity balance (GWh)

      Sc1            -1,303       -1,434   -1,468   -1,711   -1,954   -2,197   -2,440    -2,654    -2,869   -3,083

     Sc2               -931        -876     -838     -872    -1,042   -1,213   -1,383    -1,610    -1,837   -2,064

     Sc3             -1,073       -1,089   -1,136   -1,255   -1,511   -1,679   -2,248    -2,263    -2,491   -2,719

     Sc4             -1,065       -1,076   -1,043   -1,083   -1,258   -1,434   -1,922    -1,957    -2,119   -2,280

     Import dependence (%)

     Sc1                9.4        10.3     10.4     11.9     13.3     14.8      16.1     17.3      18.4      19.5

     Sc2                6.9          6.6      6.2      6.4      7.5      8.6      9.7     11.2      12.5      13.9

     Sc3                7.9          8.0      8.2      8.9    10.5     11.5      14.0     13.8      15.0      16.2

     Sc4                7.9          7.9      7.6      7.8      8.9    10.1      12.2     12.3      13.2      14.1

     5.3 PROJECTION OF ANCILLARY SERVICES
         AND POWER RESERVES
     The frequency containment reserve (hereinaf-              long-term strategy is to install 10 MW advanced
     ter: FCR) and the automatic frequency restora-            battery storage systems in Li-ion technology pri-
     tion reserve (hereinafter: aFRR), as well as the          marily for the purpose of improving the quality
     reactive power reserve for voltage control, are           of secondary frequency control, and at the same
     currently linked only to providers from the terri-        time encouraging other investors to construct
     tory of Slovenia, whereas ELES is already provid-         such flexible sources and offer them in the ancil-
     ing part of the power for the manual frequency            lary services market.
     restoration reserve (mFRR) from abroad through
     an agreement on reserves sharing within the               The implementation of the Regulation [10] also
     control area of Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia and          requires that ELES sets up a local market of ba-
     Herzegovina. ELES is already actively cooperat-           lancing services. For this purpose ELES has pre-
     ing with neighbouring system operators in the             pared entirely new Rules and conditions for pro-
     area of aFRR and mFRR regarding the establish-            viders of balancing services in ELES's balancing
     ment of common markets of such services. Par-             market [10], and submitted them to the Energy
     ticularly two projects in this area will be of key        Agency for approval. Their approval is expected
     importance for ELES in upcoming years: MARI,              by the end of 2018, to be followed by their gradual
     whose purpose is the balanced creation of a               implementation in 2019 and 2020.
     common European platform for the exchange
     of aFRR, and the PICASSO project, whose pur-              In March 2018 an agreement between ELES and
     pose is the creation of a common European                 the generation companies HSE and GEN-I came
     platform for the exchange of aFRR. Besides inte-          into effect, which provides for the constant availa-
     grating markets for aFRR and energy exchange              bility of FCR in the Slovenian electric power system
     mechanisms for aFRR, ELES is endeavouring to              as specified in ENTSO-E requirements (15 MW).
     introduce advanced technologies in the area               This consensual arrangement will remain in effect
     of electricity storage facilities. The company's          until a market for FCR is established.

24   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
ELES has defined a long-term strategy of co-                              with classical generation sources for aFRR and
vering mFRR needs, which takes into account va-                           mFRR.
rious types of available generation or reserve
                                                                          In future, changes will also be necessary in the
sources. Owing to changes in European legisla-
                                                                          financing of ancillary services, since the growing
tion (new network codes), ELES will have to con-
clude shorter-term contracts for the provision of                         needs for ancillary services are also increasing
ancillary services. The company will continue to                          costs. By optimising the prices and costs of an-
actively include in its offer of ancillary services                       cillary services, ELES has so far managed to keep
also other market participants, such as electrici-                        these on a reasonable level. The new model of cal-
ty customers and smaller distributed generation                           culating network charge will have to ensure that
sources integrated into a unified entity (virtual                         end users do not bear the additional burden of
electric power plants). Its goal is to achieve such                       financing, but that growing needs will be financed
a level of development of virtual electric power                          by the generators of additional costs in the form
plants that will enable them to freely compete                            of a special network charge for ancillary services.

5.4 REGIONAL ELECTRICITY EXCHANGE
The key change in this area is the introduction of                        that are the consequence of commercial con-
two network codes regulating the allocation of                            tracts and actual physical flows. This difference is
transfer capacities and the management of trans-                          today one of the key causes of difficulties in trans-
mission network congestion. The two mentioned                             mission networks. Another anticipated result of
documents ([11], [12]) present very clear require-                        implementing new methodologies will be a high-
ments and guidelines to system operators regard-                          er volatility of remaining transmission capacities,
ing the manner of coordinating and developing                             especially for day-ahead and intra-day. If, only a
the specified methodologies. The implementa-                              few years ago, the determination of NTC values
tion of new methodologies in practice will bring                          was the subject of an annual agreement and any
a completely new flow-based approach of deter-                            changes during the year were the consequence of
mining transmission capacities. The final result is                       extraordinary operating events, the situation has
expected to reduce the differences between flows                          completely changed today.

Table 5.2: Maximum NTC values, physical capacity and physical flows at Slovenian borders
in 2017

                                                                                    ITA                 AT                 HR

 Rated capacity of interconnections [MW]*                                          1,488              2,860              4,716

 NTC value - winter 2017 (import/export) [MW]**                                 660/730            950/950         1,500/1,500

 NTC value - summer 2017 (import/export) [MW]**                                 680/620            950/950         1,500/1,500

 Maximum flow in 2017 (import/export) [MW]                                     559/1,405          1,528/913        1,784/1,272

 Average flow in 2017 (import/export) [MW]***                                   110/675            708/245            483/308

 No. of hours of physical flow in direction for 2017
                                                                               217/8,543          8,391/369        3,805/4,955
 (import/export) [h]
* Calculated at cosφ = 0.95.
** Maximum planned NTC hourly value at individual border.
*** Yearly average of hourly physical load flows in specific direction.

                                                                               NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES            25
Despite the strategy of increasing NTC values, a      in the event of the foreseen development of the
     higher increase in future can only be expected        Slovenian network. The NTC values are only indic-
     with the construction of new cross-border connec-     ative and have not been harmonised with neigh-
     tions and investments in critical points, primarily   bouring system operators. It should additionally
     in neighbouring electric power systems. The cal-      be noted that a method of calculating transfer
     culation shows that by observing the N-1 crite-       capacities on the basis of load flows is currently
     rion, the Slovenian electric power system is still    being established in Europe and will replace the
     able to considerably raise the maximum NTC va-        current concept of NTC values, which may signifi-
     lues above the current ones. Table 5.3 shows the      cantly change the quantity of transfer capacities
     assessed future NTC values at Slovenian borders       in future.

     Table 5.3: Indicative NTC values at Slovenian borders in 2020 and 2030

                                                                         Indicative NTC values in MW (import/export)
      Year
                                               ITA                 HR                      AT                   HU

      2020                                 680/730         1,500/1,500               950/950                    0/0

      2030                                 660/730         2,000/2,000            1,200/1,200           1,200/1,200

26   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
6
S m a l l c o n s u m e rs

TRANSMISSION
             NETWORK DEVELOPMENT
            PLAN AND RESEARCH AND
            DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES

                                            Reliability

                                     NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES   27
6.1 SLOVENIAN TRANSMISSION NETWORK
         DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 10-YEAR
         PERIOD

     The set of newly planned transmission facilities       • 400 kV substation Cirkovce (connected with in-
     is presented below by priority, according to indivi-     vestment in: OHL 2 x 400 kV Cirkovce–Pince);
     dual voltage levels and types of facilities, for en-   • 220/110 kV substation Ravne (connected with
     suring the secure and reliable operation of the          investment in: OHL 2 x 220 kV Zagrad–Ravne);
     Slovenian electric power system. Higher priority
                                                            • Second TR 400/110 kV in substation Divača;
     means that a project will be constructed sooner,
     and the level of priority is based on the impact of    • TR 400/110 kV in substation Beričevo (new TR
     an individual project on security of operation.          411);
                                                            • TR 400/110 kV in substation Maribor (replace-
     400 and 220 kV connections:
                                                              ment TR 41);
     • Double circuit OHL 400 kV Cirkovce–Pince (new
                                                            • TR 220/110 kV in substation Divača (replace-
       interconnection between Slovenia and Hunga-
                                                              ment TR 211);
       ry/Croatia);
                                                            • TR 220/110 kV in substation Podlog (replace-
     • Double circuit OHL 220 kV Zagrad–Ravne.                ment TR 212);
     In addition to the above-mentioned investments,        • TR 220/110 kV in substation Kleče (replace-
     activities are also under way in connection with         ment TR 211).
     the potential new high-voltage direct current in-
                                                            110 kV connections:
     terconnection line between Slovenia and Italy,
     which is still in the study phase and a decision on    • Double OHL 110 kV Divača–Gorica (Renče) (fi-
     its execution has not yet been adopted. Its reali-       nalization of the missing section);
     sation depends on market conditions and the at-        • Double OHL 110 kV Dravograd–Velenje (sus-
     tainment of an adequate level of social welfare.         pension of 2nd circuit);
     In the past, ELES was also intensively engaged         • Double OHL 110 kV Brestanica–Hudo (upgrade
     in carrying out the upgrade of the 220 kV trans-         of OHL to double circuit OHL);
     mission network to the 400 kV voltage level, ini-
                                                            • 110 kV cable line (CL) Koper–Izola (new con-
     tially on the Divača-Beričevo section, which was
                                                              nection);
     suspended in 2017 due to difficulties with the
     permitting procedure and siting process of OHL in      • 110 kV CL Izola-Lucija (new connection);
     physical space. Thus, in the present development       • Double OHL 110 kV Divača–Pivka–Ilirska Bistri-
     plan ELES does not foresee any upgrade to the            ca (upgrade of OHL to double circuit OHL);
     400 kV voltage level on any section. The develop-      • Double OHL 110 kV Divača–Koper (upgrade of
     ment plan does, however, foresee the beginning           OHL to double circuit OHL);
     of a longer-lasting process of renewal of the entire   • 110 kV CL Jeklarna–Železarna and 110 kV CL
     400 and 220 kV networks. ELES will conduct the           Železarna–Jesenice.
     necessary studies for project execution by 2021
     and subsequently decide on the beginning of its        110 kV substations and TR:
     implementation.                                        • Battery energy storage systems in substation
                                                              Okroglo and substation Pekre (within the scope
     400 and 220 kV substations and transformers
                                                              of SINCRO.GRID project);
     (TR):
                                                            • Substation 110/20 kV Tolmin (modernisation);
     • Compensation devices in substations Divača,
       Beričevo and Cirkovce (within the scope of the       • Substation 110/20 kV Plave (modernisation);
       SINCRO.GRID project);                                • Substation 110/20 kV Velenje (modernisation).

28   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
Figure 6.1 presents the estimated investments in                             and reliable operation of the entire power system.
  the upcoming ten-year period until 2028. Tables                              However, due to difficulties in obtaining permits
  6.1 and 6.2 show the desired years of inclusion of                           and state spatial planning documents, which are
  individual investments in the transmission net-                              outside of ELES's jurisdiction and on which it has
  work of the Republic of Slovenia from the aspect                             no influence, it is realistic to expect delays in pro-
  of ensuring security of operation under the N-1                              ject realisation that may lead to the unreliability
  criterion. The specified investments are both of                             of the network in future, and consequently to the
  local and national importance, and need to be re-                            non-supply of electricity to customers.
  alised in the given period in order to secure safe

  Figure 6.1: Planned investments in the period from 2019 to 2028

                        180

                        160

                        140

                        120
Investments [mio EUR]

                        100

                         80

                         60

                         40

                         20

                         0
                              2019      2020     2021      2022        2023   2024      2025      2026     2027       2028

                                     Primary equipment - power                       Telecommunications and improvements
                                     lines 400 kV, 220 kV, 110 kV                    in information services
                                     Primary equipment - substations                 Major investments in operation
                                     400 kV, 220 kV, 110 kV
                                     Secondary equipment (protection,                Other planned investments
                                     management, measurements)

                                                                                       NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES          29
Table 6.1: Necessary investments in the transmission network of the Republic of Slovenia
     until 2028

                                                                       2019

                                                                              2020

                                                                                     2021

                                                                                            2022

                                                                                                   2023

                                                                                                          2024

                                                                                                                 2025

                                                                                                                        2026

                                                                                                                               2027

                                                                                                                                      2028
     Project

     400 and 220 kV voltage level

     OHL 2 x 400 kV Cirkovce-Pince *
     OHL 2 x 220 kV Zagrad-Ravne *
     OHL 2 x 400 kV Hrenca-Kozjak (connection of PSP Kozjak) *
     TR 400/110 kV Cirkovce *
     TR 400/110 kV Divača *
     TR 400/110 kV Beričevo *
     TR 400/110 kV Maribor *
     TR 220/110 kV Ravne *
     TR 220/110 kV Divača *
     TR 220/110 kV Podlog *
     TR 220/110 kV Kleče *

     Central Slovenia and Zasavje region 110 kV

     110 kV CL PCL-TETOL **
     110 kV CL Center-TETOL (replacement) **
     OHL 2 x 110 kV Polje-Vič **
     110 kV CL Vrtača-Šiška **
     110 kV CL PCL-Litostroj **
     Connecting OHL for connection of substation LCL **
     Connecting OHL for connection of substation Brdo **
     Connecting OHL for connection of substation Rudnik **
     Connecting OHL for connection of HPP Suhadol **

     Dolenjska, Bela Krajina and Posavje regions 110 kV

     OHL 2 x 110 kV Brestanica-Hudo (reconstruction) *
     OHL 2 x 110 kV Grosuplje-Trebnje **
     OHL 110 kV Kočevje-Hudo (reconstruction) **
     Connecting OHL for connection of substation Ivančna Gorica **
     Connecting OHL for connection of substation Dobruška vas **
     Connecting OHL for connection of substation Mokronog **
     Connecting line for connection of HPP Mokrice *

     Primorska region 110 kV

     OHL 2 x 110 kV Divača-Nova Gorica *
     110 kV CL Koper-Izola *
     110 kV CL Lucija-Izola *
     OHL 2 x 110 kV Divača-Koper (reconstruction) *
     OHL 2 x 110 kV Divača-Pivka-Ilirska Bistrica (reconstruction) *
     OHL 2 x 110 kV Pivka-Postojna (2nd circuit) **
     OHL 2 x 110 kV Cerknica-Postojna **
     Connecting OHL for connection of substation Hrpelje */**
     Connecting line for connection of substation Luka Koper */**

     Koroška and Savinjska Valley regions 110 kV

     OHL 2 x 110 kV Dravograd-Velenje *
     110 kV CL substation 220/110 kV Ravne-Železarna Ravne
     OHL 2 x 110 kV Ravne-Mežica *
     Connecting CL for connection of substation Vojnik *

30   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
2019

                                                                               2020

                                                                                      2021

                                                                                             2022

                                                                                                    2023

                                                                                                           2024

                                                                                                                  2025

                                                                                                                         2026

                                                                                                                                2027

                                                                                                                                       2028
 Project

 Gorenjska region 110 kV
 OHL 2 x 110 kV Kamnik-Visoko **
 110 kV CL Jeklarna-Železarna */**
 110 kV CL Železarna-Jesenice *
 Connecting OHL for connection of substation Brnik **
 Štajerska and Pomurje regions 110 kV
 OHL 110 kV Murska Sobota-Lendava **
 OHL 110 kV Lenart-Radenci **
 Connecting OHL for connection of substation Dobrovnik **
* Investment in ELES's domain.
** Investment in domain of other company.
*/** Investment in domain of ELES and other company (co-investment).

Table 6.2: Necessary investments in new substations until 2028

                                                                       2019

                                                                               2020

                                                                                      2021

                                                                                             2022

                                                                                                    2023

                                                                                                           2024

                                                                                                                  2025

                                                                                                                         2026

                                                                                                                                2027

                                                                                                                                       2028
 Project

 400 in 220 kV voltage level

 Substation 400/110 kV Cirkovce *
 Substation 220/110 kV Ravne */**
 Substation PSP Kozjak **

 Central Slovenia and Zasavje region 110 kV

 Substation PCL **
 Substation LCL */**
 Substation Brdo **
 Substation Rudnik **
 Substation Vodenska **

 Dolenjska, Bela krajina and Posavje regions 110 kV

 Substation Ivančna Gorica **
 Substation Dobruška vas */**
 Substation Mokronog **

 Primorska region 110 kV

 Substation Hrpelje */**
 Substation Izola */**

 Koroška and Savinjska Valley regions 110 kV

 Substation Vojnik */**
 Substation Mežica **

 Gorenjska region 110 kV

 Substation Brnik **
 Substation Kranjska Gora **

 Štajerska and Pomurje region 110 kV

 Substation Dobrovnik **
* Investment in ELES's domain.
** Investment in domain of other company.
*/** Investment in domain of ELES and other company (co-investment).

                                                                              NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES                         31
6.2 PROJECTS OF COMMON INTEREST
     In line with the Commission Delegated Regulation        Europe Facility (CEF) was established to provide
     (EU) No. 2018/540 of 23 November 2017 [13], the         European Union funding.
     following ELES projects have been included in the
                                                             In September 2018, ELES submitted three new
     list of projects of common interest (PCI):
                                                             applications for CEF funding. ELES submitted
     • Interconnection between Cirkovce (SI) and Žer-        an application for the PCI Salgareda (ITA)-Di-
       javinec (CRO) / Heviz (HU) – double circuit OHL       vača-Beričevo (SI) connection together with a
       400 kV Cirkovce-Pince;                                »Study of technical, economic and social effects
     • Italy–Slovenia interconnection between Sal-           of high-voltage direct-current connection be-
       gareda (ITA) and Divača-Beričevo (SI) region;         tween Slovenia and Italy«. The second application
     • SINCRO.GRID project from the thematic area            was for the smart grid project »Implementation
       of smart grids.                                       of the project of common interest SINCRO.GRID«
     The projects of common interest are eligible for        - Phase 2. For the first time ELES also applied for
     financial assistance in the form of non-reimburs-       CEF funding with a project in the field of construc-
     able aid for studies, work and projects in the area     tion works – »Construction of OHL 2 x 400 kV Cir-
     of smart grids. For this purpose the Connecting         kovce-Pince and substation 400/110 kV Cirkovce«.

     6.3 OTHER INVESTMENTS PRIORITIES IN
         THE NEXT 10-YEAR PERIOD
     6.3.1    SINCRO.GRID Project                            6.3.2 NEDO Project
     The SINCRO.GRID smart grids project was set up          In November 2016 the representatives of the Slo-
     by the system operators of the transmission and         venian Government and ELES on one side, and the
     distribution networks of Slovenia and Croatia           Japanese New Energy and Industrial Technolo-
     (ELES, HOPS, SODO and HEP-ODS), and offers an           gies Development Organization (NEDO) and the
     innovative system integration of mature technolo-       Hitachi company on the other side, signed offi-
     gies whose synergy will benefit the electric power      cial agreements on the beginning of cooperation
     systems of Slovenia and Croatia, as well as other       within the framework of the Slovenian-Japanese
     countries in the region. The project includes the de-   partnership. The NEDO project is designed to set
     ployment of compensation devices, an advanced           up advanced network management and operat-
                                                             ing systems that combine all voltage levels of the
     dynamic thermal rating system, a battery energy
                                                             power system into an efficient whole, and whose
     storage system, integration of distributed RES, and
                                                             purpose is to utilise available sources from all volt-
     a virtual cross-border control centre with pertaining
                                                             age levels for effective operation of the complete
     information and telecommunications infrastruc-
                                                             system. The substantive focus of the project is on
     ture. The value of the entire project is 88,6 million
                                                             secondary voltage control using battery energy
     EUR, of which 40,5 million EUR was obtained from        storage systems, voltage control, and the inclu-
     the CEF (Connecting Europe Facility) fund and 59,3      sion of active consumers.
     million EUR is ELES's share in the entire project.
     SINCRO.GRID is divided into 11 activities and was
     initiated in 2015. It is currently in the implementa-
     tion phase, which will be completed in 2021.

32   ELES NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028
6.3.3 SUMO Project                                     the Maximo Insights module was implemented –
                                                       asset health index. Further integrations with other
The SUMO project integrally connects the Dy-
                                                       technical systems are planned.
namic Thermal Rating (DTR) technology with
N and N-1 reliability analyses. It provides the
transmission system operator with a transparent
                                                       6.3.6 Battery Energy Storage
assessment of transmission capacities regarding
current and forecasted atmospheric conditions
                                                       Systems
and loading of the transmission network. SUMO          ELES encounters problems primarily in the areas
results have been used by ELES in its operations       of secondary control of active power and frequen-
since December 2016, where the operating li-           cy, for which there are insufficient quantities of
mits of four OHLs are being assessed on the basis      reserves in the Slovenian power system, while the
of dynamic thermal ratings. SUMO's results are         quality of such services is not satisfactory, primar-
integrated in SCADA/EMS, thus allowing for the         ily due to the technical limitations of generation
transparent use of results by operators. In 2017       sources. In searching for solutions to such prob-
and 2018, SUMO enabled the network's opera-            lems, ELES has focused on modern battery energy
tion above the static thermal limit more than 40       storage systems and set the long-term goal of in-
times.                                                 stalling electricity storage systems that will parti-
                                                       cipate in secondary frequency control.

6.3.4 ELES Beričevo Technology                         Battery energy storage systems are one of the
Centre                                                 main building blocks of the international SINCRO.
                                                       GRID smart grid project. Within the scope of this
The first phase of the project was completed in        project, ELES will install 10 MW of advanced lith-
2018, during which the southern office lamel-
                                                       ium-ion battery storage systems. Alongside the
la was constructed and part of the necessary
                                                       SINCRO.GRID project, the installation of battery
landscaping, traffic, utility, energy and telecom-
                                                       energy storage systems is also planned within the
munications arrangements were carried out in
                                                       scope of the NEDO project.
order to ensure the undisturbed functioning of
the building in the first phase, as well as of the
existing facilities. The second phase foresees the
                                                       6.3.7 Compensation devices for
construction of the critical, technological part of
the facility, which includes the national and re-      voltage control
gional control centres, as well as additional office   This solution is the answer to the ever-increasing
and technological space. In the third phase, ELES      lack of adequate ancillary services which, in the
foresees the construction of the northern lamella      past, were generally provided by conventional
that will provide the basic working conditions for     generation sources, and which at present are be-
the functioning of maintenance groups working          ing driven out of operation by other generation
on overhead lines and at substations. The facility     sources that are incapable of providing ancillary
will comprise four storeys – two parking levels and    services. This phenomenon is also strongly pre-
two office storeys.                                    sent in Slovenia's transmission system, which is
                                                       why ELES has set the goal of ensuring the long-
                                                       term autonomous control of the voltage profile
6.3.5 Development of Diagnostics                       with its own sources and the coordinated ma-
and Analytics Centre                                   nagement of these sources, which will provide
In line with project documentation, the new Cen-       for their coordinated and optimal operation.
tre will be set up at a new location in 2019 – at      After devoting numerous activities to the con-
ELES's Technology Centre in Beričevo. Within           cept of installing compensation devices in the
the scope of the project's second phase, the pro-      past, ELES will implement the concept within the
gramme contents will be expanded by upgrades           scope of the European/international SINCRO.
of existing technical information systems. In 2019     GRID project.

                                                            NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2019–2028 ELES            33
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