A review of national EV statistics and state-specific travel patterns and transportation electrification metrics - Atlas Public Policy September 2020
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A review of national EV statistics and state- specific travel patterns and transportation electrification metrics Atlas Public Policy September 2020
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Data Sources by Category
• All national data is collected by Atlas
National Figures
• State-specific metrics are either
statewide or from 3 urban regions in • Atlas EV Hub Dashboards
Virginia (Core Based Statistical Area):
• Hampton Roads (Charlotte-Concord- State Emissions
Gastonia, NC-SC)
• U.S. EPA/EIA
• Richmond (Richmond, VA) • Union of Concerned Scientists
• Northern Virginia
• Caveats State Travel Behavior
• Travel and transit data include
• Federal Highway Administration
neighboring states (North Carolina, DC,
Maryland) • 2017 National Household Travel Survey (NHTS)
• National Household Travel Survey (NHTS)
data is a survey (not population-level State Mass Transit
data) • National Transit Database
Review of EV sales, government funding, and market
developments
• The auto market overall saw a 24% decline in the first half of 2020 due to COVID-19 • U.S. passenger EV sales total 1.55 million through June 2020 • EV market holding steady around 2% of all light-duty vehicle sales and > 5% of passenger car sales • Tesla accounts for 60% of sales since 2018
• Investors remain bullish on EVs
despite recent sales dip due to
COVID-19
• $435 billion in global investment
• $64 billion destined for U.S.
• Startups brought in $8.5 billion in
new investment in July and August
• Tesla stocks rose from $1,200 in
early July to $2,200 in late August
before completing a 5-1 split of
their stock
• Prices have fallen since the beginning
of September
EV Funding
$48,269,635 (4%)
$120,532,598 (10%)
• Government programs have $100,054,075 (8%)
provided more than $1.2
billion for electric trucks and
buses through August 2020
• Almost 60% going to electric
transit buses
$712,304,386 (59%)
• Electric trucks and school
buses each claim 20% $225,134,436 (19%)
• 18% of funding awarded
through the VW Settlement
Transit Bus School Bus Freight Trucks Delivery Trucks Other Trucks
• More than 14 new EVs introduced since July 2019 • Luxury brands like BMW, Volvo and Porsche claim the most EV models • Ford, GM, and Fiat-Chrysler only claim 5 out of 52 EVs across all brands
More EV Models are Coming Very Soon • Some new EVs have been delayed by COVID-19 • Rivian and Tesla electric pickups expected in second half of 2021 • Volkswagen ID4 crossover in production in Europe, will be made in U.S. in 2022
• More than 17,600 fast charging ports
• More competition for market-leader Tesla
• Electrify America nationwide network reaches coast to coast
* Estimated based on dates stations added to AFDC Station Locator Source: Atlas EV Hub (www.atlasevhub.com)• Bloomberg New Energy Finance
(BNEF) projects EVs to reach 60%
of new passenger vehicles sales in
the U.S. by 2040.
• EVs only expected to account for
4% of new vehicles sales in 2023
• Electric buses and trucks to make
up 64% and 15% of global fleets by
2040
Source: BNEFAnalysis of emissions and EV deployment and funding
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA$20 million in
Awarded $20
Developing approved EV
Million From VW
Statewide EV investment from
Settlement to EV
Rebate for 2021 Dominion
School Buses
EnergyEV Sales (through June 2020) EV Charging Deployment • State Total: 24,806 (15th in nation) • State Level 2 Total: 1,553 ports • Change 2019-2020 ( Jan - June): -30% • State DCFC Total: 523 ports (8 th in nation) • EVs per 1k People: 3 (20th in nation) • DCFC per 1k people: 0.6 (16th in nation) • Models Available: 45 out of 52 Approved Utility Investment Government Funding • State Approved Total: $20 million • State Total: $49 million • Pending Investment: $0 million • % of total awarded in 2020: 0%
’
Mobile Emissions by Mode (tons) • Virginia ranks 17th of 50
On-Road Heavy
Non-Road Duty Vehicles
4%
states in total CO2 emissions
Equipment
30%
Aircraft and 31st in energy
4%
consumption per capita
Locomotives
• Light-duty vehicles account for
1%
Commercial
Marine
Vessels
60% of the state’s mobile
1%
emissions of criteria air
pollutants
On-Road Light
Duty Vehicles
60% Sources: EIA State Carbon Dioxide Emissions Data, EIA State Profiles• Urban areas of the state fall in
in SRVC grid region
• Driving an EV charged in SRVC
region produces emissions
comparable to an 85-mpg
vehicle
• This puts the state below the
national average of 88 mpg
Source: Union of Concerned Scientists• 25k EVs sold in Virginia through June
2020
• 15th out of 50 states
• 3 EVs per 1,000 people
• 20th out of 50 states
• Sales down 26 percent in Q1 and Q2
compared to 2019
• Most Popular EVs since 2019:
• Tesla Model 3 (4,198)
• Tesla Model X (654)
• Tesla Model S (407)EV Awards
$34M from VW
$49 M awarded for EVs Settlement
and EV charging in 19 electric
Virginia through transit buses
$15,090,000
deployed - 19th
August 2020 in nation (31%)
$20,000,000
(41%)
EVs account for 100% 50% of state’s
VW Settlement
of awards made allocation
through VW Settlement unspent
State working with
50 to be
Dominion Energy to
deployed in
$14,000,000
electrify all school 2020
(28%)
buses in Virginia Transit Bus Charging Station School Bus• In June 2020, Dominion Energy announced that they
would deploy 50 electric school buses in Virginia by the
end of the year
• The utility is exploring bi-directional power flow
(V2G) between the grid and buses
• Dominion is working with the state as it awards
VW Settlement funds
• Dominion committed to electrifying all buses in their
service territory, more than 1,000 vehicles by 2030
• Dominion was approved to invest $20 million for
separate EV programs in March 2020.
• The program will support 425 Level 2 and 34 DCFC
stations throughout the state
• This includes almost $8 million in support for
transit bus electrification, an
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA-NCA review of VMT statewide and travel choices in three primary
metro regions using data from the 2017 National Household
Travel Survey
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA• Trucks, including light-duty, VMT (million of miles)
account for 24% of all vehicle 5,373 (6%)243 (0%)
525 (1%)
miles traveled (VMT) in the
state 15,624 (18%)
• Drivers in Virginia’s largest
metro regions reported an
average 12,570 annual VMT
• This is higher than the average of
11,600 annual VMT across the 50
most populous metros 63,572 (75%)
Motorcycle Passenger Vehicle Light Truck Bus Other Truck
Source: https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2018/vm4.cfm• 8.56 million vehicles registered Top 10 Registrations
in Virginia as of December Ford F150
2018 Honda Accord
• Ford F150 beats Honda Accord Honda Civic
in 109 out of 134 counties:
Chevrolet Silverado
Toyota Camry
Honda CR-V
Ford Explorer
Nissan Altima
Toyota Corolla
Ford Escape
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000
** F150 may include other Ford F-Series that are not light-duty
Source: Virginia Department of Motor Vehicles• +24,000 EVs on the road as of January 1, 2020
• Top 5 selling brands reveal concentration of Tesla in most populated parts of state
• 10,785 Teslas
• 3,107 Chevrolets
• 2,170 Fords
• 1,894 Toyotas
• 1,376 Nissans
Source: Virginia Department of Motor Vehicles• In urban Virginia, personal vehicles made up 82% of reported annual VMT
• The average across the 52 major U.S. metro areas* was 90%
• Compared to the average across these 52 metro areas, urban drivers in Virginia drive more SUVs
Annual VMT in Metro VA by Vehicle Annual VMT in All U.S. Major Metro
Type Regions by Vehicle Type
8% 9%
7%
9%
55% 54%
30%
28%
* Combined Statistical Areas with a population of more than 1 million Source: https://nhts.ornl.gov/Annual Passenger Miles Per Person by Mode
Walk Bike School Bus Transit Bus Train
1,000
900
800 • Northern Virginia metro area
Annual Passenger Miles Per Person by Mode
700 including Washington DC
responsible for almost all
transit use in urban Virginia
600
500
• Train travel is particularly
400 high in Northern Virginia
300
compared to the metro
region average
200
100
0
VA Metros Top 52 MetrosA review of transit patterns in major urban areas using data
from the National Transit Database• Northern Virginia has highest per capita bus travel of
all three regions
• Per capita public transit travel is higher in Richmond
than in Hampton Roads
• Per capita rail transit in Northern Virginia is almost
thee times higher than bus travel
Annual Person Miles Travelled per Capita (2018)
350
Annual Person Miles Travelled per
300
250
Capita (Miles)
200
150
100
50
0
Richmond Hampton Roads Northern Virginia
Demand Response Rail Bus Vanpool
Source: https://www.transit.dot.gov/ntd/transit-agency-profiles2018 Passenger Northern VA
2018 Passenger Miles
Miles by Vehicle
Fuel Type by Vehicle Fuel 17%
Type
23%
10%
0%
• Transit agencies awarded $10 million for 50%
electric transit bus procurement since 2018
Diesel Electric Battery Electric Propulsion CNG Gasolin
• Neither Richmond nor Hampton Roads Richmond + Hampton
reported passenger miles on battery electric
transit in 2018 Roads
• Electric train travel supplies 50% of
passenger miles in Northern Virginia
31%
• Diesel buses dominated miles provided in
Richmond and Hampton Roads
• Northern Virginia only region reporting CNG
buses
0%
0% 67%
Source: https://www.transit.dot.gov/ntd/data-product/2018-fuel-and-energy• As of 2019, Northern Virginia has deployed 15 battery electric buses
• Almost all the buses in Richmond and Hampton Roads are diesel fueled
• Hampton Roads received selected in 2018 Federal Grant cycle for $2.3 million award for electric transit buses
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Hampton Roads (2019) Richmond (2011) Northern VA (2019)
CNG 0 35 824
Diesel Hybrid 27 0 920
Battery Electric 0 0 15
Diesel 309 314 1167
Note: Richmond has not reported bus fleet data to APTA since 2011
Source: https://www.apta.com/research-technical-resources/transit-statistics/vehicle-database/info@atlaspolicy.com
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