Citi's Global Consumer Seminar November 29, 2016 - Cott Corporation
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Safe Harbor Statements Forward Looking Statements: This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and applicable Canadian securities laws conveying management's expectations as to the future based on plans, estimates and projections at the time the Company makes the statements. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties and the Company cautions you that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any such forward-looking statement. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements related to expected future operating results of the Company, anticipated market trends, and the execution of the Company’s strategy. The forward-looking statements are based on assumptions regarding management's current plans and estimates. Management believes these assumptions to be reasonable but there is no assurance that they will prove to be accurate. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in this presentation include, among others: (1) changes in estimates of future earnings; (2) expected synergies and cost savings are not achieved or achieved at a slower pace than expected; (3) integration problems, delays or other related costs; and (4) unanticipated changes in laws, regulations, or other industry standards affecting the companies. The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. Readers are urged to carefully review and consider the various disclosures, including but not limited to risk factors contained in the Company's Annual Report in the Form 10-K for the year ended January 2, 2016. The Company does not, except as expressly required by applicable law, undertake to update or revise any of these statements in light of new information or future events. Non-GAAP Measures: The Company routinely supplements its reporting of GAAP measures by utilizing certain non-GAAP measures to separate the impact of certain items from its underlying business results. In this presentation, we use non-GAAP measures such as EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow and certain ratios using these measures. With respect to our expectations of performance of S&D and Eden as they are being integrated, reconciliations of first year free cash flow accretion and adjusted free cash flow accretion are not available, as we are unable to quantify certain amounts that would be required to be included in the relevant GAAP measures without unreasonable effort. We expect that the unavailable reconciling items, which primarily include transaction and integration costs and phasing of capital expenditures, could significantly affect our financial results. These items depend on highly variable factors and any such reconciliations would imply a degree of precision that would be confusing or misleading to investors. We expect the variability of these factors to have a significant, and potentially unpredictable, impact on our future GAAP financial results. Since the Company uses these non-GAAP measures in the management of its business, management believes this supplemental information, including on a pro forma basis, is useful to investors for their independent evaluation and understanding of the business. Any non-GAAP financial measures used by the Company are in addition to, and not meant to be considered superior to, or a substitute for, the Company's financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. In addition, the non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation reflects management's judgment of particular items, and may be different from, and therefore may not be comparable to, similarly titled measures reported by other companies. A reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure may be found on www.cott.com. 1
Cott is a Diversified Beverage Company with a Strong Better For You, Product Mix and Broad Channel Penetration Cott is a leading provider in the direct-to-consumer beverage services industry with $4 billion in sales, over $400 million in EBITDA, and strong projected free cash flow growth. Total Cott Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA (1) The Company operates through two major business segments: (Inclusive of DS Services, Aquaterra, Eden Springs and S&D Coffee and Tea) Better For You Beverage Platform: provides direct-to consumer bottled water, coffee, tea and water filtration services to customers across 20 countries. Includes DS Services, Aquaterra, Eden Springs and S&D. Other CSD 14% 12% Leading, scale platforms in home and office water delivery, coffee, tea and filtration services Juice / Juice within North America and Europe Drinks 8% Coffee & Tea Products Large categories with low single digit growth across HOD Water, Custom Coffee Roasting and 16% Sparkling Tea Blending Waters 8% Growing coffee manufacturing, distribution and services channels Water 7% Growing water filtration businesses HOD Water 35% Fragmented diversified customer base with good retention rates Traditional Cott: one of the largest producer of beverages on behalf of retailers, brand owners and distributors. Stable overall volume despite mature market dynamics/decline in CSD’s. Key drivers: Other Distribution 19% Private Label Sparkling water and mixer product category growth in the high single/low double digits 1% Retail 28% Channels Convenience Growing contract manufacturing channel growth in the high single/low double digits Retailing 2% Carbonated Soft Drinks “CSDs” and Shelf Stable Juices “SSJs” continue with low /mid single digit declines Foodservice 5% Branded Retail 10% Customer base includes world’s leading brand owners and retailers in the grocery, mass- HOD Water merchandise and drug store channels 35% ___________________________ Note: Financials based on FY 2015. Source: Company information, Management estimates Terms: Home and Office Delivery (“HOD”), Office Coffee Services (“OCS”) and Carbonated Soft Drinks (“CSD”). Other product category includes concentrates, Eden Springs’s filtration services and other. Sparkling waters includes mixers. Other channels include contract packaging, OCS and other 2 (1) 2015 Adjusted EBITDA allocated based upon pro-rata revenues by product category and channel between DS Services (HOD Water, OCS, Water and Other), Traditional Cott (CSD, Juice/Juice Drinks, Sparkling Waters and Other), Eden (HOD Water, OCS, Water and Other) and S&D (Coffee & Tea).
Significant Revenue Diversification Across Products and Channels. Cott + DSS + Eden + S&D Pro Forma Traditional Cott Revenue Cott + DSS Revenue Revenue CSD + Juices = 55% Traditional Cott = 100% CSD + Juices = 36% Traditional Cott = 65% CSD + Juices = 27% Traditional Cott = 49% Other CSD Other CSD 19% 21% 15% 16% CSD Other 33% Juice / Juice Products 24% OCS 4% Drinks Juice / Juice Coffee & Tea 11% Water 20% 5% Drinks 15% Sparkling Sparkling Waters / Sparkling Mixers Waters Water Juice / Juice HOD Water Waters / 10% 21% 5% Drinks 22% Mixers HOD Water 22% 14% 23% Contract Other Other Other Packaging 3% 17% Distribution 17% 12% 2% Channels Convenience Private Label Branded Retailing Retail Retail Private Label 4% 36% 15% HOD Water Retail 22% 48% Foodservice 8% Private Label Branded Branded Retail HOD Water Retail Retail 70% 23% 13% 10% Better For You 21% Better For You Better For You Other 45% Better For 45% Other You 55% 55% Other 79% ___________________________ Note: Financials based on FY 2015. Other product category includes concentrates, Eden Springs’s filtration services and other. Sparkling water includes mixers Other channels include contract packaging, office coffee services and other Better For You platform includes HOD Water, Water, Coffee & Tea and Sparkling Waters / Mixers Source: Company information, Management estimates 3
Significant EBITDA Diversification Across Products and Channels. Cott + DSS + Eden + S&D Pro Forma Traditional Cott Adjusted EBITDA Cott + DSS Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA CSD + Juices = 55% Traditional Cott = 100% CSD + Juices = 26% Traditional Cott = 48% CSD + Juices = 20% Traditional Cott = 37% Other CSD Other CSD 12% 14% 16% 16% Juice / Juice CSD Drinks Other 33% Products 24% OCS Juice / Juice 8% 6% Coffee & Tea Drinks 16% Sparkling 11% Water Waters 8% Sparkling 8% Sparkling Waters Water Waters 10% 7% 21% Juice / Juice Drinks HOD Water HOD Water 22% 33% 35% Contract Other Packaging 3% Other Other Private Label 12% 19% Distribution 19% Retail 1% Channels Private Label 28% Branded Retail Convenience Retail 37% Retailing 15% 2% Private Label Foodservice Retail 5% Branded HOD Water 70% Retail 33% Branded 10% Retail HOD Water 11% 35% Better For You 21% Better For You Other 34% Other 43% Better For You Better For 57% You 66% Other 79% ___________________________ Note: Financials based on FY 2015. Other product category includes concentrates, Eden Springs’s filtration services and other. Sparkling water includes mixers Other channels include contract packaging, office coffee services and other Better For You platform includes HOD Water, Water, Coffee & Tea and Sparkling Waters / Mixers Source: Company information, Management estimates 4
Primary Geographic Presence In North America & Europe Revenue(1) and Adj EBITDA(1) Geographic Mix USD 72% 68% GBP CAD 14% 15% EUR OTHER (1) 7% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% North America Europe Other Revenue EBITDA Note: Includes ILS (Revenue 3% and EBITDA 3%) and the aggregate of other currencies with individual concentration of 2% or less (CHF, RUB, PLN, and MXN). (1) Includes estimated full year 2016 financial data for Cott Corporation, Eden Springs and S&D Coffee, Inc. as of August 4, 2016. Financial estimates are subject to change. 5
Key Business Performance Metric to Drive Compound Growth in Free Cash Flow We focus on free cash flow generation and anticipate a strong CAGR in growth from 2016 to 2019. Adjusted Free Cash Flow (1) Free Cash Flow Drivers ($ in millions) Traditional business continuing to generate good free cash flows from well invested business and asset base $225 - $275 Beneficial corporate structure (low cash taxes annually 2016 to 2021) HOD water, coffee, tea and filtration platform $135 - $145* top line growth is expected to generate incremental EBITDA and free cash flow Additional synergy capture across HOD, Coffee and Tea platforms. Small overlapping highly complentary tuck- 2016 Cott 2019PF in acquisitions with the goal of generating incremental EBITDA *2016 adjusted FCF in the $135 to $145 million dollar range with Eden and S&Ds part Refinance/Remove (high 10% coupon) DS year contributions more than offsetting the further weakness in Sterling (11-10-16) Notes in September 2017 which is expected to generate significant interest savings ___________________________ Source: Company information (1) Adjusted free cash flow calculated as cash flow from operations (excluding acquisition, integration and transaction costs) less capital expenditures. 2019 range incorporates S&D Coffee and Tea and Eden Springs transactions as well as foreign exchange rates as of 8/4/16. 6
Cott’s Strategic Vision – A More Diversified Higher Margin and/or Growth Company With Strong Free Cash Flow Stable, strong cash generation from • HOD Water, Coffee and Tea traditional business Service Businesses of Scale. through 4Cs and growth • Continue to generate top in contract line organic growth manufacturing and Traditional • Small HOD/OCS tuck-in Value Added Water Business Better For You acquisitions in North offsetting PL CSD and Beverage Platform America and Europe SSJ declines Growth Shareholder Value Creation A more diversified higher margin and/or growth- oriented company with annual EBITDA and free cash flow expansion to drive increased multiple/stock valuation. Free Cash Flow and Rapid Acquisition Synergy capture and Deleveraging Synergy Compound Free integration across Capture water, coffee, tea and Cash Flow Growth and Rapid filtration platforms Deleveraging 7
Traditional Business – Leading Beverage Platform with Extensive Manufacturing Footprint for Private Label, Contract Manufacturing and Own Brands Traditional Business Overview Diversified Manufacturing Capabilities Industry-leading beverage manufacturer and distributor focused on CANADA private label, contract manufacturing and own brands with revenues of approximately $1.9 billion which provides procurement and scale leverage UNITED STATES Leader in private label shelf stable juices and CSDs in North America with a rapidly growing contract manufacturing business for top tier brand owners and growing positions in attractive segments (sparkling waters and mixers) Sangs Sangs Sangs Sangs(McDuff) Sangs Sangs Sangs Sangs(McDuff) (McDuff) (McDuff) (McDuff) (McDuff) (McDuff) (McDuff) Ownership of RC Cola Brand outside North America MEXICO MEXICO UNITED KINGDOM Nelson Nelson Nelson Nelson Nelson Nelson Nelson Nelson Bondgate Bondgate Bondgate Bondgate Bondgate Bondgate Bondgate Bondgate Merseyside Merseyside Merseyside Merseyside Merseyside Merseyside Merseyside Merseyside Fully integrated concentrate facility with strong R&D capabilities and Puebla Puebla Puebla Puebla Cold Fill Wrexham Wrexham Wrexham Wrexham Wrexham Wrexham Wrexham Wrexham Kegworth Kegworth Kegworth Kegworth Kegworth Kegworth Kegworth Kegworth vertical integration with high service, low-cost production model Hot Fill Other supplying quality concentrates and exports to customers outside of North America Industry-leading Manufacturer with Global Footprint 532904_1.WOR (NY007LA7) Customer relationships with over 500 leading retailers in the grocery, Strong beverage manufacturing footprint in US, Canada and UK with mass-merchandise and drug store channels strategically located beverage manufacturing and fruit processing facilities providing a substantial competitive advantage to service national and super-regional accounts, with high service levels (98%+) Low cost philosophy concentrating on Customers, Costs, Capex and low freight costs. and Cash resulting in a highly cash generative business High quality facilities (SQF / BRC certified) with multiple product and Highly recognized award-winning services (manufacturing excellence, on package capabilities offering a diversified product portfolio beyond time in full service, supply chain partner, Grocer Gold) traditional CSDs and shelf stable juices Building value through stable free cash flows generated through Leader in R&D capability in the development and production of value growing value added water and contract manufacturing as well as cost added sparkling waters and mixers down initiatives in order to offset the structurally declining categories of carbonated soft drinks and shelf stable juices Efficient and highly utilized facilities producing industry leading asset turnover with low capex demands (~2% of revenues) ___________________________ 8 Source: Management
Traditional Business - Cash Flow Stability through 4Cs, Contract Manufacturing and Value Added Water Growth 4C’s Philosophy Drives High Cash Generation Cott North America Contract Manufacturing Volume Serving equivalent cases (in millions) Strengthen customer relationships 120 70+ 100 Continue to lower operating costs 80 68 50+ million 60 45 case Control capital expenditures 40 growth 21 20 ---------------------------- Deliver significant free cash flow 0 2013 2014 2015 2016E Value Added Water Opportunity Copack Advantages Capitalize on consumer movement to healthier products Provides gross margins that are consistent with Cott’s historical rates such as sparkling and flavored water as well as ice type Dollar profit (operating income per case) is equivalent to Cott’s other beverages which are generating high single digit to low products double digit growth annually Brand owners normally supply the ingredients and packaging materials Resources have been allocated to this beverage category which have retailer support and where the private label Limited commodity exposure drives stable margin contribution segment controls a larger percentage of the market relative Lowers working capital requirements and improves line efficiency to other categories such as CSDs Capitalizes on outsourcing trends by brand owners Target high single to low double digit compound annual volume growth in value added water Increases asset utilization and offsets PL CSD and SSJ decline Over 25% of North American revenues are generated from Recent 7.5 million case hot fill contract starting in 2017 driving further the value added water category. copack growth Q3 2016 19% actual case volume growth in value added and sparkling waters
DS Services - A Leading North American Direct-to-Consumer Services Provider Across HOD Water, Office Coffee and Filtration Services Water Delivery Services(1) Office Coffee Services (“OCS”) 2015 Revenue(2): $1,021mm Filtration 2015 Revenue: $724mm (71%) OCS 2% 2015 Revenue: $121mm (12%) 12% Retail Retail 15% Filtration Services Water Delivery Services 71% 2015 Revenue: $149mm (15%) 2015 Revenue: $27mm (2%) ___________________________ 1. Other revenue included in Water Delivery Services revenue 2. Excludes Aquaterra revenue 10 Source: Company information
DS Services - Share Growth from Market Leading Brands with Strong Regional Heritage Highly-recognized brands with long lived heritages in both HOD water and OCS Largest or second-largest HOD water provider in 39 of 43 largest cities Offers customers products under other leading brands, which include: Ferrarelle and Voss water, Starbucks Coffee, Keurig Green Mountain, Caribou Coffee, Peet’s Coffee & Tea and Mars Alterra Customer growth combined with improved consumption and strong pricing drives HOD volume/revenue growth Organic Net Customer Growth Leadership in Regional Brands (thousands) 80 #1 60 #1 40 #3 #1 #1 20 #2 #2 #1 #1 0 #1 Q1 YTD Q2 YTD Q3 YTD #2 -20 #1 #1 #1 #1 #3 2015 2016 #1 #2 DSS HOD Volume share (1) #1 #2 (HOD Bottled Water Volume Only) 53rd week impact 31.1% 30.6% 0.4% 29.5% 29.2% 30.7% 2012 2013 2014 2015 ___________________________ 11 Source: BMC and Cott management
Aquaterra – Acquisition in January 2016 of Canada’s Oldest and Largest Home and Office Water Delivery Business First year objective to implement all DS Services systems and processes Synergies planned to be phased in 2017-2019 Expansion of DS Services revenue program into Aquaterra phased over 2017/2018 Retail Booth Program New Customer Acquisition Program AquaCafe (R) Rollout Potential Synergistic Tuck-ins Acquisitions from 2017 Integration going to plan and tracking in line with acquisition model. 2016 First Half revenues of C$41 million 12
Eden Springs – Acquisition in August 2016 of Europe’s Leading Direct-to-Consumer (Home and Office) Water and Office Coffee Services Provider Water Services Office Coffee Services 2015 Revenue: €367mm ($408mm) Filtration 2015 Revenue: €238mm ($266mm) Retail 6% 2015 Revenue: €70mm ($77mm) 10% Office Filtration Coffee Retail Services 19% Water Services 65% 2015 Revenue: €22mm ($24mm) 2015 Revenue: €37mm ($41mm) ___________________________ Note: Figures converted at EUR:USD rate of 1.11 Source: Company information 13
S&D Coffee and Tea – Acquisition in August 2016 of Leading U.S. Foodservice Coffee and Tea Manufacturing and Services Company State-of-the-Art Production Capabilities Distribution Platform Attractive Synergy and Distribution Opportunity with DS Services OCS Business Third-Party Distribution Direct Route & Third-Party Distribution Direct route sales accounted for ~20% of 2015 revenue 3rd Party Distribution sales accounted for ~80% of total 2015 revenue Coffee Production Tea Production Differentiators Differentiators Hyper-Efficient Thermal Transfer Superior Sourcing S&D Segment Growth Custom Coffee Engineering Tea Blending Systems Coffee Tea Cupping & Q Graders Dedicated Laboratory Four production facilities: two dedicated coffee facilities, one tea facility and one extract and ingredient facility Production capacity: 130-150 million pounds of coffee and 40-50 million pounds of tea per year Maintains stringent quality standards and is only ISO 9001:2008 certified roaster in U.S. Multiple new customer agreements signed in back half of 2016 to benefit 2017 growth '13A '14A '15A '16E '13A '14A '15A '16E Complementary supply chain with distinct coffee and tea manufacturing capabilities and direct-to-consumer delivery infrastructure ___________________________ Source: Company information 14
Cott’s Extensive Better For You Beverage Services Platform - Cott is a Leading HOD Water, Coffee, Tea and Filtration Services Provider Across 20 Countries Eden geographic presence BWC water position(3) DS Services – U.S. Market Leader Eden Springs – European Market Leader HOD Water(1) OCS(2) HOD Water OCS DS Eden Company A Smaller Services DS Services 20% Eden ~3% 6% 4% Competitor ~31% Company s A Remainder of ~39% 3% Top 5 ~17% Company Other Other B 61% 89% 3% Smaller Competitors Next 5 Nestle 13% ~80% ~30% S&D Coffee and Tea – U.S. Leader Aquaterra – Canadian Market Leader S&D has approximately 20% share of the continuously growing foodservice channel and is the largest supplier of fresh-brewed iced tea to the U.S. foodservice industry Aquaterra is Canada’s oldest and largest HOD Water business with a leading with four production facilities (two coffee, one tea, and one extract and ingredient) position, over 70,000 customers and over C$70 million in annual revenues. serving the U.S. with national and regional route distribution ___________________________ Note: 2015 market shares based on management estimates. (1) Source: Beverage Marketing Corporation. Category size of $1.7 billion reflects only bottled water and excludes items such as cooler rent, cups, etc. (2) Source: ‘Coffee sales rise, so do costs: State of the Coffee Service Industry’, Automatic Merchandiser, September 2015. 15 Source: Company information, Management estimates (3) BWC represents total bottled water coolers but is not a market in and of itself as the HOD water business consists of coolers, bottled water as well as other products such as case pack water and single serve products
Cott Corporation - Strong Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Rapid Deleveraging Proven track-record of quickly deleveraging after acquisitions Significant free cash flow conversion allows for accelerated deleveraging Anticipated leverage of low 3x by 2019 leaves ample debt capacity to execute tuck-in acquisitions Pro Forma Net Debt to Adj. EBITDA (1) (2016E – 2019E) 4.8x Low 3x Cott PF 2017E 2018E 2019E ___________________________ Source: Company information 16 (1) Expected debt balance at closing of S&D Coffee and Tea projected for August 2016 less expected cash balance divided by combined 2015 adjusted EBITDA.
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