Assessing the Growth Opportunities for Irish Horticulture
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Key Project Objective To identify opportunities for crops which could be grown in Ireland and to help inform a future strategy for the sector 8
Research Process 1 3 5 Horticulture Industry Develop Import Outline Opportunities Capability Assessment Reliance Map - Market Mapping 2 4 6 Understand Horticulture Market Identify Buyer Motivations Report Development & Presentation Dynamics in Ireland 9
Market Segmentation Irish Horticulture Edible (Retail/ Amenity Foodservice) Plants / Cut Vegetables Fruit Flowers Amenity Protected Amenity Food Field Veg Protected Veg Organic Veg Top Fruit Organic Fruit Specialist Fruit Retail Garden Retail The Irish Horticulture market was segmented into 3 key areas, with 8 sub sections – highlighted in green. 10
Methodology – sector attractiveness Each of the sub-sectors identified have been plotted on a matrix to identify the most attractive sectors for Irish producers to target. They are then positioned into various quadrants according to their average value per kilo and import volume for the year. • They are considered high in value if the price achieved is above average for vegetable imports. • They are considered large volume sectors if the amount imported is above average for vegetables imported into Ireland.
Attitudes Towards Fruit and Vegetables 100% 90% 83% 81% 80% 70% 65% 58% 60% % 50% 40% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% I think supermarkets should I am currently trying to eat more I would like to see more I would pay more for fruit and I would like prepared portions of provide more Irish sourced fruit fruit and vegetables information about the grower on vegetables that guarantees a fair fruit and vegetables (eg apple and vegetables where possible fruit and vegetable packaging price is paid to farmers slices) to be equal to one of my 5 a day Source: Mintel, Fruit and Vegetables – Ireland, March 2019, 2018 Toluna Data Irish fruit and vegetables are in demand. Locally sourced produce is a key requirements for Irish consumers, with over 80% of consumers believing supermarkets should provide more, where possible 16
Irish Retailers Committed to Irish Produce All of the major retailers publicly state their commitment to source Irish produce with key ranges entirely sourced from Irish producers 17
Irish Foodservice Suppliers Committed to Irish Produce There is a commitment from foodservice suppliers, but support does not seem to be as developed vs retail 18
Irish Food Service Market – QSR Any Provenance of Irish Vegetables/ Outlet or Chain Number of Irish Outlets Irish Provenance on Menu Vegetables/ Fruit Stated Fruit Stated on on Menu Menu IPC Europe (Subway) c.300 Franchises No No No Supermacs c.100 Yes Irish Beef No No McDonalds 91 Yes Irish & British Beef No No 79 Franchises Domino's Pizza No No No (50RoI, 29NI) No but do state will Freshly Chopped 50 Yes Dubliner Cheese No source locally where possible AIL Group (Abrakebabra/ c. 130 food outlets in Yes Irish Beef (Abrakebabara) No No O'Brien/ Bagel Factory) Ireland (franchised out) Yes Irish Ham/Sausages (O'Brien) Nandos 18 Yes Irish Chicken No No No but will source local vegetables Camile Thai 18 (16RoI, 2 NI) Yes Irish Beef Steak No and herbs when in season Source: Bord Bia Irish Foodservice Directory and Levercliff Audits 2019 A number of major chains have Irish provenance on their menu however this is primarily focussed on meat and dairy. Horticulture produce listed on the menu does not tend to have a country of origin reference. This is similar for hotels and 19 coffee shops
Irish Food Service Market – FSR* and Pubs Irish Vegetables/ Number of Irish Any Provenance of Vegetables/ Outlet or Chain Irish Provenance on Menu Fruit Stated on Outlets Fruit Stated on Menu Menu Yes Irish Beef, Irish Strawberry Entertainment Enterprise Group c.69 in total No but reference to seasonality No and Cream Icecream Eddie Rocket's 40 Yes Irish Beef No No Brambles 24 Yes Irish Beef, Irish Chicken No but reference to seasonality No Yes Irish Beef /Rhubarb /Crab Yes Irish rhubarb/ Wye Valley new Avoca 13 Yes Irish rhubarb /Mackerel/ Pork season asparagus Yes Irish Pork/ Beef/Gin/ Gourmet Food Parlour 8 No but reference to seasonality No Liqueur Sprout & CO 7 Yes There is reference to local produce Yes Local Greens Yes Irish Beef Donybrook fair 5 - - Menu unavailable JD Wetherspoons 5 Yes Irish Beef/ Whisky Sauce No No Happy Pear 3 Menu Not Available - - Wagamama 3 No - - Some Reference, Irish Chicken Le Pain Quotidien 2 No No Club Source: Bord Bia Irish Foodservice Directory and Levercliff Audits 2019, *Full Service Restaurants There is more evidence of provenance of horticulture produce in more upmarket outlets such as full service restaurants but it is still not as prominent as Irish meat 20
Key Food Service Trends Continued Continued demand by desire to consumers source for “fresh” Irish products food There should be growing demand for horticulture produce as consumers demand more fresh food. According to Technomic Irish foodservice operators continue to cite provenance and Irish sourcing as a key driver for purchasing wherever possible Source: Irish Foodservice Market Insights, November 2018, *ROI & NI In some cases availability is a reason operators look elsewhere 21
Horticulture Capability Assessment Industry Expert Opinions 22
Industry Expert Opinions: Horticulture Industry MACRO Influences Labour Farmers are reliant on migrant workers to process fruit and vegetables, and having to become increasingly innovative to find and retain suitable, motivated and reliable staff. Access to suitable accommodation is a challenge for producers. Sustainability The industry is facing major sustainability challenges in terms of chemical usage and not being able to use Peat as a growing medium. Pricing A highly competitive supermarket environment continues to put pressure on retail prices of fruit and vegetables. The benefits of producer efficiencies are being eroded by reduced retail prices. Scale The Irish market is relatively small which limits investment opportunities for major projects. Levercliff interviewed two industry experts to gain an understanding of the key challenges the sector faces.
Industry Expert Opinions: Organic Organically growth edible produce – protected or unprotected Challenges • Highly fragmented producer base, mostly due to requirement to rotate crops, resulting in relatively small crop sizes. Opportunities • There is current high demand from consumers. • Future demand is going to come from consumers. The plant based consumer will soon want pesticide free too. • Collaboration between producers to lose their fear of the supermarkets, instead working with them. Enablers • Development of producer organisations could stimulate growth. • There has been little research devoted to organic.
Industry Expert Opinions: Big Ideas Industry experts identified 5 key areas Development Groups • The Apple Development group could set a precedent for future potential development groups. Collaboration is key. Producer • Not all sectors have producer organisations in place. These assist with shared Organisations resources, and enable farmers to collaborate and plan for future growth. Products • Organic produce, or a new IPM focussed area is an opportunity • Blueberries are ready for up-scaling. Glasshouses • There is significant opportunity to grow crops for local market, and with the correct support, for export to the UK. Policy • Favourable government policy could boost production in the sector, as it feels more focussed on other sectors at present. Training • There is a real opportunity to up-skill growers to manage their businesses more effectively, and embrace change.
Retail Market Overview: Vegetables
Total Irish Retail Fresh Veg. Sales (incl. Potatoes) 2017- 2019 Value Volume % Growth €900.0 600.0 774.9 797.2 €800.0 772.1 488.6 478.4 476.3 500.0 €700.0 Million KGs €600.0 400.0 €m €500.0 -0.4% +3.2% 300.0 -2.1% -0.4% €400.0 2017-18 2018-19 2017-18 2018-19 €300.0 200.0 €200.0 100.0 €100.0 €0.0 0.0 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpanel 52 w/e 29th December 2019 As fresh vegetable prices have increased volume sales have declined. This has benefited growth of frozen vegetable sales, However frozen vegetables still remain a small segment with sales less than 7% of total fresh vegetables value sales
Total Irish Retail Veg. Sales by Type 2019 (Top 15) Total Market Total Market Value Sales Unit Sales (‘000) (‘000) based on based on Value Sales Value Volume Sales kg Volume Growth A Key Imported Product Type Leading Retailer Retailer Sales 2019 (‘000) Growth % 2019 (‘000) % Line Sales using using Kantar Kantar Value Volume Share Share (2019) (2019) Potatoes Field € 236,823 €129,745 21.2 207,832 1,093,852 -1.2 X Tomato Protected € 110,471 € 72,068 -1.6 32,592 45,640 -1 X Peppers Protected € 62,107 € 37,295 6.5 16,217 31,363 7 X Carrots Field € 60,327 € 24,226 -4.4 62,274 26,796 -1.2 X Mushroom Protected € 53,913 € 26,985 -4.3 16,712 32,996 -0.3 Broccoli Field € 34,348 € 23,283 3.3 14,596 18,830 -4 X Onions Field € 33,963 € 21,753 2.5 33,710 25,768 -13.5 X Lettuce Protected € 28,541 € 11,969 -7.3 12,433 14,108 -7.6 X Total Herbs Incl Garlic € 19,030 € 22,643 -0.3 2,132 22,437 5.8 Cucumber Protected € 17,717 € 10,946 7.1 10,736 15,497 3.1 Cabbage Field € 15,257 € 8,472 -2.7 8,948 7,566 -11.2 X Spring Onions Field € 9,568 € 8,514 0.9 2,316 10,975 1.6 Celery Field € 9,154 € 5,388 5.4 5,580 5,910 2.8 Cauliflower Field € 8,552 € 6,536 6.7 4,485 5,034 1.9 X Parsnips Field € 8,432 € 5,631 -2.4 4,532 5,569 -2.8 Beans Field € 8,420 € 5,640 3.1 1,425 3,814 20.2 X Source: Kantar Worldpanel 52 w/e 8th September 2019/ Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 *Retailer EPOS Data has been used as a base for a comparative figure to Kantar which is based on Panel Data 7/10 of the top best-selling produce areas in Irish retail are also key imported lines
Total Irish Retail Veg. Sales by Type 2019 (Remaining Areas) Total Market Total Market Value Sales Unit Sales based based on Value Sales Value Volume Sales kg on Retailer Sales Volume Growth A Key Imported Product Type Leading Retailer 2019 (‘000) Growth % 2019 (‘000) using Kantar % Line Sales using Volume Share Kantar Value (2019) Share (2019) Garlic Protected € 7,981 € 7,567 3.8 975 5,900 7.3 X Peas Field € 7,851 € 3,976 -5.3 1,424 4,493 7.8 Turnips/Swedes Field € 7,526 € 4,094 2.3 5,829 6,246 1.2 X Sweetcorn Field € 7,443 € 3,724 -1.6 2,480 3,429 9.3 Asparagus Field € 6,798 € 5,679 -7.4 1,276 5,104 -1.4 Spinach Field € 6,612 € 7,913 -11.4 1,156 6,336 -5.2 Courgettes Protected € 6,586 € 4,521 -5.4 3,204 4,200 7.7 Brussel Sprouts Field € 5,894 € 2,993 -10.1 3,393 3,145 -1.4 Leeks Field € 5,369 € 4,317 -8.8 1,717 3,792 -18.1 X Sweet Potatoes Field € 5,209 € 5,150 -24.4 3,133 3,524 -33.9 Beetroot Field € 2,939 € 3,275 -10.1 1,827 3,522 -5.2 Squash Field € 2,687 € 1,479 -7.2 4,256 1,643 -9.4 Kale Field € 2,679 € 1,257 0.5 537 1,141 -21.5 X Pumpkin Field € 1,653 € 1,664 19.7 381 606 22.2 Aubergines Field € 1,429 € 5,154 -3.6 814 7,667 7.1 Radish Field € 1,282 € 972 3.7 495 1,418 14 Chinese Leaves Field € 436 € 512 35 112 297 -16.3 Chicory Field € 413 €0 24.9 * 0 36.3 Source: Kantar Worldpanel 52 w/e 8th September 2019/ Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 There are also a number of smaller segments for Irish producers to target
Key Points for Bord Bia • The retail market has been impacted by supply issues over the past year which has had an impact on price – this makes it a volatile market for suppliers • Many of the large vegetable segments in retail are also key vegetable types that are imported indicating that demand (Retail/Foodservice or Manufacturing) is reliant on imported produce • There are key retail insights for Irish producers to consider ‒ Potatoes: Increasing interest in varieties other than Rooster ‒ Tomatoes: Vine are the largest by value, but plum varieties are performing well ‒ Peppers: The market is dominated by the strong performing traffic light pack ‒ Onions: Value growth is being maintained despite price increases ‒ Lettuce: There is a strong preference for butterhead lettuces ‒ Swede/Turnip: Swede dominates sales and are experiencing good growth 73
Foodservice Market Overview: Vegetables
Foodservice, Veg. Market Sizes, Fresh, Frozen and Ambient, OBP*, 2017 Value Consumed Volume (Finished Weight) 180.0 200.0 160.0 180.0 166.0 160.0 140.0 €m Kg m 135.0 140.0 120.0 120.0 100.0 178.0 100.0 80.0 80.0 112.0 60.0 60.0 40.0 40.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 Vegetables Potatoes Vegetables Potatoes Source: Irish Foodservice Produce Market Insights, 2017, *ROI & NI *OBP Operator Buying Prices Potatoes is the key volume area within foodservice but does not command as much value as it is a competitive market Vegetables is smaller in volume but commands greater value
Foodservice, Fresh Veg. Estimated Volume Market Sizes Foodservice Operators Purchased Volumes of Fresh Produce Only 100.0 90.0 80.0 Kg m 70.0 60.0 93.2 50.0 67.7 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Vegetables Potatoes Source: Irish Foodservice Produce Market Insights, 2017, Kantar Worldpanel Average Prices 2019, Assuming 40% Retail Margin and 25% Foodservice Wholesaler Margin Fresh potato sales equate to 45% of total retail sales Vegetables represents 25% of total retail sales
Key Points for Bord Bia • Foodservice is a smaller market vs retail but could represent an opportunity for producers with the right products • The restaurant sector is a key area for horticulture producers with sales fragmented amongst other sectors • Fresh vegetable purchases are in growth, and expected to continued to grow but staff and skill shortages may impact on the types of product required – potentially increased demand for more prepared products 81
Market Opportunities and Feedback: Organic Vegetables
Total Organic Veg. Irish Retail Sales 2018-2019 Value Volume 60.00 45.00 39.18 Yr on Yr % 40.00 Growth 48.66 36.17 50.00 46.32 35.00 Units (m) 40.00 30.00 -4.8% -7.7% €m 25.00 30.00 2018-19 2018-19 20.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 2018 2019 2018 2019 Source: Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 Organic vegetables have experienced a decline in value and volume retail sales
Organic Field Veg. Retail Market ROS Perf. Ranked by Value 2018-2019 Number of weeks with Indicative Value Indicative Units Number of weeks with Total Market Sales 2019 Sales (Conventional ROS/ Store/ Week ROS/ Store/ Week Sales Field Vegetables Veg Leading Line) 52 weeks to 18th November 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 Potato €5,549,233 € 94 48 52 52 Carrot €3,746,253 € 121 177 52 52 Onion €3,406,560 € 58 52 52 52 Broccoli €1,985,520 € 72 41 52 52 Celery €1,609,988 € 84 47 38 52 Beetroot €1,308,014 €38 21 52 52 Cauliflower €1,028,864 € 52 18 48 52 Courgette €577,152 € 58 26 52 52 Parsnip €405,379 € 29 13 37 52 Kale €314,742 € 47 30 42 52 Leek €258,375 € 23 12 43 52 Squash €244,412 € 25 12 40 52 Watercress €219,700 € 29 14 30 2 Cabbage €45,094 € 10 5 25 52 A key focus should be to develop an Irish supply of the best selling lines including Cabbage Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019 The top 6 best selling conventional field vegetables are Potato, Carrot, Broccoli, Onion, Cabbage and Spinach – Organic sales are in line with the conventional market except for cabbage and cauliflower which has poor availability Organic carrots is the best selling line in terms of ROS – Supplied by Irish producers
Retail Market Opportunity By Field Vegetable Type Good Availability by Retailer Develop Varieties Carrots Kale Limited Good Range – Range Opportunity Potatoes for more varieties Onions Broccoli Celery Cauli- flower CabbageCourgette Develop Irish Supply Improve Supply Poor Availability by Retailer The focus for protected vegetables is to improve supply of key crops by extending the availability across the year 122
Organic Carrots ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Carrot Type SuperValu, €1.59, Tesco, €0.69, 1kg Lidl, €0.99, 1kg Organic Fresh, Organic Carrots 750g (Irish) (Irish) (Irish) €0.69, 700g (Irish) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th November 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 ORGANIC CARROTS €3,746,253 €143 €121 178 177 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 Irish organic carrot growers are well represented in the retail market with relatively wide distribution across the retailers
Organic Irish Potatoes: Retailer and ROS Perf. Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Potato Type SuperValu Organic, Valor Organic €1.50/kg, 2kg (Irish) Aldi Organic, Imported Organic Lidl Organic, €1.50/kg, 2kg Rooster Potatoes €1.50/kg, 2kg (UK) (Scottish) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC POTATOES 2KG €4,142,391 €134 €140 76 71 52 52 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC BABY POTATOES 750G €1,209,290 €76 €58 39 29 52 52 ORGANIC NEW POTATOES 1.5KG €40 €4 €4 1 1 2 2 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 Supervalu is the only retailer which had Irish organic potatoes in store. There is opportunity to develop an Irish organic variant of the Rooster. Aldi and Lidl are currently the only retailer to have an organic Rooster which is imported.
Organic Onions ROS Perf. 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Onion Type SuperValu Organic, Tesco Organic, Imported Organic €2.39/kg, 750g €1.32/kg, 750g Brown Onion (Netherlands) (Holland) Conventional Irish Dunnes, €1.25/kg, Aldi, €1.19/kg, 750g Brown Onion 800g (Ireland) (Ireland) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th November 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 ORGANIC BROWN ONIONS 750G €1,852,111 €69 €72 95 79 52 52 Retailer Own Label RED ORGANIC ONIONS 500G €657,803 €44 €45 32 25 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18th November 2019 There were no organic Irish onions supplied in store at the time of auditing. The organic onions for sale were imported from Holland, the Netherlands and Spain. There is an opportunity for organic onion growers to supply onions to retailers, with the greatest opportunity in brown onions.
Organic Broccoli ROS Perf. 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type SuperValu Organic, Lidl Organic, Aldi Organic, Imported Organic €4.98/kg, 400g €3.73/kg, 400g €3.73/kg, 400g Broccoli (Spain) (Spain) (Spain) Standard Irish Lidl, €1.78, 500g Broccoli (Ireland) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 T.ORGANIC TENDER STEM BROCCOLI 200G €721,350 €0 €95 - 40 - 30 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC BROCCOLI 400G €1,264,170 €62 €59 44 41 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 There will soon be capabilities to produce an Organic Broccoli in Ireland. There was currently no Irish Organic Broccoli in stores audited. Despite Tender Stem Broccoli generating a higher value ROS due to its higher price, production in Ireland is likely to be more challenging and seasonal.
Organic Celery ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Tesco Organic, Aldi Organic, Imported Organic SuperValu Organic, Lidl Organic, €1.29, 1 €5.11/kg, 350g €3.69/kg, 350g Celery €1.99, 1 Bag (Spain) Unit (Spain) (Spain) (Spain) Tesco, €1.76/kg, Lidl, €1.98/kg, 400g Aldi Egan’s, €1.98/kg, Standard Irish Celery 450g (Ireland) (Ireland) 400g (Ireland) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC CELERY €1,463,616 €74 €86 44 49 46 38 T.ORGANIC EAST ANGLIAN CELERY EACH €9 €0 €2 - 1 - 1 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 Organic celery has the 3rd highest value ROS in organic and is imported. There should be an attractive opportunity to displace imported supply with an Irish variant.
Organic Cauliflower ROS Perf., 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Tesco Organic, Imported Organic €2.99, 1 Unit Cauliflower (Spain) Conventional Irish Dunnes, €1.29, 1 Unit Aldi, €1.29, 1 Unit Cauliflower (Ireland) (Ireland) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 ORGANIC CAULIFLOWER EACH €1,089,386 €69 €52 24 18 52 48 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 Organic cauliflower was on sale in SuperValu and Tesco however neither of these were Irish. There is an opportunity for Irish organic growers to displace imported produce
Organic Cabbage ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Imported Organic SuperValu Organic, Cabbage €1.99, 1 Unit (Holland) Conventional Dunnes, €1.99, 1 Unit SuperValu, €1.99, 1 Tesco, €1.99, 1 Sweetheart Cabbage (Ireland) Unit (Ireland) Unit (Ireland) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC SEASONAL CABBAGE €61,010 €12 €10 6 5 42 25 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 SuperValu was the only retailer to offer organic cabbage at the time of audit indicating that availability for this type of product is poor. Cabbage has a similar ROS to Cauliflower in conventional produce indicating a good opportunity if Irish suppliers can develop a supply of organic cabbage.
Summary of Organic Field Vegetable Opportunities €17m by Developing New Organic Supplies Product - Size of Opportunity Indicative Unit Target Price Point Total Retail Market Potential Total Volume the prize based on ROS Per Store Per Size of the Prize Foodservice Sales (Retail & F/service) 1 line Week @ 25% of Retail Potato – Organic 70 €3.50 €7.4m 1.1m kg 4.5m kg Develop an organic Irish Rooster 2kg 4.2m kg Irish Rooster pack Onion Brown Onion 79 €0.99 €2m 0.4m kg 1.9m kg 750g 1.5m kg Broccoli 400g 40 €1.40 €1.9m 135k kg 675k kg 540k kg Celery 350g 50 €1.76 €2.5m 125k kg 625k kg Develop an Irish 500k kg Cauliflower organic supply 18 €2.89 €1.7m 143k cauliflowers 715k cauliflowers 572k cauliflowers Sweetheart 18 €1.99 €890k 112k cabbages 560k cabbages Cabbage 448k Cabbages Courgette 3 Pack 26 €2.22 €1.2m 0.4m courgettes 2m courgettes 1.6m courgettes Key Opportunities: Develop a supply of Irish organic products focusing on the best selling lines
Organic Protected Veg. Retail Market ROS Perf. Ranked by Value 2018-2019 Number of weeks Total Market Sales Indicative Value Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Sales 2019 ROS/ Store/ Week Store/ Week with Sales (Conventional Veg Protected Vegetables Leading Line) 52 weeks to 18th November 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 Spinach €4,580,614 € 82 30 52 52 Cucumber €2,258,463 € 107 120 52 52 Garlic €1,791,487 € 32 21 52 30 Tomato €1,602,430 € 66 30 52 52 Pepper €1,296,792 € 80 33 52 52 Mushroom €1,079,452 € 37 29 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019 A key focus should be for suppliers to develop an Irish supply of the best performing lines in terms of ROS; Spinach, Cucumber, Pepper and Tomato
Retail Market Opportunity By Protected Vegetable Type Good Availability by Retailer Develop Varieties Limited Good Range – Range Opportunity for more CucumberTomatoes varieties Spinach Peppers Develop Irish Supply Improve Supply Poor Availability by Retailer The focus for protected vegetables is to improve supply of key crops by extending the availability across the year. 132
Organic Peppers ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Lidl Organic, Aldi Organic, Imported Organic SuperValu Organic, €4.98/kg, 400g €7.96/kg, 250g Pepper €1.29, 1 Unit (Spain) (Spain) (Spain) Conventional Irish SuperValu, €0.99, 1 Pepper Unit (Ireland) Total Market Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC PEPPER 250G €1,296,792 €96 €80 45 33 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 There is an established market for Organic peppers, however growing at a cost- effective level in Ireland is likely to be challenging. Aldi, Supervalu, Tesco and Lidl have organic peppers in their range however none of these were Irish – all were imported from Spain.
Organic Tomatoes ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Imported Organic SuperValu, €6.23/kg, Vine Tomato 400g (Spain) Conventional Irish Dunnes, €4.44/kg, SuperValu, €7.48/kg, Vine Tomato 450g (Ireland) 450g (Ireland) Total Market Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC VINE TOMATO 500G €1,307,174 €79 €80 33 33 52 52 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC BABY PLUM TOMATOES 250G €295,251 €57 €45 35 26 52 30 ORGANIC IOW CHERRY TOMATOES 250G €5 €5 €0 4 1 3 1 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18th November 2019 An Irish organic tomato is not likely to be price competitive vs imported lines Existing imported organic tomatoes are cheaper than Irish tomatoes currently For this to be an opportunity Irish organic tomatoes would have to be cheaper than conventional Irish tomatoes in order to displace imported lines
Organic Cucumber ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Imported Organic Lidl, €0.99, 1 Unit Cucumber (Spain) Conventional Irish Lidl, €0.59, 1 Unit Centra, €0.99, 1 Unit Cucumber (Ireland) (Ireland) Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Total Market Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 ORGANIC WHOLE CUCUMBER €2,258,463 €113 €107 162 120 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 Organic cucumbers has the highest ROS amongst organic protected vegetables making it an attractive opportunity for Irish producers There were no Irish organic cucumbers in store when audited If Irish growers can produce organic cucumbers cost effectively, there is a sizable opportunity
Organic Spinach ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Imported Organic Dunnes, €23.98/kg, SuperValu, €12.95/kg, Tesco, €14.95/kg, Spinach 125g (EU) 200g (Italy) 200g (Italy) Conventional Spinach SuperValu, €6.45/kg, Lidl, €4.45/kg, 200g Aldi, €4.36/kg, 250g (No Irish) 200g (Italy) (Italy) (Italy) Total Market Indicative Value ROS/ Indicative Units ROS/ Number of weeks with Sales Store/ Week Store/ Week Sales Item Level 52 weeks to 18th 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 November 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC SPINACH €4,320,251 €126 €106 44 36 49 52 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC BABY SPINACH 100G €260,363 €0 €40 - 20 - 30 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Retailer Sales Data 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 Organic Spinach locally grown could be a large opportunity, but may require CAPEX for increased protected space.
Summary of Organic Protected Veg Opportunities €9.4m by developing new supplies Product - Size of Opportunity Indicative Unit Target Price Point Total Retail Market Potential Total Volume the prize based on ROS Per Store Per Size of the Prize Foodservice Sales (Retail & F/service) 1 line Week @ 25% of Retail Peppers 250g 33 €2.43 €1.9m 50k kg 248k kg 198k kg Cucumber Develop an Irish 120 €0.97 €2.8m 0.7m cucumbers 3.6m cucumbers organic supply 2.9m cucumbers Spinach 200g 36 €2.95 €4.7m 79k kg 396k kg 317k kg Key Opportunities: Develop a supply of Irish organic products focusing on the best selling lines. There could be an additional small opportunity for organic tomatoes.
Industry Expert Opinions: Organic Challenges • A highly fragmented market, mostly due to requirement to rotate crops, resulting in relatively small crop sizes of multiple crops from one farm. Opportunities • There is current high demand from consumers. • Future demand is going to be consumer driven. The plant based consumer will soon want pesticide free too. • Collaboration is required between producers and supermarkets, working with them to develop solutions. Enablers • Development of producer organisations could stimulate growth. • There has been little research devoted to organic.
Customer Opportunities for Organic Retail Foodservice Amenity • Focus on better availability of • Demand from workplace • Some demand for organic volume areas: Potatoes, catering pulling through vegetable plants (6). Carrots, Broccoli, Cabbage, the supply chain. Onion & Cauliflower (1) • Higher end restaurants • Vegetables the particular and independents willing focus area (2) to make the effort. • Onions, Cabbage & Tomatoes (3) 1 – Aldi, 2 – Musgraves, 3 – Dunnes, 4 – Beechlawn, 5 – Glanbia, 6 – Aurivo, 7 – Pallas, 8 – Total Produce, 9 – Milnes, 10 – Richardsons. 139
Customer Opportunities for Organic • Dunnes were particularly supportive of Organic produce, citing consumer complaints for not offering a broad enough range • They are willing to consider anything organic. They see particular demand for local produce (and premium products) at regional stores, specifically West Coast or Ireland and Dublin • Aldi were vocal that most organic produce is currently imported and that they don’t have a local organic partner. Developing Irish Organic is an attractive opportunity that they would be keen to explore 1 – Aldi, 2 – Musgraves, 3 – Dunnes, 4 – Beechlawn, 5 – Glanbia, 6 – Aurivo, 7 – Pallas, 8 – Total Produce, 9 – Milnes, 10 – Richardsons. 140
Key Points: All organic vegetables • Irish Carrots are the most established organic crop • Opportunities were identified for organic field crops: • Potatoes, • Broccoli & Cauliflower • Celery • Organic protected crop opportunities • Tomatoes & Cucumbers • Spinach • Mushrooms 141
Market Overview: Fruit
Irish Retail Market, Fresh Fruit Sales 2017-2019 Value Volume 900.0 300.0 276.7 272.7 277.9 Yr on Yr % 793.2 800.0 757.0 765.0 Growth 250.0 700.0 Million KGs 600.0 200.0 €m +3.7% +1.9% 500.0 2018-19 2018-19 +1.1% 150.0 400.0 2017-18 -1.4% 2017-18 300.0 100.0 200.0 50.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpanel 52 w/e 29th December 2019 The fresh fruit market is similar in size to fresh vegetables Fresh fruit sales are performing better and are in growth recovering from a decline in volume sales 2017-2018
Irish Retail Market, Total Fruit Sales by Fruit Type 2019 Total Market Total Market Unit Value Sales (‘000) Sales (‘000) based on Leading Value Sales 2019 Volume Sales kg based on Retailer A Key Imported Product Type Retailer Sales Value Growth % Volume Growth % (‘000) 2019 (‘000) Sales using Line using Kantar Kantar Volume Value Share Share (2019) (2019) Citrus Tropical € 100,459 € 90,207 0.8 45,415 67,691 1.3 Banana Tropical € 85,620 € 88,083 2.0 61,974 70,186 1.4 Strawberry Protected € 109,759 € 69,889 8.7 12,051 22,312 7.4 X Apples Top Fruit € 138,553 € 68,238 2.0 60,288 48,610 -3.6 X Grapes Tropical € 98,715 € 54,700 4.1 21,266 23,061 6.9 Blueberry Protected € 64,996 € 52,218 -0.3 4,642 25,958 -2.5 X Raspberry Protected € 41,069 € 32,044 8.8 2,410 14,118 9.8 X Tropical Fruits Tropical € 60,739 € 29,522 -6.5 35,024 20,850 -3.9 Pears Top Fruit € 30,281 € 14,110 -4.8 17,563 13,639 -3.5 X Nectarine Stonefruit € 8,799 € 6,453 -26 3,476 5,257 -14.6 Plums Stonefruit € 8,805 € 4,129 -18.6 5,261 4,546 -12.5 Peaches Stonefruit € 7,236 € 3,754 -20.2 3,260 2,582 -0.6 Blackberry Protected € 8,468 € 2,898 21.3 498 1,256 7 X Cherries Stonefruit € 5,292 € 2,573 47.8 954 1,348 8.8 X Apricots Stonefruit € 1,574 € 900 -10.3 867 976 5.9 Other Berries Protected € 9,253 € 599 -15.9 689 254 -14.8 Rhubarb Field € 907 € 429 88.2 422 316 38.4 Source: Kantar Worldpanel 52 w/e 8th September 2019/ Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 A significant proportion of sales are derived from produce that is typically grown abroad Apple, Strawberries and Raspberries are attractive segments (relatively large and/or good growth) Blueberries is another relatively large segment but has experienced little growth Pears is the least attractive in terms of size (Smaller than berries) and in decline
Foodservice, Fruit. Market Sizes, Fresh, Frozen and Ambient, OBP*, 2017 100.0 95.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 53.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 27.2 10.0 0.0 Value €m Volume M kg Consumed Volume Estimated Foodservice Operators (Finished Weight) Purchased Volumes - Fresh Only (M kg) Source: Irish Foodservice Produce Market Insights, 2017, *ROI & NI *OBP Operator Buying Prices Fruit is the smallest segment within foodservice vs potatoes and vegetables Fresh fruit sales equate to 10% of total retail sales
Key Points for Bord Bia • Fresh fruit is a large attractive market in retail experiencing steady growth ‒ Exotic fruit is prominent in the market capturing a large proportion of sales and is strong competition for domestic produce ‒ However, there are clear growth trends for Irish producers to capitalise on such as the growing demand for berries • There are clear areas of focus for Irish producers in fruit in Top Fruit and Soft Fruit • Apples is a key volume segment in retail and foodservice - indicating a good opportunity for Irish producers if they can deliver a consistently good product 170
Market Opportunities & Feedback: Organic Fruit
Organic Grocery Retail Market, Total Fruit Sales 2018-2019 Value Volume 45.00 25.00 22.77 Yr on Yr % 39.07 40.00 Growth 20.00 19.46 35.00 33.70 Units (m) 30.00 +15.9% 15.00 +17.0% €m 25.00 2018-19 2018-19 20.00 10.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 2018 2019 2018 2019 Source: Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 Organic fruit retail sales reached an estimated €39m in 2019 The market has experienced good growth over the period
Organic Grocery Retail Market, Fruit Value Sales by Product Type, 2019 +23.6% % Value % Share 80.3% Growth of Value €35 €31.4 €30 €25 €m €20 -8.2% €15 19.5% +103.6% €10 €7.6 0.3% €5 €0.1 €0 Exotic Fruit Top Fruit Protected Fruit Source: Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 Exotic fruit accounts for the highest proportion of value sales in organic fruits, highlighting that top fruit and protected fruit are under represented in this category
Standard Grocery Retail Market, Fruit Value Sales by Product Type, 2019 -2.6% % Value % Share 44.7% +3.4% Growth of Value €250 €224.2 35.9% €200 €180.0 -4.3% €150 17.6% €m €100 €88.5 -0.4% 1.8% €50 €9.1 €0 Exotic Fruit Protected Fruit Top Fruit Other Source: Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 When comparing with standard fruit, the under-representation of protected fruit and top fruit in organic is further evident, especially in protected fruit which accounts for 36% of standard fruit sales but less than 1% of organic
Organic Grocery Retail Market, Fruit ROS Performance, Ranked by Value ROS, 2018-2019 Number of Indicative Value Indicative Units Total Market Sales 2019 weeks with Top Fruit ROS/ Store/ Week ROS/ Store/ Week Sales 52 weeks to 18th November 2019 2019 2019 2019 Apple €4,491,931 €71 31 52 Pear €1,069,791 €67 24 52 Number of Value ROS/ Store/ Units ROS/ Store/ Total Market Sales 2019 weeks with Protected Fruit Week Week Sales 52 weeks to 18th November 2019 2019 2019 2019 Blueberry €72,098 €25 9 33 Strawberry €16 €1 0 1 Source: Retailer Data 52 w/e 18th November 2019 Availability is an issue for key lines such as Blueberries and Strawberries which are not on sale throughout the year. There is also currently poor availability of organic raspberries
Organic Apples ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Tesco Organic, €2.69, 4 Pack (UK) Imported Organic Gala Apples Tesco Organic, €2.19, 6 Pack (Austria) Standard Irish Jona Aldi Organic, €1.49, 4 Gold Apples Pack (Ireland) Total Market Indicative Value ROS/ Store/ Indicative Units ROS/ Store/ Sales Number of weeks with Sales Week Week 52 weeks to Item Level 18th November 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC GALA APPLES 630G €2,543,488 €129 €109 62 53 52 52 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC BRAEBURN APPLES 630G (C) €843,465 €60 €70 24 25 40 48 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC PINK LADY APPLES APPROX 4 €601,407 €82 €56 34 25 26 45 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC EATING APPLE TRAY 4 PACK €503,570 €39 €49 15 18 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019 There were no organic Irish apples supplied in store when audited in November The best performing organic line is the 630g organic gala apples. A variety which is close in flavour to Jona Gold underlining an opportunity for an organic variant
Organic Pears ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Tesco Organic, Imported Organic €5.44/kg, 550g Pear (Netherlands) Tesco Rocha Pear, Imported €4.64/kg, 580g Conventional Pear (Portugal) Total Market Indicative Value ROS/ Store/ Indicative Units ROS/ Store/ Sales Number of weeks with Sales Week Week Item Level 52 weeks to 18th November 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 ORGANIC RIPE & READY PEARS 550G €1,069,791 €59 €67 29 24 52 52 Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019 There were no Irish organic pears identified in the audits, highlighting a potential opportunity to develop an Irish supply
Organic Blueberries ROS Performance, 2018-19 Ranked by Value ROS 2019 Retailer/ Dunnes SuperValu Tesco Lidl Aldi Centra Type Lidl Organic, Imported Organic €18.32/kg, 125g Blueberries (Argentina) Imported SuperValu, Keelings, €23.92/kg, Keelings, €23.92/kg, Lidl, €15.92/kg, 125g Aldi, €13.20/kg, 125g Conventional €15.92/kg, 125g 125g (Peru) 125g (Peru) (Peru) (South Africa) Blueberries (South Africa) Total Market Indicative Value ROS/ Store/ Indicative Units ROS/ Store/ Number of weeks with Sales Sales Week Week Item Level 52 weeks to 18th November 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 Retailer Own Label ORGANIC BLUEBERRIES 200G €72,098 €64 €25 22 9 7 33 NB: There were no sales of imported Organic Strawberries or Raspberries. Source: Levercliff Audits, November 2019, Dunnhumby 104 wks. to 18 th November 2019 There is also potential to develop an organic supply of berries across Strawberries, Raspberries and Blueberries.
Customer Opportunities for Organic Fruit Retail Foodservice Amenity • Focus on better availability • Some demand from higher • N/A of volume areas: end workplace catering Strawberries (1) pulling through the supply • Strawberries are an interest chain (4). for further development (3) • Higher end restaurants and independents willing to make the effort (4). • Aiming for top 15 product lines to include organic options (7). 1 – Aldi, 2 – Musgraves, 3 – Dunnes, 4 – Beechlawn, 5 – Glanbia, 6 – Aurivo, 7 – Pallas, 8 – Total Produce, 9 – Milnes, 10 – Richardsons.
Summary of Organic Opportunities – Top Fruit €2m by developing an Irish supply Product - Size Opportunity Indicative Unit Target Average Total Retail Potential Total Volume of the prize ROS Per Store Price Point Market Size of Foodservice (Retail & based on 1 line Per Week the Prize Sales @ 10% of F/service) Retail Irish Apples 30 €2.46 €1.1m 28,010 kg 308,108 kg 280,098 kg Develop an Irish Irish Pears Supply 27 €2.79 €870k/ 19,656 kg 216,216 kg 196,560 kg Key Opportunities Displace imported supply of Apples and Pears Whilst also improving availability of organic Apples
Summary of Organic Opportunities – Soft Fruit €1.3m by developing Irish Supply Product - Size Opportunity Indicative Unit Target Average Total Retail Potential Total Volume of the prize ROS Per Store Price Point 30% Market Size of Foodservice (Retail & based on 1 line Per Week Premium vs the Prize Sales @ 8% of F/service) Non Organic Retail Strawberries 12 €3.34 €521k 2,833 kgs 30,596 kgs 227g 28,330 kgs Raspberries 12 €2.13 €332k 1,950 kgs 21,450 kgs 125g Develop an Irish 19,500 kgs Supply Blueberries 125g 16 €2.41 €501k 2,600 kgs 28,600 kgs 26,000 kgs Key Opportunities Displace imported supply of Blueberries Developing a supply of organic Raspberries and Strawberries
Key Points for Bord Bia • Organic represents a clear opportunity for suppliers but much will depend on quality, pricing and volumes to be able to capitalise on demand • Top Fruit is the more established market for organic produce and potentially more attractive ‒ Apples represents a better opportunity for Irish producers to achieve a higher premium vs standard ‒ There is only a small organic premium for pear currently which potentially restricts the opportunity to displace the imported line for an Irish producer • Organic Soft Fruit is currently not as well developed, pricing is likely to be difficult to achieve especially for smaller suppliers ‒ Organic blueberries can be competitively priced vs standard blueberries 197
Themes, Initiatives & Opportunities
The importance of local Retail Local foods are a visible way to Product functionality, availability demonstrate support for the local and price is king, apart from economy, and differentiate from some key lines (potatoes), local Foodservice competitors. produce has to fight a tough battle with imported produce 253
Changing Growers’ Mindset • To maximise opportunities in the retail sector, farmers need to be encouraged to embrace change. • A more collaborative approach with supermarkets is required along with investment in their business and processes. • One of the industry experts referenced the need to embrace the ‘Who Moved My Cheese’ philosophy, encouraging horticulture producers to utilise schemes such as ‘Plan to Grow’ and embracing new ways of growing and working in partnership with current and potential customers. Source: Who Moved My Cheese, 1998 254
Develop Producer Brands • The presence of consumer facing brands was recognised by as a way to help retailers tell a clear producer story, allowing consumers to connect with the producer, and adding value to the product. • There are strong learnings from Amenity producers with ‘Bella Bloom’, and Flynn’s Tomatoes. 255
Stimulate Foodservice Demand • Foodservice suppliers expressed a concern that a significant recent increased use of ‘Procure Wizard’ was negatively impacting demand for local produce. Increasingly, companies are purchasing purely on price comparisons, without valuing the origin of products. • Some larger blue chip companies, sustainability focused companies and high end restaurants are keen for local and organic, but they need nurturing. • There is a view that the public sector has an opportunity to lead by example, 256
Committing to Foodservice • Foodservice companies identified there is customer demand for Irish origin in some key products which command a price premium (i.e. Strawberries & Tomatoes), but that gaining consistent supply was challenging. • They recognised that foodservice is often a second choice to supplying retail multiples, and that there were some large opportunities if growers were willing to work in partnership directly with companies. Foodservice companies are willing to commit to flat prices across the season which could enable longer term planning. • Utilising Foodservice as a ‘clearance of surplus’ will only yield low prices and inconsistent supply 257
Learning from Mushrooms • Industry experts thought that the wider horticulture industry could take learnings from the successful Mushroom Industry. • Adopting technology that facilitates cost effective production • Developing solutions for the UK and wider export markets as the Irish market is too small to justify large-scale investment for some sectors. 258
Increasing Producer Organisations • Industry experts consider there to be an opportunity for more producers to form Producer Organisations. Existing organisations are gaining significant value from sharing information and resources. • Examples include: • Sharing a full time technical resource between member companies • Negotiating contracts with retailers as a collective 259
Encouraging New Entrants • A chronic shortage of new entrants into horticulture is limiting growth and aspiration in the industry. • Succession planning is an issue for existing operators, as the next generation is not always adopting the farm operations. • Apprenticeships, training programs have a poor uptake and need stimulus. Those entering programs typically are already within the industry via parents’ businesses. • The industry needs to be more dynamic and attractive to younger entrants. 260
Fixing Staff Shortages • To significantly grow, the industry will require migrant workers as there are insufficient, willing, local workers • Next wave of migrant workers with correct work ethic who are willing, and incentivised to stay for an entire growing season. • Accommodation shortages a limiting factor, and growers need assistance to develop plans. • Brexit: 2021 immigration policies may act in Ireland’s favour with the UK policies likely to be tighter for unskilled migrant workers. 261
Embrace Incremental Gains • Product opportunities are likely to come from marginal gains across multiple product areas rather than totally new crops or solutions. • Extending the growing seasons, even marginally, could create significant opportunities. • Encouraging growers to take a ‘category view’ of their product area, identifying specific opportunities and planning The Chinn family have successfully extended the accordingly will yield growth. British Asparagus season with the use of poly tunnels 262
Maximising Protected Crops • Opens a wide range of possibilities. • Cost of production will likely be higher than abroad, so although there are opportunities, more premium lines are the likely focus • Utilising ‘waste heat’ can be a way to make production economical, but the heat requirements will be different for different types of crops. • Extending the season with early crops of Strawberries or Raspberries, or increased production of vine tomatoes are key opportunities. 263
Focus on Premium Crops • Irish produce is fairly well represented across different product types. • Future opportunities are likely to come from products where consumers perceive there to be added value in it being grown in Ireland: • Supporting jobs and the economy (circular economy) • More sustainable (improved growing techniques / organic) • Better quality (fresher, better taste or performance) • Innovative (flavours, appearance, varieties etc) • Benefit from being ‘fresher’ 264
Below-Cost Selling • Produce has become a ‘battle-ground’ among large retailers, with key product lines becoming highly commoditised. • There is a viewpoint from industry experts that this ‘below-cost’ selling practice should be banned as it is eroding the value of Irish grown produce. 265
Quantifying ‘Sustainability’ • There were suggestions that producers need to exploit Irish horticulture that is more sustainable than imported produce. • Communicating this to consumers on-pack could be a way of encouraging consumers to opt for more sustainable options. • Dunnes have employed a sustainability manager who is keen to work with suppliers to develop more sustainable solutions. 266
Anticipating the Organic Boom • Research suggested that consumers who have fuelled the rise in demand for plant-based foods will turn their attention to sustainability in the future. They are likely to want pesticide free foods as they opt for ‘cleaner’ and more sustainable products. While organic may be the simplest option for them, there is potential for a new ‘hybrid’ of unsprayed crops using integrated pest management (IPM). • Both Retailers and Foodservice companies expressed an interest in organics, recognising it is still relatively niche at present. Most retailers saw organic as a key growth area, with consistent double digit growth over 4 years. Comments included “We’re willing to consider anything organic”, However, also some caution “The organic price premium has been eroded, we’re keen to hear proposals on how varieties would command a premium. • There were suggestions that the support for new entrants via schemes such as freeing up farm land and encouraging organic conversion via the Organic Farming Scheme, new supplier programs and advisory support could stimulate organic production. Retailers do not think there is sufficient land available for Organics at present. 267
Bord Bia Quality Marks Retail Foodservice Amenity • It’s effective, but perhaps more • Don’t actively use it • Recognition has grown, but relevant on Meat than produce. (2) unless it’s on products it’s more relevant on food • They insist that suppliers use it. purchased. Would add products than plants. Carbon Would like to see more activity to complexity. (9) emissions more important, support its use in amenity • Their customers don’t could that be integrated in products, not just beef, lamb and ask for it, but it gives some way? (6) eggs. (1) peace of mind when • Consumers know the mark, • Activity needs to be more sourcing suppliers. but using a supplier brand is coordinated, i.e. promote produce preferable. The farm story is at the right time of year when it’s in more important. (5) season. (3) 1 – Aldi, 2 – Musgraves, 3 – Dunnes, 4 – Beechlawn, 5 – Glanbia, 6 – Aurivo, 7 – Pallas, 9 – Milnes, 10 – Richardsons. 268
Opportunities – Indicative Timescales 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Potatoes Queen / Baby Vegetables – Field R Onion / Cauli / Broc / Organics Cabbage / Beans / Asparagus Vegetables – Garlic Tomatoes / Cucumbers / Peppers Protected (Poly) (Glass) Fruit – Field Cherries Apples / (Poly) Pears Fruit – Protected Strawb / Rasp / Blueberries Organic Strawb / Rasp Apples / / Blueberries Pears Amenity Cut Flowers 269
Thank you for Listening 270
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