African Digitalization Maturity Report 2017 - Digital Asset ...
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Disclaimer INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) Disclaimer Foreword Introduction Research Methodology This document is based on statistical research and contains prognoses and personal views. The statements made in this Country Analysis document furthermore are of a general nature and not intended as a guideline for business decisions. Industry Analysis Siemens neither assumes responsibility for the correctness or completeness of the statements made in this document, nor any Industry Analysis: Manufacturing liability for loss or damage suffered in reliance on any of the statements made in this document. Industry Analysis: Energy Industry Analysis: Transport Key insights and recommendations Conclusion Glossary of terms References
Foreword Driving African development through smarter technology The world has never been so closely linked customer offerings is to be expected. a broader energy mix is the distribution of – or as digital – as it is today. Digitalization While we are seeing growing adoption of populations across African countries. The has found a home in everything from advanced analytics within certain industry cost of transmission to customers is excessive INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) personal devices to complex industrial sectors, such as the automotive sector, the real and there is therefore a bias to decentralized systems. Our world is taking on a digital opportunity lies in sectors where it has not yet distributed power. Disclaimer dimension wherever you look. been explored. In the transport industry, digitalization can Foreword But what does this digital world look like Manufacturing, while the most mature in facilitate the moving of people and goods from in the African context? Is it on the same its transformation and adoption of digital an efficiency, customer experience and safety Introduction trajectory as developed economies? Is it right technologies in Africa, remains a marginal perspective. Never before has technology to assume it is playing catch-up or is there an player struggling to make a bigger impact on complemented transport so eloquently. Research Methodology opportunity for digitalization on the continent country GDPs. The question governments Data, and the ability to interpret it is as much to create its own route to developing new and need to ask themselves is how they align a a part of the transport ecosystem as roads transformative technologies that ultimately ‘here-and-now’ emphasis on job creation with and rails. Digitalization has the potential to Country Analysis increase the competitiveness of Africa’s the necessary focus on digitalization. This turn predictive maintenance into real-time economies? will enable Africa to create a niche within the monitoring and allow transport operators Industry Analysis global economy. If we fail to pro-actively select across the continent to deliver services If Africa is to compete in the digital our place within the global manufacturing efficiently and safely. Industry Analysis: Manufacturing age, we need to shift our traditional industry we run the risk of continuing on this thinking. Competing against each other path of non-industrialization. For Siemens, digitalization is much more than Industry Analysis: Energy is counter-productive. The collaboration a business field; it is a growth driver. With between government, business (local and In the energy industry, a stable supply of our broad range of offerings across energy, Industry Analysis: Transport international), labor and academia has the electricity is critical for digitalization to flourish. manufacturing and transportation, we’re ability to change mindsets, implement policy By providing high levels of infrastructure and ideally equipped for the era of digitalization. and create an environment for knowledge power supply Africa will be able to attract the We have much to offer Africa. Key insights and recommendations Sabine Dall’Omo sharing and execution. necessary investment across various industry sectors. Diversification of energy is critical. It is against this backdrop that Siemens has Conclusion Siemens CEO, Southern and With these shifts it is possible and highly likely collaborated with an external service provider Eastern Africa that digitalization will happen quite rapidly Based on the report’s findings, the to conduct a Digitalization Maturity Report Glossary of terms in Africa, and bring about developmental understanding of energy diversification in Africa. The findings from the study are changes on the continent. One need only look across the continent is not very high. In some just a starting point. We hope it will begin a References at the impact of cellphone technology and countries, paraffin lamps are considered as dialogue and provide a frame to some of the smart phones in Africa to see how innovation alternative energy sources indicating the unique opportunities that exist. We hope you can leapfrog older technologies at an almost level of gaps in infrastructure which exist. enjoy reading through the findings and look breathtaking speed. However, to a greater extent, countries are forward to sharing further insights related to beginning to realize they can no longer rely on specific countries and industries. Varied levels of maturity across industries and one primary source of energy. This thinking markets and the extent of cultural innovation, is opening up opportunities for a diversified adoption of digital operations as well as digital energy ecosystem. Also driving the need for
Introduction Digitalization refers to leveraging digital business models, are integrating their digital technology and insights from data for concrete strategy with the organization’s overall strategy1. customer benefits. Organizations in Africa are digitalizing, although In today’s ever-changing business world, competitors the level of digital maturity is not the same in INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) are no longer the traditional large organizations. all countries. The purpose of this report is to They are agile organizations and entrepreneurs that understand the relative degree to which digital is Disclaimer are embracing new and exponential technologies to present within organizations in Africa and assess compete and disrupt markets through digitalization. maturity across different industries (manufacturing, Foreword Large, established organizations need to create energy and transport) and countries (Ethiopia, a business construct and culture that is quick to Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa). Introduction recognize these challenges; to adapt, innovate and compete successfully in an ever-accelerating Ultimately, the question we asked was: “What is Research Methodology business environment. the state of digital maturity in Africa?” The research methodology used has been tailored to assess Mass market disruption was considered fringe digitalization-relevant macro-economic, micro- Country Analysis science for a long time. However, disruptive economic and industry-specific indicators for Africa. technologies and business models have become Industry Analysis a common discussion around the boardroom There is an opportunity for developing nations table. These technologies need to be enabled to understand how digitalization can assist in Industry Analysis: Manufacturing by strategically aligning the development of solving challenges which are often unique to the digital capabilities of the organization’s people, continent. The findings from this report can be used Industry Analysis: Energy culture, activities and structure to fundamentally by industry professionals, and government-owned dematerialize traditional concepts of products, entities operating within industry, to understand Industry Analysis: Transport services and knowledge. Digitally advanced considerations when approaching digitalization in organizations, where digital technology has Africa transformed processes, talent engagement, and Key insights and recommendations Conclusion Glossary of terms References
Research Methodology 5 Macro- Economic Infrastructure Indicators INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) 9 7 10 Disclaimer Environment Digital Literacy Manufacturing Foreword 4 10 Micro- Economic Digital Transport Introduction Economic Industry Indicators Maturity Indicators (Road & Rail) 4 4 Products 8 Research Methodology Culture of & customer Energy innovation engagement KEY: Country Analysis 4 Country Specific Core Organization specific Industry Analysis operations Industry specific Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Number of Digital indicators # Industry Analysis: Energy Figure 2: Research methodology overview Industry Analysis: Transport Digital Maturity Assessment (DMA) Approach The research conducted combined both primary and C-suite, engineering and technical roles across the Key insights and recommendations secondary methods within Africa. The primary research manufacturing, energy and transport industries. Limited tool was made up of an assessment that included responses from the other African countries were received Conclusion questions to understand organization and industry- and were discounted from the findings. Qualitative specific digital indicators. The assessment was sent interviews were conducted with industry representatives Glossary of terms to existing and potential Siemens’ customers across from Siemens and an external service provider across South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya and Ethiopia. The method South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya and Ethiopia. The purpose References of contact included both email and SMS with the was to validate research findings and gather insight into assessment being accessible for completion on PCs or the relative potential state of digital maturity in Africa. mobile devices. Respondents’ and interviewee’s inputs and insights were 105 responses were received from South African kept confidential and as such stakeholders have not been organizations with respondents being in ownership, cited nor directly referenced in this report. Continue
Research Methodology Country Analysis To assess the readiness of South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya and Ethiopia and publications produced by the following international to capitalize on digitalization, we created a macro-economic digital organizations and firms: maturity assessment (DMA) comprising of 26 individual indicators INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) International Monetary Fund (IMF) grouped into four pillars: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 Disclaimer 1 Economic Maturity: size, growth and sophistication of the economy. World Economic Forum (WEF) Global Information Technology Report, 2016 Foreword 2 Environment: the extent to which the business, legal and regulatory environment is conducive to digitalization. United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Human Development Index, 2015 Introduction 3 Infrastructure: the extent of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) infrastructure that is currently in place for GSMA Mobile Intelligence, various publications Research Methodology connectivity as well the affordability and use thereof. World Bank, Doing Business Survey 2016 4 Skills and Digital Literacy: the extent and quality of a Facebook penetration rate Country Analysis country’s human resources and current use of digital ITU, various publications technology and platforms. Alliance for Affordable Internet (A4AI) Industry Analysis Data for the individual indicators were sourced from surveys Harvard Atlas of Economic Complexity, 2014 The computation of the overall DMA score is based on the following formula: Macro-economic DMA = Average Industry Analysis: Manufacturing (Economic Maturity + Environment + Infrastructure + Skills & Digital Literacy) Industry Analysis: Energy Industry Analysis The industry-specific analysis looked at digital capabilities 3 Established: countries/organizations have reliable digital Industry Analysis: Transport which contribute towards digitalization of the industry across adoption but with room for important advances in some a micro-economic and industry-specific perspectives. Levels of areas. Where quantified, agreement or strong agreement Key insights and recommendations digitalization were classified into four maturity levels: to indicators were found to be between 65 and 90 percent. 4 Advanced: countries/organizations were categorized as Conclusion 1 Emerging: countries/organizations are facing critical having very high-levels of digital maturity and adoption. challenges in pursuing digital transformation in basic Where quantified, Agreement or Strong Agreement to Glossary of terms aspects. Where quantified, agreement or strong agreement indicators were found to be >90 percent. to indicators were found to be
Research Methodology Industry Analysis continued digitalization objectives. Performance frameworks, and In this state of maturity, organizations create a culture setting of associated personal and business objectives that of innovation according to a defined digital vision across take into account both linear/analogue/legacy and new digital INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) executive leadership. The vision includes direction and elements of the organization, are defined and supported by clarity about the position the organization seeks within the activities related to the training and increasing of awareness Disclaimer digital ecosystem (e.g. platform, provider, retailer, etc.). needed to deliver in a digitalized environment. Furthermore, buy-in and oversight from executives for Foreword developing a leading digital business is present and includes Agile and proactive development of new and existing products visible commitment, linkage to overall corporate objectives with a focus on innovation is found. In Advanced maturity Introduction and executive metrics linked to digital initiatives. organizations, these product approaches are taken in relation to customer or consumer billing and account management to Research Methodology Once executive leadership is aligned, there is a transition to ensure a well-coordinated product and service strategy. These digitalization that is supported by a strategic approach and strategies are in turn supported by coherent and consistent roadmap that balances transitioning from the legacy business approaches to process and workflow, across the core value Country Analysis to the digital business. These advanced organizations typically chain, in order to support the creation and distribution of engage with outside entities to shape standards and practices both legacy and new products. Inclusion of digital strategy in Industry Analysis to support the business’s product and market objectives. The overall technology and infrastructure planning and decision organization has robust financial budgeting and support and making is also paramount. Underpinning the process, is Industry Analysis: Manufacturing prioritizes digitalization business cases as they emerge. a technology architecture that considers both digital and physical strategy architecting for agile, extensible and open Industry Analysis: Energy The organization’s business model is defined and matches technology environments. Architectures are designed to product offerings coordinated across digital and physical evolve as required by the organization including rapid scaling Industry Analysis: Transport platforms, to avoid cannibalization. There is often a strategy in support of new business models, products and platforms. for pricing digital offerings across channels and/or platforms, taking existing, new, and future offerings as well as routes to Finally, Advanced maturity organizations within the energy, Key insights and recommendations market into account. The business model strategically targets transport and manufacturing industries have industry-unique customer segments and includes cross-segment marketing characteristics. Assessment of digital maturity was based on Conclusion campaigns with separate but coordinated physical and understanding the extent of individual and combined states digital segmentation approaches. Business model evolution of Electrification, Automation and Digitalization per industry. Glossary of terms is supported by analysis of customer and consumer data and This concept to approach digitalization is used by Siemens and behavior to identify and realize revenue, margin or other practically allows organizations to progress their maturity. References brand-value opportunities across all customer engagement platforms. As an example, digitalization of the manufacturing industry has progressed through different levels of industrialization. Employees in Advanced state organizations are a key Once production is electrified and automated, digitalization ingredient to their success. These organizations are able to can be achieved by connecting machinery in a ‘smart’ way and proactively evaluate, determine, acquire, retain and reward allowing software to intelligently improve productivity, speed the roles and responsibilities required in order to meet and flexibility of production.
Country Analysis Much has been said, in recent years, about the influence related and knowledge-intensive activity takes place of information and communication technology, or ICT, which in turn, drives the demand and uptake of digital on economic growth and social development. The World technology. Economic Forum Global Information Technology Report2 suggests that the global economy is entering a fourth The second pillar, Environment, is a measure of the INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) industrial revolution, driven by exponential growth in extent to which the country has a business, legal and the adoption of digital technology and unprecedented regulatory environment that supports and protects Disclaimer increases in access to knowledge and innovation in data the development of digital business. Here we have processing and storage capabilities. included indicators such as the overall ease of doing Foreword business, ability to enforce contracts, the presence Countries that embrace new technological developments and enforcement of ICT-related laws, the protection Introduction and deal with risks strategically are more likely to prosper of intellectual property and evidence of ICT-related and achieve inclusive growth. However, those who do innovation and start-up activities. Research Methodology not foster an environment in which digital technologies can flourish are likely to fall behind. They run the risk The third pillar, Infrastructure, assesses the extent to of facing increasing inequality and greater chances of which the country has invested in the ICT infrastructure Country Analysis economic divisions. that is required to support the digital economy. Here we have included indicators on access to and use of Industry Analysis The aim of this chapter is to assess the ability of selected infrastructure, as well as affordability. Indicators include sub-Saharan economies to capitalize on digitalization access to international bandwidth, mobile-network Industry Analysis: Manufacturing given the prevailing macro-economic and business coverage, internet and mobile-phone penetration, the environment. The countries that have been included are costs of broadband and mobile-phone access. Industry Analysis: Energy the largest economies in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) viz. Nigeria, South Africa and two East African economies The fourth pillar, Skills and Digital Literacy, reflects the Industry Analysis: Transport (Kenya and Ethiopia, which were identified as countries human capital endowment of a country. The rationale for that had recently made great strides in ICT adoption). including this pillar is that digital technologies flourish in knowledge-based economies which also typically boast Key insights and recommendations Composition of the Macro-economic Review higher levels of educational attainment and provide better quality education. The current use of common Conclusion The first pillar, Economic Maturity, is an assessment of digital platforms such as social media also provide an the size, growth and sophistication of the economy. indication of how ‘digitally literate’ the population is. Glossary of terms The rationale for the inclusion of this pillar is that digital technologies are likely to be more rapidly adopted in The computation of the overall DMA score is based on References larger and faster growing economies that boast an normalized scores of individual indicators. established or growing middle class (proxied roughly as GDP per capita). This is done by taking an average across the respective categories. Categories are aggregated into the four sub- In addition, the more sophisticated the economy indices which are then averaged to produce the overall the more likely it is that a diverse range of services- DMA score. Continue
Country Analysis Where possible, the country scores per indicators Global benchmark depending on the indicator. Equal have been normalized relative to the minimum and weighting has been assumed on all indicators within maximum score for the full assessment sample, a category, and all categories within a sub-category. which varies between a group of between 14 African countries (e.g. for GSMA indicators3), or The only exceptions are the scores for GDP and 185 international countries (e.g. World Bank Doing GDP per capita. These were multiplied by 10 to give INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) Business Survey4). them a reasonable weight in the Economic Maturity Disclaimer pillar score, as all four countries were very distant The normalized score out of 100 therefore from the Global benchmark in terms of size of the represents the distances from either the African or economy and per capita income. Foreword Introduction Pillar Sub-category Indicator Economic maturity Size and growth GDP, current prices, $US billions. Research Methodology Forecast GDP growth rate (2017 to 2012). Complexity Economc complexity index. Country Analysis Environment Digital protection Laws relating to ICTs. To what extend does the regulator Industry Analysis and/or competitions commission enforce the country’s ICT licencing requirements and regulations? Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Business and Intellectual property protection. Judicial independance. regulatory environment Overall ease of doing business. Number of procedures to enforce a contract. Number od days to enforce a Industry Analysis: Energy contract. Number od active tech hubs. Tech start-up funding landscape ($US million). Industry Analysis: Transport Infrastructure Access and use International internet bandwiths bit/s per internet user. Unique mobile subscribers, % population. Key insights and recommendations Mobile Netwotk coverage, % population. 3G network coverage. Percentage of households with internet. Conclusion ICT affordability WEF NRI ICT affordability score. (prices for mobile, broadband and competition). Glossary of terms Skills and Digital Literacy Digital training Internet access in schools. Digital tools usage Use of IP messaging. Facebook penetration rate. References Skills Secondary and Tersiary education gross enrolement rate. Population with some secondary education. Primary school teachers trained to teach. Table 1: Summary of the macro-economic assessment indicators Continue
Country Analysis Overall results A summary of the overall DMA scores by country, and South Africa emerges as the country with the highest scores for each of the four pillars and sub-categories is potential to realize digital maturity followed by Kenya, provided in Chart 1. Nigeria and Ethiopia. INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) Disclaimer 100 90 Foreword 80 82 70 Introduction 60 60 50 55 53 49 Research Methodology 40 43 46 44 30 33 33 38 Country Analysis 20 26 27 35 18 20 10 0 Industry Analysis Economic Matirity Environment Infrastructure Skills & Digital Literacy Ethiopia Kenya Nigeria South Africa Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Chart 1: Overall DMA Results Results from the above chart are discussed in greater detail under each pillar. Industry Analysis: Energy Economic Maturity pillar 100 Industry Analysis: Transport 90 The Economic Maturity pillar takes the size, 80 36 Key insights and recommendations growth and complexity of the economies 70 into account. Overall, South Africa ranks 60 29 Conclusion number one, followed by Kenya, Ethiopia 50 30 51 and finally, Nigeria (Chart 2). 40 30 37 31 Glossary of terms There are three components to the size and 20 22 growth indicator - GDP (current prices, US$ 10 References billions), expected GDP growth between 0 4 Ethiopia Kenia Nigeria South Africa 2017 and 2021, and finally, GDP per capita (current prices, US$). Economic Complexity Size and Growth Chart 2: Overall economic maturity pillar results Continue
Country Analysis Forecast GPD growth (2014 to 2017) 100 90 80 70 $686.59 , 7.4 INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) 60 $1 434.36 , 6.4 50 Disclaimer 40 Foreword 30 $2 763.14 , 2.5 20 10 Introduction $5 726.88 , 1.8 0 Research Methodology $1 000.000 $2 000.00 $3 000.00 $4 000.00 $5 000.00 $6 000.00 $7 000.00 GDP per Capita $US/anum Country Analysis Ethiopia (GDP $62B) Kenya (GDP $63B) Nigeria (GDP $494B) South Africa (GDP $315B) Chart 3: Three components (GDP, GDP growth and GDP per Capita) of the Economic Size and Growth indicators Industry Analysis The relative performance of the four countries in terms worldwide. On this basis it clarifies why a sizeable economy Industry Analysis: Manufacturing of these three measures is summarized in Chart 3. While like Nigeria would be lagging. Unlike South Africa, Kenya Nigeria has a larger economy than South Africa and is and Ethiopia, Nigeria has a relatively undiversified trade Industry Analysis: Energy forecast to grow at a slightly faster rate over the next five profile. It is currently experiencing several policy challenges years, it has a much lower per capita income so comes in diversifying the economy beyond oil. Industry Analysis: Transport second to South Africa. The Ethiopian economy is roughly the same size as the Kenyan economy but scores slightly McKinsey & Company6 report that Nigeria’s economy, like Key insights and recommendations higher as it is expected to achieve faster average annual real South Africa, is highly reliant on imported technology. GDP growth (7.2% over the next five years). However, as part of government’s support for local content, Conclusion Nigeria is expanding into hardware manufacturing and The economic complexity indicator provides an indication software development. Nigeria manufactures laptops, and of the sophistication and diversity of economic activity in is looking to expand into affordable mobile phones for the Glossary of terms a country and is taken from the Harvard Atlas of Economic domestic and regional market. Complexity5. On economic complexity Kenya is strides ahead References of both Ethiopia and Nigeria. The Harvard Atlas on Economic Kenya is the largest economy in East Africa. It acts as a Complexity measures how a country’s total trade dynamics port of entry for goods destined for most East and Central (imports, exports, growth and emerging industries, etc.) African countries6. Despite this it too faces high levels change over time. The atlas further explores a country’s of unemployment and inequality. Due to it being a hub potential for trade growth over the next five to ten years, for trade in the region, it carries a higher ranking than a and measures this against more than 100 countries country like Ethiopia, which is land-locked and therefore Continue
Country Analysis dependent on neighboring countries to support trade. significant demographic dividend, means that opportunities Ethiopia’s geographic position on the continent means that exist for these countries to grow exponentially. Much of it is highly reliant on Kenya to facilitate its trade. Eritrea, this, however, is highly dependent on developing and Djibouti and Somalia are in conflict (and in most instances implementing the right polices, legislation, and institutions under sanction), and extremely under-developed in terms to take advantage of this potential. These aspects, when INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) of industry and trade. It is unclear whether Kenya’s score grouped with the ICT ‘revolution’, mean that countries like in the atlas has been adjusted for the trade that would be Kenya, Ethiopia, Nigeria and South Africa, have the opening Disclaimer in-transit to Ethiopia. The 2016 African Economic Outlook7 to leapfrog economic development and compete with more states that over the next three to five years, economies developed economies across the globe. Of course, bear in Foreword on the continent are expected to continue to strengthen mind that there are several context-specific indicators that their business environments, and expand regional markets work together to create favorable outcomes. Findings in this Introduction to benefit from increased intra-regional trade, economies report should not be taken outside of consideration of these of scale and lower transaction costs. This, along with a indicators. Research Methodology Environment pillar Country Analysis 100 90 Industry Analysis 80 70 Industry Analysis: Manufacturing 60 67 53 53 58 50 Industry Analysis: Energy 50 40 42 30 30 Industry Analysis: Transport Environment 20 pillar 23 10 Key insights and recommendations 0 Digital Protection Business and Regulatory Environment Ethiopia Kenya Nigeria South Africa Conclusion Chart 4: Overall results for the environmental pillar Glossary of terms Environment in this instance refers to the kind of regulation that simply by the nature of their lower income status, and that exists to enable a prosperous ICT sector, as well as sometimes poor human development indicators, countries References the ease of doing business in the country. Investors need like Nigeria, Ethiopia, Kenya and South Africa do not offer an environment that allows them to engage in business the best returns for investors and entrepreneurs. Chart activities with a tolerable amount of risk and favorable 4 indicates the rankings of the four countries for digital return. Ideally, there should be stable institutions, low protection and the business and regulatory environment. transaction costs and a flexible regulatory environment that Digital protection combines indicators for (i) laws relating lends itself to opportunities for foreign direct investment to ICTs, (ii) the extent to which regulator or competition and social entrepreneurship. Anecdotally, it is often believed commission enforces the ICT licensing requirements Continue
Country Analysis and regulations in the country, and (iii) intellectual property telecoms, retailers, etc.) have stepped in to fill the gap. As a protection. result, many services such as bank payments and transfers, billing, and so on are available through mobile and digital Overall South Africa ranks first, followed by Kenya, Nigeria and technology. then Ethiopia. On digital protection South Africa and Kenya both Existing policies relating to the ICT sector in Nigeria, as stated INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) score 53 and sit tied at number one (Chart 4). The government in the National ICT policy (2012)8, require a review. There are of Kenya has done a lot towards improving the regulatory currently, various uncoordinated policies guiding different Disclaimer environment for ICT, including removing VAT and import duties facets of the Nigerian ICT sector. Ethiopia still faces a gap on handsets in 20096. The private sector, namely Safaricom, between its ICT ambitions to support economic growth and the Foreword has also played a key role by investing in affordable access and policy and regulatory instruments to enable fulfilment9. technology literacy6. Introduction According to the World Bank Group’s Doing Business survey4, Similarly, the South African government’s Department of Trade South Africa ranks 74 out of 190 countries. Nigeria received a Research Methodology and Industry (dti) has implemented initiatives to improve the ranking of 169; Kenya 92; and Ethiopia 159. A high (i.e. closer ICT environment, albeit within a rather fragmented policy to one) ease of doing business ranking means the regulatory environment. For example, the dti partnered with the Business environment is more conducive to starting and operating of a Country Analysis Trust to increase the availability of skills, provide incentives and local firm. The rankings are determined by sorting the aggregate attract new investment to launch a successful business process distance to benchmark scores on ten topics, each consisting Industry Analysis outsourcing industry6. This may have partly assisted, but high of several indicators, giving equal weight to each topic4. The connectivity costs and poor access in many parts of the country rankings for economies are benchmarked to June 2016. Industry Analysis: Manufacturing mean that ICT development does little to lower inequality in the country. While this survey considers different indicators than what Industry Analysis: Energy has been included above, it does provide a snapshot of the Due to several challenges within the ICT policy environment likelihood of improved digital maturity and its influence on the Industry Analysis: Transport in South Africa, as well as service delivery issues experienced ability of the ICT sector to create the foundation for inclusive by government, several private sector organizations (banks, and rapid economic growth. Key insights and recommendations Infrastructure pillar Conclusion There are two dimensions to the Infrastructure pillar – Access 4 3G network coverage and Use, and ICT Affordability. In terms of Access and Use, 5 the percentage of households with internet access Glossary of terms South Africa ranks first, followed by Nigeria, then Kenya, with Ethiopia lagging far behind with a score of 7 (Chart 5). The Access and Use measure takes account of: The World Economic Forum’s Global Information Technology References Report (2015)2 explains that initiatives taken by countries 1 international internet bandwidth bit/s per internet user to expand inclusive internet can be broken down into two 2 unique mobile subscription as a percentage of the groups. The first group is made up of initiatives that facilitate population investments in networks in existing and new areas. These 3 mobile network coverage also measured as a percentage of may be urban or rural, but mostly urban. The second group the population comprises plans and projects that increase the unconnected Continue
Country Analysis 100 90 94 80 INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) 70 70 Disclaimer 60 60 50 55 55 Foreword 40 43 30 33 20 Introduction Environment 10 pillar 0 7 Research Methodology Access and Use ICT Affordability Ethiopia Kenya Nigeria South Africa Country Analysis Chart 5: Overall results for the infrastructure pillar Industry Analysis population’s demand for internet services. In many parts inhabitants, let alone providing internet connectivity. of the continent, a huge divide exists between well- The United Nations Human Rights Council passed Industry Analysis: Manufacturing connected urban centers and off-the-grid rural areas. a resolution in June that condemns countries that intentionally take away or disrupt its citizens’ internet Industry Analysis: Energy While several individuals in SSA may own more than access. Central to this resolution is the argument that one phone, most mobile phones are still of the older internet access is a basic human right10. There is therefore Industry Analysis: Transport generation. The 2016 smartphone penetration for Africa is a role for government and the private sector to roll-out 30% compared to a 51% global average3. internet access to rural centers in the same way that Key insights and recommendations traditional infrastructure – like basic services, sanitation, This creates limitations around the penetration of more transport and energy – are delivered. modern applications and uses for mobile technology. Conclusion Places like Kenya, however, have progressed towards Furthermore, ICT infrastructure providers need to be aware creating old-generation-friendly services to facilitate more that as urbanization happens, population growth takes Glossary of terms inclusive infrastructure for the population. off, progressively opportunities become available through city development and the urban-rural mix changes11. References Africa’s rapid urbanization represents an opportunity for This means that the needs of the population change. As the extension of information technology and improvement a result, ICT infrastructure foundations should be flexible of digital maturity. However, as we have seen in places enough to provide for these opportunities and take like Johannesburg, Lagos, Nairobi and Addis Ababa, advantage of changes in the structure of economies (both urban hubs are often unable to cope with the influx of formal and informal). Continue
Country Analysis The second element of the Infrastructure pillar is ICT the information technology sector.Even though South Affordability. According to the World Economic Forum’s Africa ranks number one in this category in comparison Networked Readiness Index ICT12 affordability score, to more developed countries, the cost of internet access South Africa also ranks number one, followed by is still relatively high particularly in relation to mobile Ethiopia, and Kenya and Nigeria tied in third. data and broadband. Service providers argue that, in INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) terms of the mobile network, prices are kept high to This may very well have to do with the penetration maintain connectivity speeds. Disclaimer of smart phones in the South African and Nigerian market, as well as the number of service providers. This The cost to service providers is minimal but by lowering Foreword ranking includes measures of the price for mobile and the price, the network would be unable to support the broadband connectivity, as well as competition within demand for access. Introduction Skills and Digital Literacy pillar Research Methodology 100 Country Analysis 90 80 Industry Analysis 70 60 65 Industry Analysis: Manufacturing 50 58 40 45 48 47 43 Industry Analysis: Energy 30 33 37 20 23 24 10 Industry Analysis: Transport 13 2 0 Digital Training Digital Tools usage Skills Key insights and recommendations Ethiopia Kenya Nigeria South Africa Chart 6: Overall results for the skills and digital literacy pillar Conclusion The Skills and Digital Literacy pillar consists of three measure of the availability of internet at schools, but Glossary of terms categories, Digital Training, Tools Usage and Skills which educational attainment in Ethiopia is quite low. For is a measure combining educational attainment with example, only 12.5% of the population over the age References some indication of the quality of education provided in of 25 years reported that they have some secondary each country. (high school) education. Use of digital tools such as Internet Protocol (IP) messaging and Facebook is also South Africa ranks first once again, followed by Kenya relatively low. Only 5% of the population of Ethiopia are then Nigeria and finally Ethiopia. Ethiopia does relatively reported to use Facebook while less than 10% use IP well in providing digital training which is proxied by a messaging services which is one of the lowest figures Continue
Country Analysis among the 14 African countries surveyed by GSMA3 international benchmark for educational attainment. (hence the low normalized score of two). This calls This is particularly evident in the gross tertiary for action to be taken to provide access to the internet education enrolment rate which is 4% for Kenya and and make the shift to smartphones more affordable 20% for South Africa compared against an international in these countries. Kenya and South Africa fare much maximum score of 98% and minimum score of 2%. better than Nigeria and Ethiopia when it comes to INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) educational attainment with scores of 43 and 65 Kenya achieved the highest score in Digital Training Disclaimer respectively. The scores however are well below 100, which was reflective of the high indicator scoring found meaning that both countries are still quite far off the in relation to internet access in Kenyan schools. Foreword Summary of DMA scores by country Introduction Summary of DMA scores Ethiopia Kenya Nigeria South Africa Research Methodology Economic Assessment of size, growth and Maturity sophistication of the economy 27 55 46 60 Country Analysis Industry Analysis Extend to which the country has a business, legal and regulatory Environment environment that supports and protects 33 44 49 82 Industry Analysis: Manufacturing the development of digital business Industry Analysis: Energy Infrastructure: extent to which the Infrastructure country has invested in ICT infrastructure 20 39 37 55 Industry Analysis: Transport required to support the digital economy Key insights and recommendations Digital literacy and skills: assessment Digital Literacy reflecting the human capital 26 33 18 43 Conclusion endowment of a country Glossary of terms Country Macro-economic DMA 26 43 37 60 References Figure 3: Summary of country macro-economic Digital Maturity Assessment A summary of each country’s DMA scores relative to the international or regional benchmark (i.e. score of 100) as well as the average score achieved by the four countries is provided in the figures that follow Continue
Country Analysis South Africa Digital access to the internet (which is defined as access any time over protection mobile phone or computer). INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) Business and Despite the roll-out of initiatives to connect schools to broadband Complexity regulatory by government in Gauteng and Western Cape, most schools Disclaimer environment do not have internet access in the classrooms. The Gauteng government’s ‘Gauteng Online Schools Programme’13 project Foreword launched in 2002 aimed to connect 100% of schools in the Size and Access province. However, an internal audit of the R1 billion programme Introduction Growth and Use revealed that the appointed contractor fell short of delivering 0 on its mandate in many respects. The Gauteng Government Research Methodology is currently busy with the roll-out of a provincial broadband 20 network to several government buildings and hopes to migrate the school programme onto the new network in time. Country Analysis 40 Skills ICT 60 Affordability The Western Cape government in partnership with Neotel and Industry Analysis the Cape Digital Foundation (a government agency) aims to 80 connect all schools in the province with broadband. By March Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Digital Digital 2016 it had connected over 692 schools and created 3,300 smart 100 Tools Usage Training classrooms. Industry Analysis: Energy Average South Africa South Africa is relatively close to the international benchmark Industry Analysis: Transport in the areas of ICT Affordability and the general Business and Chart 7: Summary of South Africa’s DMA Scores in each category relative to four-country average Regulatory environment. South Africa scores close to 70 out of 100 on both counts. The WEF’s ICT Affordability measure Key insights and recommendations South Africa scores above the four-country average in all areas includes prepaid mobile cellular tariffs in PPP $/min* , fixed except for Digital Training (internet access in schools). South broadband Internet tariffs in PPP $/month** and a measure of Conclusion Africa’s score is very close to the international benchmark in competition in the internet and telephony industry12. the area of Access and Use. This is largely because of very good While mobile data and broadband costs in South Africa have Glossary of terms mobile network access. The South African population has 100% fallen substantially in recent years, an assessment by the SA mobile network coverage and 93% have 3G coverage. Institute of Race Relations in 2015 suggested that the average References monthly mobile broadband fees in South Africa were still 10 In terms of mobile phone usage, South Africa also does well times higher than those in the United Kingdom and 5 times by international standards. The number of unique mobile higher than American fees with lower levels of service offered14. subscriptions are 71% of the adult population. However, when it * Prepaid mobile cellular tariffs in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) $ per minute comes to internet access, only 37% of households have consistent ** Fixed broadband Internet tariffs in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) $ per month Continue
Country Analysis Nigeria Digital A survey by GSMA on the mobile economy in Africa3 protection suggested that nearly 50% of Nigerians make use of Internet Protocol (IP) messaging services (e.g. INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) Business and WhatsApp, Snapchat, and WeChat), while 12% make Complexity regulatory use of Facebook. Disclaimer environment It is interesting to note that while Nigeria scores much Foreword lower on the access and use measure than South Size and Access Africa (a score of 44 as opposed to 94), the proportion Introduction Growth and Use of Nigerians using IP messaging is the same as it is in 0 South Africa (close to 50%). Research Methodology 20 Taking a closer look at the access and use indicators for Nigeria, it is apparent that close to 100% of the Country Analysis 40 population has mobile network coverage in Nigeria Skills ICT 60 Affordability while 55% have access to a 3G network. Industry Analysis 80 Internet penetration in Nigeria (defined as consistent Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Digital Digital access all the time to the internet via mobile or fixed 100 Tools Usage Training line) is relatively low at 8.5% of the population. Industry Analysis: Energy Average Nigeria Nigeria performs particularly poorly when it comes to Industry Analysis: Transport the sophistication or complexity of its economy, with Chart 8: Summary of Nigeria’s DMA Scores in each category a score of less than 10 out of 100. This suggests that relative to four-country average it remained too heavily reliant on a single commodity, Key insights and recommendations Nigeria only scores above the four-country average in one oil, for export revenue. area – Digital Tools Usage. Nigeria however scores close to, Conclusion or on the four-country average in the areas of Business and Regulatory Environment, Digital Protection, ICT Affordability Glossary of terms and Size and Growth. References Continue
Country Analysis Kenya Digital exports, growth and emerging industries and so forth) protection change over time. Kenya has a well-diversified economy with services accounting for roughly 60% of GDP. INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) Business and Complexity regulatory Tourism is Kenya’s largest services industry and a Disclaimer environment mainstay of the economy but the country also has a relatively large and diverse agricultural industry. As the Foreword largest economy in East Africa, Kenya is also a vital port Size and Access of entry for goods destined for most East and Central Introduction Growth and Use African countries6 and while its manufacturing industry 0 only accounts for 14% of GDP it is the largest in the Research Methodology region. 20 Kenya is recognized as one of the most computer Country Analysis 40 literate societies in Africa and for the adoption of Skills ICT 60 Affordability mobile-based services such as mobile money. This is Industry Analysis reflected in part in relatively high scores for Digital 80 Training and skills. However, in this context the relatively Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Digital Digital low scores on Access and Use and Digital Tools Usage 100 Tools Usage Training are quite surprising and may reflect unequal access Industry Analysis: Energy between people living in the relatively affluent urban Average Kenya areas and poor rural communities. Industry Analysis: Transport Chart 9: Summary of Kenya’s DMA Scores in each category Data from GSMA suggest that only 23% of Kenya’s relative to four-country average Key insights and recommendations population use IP messaging services (as compared to Kenya scores relatively well (above the four-country average) in the nearly 50% in Nigeria and South Africa) while 15% use areas of Business and Regulatory Environment, Digital Protection, Facebook. 89% of Kenya’s population have access to Conclusion Complexity (or sophistication of the economy), Skills and Digital a mobile network but this was the lowest of the four Training. The country performs relatively poorly when it comes to countries. As a result, Kenya received a normalized Glossary of terms Access and Use, Digital Tools Usage as well as the Economic Size and score of zero. This in part explains the oddly low overall Growth indicator. access score. 64% of the population have access to a 3G References network which is relatively high compared to Ethiopia As noted above, Kenya is ahead of both Ethiopia and Nigeria on and Nigeria. Kenya is also well ahead of Ethiopia and the economic complexity measure. The Harvard Atlas on Economic Nigeria when it comes to internet penetration – 16% of Complexity measures how a country’s total trade dynamics (imports, the population have consistent access to the internet. Continue
Country Analysis Ethiopia Digital uptake of digital services. Ethiopia’s score on the protection Access and Use measure is only 7 out of 100. INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) Business and While 90% of the Ethiopian population have access Complexity regulatory to a mobile network, access to the internet (fixed or Disclaimer environment mobile) is very limited. Only 7% of the population have access to a 3G network while only 2.9% of Foreword households have consistent access to the internet Size and Access (fixed or mobile). Introduction Growth and Use 0 As a result, less than 10% of the Ethiopian Research Methodology population currently make use of IP messaging 20 services and less than 5% use Facebook. Country Analysis 40 Ethiopia does relatively well on the ICT Affordability Skills ICT 60 Affordability measure where based on the WEF measure it scores Industry Analysis slightly higher than both Kenya and Nigeria but 80 less than South Africa. The WEF’s ICT Affordability Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Digital Digital measure includes prepaid mobile cellular tariffs in 100 Tools Usage Training PPP $/min, fixed broadband Internet tariffs in PPP $/ Industry Analysis: Energy month and a measure of competition in the internet Average Ethiopia and telephony industry12. Industry Analysis: Transport Chart 10: Summary of Ethiopia ’s DMA Scores in each category Ethiopia achieves a similar score to Nigeria in the relative to four-country average Key insights and recommendations World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business survey4, with Ethiopia is the smallest and least developed of the four a relatively low score of 47 out of 100 and tech economies assessed. It is not surprising to find that it is innovation scores show that it currently attracts Conclusion the laggard in most areas of the DMA. The exceptions very little tech start-up funding relative to the other are ICT Affordability and Digital Training where it slightly four countries; although there are evident signs of Glossary of terms outperforms the average. government driving activity in this space. References The lack of supporting ICT infrastructure in Ethiopia is likely to be one of the major indicators hindering growth and Continue
Country Analysis Conclusion of Macro-economic findings The DMA provides an overview of the readiness of supports and drives the expansion of digital services. selected Sub-Saharan African countries to capitalize on While the Nigerian economy remains heavily reliant on the digitalization in four key areas – Economic Maturity, oil for export revenues and on that basis is a relatively INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) ICT Infrastructure, Skills and Digital Literacy. unsophisticated economy, it has also benefitted from extensive investment in ICT and particularly 3G network Disclaimer While larger and more developed economies tend to coverage. This infrastructure appears to have supported be more digitally mature. The analysis has shown that widespread uptake and the use of digital tools such as IP Foreword there are many other indicators that can influence a messaging and social networking. country’s ability to capitalize on digitalization. If done Introduction correctly it can drive entrepreneurial competition in the South Africa with its relatively large and diverse market. economy and extensive and high-quality mobile Research Methodology broadband infrastructure, remains the leader of the four For example, while the Ethiopian and Kenyan countries in most areas. There remains significant room economies are of a similar size and are growing at for improvement when compared to the international Country Analysis similar rate, Kenya is ahead of Ethiopia in terms of benchmark in the areas of consistent and affordable digital maturity. This is attributed firstly to Kenya having internet access and the provision of digital training Industry Analysis far more extensive ICT Infrastructure and particularly (internet in schools) and skills. mobile internet or 3G infrastructure to support Access Industry Analysis: Manufacturing and Use and secondly because it is a much more South Africa therefore has the highest digitalization diverse and services-oriented economy, which typically Maturity of the countries assessed. Industry Analysis: Energy Industry Analysis: Transport Key insights and recommendations Conclusion Glossary of terms References
Industry Analysis The manufacturing, energy and transport industries to provide a relevant comparative understanding for showed varied levels of maturity across micro- Africa. South Africa’s digital maturity can be classified economic digital indicators. Focus should be placed as Established. It has a reliable digital adoption but on better customer engagement through orchestrated with room for important advances in areas which will digital solutions to drive revenue generation with be explored in this section. INDEX (Click on categories to navigate) digitally enhanced product offerings. The micro-economic indicators were structured to Disclaimer The research conducted yielded 105 qualified assess digital maturity across three dimensions: responses around micro-economic digital indicators Foreword from various industries. While responses were received 1 Culture of Innovation from outside South Africa, these were removed from 2 Digital Operations Introduction the analysis as the number was not significant enough 3 Digital Customer and Offerings Research Methodology Select research outcomes: Manufacturing Energy Transport Other Cross-industry Country Analysis Leadership indicators included the existance of a Culture of long term plan for how digital will help to deliver Industry Analysis organizational objectives. There was also agreement Innovation among respondents that leaders embrace digital change within their organizations. Established Established Established Established Established Industry Analysis: Manufacturing Near unanimous agreement that digital skills were required Industry Analysis: Energy in order to be successful and that their organization fully Digital enabled employees by providing them with the digital Operations tools they needed. Below average maturity in Energy and Industry Analysis: Transport Transport with reference to integration of systems Established Established Developing Established Established Key insights and recommendations On average 4 in 10 respondents from the entire sample Digital agreed to having launched revenue generating digital Customer & solutions into the market. Around single view of customer, Conclusion Energy was aligned with the industry norm, Manufacturing Offerings was 10% higher and Transport 20% less than the average. Developing Developing Emerging Developing Developing Glossary of terms Micro-economic Digital Maturity 2.8/3 2.6/3 2.2/3 2.6/3 2.7/3 References Focus should be placed on better customer engagement through orchestrated digital solutions and to drive revenue generation with digitally enhanced product offerings. • • • • • Delta from Cross- +0.1 -0.1 -0.4 0.1 indistry Average Figure 4: Micro-economic Digital Maturity (South Africa) Continue
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