Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network - For the Energy Security Board
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Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network For the Energy Security Board August 2020 Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network i
ABOUT ITP RENEWABLES ITP Renewables (ITP) is a global leader in renewable energy engineering, strategy, construction, and energy sector analytics. Our technical and policy expertise spans the breadth of renewable energy, energy storage, energy efficiency and smart integration technologies. Our range of services cover the entire spectrum of the energy sector value chain, from technology assessment and market forecasting right through to project operations, maintenance and quality assurance. We were established in 2003 and operate out of offices in Canberra (Head Office), Sydney, North Coast NSW, Adelaide and Auckland, New Zealand. We are part of the international ITPEnergised Group, one of the world’s largest, most experienced and respected specialist engineering consultancies focussing on renewable energy, energy efficiency, and carbon markets. The Group has undertaken over 2,000 contracts in energy projects encompassing over 150 countries since it was formed in 1981. Our regular clients include governments, energy utilities, financial institutions, international development donor agencies, project developers and investors, the R&D community, and private firms. ABOUT THIS REPORT This report was commissioned by the Energy Security Board to support their work on DER integration and the development of post-2025 market design. The ESB is seeking to understand both the economics and regulation of business models for distribution-level storage and the interaction between the two. Its focus of this report is primarily on battery storage, but the analysis includes other forms of storage (e.g. hot water, and/or other controllable loads) considered useful to understand the issues. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network ii
REPORT CONTROL RECORD Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Report Title Distribution Network Client Contract No. ITP Project Number AO350 Energy Client Client Contact Gabrielle Kuiper Security Board Rev Date Status Author/s Reviewed By Approved Rob Passey, Annie Ngo, 1 3/4/2020 Draft Muriel Watt, Joshua Jordan, Rob Passey Approved Jose Zapata Rob Passey, Annie Ngo, 2 4/5/2020 Final draft Muriel Watt, Joshua Jordan, Rob Passey Approved Jose Zapata Rob Passey, Annie Ngo, 3 8/6/20 Final draft Muriel Watt, Joshua Jordan, Rob Passey Approved Jose Zapata Rob Passey, Annie Ngo, 4 240820 Final Muriel Watt, Joshua Jordan, Rob Passey Approved Jose Zapata A person or organisation choosing to use documents prepared by IT Power (Australia) Pty Ltd accepts the following: a. Conclusions and figures presented in draft documents are subject to change. IT Power (Australia) Pty Ltd accepts no responsibility for use outside of the original report. b. The document is only to be used for purposes explicitly agreed to by IT Power (Australia) Pty Ltd. c. All responsibility and risks associated with the use of this report lie with the person or organisation who chooses to use it. Document prepared by: ITP RENEWABLES Address: Level 1, 19 Moore St Phone: +61 (0) 2 6257 3511 Turner, ACT, 2612, Australia Email: info@itpau.com.au Postal: PO Box, 6127 itp.com.au O’Connor, ACT, 2602, Australia IT Power (Australia) Pty Limited (ABN 42 107351 673) Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network iii
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AC Alternating Current ACT Australian Capital Territory ACT Australian Capital Territory AEMC Australian Energy Market Commission AEMO Australian Energy Market Operator AER Australian Energy Regulator API application programming interface ARENA Australian Renewable Energy Agency AUD Australian Dollar COAG Council of Australian Governments DC Direct Current DER Distributed Energy Resources DERMS Distributed Energy Resources Management System DMIA demand management innovation allowance DNSP Distribution Network Service Provider DPT Discounted Payback Time DRED Demand Response Enabled Device DRSP Demand Response Service Provider EDCWNC Energy Democracy Central West NSW Co-operative EN embedded network ENAC Electricity Network Access Code ENO embedded network operator ENSMS Electricity Network Safety Management System ERA Economic Regulation Authority ERF Emissions Reduction Fund ESB Energy Security Board EV electric vehicle FCAS Frequency Control Ancillary Services FiT feed-in tariff FRMP Financially Responsible Market Participant GIS Geographic Information Systems GW gigawatt Hz hertz IQR Interquartile Range ITP ITP Renewables kW kilowatt kWh kilowatt-hour LET local energy trading LGC Large Generation Certificate Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network iv
LRET Large-scale Renewable Energy Target LUOS Local Use of System LV low voltage MASP Market Ancillary Service Provider MASS Market Ancillary Service Specification MLFs marginal loss factors MSGA Market Small Generation Aggregator MTR multiple trading relationship MW megawatt NEM National Electricity Market NMI National Metering Identifier NSCAS Network support and control ancillary services NSW New South Wales NWIS North West Interconnected System openCEM open Capacity Expansion Model PV Photovoltaic PVRP Photovoltaic Rebate Program QRET Queensland Renewable Energy Target RCEF Regional Community Energy Fund RERT Reliability and Emergency Reserve Trader RET Renewable Energy Target SA South Australia SAPS Stand Alone Power Systems SGA Small Generation Aggregator SPT simple payback time SWIS South West Interconnected System TOU Time of Use TWh Terawatt hours VCR Value of Customer Reliability VPP virtual power plant VRET Victorian Renewable Energy Target WA Western Australia WALDO Widespread and Long Duration Outages WDRM Wholesale Demand Response Mechanism WEM Wholesale Electricity Market WP Western Power ZS zone substation Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network v
TABLE OF TABLES Table 1: International Examples of Non-orchestrated Behind the Meter Battery Programs ........... 27 Table 2: Type 1 Barrier and Solution Summary ............................................................................. 28 Table 3: International examples of orchestrated behind the meter storage programs ................... 42 Table 4: Type 2 Summary of issues and suggested solutions for orchestrated behind the meter storage ................................................................................................................................................ 44 Table 5: International examples of Utility-scale battery systems.................................................... 60 Table 6: Type 3 Summary of Regulatory and Other Barriers ......................................................... 62 Table 7: Simple and Discounted Payback Times Under Different Operational Modes, over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Enova’s Shared Community Battery Scheme ............................................................... 69 Table 8: Sources of Annual Revenue Under Different Operational Modes, Averaged over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Enova’s Shared Community Battery Scheme ............................................................... 69 Table 9: Simple and Discounted Payback Times Under Different Operational Modes, over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Byron Bay Solar Farm & Battery Storage Facility ......................................................... 70 Table 10: Sources of Annual Revenue Under Different Operational Modes, Averaged over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Byron Bay Solar Farm & Battery Storage Facility ......................................................... 70 Table 11: Simple and Discounted Payback Times Under Different Operational Modes, over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Goulburn Community Dispatchable Solar Farm............................................................ 71 Table 12: Sources of Annual Revenue Under Different Operational Modes, Averaged over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Goulburn Community Dispatchable Solar Farm............................................................ 71 Table 13: Simple and Discounted Payback Times Under Different Operational Modes, over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Orange Community Renewable Energy Park ............................................................... 72 Table 14: Sources of Annual Revenue Under Different Operational Modes, Averaged over 2017, 2018 & 2019: Orange Community Renewable Energy Park ............................................................... 72 Table 15: International examples of third party owned or operated batteries................................. 73 Table 16: Type 4 Summary of Regulatory and Other Barriers ....................................................... 74 TABLE OF FIGURES Figure 1. Number and capacity of residential battery systems installed: 2015 to 2019 (Sunwiz, 2020)..................................................................................................................................................... 2 Figure 2. Residential battery systems installed in 2019: By state/territory (Sunwiz, 2020) .............. 2 Figure 3. sonnenFlat Packages ....................................................................................................... 6 Figure 4. Annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, Flat tariff ............................................................................................................................................................ 11 Figure 5. Change in median annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, Flat tariff ........................................................................................................................... 11 Figure 6. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, new PV: residential customers, Flat tariff ........................................................................................................................... 11 Figure 7. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, customer already had PV: residential customers, Flat tariff ................................................................................................... 12 Figure 8. Annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, TOU tariff ............................................................................................................................................................ 13 Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network vi
Figure 9. Change in median annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, TOU tariff .......................................................................................................................... 14 Figure 10. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, new PV: residential customers, TOU tariff .......................................................................................................................... 14 Figure 11. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, customer already had PV: residential customers, TOU tariff .................................................................................................. 14 Figure 12. Annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, Demand charge tariff ......................................................................................................................................... 15 Figure 13. Change in median annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, Demand charge tariff ........................................................................................................ 16 Figure 14. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, new PV: residential customers, Demand charge tariff ........................................................................................................ 16 Figure 15. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, customer already had PV: residential customers, Demand charge tariff ................................................................................ 17 Figure 16. Annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, Tariff with spot price ..................................................................................................................................... 18 Figure 17. Change in median annual bills with different PV and battery combinations: residential customers, Tariff with spot price ......................................................................................................... 18 Figure 18. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, new PV: residential customers, Tariff with spot price ......................................................................................................... 19 Figure 19. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, customer already had PV: residential customers, Tariff with spot price ................................................................................. 19 Figure 20. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, new PV: residential customers, Flat, TOU, Demand and Spot tariffs ................................................................................. 20 Figure 21. Change in Simple Payback Time for the large commercial tariff as the battery MWh capacity changes ................................................................................................................................ 21 Figure 22. Simple Payback Time for different PV and battery combinations, new PV: residential customers, Flat, TOU, Demand and Spot tariffs ................................................................................. 22 Figure 23. Residential battery systems installed in 2019: By state/territory (Sunwiz, 2020) .......... 23 Figure 24. Decline in PV prices and resultant increase in uptake .................................................. 25 Figure 25. Comparison of AEMO ESOO forecasts of battery uptake, ESOO 2018 compared to March 2018 EFI Update ...................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 26. Decline in PV prices and resultant increase in uptake .................................................. 26 Figure 27. Test of coordinated and un-coordinated battery dispatch in a 24 hour period (Information courtesy of SA Power Networks) .................................................................................... 32 Figure 28. Ausgrid VPP typical battery operation and typical network VPP dispatch profile (Ausgrid’s Battery Virtual Power Plant, Phase 1 Summary Report August 2019) ............................... 34 Figure 29. Spot price response for SA VPP 9-15 January 2020 (AEMO Virtual Power Plant Demonstration, Knowledge Sharing Report #1, March 2020) ............................................................. 36 Figure 30. Negative price event response for SA VPP 30 April 2019 (AEMO Virtual Power Plant Demonstration, Knowledge Sharing Report #1, March 2020) ............................................................. 37 Figure 31. Average load shape of AGL South Australian VPP (Virtual Power Plant in South Australia, Stage 2 Public Report, AGL, June 2018) ............................................................................ 38 Figure 32. SA VPP daily revenue September 2019 to February 2020 (AEMO Virtual Power Plant Demonstration, March 2020, Knowledge Sharing Report #1) ............................................................. 40 Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network vii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The ESB commissioned ITP Renewables to undertake a review of the different ways that distribution-level batteries are used, the related business models, and any barriers, regulatory or otherwise. Such batteries are becoming more widely deployed and are demonstrating significant potential to provide a wide variety of services, including reduction in consumer bills, network support (through soaking up excess solar generation, reducing demand peaks and improved power quality), as well as participating in wholesale spot and Frequency Control and Ancillary Services (FCAS) markets, and so reducing costs for all consumers. Distribution-level batteries can be defined into four different types: Type 1: Autonomous behind-the-meter, which includes standard residential and commercial-scale batteries, as well as those in Local Energy Trading schemes and embedded networks (not including EV batteries). Type 2: Orchestrated behind-the-meter, which includes controlled loads and Demand Response Enabled Devices (DREDs), and the use of batteries in embedded networks and VPPs. Type 3: Owned by Distribution Network System Providers (DNSPs) in front of the meter Type 4: Owned by a third party (such as a retailer or a solar farm) in front of the meter Each of these has different potential business cases, and each of these business cases can have different barriers, regulatory and otherwise. These are all discussed in detail in this report. The following tables summarise the key barriers faced by each of the four types and suggests solutions. Type 1: Autonomous behind-the-meter storage Of the four types, Type 1 batteries have by far the greatest take-up in both number and capacity in the National Energy Market (NEM) and Western Australia Energy Market (WEM). As outlined in Table A, implementation of cost-reflective tariffs is the best option to help overcome the current high installed cost, and if combined with a reduction in installed cost could result in a step change in uptake. This would have significant benefits in terms of reducing demand peaks, reducing solar export and smoothing demand profiles, as well as reduction in spot prices, improved power quality control and voltage ride through, depending on the batteries operational control and technical specifications. Table A: Autonomous behind-the-meter Barrier & Solution (Type 1) Australia-wide The installed capital cost of batteries is currently generally too high for them to be financially viable for most residential applications, even when combined with a PV system. Commercial-scale batteries can be financially viable but only if correctly sized and with an appropriate tariff. Although capital subsidies can help drive uptake and can be used for targeted programs, such as for low-income households (and are being used successfully in Australia and internationally), they impose a cost on governments and so are best applied to stimulate initial uptake until they become financially viable in their own right. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network viii
The optimal driver of ongoing increased uptake of Type 1 batteries will be cost-reflective tariffs but only if the battery is operated to take advantage of them. Such tariffs are being implemented by DNSPs but need to also be passed through by electricity retailers, in which case they can also allow for spot price exposure. PV/battery systems should also be eligible for feed-in tariffs (FiTs) as long as the FiTs reflect the benefit they are providing to retailers, which can be time-specific (higher in the early evening). More research is needed into the ability of non-orchestrated batteries to provide the benefits described above. This would focus on the potential benefits that batteries operated simply to directly minimise customer bills could provide in terms of reducing network peaks, reducing solar exports, reducing spot prices and regulating voltage and frequency. Type 2: Orchestrated behind-the-meter storage The aggregation and orchestration of demand and DER shows significant promise to participate in wholesale spot and Frequency Control Ancillary Services (FCAS) markets and in providing network support. Although the focus of this report was on batteries, it is clear that demand response, in the form of controlled load and DREDs for example, have significant potential, especially with the forthcoming introduction of mandatory DRED standards and the ability for controlled load to be managed more actively. The current focus of Virtual Power Plant (VPP) trials is on consumer acquisition and on successfully demonstrating the technical capabilities required. The final uptake of VPPs will of course depend on the demand for the services they can provide and the technology’s ability to provide them, but also on their financial viability and their ability to offer consumers something they can’t obtain independently (through Type 1 batteries). The key barriers to Type 2 options are identified in Table B, as are our recommendations for overcoming them. Table B: Orchestrated behind-the-meter Barriers & Solutions (Type 2) Western Australia NEM There are no regulatory barriers to the use of ripple-controlled loads to reduce peak loads on Controlled networks or exposure to peak energy pricing. Changing the timing of controlled loads is currently under active investigation by several DNSPs to soak up excess solar generation. Loads For novel options to be effective, they would need to be financially attractive to the consumer. The main barrier to DRED use has been the cost of installing the control hardware and software. introduction of mandatory DRED capability for a range of appliances at the end of 2020 will reduce costs for new installations, though they will remain an issue for legacy appliances. Third- party aggregation of demand response (DR) is emerging, in residential (trials), commercial DREDs (viable) and large consumers (wholesale demand response mechanism Rule change). Cost is an issue for increased use of batteries for these applications. Consumer education and recompense through appropriate price signals will be needed to incentivise uptake of demand response via appliances or batteries. Although the recent Rule change for the Wholesale Demand Response Mechanism (WDRM) includes a Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network ix
Demand Response Service Provider (DRSP), this will only target large consumers and there is no guarantee it could or would be extended to small consumers – with the AEMC’s position being that a two-sided market is the best way to engage small consumers in demand response. A range of new PV-based embedded networks (ENs) and microgrids have been developed or announced over recent years. Some ENs and all microgrids include batteries. This market appears to be growing as commercial and industrial (C&I) as well as residential consumers take their own initiatives to reduce their carbon footprints. Embedded The main regulatory issues for ENs have been around the requirements to provide access Networks to retailer competition for consumers on the EN. However, this competition may incentivise batteries as a means of maximising onsite PV use, or managing grid connection restrictions. The success of an EN ultimately depends on whether it financially viable i.e. can it off competitive tariffs and cover its costs of electricity purchase from the grid as well as any on-site generation and battery storage. There have been no regulatory barriers to The various issues for VPPs are being VPPs in WA, although operation of behind the addressed through several trials, which meter batteries required a derogation from the currently focus on technical outcomes and Economic Regulation Authority (ERA) to consumer acquisition, with the financial absolve Horizon of safety management outcomes being fine-tuned. obligations. They also had to develop bespoke privacy and data agreements for Generally, consumer participation in trials consumers. requires significant subsidies to the battery cost, which may limit future roll-out, and most Synergy is a monopoly retailer in the South financial value for consumers likely comes from West Interconnected System (SWIS) and is increased use of solar electricity at the single responsible for any issues created by DER, consumer level, which does not need a VPP. whether or not they were supplied by a third party, which restricts third parties ability to Hence VPPs would need to be seen by provide VPPs in WA. consumers to offer additional advantages which they cannot access on their own. Third parties should be made responsible for DER operational health and safety risks For VPPs to be financially viable they may need for the consumer in their own VPPs. to stack value streams from network, spot and FCAS markets. While this could be achieved via bilateral contracts, this increases both cost and VPPs complexity. There is a need to carefully examine how market participants are defined in the Post- 2025 market design. For example, the possibility of either/both SGAs and MASPs participating in spot and both FCAS markets could be examined. SGAs can only aggregate solar PV systems on gross meters, limiting their ability to establish VPPs that are attractive to consumers. This restriction could be removed, at least for VPPs. The required six second fast FCAS response does not take full advantage of batteries’ capabilities. The FCAS fast response requirement could be reduced to less than 6 seconds. This is currently the subject of a rule change request. 1 1 https://www.aemc.gov.au/rule-changes/fast-frequency-response-market-ancillary-service Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network x
Type 3: Owned by Distribution Network System Providers The use of batteries by distribution networks is gathering momentum, and there are no regulatory barriers to using them for network support. The barriers relate more to the need for the networks to develop the technical understanding of batteries (which they are now doing), as well as financial impediments which are generally overcome through Demand Management Initiative Allowance (DMIA). The only significant regulatory issues from the DNSP’s point of view occur when network operators in the NEM wish to use batteries in contestable services (such as electricity retail and participation in wholesale spot and FCAS markets). This may be necessary where DNSPs wish to develop community- scale batteries (batteries that are on the low voltage network but in front of the meter and have some level of community participation), where value stacking of benefits from these services is likely to be required for financial viability. The simplest way for a DNSP to access these value streams is likely to be through third parties. This approach would compete with third party-ownership of such batteries, with bilateral contracts with DNSPs for providing network support. It is important that the regulatory environment enables effective competition between these options. Some of the key issues and solutions for batteries owned by DNSPs are summarised in Table C. The modular Market Participant based on functionality discussed above could be useful here. Table C: DNSP-owned Barriers & Solutions (Type 3) Western Australia NEM There are no barriers to the use batteries There are no barriers to the use batteries for for network support. network support. Western Power overcame issues related to DNSPs face issues related to justifying justifying expenditure on low expenditure on low probability/ high impact probability/high impact events using the events. Such expenditure is required to Value of Customer Reliability model in the increase the resilience of the electricity context of WEM regulation. network to extreme events. Fringe-of-grid The current AER review on the standard outages Value of Customer Reliability (VCR) 2 only covers periods up to 12 hours should use time frames and approaches more suited to blackouts due to extreme events – for example over a 3- 5 day period. Western Power (WP) is currently The AEMC’s final decision for the operation converting many fringe-of-grid areas to of SAPS, and the DNSPs’ role in this is much SAPS, aided by the Electricity Industry more complex than in the SWIS because of Amendment Bill 2019, although there are the objective of ensuring retail competition some relatively minor consumer pricing and the ring-fencing of DNSP activities. SAPS issues to be resolved. The advanced metering requirements and investment In summary, the AEMC has ruled that tests appear to be resolved. Horizon Power distribution businesses can provide both the can of course build SAPS. SAPS distribution and generation services as long as the AER will provide a waiver. 2 https://www.aer.gov.au/networks-pipelines/guidelines-schemes-models-reviews/values-of-customer-reliability Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network xi
WP’s Community PowerBanks face no Ausgrid’s Community Battery trial is facing a regulatory barriers. The full cost of the number of regulatory and other barriers. The batteries is covered by a combination of main barriers are: capital expenditure and inclusion of regulated revenue from the battery in the That the Community Battery consumers will RAB. have multiple retailers which will make it very complex for a DNSP or third party to Following on from the Electricity Industry interface will all the different consumers. Amendment Bill 2019, Western Power is expecting to deploy more batteries for This might be solved using a single network support, but these are to be retailer to both buy the exported PV assessed on a case by case basis. electricity and sell it back to the consumers through a multiple trading relationship (MTR) approach. The proposal to allow MTR without the need for separate connection points, that was rejected by the AEMC in 2016, could be revisited. This is also relevant to obtaining consumer value through VPPs that could involve many different retailers. Electricity going from consumers to the battery and back again would be double counted in terms of network and retail charges. This might be solved under a subtractive netting arrangement through AEMO settlements and through some type of Local Use of System (LUOS) charge Network As for VPPs, for community batteries to be Support financially viable they may need to stack value streams from network, spot and FCAS markets. May be able to access spot through the MTR retailer, and can access contingency FCAS through a MASP. As for VPPs, there is a need to carefully examine how market participants are defined in the Post-2025 market design. For example, the possibility of either/both SGAs and MASPs participating in both spot and FCAS markets could be examined. An appropriate method to allocate costs and benefits to the various parties is yet to be determined Given the nature and scope of these issues, they will only be solved in close collaboration with the relevant regulatory bodies. Powercor, Jemena, Ausnet, Endeavour and United Energy are using batteries in a range of trials. None of these faced regulatory barriers because the battery is treated as a network asset as it is only providing network support, and any losses are just treated as normal network losses. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network xii
Type 4: Owned by a third party The deployment of medium scale batteries by community groups and retailers is a nascent market. Interested parties include electricity retailers, solar farm operators and community groups. The most significant barriers do not appear to be regulatory but are related to the internal capacity of the organisations involved, and to the financial viability of the proposed projects. The outcomes of the current round of the NSW Regional Community Energy Fund (RCEF) community battery trials will provide useful guidance as to the likely success of this model and resultant uptake of batteries. Table D: Third party-owned Barriers & Solutions (Type 4) Western Australia NEM Synergy’s community battery pays full Enova’s community battery also pays full network charges when the battery is network charges when the battery is charging and then when consumers use charging and then when consumers use the the electricity. electricity. This could be particularly relevant for participation in regulation FCAS. The use of LUOS charges would help Network although Synergy say the battery is LUOS charges may be needed for charges financially viable without these. financial viability because payment of full network charges both to and from the battery would significantly decrease the financial attractiveness to consumers Not a problem for Synergy as it is a retailer. Not a problem for Enova as is a retailer. All other PV/battery systems can access these markets through a bilateral contract with a single retailer, so is not a significant barrier. Access to spot Participation in FCAS which requires and FCAS sophisticated equipment and telemetry. This would be facilitated if AEMO allowed different standards and telemetry/ measurement requirements for the community battery in line with those allowed for VPP demonstration trials. Future Potential In terms of total battery uptake on the low-voltage network, the implementation of cost-reflective tariffs would appear to have the most potential in terms of total numbers as well as capacity. Although the use of VPPs has clear technical benefits, their success depends on their net financial outcomes and consumer interest. Ideally, they should be able to combine the best outcomes of Type 1 batteries when not in VPP mode with the targeted benefits when they are. Batteries are currently providing clear benefits to network operators in terms of providing network support, and so will continue to be deployed for this function. This could extend to significantly reducing the costs to service fringe-of-grid areas depending on regulatory outcomes related to SAPS. The development of community batteries is a new area and it is too soon to ascertain the degree to which this will help drive battery uptake. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network xiii
TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................... VIII 1 INTRODUCTION............................................................................................ 1 2 APPROACH................................................................................................... 4 3 TYPE 1: NON-ORCHESTRATED BEHIND-THE-METER .............................. 5 3.1 Financial outcomes ....................................................................................................... 8 Residential-scale batteries ........................................................................................ 10 Commercial-scale batteries ....................................................................................... 20 3.2 Future uptake ............................................................................................................... 22 3.3 International Examples of Support for Non-orchestrated Behind the Meter Batteries 26 3.4 Type 1 Summary of main issue and potential solutions .......................................... 28 4 TYPE 2: ORCHESTRATED BEHIND-THE-METER ..................................... 29 4.1 Controlled loads .......................................................................................................... 29 4.2 Demand Response Enabled Devices ......................................................................... 29 4.3 Embedded Networks ................................................................................................... 31 4.4 Virtual Power Plants .................................................................................................... 31 Network Peak Demand Management Trials .............................................................. 31 Network Support and Control Ancillary Services ....................................................... 35 Spot Market Trials ..................................................................................................... 35 FCAS Market Trials ................................................................................................... 39 4.5 International Examples of Orchestrated Behind the Meter Batteries ..................... 41 4.6 Summary of issues and potential solutions.............................................................. 43 5 TYPE 3: DNSP-OWNED .............................................................................. 46 5.1 Fringe-of-grid ............................................................................................................... 46 5.2 Stand Alone Power Systems ...................................................................................... 49 5.3 Network Peak Demand Support & Increased DER Hosting Capacity ..................... 52 5.4 International examples of Utility-scale batteries ...................................................... 60 5.5 Summary of issues and potential solutions.............................................................. 62 Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network xiv
6 TYPE 4: THIRD PARTY-OWNED/OPERATED ........................................... 65 6.1 Financial outcomes ..................................................................................................... 66 Enova Community Energy’s Shared Community Battery Scheme ............................ 68 Byron Bay Solar Farm Holdings’ Byron Bay Solar Farm & Battery Storage Facility .. 69 Community Energy for Goulburn’s Goulburn Community Dispatchable Solar Farm . 70 ITP Renewables’ Orange Community Renewable Energy Park................................ 71 6.2 International Examples of Third-Party Owned/Operated Batteries ......................... 72 6.3 Summary of issues and potential solutions.............................................................. 74 7 DISCUSSION OF BARRIERS AND FUTURE UPTAKE .............................. 75 7.1 Type 1 Autonomous behind-the-meter storage ........................................................ 75 7.2 Type 2 Orchestrated behind-the-meter storage ........................................................ 75 7.3 Type 3 DNSP-owned storage ...................................................................................... 78 7.4 Type 4 Third party-owned storage ............................................................................. 81 STAKEHOLDERS CONTACTED ............................................... 83 DNSPs ....................................................................................................................................... 83 Businesses ............................................................................................................................... 83 Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network xv
1 INTRODUCTION The Energy Security Board (ESB) is leading a wholesale review of the National Electricity Market (NEM), focussed on developing a post-2025 market design. The ESB is seeking to understand both the economics and regulation of business models for distribution-level storage and the interaction between the two. This report is intended to support the ESB’s work on DER integration and the development of post-2025 market design. The ESB commissioned ITP Renewables to undertake a review of the different ways that distribution-level batteries are used, their related business models, and any barriers, regulatory or otherwise. It has a particular interest in the changes required to overcome any barriers and so unlock otherwise successful business models in order to drive the uptake of distribution-level batteries. Such batteries can be autonomous behind-the-meter, orchestrated behind-the-meter, owned by Distribution Network System Providers (DNSPs) in front of the meter, or owned by a third party (such as a retailer or a solar farm) in front of the meter. Each of these has different potential business cases, and each of these business cases can have different barriers – with the regulatory barriers different in the NEM and the Western Australian Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM) which covers the South West Interconnected System (SWIS) and the North West Interconnected System (NWIS). Use cases Distribution-level batteries can be used in a number of different ways. At the simplest level they can be used behind the meter to capture excess solar PV generation for later use and can also be optimised according to the electricity tariff to charge during low cost periods and discharge during high cost periods. Such batteries could also allow individual consumers to participate in local energy trading (LET), where they can discharge their batteries to sell electricity to others in the trading scheme, and vice versa. The inclusion of a centralised battery in an embedded network with solar PV allows optimisation of electricity use and therefore costs across a number of aggregated consumers. Consumer-owned distribution-level batteries can also be orchestrated into a virtual power plant (VPP) that can potentially bid into spot markets, provide ancillary services (e.g. Frequency Control Ancillary Services (FCAS)) and support distribution networks. Such orchestration extends to the coordinated control of storage water heaters as well as Demand Response Enabled Devices (DREDs) that can control loads such as air conditioners. There is growing interest in the use of larger batteries (hundreds of kW) by DNSPs, primarily as a form of network support, but also as centralised batteries that can be used by consumers to store excess solar. Batteries can provide network support in fringe-of-grid areas, for stand-alone power systems (SAPS), to help meet demand peaks and to increase the network’s Distributed Energy Resources (DER) hosting capacity by soaking up excess solar. The use of centralised batteries to store excess consumer solar is of growing interest in the WA market, which has a much more amenable regulatory environment to DER than the NEM. These larger-scale batteries can also be used by electricity retailers as a physical hedge against spot price movements and again as a form of community storage, which can help with consumer acquisition. They can also be used by medium-scale solar farms (sub 5MW) to enable targeted bidding into the spot market. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network 1
Current battery uptake Estimates for the number of residential batteries installed on the distribution network in the NEM vary between around 25,000 (AEMO) to 70,000 (Sunwiz) 3, A much smaller number of commercial-scale batteries had been installed. It has been estimated that another 28,000 batteries will be installed in 2020, which would equate to an additional 280MWh. 4 The estimated residential battery installations by year is shown in Figure 1, and the number installed in each state is shown in Figure 2. It can be seen that the average system size decreased slightly in 2019 and that, despite its smaller population, South Australia has the greatest number of installations, followed by NSW, Qld, then Vic. Figure 1. Number and capacity of residential battery systems installed: 2015 to 2019 (Sunwiz, 2020) Figure 2. Residential battery systems installed in 2019: By state/territory (Sunwiz, 2020) 3 The large difference is put down to the AEMO data not including any post-PV battery installation, and being voluntary with no data check, so the actual value is likely somewhere in between. 4 Data derived from ‘Australian Battery Market Report – 2020’, SunWiz 2020 Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network 2
Contributors to current uptake As discussed in the sections below, batteries are still struggling to be financially viable, yet there is still significant uptake. This is in part simply driven by early adopters who also have solar PV systems, but is also helped by state government subsidy programs such as the ACT NextGen program, the South Australian Home Battery Scheme and the Victorian battery rebate scheme, and more recently by the interest-free loans through the NSW Empowering Homes Program and grants through the Northern Territory’s Home and Business Battery Scheme, and of course by the variety of trial VPPs that include subsidised batteries. Nevertheless, the State schemes have contributed a relatively small proportion of the total installations to date. The SA Home Battery Scheme aims to install 40,000 systems and as at Jan 2020 had about 5,500 batteries either installed or on order, with the recent flagged decrease in the rebate triggering a rush of applications that brought the total (installed or on order) to 12,334. Although the ACT NextGen program aims to install up to 5,000 batteries, as at mid-April 2020, only 1,550 had been installed. The Victorian battery rebate scheme aims to install 1,000 systems over 2019/20, and to date has installed 311. This brings the total installed under state schemes to less than 7,000 systems. AEMO estimates that between 8,000 and 9,000 batteries have been installed to date under VPPs, which when combined with the state schemes, brings the total to around 15,500 batteries, meaning that the bulk of the approx. 70,000 batteries connected to the distribution network to date have been installed by individuals acting on their own initiative. Report structure This report is divided into the following sections. Section 2 describes the approach we have taken to produce this report, which includes division into the following use cases: Type 1 (non-orchestrated behind the meter), Type 2 (orchestrated behind the meter), Type 3 (DNSP-owned) and Type 4 (third party-owned). Section 3 discusses the different tariffs and operating models for Type 1 batteries, provides some high-level financial assessments and discusses future uptake. Section 4 covers four different types of Type 2 storage: controlled loads and DREDs, and the use of batteries in embedded networks and VPPs. It also discusses the range of regulatory barriers to VPPs. Section 5 describes the range of Type 3 storage and discusses the different ways that DNSPs are using batteries, with a particular focus on regulatory barriers and options to overcome them, and how they differ between Western Australia and the NEM. Section 6 covers the Type 4 examples of third party owned batteries in Australia to date, which are generally in the early stages, but provide some promising and novel business models. Again, regulatory barriers are discussed, and recommendations are provided. Section 7 concludes with a discussion of the report’s key findings and recommendations. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network 3
2 APPROACH This project was undertaken in four stages. Firstly, the different Types of storage were established and described. Secondly, for each Type, the possible business models were characterised. Thirdly, the barriers, regulatory and otherwise, were identified. Fourthly, financial analysis of different battery business models was undertaken where appropriate. Consultation was undertaken with distribution networks, providers of distributed storage options, retailers and solar farm developers, as well as the organisations involved in the recent VPP battery trials. Consultation was performed through a semi-structured interview process, with conversations recorded and transcribed (where permitted). The stakeholders contacted are listed in Appendix A. We also undertook a detailed review of relevant reports and other sources, some not publicly available, related to specific projects, their outcomes and the regulatory environment. This included a systematic review of the various battery storage trials undertaken to date in Australia, as well as a review of relevant international experience. Financial modelling was undertaken using the UNSW Tariff Tool 5 for residential consumers and ITP’s proprietary battery optimisation model6 for commercial consumers and for the MW-scale batteries, both in Python. The UNSW Tariff Tool simply calculates the outcomes for each half hourly increment based on the load, PV generation and battery capacity, with the battery operated in load-following mode, meaning that it simply minimises solar export to the grid and minimises import from the grid. ITP’s proprietary battery optimisation model can be used to simulate battery operation and financial returns based on price signals from a range of markets/sources (including a range of retail energy import and export tariffs, network energy and peak demand charges, market and environmental charges, demand response, and FCAS contingency and regulation). It does this over a year assuming perfect foresight optimising the overall financial outcomes for the consumer, and as such, provide the best-case outcome. 5http://www.ceem.unsw.edu.au/cost-reflective-tariff-design 6This model was originally developed for a NSW Government agency, and is a derivative of the openCEM model (www.openCEM.org.au). Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network 4
3 TYPE 1: NON-ORCHESTRATED BEHIND-THE-METER Type 1 distribution level storage includes residential and commercial batteries that may be exposed to different tariffs or operated in particular ways, as below: 1. On conventional tariffs 2. On an annual cost package 3. Exposed to spot prices 4. Batteries operating as part of a Local Energy Trading scheme 5. Batteries operating as part of an Embedded Network Conventional tariffs The most common form of Type 1 storage is operated in response to price signals derived from retail tariffs (and the underlying network tariffs). Such batteries can be operated in simple load-following mode (also known as ‘PV self-consumption’ and ‘solar storage’) or in response to tariffs such as TOU and demand charge. In line with the recommendations of the Power of Choice review, all DNSPs are including more cost-reflective tariffs such as TOU and demand charge tariffs in their Tariff Structure Statements and Pricing Proposals, and so we expect a significant number of consumers will be on such tariffs by around 2025. The main function provided in load-following mode is ‘load levelling’, where excess PV electricity that would otherwise be exported to the grid is captured for use at a later time. If the PV and battery capacities are large enough, this approach can also reduce demand later in the day during the high price periods of TOU and demand charge tariffs. ‘Peak shaving’ focuses on reducing demand peaks during these high price periods and can take place without a PV system. Annual Cost Packages A variation on conventional tariffs is the use of what are really annual cost packages, such as sonnenFlat, which allows households to select one of three packages and be provided with electricity up to an annual limit for a fixed amount per month. Usage over the limit is charged at a flat tariff rate. The household has to buy a Sonnen battery and have a minimum-size solar PV system. The currently available sonnenFlat packages are shown in Figure 3. To the best of our knowledge these make up a very small portion of the market and is only available to residential consumers. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network 5
Figure 3. sonnenFlat Packages Spot price exposed A further variation involves exposing consumers to spot prices through their tariffs. Having a battery provides a significant advantage as it can be discharged during times of high spot prices. This is currently offered by both Amber Electric and Powerclub. They include a fixed monthly fee ($10 for Amber Electric) or an annual fee ($36 for Powerclub).7 The wholesale price applies only to the energy component of the retailer portion of the tariff, so the underlying network tariff structure is retained. Again, ITP’s understanding is that this has been taken up by a relatively small number of consumers, in part because it is not offered by many retailers. ARENA has recently funded Epho (Dec 2019) to develop commercial-scale batteries with switching technology that can dynamically distribute the output of a solar system between the consumer on-site and the network to take advantage of wholesale spot prices. The first stage, a 1.7MW rooftop system has just been commissioned at Goodman’s Oakdale Industrial Estate in Horsley Park. Local energy trading Distributed energy resources can be linked through a local energy trading (LET) platform where electricity produced by generators on the LV network (such as solar PV systems with batteries) can be sold directly to consumers participating in the same platform. This minimises involvement by third parties, which should reduce costs, and so maximises the returns to owners of distributed generation systems. It is fair to say that LET is still in the trial and development stage, with most organisations emerging in the LET field use blockchain technology that uses software that tracks multiple transactions 7 Although Energy Locals say that they expose consumers to spot prices, they also say “We buy wholesale power in advance to ensure you’re not exposed to any surprises – our prices will change once each year” https://compare.energylocals.com.au/residential. Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network 6
between peers in a very secure manner without a third-party facilitator (and so in this case is called peer-to-peer trading; P2P). Examples include Powerledger, LO3, Enosi and Sonnen. LET is included here as ‘non-orchestrated’ because such batteries are not directly controlled by the operator of the trading platform. Instead, they respond only to price signals provided through the trading platform, which are themselves provided by other participants in that particular platform. The only significant regulatory barrier to the uptake of LET, and therefore LET helping to drive the uptake of batteries, is that full network charges are paid on all electricity traded through the platform, whether it be between participants in different states or between neighbours. One option to address this problem is to use Local Use of System (LUOS) charges, where the charge would be proportional to the amount of network used. Note that there may be regulatory barriers to this, as discussed for the community batteries discussed in Sections 5 and 6. Another option to overcome network charges that has been discussed in the past is the use of Local Generation Network Credits that would be paid to DER if they export at times of peak demand. However these were rejected by the AEMC in 2016 because it considered they would result in higher costs for consumers because payments would be made regardless of whether the embedded generator is located where it provides value, and this would distort the incentives for investment in embedded generation at the expense of other services, such as demand response. 8,9 Because of this network charges barrier, ITP does not believe that LET will be a significant driver for uptake of batteries, apart from possibly in embedded networks such as apartment buildings as discussed below. Even if LUOS charges are introduced, it is likely they will be for particular projects (such as community batteries) rather than for LET projects that can span a large geographical area. 10 Embedded Networks Embedded networks (EN) are privately owned networks with a single point of connection to the main grid. According to the AEMC, at 28 May 2019 there was 4,592 ENs that had received network exemptions, and 5,251 that had received electricity retail exemptions, but there are also an unknown number of ENs that have received deemed exemptions.11 Examples include greenfield urban developments, industrial estates, shopping centres, apartment blocks, retirement villages and caravan parks. An embedded network operator (ENO) sells electricity to the EN consumers (who also have the option to buy electricity from an external retailer). Sale of electricity within the EN can be achieved simply using sub-meters, even where consumers within the EN have solar and/or batteries and export to the EN – as long as all exported solar/battery electricity is on-sold at the same tariff as is the electricity drawn from the wider grid. Similarly, a single large battery could be used to capture excess solar electricity generated within the EN (before it is exported to the wider network) for use by the EN consumers. However, it is more complicated if the internally generated solar/battery electricity is on- 8 https://www.aemc.gov.au/news-centre/media-releases/local-generation-networks-credits-final-rule 9 A simpler alternative could be to allow batteries to earn the value of the demand charge for any exports. From the network’s point of view, a house exporting 1kWh during peak times is the same as their neighbour not using a kWh at the same time. However, this may have unrealistically complex metering, tariff and billing requirements when taking the retail component of the tariff into consideration. 10 As explained in Section 5.3 it is possible to get a waiver that allows LUOS charges to be introduced, and Rule 6.18.1C allows a tariff structure to be changed as long as the DNSP’s revenue from the relevant tariff each year is no greater than 0.5% of its annual revenue, and as long as the DNSP’s revenue from the relevant tariff, as well as from all other relevant tariffs, each year is no greater than 1% of its annual revenue. 11 https://www.aemc.gov.au/market-reviews-advice/updating-regulatory-frameworks-embedded-networks Project No. A0350 – Business Models and Regulatory Considerations for Storage on the Distribution Network 7
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