A STRATEGY TO SAVE BRITAIN'S HOSPITALITY AND HIGH STREET ECONOMY - AILING PUBS, DESERTED RESTAURANTS AND VACANT HIGH STREETS
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AILING PUBS, DESERTED RESTAURANTS AND VACANT HIGH STREETS: A STRATEGY TO SAVE BRITAIN'S HOSPITALITY AND HIGH STREET ECONOMY
Executive Summary The Independent Business Network believes that the current support being offered to the Hospitality sector is insufficient. It is by far the sector that has been the hardest hit by successive lockdowns and tiered restrictions, yet the tailor-made support offered to it has been non-existent. As far back as March last year, the Government had demonstrated a failure to truly comprehend the manner in which ‘static hospitality’ sector – pubs, restaurants, events companies, and eateries – actually functioned. The result has been a series of missteps that, whilst embarrassing for Secretaries of State, have had a terminal affect on many small businesses across the country. As such, the purpose of this paper is to introduce a clear blueprint through which compensation can be administered. The implementation of a ‘Regeneration Window’, that waived some of the more traditional taxes and hurdles the sector faces, and worth approximately £28 billion, would stave off mass-bankruptcies, and put in place a future framework within which hospitality can “bounce back”. Firstly, all hospitality businesses that made significant financial sacrifices when welcoming back customers last summer. By the time the public had flooded back to pubs and restaurants they were greeted with Perspex dividers, well-regimented sanitation processes, registration apps, socially distant and trained staff, and a host of other measures. At a business-level, these features came at a significant cost. The IBN proposes that a rebate system, worth £690 million, is put in place. Secondly, hospitality specific taxes such as alcohol duty and the 19% alcohol VAT rate must be eased. Britain’s alcohol duty regime has long been excessive. Even a reduction of 27p per pint would make a considerable difference for thousands of small pubs and restaurants, whilst still being one of the more expensive European rates. Similarly, as done elsewhere on the continent, ‘hospitality served’ alcohol should be included within the reduced VAT rate of 5%. Putting more money in the pockets of landlords and allowing the British public to enjoy cheaper prices. On top of this, investment should be encouraged with a short-term introduction of a 100% FYA rate. The fate of many pubs and restaurants is entwined with the fate of Britain’s high streets. As such, the IBN believes that it is not just the retail sector which would stand to benefit from a continued abatement of business rates, a reduction of the VAT payable by physical retail stores, and a freeze on car parking charges. These measures are a small and much needed step towards salvaging Britain’s town centres and high streets. Many pubs and restaurants would be natural beneficiaries of this increased footfall. Since March of last year the UK government has spent £156 million of a marketing and advertising campaign that has stigmatised the key pillars of the hospitality sector: mass gatherings and crowded rooms. Polling shows this has had a significant impact on consumer behaviour. Once restrictions are eased, the government must commit to an equally prevalent advertising campaign, coupled with a new and improved ‘eat-out-to-help-out’ to rekindle Britain’s love for the pub.
Introduction The hospitality sector is in quite evident need of auxiliary support. It has been the sector most directly damaged by the ‘hawkish’ approach of health officials to lockdown. As reported by HospitalityUK, the sector has lost £53.3bn in the last year and the 3million employed by the sector have faced overwhelming insecurity. Not only this, but it will continue to suffer the ramifications of the government’s 2020/2021 policy decisions long after other industries have returned to normality. In particular, the government must make special dispensation for the pubs, restaurants, eateries, and event/catering companies - or ‘static hospitality’ businesses - that have been brought to their knees by successive lockdowns and tiered restrictions. The Independent Business Network believes there is now a strong case to be made for the static hospitality sector to receive compensation from the government. The purpose of this report is to highlight that the government has an obligation to the sector that is more acute than its obligations to other parts of the economy. It then sets out the mechanism through which this compensation should be delivered, namely in the form of a ‘Regeneration Window’. This would be a period of time within which the government alleviates most of the traditional burdens borne by the static hospitality sector and makes efforts to reset the consumer habits that have been undeniably altered by 10 months of stringent government messaging. Many, such as the Institute of Directors, have warned of a “springtime cliffedge” for many in the hospitality sector, who will be unable to survive if left in the lurch by government support. Even before the emergence of Covid-19, and the ensuing crisis of government, the static hospitality sector faced a series of unique hurdles that placed it at a chronic disadvantage to a) other sections of the British economy and b) static hospitality sectors across Europe. It is simply not an acceptable long-term plan to expect British static hospitality to emerge from lockdown, only to then face the hostile environment of harmfully high business rates, alcohol taxation, and plummeting high-street footfall.
The case for compensation The state of emergency in this sector has seemingly now been recognised by the government, with most businesses now entitled to an additional grant of £4,000. The total package, worth around £4bn, has undoubtedly been a sign that the government recognises the precipice upon which so many otherwise viable businesses teeter. However, these grants are not, in and of themselves, solutions to the crisis. The government must now also recognise the need for a wholesale ‘Regeneration Window’ to allow British hospitality to bounce back stronger. Failure to take action beyond the current sticking plaster measures would lead to the inevitable conclusion that the government’s approach to hospitality is superficial at best. The government has thus far committed £322 billion to keep these businesses on life support. With the injection of this proposed £28bn package, the government would be able to unhook static hospitality from its current state of dependency and allow it to flourish under a regime of self-sufficiency. A long-lensed view of the last 10 months shows a litany of entirely avoidable crises that have beset the hospitality sector. In many instances, the turmoil can be attributed to government mismanagement. As such, the government must ensure that it makes recompense. This is the only viable course of action that would stave off irreparable damage to a vital part of the UK economy that in calmer times has a productivity rate that is twice the UK’s average. On top of this, the long-term benefits would be considerable and would stem from an ecosystem where the hospitality sector operated with greater independence, and therefore with greater efficiency. Insurance In March 2020, as cases in the UK began to rise for the first time, the Government delayed in declaring Covid-19 a “notifiable” disease, leading to serious strife with many pubs unable to make insurance claims until this declaration has been made. This incompetence was then exacerbated when the Government began demanding that consumers avoided pubs, bars and restaurants but did so without making it a legal requirement for these venues to close. On the 16th March, Boris Johnson urged people to stay away from hospitality venues. It was not until the 20th that pubs and bars were instructed to pull down the shutters. This caused a 47% year-on-year drop in footfall, even before the first lockdown was actually announced. It was described as a “passive aggressive lockdown” that left businesses “no recourse to insurance”. It is now clear that the government had not considered the insurance implications for the static hospitality sector at all. A level of naivety seemed to have overwhelmed the government and a large part of their initial lockdown policy incorrectly assumed that insurance companies would pick up the tab. The crisis that pubs and landlords have faced with insurance firms shows that this was not the case. As it stands, insurance policies worth £1.2 billion have been contested in the Supreme Court by the FCA. This uncertainty, and chaos is a far cry from the sureness with which the government approached the matter in mid-March:
"There are concerns about the impact on pubs, clubs, theatres and other hospitality, leisure and retail venues. Let me confirm that, for those businesses which do have a policy that covers pandemics, the Government's action is sufficient and will allow businesses to make an insurance claim against their policy." - Rishi Sunak, 17th March At the time, the government acknowledged that there would only be a small number of hospitality sector businesses able to make a viable insurance claim against a pandemic. However, rather than introduce tailor-made and targeted measures for the remaining hospitality businesses, it merely pointed them in the direction of the government’s one-size- fits-all offerings. The 10pm curfew The debacle over the introduction of a 10pm curfew is perhaps totemic of the knee-jerk approach to the covid-19 pandemic. It is now widely recognised that the government introduced this measure with “no hard evidence” in the words of Patrick Vallance, without having consulted with SAGE, and with little consideration to the crowds which invariably ensued after closing time. The crowded scenes outside of London tube stations were of course a failure of health policy. From an economic perspective, the curfew was found to have cost pubs just shy of £50 million per week owing to reduced capacity service time. The curfew lasted in this form from 24th September until 5th November - a total of 6 weeks. This means that simply by enforcing a 10pm curfew rather than allowing pubs to stay open until their usual closing time, £285,138,090 was senselessly taken out of the hands of the pub sector for no discernible public health advantage. The damage of this ruling was revealed by the fact that, if it had been allowed to continue into 2021, the curfew could have cost the United Kingdom £7bn. The loss of Christmas custom The cancellation of the Christmas holiday trading period snatched away from many pubs and businesses a vital period of trading. For many, during the dark days on the November lockdown, it was the prospects of the Christmas period which offered a saving grace. Once they were ordered to remain locked down, however, the static hospitality sector lost its one ray of light. It had already been anticipated that the sector’s December trading would be 90% lower than in previous years, and that £650 million would be lost through depressed sales. The last-minute U-turn, which sentenced swathes of businesses across the south of England into Tier 3, also came with a substantial cost for thousands of landlords and managers who had ordered stock in advance of this period of trading. The result was that millions of pounds worth of food was wasted, and that employees were given just 48-hours’ notice that their services would no longer be required. The emotional and financial toll which this will have placed on the shoulders of thousands has yet to be quantified, but there should be no doubt that community venues will have been massively scarred by the prevarication.
The Regeneration Window The Independent Business Network, having calculated the expected cost of this raft of measures, deem it appropriate for the government to commit to the hospitality sector, a compensation regime worth around £35 billion and distributed during the course of 2021 through the delivery mechanisms set out below: • Provide hospitality businesses with a Covid-investment rebate - £690 million. • Extend hospitality’s reduced VAT rates for remainder of 2021 – £6.3 billion. • Include alcohol in hospitality’s reduced VAT rates - £750 million. • Cut in half Britain’s alcohol taxes – £1.8 billion. • Make hospitality investments 100% FYA - £1.15 billion. • Continue the suspension of business rates 2020/2021 - £15 billion. • Suspend town centre parking fees - £897 million. • Extend the reduction of VAT to physical retail - £7.5bn • Reintroduce ‘eat-out-to-help-out’ and complement it with a ‘pro-hospitality’ advertising push - £1.08 billion This report is working from a worst-case scenario that stringent restrictions are in place until the middle of March. By this time, it is expected that the most vulnerable in society will have been vaccinated, and that graphs and bar charts - the blunt tools that have hitherto been used to bounce politicians into lockdowns - will begin to show that case rates have fallen since 5th January. At this point the arguments against severe restrictions will have been eliminated, and the reasonable course of action will be to reopen the economy. Of course, this assumption cannot account for ineptitudes of governance or the efficiency of vaccine delivery, and if lockdown measures are to persist beyond the end of March the figures in this report would need upscaling to reflect this fact. If we were to enter a situation whereby most of the current restrictions had not thawed, it is essential for the government to produce an economic cost-benefit analysis. In July 2020 Professors of Imperial College London and the University of Manchester attempted such a venture and concluded that “the costs of the three-month lockdown in the UK are plausibly so high relative to likely benefits that a continuation of severe restrictions is very unlikely to be warranted.”1 Robert Rowthorn and Jan Maciejowski of the University of Cambridge performed a similar analysis and reached largely the same opinion: “A lockdown may (or may not) be necessary to halt the explosive spread of the disease, but once this aim has been achieved it would be a costly mistake to stick with expensive social distancing policies that aim to keep r well below 1”. 2 However, as we know, the dominance that SAGE has held over public policy – largely permitted to occur because of caution and a dearth of alternative policy ideas in the Cabinet - has had a distortive effect on Government priorities. As the coronavirus has progressed, 1 “Stay at Home, Protect the National Health Service, Save Lives”: A cost benefit analysis of the lockdown in the United Kingdom - Miles - - International Journal of Clinical Practice - Wiley Online Library 2 A cost–benefit analysis of the COVID-19 disease (nih.gov)
the government’s policy of “following the science” has resulted in it shunning the economics, disregarding the mental health crisis, and abandoning the hospitality sector. The recently debated idea of a ‘Minister for Hospitality’ would have been a vital corrective to this imbalance. On January 11th, MPs voted in favour of the motion; a strong endorsement of the ‘Seat at the Table’ campaign’s push for more visibility of the wider crises beyond Covid.
1: Rebate for Covid-Equipment The most pressing issue in need of redress - that would be of immediate benefit to smaller enterprises – is a rebate for the safety equipment that was purchased on mass by pubs and restaurants. During the first lockdown the government position was that, once the spread of the virus had been curtailed, the hospitality sector would remain open. Restrictions were put in place, but the tenor of the announcements was that the sector was now on a forward moving convey belt towards normality. Instead, the end of the first lockdown merely heralded a period of further confusion and sporadic convulsions back into lockdown. Appreciating that there would be several months within which they had been entrusted with a responsibility to minimise the spread of the virus, pubs, restaurants and catering companies made significant outlays into protective furniture, PPE, procedures to aid the government’s track and trace, thermal measuring software, mobile ordering apps and the like. The national spirit that had seen the first lockdown so universally accepted was continued by the static hospitality’s approach to reopening. However, it is also undeniably the case that many in the sector felt a great deal of confusion about the exact measures the government expected them to take. It was found that 56% of pubs were in urgent need of more guidance as to what processes needed to be installed3. On the 4th June, pubs and hospitality venues across the country were clamouring for greater government guidance, stating that at least three weeks’ notice was needed in order to ensure the necessary preparations were made. With ‘super Saturday’ being the 4th July, this would have meant that information from the government was needed by the 13th June at the latest, a deadline that BEIS assured companies it was “on track” to meet4. In actual fact, the much-needed guidance was released 11-days later than this deadline, on June 24th. Giving the hospitality sector just over one week to prepare5. This lack of clarity greatly hampered the efficacy of the investments that the hospitality was making. Without a clear blueprint as to what social distancing rules were to be expected of them6, if all service was to be table-service only, and what constituted “outdoor seating”, pubs were kept in the dark. This essentially meant that businesses were having to make financial outlays, but without confidence that they were spending on the right things. Data surrounding the average outlay per pub for this process in scarce. However, using figures provided by two of the UK’s largest pub chains – JD Wetherspoon and Greene King – we are able to make an estimate at the average outlay per establishment. Across its 874 pubs, JD Wetherspoon spent £11 million fitting Perspex screens, reconfiguring bar layouts, and ‘covid proofing’ buildings of various sizes and structures. This is the equivalent of £12,500 per venue. Meanwhile, Greene King spent less per individual unit – approximately £8,800 per pub7. Smaller chains, such as the hotelier Amaris spent £20,000 on each of its 3 How many pubs will reopen on 4 July? (morningadvertiser.co.uk) 4 Pubs say 'time running out' to be ready for 4 July reopening : CityAM 5 Pubs, restaurants and hairdressers to reopen from 4 July - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk) 6 It was eventually decided, last minute, to cut social distancing to 1m following pressure from BBPA. 7 £15 million in Pub Safe measures spend revealed by Greene King - Hospitality & Catering News (hospitalityandcateringnews.com)
properties8. When looking at ONS investment figures for the second quarter of 2020 (April, May, June), it is a fair assumption to make that large portions of the £220 million invested by the “hotel and restaurant” category was spent on covid infrastructure and equipment. Indeed, at that time, what other substantial investments would most businesses have been making? These figures do not account for increased operational costs as a result of these measures that are much harder to quantify. It is the view of the IBN that an appropriate level at which to set the compensation rate is at a maximum of £10,000 per individual hospitality business, the government would need to provision for a potential 69,000 claimants. In sum, this rebate programme would cost £690,000,000. By doing so, the government would be acknowledging the agony that its dithering has inflicted on pubs and restaurants. It would also be a recognition of the fact that the onus must eventually fall onto the shoulders of private enterprises to ‘covid proof’ the parts of society currently prevented from opening. By applying a retrospective rebate system to the hospitality sector’s first wave of covid-investment it would be sending a clear signal that enterprises across the country will have the government’s backing in taking measures to improve public safety. 8 Amaris invests 600000 in health and safety... - The Caterer
2. Make hospitality taxation equitable VAT It is quite evident the government must extend the hospitality VAT reduction, and maintain the current 5% rate, beyond the end of March (as is currently provisioned) and at least until the end of 2021. The initial 6-month reduction, from July 2020 to January 2021 ‘cost’ the government £4.1bn in forfeited tax receipts. In reality, this money provided many establishments with much needed working capital. The nature of debate in Parliament seemingly makes it inevitable that this will now be extended. A similar offering from April 2021 – December 2021, as is being pushed for by many in the sector9, and is morally necessitated, could therefore be expected to cost about £6.3bn. However, the Independent Business Network believes that more must be done. Rishi Sunak must now go further and include the sale of alcohol within this reduction. It was a cause of great dismay for many – wet led pubs in particular – that alcoholic drinks were not included in last summer’s VAT holiday. This time around, it is vital that the government – with its obligations to the hospitality sector – deploys every lever available. To have not included alcohol in the VAT reduction is purely a political choice. Elsewhere in Europe the decision has been made to reduce VAT on alcohol. Germany, for instance, cut its rate from 19% to 16% in July 202010. Of course, a key benefit of having left the EU’s single market is the ability to apply these measures for longer without relying on permission from the European Commission. If, during the eat-out-to-help-out scheme, the government had allowed pubs to absorb a 15% VAT cut to alcohol into their profit margins, then on brand sales of alcohol could have contributed an additional £30 million for Britain’s establishments in August, purely through the sale of beer. Introducing a year-long cut in alcohol VAT for hospitality venues would overnight breathe £360,000,000 into the profit margins of companies’ balance sheets. With this windfall there is then the scope for the hospitality sector to return to its role as a major employer of under-25s, to reduce its prices to more competitive levels, or to recapitalise. Of course, this figure does not make mention of spirits, wines and ciders, but in total it is acceptable to anticipate that the reduction of VAT on alcohol products would provide hospitality businesses with an additional £750,000,000 over the course of 2021. Announcing now the continuation of the VAT reduction, and the inclusion of alcohol within in, will give establishments more time to take appropriate measures. Knowing ahead of time that this offering is on its way will allow time for new menus to be printed, for accounting procedures to be installed and for contracts with suppliers to be negotiated more favourably. As will be discussed later, it will also allow for advertising campaigns based around reduced consumer prices, to be formulated. Excise duties 9 Tiers announcement reaction UKHospitality: “act now or face hospitality bloodbath” - Hospitality & Catering News (hospitalityandcateringnews.com) 10 Beer boss: Lowering VAT on alcohol would help hospitality sector revive quickly – EURACTIV.com
The problem of Britain’s alcohol duty rate, and the undue burden it places on food and drink venues, has been the source of near constant debate since the Labour Party’s introduction of an excise escalator. Whilst successive Conservative Chancellors have since taken measures to somewhat lessen the negative impact that this has had on the hospitality sector, it has not been enough to prevent mass closure of pubs. Britain’s alcohol duty rates currently force static hospitality businesses to compete on an unlevel playing field with off-trade outlets. As the government embarks on its manifesto commitment to review the structure of alcohol duty it must seek to rectify the blatant discrimination that community venues face. Since the 1980s, off brand alcohol sales in Britain have grown markedly, whilst the hospitality sector has seen its market share increasingly cut. The concern for policy makers must be that, given the change in consumer behaviour caused by the pandemic, supermarkets in particular are able to carve out an even larger portion of the alcohol market. This would be disastrous for British hospitality, local community venues, and public health as alcohol consumption would be moved to the unregulated environment of people’s front rooms rather than public venues. A distinct alcohol duty rate for ‘hospitality purchased’ alcohol should be seen as an avenue through which many businesses can regain a market foothold. Such a scheme would directly reduce the rate of excise tax faced by brewers on the production of draught beer and would create a system of rebate for bottles and cans that are sold and consumed on the premises of hospitality businesses or provided by catering companies. The UK is currently an outlier in that its alcohol duty rates far exceed those in other similar sized European countries, and a substantial reduction would – at the very least – bring us towards the continental median. The current government receipts from all four categories of alcohol duty (wine, beer, spirit, cider) is £12.1 billion. Based on analysis of HMRC numbers it has been estimated that 70% of alcohol sales are off trade, with the remaining 30% of sales involving venues such as pubs, bars, and restaurants. The IBN calculates that on-trade venues currently pay approximately £3.63 billion in alcohol duty. By cutting the hospitality rate in half, from 54p a pint to 27p, the government would be leaving £1.8bn in the hands of publicans and restaurateurs. This money would allow pubs and restaurants to rebuild cash reserves, to begin the gruelling process of alleviating some of the debt burden that they have accumulated and would ultimately place them in a stronger position to continue contributing to the Treasury coffers long term.
Table 1: Amount of excise duty applied to a 5% pint of beer. 10 largest western/central European economies £0.60 £0.50 £0.40 £0.30 £0.20 £0.10 £0.00 Beer duty on a pint Proposed hospitality rate Capital recovery costs During the Regeneration Window the government must not take measures that prevent future investment within the hospitality sector. It is vital that the enterprises slowly beginning to re-emerge from lockdown are encouraged to continue improving their productivity and output. The sector, that once had a GVA rate more than twice the national average, will undoubtedly be suffering from social distancing measures and other such social protocols. It is therefore vital – from both an economic and health perspective – that pubs, restaurants and events companies are able to invest in the equipment that will allow them to adopt. To encourage investment the government would be best placed to remove corporation tax in its entirety, as proposed in the IBN’s ‘Industry and Trade Strategy’. However, such a move may currently be politically unfeasible. Nonetheless, the burden that the UK’s overly broad tax base, and its stringently ungenerous capital allowance, should be allayed. The most convenient way in which this can be done is through a reform of the capital cost recovery regime for all businesses that are classified as falling within the ‘Hospitality’ sector of the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). The main categories which would fit this description are SIC 55 and SIC 56: “Accommodation, food and beverage service activities”. ONS statistics show that the annual Gross Fixed Capital Formation of these two classifications was £4.7 billion in 2019 across categories such as ‘machinery’, ‘ICT’, and ‘Software. However, the companies making these long-term investments were penalised by
a depreciation regime which is one of the most pernicious in Europe. The Government should allow the hospitality sector to include these investments within a 100% First Year Allowance (FYA), rather than requiring that they claim it back over several years. Currently 100% FYA measures have a disproportionate focus on enabling ‘green investments’. This has created a tiered approach to business investment, allowing companies capable of purchasing the more expensive green technology to avoid the pitfall of a four-year write-off programme and therefore incur a more lenient tax bill. By extending this benevolence to static hospitality, pubs and restaurants would be able to make investments knowing that they will not be economically punished. This would liberate, according to IBN calculations, the £893 million currently falling prey to the UK’s far-reaching corporation tax system. It could be expected to increase the rate of investment in the sector, reenergise the productivity boom that it had been experiencing pre-pandemic, and allow pubs, restaurants, and events companies to take the necessary decisions that will give them a fighting chance.
3. Save the high street The fate of the hospitality sector in intimately tethered to the future prospects of Britain’s high streets. In the view of the IBN, the two react and interact with each other. A strong retail presence in Britain’s high streets increases footfall for the hospitality businesses, whilst the availability of pubs and restaurants encourages customers to also partake in retail shopping. These two issues meet at a juncture where they share similar solutions. By continuing with the business rate holiday and clamping down on excessive parking charges the government would be taking steps that primarily help physical retail stores. However, an incredibly desirable secondary effect of this is that many thousands of hospitality businesses will also benefit. Business Rates The Independent Business Network wants to see a strong revival of our High Streets led by family run and family-owned businesses. They make up the backbone of the British economy and will lead the recovery. Covid19 and the government-enforced lockdown have placed unprecedented pressure on family owned and family run businesses up and down the country. The constant changes in government regulations have driven up unemployment, created instability and uncertainty and has not enabled businesses to plan for recovery. We urgently need change. Business Rates11 are one of the biggest burdens on businesses that require a venue to operate. The British Retail Consortium has called for the existing system to be reformed.12 Local councils are responsible for collecting business rates and they are charges on non- domestic properties. Once collected, Councils are able to keep half of the rates collected, while the remaining half is accounted by central government.13 Earlier this year, the Chancellor announced that all businesses with a rateable value of less than £51,00014, would be exempt from business rates. This was an unprecedented measure to support businesses through the pandemic. As restrictions have continued into 2021, the same leniency must be introduced until the end of the year and business rate suspended again, with an estimated cost of £15 billion. As a short-term measure this would be sufficient. However, a fundamental review must be undertaken of the extremely controversial and unpopular system of business rates. The House of Commons Treasury Select Committee held in inquiry in into the impact of business rates on business.15 And concluded “the current approach to business rates acts as an immediate significant disincentive to investment.” Professor Shackleton, of the Institute 11 https://www.gov.uk/introduction-to-business-rates 12 https://brc.org.uk/priorities/business-rates/ 13 https://www.gov.uk/introduction-to-business-rates/how-your-rates-are-calculated 14 https://www.cityam.com/business-rates-cut-for-more-small-leisure-and-retail-firms/ 15https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201919/cmselect/cmtreasy/222/222.pdf
for Economic Affairs, has supported this view that said, “Business rates place a far greater cost on businesses that need a physical presence to trade. As such they threaten high street shops.”16 With the uncertainty about the extent and speed of our economic recovery and with more people working from home, the current business rates model is unsustainable. However, some professions will require the use of commercial property such as factories, hospitality and some retail even after the pandemic has cleared. These businesses will face particular disadvantages and may be compelled to take a higher burden of the tax bill. It is time for fundamental reform of the system. Our High Streets are facing an emergency from which they may never recovery. The government must act now to revitalize business, support our High Streets, and empower the hospitality sector. Recommendations 1. That government should consult with business, local authorities and business associations to replace the current business rates model by the time of the 2024 general election. 2. That the Chancellor should extend the abolition of business rates in the 2021 Budget for a further year. Parking Charges As we move into the recovery from Covid19, local government must play its part in supporting local high streets and not act as a barrier to jobs and growth. There are many things that local councils can do to support business. A key issue that many businesses in town centres face is that of unfair and high parking charges. A recent report by the Federation of Small Businesses found that seventy percent of small businesses on the high street believe that enhanced parking would make the biggest difference to the high street.17 No reasonable individual would dispute the notion that parking in a town centre must be paid for, not least to cover maintenance and security costs of the car parking facilities. However, local authorities should not be using parking income as a revenue supplement to support their base budget and it should certainly not be a method by which councils seek to make a profit. Governments impose tariffs on goods entering a country to limit their impact on domestic production and consumption. Parking charges are essentially a town centre tariff imposed by local government on residents wishing to enter town centres to access retail, hospitality and other commercial outlets. Residents already pay their Council Tax to cover the costs of basic services in their locality and so should not have to face burdensome extra costs to move about their community. Increased footfall in town centres drives up income for local authorities without parking fees. By spending their already taxed income, shoppers are ensuring that businesses are able to 16 https://iea.org.uk/media/business-rates-are-a-poorly-designed-tax-in-need-of-reform-says- professor-len-shackleton/ 17 https://www.fsb.org.uk/resource-report/streets-ahead.html
make a profit to pay their business rates and commercial rents, many of which are paid to the local authority. If town centre businesses succeed then unemployment locally is reduced removing costs for welfare, homelessness and other social costs to the local council. Some council are now profiting from parking charges18 with councils making £897million profit. High fares deter shoppers from going into town centres especially when many retail parks and out of town shopping areas offer far more competitive parking prices that give better value for money. Every pound taken in parking charges is a pound less spent in family run and family-owned businesses in our high streets and town centres. A report by the British Parking Association found that the biggest determining factor by consumers on the issue of parking is the cost.19 Government guidance on parking provision states, “Parking policies, including enforcement, should be proportionate and should not undermine the vitality of town centres.”20 Despite this guidance from central government, many local authorities are pursuing parking policies that impact negatively on the vitality of town centres. A report commissioned by government entitled “The High Street Report,”21 called on local authorities to review their parking arrangements to ensure that existing arrangements support access to business. Given the pandemic, and the urgency to restore vibrancy to out high streets such a review is required again. Every disposable penny needs to be directed to consumer spending and not accumulated by local government. Recommendations 1. Government to pass legislation freezing parking charges for 2020-2021 – costing £897 million - and to only allow a 1% annual increase for the next five years for car parking, parking permits, and associated fees whilst putting in place measures for further consultation. 2. Government to amend its guidance to local authorities requiring local government to ensure their parking policies precludes the ability to make a profit and to ensure revenue generated is only allowed to cover costs. 3. Government to order local authorities to urgently review their parking policies to ensure that their local policy acts as support rather than a hindrance to business. Adopt a ‘Bricks AND clicks’ policy position Physical retail is persecuted by lockdowns whilst online outlets have nationwide custom funnelled towards them. This is an artificial equation, and one that has been inflicted on physical outlets through no fault of their own. Similarly, the windfall within which online 18 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9049861/Councils-net-record-1-76bn-parking-fees-dont- expect-relief-year.html 19https://www.britishparking.co.uk/write/Resourcelibrary/Research/Public_Perceptions_of_Parking__B PA_Dec2020.pdf 20 https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/civil-enforcement-of-parking-contraventions/guidance- for-local-authorities-on-enforcing-parking-restrictions#setting-charges 21https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/7 66844/The_High_Street_Report.pdf
outlets are basking is, in large part, owing to the complete shutdown of their ‘brick’ competitors and bucks the trend of recent years. In 2019, Internet retail sales had slumped to a growth rate of just 10% yet by the end of 2020, it had shot upwards to 37%. This escalation, which is a considerable sharpening of online retail’s growth trajectory, is solely the result of a disequilibrium. In February 2020 19.1% of retail sales were performed online and by November it was 36.2%. This rapid growth of 17.1% over just a few months far surpassed any previous surge that online retailers had enjoyed. For reference, between November 2006 and November 2017, the share of the retail market that was online grew by 17.2%. The straightforward conclusion to be drawn from these statistics is that ‘click’ retailers have been one of the few ‘winners’ of the government’s lockdown measures and restrictions. The government should seek to rebalance the scales somewhat. This would not be a pernicious attack upon those who conduct business online, but rather a recognition that internet traders have been at a considerable advantage since the arrival of Covid-19. Indeed, even before the pandemic the disparity of charges faced by physical retailers – that online competitors avoid - was widely noted as being counterproductive for small businesses in particular. In February 2020, footfall on Britain’s high streets was just over 150 million. This had plummeted to less than 35 million by April. The UK retail sector is in unchartered waters and as such requires every measure available to be deployedThe government must ignite a flare, and send a signal to businesses and consumers alike, that the UK’s town centres and its physical retail sector are worth fighting for. As such, it is only fitting that those physical retail outlets - that in otherwise viable times - would constitute upwards of 70% of total U.K. retail sales should be given the same leniency that is afforded to their online competitors. Rishi Sunak must, upon the ending of lockdown, double down on his suspension of business rates with a VAT reduction applicable to all ‘brick and mortar’ retailers. Allowing the prices in shops to compete with the prices that can be found online would be a progressive move that would be in-step with the way that the general debate is heading. Countries such as Italy, Turkey and India have all taken measures which seek to redress the existing - and now exacerbated - imbalance between those who opt to start their enterprise in the heart of a community, and those who deviate from making such a social contribution by performing their business through faceless ecommerce. Of course, the lower prices afforded by online retailers is welcomed and greatly appreciated by consumers, but so to is the bustle and thriving atmosphere of a vibrant and fighting-fit town centre. Similarly, the OECD and G20 have been engaged in considerable international discussion over how best to overcome the problems that internet retail brings. However, these ideas centre around an Online Sales Tax that many in the U.K. see as a “viable alternative” ( in the words of the Treasury Select Committee). The IBN believes that, whilst a long term review of the applicability of such a tax must be properly considered, that to truly create an immediately applicable dynamic and level- playing field the VAT rate payable by physical retailers must be reduced to 14%. Such a cut would be both symbolic and practical in nature. By allowing all businesses that qualify to pay business rates to reduce their prices by 5% the government
would be throwing its support behind a sector that is important economically, socially and culturally. On top of this, the fall in costs would evidently have a desirable impact on footfall, which is expected to languish close to 60% below pre-COVID levels. The IBN calculates that a 5% VAT cut for physical retailers until the end of 2021 would cost approximately £7.6bn
4. A Government advertisement campaign "you should avoid pubs, clubs, theatres and other such social venues". “Stay home. Protect the NHS. Save lives.” “Act like you’ve got it (Covid)” “People will die.” Since the arrival of Covid-19, the Government has spent vast sums of money actively dissuading people from partaking in the social activities that are the lifeblood of the static hospitality sector. Not only have restaurants, pubs and eateries been forced to endure an outright ban on trading, but they now also face a looming business context within which the population have been told they are at serious risk. Analysis by the Independent Business Network has found that the Cabinet Office spent, between March and November 2020, £156 million on marketing and advertising campaigns with the explicit intent to stigmatise the key pillars of static hospitality such as socialising in groups and spending long periods of time in large-crowded rooms. Of course, this is to make no mention of the ubiquitous news coverage that the pandemic has received for nearly 12 months. Early-stage academic work has sought to discern the sheer level of penetration that the pandemic has received in the UK’s news agenda, and its impact on individual behaviour, with worrying conclusions made22. The relaxation of restrictions over summer provides a case study for the negative impacts a year of constant government messaging can have on the demand for static hospitality. In July 2020 pub sales were 44.7% below what they had been in the same month the year previously23. August also showed a depression of 9.4%24. Although this was a marked improvement, it is of course worth noting that this was during the zenith of the eat-out-to- help-out agenda, and that the overall context has dramatically worsened since then. In June 2020, before the reopening of hospitality, only a lukewarm 55% of people felt that they should be allowed to resume business25 and only 25% of people felt comfortable returning to hospitality venues straight away26. The government must make a public commitment now, to assuage the growing concerns of many pub owners about depressed demand, to financially support a nationwide advertising campaign. It must be coordinated in conjunction with industry bodies, and at the very least match the expenditure spent on last year’s anti-hospitality advertisement. It must show the 22 JMIR - Collective Response to Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and Wikipedia: Mixed- Methods Analysis | Gozzi | Journal of Medical Internet Research 23 Pub and restaurant groups see sales halved in first month back – Davis Coffer Lyons (dcl.co.uk) 24 • COVID-19 UK pub/restaurant re-opening sales change | Statista 25 The public increasingly concerned about next week’s lockdown easing | YouGov 26 RSPH | One in two won’t feel safe visiting pubs for at least three months, as more businesses reopen this weekend
significant work undertaken by the hospitality sector to keep people safe and must seek to highlight the relative safety that the vaccine rollout will provide consumers. There is a natural plateau in advertising, at which point excess spending becomes superfluous. Analysing the monthly amounts spent by the Cabinet Office, it would seem that an expenditure of £45 million per month would constitute a sizeable and effective budget for this campaign. Continuing at this rate for 4 months would cost the government £180 million. Combining this messaging with a second the eat-out-to-help-out offering is a must in order to persuade individuals to return to venues. However, lessons must be learnt from last August’s scheme, and the government must not place arbitrary limits on the funds available. Rishi Sunak originally set aside just £500 million for this scheme, and whilst the outlay did ultimately end up reaching nearly £850 million, the future manoeuvrability of the scheme was undermined by the fact it had gone over budget. This time, it is imperative that the government gives itself suitable flexibility to prolong the scheme if required. Bearing in mind that just 46% of the population participated in the scheme last time, the IBN expects that this figure will initially be much lower as restrictions are only gradually lifted. This must mean that the scheme, in tandem with the advertising, should run for a period of up to four months; giving people time to capitalise on the scheme and to become reaccustomed and confident in visiting hospitality venues.
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