DC Participants Seek Certainty - DC Dialogue
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DC Dialogue Volume 9 | Issue 8 December 2014 Your Global Investment Authority Defined Contribution Plans DC Participants Seek Certainty In this PIMCO DC Dialogue, we speak with Philip Chao about trust and the importance of fiduciary roles for both DC plan sponsors and consultants. He discusses the DC plan design process, suggesting that plan sponsors start with setting the plan’s objective and defining how to measure success. The desire of plan sponsors and participants to increase the certainty of reaching retirement objectives increases the focus on retirement income as the expected destination; yet neither group is fully grasping the trade-offs between the expectation for performance/return and the probability of success. Plan sponsors should select their qualified default investment alternative (QDIA) based on the likelihood of reaching the plan’s objective in the sole interest of participants. If a target-date fund series is used, Philip suggests identifying the strategic (not just the equity) glide path that is most likely to meet the plan sponsor’s conscious This issue features an interview with trade-off between return and outcome certainty and then use Philip S.L. Chao, CFP®, RPA®, AIFA®, Principal and Chief Investment Officer, this strategic glide path for performance benchmarking. Philip Chao & Company, Ltd. also suggests that constrained tactical asset allocation and a prudent blend of active and passive asset management would add value over time to the target-date funds. He does not believe in a passive, set-it-and-forget-it approach in glide path management (or none management). Managed accounts, the least discussed QDIA option, should be evaluated on the same Moderated by basis as target-date, target-risk and other asset managers. Stacy L. Schaus, CFP® Finally, he encourages regulators to provide more safe harbors PIMCO Executive Vice President and Defined Contribution Practice Leader to plan sponsors for the retirement income and advice offerings they make. DC Dialogue: Can you share with us an overview of your organization and the types of clients you serve? Philip Chao: Chao & Company is an SEC registered investment advisory firm. We provide investment consulting and investment management services to organizations and individuals. Our primary focus is delivering fiduciary
investment advice to DC plan sponsors. We serve DC plans either as an ERISA 3(21) co-fiduciary investment adviser or as a 3(38) delegated investment manager, but never both for a single plan. We value establishing a Our DC vision is to improve plan participants’ lives by helping plan sponsors make prudent fiduciary decisions. To that end, we strive to provide the trust-based relationship thoughtful analysis, educated guidance, and leadership that plan sponsors with our plan sponsor seek to fulfill their fiduciary duties to their plan participants. Above all else, clients that leads to helping we value establishing a trust-based relationship with our plan sponsor clients DC participants reach that leads to helping DC participants reach their retirement goals. their retirement goals. DCD: You noted that you act as a 3(21) co-fiduciary or a 3(38) delegated fiduciary, but never as both for a single plan. Can you explain why? Chao: We believe we can wear only one fiduciary hat at a time while serving a DC plan sponsor. We want to make sure there is no real or perceived conflict of interest. Typically we serve in a 3(21) co-fiduciary role, so we’re working alongside the plan sponsor; they retain the final decision-making authority. We help them with the plan design and investment selection and monitoring. We attempt to deliver the best thinking about DC plan management and offer the perspective of how behavioral finance affects decision-makers and participants alike with regard to savings, investments and outcome. At times, our 3(21) work may prompt a client to ask whether we would also manage investments, such as custom target-date strategies or custom risk models. While we can fulfill this type of 3(38) investment management role, we believe the client should first hire another 3(21) co-fiduciary to scrutinize our 3(38) services and portfolio construction through a rigourous RFP or RFI process. Plan fiduciaries should separate 3(21) and 3(38) services to confirm those in a 3(38) role are independently selected and evaluated. Our firm can act in one capacity or the other, but we should not serve in both for the same plan. We also separate our work with individual investors and DC plan sponsors; we will not take on a plan participant as an individual client if we’re working as a fiduciary to their DC or DB plan. Again, whether perceived or real, we avoid potential conflicts of interest. We do not want to compromise our clients or put plan sponsors at risk. 2 DECEMBER 2014 | PIMCO DC DIALOGUE
DCD: Does your firm’s work with individuals give you a different perspective on DC plan design? Chao: Yes, I believe so. Working with individual investors keeps us grounded and focused on what is important to the participant in the real world. We are To increase certainty more aware of a participant’s perceptions, needs and vulnerabilities. To that of outcome requires end, I believe having practiced in the financial planning field helps a great deal. Rather than thinking only at an institutional or macro level, we’re de-risking and not thinking about what the participant objectives are, how participants may re-risking. Helping respond to risk, and how to communicate in a language they grasp. For participants and instance, we may help plan sponsors consider the returns, volatility and value-at-risk when thinking about investment options available for individual plan sponsors better participant portfolio construction, whereas the participant may be more grasp the risk-return- concerned about simplicity and gaining confidence that they can retire. outcome certainty We may tell participants that they have a 50% chance of reaching the trade-off is a real investment return they need to meet their retirement objective. A typical challenge. Participants response might be, “Well, 50% doesn’t seem very high. Can you ratchet that don’t want to take a lot up to 80%?” Most investors equate risk and performance as a directional dial. The naive view that dialing up the equity beta equals dialing up the of risk. portfolio value cannot be overstated. If participants expect an average annual return of 6%, this means there is a 50% chance they would not realize this annual return going forward, even in the make-believe world of normal distribution. To increase certainty of outcome requires de-risking and not re-risking. Helping participants and plan sponsors better grasp the risk-return- outcome certainty trade-off is a real challenge. Participants don’t want to take a lot of risk; they want predictable (perhaps absolute) return. We demonstrate how to reduce risk, but we also shine a light on the trade-off in terms of what participants may give up in exchange. In today’s financially repressed, single- digit-return world, aiming for an 8% return is perhaps too high given the risk, but a 3% return is too low and falls short of the retirement income goal. We emphasize the dual need to save and invest. By working closely with individual investors, you become more aware of on-the-ground risk perceptions and capacity. Individuals need more certainty than institutional investors such as foundations or endowments may be seeking. DC plans should be designed with individual perceptions and limitations kept clearly in mind. PIMCO DC DIALOGUE | DECEMBER 2014 3
DCD: Can you tell us how you approach a DC plan design project? Chao: Our first step is to help DC plan sponsors understand their duties and responsibilities as fiduciaries, as well as our firm’s role. We inform them that they have a serious and important role for which they are personally liable. They need to understand that before they serve as a plan fiduciary. Their only reward in serving should be in knowing they did the right thing for the participants. We make clear that my firm’s role as a 3(21) co-fiduciary is to help guide them in their fiduciary duties, but that they retain decision-making authority. We remind them that ERISA fiduciaries are subject to a set of standards under 404(a), including acting in the sole interest of the plan participants and their beneficiaries and carrying out fiduciary duties prudently, such as selecting investments and confirming reasonable fees, diversifying investments to minimize risk, and following plan documents. In the end, it’s not about being right or wrong in the design, investment selection or otherwise. What’s important is that plan sponsors can demonstrate that they worked in the sole interest of the participants, made reasonable decisions, think through the issues, and developed and adhere to a prudent process. It boils down to good governance, reasonable decisions, and orderly process and documentation – in other words, good housekeeping. We ask the plan sponsor DCD: How do you get started in designing the investment structure? to forget about how the Chao: We begin with a basic question: “What is the objective for this plan?” It plan is designed today; is rare for us to set up a new plan; rather, we’re typically asked to advise on an they are encouraged to existing plan. With that said, it may be surprising how much time we spend on step back and identify the plan’s objective. We ask the plan sponsor to forget about how the plan is designed today; they are encouraged to step back and identify what they are what they are trying trying to accomplish. This often leads to a refreshing discussion of the DC plan to accomplish. as a benefit program and the outcome they seek for their participants. Yet, plan sponsors are rarely specific about the desired outcome. Instead, we often initially hear they simply want a competitive plan, or they may tell us how a DC plan is the only retirement savings vehicle employees have. We then work with the plan sponsors to articulate and document the objective for the plan. Once the objective is set, then we work on crafting the investment structure to help meet this objective. 4
DCD: Tell us how you go about setting an income replacement target. Chao: We consider the organization’s workforce (i.e., thinking in sole interest of the participants) and the retirement income sources for the typical employee. A law firm’s demographics, income distribution and other factors Selecting the appropriate may differ greatly from a retail chain store. The law firm may have higher-paid target-date fund workers and lower turnover. These are important considerations as we think series is of the utmost about the median worker profile. Median is not perfect either, but it’s a start. We consider Social Security, likelihood of the existence of other retirement importance since the plan plans, housing wealth, and other retirement income sources. participants will tend In general, plans consider a 75% to 80% income replacement as the default to invest in this option target, including Social Security. About half of that need can be covered by whether by default or Social Security and other income sources. This leaves DC plans to fill in the choice. Plan sponsors remaining 35% to 40% of income for the median worker over the course of a working career. This isn’t exact and won’t fit all workers, but a general have to get this one right. target helps us as we consider the plan design. We ask ourselves whether the median participant is likely to meet their income needs. We want the plan sponsor to understand the probability of failure and whether the plan is likely to meet the set objective. This goes beyond investment return and pulls in the average deferral rate, employer contribution amount and other assumptions. DCD: How does thinking about the income replacement level influence the investment selection and overall design? Chao: Assessing the likelihood of meeting the plan’s objective can help plan sponsors evaluate target-date funds and other QDIAs as well as test the balance in and portfolio construction adequacy of their core lineup. Most plans we work with select target-date funds as their QDIA and also offer a set of core investment choices – capital preservation, bonds, inflation hedging and stocks. Some also offer a brokerage window. When serving as a plan’s QDIA, selecting the appropriate target-date fund series is of the utmost importance since the plan participants will tend to invest in this option whether by default or choice. Most participants are the “do it for me” type. Plan sponsors have to get this one right for the median participant. For each plan, we consider plan participation and contribution rates. Contribution rates are commonly the single biggest variable – more important than return – in driving results. Yet, simply increasing the contribution level without calibrating the risk versus return trade-offs would be a mistake, as placing too much at risk may undermine the value of increasing the contribution rate. PIMCO DC DIALOGUE | DECEMBER 2014 5
We work with the plan sponsor to show the probability of meeting the income goal and to narrow the probability of failure. We know participants care about certainty and are averse to downside volatility, so we should not simply dial up portfolio risk in the hope of meeting their goals. Plan sponsors We cannot take on should consider the possible sequence of returns and the risk of a sudden excessive risk with the market decline, whether it’s a market crash tomorrow or 15 years from now. thought that over time Depending on where participants are in their retirement savings or spending path, a serious market correction could be a non-event or devastating to their it’ll all work out – the ability to retire. This issue of investment path dependency is significant. If overconfidence bias you’re just about to retire and you experience a significant market decline, or head-in-the-sand you may need to hold off on retirement. But we know that, due to health approach. We need to issues, many don’t have that choice. Now, if a secular bear market begins when the participant is 90 years old, maybe it won’t matter. Although there is think about people’s lives nothing we can do about the “path,” such as when the market crashes or and both the risk they when we are born (dictating when we enter the workforce and when we can bear and how they start saving, etc.), what we can do is to be prudent with risk-taking and think about how tail risks can be managed. may react to risk. Again, thinking about the path or journey is as important as the destination. We cannot take on excessive risk with the thought that over time it’ll all work out – the overconfidence bias or head-in-the-sand approach. We need to think about people’s lives and both the risk they can bear and how they may react to risk (i.e., the behavioral finance angle). Many considerations extend beyond investment theory. DCD: How do you help plan sponsors and participants understand risk? Chao: We start with the plan sponsor and define risk as the failure to meet the plan objective. Investment committee members often are at the same level as most participants in understanding investment concepts. So we tend not to talk about risk factors, equity beta and risk metrics. Rather, we talk in simpler terms to help them understand the asset-allocation process, the opportunity set, and what may happen under different market conditions. We help them understand how a predictable retirement income stream should be something they desire for their participants. We help them construct a simplified and diverse core menu and, in the case of a target-date fund, seek the strategic glide path that offers the desired level of confidence for meeting the median income objective. We also may show them how much loss participants could experience in a bad year. I heard an investment professional recently suggest framing risk in terms of a worker’s annual income. Could the median worker tolerate in a single year a paper loss equivalent to his annual salary? Could this worker recover from that type of loss and still retire as planned? Could he sleep at night? That may be another frame to put portfolio risk into perspective. 6 DECEMBER 2014 | PIMCO DC DIALOGUE
DCD: How would you select and benchmark target-date funds? We prefer a blend of Chao: We start with the strategic glide path. Plan sponsors should select a glide path that aligns with their plan’s objective and the makeup of their active and passive participants. Thereafter, the portfolios along this strategic glide path will serve investments where the as the benchmark to judge the performance of the corresponding target-date passive, index-tracking vintage. It’s critical to compare them to the selected glide path rather than to a peer group or industry target-date benchmark, as these peer groups or investments deliver a fabricated benchmarks may not be relevant to the selected glide path that is low-cost beta experience deemed most suitable for the plan participants. and the active managers After selecting the glide path, the next two most important decisions are seek opportunities and whether to allow tactical management (and the degree of freedom) relative to avoid risks whenever the glide path and whether to use active, passive or a blend of underlying possible to deliver an managers. We believe tactical management within reasonable risk bands can offer a better ride to the destination. We want to empower the glide path alpha experience. manager and the underlying managers (if active) to adjust accordingly in different markets. When available, we prefer a blend of active and passive investments where the passive, index-tracking investments deliver a low-cost beta experience and the active managers seek opportunities and avoid risks whenever possible to deliver an alpha or an improved risk-adjusted experience. DCD: You mentioned that target-date funds are most prevalent as the QDIA. What about managed accounts? Chao: Ultimately, managed accounts make a lot of sense. With the evolution of big data and technology efficiencies, providers will be able to cost- effectively tailor glide paths to individuals rather than to a median plan participant or overall plan. While these nascent services exist today, we have many questions that need to be addressed before we would suggest them. Our first question is, “On what basis would we fire the provider?” We should not hire any investment manager – and managed account providers typically are 3(38) investment managers – unless we know how to fire them. As fiduciaries, we need to prudently select and monitor the managers. How do we monitor managed account providers? As with target-date selection and monitoring, we want to know the glide path within the managed accounts. What allocation will participants default to if the managed account provider has no other information than the participant’s age? We want to know how the managed account provider performed relative to the default glide path or strategic portfolio. How was their tactical asset allocation done? A plan fiduciary needs the answers to these questions. At this time, information and data we need to select or evaluate managed PIMCO DC DIALOGUE | DECEMBER 2014 7
account providers is lacking. Fiduciaries need assurance that the investment management is prudent. Other factors, such as increasing participation or contribution rates, should not be a part of the overall success measure, as those can be improved without a managed account approach. Fiduciaries need to focus on the investment advice given. This is about attribution and isolating the data so that the portfolio management component stands alone for fiduciary selection and monitoring. DCD: What suggestions do you have for the core lineup? Chao: To make it easier for participants to make decisions, we need fewer choices on the shelf. Choices should offer clear and simple diversification opportunities. Participants do not need every box on the equity and fixed income style chart. What they need is a thoughtful set, including capital preservation, fixed income, inflation hedging and equity. These choices should include access to the global markets and diversifying assets such as commodities. The latest rage is liquid alts. We expect to see more asset managers attempt to differentiate themselves by plugging in liquid alts. Their success rests not on performance, but on expectation. DCD: What about retirement income? Will the qualified longevity annuity contract (QLAC) rules make a difference in DC plans? Participants do not Chao: I applaud the government for its focus on retirement income issues. As need every box on you know, we’re at the beginning of the baby boomer decumulation wave. By allowing participants to hold longevity annuities within DC plans and IRAs, the equity and fixed QLAC opens the door to more retirement income flexibility and product or income style chart. marketing innovation. There are still issues in the selection of the insurance What they need is a providers, pricing, product portability and so on that the regulators can help thoughtful set, including address. Plan sponsors need more direction and support in these areas. The SEC also needs to chime in so that such product innovations are not reserved for the capital preservation, mega DC plans, but also are available in mutual fund and variable account fixed income, inflation formats for small plans. Nonetheless, this is a first step in the right direction. hedging and equity. 8
DCD: Do you have any comments on giving advice? Chao: Advice is another area where plan sponsors would benefit from smart regulation so they are not between a rock and a hard place in supporting their participants. Unfortunately, the advice offered in the IRA marketplace often is conflicted. Retirees are encouraged to pull out of their DC plans when they leave or retire, and they often end up paying much higher fees for inferior products, when they would have been much better off remaining in the plan’s target-date funds under the care of a fiduciary and enjoying institutional pricing and safeguard against conflicted product pushers. Plan sponsors often are afraid to encourage retirees to retain their assets in the plan and to offer ongoing guidance. Yet, it is the plan sponsor, as a fiduciary, whom the retiree likely trusts most. Participants will have a much better chance at a successful retirement if we strengthen our safe harbors and support of plan sponsors. We need to help those who help the participants. Investing is like our Constitution. America cherishes liberty, freedom and individual rights. At the same time, the bedrock of protecting such freedom is the rule of law. It is this balance between freedom and the rule of law that keeps this nation great. Account-based, self-directed DC investing offers a great deal of freedom to the participants and allows individuals the right to construct their own retirement portfolio. The plan relies on individuals to take actions and live with the consequence. But this freedom is subject to behavioral economics and often falls short of the optimum outcome. Plan fiduciaries are gatekeepers and establish the guardrails in the sole interest of the participant investors. Like the rule of law, it is not set up to please everyone, but it is to provide the counterbalance and necessary constraints to participant freedom. Saving and investing for retirement matters not only to each future retiree but to the social and financial fabric of America. DCD: Thank you for your insights and inspiration. Chao: My pleasure. PIMCO DC DIALOGUE | DECEMBER 2014 9
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About PIMCO and Our DC Practice Contact information for Philip Chao Based in Newport Beach, California, PIMCO is a global investment management firm Principal Chao & Company, Ltd. with over 2,000 dedicated professionals focusing on a single mission: to manage risks Phone: (703) 847-4380 and deliver returns for our clients. For four decades, we have managed the retirement pchao@ chaoco.com and investment assets for a wide range of investors, including corporations, www.ChaoCo.com governments, not-for-profits, and other organizations, as well as for individuals around the globe. As of 30 September 2014 our: n Clients include more than two-thirds the Fortune 100 n Investment professionals on staff exceed 700 n Global presence includes offices in 13 locations n Total assets under management exceed $1.87 trillion n DC assets under management over $191.1 billion Our PIMCO DC Practice is dedicated to promoting effective DC plan design and innovative retirement solutions. We are among the largest managers of assets in defined contribution plans, offering investment management for stable value, fixed-income, inflation protection, equity and asset allocation strategies such as target-date solutions. We also provide analytic modeling, plus can help plan sponsors identify DC consultant resources. Our team is pleased to support our clients and the broader retirement community by sharing ideas and developments for DC plans in the hopes of fostering a more secure financial future for workers. If you have any questions about the PIMCO DC Practice, please contact your PIMCO representative or email us at pimcodcpractice@pimco.com. Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Investing in the bond market is subject to risks, including market, interest rate, issuer, credit, inflation risk, and liquidity risk. The value of most bonds and bond strategies are impacted by changes in interest rates. Bonds and bond strategies with longer durations tend to be more sensitive and volatile than those with shorter durations; bond Newport Beach Headquarters prices generally fall as interest rates rise, and the current low interest rate environment increases this risk. Current 650 Newport Center Drive reductions in bond counterparty capacity may contribute to decreased market liquidity and increased price volatility. Newport Beach, CA 92660 Bond investments may be worth more or less than the original cost when redeemed. Diversification does not ensure against loss. There is no guarantee that these investment strategies will work under all market conditions or are 888.845.5012 suitable for all investors and each investor should evaluate their ability to invest for a long-term especially during periods of downturn in the market. 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