Decoding COVID-19: The impact and outlook on dairy consumption - Ipsos
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Decoding COVID-19: The impact and outlook on dairy consumption © 2020 Ipsos All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos “本公司遵守市场、民意和社会调查ISO20252及 ESOMAR标准等相关法规和专业准则”
THE DEMAND FOR DAIRY REMAINS STRONG DESPITE EPIDEMIC. SOME CONSUMERS EVEN SPEND MORE ON DAIRY. Changes of consumption among categories % ( spend more% - spend less%) When staying home Medicine & health care becomes a must… 38 (Daily necessary food/fresh food/instant food)In-home food 36 Spend (Online education/entertainment/health services)Online service 19 more (Milk/packaged beverage/alcohol)Dairy/beverage 13 -3 Babycare/pet product -4 Personal care, skin & cosmetic Spend -6 Travel product 76% less -7 3C/car/housing/luxury/finance of consumers reduce the frequency of Hairdressing -9 going out -10 Offline activity -17 Sport/clothing 2 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
BOTH PURE MILK AND YOGURT IN NORMAL TEMPERATURE ARE STILL POPULAR WITH IN-HOME CONSUMERS. MILK IN LOW TEMPERATURE (YOGURT/LACTOBACILLUS DRINKS) SHOWS OPPORTUNITY TO BOOST SALES. Changes of diary consumption( spend more % - spend less %) Pure milk (normal temperature) Yogurt (normal temperature) Yogurt (low temperature) Lactobacillus drink Penetration Fresh milk (low temperature) Cheese Milky drinks Vegetable protein drinks Various taste milk 3 更倾向家庭场景 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
MORE FOCUS ON VALUE: NUTRITION, BENEFIT AND QUALITY ARE PAID MORE ATTENTION, MEANWHILE TASTE IS STILL IN HIGH DEMAND. Drivers of milk consumption during epidemic outbreak Nutrition (51%) Shelf life (49%) Advertisement (5%) Benefit (34%) Taste (49%) Celebrity endorsement(5%) Price (36%) Quality (29%) Pay more attention 4 Same as usual Pay less attention Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
CHANNEL PERFORMANCES ARE DIVERSIFIED. ONLINE CHANNEL, ESPECIALLY OTO PLATFORM IS BOOMING. Changes of usage frequency among different channels (more % - less %) More frequent Slightly reduce Dramatically reduce 20 29 29 29 16 23 25 28 More frequent 46 46 than usual 18 19 15 17 18 19 20 18 Same as usual 17 18 Less frequent 36 45 50 33 29 39 43 45 than usual 27 29 Comprehensive Online store of Convenient Cross-border O2O platform Social EC WeChat EC Supermarket Retail store Hypermarket EC shopping mall store/grocery EC 5 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
WITH STRONGER HEALTH AWARENESS, OPPORTUNITY LOOMS TO DAIRY SALES. 75% of consumers claim "more care about health” 6 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
8 OPPORTUNITIES FOR DAIRY GROWTH AFTER THE EPIDEMIC. More frequent More People More occasion More volume More brand Category Penetration Higher frequency Purchase more Brand Penatration 7
DAIRY IS A CORE COMPONENT OF HEALTHY NUTRITIVE DIET TO IMPROVE HEALTH. 67% Improve health via healthy diet and balanced nutrition in the future Balanced nutrition 33% 43% Will spend more on dairy Drink milk 25% Drink yogurt 21% Small amount and frequent meals 19% Eat organic food 15% Diet regimen 14% Eat meal replacement 10% Eat salad 7% Eat functional food 7% Have milk powder 6% 9 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
FAMILIES WITH QUALITY LIFE FOCUS MORE ON BALANCED NUTRITION. Focus on balanced nutrition Married with 108 children 36-45 years old 115 Average monthly household income 137 (More than Core goal: focus on family with quality of life 20000RMB) 10 Data source:IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
BREAKFAST/NIGHT ARE CORE OCCASIONS FOR SEEKING BALANCED NUTRITION, WHILE LEISURE/OUTDOORS Category relevance REMAIN TO BE EXPANDED. (Index=Demand/Total*100) Basic white Usage scenarios 94 milk Permeability Breakfast at Premium (%) Leisure at 107 home home Bedtime white milk Index=115 Index=102 Index=108 Fresh milk (low Home 家庭聚会 temperature) 88 (83%) 伴餐 Yogurt 餐后 28% 109 Working (normal 32% 工作 breakfast 30% temperature) Index=102 下午茶 聚 Yogurt 会 100 休闲 20% (low temperature) 33% Office/Public place Lactobacillus 运动 (62%) drink 103 餐 通勤 充饥 15% 9% 逛街 Milky drinks 93 代 垫腹 Index=108 21% 38% 旅游/露营 Vegetable Outdoors 108 19% protein (53%) drinks Breakfast Dinner Leisure time Night (67%) (69%) (85%) (27%) Cheese 96 11 Data source:IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
CASE INTERPRETATION Professional nutrition Deliver nutritional Nutrition collocation and dietary guidance value of dairy Mengniu has established a nutrition Mengniu timely responded to the Ambrosial nutrition station, paired research institute to provide national call, issued the “Drinking with nuts and oats, provides consumers with professional nutrition milk every day keeps Chinese healthy" consumers with nutritional dietary and dietary guidance, gradually initiative, thoroughly and effectively recommendations, which can be educate consumers on how to use implement the "new coronavirus applied to a variety of scenarios, dairy products to achieve balanced infected pneumonia prevention and and further enhance the nutritional 12nutrition, and establish a professional control nutrition diet guidance" issued impression of the product. image. by the National Health Commission.
OPPORTUNITY MORE CARE ABOUT # 2 INTESTINAL IMMUNITY
ENHANCE ATTENTION TO INTESTINAL IMMUNITY, WHICH IS HIGHLY CONSISTENT WITH FUNCTIONAL NEED OF DAIRY. 52% Top 10 functional needs of Look for foods that can dair y improve health/immunity Help digestion and absorption 38% Improve immunity 37% Stimulate the appetite 34% Balance intestinal flora 30% Help refreshing 30% 70% Of human immune cells Active bacteria Relieve constipation Promotes bone growth 26% 26% 26% come from the gut. Help sleep 24% Loss weight/fat 23% -Baidu Zhidao 14 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
YOUNG GENERATION AND THOSE FAMILIES WITH KIDS CARE MORE ABOUT IMMUNITY. The youth focus on Families with kids look for active bacteria balanced intestinal flora Single Married with Married 106 children 108 Under 30 31-45 110 116 years old years old 小资生活 养生专家 Average monthly Average monthly household income 115 household income 115 (More than (More than 10000RMB) 10000RMB) 15 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
STRONG DEMAND OF IMMUNITY IN POST-MEAL SCENARIO AND LEISURE IS GRADUALLY EXPANDED. Category relevance (Index=Demand/Total*100) Basic white Usage scenarios 68 milk Permeability 在家 Premium (%) Leisure at 睡前时光 早餐 home 27% white Milk 72 50% Index=110 庭聚会 Fresh milk (low Home 伴餐 家 temperature) 73 (83%) After 28% dinner Yogurt 32% (normal 104 Index=122 Afternoon temperature) 工作早餐 tea of work 休闲聚会 Index=115 Yogurt 126 27% 20% Office/Public place (low temperature) 运动 Lactobacillus 130 (62%) 通勤 餐 drinks 充饥 15% 街 代 9% 逛 Milky drinks 109 垫腹 21% 21% 38% 旅游/露营 Vegetable Outdoors 19% (53%) protein drinks 102 Breakfast Dinner Leisure time Night (67%) (69%) (85%) (27%) Cheese 68 16 Data source:IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
CASE INTERPRETATION Enhance the functional Contain beneficial active feature of dairy bacteria Each bottle of Youyi C LC-37 contains Yakult Japan recently launched Guanyi milk is rich in Bifidobacterium lactis (BB-12), 50 billion active lactobacillus paracei the "upgraded" Yakult product, which is widely recognized at home and abroad to (LC-37), which can resist the claiming that each bottle improve intestinal health and enhance immunity,, destruction of gastric acid and bile, contains at least 10 billion and Guanyi milk is the only yogurt product certified ensure a sufficient number of live special active lactobacillus, by the national "health food" at present. which can not only improve the bacteria to reach the intestinal tract, intestinal environment, but also and still show strong activity under relieve stress and help to 17 the temperature of human body at 37 sleep. ℃.
OPPORTUNITY EXPLORING IN COOKING/BAKING # 3 SCENARIO
STAYING AT HOME TO LEARN COOKING/BAKING BECOMES A NEW POTENTIAL SCENARIO. Hot topics about cooking 44% Try to cook 19 -Sina Weibo Top Search Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
MID-AGE HOUSEHOLD WOMEN ARE MORE LIKELY TO COOK/BAKE. Category relevance (Index=Demand/Total*100) Basic white milk 104 Premium white milk107 Foodie Yogurt 112 (normal temperature) Yogurt 107 (low temperature) Cheese 111 Characteristics of the population: 41-50 middle aged women, married with children 20 Data source:IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
“DRINK ” TO “EAT ” TikTok:popular videos of Food WeChat Account: dairy as baking with dairy products the core ingredient of desserts 图片来源:抖音视频 图片来源:“日食记”微信公众号 21
OPPORTUNITY MAKING IT HEALTHY # 4 SNACKS
LEISURE SNACKS IS THE BEST PARTNER FOR KILLING TIME AT HOME AND DAIRY PRODUCTS GRAB MARKET SHARE WITH HEALTH CONCEPT. 90% of consumers bought snacks during the epidemic 50% of consumers said they People who bought more snacks during the epidemic bought more snacks during the 103 107 106 epidemic 18-29 years old Tier 1 cities Dairy users 23 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
DAIRY SNACKS CAN EXTEND MORE USAGE SCENARIOS. Category relevance (Index=Demand/Total*100) Usage scenarios Basic white 89 Permeability milk (%) Breakfast Premium 101 Leisure at 睡前时光 white milk at home home 27% Index=112 Fresh milk (low 79 Home 50% 庭聚会 (83%) 伴餐 temperature) 餐后 28% Yogurt 100 32% 通勤 Index=105 Afternoon (normal temperature) 工作早餐 tea of work Paryty Yogurt Index=101 Index=101 106 27% (low temperature) Office/Public place Lactobacillus (62%) 110 餐 drinks Cure hunger 15% 9% Milky drinks 106 Index=103 21 逛街 代 %旅游/露营 21% Vegetable 118 Outdoors 19% protein drinks (53%) Breakfast Dinner Leisure time Night Cheese 87 (67%) (69%) (85%) (27%) 24 Data source:IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
CASE INTERPRETATION Mike Tablets Yogurt Block The Maxigenes blueberry milk tablet is made Yili Yi Xiaosheng Lactobacillus freeze-dried from natural Australian milk. It has a strong yoghourt block adopts FD vacuum freeze-drying milk flavor and specially added with blueberry technology to retain nutrients. A box of extract. It has a good taste and anthocyanin, yoghourt block contains 40 million active which helps to maintain eye health. probiotics and has three flavors of original / yellow peach / blueberry, good taste and 25 nutritious.
OPPORTUNITY BE ASSISTANT IN THE NEW TREND OF # 5 EXERCISE/FITNESS
MORE EXERCISE IS THE SECOND IMPORTANT MEASURE TO IMPROVE HEALTH. Regular work Sporting 65% Improve health by exercise and rest Less sedentary Walking 27 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
THE POST 90S ELITES ARE TAKING MORE EXERCISE TO MANAGE THEIR BODY AND STAY FIT. Category relevance (Index=Demand/Total*100) Premium 112 white milk Lactobacillus 120 drink Fresh milk (low 117 temperature) Vegetable 121 protein drinks Characteristics of the population: post-90s, elites and more managers 28 Data source:IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
CASE INTERPRETATION Less calorie but High protein Light enjoyment satiety supplement Bright Dairy launched "original low Mengniu "half meal life", YO Keep yoghurt is the first body fat and reduced sucrose " normal advocating the concept of management yogurt in China. The temperature yoghurt. This yoghurt reducing calories, dietary fiber protein content is three times of the reduces sugar and fat. It claims that curing hunger, with a sense of national standard, which perfectly there are only 66kcal in every 100g. fullness. combines the advantages of high It focuses on the concept of light protein and low calorie of cheese and body, delicious and appetizing. 29 yogurt.
OPPORTUNITY STOCK-UP BUYING DRIVES # 6 FCL/MULTI-PACK SALES
RAISING STOCKPILE AWARENESS AND STOCK-UP BUYING DRIVES FCL/MULTI-PACK SALES ,MEANWHILE PUT FORWARD HIGHER REQUIREMENTS FOR SHELF LIFE. 40% increase dairy purchases during the epidemic 31 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak Second-hand data from deck research
CASE INTERPRETATION Fresh milk with a shelf life 15 days warranty of up to 19 days guarantee high quality Yuexianhuo adopts the innovative INF0.09 second ultra-instantaneous sterilization technology and Shiny Meadow adopts the original fresh locking low temperature aseptic filling technology to technology to lock in more nutrients of fresh milk. retain more natural active proteins in milk, so The shelf life reaches 15 days while guarantees that fresh milk can be sterilized in a shorter time, high quality. thus achieving a longer shelf life of up to 19 days. 32
OPPORTUNITY O2O/E-COMMERCE # 7 DIVERSIFY SALES CHANNELS
DURING THE EPIDEMIC, O2O PLATFORM GREW EXPLOSIVELY. O2O:take fully advantage of Offline supermarket:rely on delivery home services platform to provide consumers with daily necessities • Shanghai: 500000 packaged vegetables and 80 tons of bulk vegetables are put on the shelves in a single day • Beijing: The supply of vegetables is three times as usual. • orders on New Year’s Eve increased by more than 300% over the same period last year JD home: From New Year's Eve to the ninth day of the • unit price increased by about 70% lunar new year, the turnover was +374% year to year, • From New Year‘s Eve to the including: fourth day of the new year, the trading volume increased by • Grain, oil and non-staple food :+736.40% year to year 321% compared with the same • Meat:+711.11% year to year period last year. • Snacks:+ 527.16% year to year • The unit price of customers • Vegetable:+ 441.1% year to year increased by about 30 yuan, up to 120 yuan • Fruit:+ 378.8% year to year 34 Data source:Second-hand data from deck research
USING HABITS AND NEW USERS INCREMENT ARE THE TWO BONUS THAT O2O PLATFORM CAN GRASP FROM THIS SPECIAL PERIOD. Platform/Apps ever used(%) JD home 26 38 MEITUAN 21 35 46% DIANPING Ele.me 16 33 Freshhema 21 32 Tmall Fresh Market 18 30 Purchase food on O2O MISS FRESH 17 24 platform more frequently Yong Hui 11 16 Wal Mart Express 13 16 elemestar 7 11 Dmall APP 6 11 During the epidemic Fruit day 7 10 The first time 35 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
CONVENIENCE IS THE CORE MOTIVATION OF FMCG HOME DELIVERY SERVICE. Reasons related to delivery Reasons for using FMCG Reasons related to 17% 65% delivery home delivery service Don’t have to take 12% 51% it home by yourself Reasons related to convenience Quick delivery 5% 46% Reasons related to 53% 87% convenience Convenient to keep indoors 23% 60% Reasons related to products Quick payment, no queuing Reasons related to 10% 53% 18% 18% 50% products Buy it whenever you want , A variety of products, which can 9% 38% 15% 41% no need to keep in mind basically meet my needs No time to go to the mall 6% 31% Don’t worry about The main Reason 2%26% buying fake products Inconvenient to choose products in the mall.3% 2… The most important of main reasons Reasons related to price Not worth a visit to the mall specially 3% 26% Reasons related 12% 44% to price Strong promotion and 12% 44% favorable price Data source:IPSOS&SmartGo FMCG Home Delivery Service White Book
HIGH-INCOME MEN ARE MORE LIKELY TO USE O2O APPS, AND DAIRY IS ONE OF THE TOP 3 CATEGORIES TO BE PURCHASED IN THIS CHANNEL. THE TOP 3 CATEGORIES TO BE PURCHASED IN O2O APPS 54% 41% 40% SNACKS BEVERAGE MILK & YUGURT Characteristics of the population: 35-45 years old, male, tier-1 city, high income 37 Data source:IPSOS&SmartGo FMCG Home Delivery Service White Book
FMCG HOME DELIVERY SERVICE HIGH-FREQUENCY USER SHOPPING PATH :ONE-STOP SHOPPING, FAST PURCHASE DECISION PROCESS. Enter Store Coupon the comparison store 00:00 Purchase ☑ Voucher for store(√must get) √ A big mall I’m familiar with Open APP High viscosity of based on High repeat ☑ Red packets √ A comparison of the store promotion Buy it when you need it urgently Channels Place an order when you see a discount… history purchase ☑ Voucher for brand( Selective collection )… √ A comparison of the service time Place an order any time, as long as √… someone at home… Add Browse by Search by to cart category keywords Flash sale → Promotion/Shopping Festival → Category Delivery Make up time Exchange an order Payment Red packets 03:00 ¥30~¥70 Extra Delivered bonus *Can improve the speed of the order grabbing 38 Data source:IPSOS&SmartGo FMCG Home Delivery Service White Book
PLAY EARLY ROLE O2O CHANNELS AND OPTIMIZE THE PROPORTION OF ONLINE AND OFFLINE SALES CHANNELS OF DAIRY. Mega Brand:Marketing Niche brand:Community on O2O Platform marketing via WeChat 图片来源:蒙牛/美菜官方微博 图片来源:“新乳业”微信公众号 Mengniu united Meicai O2O platform: Holy-Lake dairy attracts users to join the propose to drink milk everyday, balance membership via wechat and often nutrition, ensure milk supply and launches member promotion activities distribution of the platform during the such as flash sale and group purchase to 39 epidemic, and establish a more healthy and improve user viscosity. active brand image.
OPPORTUNITY OPEN BRAND ATTITUDE PROVIDES A SHORTCUT FOR EMERGING # 8 BRANDS
DURING THE EPIDEMIC, CONSUMERS HOLD A MORE OPEN ATTITUDE TOWARDS BRANDS. SMALL TOWN YOUTH ARE POTENTIAL INCREMENTAL USERS. Dairy purchasing drivers during epidemic Nutritional value 52% Product taste 51% Product warranty 50% Product price 36% Product function 35% Product composition 32% People who think less about the brand during the epidemic: Product quality 29% Promotional activities 27% 97 94 Brand 26% 18-29岁 下线城市 Brand ranking dropped significantly compared to 41 daily situation Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak IPSOS Innovation Trend of Dairy Y2019
EMERGING BRANDS LEVERAGE PLATFORM ADVANTAGES TO STRENGTHEN KEY SELLING POINTS , SEIZE OPPORTUNITY TO OVERTAKE ON CURVE. • From New Year‘s Eve to the fourth 46 % day of the new year, the trading volume increased by 321% year to year • The unit price increased by about 30 Consumers said that the frequency of yuan, up to 120 yuan using FMCG home delivery service was higher than before during the epidemic. WENSDI YOGURT • Ranked high in sales, with sales of 10000+ pieces in the past month 42 Data source:IPSOS The impact and outlook on dairy consumption during COVID-19 outbreak
For the full report Please contact us THANK Ipsos (China) Consulting Co., Ltd. Executive Research Director 陈超 Michael Chan Michael.Chan@ipsos.com Tel: +86 20 8314 8900
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