2019 RESULTS AND BALANCE SHEET STRENGTHENING - February 19, 2020 - Vallourec
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LEGAL DISCLAIMER Forward-Looking Statements This presentation may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms as “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “may”, “assume”, “plan”, “intend”, “will”, “should”, “estimate”, “risk” and or, in each case, their negative, or other variations or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts and include statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, Vallourec’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the industries in which they operate. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. These risks include those developed or identified in the public documents filed by Vallourec with the French Financial Markets Authority (Autorité des marches financiers, or “AMF”), including those listed in the “Risk Factors” section of the Registration Document filed with the AMF on March 29, 2019 under number D.19-0231. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that Vallourec’s or any of its affiliates’ actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industries in which they operate may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if Vallourec’s or any of its affiliates’ results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industries in which they operate are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods. Cautionary Statement This presentation does not, and shall not, in any circumstances constitute a public offering or an invitation to the public in connection with any offer. No communication and no information in respect of this transaction may be distributed to the public in any jurisdiction where a registration or approval is required. No steps have been or will be taken in any jurisdiction (other than France) where such steps would be required. The issue, the subscription for or the purchase of Vallourec’s shares may be subject to specific legal or regulatory restrictions in certain jurisdictions. 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This presentation is not a prospectus which has been approved by the Financial Conduct Authority or any other United Kingdom regulatory authority for the purposes of Section 85 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. This presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States. Vallourec shares may not be sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Vallourec does not intend to register in the United States any portion of the offering mentioned in this presentation or to conduct a public offering of the shares in the United States. The distribution of this presentation in certain countries may constitute a breach of applicable law. The information contained in this presentation does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan. 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY LAUNCHING RIGHTS ISSUE AND RCF REFINANCING TO SUPPORT VALLOUREC’S TURN-AROUND AND STRATEGY EXECUTION ► 2019 Results: • 2019 EBITDA more than doubled, reaching €347m Full Year • Net debt close to stable at €2,031m Strong 2019 Results and 2020 Targets ► 2020 Targets: Confirming our Operational Recovery • €500m EBITDA • Slightly positive Free Cash Flow • Phasing reflecting usual low seasonality in Q1 and with H2 significantly stronger than H1 ► Renewed competitiveness already translating into tangible commercial wins ► Unique positions to benefit from step change in Brazil off-shore activity and steady recovery in international markets Well Identified Levers for Sustained ► New products, services and digital solutions to capture incremental revenues Value Creation ► Additional savings through “Acceleration” program and further deployment of Brazilian and Asian routes ► Identified opportunities to leverage our expertise and assets in new quickly-emerging Energy Transition markets ► €800m fully underwritten rights issue • Proforma leverage of c.2.8x at year-end 2020 and strengthened credit profile Balance Sheet Strengthening and • Reduced financial charges by c.€50m p.a. compared to 2019 from combined rights issue, RCF Liquidity Extension refinancing and exercise of call option on lease contract in Brazil ► €800m new revolving credit facility secured • 4-year maturity with 1-year extension option 3 19 February, 2020 3
KEY HIGHLIGHTS (1/2) 1 TURN-AROUND MATERIALIZING: STRONG IMPROVEMENT IN PROFITABILITY AND CASH GENERATION FY 2019: Strong Improvement in EBITDA and FCF Q4 2019: EBITDA Up and Positive FCF Year-on-year increase in revenue at €4,173m, up EBITDA at €94m, +6% compared to Q4 2018 +6% driven by Oil & Gas notably in EA-MEA regions Temporary lower activity in US onshore More than offset by Oil & Gas in EA-MEA, start of EBITDA more than doubled at €347m, above guidance, deep off-shore ramp-up in Brazil, mine contribution reflecting mainly better price/mix in Oil & Gas EA-MEA, mine contribution and savings Strong savings EBITDA margin at 8.3%, up from 3.8% in 2018 Positive free cash flow at €76m Free cash flow at (€41)m, considerably improved from Working capital reduced by €170m (€494)m in 2018 Net WCR days reduced to 106 days on an annual quarterly average basis (vs 113 days in 2018) 19 February, 2020 5
KEY HIGHLIGHTS (2/2) 2 3 Restored Competitiveness Driving ESG at the Core of Vallourec Strategy Commercial Momentum Vallourec recently included in the Signing of the mega contract ADNOC for $900m “A List” for carbon management i.e. belonging to the 2% best performers worldwide Signing of a contract with Technip FMC to supply Vallourec upgraded to “AA” from seamless steel rigid risers for the pre-salt field “A” reflecting Group’ successful Mero 1 in Brazil achievements Vallourec ranked among the top 15 Launch of Vallourec.smart brand and associated best performing companies in digital offers terms of ESG in the Oil & Gas Equipment segment (116 peers) Creation of a dedicated CSR committee within the Supervisory Board Top ESG achievements 74.5% of employees satisfied to work at Vallourec Strong commitment to the ethics and anti-corruption codes Almost neutral carbon footprint (only 140 ktons of direct emissions of CO2) 19 February, 2020 6
FY 2019 REVENUE BY MARKET UP 6.4% VERSUS 2018 (+5% AT CONSTANT EXCHANGE RATES), WITH OIL & GAS EA-MEA LEADING THE GROWTH Oil & Gas Industry and Other +11% YoY (+8%1) +15% YoY (+16%1) FY 2019 revenue ► EA-MEA: in millions of € ► Europe: • Significant increase fueled by volumes and and as a % of revenue • Industry revenue down, in a challenging market price/mix environment ► North America: • Slightly higher revenue with H1 performance ► South America: offsetting H2 market slowdown exacerbated by • Higher revenue from iron ore reflecting sales temporary destocking at distributors volume increase and higher iron ore price 2,752 • Lower revenues in lndustry ► South America: 66% • Lower full year revenue driven by the first 9 months, with in Q4 a strong increase in deliveries for offshore in Brazil, to be amplified over 2020 4,173 939 22% Power Generation Petrochemicals -34% YoY (-34%1) -16% YoY (-17%1) 192 • Sharp decline in revenue for coal-fired 290 5% conventional power plants, as anticipated ► Decrease in volumes sold in North America 7% Note: 1. At constant exchange rates 19 February, 2020 8
FY 2019 EBITDA 2018 – 2019 REVENUE BRIDGE ► Revenue up €252m or +6% €m • Positive price/mix effect of +8% mainly driven by EA-MEA Oil & 302 72 4,173 Gas 3,921 (122) • Negative volume effect of -3% • Positive currency effect of +2% 2018 Volume Price / Mix Forex 2019 Change In millions of euros 2019 2018 YoY ► Industrial margin up €159m, or +2.9p.p. REVENUE 4,173 3,921 6% • Reflecting mainly higher price/mix in Oil & Gas EA-MEA, higher mine contribution and cost savings, largely offsetting lower Cost of sales (3,435) (3,342) 3% contribution from North America Industrial margin 738 579 27% (as % of revenue) 17.7% 14.8% + 2.9p.p. • IFRS 16 impact: +€33m SG&A costs (378) (405) -7% (as % of revenue) 9.1% 10.3% -1.2p.p. ► SG&A reduced by 7% and down in percentage of revenue Other income (expense), net (13) (24) na from 10.3% to 9.1% reflecting continued cost discipline EBITDA 347 150 +€197m EBITDA margin (as % of revenue) 8.3% 3.8% +4.5p.p. ► EBITDA increase by €197m, at €347m, margin up 4.5p.p. 19 February, 2020 9
FY 2019 EBITDA TO NET INCOME Change In millions of euros 2019 2018 YoY ► Operating result improved by €260m, at (€17)m EBITDA 347 150 +€197m • Mainly driven by higher EBITDA EBITDA margin (as % of revenue) 8.3% 3.8% +4.5p.p. • Lower impairment charges at (€30)m, mainly related to the Depreciation of industrial assets (249) (266) -6% impairment of an asset dedicated to nuclear activity in China Amortization and other depreciation (58) (34) na • “Assets disposal, restructuring and other” at (€27)m, mainly reflecting the decision to close the Reisholz Powergen plant in Impairment of assets (30) (53) na Germany Asset disposals, restructuring and other (27) (74) na • “Amortization and other depreciation” at (€58)m, of which (€27)m IFRS 16 impact OPERATING INCOME (LOSS) (17) (277) +€260m Net financial income (loss) (244) (220) 11% ► Financial charges up 11% PRE-TAX INCOME (LOSS) (261) (497) +€236m • Higher interest expenses, as well as IFRS 16 impact on lease Income tax (75) (5) na debt for (€11)m, partly offset by a decrease in foreign exchange Share in net income (loss) of (4) 2 na hedging costs associates CONSOLIDATED NET INCOME (340) (500) +€160m ► Pre-tax loss reduced by €236m (LOSS) Non-controlling interests 2 2 na NET INCOME (LOSS), GROUP ► Income tax increase to (€75)m, mainly in Brazil (338) (502) +€164m SHARE EARNINGS PER SHARE (in €) (0.7) (1.1) €0.4 ► Significant reduction of net loss by €164m, to (€338)m 19 February, 2020 10
Q4 2019 EBITDA Q4 2018 – Q4 2019 REVENUE BRIDGE ► Revenue decrease by 10% YoY €m • Negative volume effect of -25%: mainly lower deliveries in 1,116 280 North America including temporary effects of destocking at 165 3 1,004 distributors and lower deliveries of low end pipes • Strong positive price/mix effect of +15% driven by better mix in Oil & Gas in EA-MEA and better mix and prices in Q4 '18 Volume Price / Mix Forex Q4' 19 South America Change In millions of euros Q4 2019 Q4 2018 ► EBITDA at €94m, up 6% YoY YoY REVENUE 1,004 1,116 -10% • Industrial margin at €180m, reflecting lower contribution Cost of sales (824) (910) -9% from North America, partly offset by higher contribution from Oil & Gas in Brazil and iron ore Industrial margin 180 206 -13% (as % of revenue) 17.9% 18.5% -0.6p.p. • SG&A costs reduced by 18% and decreased in percentage of revenue from 9.5% to 8.7% SG&A costs (87) (106) -18% • IFRS 16 impact: +€8m (as % of revenue) 8.7% 9.5% -0.8p.p. Other income (expense), net 1 (11) na EBITDA 94 89 6% EBITDA margin (as % of revenue) 9.4% 8.0% +1.4p.p. 19 February, 2020 11
Q4 2019 EBITDA TO NET INCOME Q4 Q4 Change In millions of euros 2019 2018 YoY EBITDA 94 89 6% EBITDA as % of revenue 9.4% 8.0% +1.4p.p. ► Operating result improved by €34m YoY Depreciation of industrial assets (66) (69) -4% • Higher EBITDA Amortization and other depreciation (14) (8) na • Asset disposals, restructuring and other at (€23)m, mainly Impairment of assets - (38) na reflecting decision to close the Reisholz Powergen plant in Asset disposals, restructuring and other (23) (17) na Germany OPERATING INCOME (LOSS) (9) (43) +€34m • Amortization and other depreciation include IFRS 16 impact for Net financial income (loss) (66) (55) 20% (€7)m PRE-TAX INCOME (LOSS) (75) (98) +€23m ► Slightly higher financial charges Income tax (36) (3) na • Higher interest expenses and (€3)m negative IFRS 16 impact Share in net income (loss) of associates (2) - na ► Pre-tax result improved by €23m, more than offset by CONSOLIDATED NET INCOME increased income tax in Brazil (113) (101) -€12m (LOSS) Non-controlling interests 2 (2) Na ► Net result, Group share, at (€111)m NET INCOME (LOSS), GROUP SHARE (111) (103) -€8m EARNINGS PER SHARE (in €) (0.2) (0.2) Na 19 February, 2020 12
CONTINUED PROGRESS IN WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY NET WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENT DAYS1 Number of days 162 160 154 149 148 135 141 133 Annual 133 124 115 114 121 114 113 117 Quarterly 114 111 112 108 105 106 Average 94 95 84 Period Q1.15 Q1.15 Q2.15 Q2.15 Q3.15 Q3.15 Q4.15 Q4.15 Q1.16 Q1.16 Q2.16 Q2.16 Q3.16 Q3.16 Q4.16 Q4.16 Q1.17 Q1.17 Q2.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 Q3.18 Q4.18 Q4.18 Q1.19 Q1.19 Q2.19 Q2.19 Q3.19 Q3.19 Q4.19 Q4.19 Annualized quarterly 4,208 4,072 3,488 3,444 2,684 3,052 2,772 3,351 3,132 3,732 3,856 4,280 3,449 3,928 3,844 4,464 4,100 4,336 4,240 4,016 sales (€m) Net WCR1 1,873 1,783 1,473 1,088 1,098 1,114 1,028 1,051 1,206 1,165 1,169 990 1,147 1,222 1,310 1,152 1,316 1,279 1,220 1,046 (€m) ► Net working capital requirement at 95 days at end 2019, similar to the level reached at end 2018 ► On an annual quarterly average basis, net WCR days reduced to 106, down from 113 in 2018 Note: 1. Net WCR defined as trade receivables plus inventories minus trade payables, net of provisions for inventories and trade receivables; net WCR days are computed on an annualized quarterly sales basis 19 February, 2020 13
FY 2019 AND Q4 FREE CASH FLOW ► Considerable improvement in full year Free Cash Flow at (€41)m versus (€494)m in 2018 ► Supported by largely improved cash flow from operating activities and positive change in working capital requirement Q4 Q4 YoY Change Change €m 2019 2018 Q4/Q4 (€m) FY 2019 FY 2018 (€m) 1► Large improvement in Cash flow from operating Cash flow from operating activities activities +€204m, nearly 1 (14) (13) -1 (6) (210) +204 (A) breakeven Change in operating WCR (B) 2 [+ decrease, (increase)]1 170 154 +16 124 (155) +279 2► Operating WCR reduced by €124m 3 Gross capex (C) (80) (65) -15 (159) (129) -30 3► Capex spend reflecting discipline and rigorous 4 Free cash flow2 (A)+(B)+(C) 76 76 - (41) (494) +453 design approach 4 Q4 similar to Q4 2018 Notes: 1. Operating WCR includes WCR as well as other operating liabilities and receivables 2. Free cash flow (FCF) is a non-GAAP measure and is defined as cash flow from operating activities minus gross capital expenditure and plus/minus change in operating working capital requirement 19 February, 2020 14
FY 2019 NET DEBT 2018 – 2019 NET DEBT BRIDGE €m Net Debt Net Debt ► Net financial debt as at as at as at Net Debt December 31st 2019 : €2,031m Dec 31st 2018 Jan 1st 2019 as at Free cash- Dec 31st 2019 • Gross debt : €3,824m flow = • Cash on hand: €1,794m (€41)m ► Bank facilities as at December 31st 2019: Change • Drawn: €1,702m Asset Cash Flow in op. disposals • Undrawn and fully available WCR 2 Capex from Op. & other Activities bank facilities: €426m IFRS 16 items 3 impact 1 (1,999) (6) 124 (159) 9 (2,031) (2,058) 59 2019A Leverage: 5.9x Notes: 1. Reclassified to lease debt under IFRS 16 2. Change in operating working capital requirement, + decrease/(increase) 3. Mainly i) On February 19th 2019, Sumitomo Corporation contributed in cash to a capital increase of Vallourec Star, a Vallourec's subsidiary in the United States, pro rata its holding percentage (19.47%), for an amount of $59 million (c. €52 million) ii) Repayment of (€33)m of financial leasing debts under IFRS 16 19 February, 2020 15
3 VALLOUREC STRATEGY A LEANER AND MORE COMPETITIVE COMPANY, WITH WELL IDENTIFIED LEVERS FOR VALUE CREATION 16
A A Leaner and More Competitive Company B Well Identified Levers for Value Creation 19 February, 2020 17
A A LEANER AND MORE COMPETITIVE COMPANY, FOLLOWING THE SUCCESSFUL DELIVERY ON 2016 STRATEGIC INITIATIVES 1 OUTPERFORMED COST SAVINGS TARGET SET IN OUR TRANSFORMATION PLAN 2 EUROPE: STRONG FOOTPRINT ADAPTATION 3 NEW HIGHLY COMPETITIVE ROUTES SUCCESSFULLY DEPLOYED 4 A LEANER, STATE OF THE ART AND FLEXIBLE INDUSTRIAL FOOTPRINT RESTORED COMPETITIVENESS ALREADY MATERIALIZING IN ACCELERATED COMMERCIAL 5 MOMENTUM 19 February, 2020 18
A 1 OUTPERFORMED COST SAVINGS TARGET ► Initial 2016-2020 gross cost savings target of €400m surpassed in 2018 with €445m achieved ► Additional 2019-2020 gross savings plan of €200m will be overachieved: €141m already achieved in 2019 €586M GROSS COST SAVINGS ACHIEVED OVER 2016-2019 MANUFACTURING AND SG&A COSTS/T DOWN 40% OVER 2016-2019 €m €586m Manufacturing (excl. raw materials)1 + SG&A (€/t) €1,748/t €713/t 151 164 130 141 €1,035/t 7% 8% 6% 7% 2016a 2017a 2018a 2019a 2016a 2019a % % total cost base (excluding raw materials, direct cost of sales, R&D) ► c.40% cost reduction over three years through savings, capacity rationalization, and new routes deployment GROUP HEADCOUNT2 EVOLUTION 2014-2019 : -21% 23,709 1,065 ► Reduction of headcount by c.3,500 in Europe (i.e. -35%) and 18,827 (3,455) (1,574) c.1,600 in Brazil (i.e. -19%) (733) (185) ► Integration of Tianda in 2017 Headcount Europe South North Middle East Asia Headcount '14 America America Africa '19 Notes: 1. Cost of sales, excluding raw materials and including forex, inflation and perimeter effects 2. Group headcount including permanent, fixed term and apprentices and excluding agency workers 19 February, 2020 19
A 2 EUROPE: STRONG FOOTPRINT ADAPTATION 2016: 19 SITES IN FRANCE AND GERMANY POST-2020: 2 PRODUCTION HUBS REMAINING Germany Germany Mülheim Mülheim Düsseldorf (x2) Düsseldorf (x2) Saint-Saulve (x2) Saint-Saulve Maubeuge Reisholz Mülheim Aulnoye (x3) Aulnoye (x2) Déville Montbard (x2) Cosne sur Loire Montbard (x2) Villechaud Venarey-Les-Laumes (x2) La Charité sur Loire (#) Number of Sites (#) Number of Sites Mills France France Finishing Tarbes Valinox Nucléaire / Vallourec Bearing Tubes (specialty sites) ► Rationalization over 2016-2018: 10 plants restructured or divested ► Optimized footprint ► Rationalization over 2019-2020: Reisholz mill closure announced Feb.2020 • Hubs located in Düsseldorf (Germany) and Aulnoye (France) • Integrated flows with satellite sites Turn-around achieved, setting up Europe as center of excellence for advanced premium products, competitive on local market, flexible (short lead-time) route for exports 19 February, 2020 20
A 3 NEW COMPETITIVE ROUTES SUCCESSFULLY DEPLOYED BRAZIL ASIA : China + Indonesia Rationalization and Cost Savings Premiumization of Highly Competitive Manufacturing Base ► Successful integration within Vallourec’s global network • Tianda’s highly competitive facilities acquired in 2016, now fully ► Fixed costs rationalization / Improved performance in variable integrated to address local and export markets costs / Sourcing efficiencies • Ideal complement to existing finishing facilities: VAM® Changzhou (China) and Citra Tubindo (Indonesia) ► Sharing of best practices at Jeceaba site with Nippon Steel ► Premiumization to offer full scope product portfolio at highly ► Jeceaba site: rolling manufacturing costs1 reduced by 27% competitive cost since 2016 • Certification for premium products fully in line with plan ► Barreiro site: shut down of the 2 blast furnaces and steel mill • Share of premium volume rolled in Tianda increased from 4% to concentrate all steel production in Jeceaba state-of-the-art in 2017 to 20% in 2019 facility ► Significant contribution to commercial successes ► VSB exports representing more than 60% of total production • N°1 supplier of a major Chinese National Oil Company • Tianda products included in successful packages of recent awards in Middle-East and North Africa New routes utilization rate for Premium O&G EA-MEA demand2 increased from 19% in 2015 to 55% in 2019, resulting in increase in premium products exported from VSB and Tianda from 40kt in 2015 to 300kt in 2019 Notes: 1. Jeceaba Manufacturing Costs Tracker: tracker for VAM TOP 9 5/8 11.99mm L80, actual average costs of goods sold, including depreciation and excluding SG&A (based on USD) 19 February, 2020 21
A 4 A LEANER, STATE OF THE ART AND FLEXIBLE INDUSTRIAL FOOTPRINT ► Since 2017, reduction of the breakeven point1 by c. 25% ► Share of Europe in total capacity reduced from c.45% to c.25% ► Brazil and Asia highly competitive both for local and export markets, while North America essentially self-sufficient ► Decisive progress in commercial agility thanks to flexible footprint NEW ROUTES DRIVING RESTORED COMPETITIVENESS PRODUCTION CAPACITY (%kt) Breakdown of rolling capacity: c.3mt/y Center of technological Brazil 2014a excellence c.30% NA c.45% Europe North c.25% Europe Asia Highly America Oil and gas local competitive market supply production Brazil hub China Highly Steel mills Finishing unit Europe competitive Tube mills Sales & Services office c.20% c.25% production 2019a R&D Plantation and mine hub c.30% c.25% North Brazil America Note: 1. Defined as sales volume (t) required to cover variable and fixed costs included in EBITDA and capex requirements 19 February, 2020 22
A 5 RESTORED COMPETITIVENESS ALREADY MATERIALIZING IN ACCELERATING COMMERCIAL MOMENTUM $900M ADNOC MEGA-CONTRACT ILLUSTRATES GROUP CAPABILITY TO PROVIDE GLOBAL OFFERING COMMERCIAL SUCCESSES IN BRAZIL ► One of the largest awards ever received by Vallourec thanks to: • April 2018, Vallourec signed a 3-year agreement to supply • Restructured industrial set-up and enhanced competitiveness thanks to new routes Petrobras with OCTG products and extended supply of services • Best-in-class integrated solutions, supported by new and innovative digital solutions • Contribution to customer’s In-Country Value Program commitment • Compliance with customer’s requirements on Quality, Health & Safety and • January 2019, multi-year agreement with Shell in Brazil including Environment integrated services ► Vallourec will deliver a wide range of products from API to high-end premium products from Europe, Brazil and China ► Vallourec will provide a comprehensive offer with full range of products and services: • April 2019, Vallourec won a major contract to supply seamless steel rigid line pipe for the pre-salt field • For both onshore and offshore drilling operations Mero 1 in Brazil • For applications ranging from conventional to complex wells After doubling between 2017 and 2018, OCTG tender hit ratio1 in EA-MEA continued to improve in 2019 thanks to the utilization of new routes Note: 1. Calculated on open tenders awarded to date 19 February, 2020 23
B 2020 AND BEYOND: TAKING VALLOUREC TO THE NEXT LEVEL VALLOUREC STRATEGIC ROADMAP 1 ► AccelerateACCELERATE PROFITABLE profitable revenue REVENUE on: growth by capitalizing GROWTH BY CAPITALIZING ON •a Supportive market fundamentals and strong positions in the most attractive markets •b Technological edge and brand recognition to develop new products and solutions •c Core capabilities to capture emerging opportunities for energy transition 2 ► Further enhance FURTHER ENHANCE COMPETITIVENESS competitiveness through: THROUGH •a Industrial excellence initiatives €200m additional gross cost savings targeted in 2021-2022 •b Increased efficiency of support functions •c Demand for O&G products in EA-MEA essentially allocated to new routes Well identified levers for value creation 19 February, 2020 24
B 1a SUPPORTIVE MARKET FUNDAMENTALS… FIELD DEPLETION IS THE KEY DRIVER… … BEHIND THE RECOVERY IN E&P CAPEX $bn – Yearly Growth Rate 2019-23: +3% % Oil Demand Growth (2018-2030) CAGR 2019-23 1.3% 699 EA-MEA: +3% 1.0% Latin America: +7% North America: +3% 544 522 496 481 475 Current Policies Scenario Stated Policies Scenario 455 Source: International Energy Agency – Dec 2019 Depletion rates All oil fields US shale (4.5%) Observed decline rate1 (39%) (8%) US shale decline rate Natural decline rate2 2014a 2018a 2019e 2020e 2021e 2022e 2023e EA MEA Latin America North America Total Source: International Energy Agency – Dec 2019 Source: BTU Analytics Source: IHS – Global Upstream Spending - December 2019 (latest) Notes: 1. Production evolution if only investment to enhance already producing fields output is made, no new field is brought on stream 2. Production evolution if no investment, either to bring new field onstream or to enhance already producing field output is made 19 February, 2020 25
B 1a … AND STRONG POSITIONS IN THE MOST ATTRACTIVE MARKETS BRAZIL: A UNIQUE POSITION AND EXPERTISE IN THE FASTEST GROWING OFFSHORE MARKET IN THE COMING YEARS MASSIVE INVESTMENTS IN E&P RIGHTS IN 2017-2019 BIDDING ROUNDS VALLOUREC’S STRENGTHS WITH LARGE PARTICIPATION FROM MAJORS Acquired Offshore Acreage (km2) since 2017 ► Vallourec is the only local producer of seamless tubes in Brazil Total: 55,000 km2 ► Unique offer of local services 19 800 ► Frame agreement with Petrobras, underpinned by longstanding relationship and supply chain integration 12 650 ► Recognized as a supplier of choice by IOCs in Brazil 8 250 • All 2019 rigid pipes tenders won 5 500 3 850 ► Exclusively high end Premium due to very demanding nature of presalt deep 2 200 2 200 550 off-shore ► Close collaborative relationships with customers • Providing full visibility on customers’ 2020 drilling plans Others Source: ANP Brazilian National Agency of Petroleum, Company Information SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN PETROBRAS E&P CAPEX DOUBLING OF BRAZIL OFFSHORE WELL COUNT Average of Petrobras’ Exploration Capex Per Year ($bn) Petrobras E&P Capex 2020-23, ($bn) Offshore Drilled Well Count in Brazil (Number of drilled wells) 2.3 89 18 75 10 13 43 0.7 9 2016a – 2019a 2020e – 2024e 2020e 2021e 2022e 2023e 2019a 2020e 2021e Source: Petrobras, Investor Day Dec.2019 Source: Petrobras, Investor Day Dec.2019 Source : Vallourec Research 19 February, 2020 26
B 1a … AND STRONG POSITIONS IN THE MOST ATTRACTIVE MARKETS BRAZIL: EXPLOIT OUR MINE’S FULL POTENTIAL IRON ORE MINE ACTIVITY MAIN COMPONENTS OF THE PROJECT ► CAPEX of c.€65m ► The mine sells the main part of its production to the local market and Construction of a new ore treatment line supplies Vallourec’s blast furnace and plant to treat extracted poor Itabirite (30% pellet plant located in Jeceaba, Minas - 45% Fe) Gerais ► Production startup end-2021 ► Vallourec’s mine recognized as a benchmark in terms of environment ► Additional capacity of 3 Mt/y as from 2022 thanks to the filter press investment made in 2013-14 ► Payback c. 2.5 years ► Production of 6.2 mt in 2019 (+32% versus 2018) ► Increase mine lifetime from 2029 to 2062 ► Best-in-class cash cost position 19 February, 2020 27
B 1a … AND STRONG POSITIONS IN THE MOST ATTRACTIVE MARKETS EA-MEA: LEVERAGING STRONG COMMERCIAL PRESENCE AND COMPETITIVENESS IN A RECOVERING MARKET VALLOUREC’S STRENGTHS EA-MEA FIDs EVOLUTION # of FIDs (reserves > 50mb) ► A reshaped and agile manufacturing set-up 42 43 • Restored competitiveness 34 23 25 • Flexible and complementary routes with Europe, Brazil and China 24 28 10 13 24 7 16 ► Proximity with customers thanks to local presence and ability to 9 18 12 15 6 1 1 7 10 provide local content solutions, such as in Saudi Arabia 2015a 2016a 2017a 2018a 2019e 2020e 2021e ► A complete product and service offer, with leading positions on Onshore Offshore Total Source: Wood Mackenzie – December 2019 Premium markets currently recovering EA-MEA as % of Total Vallourec O&G Revenue (average 2014-19) ► Most projects profitable at $50/bbl ► Following resumption of FIDs driven largely by onshore and brownfield offshore projects, offshore to drive the majority of future incremental More than 50% mainly on spending growth and greenfield projects restarting Premium Segments ► Leading to steady E&P capex growth over the coming years associated with more favourable OCTG products mix 19 February, 2020 28
B 1a … AND STRONG POSITIONS IN THE MOST ATTRACTIVE MARKETS NORTH AMERICA: VALLOUREC LEADING SUPPLIER FOR THE PREMIUM OIL & GAS MARKET VALLOUREC’S STRENGTHS US OCTG MARKET – STABILIZING ACTIVITY ► Fully integrated domestic player Mt – US Shipments 8.0 ► Leading supplier of seamless pipes for the Oil and Gas market 6.0 6.1 5.6 5.1 3.9 2.3 ► Highly flexible operations allowing to adapt to volatile market ► Opportunities for market share gains in an OCTG industry under 2014a 2015a 2016a 2017a 2018a 2019a 2020e consolidation Source: Preston Report – December 2019 – Shipments do not include change in inventories ► Sharp activity rebound and inventory replenishment in 2017 and steady North America as % of Total Vallourec O&G Revenue (average 2014-19) market growth in 2018 ► Slow-down in 2019 due to operator cash discipline and strong inventory c. 36% with strong market destocking in H2 shares in Premium and ► After decline along 2019, limited rig count gain expected compared to 2019 Semi-Premium ► Rebound in our volumes in Q1 2020, while prices are bottoming out ► Limited market growth expected post 2020, with operators prioritizing cash discipline 19 February, 2020 29
B 1b TECHNOLOGICAL EDGE AND BRAND RECOGNITION NUMBER OF NEW PATENTS FILED ► Dedicated R&D centers in Europe, Brazil and the US Proven Know-how & ► Over 500 researchers and technicians 28 23 20 20 16 Technology ► +50% co-filed VAM® patents with Nippon Steel over 2017-19 vs previous 3-year period 2015a 2016a 2017a 2018a 2019a ► VAM® brand name ► Co-development with Nippon Steel under shared R&D Leading Position in ► VAM® Field Services subsidiary to Premium OCTG agreement support customers on site Connections with ► #1 worldwide market share for VAM® connections VAM Product Family ► 200 licensees for maintenance and repair ► “VAM® system” developed by Vallourec close to customers operations ► Close collaboration with customers to develop Innovation customized solutions to meet customer’s specific with Customers needs 19 February, 2020 30
B 1b CAPTURING INCREMENTAL REVENUES WITH NEW PRODUCTS AND SOLUTIONS NEW VAM® CONNECTIONS FOR PREMIUM O&G MARKETS HAVE BEEN RAPIDLY ADOPTED BY CLIENTS AROUND THE GLOBE VAM® HTTC offers extreme torque capability Advanced premium integral connection for The latest CLEANWELL® technology is a non- for highly deviated and lateral sections of the deep offshore or High Pressure / High polluting coating applied in the mill to replace well – essential for extended reach drilling Temperature wells. both storage and running compounds, Successful introduction of VAM® breakthrough providing improved safety conditions on drilling technology for 20,000 psi HPHT application platforms, shorter installation time, and decrease in waste Part of the ADNOC recent mega tender (August 2019) Deployed in the US Gulf of Mexico North Sea, West Africa and Egypt Saudi Arabia in 2018 19 February, 2020 31
B 1b CAPTURING INCREMENTAL REVENUES WITH NEW PRODUCTS AND SOLUTIONS NEW DIGITAL SOLUTIONS ALREADY ON THE MARKET AND CONTRIBUTING TO COMMERCIAL DIFFERENTIATION Smartengo Smartengo Smartengo Smartengo Best Fit Running Expert Inventory Traceability Optimize fit-up Monitor running Give full visibility on Ensure traceability, operations by analyzing operations & tally inventory & enhance accelerate inbound pipe end dimensional construction. efficiency in all yard process & facilitate data for line-pipe Give access to run-in- operations pipe management welding hole construction with easy access to report pipe data Award for "Best Operational Performance 2020" recently delivered by Innovation Makers Alliance, with a specific focus on the Smartengo Best Fit solution and the data science models 19 February, 2020 32
B 1c LEVERAGE OUR EXPERTISE TO PREPARE FOR THE FUTURE WITH ENERGY TRANSITION SOLUTIONS ENERGY TRANSITION AND CO2 EMISSION REDUCTION OFFER OPPORTUNITIES FOR Geothermal – Commercial phase, expanding existing business VALLOUREC ► Capitalize on VAM® to develop a dedicated product and service offer ► Significant growth expected over 2020-2030 for geothermal application and beyond ► Markets where our core customers invest multi- Wind Offshore – Development phase bn$ ► Capitalize on design capabilities to develop an innovative jacket installation solution, ensuring faster and environmental-friendly sea-bed OUR EXPERTISE AND INNOVATION EFFORTS anchoring operations for Offshore windmills ARE WELL SUITED TO SUPPORT OUR CUSTOMERS IN FOUR CLUSTERS CCUS – Applied research phase, partnership with O&G majors ► Recognized track record in supplying products for geothermal applications ► Leverage our material expertise to develop services to CO2-capture technology providers ► PREON® experience in light tubular steel ► Combine VAM®’s seal tightness performance with the development of structure for complex construction “intelligent pipes” to offer a global integrity solution for CO2 transportation ► Strong know-how (steel, pipe and connection and injection ecosystem design) in conveying and containing dangerous fluids safely Hydrogen – Definition of offering for highly promising market ► A dedicated organization launched to drive ► Develop tubular solutions for Hydrogen storage in salt caverns innovation projects related to energy transition ► Develop storage, compression & distribution systems for refueling stations Identified projects to ramp up into material revenue by 2025 19 February, 2020 33
B 2a €200M ADDITIONAL GROSS SAVINGS TARGETED IN 2021-2022… “ACCELERATION” IS A TRANSVERSE PROGRAM… ► Industrial excellence to boost performance and reliability: Industry 4.0 to reduce process variabilities and accelerate flow management ► Efficiency of industrial support functions and SG&A: benchmarking / alignment on best-practices (e.g. maintenance, logistics, end-to-end processes engineering) … SUPPORTED BY REGIONAL INITIATIVES Europe Brazil North America ► Full year impact in 2021 of German ► Continue improvement at ► Upgrade performance of savings plan Jeceaba site maintenance • « One mill » concept • Consolidate performance of steel ► Debottleneck finishing operations plant and further enhancement of and optimize costs • Reisholz mill closure in H2 2020 rolling mill efficiency (additional headcount reduction of ► Internalization of some outsourced c.200) ► New « Mini-mill » program on services Barreiro site ► Product portfolio optimization • Flow re-engineering yielding debottlenecking and cost improvement 19 February, 2020 34
B 2b … AND FURTHER DEPLOYMENT OF NEW ROUTES COMPLETION OF NEW ROUTES PRODUCT PORTFOLIO EXTENSION… ► Premiumization: Complete industrialization plan for premium grades in Tianda, targeting close to 40% premium production ratio in 2024, up from 20% in 2019 ► Certifications: VSB and Tianda certifications by Majors and NOCs to serve them with an enhanced, agile and cost efficient offer … LEADING TO INCREASED UTILIZATION OF BRAZILIAN AND ASIAN ROUTES New routes utilization rate for premium O&G EA-MEA 1 55% c. 70% 19% 2015a 2019a 2024e O&G growth in EA-MEA to be essentially served by new routes, corresponding to volume growth from c.300kt to c.500kt Note 1. Percentage of premium OCTG and PLP products rolled in VSB or Tianda on total deliveries of “swing orders”, i.e. orders that can be served indifferently from Europe, Brazil or Asia 19 February, 2020 35
4 2020 GUIDANCE AND FINANCIAL PERSPECTIVES 36
2020 GUIDANCE UNDERPINNED BY REALISTIC MARKET ASSUMPTIONS AND SECURED BY SELF HELP INITIATIVES MARKET DRIVERS SELF HELP ► O&G: ► Continued rationalization of German • 2019 bookings up +16% versus 2018 operations in the frame of the 2019-2020 • Sharp increase in contribution from high savings plan EUROPE AFRICA alloy OCTG following tightening market ► Closure of Reisholz mill in H2 2020 Continued AND MIDDLE EAST • Start of ADNOC mega-contract with first cash ASIA deliveries in H2 2020 discipline with ► Industry: reduction in • German market assumed stable net working capital requirements ► Conservative view on market trends, with ► Market share gain opportunity following to c.100 days maintained cash discipline by operators local OCTG industry consolidation NORTH AMERICA of sales1 and ► Rebound of volumes observed in Q1 following 2020 gross H2 2019 destocking, prices bottoming out capex of c.€200m ► Step-change in deliveries for deep off-shore, ► Continued savings in the frame of the SOUTH AMERICA with full visibility on customers drilling plans 2019-2020 plan ► Slightly lower iron ore prices 2020 OUTLOOK: €500m EBITDA AND FREE CASH FLOW SLIGHTLY POSITIVE EBITDA / FCF PHASING: Q1 MARKED BY USUAL SEASONALITY EFFECT AND H2 SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN H1 Note: 1. Average quarterly basis 19 February, 2020 37
BEYOND 2020: SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVING CASH GENERATION ► Topline ► Supportive market trends ► Strong position on key markets ► Enhanced competitiveness EBITDA GROWTH ► Development of new products and solutions for core markets ► Energy transition opportunities ► Operating costs ► Lowered break-even ► Acceleration program targeting additional €200m gross savings over 2021-2022 ► c.€50m reduction in interest charges expected ► c.€25m from combined rights issue and RCF refinancing on a yearly basis, compared to 2019 ► c.€25m from exercise of call option on lease contract in Brazil, with an additional positive c.€6-8m impact on EBITDA ► Enhanced credit profile offering potential for rating upgrade SIGNIFICANTLY ► Reduced restructuring charges IMPROVED CASH ► Operational restructuring completed in 2020 GENERATION ► Limited restructuring cash outflow ► Reduced working capital ► Further working capital reduction in days of sales ► Contained capex ► €200-250m annual capex envelope 19 February, 2020 38
5 RIGHTS ISSUE AND RCF REFINANCING TO SUPPORT TURN-AROUND AND EXECUTION OF STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES 39
PROPOSED RIGHTS ISSUE… Quantum ► c.€800m ► Bpifrance undertaking to subscribe pro-rata its 14.6% stake1 ► Nippon Steel undertaking to subscribe aiming to hold approx. 10% of Vallourec’s share capital upon completion of Underwriting the Rights Issue1 ► Vallourec has obtained a standby commitment from a syndicate of banks to underwrite the balance of the Rights Issue, subject to customary conditions ► Terms of the rights issue to be determined by the Management Board of Vallourec Terms ► Delegation to be granted by Vallourec shareholders’ EGM ► Deleverage to c.2.8x2 at year-end 2020 on a proforma basis Use of Proceeds ► Finance the exercise of call option on lease contract in Brazil (DBOT) for up to €100m ► Annual Ordinary and Extraordinary Shareholder’s Meeting scheduled on April 6 th, 2020 Timing ► Launch of the rights issue expected in Q2 2020 Note: 1. The total net amount to be newly invested by Nippon Steel for subscription is capped at €35m and that of Bpifrance is capped at €120m 2. At constant foreign exchange rates and including an accounting impact on net debt in 2020 of the exercise of call option on lease contract in Brazil and the transaction-related expenses 19 February, 2020 40
…TO ALLOW SIGNIFICANT DELEVERAGING SIGNIFICANT DELEVERAGING POST RIGHTS ISSUE €m 5.9x 3.5x c.2.8x1 2,031 c.1,400 1,231 (800) 2019A Net Debt Gross Proceeds of 2019A Net Debt Proforma for 2020E Net Debt Proforma for Rights Issue Rights Issue Rights Issue 1 x Net Debt / EBITDA Note: 1. At constant foreign exchange rates and including an accounting impact on net debt in 2020 of the exercise of call option on lease contract in Brazil and the transaction-related expenses 19 February, 2020 41
RCF REFINANCING SUPPORTING VALLOUREC LIQUIDITY ► Refinancing of the RCF with our relationship banks ► €800m of commitments providing ample resources given liquidity needs (subject to Rights Issue completion) ► Long-term liquidity sources with a maturity of 4 years + 1 year extension option ► Facility subject to a covenant to maintain a gearing ratio of a maximum of 100%, similar to Vallourec’s current facilities PRO-FORMA LIQUIDITY SOURCES NO DEBT MATURITY BEFORE 2022 €m €m 1,794 1,692 Undrawn 800 800 800 RCF (1 702) 250 800 892 Cash 550 555 400 Cash as of Repayment Gross New RCF Total PF 2020e 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e & After 31/12/2019 of Drawn RCF Proceeds Liquidity Bonds OCEANE RCF (undrawn) of Rights Issue as of 31/12/2019 19 February, 2020 42
6 CONCLUSION 43
CONCLUSION ► Strong improvement in 2019 results with 2020 objectives confirming our operational and financial recovery ► Enhanced competitiveness already translating into tangible high profile commercial wins ► Ideally positioned to benefit from rapidly growing Brazil offshore and resumption of E&P projects in international markets ► Ready to capture future growth opportunities in services and energy transition ► Competitiveness to be further improved through additional efforts on costs and continued deployment of new routes ► Deleveraging and liquidity extension supporting turnaround and execution of strategic objectives 19 February, 2020 44
7 APPENDICES 45
FY 2019 REVENUE BRIDGES 2018 – ’19 REVENUE BRIDGE PER MARKET 283 (54) 120 (97) 4,173 3,921 2018 O&G Refining & Petrochems Industry & other Power Gen 2019 2018 – ’19 REVENUE BRIDGE BY GEOGRAPHY 99 4,173 3,921 134 (66) 77 8 2018 North America South America Europe Asia & Middle East Rest of world 2019 19 February, 2020 46
REVENUE BREAKDOWN – Q4 2019 REVENUE BY REGION As % of As % of Change In millions of euros Q4 2019 Q4 2018 revenues revenues YoY Europe 138 13.7% 159 14.3% -13% North America 234 23.3% 317 28.4% -26% South America 194 19.3% 156 14.0% 24% Asia & Middle East 339 33.8% 321 28.7% 6% Rest of World 99 9.9% 163 14.6% -39% Total 1,004 100% 1,116 100% -10% REVENUE BY MARKET As % of As % of Change In millions of euros Q4 2019 Q4 2018 revenues revenues YoY Oil & Gas 686 68.3% 737 66.0% -7% Petrochemicals 76 7.6% 84 7.5% -10% Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals 762 75.9% 821 73.5% -7% Mechanicals 77 7.7% 146 13.1% -47% Automotive 23 2.3% 34 3.1% -32% Construction & Other 105 10.4% 55 4.9% 91% Industry & Other 205 20.4% 235 21.1% -13% Power Generation 37 3.7% 60 5.4% -38% Total 1,004 100% 1,116 100% -10% 19 February, 2020 47
REVENUE BREAKDOWN – FY 2019 REVENUE BY REGION As % of As % of Change In millions of euros 2019 2018 revenues revenues YoY Europe 595 14.3% 587 15.0% 1% North America 1,215 29.1% 1,281 32.7% -5% South America 702 16.8% 625 15.9% 12% Asia & Middle East 1,222 29.3% 1,088 27.7% 12% Rest of World 439 10.5% 340 8.7% 29% Total 4,173 100% 3,921 100% 6% REVENUE BY MARKET As % of As % of Change In millions of euros 2019 2018 revenues revenues YoY Oil & Gas 2,752 65.9% 2,469 63.0% 11% Petrochemicals 290 7.0% 344 8.8% -16% Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals 3,042 72.9% 2,813 71.7% 8% Mechanicals 368 8.8% 469 11.9% -22% Automotive 115 2.8% 148 3.8% -22% Construction & Other 456 10.9% 202 5.2% 126% Industry & Other 939 22.5% 819 20.9% 15% Power Generation 192 4.6% 289 7.4% -34% Total 4,173 100% 3,921 100% 6,4% 19 February, 2020 48
BALANCE SHEET AS AT DECEMBER 31, 2019 Assets (in millions of €) 31 Dec 2019 1 Jan 2019 31 Dec 2018 Liabilities 31 Dec 2019 1 Jan 2019 31 Dec 2018 Post IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 Pre IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 Post IFRS 16 Pre IFRS 16 Equity, Group share (1) 1,467 1,802 1,802 Non-controlling interests 513 462 462 Net intangible assets 63 71 71 Total equity 1,980 2,264 2,264 Goodwill 364 358 358 Shareholder loan 21 29 29 Net property, plant and equipment 2,642 2,777 2,691 Bank loans and other borrowings (A) 1,747 1,746 1,797 Biological assets 62 60 60 Non current lease debt (D) 104 115 - Associates 129 134 134 Employee benefits 228 214 214 Other non-current assets 132 156 156 Deferred tax liabilities 9 15 15 Deferred tax assets 249 250 250 Provisions and other long-term liabilities 61 50 50 Total non-current assets 3,641 3,806 3,720 Total non-current liabilities 2,149 2,140 2,076 Provisions 121 136 136 Overdrafts and other short-term borrowings Inventories and work-in-progress 988 1,135 1,135 (B) 2,077 993 1,001 Trade and other receivables 638 599 599 Current lease debt (E) 30 30 - Derivatives - assets 7 3 3 Trade payables 580 582 582 Other current assets 237 216 216 Derivatives - liabilities 18 32 32 Cash and cash equivalents (C) 1,794 740 740 Tax and other current liabilities 329 293 293 Total current assets 3,664 2,693 2,693 Total current liabilities 3,155 2,066 2,044 TOTAL ASSETS 7,305 6,499 6,413 TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 7,305 6,499 6,413 Net debt (A+B-C) 2,031 1,999 2,058 * (1) Net income (loss), Group share (338) (502) Lease debt (D+E) 134 145 ** * €2,058 million at end of December 2018 includes €59 million of financial lease debt ** Cf detailed explanation in Lease debt IFRS 16 on slide 51 19 February, 2020 49
GROSS INDEBTEDNESS As at 31 In millions of euros December 2019 Private placement – maturing in August 2027 54 Bond issue – maturing in September 2024 499 Non-convertible bond issue – maturing in October 2022 545 Convertible bond issue – maturing in October 2022 233 Bond issue – maturing in October 2023 396 Commercial paper 110 RCF drawings 1,702 BNDES loan 20 ACC ACE 207 Other 58 Total 3,824 19 February, 2020 50
LEASE DEBT - IFRS 16 31 Dec 2019 Change versus 1 1 Jan 2019 In millions of euros 31 Dec 2018 Post IFRS 16 Jan 2019 post IFRS 16 50 -€9m Financial lease debt (1) 59 59 84 -€2m Operational lease (2) 86 - 134 -€11m Total lease debt (3) 145 - (1) Included in net debt prior to IFRS 16; reclassified to lease debt on 1 st January 2019 (2) Operational lease reported in off balance sheet items prior to IFRS 16; recognized as lease debt on 1 st January 2019 (3) - New line items (current & non-current lease debts) identified on the balance sheet under IFRS 16 - At December 31st, 2019, lease debt of €134 million is split into: Non Current Lease Debt €104 million Current Lease Debt €30 million 19 February, 2020 51
► Euronext Paris: ISIN code: FR0000120354, Ticker: VK USA: American Depositary Receipt (ADR) - ISIN code: US92023R2094, Ticker: VLOWY ► Investor Relations Contact - Vallourec Group • Email: investor.relations@vallourec.com • www.vallourec.com 52
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