"Avoid" to Suryoday Small Finance Bank - 'Stress appears higher; aggressively priced'

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"Avoid" to Suryoday Small Finance Bank - 'Stress appears higher; aggressively priced'
“Avoid” to
Suryoday Small Finance Bank
‘Stress appears higher; aggressively priced’
"Avoid" to Suryoday Small Finance Bank - 'Stress appears higher; aggressively priced'
16th Mar. 2021

Salient features of the IPO:
                                                                            Recommendation                              Avoid
•   Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SSFB) started operations as
                                                                     Price Band                              Rs303 - Rs305 per share
    SFB on Jan 23’ 2017.
                                                                            Face Value                           Rs10 per share
•   Prior to commencement of operations as a SFB, SSFB operated as an
    NBFC – MFI carrying out microfinance operations.                  Fresh Issue Size                            Rs2,485.8 mn
                                                                            Share for Fresh Issue                 8.15mn shares
•   SSFB has a network of 554 banking outlets across 13 states and UT in
    country providing services to 1.44 mn customers                      OFS Issue Size                           Rs3,337.6 mn

Valuation: At higher price band of Rs305, the issue is valued at P/BV of Total Issue Size                         Rs5,823.4 mn
2.0x (on post issue BVPS).                                               Bidding Date                     Mar 17' 2021 - Mar 19' 2021
                                                                            MCAP at Higher Price
Below are few key observations of the issue: (continued in next page)       Band
                                                                                                                 Rs32,369.9 mn

•   SSFB commenced operations as an SFB on Jan 23’ 2017 pursuant to                                         Axis Capital Limited, ICICI
    receipt of RBI’s final approval. Prior to commencement of operations Book Running Lead              Securities Limited, IIFL Securities
    as a SFB, the company was operated as an NBFC – MFI carrying out Manager                              Limited, SBI Capital Markets
    micro-finance operations.                                                                                        Limited
                                                                            Registrar                   Kfin Technologies Private Limited
•   Public issue is brought mainly to comply the RBI’s regulation to list
    SFB within three years of from reaching the net worth of Rs5,000 mn. Industry                                    Banking
    SSFB is required to be listed by Nov 29’ 2020 but due to bank request,
    the RBI gave six months extension to May 2020 for listing.
                                                                               Retail application money at higher cut-off price per lot
•   Micro loan categories as inclusive finance constituted 70.4% of gross
    loan portfolio in 9MFY21. SSFB disburses micro loans under the joint    Number of shares per lot                      49
    lending group model (JLG) to customers in unbanked and                  Application Money                    Rs14,945 per lot
    underbanked predominately in urban and semi-urban locations.
    Ticket size of unsecured micro loan under JLG ranges between
    Rs10,000 and Rs52,500 predominately extended to woman                   Allocation Detail
    customers. Average tenure of loan is up to two years and bank
    earned interest between 20.5% - 25.5% per annum on these loans.         Qualified Institutional
                                                                                                                        50%
                                                                            Buyers (QIB)
•   The bank is gradually diversifying the loan portfolio across other
    secured categories. Over the past years, SSFB started disbursing Non-Institutional
                                                                                                                        15%
    affordable   housing loans,        secured   business   loans   to Investors (NII)
    SME/MSME/Corporates, CV loans and unsecured business loans to
    micro/small enterprises and self-employed individuals.             Retail Individual Investors
                                                                                                                        35%
                                                                            (RIIs)
•   CV loans comprised 9.4%, affordable housing loan at 6.3% and
    secured business loans at 3.6% of the gross loan portfolio as on
    9MFY21.                                                                 Shareholding Pattern
                                                                                                              Pre-Issue         Post Issue
•   Coming to distribution front, SSFB has a network of 554 banking
    outlets across 13 states and UT in country providing services to 1.44   Promoter & promoter group           30.3%               28.0%
    mn customers. Business is largely skewed towards four states namely     Public                             69.7%             72.0%
    Maharashtra, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Odisha due to high               Total                              100.0%            100.0%
    presence of banking outlets in the respective states.
•   Owing to micro loans to unbanked region and weaker section, SSFB's                                Source: Choice Broking Research, RHP
    average "priority sector" loans, as a percentage of average net
    banking credit (ANBC) was 114.1% as on Dec 31’ 2021.                    Analyst
•   Gross advances portfolio stood at Rs39,082 mn in 9MFY21 which           Satish Kumar
    grew at a CAGR of 35% since FY18. The bank is aggressively making                                       (022-67079999; Ext:913,
    disbursement in CVs and affordable housing segment, the share of        Deskphone
                                                                                                               Mob:9167120440
    whose rose to 9.4% in 9MFY21 (0.5% in FY18) and 6.3% (1.3% in
    FY18).                                                                  Email                        satish.kumar@choiceindia.com

                                                                                                                                1
"Avoid" to Suryoday Small Finance Bank - 'Stress appears higher; aggressively priced'
Continued……

 •   Average yield on CVs ranges between 10.5% - 19% and affordable housing at 9.7%-16%, which is significantly
     lower than micro loan.
 •   Average NIM stood at ~11% mainly due to higher share of unsecured micro loan. As the bank strategized to
     increase share of secured book, NIM is likely to decline in coming fiscals.
 •   Deposits improved significantly to Rs33,438 mn in 9MFY21 from Rs7,495.2 mn, though credit-to-deposits ratio
     stood at 113%. CASA share at 13.3% remained low compared to peers. To fund business growth, SSFB is focusing
     on retail customers and include senior citizens, upper middle-class individuals, self-employed and salaried
     individuals and HNIs in states Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka where the bank has distribution presence.
 •   SSFB performance remained strong during FY19-FY20 with average NIM of ~12%, RoE of 12% and robust
     profitability. However, during 9MFY21, bank performance has deteriorated as pandemic led lockdown and
     economic crises impacted weaker section of society severely. What makes us more concerned is proforma
     GNPA at 9.3%, SSFB’s pool of bad loans is the highest among listed peers. While the collection efficiency
     improved to above 100% (inclusive finance at 112.5% in Dec), re-surge of Covid cases in key business states
     such as Maharashtra and Karnataka to weigh on revival and further weaken assets quality.
 •   At higher price band of Rs305, demanding valuation of Rs32,370 mn is valued at P/BV of 2x post issue BVPS
     which appears expensive given weak assets quality outlook, concentrated business to some states, low CASA
     share and small business size. Asked valuation is in line with peers include Equitas/Ujjivan SFB but these banks
     are significantly large in business size and has superior fundamentals than SFFB. Post issue, RoE is unlikely to
     improve to double digit or FY20 level (RoE:11.4% in FY20) anytime soon. Further, SFFB is well capitalized with
     CAR at 41.2% despite this, the company comes with fresh issue of Rs2,486 mn.
 Considering all these parameters, we assign ‘Avoid’ rating to issue

Companies                                CMP       6M      12M                P/BV     NIM    GNPA     NNPA Proforma Proforma
                                                                  M Cap
(Rs mn)                                 (Rs/s)     R%       R%                 (x)      (%)    (%)      (%) GNPA (%) NNPA (%)
Suryoday Small Finane Bank               305        -        -   32,369.9      2.0     8.5%   0.8%     0.3%   9.3%
Equitas Small Finance Bank                59        -        -   67,142.0      2.0     8.5%   2.3%     0.7%   2.2%     0.7%
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank                34       1%     -17.0% 66,130.4      2.1     9.7%   1.0%     0.1%   4.8%     2.1%

AU Small Finance Bank                   1,255    76.0%    30.0% 3,85,285.0     7.1     5.4%    1.0%     0.2%      3.1%          1.3%

City Union Bank                          170     19.4%     -4.4% 1,25,528.2    2.2     4.2%    2.9%     1.5%                    3.4%

CreditAccess Grameen                     713      -2.2%   -13.0% 1,10,515.0    3.0     8.7%    0.9%       -       6.1%

Companies                                CAR      RoE       RoA       C/I       C/D    CASA   PAT   Net    Gross
                                                                                                                             Deposits
(Rs mn)                                  (%)       (%)      (%)      (%)        (%)     (%)  TTM Worth Advances
Suryoday Small Finane Bank *            41.2%    4.6%      1.1%     55.4%     113.1%   13.3%  732 15,951 39,082                33,438
Equitas Small Finance Bank              21.6%    11.2%     1.4%      60%       110%     25%  3,660 32,800 1,73,730            1,58,620
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank               27%     -1.8%     -0.3%     58%       117%     18%  -550 30,790 1,36,380             1,16,170
AU Small Finance Bank                    19%     20.8%     2.4%      49%       112%     22% 11,240 54,030 3,32,220            2,97,080
City Union Bank                          17%      6.8%     0.7%      41%        83%     27%  3,860 56,674 3,65,037            4,32,883
CreditAccess Grameen                     31%      2.8%     0.8%      44%          -       -  1,030 37,020 1,23,210
* - Annualized PAT, RoE, ROA are post issue (annualized, PAT), post issue net worth includes impact of pre-ipo
placements

                                                                                                 Source: Choice Broking Research, RHP
                                                                                                   © CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH
"Avoid" to Suryoday Small Finance Bank - 'Stress appears higher; aggressively priced'
About the issue:
 •    Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SSFB) is coming with initial public offer (IPO) of Rs5,823.4 mn.
 •    The issue comprises fresh issue of 8.15 mn shares and offer for sale (OFS) of 10.9 mn shares.
 •    Price band for issue is fixed at Rs303-Rs305.
 •    At the higher price band of Rs305, fresh issue size is stood at Rs2,485.8 mn while OFS size derives at Rs3,337.6 mn.
 •    Issue will open for subscription on Mar 17’ 2021 and close on Mar 19’ 2021
 •    Not more than 50% of the net offer shall be available for allocation on a proportional basis to a qualified institutional
      investors (QIIs).
 •    Further not less than 15% shall be available for allocation on a proportional to non-institutional investors (NIIs) and
      not less than 35% of net offer shall be available for allocation to Retail Institutional Investors (RIIs).
 •    OFS includes stake sell by private equity players. OFS comprises 4.4 mn shares by IFC, 2.0 mn shares by GAJA Capital
      fund 2.02 mn, 1.9 mn shares by DWM Mauritius, 0.75 mn shares by HDFC Holdings, 1.5 mn shares by IDFC First Bank,
      0.1 mn by Americorp Ventures, 0.2 mn by Kotak Life Insurance and 0.1 mn by Gaja Capital India AIF.
 •    Due to post issue equity dilution, promoters’ stake will reduce to 28% from 30.3%.
 •    Average cost of purchase for major selling shareholder namely IFC is Rs58.8.
 •    SSFB did pre-IPO placement of 5.2 mn shares at Rs291.75 per share. SBI Life Insurance, Axis Capital, Kiran Vyapar
      participated in the pre-IPO placement. Thereby, the size of fresh issue has been reduced by 5.2 mn shares pursuant to
      pre-IPO placement.
 •    Meanwhile SSFL’s board on Mar 2’ 2021 increased the fresh issue size by 1.76 mn equity shares.
 •    0.5 mn shares are reserved for employees. Furthermore, employee will get 10% discount for bidding in the
      employee reservation portion.
 Fresh issue proceed will be utilized to augment bank’s Tier-I capital base to meet bank’s future capital requirements

Indicative IPO process time line:

                                                                   Unblocking of
                           Offer Closes on
                                                                   ASBA Account
                            19-Mar-2021
                                                                   24-Mar-2021

     Offer Opens on                             Finalization of                                                 Commencement
      17-Mar-2021                               Basis of                             Credit to Demat            of Trading
                                                Allotment                            Accounts                   30-Mar-2021
                                                24-Mar-2021                          25-Mar-2021
Company introduction:

Suryoday Small Finance Bank (SSFB) incorporated as Suryoday Micro Finance Private Limited at Chennai, Tamil Nadu on Nov
10, 2008. The bank has been serving the customers over a decade in the unbanked and under banked segments in India and
promoting financial inclusion. Pursuant to receipt of RBI’s final approval, SSFB has started operations as a SFB on Jan 23’
2017. Prior to commencement of operations as an SFB, SSFB operated as an NBFC – MFI carrying out microfinance
operations and operated the joint liability group-lending model for providing collateral-free, small ticket-size loans to
economically active women belonging to weaker sections. SSFB commenced microfinance operations in 2009 and have
expanded operations across 13 states and union territories as of Dec 31’ 2020. With 554 banking outlets including 153
unbanked rural centres, the bank provides services to 1.44 mn customers. SSFB has greater presence in unban and semi-
urban locations and as of Dec 31’ 2020, 37.1%, 27. 8% and 28.8% of gross advances were from metropolitan, urban and
semi-urban areas respectively.

                                                                                           Source: Choice Broking Research, RHP
Business Overview:

SSFB provides a number of credit products such as commercial vehicle loans, affordable housing loans, micro business loans,
unsecured micro and small enterprise and small and medium enterprise loans, secured business loans, financial intermediary
group loans and other loans. Gross loan portfolio grew at a CAGR of 39% to Rs39,082.3 mn in Dec 31’ 2020 from Rs17,177.8
mn in FY18. Loan portfolio is dominated by inclusive finance which accounted for 70.4% of gross loan portfolio followed by
CV book (9.4% of loans), affordable housing (6.3% of loans) and balance is covered by secured business loans, FIG loans,
micro business and unsecured MSME/SME.

On liability front, deposits grew at CAGR of 72% to Rs33,438.4 mn from Rs7,495.2 mn in FY18. Retail deposits constituted
72.4% of total deposits and CASA share stood at 13.3% as of Dec 31’ 2020. SSFB reported PAT of Rs1,112 mn in FY20 as
compared to Rs904 mn inFY19 and Rs114.9 mn in FY18. Owing to high yielding micro book, NIM margin stood at 11.9% in
FY20 and 8.5% in 9MFY21. Credit to deposits ratio sustained over 100% indicating the bank is fulfilling some portion of credit
growth with borrowings. Cost-to-income ratio improved to 47.1% in FY20 as compared to 64.4% in FY18. In 9MFY21, C/I
stood at 55.4%. The bank is well capitalized with CAR stood at 41.2% as of 9MFY21.

As per the RHP, the bank’s focus will be to grow customer base by providing quality customer service. SSFB will continue to
focus on the use of technology, explore partnerships with fintech companies, undertake data analytics to better understand
the requirements of customers, improve operational efficiency and further reduce costs. As SFFB grows operations, it
strategized to look to selectively expand network of banking outlets across newer geographies and also penetrate further
into existing markets. Further it also intends to engage with BC partners and payment banks to leverage their network to
help expand and increase market share.

                   Key Financials (Rs mn)
                   Particulars                      FY18          FY19           FY20            9MFY21
                   Net Interest Income             1,658.3       3,403.7        4,909.1          3,532.8
                   Net Interest Margin              10.4%         12.8%         11.9%              8.5%
                   Total Income                    2,038.7       4,073.0        5,783.6          4,182.0
                   Growth (%)                                     99.8%         42.0%

                   Pre-Prov. Operating Profit       725.0        2,165.5        3,062.4          1,865.7

                   Adjusted PAT                     114.9         904.0         1,112.0           548.7
                   Growth (%)                                    686.6%         23.0%
                   Advances                       15,686.8      26,795.8       35,319.4          37,822.6
                   Deposits                        7,495.2      15,934.3       28,487.2          33,438.4
                   RoA                              0.5%          3.1%           2.4%              1.1%
                   RoE                              2.1%          12.7%         11.4%              4.6%
                   GNPA                             3.5%          1.8%           2.8%              0.8%
                   CAR (Basel III)                  43.4%         40.2%         35.4%             41.2%
                   BVPS                             50.7          83.0          100.5             150.3
                   P/BV (x)                          6.0           3.7            3.0               2.0

                                                                                        Source: Choice Broking Research, RHP
Competitive strengths:

                                     •   Customer centric approach with a focus on financial inclusion
                                     •   Diversified assets portfolio with a focus on retail operations
                                     •   Fast evolving granular deposits franchise
                                     •   Leveraging emerging technologies to enhance digital footprint
                                     •   Strong credit processes and robust risk management framework
                                     •   Track record of strong financial performance and cost-efficient operations
                                     •   Multiple distribution channels

Business strategy:

•   Expand assets portfolio while focusing on secured lending
•   Strengthen retail liability franchise
•   Expand geographic presence and penetrate further into existing
    geographies

                                             Risk and concerns:

                                             •   Significant rise in proforma slippages due to Covid led economic
                                                 slowdown
                                             •   Business skewed to some states like Maharashtra, Karnataka and
                                                 Tamil Nadu
                                             •   Weak assets quality outlook
                                             •   Increased competition in banking industry

                                                                                      © CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH
Financial statements:

 Rs mn
Profit And Loss Statement                                                      Financial Ratios
Particulars                         FY18        FY19       FY20     9MFY21     Particulars                       FY18     FY19     FY20    9MFY21
Interest Earned                    2,868.8    5,301.1    7,666.9    6,243.5
                                                                               Return / Profitability Ratios (%)
Growth (%)                                     84.8%      44.6%
                                                                               Net interest margin (NIM)            10.4%    12.8%   11.9%   8.5%
Interest Expended                  1,210.5    1,897.3    2,757.8    2,710.7
Growth (%)                                     56.7%      45.4%                Yield on advances                    16.4%    23.2%   22.4%   20.4%
                                                                               Yield on investments                 7.2%     6.9%     7.2%   6.9%
Net Interest Income                1,658.3    3,403.7    4,909.1    3,532.8
                                                                               EPS (Diluted) (Rs)                    1.08     8.52   10.48    5.17
Net Interest Margin                 10.4%      12.8%      11.9%      8.5%      RoA                                  0.5%     3.1%     2.4%   1.1%
Other Income                        380.4      669.2      874.5      649.2     RoE                                  2.1%     12.7%   11.4%   4.6%
% of Interest Income                13.3%      12.6%      11.4%      10.4%
                                                                               Cost of Deposits                     3.3%     7.1%     8.2%   7.6%
Total Income                       2,038.7    4,073.0    5,783.6    4,182.0
Growth (%)                                     99.8%      42.0%
                                                                               Operating ratios (%)
Operating & Other expenses         1,313.8    1,907.4    2,721.2    2,316.4    Credit to Deposit (C/D)             209.3% 168.2% 124.0% 113.1%
Pre-Prov. Operating Profit          725.0     2,165.5    3,062.4    1,865.7    Cost-to-income (C/I)                 64.4%    46.8%   47.1%   55.4%
Provisions and contigencies         546.6      738.3     1,518.6    1,165.1    CASA (share)                         11.0%    11.2%   11.4%   13.3%
P&C % of Advances                   3.5%       2.8%       4.3%       3.1%      Investment / Deposit (I/D)           41.5%    41.7%   28.4%   45.2%
Operating Profit before Tax         178.4     1,427.2    1,543.8     700.6     Non interest income / Total
Growth (%)                                    700.2%      8.2%                                                      18.7%    16.4%   15.1%   15.5%
                                                                               income
Pre-tax Margin %                    8.7%       35.0%      26.7%      16.8%
                                                                               Capitalization Ratios (%)
Tax                                  63.4      523.3      431.8      151.9
% of PBT                            35.6%      36.7%      27.0%      27.0%     CET                                  40.2%    38.7%   34.3%   36.9%
Reported PAT                        114.9      904.0     1,112.0     548.7     Tier-1                               40.2%    38.7%   34.3%   36.9%
Net Profit Margin %                 5.6%       22.2%      19.2%      13.1%     Tier-2                               3.2%     1.6%     1.1%   4.2%
Extrodinary Income                                                             CAR (Basel III)                      43.4%    40.2%   35.4%   41.2%
Adjusted PAT                        114.9      904.0     1,112.0     548.7     Equity / Assets                      25.0%    23.4%   19.9%   18.8%
Growth (%)                                    686.6%      23.0%
                                                                               Loans / Assets                       72.8%    71.2%   65.8%   59.6%
Balance Sheet
                                                                               Investments / Assets                 14.4%    17.7%   15.1%   23.8%
Particulars                         FY18       FY19       FY20      9MFY21     Asset Quality ratios (%)
Cash and balance with Reserve                                                  GNPA                                 3.5%     1.8%     2.8%   0.8%
                                    308.2      483.0      605.3      889.0
Bank of India……..                                                              NNPA                                 1.9%     0.4%     0.6%   0.3%
Balances with banks and money                                                  Coverage Ratio                       47.5%    75.7%   79.6%   57.7%
                                   1,763.4    2,280.6    7,770.7    7,442.6
at call and short notice                                                       Per Share Data (Rs)
Investments                         3,113.4    6,643.9    8,082.0   15,114.4
                                                                               EPS (Diluted)                         1.1      8.5     10.5    6.9
Advances                           15,686.8   26,795.8   35,319.4   37,822.6
Fixed assets                         135.4      189.8      387.3      433.6    BVPS                                  50.7     83.0   100.5   150.3
Other assets                         552.4     1,218.9    1,480.5    1,801.9   Valuation ratios (x)
TOTAL ASSETS                       21,559.6   37,612.0   53,645.2   63,504.1   P/E (x)                              281.7     35.8    29.1    44.2
                                                                               P/BV (x)                              6.0      3.7      3.0    2.0
Capital                             675.0      815.8      865.9      891.9     Growth ratios (%)
Reserves and Surplus               4,709.9    7,987.8    9,796.4    11,017.8   Advances                                      70.8%   31.8%
Deposits                           7,495.2    15,934.3   28,487.2   33,438.4
                                                                               Deposits                                     112.6% 78.8%
Borrowings                         7,178.3    11,242.3   12,646.2   14,870.8
Other liabilities and provisions   1,501.3    1,631.9    1,849.6    3,285.3    Net interest income                          105.3% 44.2%
TOTAL CAPITAL AND                                                              Interest Earned                               84.8%   44.6%
                                   21,559.6   37,612.0   53,645.2   63,504.1
LIABILITIES…...……                                                              PAT                                          686.6% 23.0%

                                                                                                            Source: Choice Broking Research, RHP

                                                                                                             © CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH
Equity Research Team
  Name                                Designation                                              Email id
  Sundar Sanmukhanis                  Head of Research - Fundamental                           sanmukhanis@choiceindia.com
  Satish Kumar                        Research Analyst                                         satish.kumar@choiceindia.com
  Rajnath Yadav                       Research Analyst                                         rajnath.yadav@choiceindia.com
  Ankit Pareek                        Research Associate                                       ankit.pareek@choiceindia.com
  Yug Tibrewal                        Research Intern                                          yug.tibrewal@choiceindia.com

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