Are 15-year-olds prepared to deal with fake news and misinformation? - #113 - APO
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#113 Are 15-year-olds prepared to deal with fake news and i n F o c u s misinformation? Programme for International Student Assessment
Are 15-year-olds prepared to deal with fake news and misinformation? • An average of 54% of students in OECD countries reported being trained at school on how to recognise whether information is biased or not. Among OECD countries, more than 70% of students reported receiving this training in Australia, Canada, Denmark, and the United States. However, less than 45% of students reported received this training in Israel, Latvia, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, and Switzerland. • Students from advantaged socio-economic backgrounds in all participating countries and economies in PISA 2018 scored higher in the index of knowledge of reading strategies for assessing the credibility of sources than students from disadvantaged socio-economic backgrounds. • Education systems with a higher proportion of students who were taught whether information is subjective or biased were more likely to distinguish fact from opinion in the PISA reading assessment even after accounting for country per capita GDP or reading performance. Digital technologies have changed how people PISA 2018 asked students whether during their interact with information. PISA data shows that entire school experience they were taught a) how 15-year-olds increasingly read online to fulfil to use keywords when using a search engine such information needs (e.g. online news versus as , , etc, b) how to decide newspapers). At the same time, technological whether to trust information from the Internet, changes in the digitalisation of communication c) how to compare different web pages and continue to reshape people’s habits (e.g. chats decide what information is more relevant for their online versus emails). Fifteen-year-olds’ total schoolwork, d) to understand the consequences of online consumption has risen from 21 hours making information publicly available online, e) how a week in PISA 2012 to 35 hours per week in to use the short description below the links in the PISA 2018 – almost the equivalent of an average list of results of a search, f) how to detect whether adult workweek in OECD countries. The massive information is subjective or biased, and g) how to information flow that characterises the digital detect phishing or spam emails. era demands that readers be able to distinguish between fact and opinion, and learn strategies to The most common digital skill taught at school on detect biased information and malicious content average across OECD countries is understanding such as phishing emails or fake news. Academic the consequences of making information publicly research is inconclusive about the prevalence and available online (Figure 1). The least common importance of misinformation and fake news1. skill was how to detect phishing or spam emails Yet,the consequences of being poorly informed have (76% and 41% of students in OECD countries been largely documented. It can lead to political reported being taught this during their entire school polarisation, decreased trust in public institutions experience). There are also considerable differences and undermined democracy. across and within countries. An average of 54% of students in OECD countries reported being trained Students’ use of the Internet at school on how to recognise whether information continues to increase while the is biased or not. Among OECD countries, more than 70% of students reported receiving this opportunity to learn digital skills in training in Australia, Canada, Denmark, and the school is far from universal. United States. However, less than 45% of students 2 © OECD 2021 PISA in Focus 2021/113 (May)
reported received this training in Israel, Latvia, OECD countries was 8 percentage points in favour the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, and Switzerland. of advantaged students. In Belgium, Denmark, The percentage difference in students who were Germany, Luxembourg, Sweden, the United taught how to detect biased information between Kingdom and the United States, this difference is students from socio-economic advantaged around 14 percentage points or higher. and disadvantaged backgrounds2 across Figure 1: Frequency of opportunity to learn digital literacy skills at school Students reported that during their entire school experience were taught the following, OECD average % Top country/economy OECD average Bottom country/economy 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 How to detect How to use the How to detect How to use How to compare How to decide To understand phishing or short description whether the keywords when different web whether to trust the spam emails below the links information is using a search pages and information consequences of in the list of subjective or engine such as decide what from the making results of a biased , information is Internet information search , etc. more relevant publicly available for your online on schoolwork , , etc. Items are ranked in ascending order of the percentage of students within OECD average. Source: OECD, PISA 2018 Database, Table B.2.6. PISA 2018 also included several scenario-based across all participating countries and economies tasks where students were asked to rate how useful in PISA 2018. Among OECD countries, students different strategies were to solve a particular reading in Chile, Colombia, Hungary, Korea, Mexico, and situation. One of these scenarios asked students Turkey had the lowest scores in this index (lower to click on the link of an email from a well-known than -0.20 points). mobile operator and fill out a form with their data to win a smartphone, also known as phishing Students from advantaged socio-economic emails. Approximately 40% of students on average backgrounds in all participating countries and across OECD countries responded that clicking economies in PISA 2018 scored higher in the on the link was somewhat appropriate or very index of knowledge of reading strategies for appropriate. Students in Denmark, Germany, Ireland, assessing the credibility of sources than students Japan, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom from disadvantaged socio-economic backgrounds scored the highest in the index of knowledge of (Figure 2). Students in Germany, Luxembourg, reading strategies for assessing the credibility Portugal, Switzerland and the United States, in of sources3 (higher than 0.20 points) across all particular, reported the largest socio-economic gap participating countries and economies in PISA 2018. (0.65 points or higher) in this index of knowledge In contrast, students in Baku (Azerbaijan), Indonesia, of strategies for assessing the credibility of sources Kazakhstan, the Philippines, and Thailand had the across all participating countries and economies in lowest scores in this index (lower than -0.65 points) PISA 2018. In contrast, Albania, Baku (Azerbaijan), Kazakhstan, and Macao (China) reported the © OECD 2021 PISA in Focus 2021/113 (May) 3
smallest socio-economic gap (lower than 0.15 indirect result of disparities in socio-economically points). Among OECD countries, Canada, Estonia, advantaged and disadvantaged students’ Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Korea, Latvia, and Lithuania knowledge of effective reading strategies. Empirical reported the smallest socio-economic gap (lower studies have shown that classroom interventions than 0.35 points). Most importantly, PISA 2018 aimed at developing students’ assessment of data shows that, on average across OECD information reliability are effective in improving countries, about one-third (32%4) of the difference in students’ critical thinking when comprehending reading performance between socio-economically multiple documents. advantaged and disadvantaged students is the Figure 2: Students’ knowledge of reading strategies for assessing the credibility of sources, by socio-economic status All students Socio-economically disadvantaged students¹ Socio-economically advantaged students United Kingdom Viet Nam Japan Saudi Arabia Germany Croatia Netherlands Malta Denmark Iceland Ireland Israel Finland Slovak Republic Singapore Turkey Austria Jordan Australia Qatar New Zealand United Arab Emirates Greece Brunei Darussalam France Costa Rica Sweden Uruguay Estonia Hungary B-S-J-Z (China) Colombia Switzerland Korea Ukraine Serbia Belgium Chinese Taipei Latvia Chile Portugal Brazil Canada Panama United States Mexico Spain Morocco OECD average Peru Czech Republic Malaysia Slovenia Montenegro Norway Bosnia and Herzegovina Poland Georgia Italy Bulgaria Lithuania Dominican Republic Argentina Kosovo Luxembourg Albania Russia Kazakhstan Moldova Philippines Macao (China) Baku (Azerbaijan) Belarus Thailand Romania Indonesia Hong Kong (China) -1.00 -0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 -1.00 -0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 Mean index 1. The socio-economic profile is measured by the PISA index of economic, social and cultural status (ESCS). A socio-economically disadvantaged (advantaged) student is a student in the bottom (top) quarter of the ESCS in the relevant country/economy. Note: All differences between socio-economically advantaged and disadvantaged students are statistically significant. Countries and economies are ranked in descending order of the mean index of all students’ knowledge of reading strategies for assessing the credibility of sources. Source: OECD, PISA 2018 Database, Tables B.5.11 and B.5.12c 4 © OECD 2021 PISA in Focus 2021/113 (May)
Education systems with a higher PISA 2018 data show that the opportunity students had to learn how to detect whether information proportion of students taught was subjective or biased in school is strongly how to detect biased information associated with the estimated percentage correct7 in school were more likely to in the item that focuses on distinguishing facts from distinguish fact from opinion in the opinions in the PISA reading assessment (R2=0.46) PISA reading assessment. in OECD countries (Figure 3). This relationship is still observed even after accounting for per capita The PISA 2018 reading assessment included one GDP or reading performance8. This association item-unit (i.e. Rapa Nui Question 3) that tested is weaker among all participating countries and whether students can distinguish between facts economies in PISA 2018 (R2=0.15)9. In conclusion, and opinions. This question is a typical Level 5 when the education system provides students with task5. In this item, students must classify five in-school opportunities to learn how to detect biased separate statements taken from a review of a information, it is this rather than overall reading book, Collapse, as either “fact” or “opinion”. Only performance or GDP per capita that is driving a students who classified all five statements correctly strong association with the estimated percentage were given full credit; partial credit was given to correct in the item on distinguishing fact from students who classified four out of five statements opinion. These results do not mean that opinions correctly (this corresponds to Level 3 proficiency6). are not important for contextualising information, The most difficult statement in this list is the first especially when the facts in question require some statement (“In the book, the author describes explanation. Rather, the results imply that being able several civilisations that collapsed because of to distinguish fact from opinion, assess the credibility the choices they made and their impact on the of information sources, and learn strategies to detect environment”). It presents a fact (what the book is biased or false information are necessary skills for about) but some students, particularly those whose reading in a digital world. Ultimately, the ability to proficiency is below Level 5, may have misclassified distinguish good from bad information is important this as “opinion” based on the embedded clause, to preserving democratic values. which summarises the book author’s theory (the civilisations “collapsed because of the choices they made and their impact on the environment”). © OECD 2021 PISA in Focus 2021/113 (May) 5
Figure 3: Reading item of distinguishing facts from opinions and access to training on how to detect biased information in school % 80 Above-average item performance and Above-average item performance and below-average opportunity to learn above-average opportunity to learn Percentage correct in the capacity to distinguish facts from opinions United States Turkey United Kingdom Netherlands New Zealand Canada 60 Ireland Australia Estonia Belgium Denmark Israel Germany (Equated P+, Rapa Nui Question 3) Sweden OECD countries Chile Portugal Japan R² = 0.46 Slovenia Poland Austria Finland Hungary OECD average: 47% Switzerland Spain¹ Italy 40 Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Mexico Norway Greece France Slovak Republic Czech Republic Colombia Korea 20 OECD average: 54% Below-average item performance and Below-average item performance and below-average opportunity to learn above-average opportunity to learn 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 % Percentage of students who were taught how to detect whether the information is subjective or biased 1. In 2018, some regions in Spain conducted their high-stakes exams for tenth-grade students earlier in the year than in the past, which resulted in the testing period for these exams coinciding with the end of the PISA testing window. Because of this overlap, a number of students were negatively disposed towards the PISA test and did not try their best to demonstrate their proficiency. Although the data of only a minority of students show clear signs of lack of engagement (see PISA 2018 Results Volume I, Annex A9), the comparability of PISA 2018 data for Spain with those from earlier PISA assessments cannot be fully ensured. Source: OECD, PISA 2018 Database, Table B.2.8. The bottom line Preserving democratic values and reinforcing trust in public institutions relies on having well-informed citizens. Students must develop autonomous and advanced reading skills that include the ability to navigate ambiguity, and triangulate and validate viewpoints. Students’ training in distinguishing between fact and opinion, and detecting biased information and malicious content such as phishing emails greatly varies between countries and students’ socio-economic profiles. Schools can foster proficient readers in a digital world by closing these gaps and teaching students basic digital literacy. 6 © OECD 2021 PISA in Focus 2021/113 (May)
Notes 1. Social platforms representing a big chunk of online media consumption are particularly vulnerable to the spread of online misinformation and fake news (Pennycook and Rand, 2019). Social media algorithms are designed to channel the flow of like‑minded people towards each other. This creates “echo chambers” reinforcing our thoughts and opinions rather than challenging them, fuelling people’s confirmation bias. Moreover, fake news reaches more people than the truth (Vosoughi, Roy and Aral, 2018).On the other hand, a recent study in the United States shows that TV news dominates online in a ratio of 5:1 and estimates fake news to be about 1% of overall news consumption (Allen et al., 2020). Another study in the United Kingdom shows that people interested in politics and those with diverse media diets tend to avoid echo chambers (Dubois and Blank, 2018). This study claims that a small segment of the population is likely to find themselves in an echo chamber. In fact, these studies argue that it is more likely to find people choosing not to be informed than people being deceived. 2. The socio-economic profile is measured by the PISA index of economic, social and cultural status (ESCS). A socio-economically disadvantaged (advantaged) student is a student in the bottom (top) quarter of the ESCS in the relevant country/economy. 3. Students’ responses about the usefulness of different reading strategies were rated by reading experts to create the index of knowledge of reading strategies for assessing the credibility of sources (see Chapter 16, PISA 2018 Technical Report). 4. This value is calculated as 1 minus the result of dividing the ESCS coefficient after accounting for the indirect effect of knowledge of reading strategies by the ESCS coefficient for the total effect and then multiplying by 100 (see Figure 5.12, 21st‑Century Readers: Developing literacy skills in a digital world). 5. Reading proficiency Level 5 is one of the highest and corresponds to students who scored from 625.61 to less than 698.32 score points. For further details on the reading proficiency levels, please see PISA 2018 Report: Volume I. 6. Reading proficiency Level 3 corresponds to students who scored from 480.18 to less than 552.89 score point. For further details on the reading proficiency levels, please see PISA 2018 Report: Volume I. 7. Rapa Nui Question 3 is a partial credit item where non-credit is scored 0, partial credit is scored 0.5, and full credit is scored 1. Therefore, the estimated percentage correct for full credit in this item is lower than 47% on average across OECD countries. This item was estimated to be 39% correct on average across all PISA 2018 participating countries and economies. Rapa Nui Question 3 is a Level 5 item. This means that students need to have a proficiency level 5 to have a 62% probability of getting full credit in this item (see Figure I.2.1, PISA 2018 Results: Volume I). 8. The partial correlation after accounting for per capita GDP was 0.66 among OECD countries.The partial correlation after accounting for reading performance was 0.60 among OECD countries. The partial correlation is calculated using the percentage of students who reported learning in school how to detect whether information is subjective or biased (Table B.2.6, 21st‑Century Readers: Developing literacy skills in a digital world) and the percentage correct in the reading assessment items to assess the capacity to distinguish facts from opinions (Table B.2.6, 21st‑Century Readers: Developing literacy skills in a digital world), after accounting for per capita GDP (see Table B3.1.4, PISA 2018 Results: Volume I) and average reading performance (Table B.2.1a). 9. Countries that administered the paper-based form had no available data to perform this analysis: Argentina, Jordan, Lebanon, the Republic of Moldova, the Republic of North Macedonia, Romania, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine and Viet Nam. © OECD 2021 PISA in Focus 2021/113 (May) 7
For more information Contact: Javier Suarez-Alvarez (Javier.SUAREZ-ALVAREZ@oecd.org) This paper is published under the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and the arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of OECD member countries. This document, as well as any data and map included herein, are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law. This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 IGO (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO). For specific information regarding the scope and terms of the licence as well as possible commercial use of this work or the use of PISA data please consult Terms and Conditions on www.oecd.org.
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