Big Banks, Bigger Tech: Adapting Business Models - PARKER ...
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Foreword The banking sector is no stranger to innovation. Over the past ten years the capacity to disrupt banking business models has grown beyond all recognition fuelled by the emergence of AI, data analytics, Cloud banking and the blockchain. Nobody has done more to disrupt the traditional banking models than the banks themselves, who last year spent $261bn globally on digital investments. Whilst much of this spend has traditionally been targeted at hygiene factors, cleaning up legacy IT estates and protecting customer data from the increasing threat of cyber attacks, future investment priorities will need to evolve if the incumbent banks are to maintain their existing client books. That is not to downplay the ongoing importance of good hygiene; banks will continue to evolve their IT platforms to improve operational efficiencies and they will need to increase investment in protecting against cyber risks. But banks will also need to prepare for a shift in how the sector drives innovation, and more importantly, who is potentially driving it. To date, innovation has been spurred on by a diverse and energetic FinTech sector in which new ideas and processes are easily accessed by incumbent banks working collaboratively with the FinTech sector. This model will continue, but we could be about to witness a rapid evolution. It is already the case that two of the biggest home-grown financial services companies in China are large tech companies. In the US, the ‘BigTech’ companies like Amazon are also starting to follow suit. Given their increasingly global footprint, these BigTech firms possess the distribution firepower to disrupt retail banking models well beyond their domestic market. In safeguarding businesses against such an existential challenge, the incumbent banks are faced with what could prove to be a narrow window of opportunity to respond. This will mean placing the customer experience at the heart of future digital investment. Truly extending the benefits of the digital revolution means that new products and services offering more choice, flexibility and convenience, combined with lower and more transparent pricing, will become the hallmarks of tomorrow’s banking market. Banks have no time to waste in making this a reality. Scott Vincent CEO, Parker Fitzgerald Iain Anderson Executive Chairman, Cicero Group Non Executive Director, Innovate Finance 3
executive summary A decade on from the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), the financial sector is finally moving out of the shadows and coming to terms with the period of digital transformation that lies ahead. To date, leading banks have successfully unlocked efficiency gains through simplifying processes and digitising repetitive tasks; their ability to grow top line through digital means, however, remains a perennial challenge. Despite its promises, the quest to growth seems harder in the age of digital finance than along the well-trodden paths of the past. In a recent report by the Financial Stability Board (FSB), the global regulator issued a dire warning to the industry in this new paradigm: while FinTechs still operate at the fringe of banking, the BigTech firms – such as Amazon and Google – are starting to pose an existential challenge to incumbent banks.1 Indeed, the scale and scope advantages of traditional banks can often be outshone by the tech giants’ capacity to invest and their appetite to acquire. Proprietary customer insights enjoyed by banks are being sidestepped by ubiquitous data collection and superior analytical ability. Meanwhile, regulatory drives, such as the second Payment Services Directive (PSD2) and Open Banking, are giving the tech sector a helping hand in entering financial services. Already the tech titans have made strides in payments, asset management, and insurance. The more formidable players, such as Amazon, are also beginning to offer core banking products (business loans and current accounts, for example) to select audiences. This foray onto banks’ turf should make incumbents stand to attention. If the origination and distribution of financial products shift from big banks to tech firms, so too could nearly two-thirds of current banking profits.2 The FSB is not alarmist in its warning that banks may take on greater risks to recapture lost ground. The financial industry must therefore focus on its ‘disruption-proof’ core: customer experience, institutional trust, and regulatory excellence. Customer stickiness with incumbent players remains high: the dawn of Open Banking has yet to sway masses into changing their banking provider. Banks have a short window of opportunity to truly upgrade the customer experience for the digital age. This is already firmly on banks’ agenda, with their digital investment globally expected to grow four percent per year to reach $300 billion by 2021. But how banks spend that investment must evolve. Much of banks’ digital investment to date has focussed on migrating and consolidating existing IT systems to address legacy issues. The nature of consumer-facing banking services has not meaningfully evolved. 1 Financial Stability Board, FinTech and Market Structure in Financial Services: Market Developments and Potential Financial Stability Implications, 14 February 2019. 2 American Banker, The Tech Giants are Coming for Your Customers. Be Ready. 4 January 2018. 4
The next phase of digital investment will need to focus on driving genuine innovation that reshapes the customer experience, or else banks risk losing business as clients hunt for a slicker operation. Preserving institutional trust in the age of digital finance will also be key. While banks are still recovering a decade on from the GFC, tech giants are starting to feel the pinch from changing public opinion. The trend of celebrating all things Silicon Valley has given way to a growing array of concerns, from data privacy to anti-trust and ‘fake news’. Avoiding damage is fundamental to preserving trust. But as UK financial firms saw a five-fold increase in the number of data breaches in 2018, this is by no means a given.3 Financial institutions face an increasingly complex threat landscape and risks associated with their own digital innovations. This calls for operational resilience to be viewed as no less important than financial resilience. Regulatory excellence in digital finance is the final piece of the puzzle. Financial regulators are playing catch-up in evolving supervisory and conduct rules to accommodate new technology providers. This has been essential to open up the market for the arrival of start-up FinTechs, but the pendulum may need to shift to focussing on regulatory parity if the tech giants make a meaningful play for banking market share. Banks still have the track record of enabling consumers, businesses and economies to grow on their side – but only for the time being. To move on from turnaround to transformation, banks must now use digital investment to enable customers to bank in a way that tech firms will no doubt be itching to do themselves. 3 Financial Times, Cyber Attacks on Financial Services Sector Rise Fivefold in 2018, 25 February 2019. 5
From FinTech To TechFin The adoption of new technology has been integral in the reshaping of banks’ business and operating models. Over the past several years, technological innovation has emanated from within the Financial Technology (FinTech) segment, typically composed of smaller firms offering specialist products to financial institutions, ranging from back-office fixes to front-end applications for clients. The FinTech sector has grown rapidly but remains largely at the periphery of core banking activities. According to a Basel Committee study of the FinTech landscape, a significant proportion of concentration is found in areas of payment and settlement, aimed at retail banking customers.4 FinTech’s impact on incumbent banks remains marginal when it comes to credit and deposit services, wholesale banking, and capital market activities (see Figure 1). Figure 1: The FinTech landscape: significant products concentrated in payments and settlement SECTORAL INNOVATIONS Credit, deposit Investment Payments, clearing and & capital-raising management settlement services services services 41% 18% 9% RETAIL WHOLESALE Crowdfunding Mobile Value transfer High-frequency Lending wallets networks trading marketplaces P2P transfers FX wholesale Copy-trading Mobile banks Digital Digital exchange E-trading Credit scoring currencies platforms Robo-advice Portal and data aggregators Ecosystems (infrastructure, open source, APIs) Data applications (big data analysis, machine learning, predictive modelling) Market Distributed ledger technology (blockchain, smart contracts) Support Services Security (customer identification and authentication) 27% Cloud computing Internet of things / mobile technology Artificial intelligence (bots, automation in finance, algorithms) Source: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, 2018. %: share of significant FinTech products according to the Basel Committee survey. 4 Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, February 2018, Sound Practices: Implications of FinTech Development for Banks & Bank Supervisors, p9. 6
Without the capital or customer base of banks, FinTechs looking to move beyond product provision for banks (and perhaps establish their own brand among clients) have often taken collaboration with incumbents as the main route to getting their innovations to market. In contrast, the emerging TechFin cohort – financial services offered by big technology (BigTech) firms, such as Google and Amazon, as part of a broader ecosystem – is posing a very different competitive dynamic to incumbent banks. In part, TechFin has grown on the back of the banking sector’s struggle over recent years. The story for many banks since the GFC has been one of ‘managed decline’. Regulators have sought to raise conduct and prudential standards across the board, while simultaneously implementing tougher stress tests and new resolution mechanisms to deal with future crisis scenarios. A decade of prudential tightening has taken its toll. High capital thresholds and heavy compliance and litigation costs weighed on banks’ profitability. At the same time, historically low interest rates hampered the margins of loans in recent years, while spells of low volatility and weak equities markets undermined trading incomes. To cope with this challenging landscape, many banks have focussed their digital spending on system rationalisation and process automation to drive operational efficiency. However, ‘cutting to grow’ has its limitations: without new avenues to revenue, muted profitability and investment confidence continue to challenge the financial sector. Despite improved performance, financial institutions remain ‘cheap’ in financial markets. In contrast, BigTech firms have remained the darlings of investors, harnessing the value of their vast customer base, data advantages, and proprietary technologies. Their enviable cash position and price multiples have enabled them to quickly gain footprint across adjacent markets – financial services included. Like smaller FinTech players, BigTech firms often start with payments and in less-contested financial markets in emerging economies. From here, they can quickly gain inroad into core areas of financial services including credit provision, insurance, savings and investment products. BigTech firms have the potential to pose existential challenges to incumbent banks. The scale and scope advantages of traditional banks can often be outshone by the tech giants’ capacity to invest and their appetite to acquire. Proprietary customer insights enjoyed by banks are being sidestepped by ubiquitous data collection and superior analytical ability. Meanwhile, regulatory drives, such as PSD2 and Open Banking, are giving the tech sector a helping hand in entering financial services. 7
BigTech’s Banking Foray What BigTech firms have already achieved in China may shed light on the future of such firms in financial services globally. The FSB’s review of the TechFin market shows that Chinese tech giants have both entered and gained significant market shares across all segments of the financial sector. Alibaba and Tencent, for example, occupy 94 percent of the China’s payments market.5 In addition, Alibaba currently runs the world’s largest Money Market Fund (MMF), borne from its e-commerce business (see Figure 2). Figure 2: Building market dominance in a decade: Alibaba’s rapid rise in financial services 2004 2010 2012 AliPay founded China Central Bank issues Ant Fund Sales by the Alibaba licence regulations for third obtains licence Group party payment providers to seek funds Yu’e Bao reported AliPay had Launches financial to have 600m users. 54.26% market product platform AliPay has 870m users share in China Yu’e Bao 2018 2017 2013 Even in more heavily regulated and mature markets in the West, the likes of Amazon were able to gain a formidable market presence. Our stocktake of Amazon’s activities in financial services points to a decisive rise in customer acquisition since 2017 and a proliferation of activities from payments and digital wallet to business loans, insurance and current accounts (see Figure 4). This rapid rise was undoubtedly helped by Amazon’s vast customer base, cash strength, and access to forefront technologies including artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning. Amazon is by no means alone among BigTechs itching to gain a foothold in financial services; similar initiatives can be observed across other tech giants including Google, Facebook and Apple (see Figure 3). The segue by BigTech firms into financial services could be further accelerated by seismic shifts in both financial and technology industries. Within banking, for example, many firms have indicated a pivot towards wealth management as a growth driver. As banks shift their gaze to more personal client-bases, providing top-level customer experience for an audience used to slick and customisable services will form the industry’s next competitive front – and one that plays into the hands of BigTechs, whose large customer bases generate massive volumes of data about consumer lifestyles, spending habits and financial planning behaviours. 5 Financial Stability Board, FinTech and Market Structure in Financial Services, 14 February 2019. 8
At the same time, the increased regulatory scrutiny faced by BigTechs within their core technology business may well accelerate their advance into adjacent, heavily- regulated sectors. Complying with complex global regulations will help technology firms develop critical control, as well as regulatory and compliance capabilities across jurisdictions – reducing one of the major barriers-to-entry for non-financial firms considering a move into the world of financial services. Should banks have to ardently pursue profitability after having their market share impeded, the impact of BigTech will be felt not just at a micro base (i.e. how firms react to the threat) but at a macro, systemic level. The FSB has highlighted the associated risk to financial stability either through muted business performance of global banks, or credit risks to the financial system should banks take drastic measures to remain in the black. Figure 3: BigTech’s foothold in financial services AliPay (largest mobile payments Tempay (#2 mobile payments PAYMENTS Baidu Wallet – co‑op with PayPal platform in China) platform in China) LENDING & MYBank (SME lending for rural Baixin Bank (financial products SHORT‑TERM WeBank (personal micro-loans) areas and online merchants) and small loans) CREDIT CURRENT Offered through MYBank Offered through WeBank Offered through Baixin Bank ACCOUNTS ASSET Yu’e Bao (world’s largest MMF) License to offer Mutual Funds N/A MANAGEMENT 60% stake in Cathay Insurance Online insurance service in life Joint venture with Allianz and INSURANCE China; founding stake in Zhong An and property insurance Hillhouse Capital announced Insurance Google Pay – layers over Amazon Pay – layers over Messenger Pay – layers Apple Pay – layers over PAYMENTS existing card network existing card network over existing card network existing card network LENDING & Collaboration with Temporary financing in Pilot in collaboration SHORT‑TERM N/A Lending Club Amazon Lending with ClearBank CREDIT CURRENT Reports of talks with N/A N/A N/A ACCOUNTS banks ASSET N/A N/A N/A N/A MANAGEMENT Partnership with Insurance on Google Co-op with Allianz JPMorgan Chase and INSURANCE Compare (no longer N/A on cyber insurance Berkshire Hathaway on operating) discounts health insurance Source: Financial Stability Board, 2019. 9
Figure 4: Amazon’s foray into financial services EMERGING PAYMENTS LENDING INSURANCE MARKETS Begins patenting methods for linking bank account 2004/5 information and for pre‑paid cards “Pay with Amazon” 2007 launched Acquires “TextPayMe” “TextPayMe” re-launched “Amazon Lending” 2011 as “Amazon Webpay” launches “Amazon Local Register” 2014 India – brings payments “Amazon Webpay” closes launches – card reader to market in October for SMEs “Amazon Local Register” Granted patent for closes 2015 image analysis for user Launch of Amazon Prime authentication Store Card – partnered with Synchrony Bank Launches “Amazon Protect” India – acquires “Amazon Pay” reported in the UK – accidental and “Emvantage Payments” 2016 to have 33m customers theft insurance for – quickly integrated into consumer goods “Amazon Pay” “Amazon Cash” launched “Amazon Lending” has “Alexa Fund” participates issued $3bn across in funding Greenlight 20,000 businesses in the Financial – alternative US, Japan & UK Mexico – launch of debit card aimed at young “Amazon Prime”, 2017 “Amazon Lending” consumers “Amazon Cash” and originates $1bn in US “Amazon Cash” Launches “Amazon business loans debit cards Reload” – a reloadable Launches “Amazon Prime digital debit card for Prime Rewards Visa Signature members that links to Card” – with Visa consumer accounts Launches “Doorstep” – a cash pickup service in Partners with Coinstar to India allowing customers allow customers to deposit Extends 5% cashback Leads a $12m investment to load money into their change at kiosks and cash reward for purchases into Acko – a car and “Amazon Pay” digital wallet out digitally on cash app on Prime Rewards Visa bike insurance specialist Card to purchase at focusing on “Internet Mexico – launches Greenlight Financial hits Whole Foods Economy” deals debit card with Grupo 100,000 customers Financiero Banorte 2018 CNBC reports “Amazon “Amazon Protect’s” News leak that Amazon is Lending” has partnered underwriter, the Warranty Expands “Amazon Pay” in in talks with banks with BoAML to issue Group, is purchased by India into offline commerce including JP Morgan loans ranging between Assurant – making it and Capital One to build $1,000 and $750,000 easier to expand into Launches new lending a product similar to a new markets experiment in India as a checking account marketplace for lenders and sellers to obtain a competitive loan 10
Developing banks’ Disruption‑Proof Core The changing powerplay between BigTechs and Big Banks warrants close attention. There is far more to this story than profitable segments of the banking value chain being chipped away. If the origination and distribution of financial products shifts from big banks to tech firms, so too could nearly two-thirds of current banking profits. The FSB is not alarmist in its warning that banks may take on greater risks to recapture lost ground. The financial industry must therefore focus on developing its ‘disruption-proof’ core based on what it does best: customer experience, institutional trust, and regulatory excellence. Customer Experience Customer stickiness with incumbent players remains high: the dawn of Open Banking has yet to sway masses of consumers into changing their banking provider. This gives banks a short window of opportunity to meaningfully upgrade customer experience for the digital age. Banks’ global digital investment is expected to grow over four percent each year to reach $300 billion by 2021. But how they spend that investment needs to evolve. Figure 5: Digital investment in banking: 2018–2021 $ bn 4.2% 300 annual growth $114.9 bn North America 250 $296.5 $84.7 bn $284.5 Europe $272.6 $261.1 $75.1 bn Asia-Pacific $21.8 bn 200 Latin America 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Celent report, 2018. 11
Much of the digital investment by banks to date has focussed on updating and consolidating existing bank IT systems, concerned with addressing legacy issues and taking care of hygiene. This has been necessary in migrating banks from analogue to digital, but the often fragmented approach to doing so has led to the creation of siloed data, frustrating banks’ efforts to improve customer service and manage risks more effectively. The nature of consumer-facing banking services has not meaningfully evolved during this time. To foster genuine innovations that reshape customer experience, focus needs to fall on gaining a granular and joined-up view of customer data banks hold to enable an integrated approach to serving customers’ financial needs, wants, activities, and decisions. Increased focus on data and services integration should also allow banks to better maximise the benefits of enabling technologies, such as application programming interfaces (APIs) and AI. Arguably, data silos may be the reason why some banks have been slow to develop their propositions with APIs – a technology that enables customers to manage all their financial activities in one place. Similarly, this could explain why some banks have fallen behind investment firms and challenger platforms in introducing other digital services, such as robo‑advice models to help customers manage their personal finance more easily. The same holds true for AI, whose very power of anticipating and optimising customer experience hinges upon rich and granular data. Leading banks have reiterated their continued commitment to digital investment. Lloyds Banking Group (LBG), for example, tripled technology investment from £1 billion during 2014–17 to £3 billion for 2018–21.6 At the same time, UBS and JP Morgan have consistently allocated around ten percent of revenues to technology in recent years, with JP Morgan’s digital investment exceeding $10 billion in 2018.7 A review of banks’ latest strategic outlook also uncovers a notable shift in digital investment focus. Leading banks are moving on from simplifying processes to aggregating systems, from improving customer interfacing to upgrading digital infrastructure, and from driving efficiency gains to enhancing decision-making capabilities. LBG’s 2018 annual report indicated that 34 percent of the bank’s digital investment will be focused on creating new capabilities, particularly around the use of API and machine learning, compared with 19 percent just a year ago. 6 Lloyds Banking Group 2018 Annual Report. 7 UBS and JP Morgan Annual Reports. 12
Institutional Trust BigTech firms, helped by their scope and scale, are expected to make a fundamental impact on the financial industry. While we are starting to see signs of this, the changing tide of consumer (and political) support for BigTech firms mean that their inroad into banking may not be straightforward. BigTech firms have found themselves at the receiving end of criticism – and in some cases, lawsuits – at the hands of European governments. The past trend of celebrating all things technological has now given way to a growing list of concerns, from data privacy to anti-trust and ‘fake news’. As consumers become warier of the volumes of personal data held by BigTech firms – and the potential for misusing that data – we may see a reluctance to share banking data or other aspects of personal finances. Banks know all too well the importance of lasting perception. They may have suffered a reputational hit in the wake of the financial crisis, yet even as a raft of ‘different’ challenger banks have emerged, there has yet to be a wholesale migration of main current accounts over to these players. The institutional trust that traditional banks have long held is invaluable, and will be a critical weapon in their defence against a future onslaught of the BigTechs eyeing their market share. It is essential that banks hold on to this – avoiding damage is fundamental to preserving trust. But as UK financial firms saw a five-fold increase in the number of data breaches in 2018, this is by no means a given. No industry is immune to cyber attacks, but financial services are in the firing line as cyber criminals seek high-value targets, such as banks, while state-sponsored activities are now adding to the growing array of cyber threats. At the same time, supply chains in financial services are outgrowing firms’ and regulators’ oversight, introducing substantial cyber risks through third- and fourth-parties. Regulatory scrutiny on cybersecurity has been ramping up in recent years: 41 of the financial industry’s 56 cyber-related supervisory documents have been introduced since 2016.8 A further 72 percent of G20 jurisdictions have reported plans to issue new regulations, guidance or supervisory practices that address cybersecurity in the financial sector in 2018.9 Intensified prudential scrutiny – and potential capital charges – over cyber resilience is not inconceivable as financial institutions face an increasingly complex threat landscape and set of risks associated with their own digital innovations. Financial institutions should wake up to this prospect and view cyber risks not just as a matter for the IT department, but also as a business‑critical consideration in optimising capital allocation and the whole enterprise risk management framework. This calls for operational resilience to be viewed in the industry as no less important than financial resilience. 8 The World Bank, Financial Sector’s Cybersecurity: A Regulatory Digest, December 2017. 9 Financial Stability Board, Stocktake of Publicly Released Cyber Security Regulations, Guidance and Supervisory Practices, October 2017. 13
Regulatory Excellence Financial regulators are playing catch-up in evolving supervisory and conduct rules to accommodate new technology providers. Nearly half of regulators surveyed by the Basel Committee in 2018 revealed that they are considering new regulations or guidance for emerging FinTech services. Some of the key regulatory changes to date have actively helped BigTech to consider market entry, even though this was not the stated intention – PSD2, for example, mandates open access to certain types of customer banking data for non-bank licensed providers. Furthermore, regulators from around the world, including Canada, Australia, Mexico and Japan, have sought to reduce the barriers to entry for non-bank entities and encourage an open market. Such regulatory changes have helped to create a more balanced and competitive market when the new players are start-up FinTechs. However, if BigTech firms make a meaningful play for banking market share, how should the regulatory pendulum shift? Already the issue of market competition is a key concern for regulators. We have seen a growing chorus of disapproval from governments and the public regarding the market concentration in the top-level technology sector, giving rise to anti-trust concerns and claims that consumers’ interests are not being well-served. Some commentators in the US are drawing comparisons with past monopolies, such as Standard Oil, amid calls to break up the dominant market position of BigTech firms. Globally, ensuring contestability – the ability to compete – is an explicit policy objective among many financial supervisors, with calls to assess the application of anti-trust tools, such as merger controls, alongside suggestions to promote parity between incumbent banks and tech giants when it comes to data sharing. One potential solution is the recurring debate around the ‘digital tax’ of technology firms, as proposed by the EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager and endorsed by President Emmanuel Macron’s administration in France. The UK government and senior members of the Labour Party support the concept – not just in relation to the income it could generate, but also in harmonising the tax approach of European countries to ensure that technology firms’ profits are booked where customers are based (rather than the country with the lowest tax rate). On the financial institution side, while banks are well-versed in staying on the right side of the regulators, too many tend to see technological innovation and regulatory compliance as separate matters: one is about the future, and the other is firmly rooted in the here-and-now. However, the ‘tsunami’ of regulatory reforms after the GFC has significantly increased the compliance and reporting duties of financial institutions. The need for data granularity and system flexibility has grown to a level whereby banks’ lack of meaningful innovation is no longer a matter of missed opportunity, but one of failing compliance obligations. 14
Building the Best of both Worlds Customers want their financial needs and aspirations to be fulfilled in different ways in the age of digital finance. FinTech has helped to service this changing customer appetite to date, though it has done so on the fringes of the market. The assumption is that BigTech firms will make a more fundamental impact on, and even pose existential challenge to, incumbent institutions. At the same time, the nature of digital transformation within the banking sector is set to change. So too, we can expect to see a shift in the relationship between incumbent banks and the technology sector. Banks have traditionally sought to access innovation by acquiring FinTech businesses. There is currently a debate around whether this relationship between incumbent and FinTech start-ups is set to change. While banks continue to establish in-house accelerators, incubators and venture funds for FinTech acquisitions, there is no guarantee this approach will prevail long-term. Banks may look to access innovative services in more varied approaches. We are seeing more incumbent banks creating digital ‘offshoots’ in-house, such as Bo (the digital bank of RBS) and Marcus (the digital retail bank arm of Goldman Sachs). Given some of the growing political and social headwinds facing the technology sector, partnerships between a technology powerhouse and a trusted incumbent financial institution may well present the best route to bringing the best of both worlds. We are seeing a notable pick up in the collaboration between the giants, from the joint offering between Goldman Sachs and Apple in credit cards to the reported partnership between Amazon and Bank of America (BoA) in issuing business loans, where mutual gains presumably reside in BoA sharing its risk management capabilities in exchange for Amazon’s superior data insight. Joint products and services aside, financial institutions are also increasingly leaning on the technology sector – BigTech firms included – for third-party service providers (TPPs). This market is expected to grow by nearly 50 percent, from $37bn in 2017 to over $55bn by 2020, particularly in areas of data provision, Cloud storage, analytics and connectivity.10 For example, in 2018, HSBC launched its pilot machine learning projects with Google Cloud around liquidity reporting and anti-money-laundering risk management. The global bank is also planning to increase the porting of applications and data workloads onto Google’s Cloud infrastructure in the year ahead.11 The move to increased reliance on TPPs for banking infrastructure brings with it new risks. Market concentration among technology providers could pose a potential threat to financial stability. And how this dynamic would interplay with BigTech’s expansion in financial services remains unclear. 10 Financial Stability Board, FinTech and Market Structure in Financial Services, 14 February 2019. 11 Computer Weekly, HSBC Looks to Ramp Up Machine Learning Usage with Google Cloud, 27 July 2018. 15
Figure 6: Interplay between banking and technology sectors – selected examples COLLABORATIVE FINTECH COLLABORATIVE BIGTECH Singapore’s DBS has one of HSBC is working with Google the largest banking API platform Cloud to launch a Cloud-based offerings, with over 150 APIs anti-money laundering risk across categories such as fund management system, which will transfers, rewards and real-time use machine learning to analyse payments, as well as lifestyle and data on the behaviour of almost leisure offerings. 40 million customers. Santander worked with Ripple Goldman Sachs and Apple are to launch its international money joining to issue a credit card to be transfer service, Santander One linked with the Apple Wallet app, Pay FX, where customers could where users can set spending complete international transfers in goals, track rewards and manage near real-time or by the next day. balances, set to be launched in 2019. Lloyds acquired a 10% stake in Cloud-based platform Thought Mastercard uses Facebook Machine, which Cloud-based Messenger to provide technology platform Vault hopes will replace to small businesses in Africa and online banking systems and facilitate Asia for affordable digital payments any type of banking product. The technology, where the Masterpass move comes as part of the bank’s QR bot will allow business owners move to digital transformation. to accept QR payments. Mobile payment app Toss became Launched independently in a unicorn start-up in December 2011, Amazon Lending is an 2018 with a valuation of $1.2bn. invitation‑only programme that Having initially launched in South makes loans for companies that Korea in 2015 as a P2P money may struggle to get traditional transfer service, it now partners business loans. CNBC reported with 25 FS firms to provide a full in 2018 that Bank of America suite of financial services on its partnered with Amazon to reduce platform. the company’s risk and improve access to capital. UK mobile-only bank Monzo offers current accounts and Amazon Cash allows unbanked an app where users can track customers to use Amazon’s online spending and put money into store by showing a barcode at a “savings pots”, as well as retailer which will then be applied offering business accounts. to their account. India’s Paytm is an e-commerce Apple Pay is a mobile payment and payment system and digital wallet digital wallet service that allows company. In 2017 it launched the users to pay for goods both online Paytm Payments Bank, and has and contactless in stores using two wealth management products their iPhones and Apple Watches. for simplified long-term savings. Ant Financial is the world’s largest Australian-headquartered Clover mobile and online payments is an algorithmic-based robo platform from the Alibaba group. advisor which creates goals‑based Its main domain is e-commerce investment portfolios for clients, users, but has extended to and rebalances the portfolios. provide a complete online wallet. COMPETITIVE FINTECH COMPETITIVE BIGTECH 16
Conclusion With the proliferation of FinTech specialists and tech giants in financial services, incumbent institutions face opportunities for innovation and collaboration as well as intensified competition, if not existential challenges. So far incumbent banks still have the track record of enabling consumers, businesses and economies to grow on their side – but only for the time being. Building the agility to harness opportunities and the resilience to withstand threats requires a refocus in digital investment. Banks must now use their digital spend to preserve and strengthen their ‘disruption proof’ core centred on customer experience, institutional trust, and regulatory excellence. At Parker Fitzgerald, we help financial institutions build institutional trust and optimise risk-adjusted returns in an uncertain business environment. This includes assisting clients responding to regulatory initiatives and safeguarding themselves from a changing risk landscape in the era of digital finance. Our practitioner knowledge of the financial services sector, regulation and technology gives us a unique insight into the key use cases, be that addressing annual stress testing requirements, building and validating risk models, or re‑architecting risk frameworks and operating models for the sustainable adoption of new technologies. Opportunities in the era of digital finance remain ample. But to move on from turnaround to transformation, financial institutions must now use digital investment to enable customers to bank in a way that tech firms will no doubt be itching to do themselves. 17
related Publications from parker fitzgerald’s Thought Leadership Programme This report is the latest in a series of publications examining the economic, regulatory and technology environment, and its implications for the financial industry’s strategic and risk agenda. For further publications, please visit our website. Banking in 2019: A Year of Transition December 2018 Instability is the new norm, and banks must learn to weather it. But doing so requires a significant maturing in the understanding and management of new and emerging risks. This report explores what lies ahead for the banking industry in 2019. from cyber security to operational resilience September 2018 This report examines the cyber risks facing financial services, the current landscape and future directions of cyber regulations, and the business responses needed to safeguard the resilience of financial institutions and systems. sustainable Financial Services in the Digital Age May 2018 This joint report by UK Finance, an industry group representing nearly 300 of the largest financial firms in the UK, and Parker Fitzgerald focuses on three key technologies in finance: artificial intelligence, the Cloud and Distributed Ledger Technology. It discusses how the advent of the digital economy, financial regulation and the emerging risks for firms are transforming the financial services landscape. POINT OF VIEW Safeguarding Digital Transformation: safeguarding digital transformation Understanding the Digital Impact on Banking December 2017 Business Models and Risk Management December 2017 The adoption of digital technology in the banking industry is shifting the economic fundamentals of the market, giving rise to a widening gap between business aspirations and operational reality in the sector. parker-fitzgerald.com For further publications, please visit parker-fitzgerald.com 18
About the author Kuangyi Wei Director, Strategy and External Affairs Parker Fitzgerald Group Kuangyi leads Parker Fitzgerald’s thought leadership programme as well as the firm’s engagement with industry groups, regulators and policymakers. Prior to joining Parker Fitzgerald, Kuangyi held various thought leadership roles at both policy think tanks and commercial organisations, including Chatham House, the State Council of China, and Accenture. Her roles focused on offering strategic content and advisory for the C-suite and senior government officials. Most recently, Kuangyi was a Principal Researcher at Accenture’s internal think tank, responsible for authoring the company’s flagship publications at the World Economic Forum in Davos and for leading cross-industry thought leadership programmes. Kuangyi is a regular commentator in business newspapers and broadcast media. A published author in leading business and academic journals, Kuangyi holds an MPhil in Economics from the University of Oxford, where she specialised in theory and policy relating to competition and regulation.
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