Climate Change Adaptation Strategy - Waterford ...
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Table of Contents Executive Summary.................................................................................................................... 5 List of Abbreviations .................................................................................................................. 7 Waterford City & County Council Vision Statement .................................................................. 8 1 Introduction & Background ............................................................................................ 9 1.0 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 9 1.1 Purpose of this Strategy ....................................................................................................... 9 1.2 The Challenge of Climate Change ........................................................................................ 9 1.3 The Challenge for Ireland ................................................................................................... 10 1.4 What is Climate Adaptation? ............................................................................................. 10 1.5 Adaption & Mitigation ....................................................................................................... 11 1.5.1 Climate Change Mitigation ......................................................................................... 11 1.6 International Context ......................................................................................................... 12 1.7 E.U Context ........................................................................................................................ 13 1.8 National Context ................................................................................................................ 13 1.9 Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 13 1.10 Environmental Assessment.............................................................................................. 14 2 Regional & Local Context .............................................................................................. 15 2.0 Eastern & Midlands Climate Action Region in Context ..................................................... 15 2.1 Background to the Eastern and Midlands Climate Action Regional Office ....................... 15 2.2 Profile of the Eastern and Midland Climate Action Region ............................................... 16 2.3 Waterford Regional Profile ................................................................................................ 17 2.4 Population & Settlement patterns ..................................................................................... 17 3 Adaptation Baseline Assessment ...................................................................................... 19 3.0 Baseline Assessment Definition & Criteria ........................................................................ 19 3.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 19 3.2 Observed Climate Hazards ................................................................................................. 19 3.3 Major Meteorological Events to Affect Waterford ........................................................... 20 3.4 Meteorological Events by Category ................................................................................... 23 3.5 Case Studies of Extreme Weather Events Impacts within Waterford County .................. 24 3.6 Method of Assessing Current Baseline .............................................................................. 27 3.7 Baseline Assessment .......................................................................................................... 27 4 Climate Risk Register......................................................................................................... 30 2
4.0 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 30 4.1 Climate Risk Register.......................................................................................................... 30 4.2 Climate Risk Tables ............................................................................................................ 30 5 Goals, Objectives & Actions .............................................................................................. 33 5.0 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 33 5.1 Role of Waterford City & County Council .......................................................................... 33 5.2 Adaptation Actions and Framework for Waterford City & County Council ...................... 33 5.3 Summary of High-Level Goals for Waterford City & County Council ................................ 35 5.4 Summary of High Level Goals and Objectives for WCCC ................................................... 36 5.5 Aims of High-Level Goals for Waterford City & County Council ........................................ 37 5.6 Goals................................................................................................................................... 37 6 Implement, Monitor & Evaluate ....................................................................................... 46 6.0 Implementation ................................................................................................................. 46 6.1 Opportunities ..................................................................................................................... 47 7 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS & REFERENCES ............................................................................ 48 3
The adaption to climate change is one of the Waterford City and County Council and the greatest challenges that the County of previous Local Authorities of Waterford have Waterford will have to engage with this implemented adaptation measures in a century. To date Waterford City and County response to climate change. Council has implemented measures to adapt Climate action is now top of the political to climate change, which includes installation agenda in Ireland and guides the principles of flood barrier, tidal surge protection, rising underpinning the National Planning road levels that are prone to flooding, Framework and National Development Plan. A increase in services provided by the more coordinated strategy is now required as emergency services etc. The effects of climate the effects of climate change are becoming change including rising sea levels and extreme more pronounced. This strategy considers the climatic weather events will have impacts on impacts of recent severe weather events communities, businesses and on the Local recorded in the county and how we have Authority’s ability to continue providing its reacted and managed our services in the most level of services to its customers in the future. difficult of circumstances and the likely risks The taking of proactive adaptation action to that the county will experience from climate adjust and prepare for a changing climate is change in the future. I welcome the critical to increase the resilience of our development of this Climate Change economy, environment and communities. Adaptation Strategy, coming at the beginning Local government will play a key role in of a new term of Council and support the building climate resilience in our communities implementation of “Goals, Objectives and in adapting to future climate change events. Actions” over the 2019-2024 strategy period. The role of elected members on Strategic The actions within the strategy will be Policy Committees and the Corporate Policy delivered throughout the County to allow for Group will provide an opportunity to help adaptation to the effects of climate change shape this council’s response to the and will further strengthen Waterford City challenges and opportunities of climate and County Council’s ability to be climate change. resilient in day to day operations. Michael Walsh John Pratt, Mayor of Waterford City and County CEO Waterford City and County Council 4
Executive Summary Climate Change and Adaptation Background Climate change impacts are already being felt globally and academic research has highlighted that climate change trends being observed worldwide are expected to intensify in the coming decades. The most likely risks to Waterford/Ireland are, but not restricted to, extremes in weather events such as increasing precipitation levels, more intensive storms, heatwaves, coldwaves and periods of increasingly heavier snowfalls. These extreme events and other effects from change climate such as rising sea levels will create many new and difficult challenges which will be faced by Waterford City and County Council and the communities that WCCC serve. Climate Change requires a policy response in both: Adaptation to ensure communities, and society as a whole, become resilient to the impacts and risks of climate change. Mitigation to considerably reduce greenhouse gas emissions. (This item will be covered in other policy documents and not this “Adaptation Strategy”). Reference and guidance was taken in the preparation of this document from the “Local Authority Adaptation Strategy Development Guidelines” which has been published by the “Department of Communications, Climate Action and Environment” (DCCAE). WCCC also received guidance from the Climate Action Regional Office “CARO” in Kildare in the preparation of this strategy. A “Draft Strategic Environmental Assessment Screening Report” (SEA) and an “Appropriate Assessment Screening Report” (AA) have also been prepared and are supplementary to this strategy document. Document Contents This strategy subject to adoption by WCCC will run from 2019 -2024 and will be subject to an annual review. A baseline assessment was undertaken to examine weather data of severe weather events, which occurred as far back in the past as could be reliably sourced. The assessment included a review on the impact of the seven relevant operational areas of WCCC which include Business Operations & Continuity Infrastructure & Built environment Water services Biodiversity Land-use & Development policy Community health & Well-being 5
Coastal & Maritime The extreme weather events considered in the baseline assessment for the operational areas included extreme and/or prolonged high/low temperatures/rainfall/wind speeds and severe snowfall events. Also considered are combination events which are meteorological hazards which can be a combination of any two or more of the hazards. A climate risk register details the risks associated with an increasing severity of the listed extreme weather events, along with sea level rises, over the life time of this strategy and on the operational areas of WCCC. As a means to implement the strategy a list of eight high levels goals were developed for the operational areas of WCCC and include Business Operations and Continuity, Infrastructure and Built Environment Land Use and Development Policy Water Services Natural Resources and Cultural Infrastructure Community Health and Wellbeing Biodiversity Marine and Coastal Erosion. The goals are further broken down into objectives covering specific categories within each operational area, which are further broken down into a total of seventy-five actions. The actions detail the role of specific Departments within WCCC and other external agencies to implement the high level goals. The final section of the document details how WCCC will structure the implementation of this strategy, monitor its progress and evaluate future projects via a Climate Action Steering Group (CASG). The CASG will develop and agree appropriate time frames and mechanism to report on the implementation of the actions of this strategy to various structures within WCCC and to the DCCAE and CARO on an annual basis. 6
List of Abbreviations AA Appropriate Assessment BIM Bord Iascaigh Mhara CARO Climate Action Regional Office CASG Climate Action Steering Group CCAS Climate Change Adaptation Strategy CDP County Development Plan CCMM Climate Change Mitigation Measures CFRAM Eastern Catchment Flood Risk Assessment and Management COP Conference of the Parties CSO Central Statistics Office DAFM Dept. of Agriculture, Food & Marine DCCAE Dept. of Communications, Climate Action & Environment DHPLG Dept. of Housing, Planning & Local Government DTTAS Dept. of Transport, Tourism & Sport EC European Commission ECAP European Climate Adaptation Platform ENGO Environmental Non-Governmental Organisation EPA Environmental Protection Agency ESB Electricity Supply Board GHG Greenhouse Gases GIS Geographical Information System HSE Health Service Executive ICIP Ireland's Climate Information Platform IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS Information Systems LA Local Authority LCDC Local Community Development Committee LEA Local Energy Agency LEADER Waterford LEADER Partnership Ltd. LEO Local Enterprise Office NAF National Adaptation Framework NAP National Adaptation Plan NBDC National Biodiversity Data Centre NCCAF National Climate Change Adaptation Framework NGO Non Governmental Organization NMP National Mitigation Plan NPF National Planning Framework NPWS National Parks & Wildlife Service OPW Office of Public Works PPN Public Participation Network PT Planning Team RSA Road Safety Authority SAC Special Areas of Conservation SEA Strategic Environmental Assessment SEAI Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland SLR Sea Level Rise SPA Special Protection Areas SWAT Severe Weather Assessment Team TII Transport Infrastructure Ireland UNFCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change WCCC Waterford City & County Council WEB Waterford Energy Bureau WFD Water Framework Directive 7
Waterford City & County Council Vision Statement Waterford City & County Council recognises that climate change adaptation will be one of the biggest challenges for the local authority this century. Waterford City & County Council will endeavour to implement best practices and incorporate solutions that will meet climate change adaptation requirements and service the needs of the communities. 8
1 Introduction & Background 1.0 Introduction The earth’s climate is changing. While natural fluctuations in climate are considered normal, emerging research and observational records from across the world show rates of change that are far greater than those experienced in recent history. Global temperatures have risen and are projected to increase further bringing changes in weather patterns, rising sea levels and increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather. Ireland’s climate is changing in line with global patterns and these changes are bringing significant and wide ranging economic, environmental and social impacts. Climate change is now recognised as a global challenge with policy responses required in terms of both mitigating the causes of climate change and in adapting to the now inevitable consequences of our changing climate. Action at a local level is vitally important to help reduce the risks and impacts of climate change across communities. This Climate Change Adaptation Strategy (CCAS) is the start of the process of adaptation planning in Waterford City and County Council (WCCC) and is the first step in increasing knowledge and understanding of our changing climate, growing resilience and enabling effective responses to the threats posed by climate change. 1.1 Purpose of this Strategy This adaptation strategy forms part of the National Adaptation Framework (NAF) which was published in response to the provisions of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Act 2015. As the level of government closest to local communities and enterprise and as first responders in many emergencies, WCCC are uniquely placed to effect real positive change with respect to delivery of the national transition objective to a low carbon society and a climate resilience future. This local authority (LA) adaptation strategy takes on the role as the primary instrument at a local level to: (i) Ensure a proper comprehension of the key risks and vulnerabilities of climate change. (ii) Bring forward the implementation of climate resilient actions in a planned and proactive manner. (iii) Ensure that climate adaptation considerations are mainstreamed into all plans and policies and integrated into all operations and functions of the LA. This adaptation strategy serves WCCC in its main capacities namely: As an organisation with an obligation towards customer service, a focus on effectiveness in business, improving efficiencies and maintaining staff welfare. In the delivery of services and functions across the administrative and geographical area of Waterford city and county. In accordance with the provisions of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Act 2015 this adaptation strategy is required to be adopted by members of WCCC. 1.2 The Challenge of Climate Change Climate is described as the average weather prevailing in an area over a period of time. Climate change is a significant change in weather patterns such as rainfall, temperature, and/or wind, which continue to change over an extended period of time (i.e. over a decade or longer). Climatic fluctuations are known to occur from natural causes including the earth’s orbit and tilt, 1 volcanic eruptions, variations in solar energy and other phenomena such as El Nino . However, in more recent times, there are growing concerns that natural fluctuations in the climate are being overtaken by rapid human-related activities which are negatively influencing climate variability and giving rise to serious implications for the rate of global warming. Scientific evidence for warming of the climate system is unequivocal. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), warming of the climate system is attributable to human activities as a consequence of greenhouse gas emissions from: Burning of fossil fuels such as oil, gas, peat, and coal resulting in CO2 emissions. Agricultural activities that lead to methane and nitrous oxide emissions. Emissions from changes in land use such as urbanization, deforestation, reforestation and desertification. Emissions from these activities are proven to impact the atmosphere by trapping the suns radiation and reflecting it back to the earth giving rise to global warming. The term greenhouse effect has been coined to describe this occurrence. The effects of global warming are observed through reductions in snow and ice in polar regions, increase in global mean surface temperatures, rise in sea levels and changes in some periodic weather events. Scientists state these changes are occurring rapidly, are considerable and will have consequences for this and future generations. Some impacts of global warming such as sea level rise and coastal flooding are already locked in and unavoidable. The full impacts of current warming have not yet been 1 occurs when sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean rise to above-normal levels for an extended period of time 9
seen, since ice sheets and oceans take many decades to fully react to higher temperatures. Climate change is one of the most pressing global challenges facing governments and requires immediate commitment to action. 1.3 The Challenge for Ireland There is evidence that Ireland’s climate is changing in line with global trends of climate change. Over the last few decades our climate has warmed, sea-levels have risen, rainfall patterns have changed and we have been impacted by frequent, intense and 0 more extreme weather events. Temperatures have increased by 0.8 C since 1900 and sea level rises of about 3.5cm per decade have been observed since 1990. Climate change has diverse and wide-ranging impacts on Ireland’s economic and natural resources including: More intense storms and rainfall events giving rise to disruption to society. Increased river and coastal flooding. Water shortages in summer. Increased risk of new pests and diseases. Adverse impacts on water quality. 2 Changes in the distribution and phenology of plant and animal species on land and in the oceans. The impacts of climate change are felt more acutely at the local level. Nationally, climate projections for the next century indicate that the climate trends observed over the last century will continue and intensify over the coming decade’s i.e. Increase in average temperatures across all seasons. Heatwaves are expected to occur more frequently. Significant reductions are expected in average levels of spring and summer rainfall with a substantial increase in the frequency of heavy precipitation events in winter and autumn Decrease in average wind speed and an increase in extreme wind speeds. The number of very intense storms is projected to increase over the North Atlantic region. Sea levels will continue to rise for all coastal areas. Sea surface temperatures are projected to continue warming for the coming decade. This LA adaptation strategy is set against the background of increasing risks associated with climate change and seeks to reduce and manage these risks at a local level through a combination of mitigation and adaptation responses. All LA’s including WCCC provide a wide range of services, many of which are already and will increasingly be affected by climate change. It is most likely that we will continue to play a critical role in responding to the impacts of extreme weather events and other impacts that are likely to emerge over the coming decades through various implementation tools available as a LA. 1.4 What is Climate Adaptation? Climate adaptation can be best described as planning proactively to take action and make adjustments to minimize or avoid the existing and anticipated impacts from climate change. In 2014 the IPCC, defined climate adaptation as: “The process of adjustment to actual or expected climate and its effects. In human systems, adaptation seeks to moderate or avoid harm or exploit beneficial opportunities. In some natural systems, human intervention may facilitate adjustment to expected climate and its effects.” Climate adaptation aims to build climate resilient communities, to protect people, ecosystems, businesses, infrastructure and buildings from the negative impacts of climate change. As a Local Authority (LA) we play a pivotal role in planning for, and responding to emergency situations. We are best placed to react faster and more effectively to local climate events given our close relationship with communities and extensive knowledge of the local natural and built environment. This is demonstrated by our prompt and unrelenting emergency responses to varying and more frequent extreme weather events. Our climate is changing and we as a LA need to ensure that we adapt to climate change. It is crucial that climate change adaptation is mainstreamed into our decision-making processes and implemented proactively in the performance of our duties. In addition, the benefits and opportunities that may arise as a result of climate change must be capitalized upon in respect of cost savings and new ways to foster environmental sustainability. 2 the study of cyclic and seasonal natural phenomena, especially in relation to climate and plant and animal life 10
1.5 Adaption & Mitigation Mitigation Seeks to prevent climate change Climate Action Adaptation Seeks to respond to the impacts of climate change Mitigation refers to the efforts to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases and reduces the severity of future climate change impacts. Adaptation refers to efforts to manage the risks and impacts associated with existing or anticipated impacts of climate change. Climate Action refers to the stepped-up efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-induced impacts. Figure 1 - Climate Action This LA CCAS forms part of Ireland’s national strategy for climate adaptation as set out in the National Adaptation Framework (NAF) which was produced under the provisions of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Act 2015. It is tasked with mainstreaming climate change adaptation over time into all functions, operations and services of the LA. It seeks to inform or ‘climate proof’ existing plans and policies produced and implemented by the LA. This ensures a considered, consistent and coherent approach, facing head on the challenges of a changing climate. Crucially, it also helps in building resilience within the LA organisation itself as well as across all communities. While there is strong emphasis on LA’s through the NAF to develop and implement adaptation measures and actions, mitigation measures and actions that seek to combat, reduce or eliminate the emissions of greenhouse gases are also hugely important. LA’s have a significant role to play in actively implementing mitigation actions through measures including the design and construction of flood defences, retrofitting of building stock, energy efficient projects, promoting sustainable energy communities and encouraging sustainable transport and land use. There are positive interactions between adaptation and mitigation measures. Employing both adaptation and mitigation measures represents a robust climate action response in addressing the challenges associated with climate change at local level. The actions set out in Chapter 5 of this strategy reflect both adaptation and mitigation measures as a considered, relevant and integrated approach to combating the effects of climate change in Waterford city and county. 1.5.1 Climate Change Mitigation The implementation of Climate Change Mitigation Measures (CCMM) to reduce green house gas emissions will contribute to reducing the effects of global warming and climate change. Key drivers to the implementation of mitigation policies include United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change – 1992 (UNFCCC), Kyoto Protocol – 1997, Paris Agreement – 2015 and the National Mitigation Plan 2017. The future commitments of WCCC in implementing future mitigation measures will be 11
included within new policies/strategies to be developed as requested by the regional CARO and relevant government departments. To date WCCC are implementing the following mitigation measures: The periodic gas flaring of land fill gas at the regenerated old landfill sites located at Tramore, Dungarvan and Waterford City, where methane is burned significantly reduces green house gasses being emitted to the environment. WCCC are committed to reducing energy consumption by 33% by 2020 and 50% by 2050. WCCC has commenced the process of retro fitting existing 15,000 public lights with energy efficient led lighting on WCCC roads, housing estate lighting and flood lighting. This retro fit program is projected to be completed by the end of 2021. WCCC via Waterford Energy Bureau (WEB), which is a sub-section of the Environment Department is a Local Energy Agency (LEA) and is one of 400 throughout the European Union, has sourced funding in excess of €10,000,000 since its formation in 2003 on a range of LA, community energy efficiency/renewable energy projects. st WCCC has completed a 1 phase of upgrades to over 2,000 social housing units with attic and cavity wall insulation being completed. Deeper energy efficiency measures have been completed in 400 social houses and over 500 vacant houses have been upgraded also. WCCC have in excess of 50,000 trees planted and growing in public areas and parks throughout Waterford County along with an active tree management programme. WCCC Environmental Education officer continues to work with over 100 schools around Waterford County in implementing “Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation measures under the Green Schools Programme”. WCCC elected members have adopted a “Renewable Energy Strategy” for Waterford, which quantifies current renewable energies generated within the county and projects future energy trends and what levels of renewable energy technologies are required upto 2030 in line with national targets. 1.6 International Context The UNFCCC is an international environmental treaty adopted in May 1992. Amongst the primary objectives of the UNFCCC is “to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” The framework set non-binding limits on greenhouse gas emissions and contained no enforcement mechanisms. However, the framework outlined how specific international treaties may negotiate further action towards its key objective. “The Kyoto Protocol is an international treaty, which extends the UNFCCC, that commits state parties to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, based on the scientific consensus that global warming is occurring and it is extremely likely that human-made CO2 emissions have predominantly caused it. The Kyoto Protocol was adopted in Kyoto, Japan, on 11 i December 1997 and entered into force on 16 February 2005” . The Paris Agreement 2015 is a protocol set within the context of th the UNFCC (ratified by Ireland on 4 November 2016) and it is aimed at: 0 Limiting global warming to less than 2 C above pre-industrial level and pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase 0 to 1.5 C. Increasing the ability to impact on climate change and foster climate resilience. The agreement states the need for parties to formulate and implement National Adaption Plans (NAP). In September 2015, Transforming Our World, the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development (the 2030 Agenda) was adopted by all 193 Members States of the United Nations (UN). The 2030 Agenda aims to deliver a more sustainable, prosperous and peaceful future for the entire world, and sets out a framework for how to achieve this by 2030. This framework is made up of 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) which cover the social, economic and environmental requirements for a sustainable future. The SDGs represent the most ambitious agreement the UN has ever reached. The Goals are unique, because they apply equally to every country, and are based on the idea that ending poverty, protecting the environment and strengthening human rights are mutually beneficial and reliant on each other for success, and cannot be achieved separately. 12
The 2030 Agenda is voluntary and not legally binding, but every country has agreed to implement the SDGs and every country is expected to develop a national framework setting out how they will be achieved. Ireland is fully committed to achieving the SDGs. Ireland has adopted the Sustainable Development Goals National Implementation Plan 2018 – 2020. 1.7 E.U Context The 2013 EU Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change encouraged all member states to adopt comprehensive adaptation strategies. It sought for better informed decision making through the identification and addressing of gaps in knowledge about adaptation. The European Climate Adaptation Platform (ECAP), Climate-ADAPT, was developed as a resource mechanism to help users access and share information on adaptation. The Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy is a voluntary, bottom up, approach for cities and local governments to combat climate change and move towards a low emission, resilient society. The Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy brought the Compact of Mayors and the EU Covenant of Mayors under one international body in January 2017 incorporating over 9,000 cities and local governments. WCCC may become a partner LA under the Covenant of Mayors for climate and energy. This is subject to agreement with all structures within WCCC and definite member support. 1.8 National Context This LA adaptation strategy is set within a policy framework at International, European and National level. National Adaptation Framework The Irish government laid out its strategy as to how Ireland will adapt to the impact of climate change over the coming decades in the form of the NAF. The NAF sets out the “diverse and wide-ranging impacts” of climate change for Ireland. The 2012 National Climate Change Adaptation Framework (NCCAF) was Ireland’s first step in developing a national policy on adaptation actions to combat the impacts of climate change. The National Policy Position on Climate Action and Low Carbon Development 2014 restated the policy position of the NCCAF 2012. Greenhouse gas mitigation and adaption to the impacts of climate change were to be addressed in parallel national plans under an evolving climate policy to 2050. The Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Act 2015 was a landmark national milestone in the evolution of climate change policy in Ireland. It provides the statutory basis for the national transition objective laid out in the National Policy Position (NPP) (as per above). Further to this, it made provisions for and gave statutory authority to both the National Mitigation Plan (NMP), published in 2017 and the National Adaptation Framework published in 2018. This Local Adaptation Strategy forms part of the NAF. 1.9 Methodology Consultation with prescribed environmental authorities for the purposes of Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) will be undertaken in accordance with the provisions of the European Communities (Environmental Assessment of Certain Plans and Programmes) Regulations 2004 (S.I. 435 of 2004 as amended by S.I. 200 of 2011). To develop this CCAS a climate adaptation team was convened, representing all relevant functions of WCCC. A series of interdepartmental meetings were held to assess WCCC’s adaptation baseline and identify vulnerabilities and risks to projected 13
climatic events. In developing this strategy, the Waterford City & County Development Plan was reviewed and climate change information resources, such as Met Eireann, were used to inform the development process. Consultation with prescribed environmental authorities for the purposes of SEA was undertaken in accordance with the provisions of the European Communities (Environmental Assessment of Certain Plans and Programmes) Regulations 2004 (S.I. 435 of 2004 as amended by S.I. 200 of 2011) •Develop a climate action steering group. •Schedule internal adaptation team meetings. Initiate •Agree the scope of the plan. •Research scientific resources i.e. Climateireland.ie, County Development Plan (CDP), engineer reports etc. •Legislative policy engagement. Research •Identify positive and negative impacts of climate change . •Agree on vision and targets for the plan. •Develop a baseline for the plan. •Develop a climate change risk assessment for the plan. •Develop actions and measures . Plan •Engage with public community on guidelines to achieve best practice (Public Consultation). •Undergo environmental assessments (AA/SEA). • Integration of plan into council operations. •Introduction of an action plan into other council documents. Implement •Set dates for regular and annual monitoring and reviews to observe the plans progression. •Report all findings back to CASG and internal staff of WCCC. Report •Review and update plan anually and develop a new plan every 5 years . 1.10 Environmental Assessment Screening overview for SEA: Under the European Communities (Environmental Assessment of Certain Plans and Programme’s) Regulations 2004 (S.I. 435 of 2004 as amended by S.I. 200 of 2011), all plans which are likely to have a significant effect on the environment must undergo screening to determine whether a Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) is required. “Screening” is the process for making a determination as to whether a particular plan, would be likely to have significant environmental effects, and would thus warrant SEA. This strategy has been screened for SEA and it is determined that full SEA is not required. The screening report accompanies this strategy. Screening overview for AA: Screening of this draft strategy has been undertaken in accordance with the requirements of Article 6(3) of the EU Habitats Directive (directive 92/43/EEC) to determine if CCAS is likely to significantly affect Natura 2000 sites i.e. (Special Areas of Conservation (SAC) and Special Protection Areas (SPA)) within or surrounding the Strategy area. It is determined that stage 2 Natura Impact Report is not required. The draft screening report accompanies this Strategy. 14
2 Regional & Local Context 2.0 Eastern & Midlands Climate Action Region in Context Waterford is located within the Eastern & Midlands Climate Action Region and is one of 17 LA’s in the region. Waterford Council is located in the southern portion of the region. The Eastern and Midland Climate Action Regional Office (CARO) has assisted and supported WCCC in the development of this climate change adaptation strategy. Figure 2 Climatically similar areas within Ireland 2.1 Background to the Eastern and Midlands Climate Action Regional Office The Eastern & Midland CARO is one of four regional climate action offices set up in 2018 in response to Action 8 of the 2018 NAF – Planning for a Climate Resilient Ireland. The four CAROs have been established to drive climate action at both regional and local levels. In recognition of the significant obligation to develop and implement climate action measures, the four regional offices are mandated to co-ordinate engagement across the varying levels of government and help build on experience and expertise that exists in the area of climate change and climate action. The composition of the four Climate Action Regions (CAR) has been determined by the geographical and topographical characteristics, vulnerabilities and shared climate risks experienced across LA areas. The climatic risks associated with the Eastern and Midlands Climate Action Region includes fluvial flooding, pluvial flooding, groundwater flooding and coastal flooding. 15
Climate Action Local Authority function area Lead Authority Region Carlow, Cavan, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Leitrim, Longford, Louth, Midlands and Meath, Monaghan, Offaly, Kildare County Council Eastern Roscommon, Tipperary, Waterford, Westmeath, Wexford, Wicklow Atlantic Seaboard Donegal, Sligo, Mayo, Galway City Mayo County Council North & County Atlantic Seaboard Clare, Limerick, Kerry, Cork City & Cork County Council South County. Dublin Metropolitan South Dublin, Fingal, Dun- Dublin City Council Laoghaire-Rathdown, Dublin City Table 1 – CARO Description of four CARO regions and constituent LA’s 2.2 Profile of the Eastern and Midland Climate Action Region With 17 local authority areas, the Eastern and Midland region is the largest of the four CARO’s in Ireland. The region occupies the eastern and central aspects of the country. The region borders Northern Ireland with counties Louth, Cavan, Monaghan and Leitrim. The River Shannon flanks the western aspect bounding along its course, counties Leitrim, Roscommon, Longford, Westmeath, Offaly and Tipperary. The Irish Sea bounds the region to the east. Counties Louth, Wicklow, Wexford and Waterford are located to the east and south east of the region all with extensive coastlines along the Irish Sea, St Georges Channel and Atlantic Ocean. The region with its extensive pattern of settlement areas and rural areas and has a population of almost 1.8 million people accounting for 37.7% of the total population of the state and at 32,542 sq.km occupies 46.3% of the area of the state. The region plays a significant role economically to the country hosting a range of sectors inclusive of multinationals, public service, private and small- medium enterprises. Agriculture remains the prevailing sectoral land use in the region. There is a rich variety of landscapes and topographies across the region. A mostly flat low-lying landscape sweeps through the midland counties. Significant areas of raised bogs occupy this central location in the country as well as the Curragh Plains in County Kildare. The Drumlin Belt Figure 3 – Map showing extent of Eastern and across the Midlands Climatic region northern aspect of the region, the Wicklow Mountains, Galtee Mountains and Slieve Bloom Mountains offer variation and punctuation in the landscape of the region. 21 prominent rivers rise and flow (with tributaries) through the region. The most prominent of these include the River Shannon, River Barrow, River Suir, River Nore, River Liffey and River Boyne. Counties Louth, Wicklow, Wexford and Waterford occupy coastal locations to the east and south east of this region while County Leitrim extends to occupy a distance of 4.6km along the western coast of the country. The region offers an extensive and crucially Figure 4 Map representing the different landscape character areas of Waterford County. important network of critical infrastructure. The road network in the region typically radiates from the metropolitan Dublin Region. The Rail Network is significant with the Dublin-Cork, Dublin-Limerick, Dublin- Waterford, Dublin-Rosslare, Dublin-Sligo and Dublin-Galway/Mayo lines. Rosslare Europort in Wexford is a gateway to Wales and greater Europe through France. Electricity and communications infrastructure is widespread throughout the region. 16
2.3 Waterford Regional Profile 2 Waterford is a coastal county in the south east of Ireland with a total area of 1857 km , its east - west distance being 83km and its north – south distance being 44km. It is bordered by four counties, Kilkenny, Wexford, Cork and Tipperary. The geography of the county is relatively flat with about 10% of the land area being mountainous and the remainder being small hills dispersed throughout the county. The county has two main mountain ranges. The Comeragh Mountains stretch from just north of Dungarvan to beyond the north border and into Tipperary. On the north west border are the Knockmealdown Mountains which also stretch to Co. Tipperary. There are two other smaller mountainous areas, one being between Dungarvan and the Cork border and the other being between the Comeragh’s and Waterford City. The highest peak being, Knockmealdown at 792.4m, is located in the north-west region of Waterford. The main river flowing through Waterford is the River Suir which has a length of 183km and rises in Devil’s Bit Mountain in Tipperary. The Rivers Bride and Blackwater are the other two main rivers flowing through Waterford. Waterford City is the largest urban centre situated within the Suir catchment area, which drains a total area of 3,610km². There is circa 26,950Ha of forestry cover which is 14.5% of the total land area of the county. Across Waterford County, the total area of bogland is 905Ha and the total area of peatland is 3446Ha which represents percentage coverage of Waterford County of 0.5% and 1.86% for bogland and peatland respectively. Waterford has a coastline of circa 100km which includes The Copper Coast Geopark which is 25km of rugged coastline. The coastline also includes seaside resorts of Tramore, Dunmore East & Ardmore The coastline also has a variety of ecosystems including tidal flats, rocky headlands, shallow blue flag beaches, tidal marshes, cliff faces, shallow bays and estuarine flats. A large percentage of land is arable, and a significant percentage is also used for farming. Waterford also has a regional airport , which is located 3km from Tramore at an elevation of 36m. There is also a shipping port located on the estuary within close proximity to Waterford City. Quality and Risk identification of all Waterford’s rivers can be identified on the GIS Map viewer provided by the EPA https://gis.epa.ie/EPAMaps/ 2.4 Population & Settlement patterns The population of Waterford County has risen from 78,562 people in 1926 to over 116,000 in 2016. The population figure here was broken up into three categories, under 20yrs of age, 20 to 64 yrs. of age and 65 yrs and above. The three age groups include male and female and are listed in table 3 Male Female 65years of age 8,190 9,181 Total Population (gender) 57,561 58,525 Total 116,086 Table 2 Population data of Waterford County by age and gender Town / Region Male Female Total Waterford City 26,310 27,194 53,504 Tramore 5,093 5,288 10,381 Dungarvan 4,558 4,669 9,227 Other 21,600 21,374 42,974 Total 57,561 58,525 72,842 Table 3 – Population data for Waterford County by settlement area 17
County Settlement Hierarchy Primary (County) Service Centre Waterford City Secondary Service centre Dungarvan Ardmore, Ballyduff Lower (East), Cappoquin, Cheekpoint, Crooke, Dunhill, District Service Centres Dunmore East, Kill, Kilmacthomas, Kilmeaden, Lismore, Portlaw, Stradbally, Tallow, Tramore Aglish, Ballyduff Upper (West), Ballymacarbry, Bunmahon/Knockmahon, Local Service centres Clashmore, Clonmel Environs, Clonea-Power, Maoil na Choirne, Villierstown Annestown, Baile na nGall, Ballinroad, Ballylaneen, Bawnfune, Fenor, Heilbhic, Settlement Nodes Knockanore, Lemybrien, Passage East, Piltown, Rathgormuck, Sean Phobal, Touraneena Table 4 - Represents the Settlement Hierarchy and its components within Co. Waterford (Waterford County Development Plan 2011-2017) 18
3 Adaptation Baseline Assessment 3.0 Baseline Assessment Definitionii & Criteria A baseline assessment is necessary in order to fully understand the impacts that climatic hazards may have on WCCC infrastructure and the population of the county. The baseline examines previous extremes of hazardous weather conditions which have caused disruptions to the LA in the past. This is a necessary starting point from which future costs to WCCC will be calculated. To examine the full range of hazardous climatic events affecting the city and county of Waterford, records were examined as far back as were available due to the fact that hazardous climatic events in the temperate latitudes are extremely unpredictable. Conducting a baseline assessment involves assessing local level vulnerabilities to the impacts of climatic hazards and identifying the consequences of these hazards on the delivery of services and functions offered by WCCC. This assessment illustrates that the LA’s capacity to cope with existing extreme weather events and periods of climate variability may fall short of what might be considered optimal, either in terms of what current policies or legislative instruments stipulate, or simply in terms of internal expectations regarding the resilience of key services to extreme weather events. 3.1 Introduction Assessing the baseline provides for an understanding of how well adapted WCCC is to current climatic hazards which include extreme weather events and periods of climatic variability. This process is a crucially important first step in developing an adaptation strategy that is relevant and responds specifically to the impacts of climate change experienced locally. This assessment takes account of a range of extreme weather hazards that have affected the Waterford in the past specifically in respect of local level vulnerability and the impacts and consequences for the delivery of services and functions across the county. While past and recent experiences of climatic hazards may not entirely be representative of the longer-term climate reality, it is a useful starting point in the assessment of impacts on WCCC services which can further be examined in the context of the identification of future risk. Conducting this assessment illustrates WCCC’s capacity to cope with existing extreme weather events and periods of climate variability and identify the resilience of key services. 3.2 Observed Climate Hazards Warming of the climate is happening and it is extremely likely that man has been the main cause of global warming since the th early 20 century. Observations show that global average temperatures have increased by 0.85˚C since 1850. The atmosphere and oceans are warming, and sea levels are rising while the amount of snow and ice is falling. The impacts can be seen on all continents. A publication by the EPA entitled Summary of the State of Knowledge on Climate Change Impacts for Ireland 2017, advises that research at national level has shown that changes in Ireland's climate are in line with global trends. Even if Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions fall to levels required to stop the worst impacts of climate change, some changes are still likely to occur. This is because the climate system is slow to react and some changes are already “locked in”. For Ireland, climate change impacts are expected to increase over the coming decades and could include the following: Sea level rise. More intense storms and rainfall events. Increased magnitude of river and coastal flooding. Water shortages in summer. Increased risk of new pests and diseases. Adverse impacts on water quality. 3 Changes in distribution and phenology of plant and animal species on land and in Ireland’s coastal/off-shore waters. While Ireland has experienced colder than normal periods since 1900 there is an upwards trend in national average temperature th with higher temperatures experienced in the middle of the 20 century and from the 1980’s to the present day. While an increase in average annual rainfall has been observed, precise changes in spatial patterns of precipitation cannot by determined, with further research required to examine precipitation levels on a seasonal basis. The mean annual sea surface temperature 3 the study of cyclic and seasonal natural phenomena, especially in relation to climate and plant and animal life 19
has increased by one degree compared to the long-term average over the end of the 20th century. An increase in annual mean river flows has also been observed including mean flow increases for both the summer and winter periods. Table 5 Observed Changes in Irelands Climate (Source: National Adaptation Framework 2018) 3.3 Major Meteorological Events to Affect Waterford Table 8 shows information in relation to the date, type and description of major climate events which occurred in Ireland from 1807 to 2018. This information is displayed in conjunction with the major climate event timeline shown in Figure 4. The impacts of climate change experienced in Waterford generally reflect the national pattern and trends of observed climate hazards. This review of extreme weather events over the past 211 years has been undertaken using published Met Eireann data, along with information from WCCC and other reliable local sources such as local libraries. Table 7 visually represents the categories of climatic hazards that have been experienced in Waterford and have had either direct and indirect impacts on the delivery of services and the performance of functions across the Waterford City & County Council. The climatic hazards that are relevant to Waterford are extreme wind events, extreme heat/drought events, extreme rainfall/flooding events and extreme freezing conditions/snow events. Combination events i.e. two extreme climatic events occur simultaneously are noted also. Such combination events give rise to more severe and destructive impacts. While some events such as storm events can and are expected to bring with them extreme rainfall, less frequent combination events such as an extended dry period/heat wave followed by an extreme/prolonged rainfall event may bring about new and significant impacts. With all extreme events and particularly combination events, comes an understanding of the level of unpredictability. Nevertheless, knowledge and experience acquired from past events will benefit future planning and preparedness and a continuous review of extreme events will help build resilience and reduce the associated risk. 20
Table of Major Meteorological Events 1807 to 2018 Wind events Flooding events Heat events Combination events Snow/cold events Figure 5 – Representation of colour coding for Table 7, Figure 7 & Table 8.. Date of Event Type of Event Description of Event th th Feb 19 & 20 Severe blizzard swept across Ireland which resulted in several deaths and the wrecking of two Blizzard 1807 transport ships on the Irish Sea. th The Night of the Big Wind was a massive hurricane that swept over Ireland on the night of January 6, 06 Jan 1839 Wind 1839. th A severe snowstorm hit Ireland which resulted in the Queen Victoria sinking in the Irish Sea claiming 14 Feb 1853 Snowstorm 55 lives. The River Suir flowing through Waterford City completely froze over. The Railway Steamboat was th 25 Jan 1867 Freeze used to keep large ice flows impacting the bridge. On the same day the New Ross bridge was swept away by ice flows. th 05 Feb 1869 Tidal Flooding Most of the lower lying regions of Waterford City were submerged due to extreme flooding. nd 02 Feb 1873 Snowfall Extremely heavy snowfall resulted in circa 120cm of snow falling in a short period. Jan 1881 Snowfalls “Remarkable” snowfalls recorded throughout this month. th th 7 – 10 April 1886 Blizzard A "great" blizzard with snow depths of up to 60cm. o Summer 1887 Heat wave The highest temperature ever recorded in Ireland was 33.3 C on June 26th 1887. Winter 1891/92 Snowfalls Greatest snowfalls recorded since 1855. Serious disruption in late Feb to rail traffic. Feb 1895 Snowfall Extremely heavy snowfalls observed. th th Many thousands of trees were uprooted countrywide. There was also extensive damage to large 26 / 27 Feb 1903 Storm amount of buildings and infrastructure. Apr 1908 Snowfall Extremely heavy snowfall observed. Winter 1909/10 Snowfall The snowfall in Jan was very severe with several counties covered with up to 33cm for several days. Combination Rain, sleet & snow accompanied a S.E gale. Melted snow had a depth of 52mm rainfall. Drifts of 3m Jan to Feb 1917 event reported. Large portion of rail traffic was disrupted. Low temperatures prevented snow thawing. st 01 Apr 1917 Snowfall Many places were cut off for several days. Snow lay to a depth of 1.3 m with drifts of 3m. th 28 Oct 1927 Storm A storm which had an extremely low pressure of 976hPa claimed 45 lives of the west coast. rd 23 Feb 1933 Snow Widespread snowfalls with strong winds lead to drifts up to 3m. Mid Jan – mid Combination The severe conditions disrupted communications’ and transport facilities for several weeks. March 1947 event Rainfall was 50% above the normal levels for the last quarter of the year resulting in the sinking and Combination running a ground of several ships on Irish coasts in what was described as "mountainous seas". On Dec 1954 event Dec 9th a railway bridge was destroyed by flood waters which then created a "dam". There was also widespread power outages and further disruptions caused by severe snowfalls. th Hurricane Debbie is the most powerful cyclone on record to strike Ireland in September, and 16 Sept 1961 Storm possibly the only tropical cyclone on record to ever strike Britain and Ireland while still tropical. Winter 1962 / 63 Cold The coldest winter on record in Ireland and the UK since records began. This deluge of rain lead to extensive flooding in the south region with a max of 195.1mm being the Nov/Dec 1973 Rain / Flood highest amount recorded over the four days. On June 29th, 1976, a weather station in Boora, Co Offaly, recorded a temperature of 32.5 degrees. Summer 1976 Heat wave This heat wave occurred at the end of the driest period in 150years. This period began in October 1974. th Hurricane Most of Ireland took a pounding from storm force winds resulting in traffic chaos, disruption of vital 25 Aug 1986 Charley services, damage to buildings and trees, and the tragic loss of life. th Summer 1995 Heat wave The recording had been a report of 31.1 degrees in Athy, Co Kildare, on June 29 1995. Winter 2009/10 Snow Coldest winter since 1963 with 30 days of snow in many places. Winter 2010/11 Snow Extensive snowfalls and extremely low temperatures with daytime averages being below freezing. September 2011 Hurricane Katia Met Eireann, issued an extreme weather warning amid predictions of storm gusts of up to 128 kph. th Hurricane gusts, mass destruction, widespread blackouts, millions of euro worth of damage to 12 Feb 2014 Storm Darwin infrastructure. th Storm Ophelia made landfall over Ireland as an “extra-tropical storm” on the morning of October 16 Oct 2017 Storm Ophelia 16th, 2017 with wind speeds of up to 156km/h. th This was one of the most significant snowfall events of recent years with temperatures barely rising 28th Feb to 4 Storm Emma above freezing and severe snowfalls country wide. This caused widespread disruptions to road, rail March 2018 and air travel. It also resulted in the majority of businesses and schools being closed. The heat wave this summer saw Met Éireann record the highest June temperature in Ireland in more Summer 2018 Heat wave than 40 years, at Shannon Airport weather station, Co Clare. Table 6 Major Meteorological Events 1807 To 2018 21
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