GLOBAL INDUSTRY OUTLOOK REPORT - Gulfood
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Contents 01 INTRODUCTION 4 List of Abbreviations 4 Indicators 5 Geographical Coverage 7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 11 Industry Growth 12 Foodservice 15 Market Drivers and Trends 16 Market Challenges and Opportunities 18 GLOBAL SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 22 Global Demographics Overview 22 Urbanisation vs Population Growth 23 Global Economic Outlook Overview 25 Income and Consumer Expenditure 26 GLOBAL FOOD AND BEVERAGES SECTOR 30 Global Total F&B Industry Overview 30 Global F&B Distribution Landscape 31 Global F&B Industry Overview by Category 34 Global F&B Trends and Drivers 35 Global Consumer Foodservice Footprint 40 3
02 03 COMPOSITION OF F&B INDUSTRIES 44 MEAT & POULTRY 79 Meat & Poultry Industry – At a Glance 79 BEVERAGES 58 From Farmers to Consumers 79 Market Size and Potential 81 Beverages Industry – At a Glance 44 Market Trends and Drivers 82 From Farmers to Consumers 45 Distribution Landscape 84 Market Size and Potential 49 Challenges and Opportunities 85 Market Trends and Drivers 51 Case Study: Beyond Meat 87 Distribution Landscape 53 Challenges and Opportunities 55 Case Study: Uni-President 57 EDIBLE OILS 58 Edible Oils Industry - At a Glance 58 DAIRY 58 From Farmers to Consumers 59 Market Size and Potential 60 Dairy Industry – At a Glance 58 Market Trends and Drivers 62 From Farmers to Consumers 59 Distribution Landscape 63 Market Size and Potential 60 Challenges and Opportunities 64 Market Trends and Drivers 62 Case Study: Wilmar International and The Ethics of Palm Oil 65 Distribution Landscape 63 Challenges and Opportunities 64 Case Study: Chobani Yoghurt 65 POWER BRANDS 80 PULSES, GRAINS & CEREALS 66 APPENDICES 100 Pulses, Grains & Cereals Industry - At a Glance 66 From Farmers to Consumers 66 Category Definitions 100 Market Size and Potential 70 Sources 115 Market Trends and Drivers 72 Distribution Landscape 75 Challenges and Opportunities 76 SOURCES 100 Case Study: Barilla Alimentare 78 5
Introduction Dubai World Trade Centre (DWTC) “The Company” have commissioned Euromonitor International, an independent provider of strategic market research, to prepare a market study on the global food and beverage industries. Euromonitor International INTRODUCTION Euromonitor International is an independent provider of strategic market research. We create data and analysis on thousands of products and services around the world. As independent market researchers, we provide unbiased historic trends and forecasts for every region, country, category, channel and consumer. Euromonitor’s research includes qualitative and quantitative-based trade surveying and analysis to support market, competitor and customer intelligence. Euromonitor was established in 1972 in London and has clients ranging from leading manufacturers and investment banks to governments and universities. Research Methodology The research methodology of Passport, the key source used for this Report, is based on a core set of research techniques that include desk research (national statistics, national and international trade press, national and international trade associations, industry study groups and other semi-official sources, company financials and annual reports, broker reports an online databases), store audits and trade survey with key stakeholders across the value chain. Forecast data provided represents many of the essential conclusions reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. In addition to Passport, information and prospects set out in this report have also been sourced from desk research (such as company websites, trade press) and trade opinion surveys conducted by Euromonitor with a sample (19 interviews) of importers/distributors, local manufacturers, retailers and trade associations within key industries (soft drinks, hot drinks, dairy, meat and poultry, edible oils and cereals, pulses and grains). Trade interviews with the key stakeholders were conducted between December 2017 and January 2018. 7
List of Abbreviations Indicators Abbreviation Definition Indicators 2017 Edition Definition Market Sizing AMS North and South America Retail Value RSP: Measured in US Dollars with Historic Fixed AOA Asia, Oceania and Sub-Saharan Africa 2016 Exchange Rates, Forecast Fixed 2016 Exchange Rates INTRODUCTION APAC Asia Pacific B2B Business to Business B2C Business to Consumer GDP Gross domestic product is the sum of gross value added by all resident Bn Billion producers in the economy plus any product taxes and minus any subsidies BPA Bisphenol A not included in the value of the products. It is calculated without making BSR Business for Social Responsibility deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or for depletion and BULOG Indonesia Logistics Bureau degradation of natural resources. Measures in US Dollars with Historic Fixed 2016 Exchange Rates, Forecast Fixed 2016 Exchange Rates CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate CS Consumer Spending CSR Corporate Social Responsibility Middle Class households The number of households with between 75.0% and 125% of median income. DNA Deoxyribonucleic acid EC European Commission EMENA Europe, Middle East and North Africa Consumer Expenditure Measured in US Dollars with Historic Fixed 2016 Exchange EMI Euromonitor International Rates, Forecast Fixed 2016 Exchange Rates EU European Union Consumer expenditure comprises personal expenditure on goods - F&B Food and Beverage durable, semi-durable and non-durable - and on services in the domestic FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations market, including the imputed rent of owner-occupied dwellings, the FDA US Food and Drugs Administration administrative costs of general insurance and of life assurance and GCC Gulf Cooperation Council superannuation schemes. Consumption expenditure in the domestic market is equal to consumer expenditure by resident households plus GDP Gross Domestic Product direct purchases in the domestic market by non-resident households GMO Genetically Modified organism and minus direct purchases abroad by resident households. Horeca Hotel, restaurant and café IPSO Indonesia Palm Oil Certification IRRI International Rice Research Institute Consumer Expenditure on Food Measured in US Dollars with Historic Fixed 2016 Exchange ISCC International Sustainability and Carbon Certification and Non-Alcoholic Beverages Rates, Forecast Fixed 2016 Exchange Rates Kg Kilogram MENA Middle East and North Africa region Mn Million Food products and non-alcoholic beverages purchased for consumption at home. MnT Million Tonnes MSG Monosodium Glutamate NFC Not From Concentrate Excludes: food products and non-alcoholic beverages sold for immediate PDO Protected Designation of Origin consumption away from the home by hotels, restaurants, cafés, bars, kiosks, PET Polyethylene terephthalate street vendors, automatic vending machines, etc. (consumer expenditure on PGI Protected Geographical Indication catering services); cooked dishes prepared by restaurants for consumption R&D Research and Development off their premises (consumer expenditure on catering services); cooked Radio Frequency Identification dishes prepared by catering contractors whether collected by the RFID customer or delivered to the customer’s home (consumer expenditure on RSPO Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil catering services); and products sold specifically as pet foods (consumer RTD Ready To Drink expenditure on other recreational items and equipment, gardens and pets). SRP Sustainable Rice Platform TFA Tropical Forest Alliance Tn Trillion UAE United Arab Emirates UK United Kingdom US United States USD United States Dollar 9
Geographical Coverage INTRODUCTION Europe North America Asia Pacific Middle East and Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America Australasia Asia Pacific Australasia Europe Latin America Middle East and North Africa North America Sub-Saharan Africa 11
Sub-Saharan Asia Pacific Europe Australasia Latin America Africa Afghanistan Albania Australia Anguilla Angola American Samoa Andorra New Zealand Antigua Benin Armenia Austria Argentina Botswana Azerbaijan Belarus Aruba Burkina Faso INTRODUCTION Bangladesh Belgium Bahamas Burundi Bhutan Bosnia-Herzegovina Barbados Cameroon Brunei Bulgaria North America Belize Cape Verde Cambodia Croatia Bermuda Central African Republic China Cyprus Bolivia Chad Fiji Czech Republic Canada Brazil Comoros French Polynesia Denmark USA British Virgin Islands Congo, Democratic Republic Guam Estonia Cayman Islands Congo-Brazzaville Hong Kong, China Finland Chile Côte d’Ivoire India France Colombia Equatorial Guinea Indonesia Georgia Middle East Costa Rica Eritrea Japan Germany and North Africa Cuba Ethiopia Kazakhstan Gibraltar Curacao Gabon Kiribati Greece Algeria Dominica Gambia Kyrgyzstan Hungary Bahrain Dominican Republic Ghana Laos Iceland Djibouti Ecuador Guinea Macau Ireland Egypt El Salvador Guinea-Bissau Malaysia Italy Iraq French Guiana Kenya Maldives Kosovo Jordan Grenada Lesotho Mongolia Latvia Kuwait Guadeloupe Liberia Myanmar Liechtenstein Lebanon Guatemala Madagascar Nauru Lithuania Libya Guyana Malawi Nepal Luxembourg Mauritania Haiti Mali New Caledonia Macedonia Morocco Honduras Mauritius North Korea Malta Oman Jamaica Mozambique Pakistan Moldova Saudi Arabia Martinique Namibia Papua New Guinea Monaco Sudan Mexico Niger Philippines Montenegro Syria Nicaragua Nigeria Samoa Netherlands Tunisia Panama Réunion Singapore Norway Turkey Paraguay Rwanda Solomon Islands Poland United Arab Emirates Peru Sao Tomé e Príncipe South Korea Portugal Yemen Puerto Rico Senegal Sri Lanka Romania Sint Maarten Seychelles Taiwan Russia St Kitts Sierra Leone Tajikistan Serbia St Lucia Somalia Thailand Slovakia St Vincent and the South Africa Tonga Slovenia Grenadines South Sudan Turkmenistan Spain Suriname Swaziland Tuvalu Sweden Trinidad and Tobago Tanzania Uzbekistan Switzerland Uruguay Togo Vanuatu Ukraine US Virgin Islands Uganda Vietnam United Kingdom Venezuela Zambia Zimbabwe 13
A billion extra consumers with growing disposable incomes across all regions With a rapidly growing and highly urbanised population, demand across the globe for processed and packaged food and beverages (F&B) is set to increase. Growth in GDP at 3.5% outstrips population growth of 1% (CAGR 2017-30) but overall consumer spending on F&B is set to drop from 8.5% of GDP to 8.0% by 2030 as products become relatively more affordable and make up a smaller proportion of overall consumer spending. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Population growth underlies much of Food & Beverage global growth Young, under 30 years olds, located in urban areas are in the lower income brackets and are trading of either Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia Pacific or Latin up to packaged food for the first time unlike their America is an apt description of the key consumer counterparts in the more mature markets of Europe, of the future. This group is the fastest growing and North America and Australasia. Populations in these largest contributor to value sales growth with their mature markets are slow growing and are getting older, increasing purchasing power and love of westernised, with the key consumer of the future most likely to be convenient and easy-to-prepare food and beverages. over 50 years, in a small one-, two- or three-person, Instant noodles, pasta, dairy products, snacks and city-based household. Some are affluent, others will RTD drinks in single-serve packaging are winners be living on meagre state pensions but all are looking with this group but they are equally conscious of for health benefits for their bones, mobility, digestive their health, nutrition and the long-term dietary health and energy levels. Their working lives continue effects of the products they are consuming. longer and they like to treat themselves well, whether it is with organic, locally produced, high-quality fresh or Young parents with children want to provide their processed products or in the form of indulgent treats. offspring with beneficial nourishment and are careful what they feed their children. Many, in these regions, World Population World GDP Executive CAGR 1.0% CAGR 3.5% 2030 8.5bn 2030 122tn 2017 7.5bn 2017 78tn Summary Executive Summary 15
Industry Growth Asia Pacific provides scale, but the strongest growth Middle East & North Africa comes fromMiddle East and Africa Asia Pacific with its large, growing population and expanding middle class, is a region with EXECUTIVE SUMMARY With high birth rates, rapidly expanding cities and growing employment, the combined Middle East and Africa regions offer the highest level of potential growth. With greater distribution of wealth, growing economic and political stability 4.2% strong potential in all F&B categories. Packaged food sales are growing as modern retail expands supported by a developing cold chain and rapidly developing infrastructure, consumers have greater access to a wider range of foods and beverages. Despite lower growth rates, the sheer size of the population and disposable income growth across Asia Pacific also offers an 4.6% infrastructure for fresh, chilled and processed foods. Internet retailing and strong national enticing growth market in all categories. 5.4% logistics allow consumers to purchase products not easily accessible in local retailers at little or no extra charge. Health concerns around Exhibit 1 Industry growth per region by category, CAGR 2016-2021 4.2% obesity, children’s health and life-long health are shaping the popularity of F&B products with strong and growing interest in naturally health 6. 1 % and traditionally recognised ingredients. Cold chain services are also changing consumer choices in the Middle East and Africa regions as frozen processed halal meat and poultry, cold Asia Pacific Australasia North America drinks and flavoured milks increase in popularity. Foodservice is also growing with the entry of many international chains also influencing in-home 2.8% 1 . 3% 1 . 5% consumption of more westernised foods and beverages. Demand for bottled water, in particular, is expanding in major cities across these regions 4.2% 1 . 1% 1 . 7% as sanitary and potable water systems fail to deal with the stress and demands of rapid urbanisation. 1 . 3% 0.5% 1 . 5% Young consumers, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa, have adopted mobile- and internet-based services as the key channel of communication with 3.0% 0.8% 0.7% and about brands as well as delivery services. In Latin America, the traditional grocery retailer 4.8% 2.4% 0.7% still plays a significant role outside Brazil and Chile despite the rapid adoption of mobile apps for purchasing. Warehouses, discounters and private labels respond quickly to the needs of price-sensitive consumers but, despite persistent Europe Latin America Sub-Saharan Africa economic uncertainty, young, employed consumers are eager to try new products and are willing to pay for this indulgence. Sugar 1 . 4% 3.2% 6.8% taxes in Mexico and other markets have changed the ingredient profile of many products as manufacturers tweak formulations to offer new 0.6% 2.5% 3. 1 % flavours, hybrid and soy-based drinks in smaller pack sizes in response to growing consumer 0.8% 2.7% 2.9% awareness of national health concerns. In the more mature markets of Europe, Australasia 1 .0% 2.3% 4.6% and North America, media and national campaigns, regulation and unsubstantiated packaging claims are challenging consumers’ purchasing decisions. 0.5% 1 . 9% 2.6% Increasing label scrutiny underlies most consumer choice as they search for natural, health-supportive ingredients with local sourcing and low processing. Online services are well established, but consumers still like to look, feel and test new products in local retailers. Consideration of the long-term impact KEY on their health and on the environment of their Beverages Dairy Poultry Pulses, Grains & Cereals Fats & Oils shopping behaviour is now strongly engrained. The colour of the industries indicates growth rate Above global average Global average Below global average Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport 17
Asia Pacific Australasia Europe Latin America Middle East & North Africa North America Sub-Saharan Africa Market Trends and Drivers Total F&B 2011-2016 4.6% 2.0% 1.1% 4.2% 2.4% 0.8% 4.5% growth Total F&B 2016-2021 4.6% 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% 2.0% Shifting consumer needs affect both affluent & low-income consumers globally Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport growth In a highly competitive market, manufacturers ingredients, sugar and salt; shifting their preference strive to deliver an appealing, high quality, reliable to organic, natural and holistic ingredients while still EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Fastest Internet Internet Internet Internet Internet Internet Internet growing retailing retailing retailing retailing retailing retailing retailing product with consistent standards across the globe. looking for novel recipes, bold and exotic tastes and retail channel (38%) (20%) (8%) (5%) 39%) (14%) (33%) Tension is created by changing consumer trends with convenient packaging and product delivery. Internet smaller companies clearly more agile and proficient purchasing is also changing the delivery of products at developing niche, market-defining products. not just for storage and home-delivery formats but Highest Environment/ Environment/ Environment/ Environment/ Kosher Environment/ Consumers are actively transitioning to healthier also in terms of access to local brands and short order value share Sustainability Sustainability Sustainability Sustainability Sustainability NA foods and beverages; rejecting products with artificial supply. Key consumer and industry trends include: (71%) ethical label (84%) (74%) (80%) (87%) (76%) Highest Fortified/ Naturally Naturally Fortified/ Naturally Fortified/ Naturally value share Functional Healthy Healthy Functional Healthy Functional Healthy H&W label (46%) (32%) (48%) (41%) (53%) (34%) (52%) Greater demand for Improved F&B food Cold chain Single serve, smaller packaging naturally healthier, safety and hygienic expansion reflecting smaller households, Foodservice functional and free- preparation on-the-go consumption and from ingredients health concerns App-based delivery services are disrupting traditional foodservice demand Foodservice consumption continues to rise as the In all markets, delivery services, driven by the Increased label Increased demand for Increasing importance of presence of F&B products and services in all retail use of mobile apps, is taking an increasing share scrutiny and credible labelling and ethical positioning, such channels increases. Convenience stores and forecourt of foodservice sales with many consumers now ingredient list regulation of ingredients as Halal, recycled, retailers now compete directly with traditional opting for rapid delivery of high quality F&B to simplicity and sourcing eco-friendly or organic foodservice outlets, providing a wide range of hot and the comfort of their own home. This is not just Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport cold F&B, take-home, delivered and on-the-go stock. confined to young consumers but reaches, in In less affluent markets, street stalls and kiosks offer mature markets, into all categories, as delivery the operator a cheaper alternative to investing in a services offer ingredient and recipe supply, fast store, cafe or bar, with modern equipment improving food and fine dining as well as casual delivery the quality and range of products they can now offer. of simple cups of coffee from local retailers. Middle North Sub-Saharan Asia Pacific Australasia Europe Latin America East & North America Africa Clear policies on Increasing Growing interest in plant- Scaling up of leading F&B Africa sustainability, westernisation and based F&B substitutes companies through M&A Fastest Street Stalls Cafes/Bars Fast Food 100% Home 100% Home 100% Home 100% Home farming techniques, diversification in ingredients, activity to offset challenge growing / Kiosks Delivery/ Delivery/ Delivery/ Delivery/ local and careful, of diet flavourings, sweeteners of online giants and current food service Takeaway Takeaway Takeaway Takeaway channel (3.5%) (4.2%) (2.1%) (3.9%) (5.1%) (3.9%) (8.4%) transparent sourcing and protein sources consumer trends Note: Based on CAGR 2016-2021 Beverages Dairy Meat & Poultry Pulses, Grains & Cereals Fats & Oils KEY Moons indicate the level of direct impact on each industry. The fuller the moon, the higher the direct impact Low High Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport, trade interviews and desk research Note: Level of impact mentioned is extrapolated by Euromonitor International based on its market understanding. 19
Challenges and Opportunities Consumers strive to define acceptable standards Brand values are increasingly the key differentiators for the development of the supply chain for the modern consumer EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Changing consumer perspectives on the production Pressure to lower prices is inescapable due to stiff With an additional one billion consumers by 2030 presence in all markets and highly affluent consumers of food and beverages demands improved sustainable competition between manufacturers and retailers many opportunities present themselves both in where added value is defined in terms of health and agricultural practices including protecting natural and is felt throughout the supply chain, from pressure developed and developing markets. Consumers enhanced life expectancy. Scaling up to meet this resources while dealing with the volatility of climate to lower input costs to the creation of efficient and throughout the world are demonstrating their interest demand by leveraging technology, both blockchain and commodity pricing. Consumers consider farmer resilient supply chains taking advantage of the in natural, healthier, high quality and safely produced and consumer-facing technology, is crucial. Investing livelihoods and animal welfare important first steps latest technologies. Vertical integration is intense in food and beverages through their current purchasing in the supply chain and delivery logistics is essential in the supply chain with governments demanding some categories with the objective of controlling decisions. This demand is set to expand as many to meeting not just the critical demands of the young, traceability from farm to table to ensure clean and all aspects of production and ensuring delivery of a families teach their children a new set of expectations. thoughtful consumer, but as a pathway to meeting sanitary production and processing methods. product that meets emerging consumer demand for The market is characterised by a burgeoning low- future demand for personalised, tailored products of ethical, naturally healthy and affordable products. Key income mass market, a slowly expanding middle-class the consumer of 2030. Some of these opportunities are: consumer and industry challenges include: Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport, trade interviews and desk research Increased demand Growing demand for Demand for High cost of investing in Differentiate with Develop affordable Rising demand for Take advantage of smart for ethically farmed limited resources such traceability farmer training, modern clear and credible product lines healthier recipes, packaging to ensure ingredients and pressure as water and key crops and sourcing farming techniques labelling to attract to suit low-income natural ingredients and freshness, portability and on farmers to produce by other industries transparency and technology the health-conscious consumers in additive-free product design possibilities to sustainable crops demographic developing markets formulations attract consumers Rapidly growing Rising input costs, Increasing competition Re-invention of Appeal to convenience Widening consumer RTD, RTE, quick cook, Competitive demand for high price volatility and from private label retailing with direct impulse purchasers palate allows for new ready prepared and other advantage through value resources which changing subsidies with deterioration of producer/supplier with wider offering in recipes, ingredients convenience foods to suit sustainable and ethical are, by their nature, high quality, specialist, to door delivery and smaller packs, snacks and and styles busy consumers farming methods in short supply differential positioning online purchasing convenient portable sizes Beverages Dairy Meat & Poultry Pulses, Grains & Cereals Fats & Oils KEY Moons indicate the level of direct impact on each industry. The fuller the moon, the higher the direct impact Low High Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport, trade interviews and desk research Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport, trade interviews and desk research Note: Challenges listed above are a consolidation of challenges within the different industries covered in this report. Level of impact is extrapolated by Note: Challenges listed above are a consolidation of challenges within the different industries covered in this report. Level of impact is extrapolated by Euromonitor International based on its market understanding. Euromonitor International based on its market understanding. 21
Global Demographics Overview GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS OVERVIEW By 2030, there will be 1 billion additional consumers ready to be served across the globe The world population in 2017 stands at 7.47 billion, up from 6.96 billion in 2011. With expected slower growth between 2017-2030, the world population is expected to reach 8.5 billion by 2030. Exhibit 2 Regional population in 2017, 2030 & CAGR 2017-2030 394.8mn 746.3mn Europe 0.7% 0.0% 362.1mn 746.2mn 4.5bn North America 677mn Asia Pacific 0.7% 1.5% 4.1bn 1.4bn 558mn Sub Saharan 2.5% Middle East Africa & North Africa 708.6mn 1bn 35.3mn Latin America 0.8% Australasia 640.0mn 1.4% 29.3mn KEY : Inner circles indicate the population in 2017, outer circles indicate the population in 2030. The distance between the inner and outer circles indicates the size of the absolute growth Colour of the circles indicate the growth rate Fast Moderate Slow Static Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport More than 13% of the global population resides in With its rapidly growing population and an additional Sub-Saharan Africa in 2017. By 2030, Sub Saharan 380 million people, Asia Pacific is expected to Africa will be outpacing all other regions in population contribute the most to global food and beverage growth, partly driven by foreign investments in industry value sales growth, mainly driven by higher Global Social & infrastructure, healthcare and nutrition. In Sub- demand for oils, dairy products and beverages such as Saharan Africa, the expanding population aged under sports and energy drinks and bottled water. The large, 30 years is expected to drive demand for key food young consumer groups in these countries will also and beverage categories such as beverages and drive the growth of convenient and portable forms of confectionery. beverages along with single-serve food products such Economic Outlook as RTD tea and coffee, cheese and dairy products, cereals and pasta. 23
Urbanisation vs Population Growth GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS OVERVIEW By 2030, 60% of the total world population will be living in urban areas Urbanisation offers a dense, concentrated market and opportunities for retail infrastructure and products tailored to newly affluent consumers as well as large sections of the community on low incomes. Growth in urbanisation is expected to surpass overall population growth in all regions. Exhibit 3 Regional urban population growth vs. total population 2017-2030 URBAN POPULATION GROWTH, 2017 - 2030 4.5% 4.0% 46% Sub Saharan Africa 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% Middle East 68% & North Africa Asia 2.0% 55% Pacific 91% Australasia 1.5% Latin 1.0% 83% America 0.5% 77% Europe 83% North America - 0.0% - 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% leader as a result of good incentives for distributors, Highly urbanised societies in Europe create a different strong below-the-line advertising, frequent consumer profile of product demand. Meat substitutes and hot promotions, as well as the availability of a variety of cereals are examples of key growth categories on the Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport pack sizes and flavours. back of strong health and wellness concerns. Note: Bubble size represents the urban population over total population in 2030 In Manila, one of the most densely populated cities For example, in the mature and saturated processed in the world, the importance of product convenience meat market in Germany, meat substitutes are now has been prominent to address the demand of the a small but strongly performing category. Meat High urbanisation growth, as demonstrated in Sub- oils is greater in the Middle East and North Africa due urban population. Companies such as AB Nutribev consumption is changing with a growing number of Saharan Africa, offers potential as new cities coalesce to higher disposable income levels while more mass have found success with their Vitamilk product, vegetarians and those following a vegan lifestyle. In around natural growth in the population, migration market products, such as beverages (bottled water, available in 300ml glass bottles and positioned as a addition, many consumers aim to lower their meat from rural areas and reclassification/upgrading of packaged tea) and dairy products are in greater healthy energy drink that can help address hunger and consumption as part of a healthy heart lifestyle. former slums into urban areas. Urbanisation growth in demand in Sub-Saharan Africa. tiredness. It targets the increasing demand for on-the- This emerging consumer group presents significant the Middle East & North Africa region is also expected In Nigeria, urban population has been price sensitive go consumption. In 2017, Purefoods-Hormel Co started opportunities for growth with many meat processors to be strongly influenced by large-scale infrastructure due to economic uncertainty which has forced unit construction of new production facilities for hotdogs, now venturing into this category to ensure full portfolio development, agricultural and land reform and the prices for food and beverages to rise strongly in recent chicken nuggets, corned beef and luncheon meat in coverage within this market. Pure discounter Aldi development of older and new cities. years. Staple foods, such as a rice, pasta and noodles, the Philippines to meet demand in the mid-to-high offers a wide range of vegan options including burgers, Growing urbanisation in these regions influences have seen strong growth. Instant noodles, for example, end of the market. Modern retailing in the Philippines schnitzel, meatless hotdogs, meatless meatballs, demand for food and beverage categories differently. are increasingly popular and are seen as convenient is expanding more rapidly than traditional grocery chickenless nuggets and meat-free mince and in Demand for higher-priced convenience categories to prepare, fairly cheap, and widely available. Dufil retailing, offering greater opportunities for hot and December 2017, it launched its range in an additional 17 such as RTD tea and coffee and higher-grade olive Prima Foods’ Indomie noodles brand is now a market chilled foods. countries. 25
Global Economic Outlook Overview Income and Consumer Expenditure GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS OVERVIEW Asia Pacific and Middle East & Africa top GDP growth to 2030 More than half of world GDP now comprises consumer expenditure The food and beverage industry is one of the largest manufacturing sectors in terms of jobs and value added in most In 2017, total global disposable income accounts for the 65% of total world GDP (US$51 trillion in 2017) while economies contributing US$77.5 trillion globally in 2017. A forecast overall CAGR of 2.9% over 2017-30 is driven in consumer expenditure represents 56% of world GDP. Consumer expenditure on food and beverages is now US$6.6 part by population growth in emerging markets within Asia Pacific and Middle East and North Africa but also by the trillion or 8.5% of world GDP. shift to packaged and convenience foods in these regions. Exhibit 5 Total global GDP, disposable income and total consumer spending, 2017 Exhibit 4 Regional GDP in 2017, 2030 & CAGR 2017-2030 26.3tn 23.7tn Europe 1.9% 195* 1.5% 20.6tn 19.5tn US$77.5tn US$50.8tn US$43.8tn US$6.6tn North 44.8tn America 7.5bn 6.2tn consumers 4.4% Asia Pacific 25.5tn 3.8% 2.3tn 4.0tn World consumer spending on food Sub Saharan Middle East World Disposable World Consumer and non-alcoholic 3.8% 2017 World GDP Income Spending beverages Africa & North Africa 7.1tn 1.4tn 2.0tn Latin America 2.7% Australasia 5.1tn 2.5% 1.5tn Note: * Countries with available data Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport KEY : Inner circles indicate total GDP in 2017, outer circles indicates total GDP in 2030. The distance between the circles indicates the size of absolute GDP growth After the latest recession, and political and economic proteins, fermentation and probiotics will increasingly uncertainty, consumers in many countries have form part of a healthy diet with blockchain technology Colour of the circles indicate the growth rate Fast Moderate Slow adopted a more cautious approach to spending. supporting safer supply chains and controls. US$ fixed 2016 exchange rates, constant 2016 prices Consumers in developing markets tend to be more Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport Forecast growth in middle-class households is optimistic than those in developed counties when it strongest in countries such as Nigeria and Egypt comes to spending but many still focus on affordability as employment and income opportunities rise in as the primary purchase decision criteria. urban areas in these countries. Expenditure on food Asia Pacific is forecast to achieve the fastest growth added products are favoured by higher income and As disposable income rises, consumer expenditure on and beverages also increases at a high rate as these in GDP, driven by the strong manufacturing and older consumers looking for natural ingredients/ food and beverages in the Asia Pacific and Middle East middle-income households emerge. export-led economies of China and India as well as product formulations that exclude added sugar, salt, and Africa regions will increase from 53% of global Demand for fast food restaurants and processed food overall growth in private consumption. Growing private preservatives and artificial ingredients. With up to expenditure in 2017 to 60% by 2030. Urbanisation and in Nigeria is robust, fuelled by a fast-growing young consumption in these markets is encouraged by the 24% of the population of Europe expected to be over population growth are expected to aid this consumer population, rapid urbanisation, increasing affordability expansion of global foodservice chains introducing 65 years by 2030, food and beverages in smaller spend. As a result, packaged foods and beverages are and demand for convenience. In addition, Nigerians are westernised food and beverages as well as the quantities, with natural flavours and clear labelling are expected to become more accessible, with increased switching from unpackaged, unbranded products to expansion of modern retailing formats and the raised expected to be in higher demand. Rising incidences access to international brands and western food types. packaged products as the urban population reaches presence of convenience products. of diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and osteoporosis In developed markets consumers are more inclined 51% and consumers look for packaged food products will drive the growth of functional foods fortified with GDP growth in Europe is more muted, with mature, towards purchasing added-value products, preferably that are quick to prepare or ready to consume, such as vitamins and minerals. saturated markets for food and beverages. Value- with natural ingredients, Plant-based and alternative noodles, dairy products, snacks and bread. 27
In Saudi Arabia, as women enter the workforce there is less time for shopping or preparing meals and this is leading to increased consumption of packaged and processed foods. Rising disposable incomes and middle-class households also support increased consumption out of home and in foodservice outlets. A growing cafe culture is driving demand for speciality teas and coffees as international chains such as Starbucks and Dunkin Donuts or local chains such as Coffee Planet and Bonnon Coffee expand. Young women in particular, are becoming increasingly aware of healthy lifestyles with manufacturers launching new products that are health-oriented as well as affordable. Products such as unprocessed GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS OVERVIEW cheese, butter, healthier edible oils and some sauces, dressings and condiments are witnessing growing demand with many new product launches, such as Activia Yoghurt Go by Al Safi Danone or Nestlé Fitness Granola by Nestlé. Exhibit 6 Consumer expenditure on F&B growth and middle-class household growth for top 20 F&B spending countries Consumer Exp Country Typology on F&B in 2017 China Emerging and 1,033,585 Developing Countries USA Developed 796,647 Countries India Emerging and 423,488 Developing Countries Countries with large populations and high growth in middle-class household formation, such as China and India in Asia Pacific, offer Japan Developed 420,771 Countries varied opportunities in food and beverages. China, for example, will see the creation of an additional 21 million new middle-class households by Nigeria Emerging and 194,547 Developing Countries 2030 but India, with a similar sized population, will only add 12.7 million and overall value growth will be substantially lower. Russia Emerging and 194,126 Developing Countries Packaged food sales are growing in India as disposable incomes Germany Developed increase. Families are actively adopting westernised food concepts with 188,696 Countries sales of pasta sauces and cheese growing as pizza, burgers and Italian France Developed foodservice outlets become popular. National concern around obesity 178,270 Countries is also forcing parents to focus on their children’s health and their Brazil Emerging and consumption of processed foods. Parents now look for lower sugar, fat 175,412 Developing Countries and salt content in the processed food they give their children and try Mexico Emerging and to ensure a proper diet of nutrients and vitamins. 174,665 Developing Countries “Made in China” is no longer considered inherently inferior following Indonesia Emerging and 172,584 Developing Countries strong endorsement by first lady, Peng Liyuan. However, past food scandals have left Chinese consumers concerned about food Italy 164,570 Developed Countries processing methods with many middle-class consumers shifting to fresh, nutritional and organic foods where possible. The improving “When Gen X were United Kingdom 129,293 Developed Countries cold chain infrastructure has also supported the expansion of fresher kids, we all ate Turkey Emerging and and chilled packaged food and beverages. Fresh milk, for example, has benefited both from wider availability and its image as a nutritional, American cheese. Now kids are eating 122,253 Developing Countries convenient drink. Argentina Emerging and Spain 104,771 Developing Countries In key countries in Latin America, the middle-class continues to expand. Havarti, Gouda, etc. In Mexico 25% of all households are now classified as middle-class. 102,291 Developed Countries Many now place greater value on convenience, modern retail formats, there is a culinary Philippines 99,587 Emerging and Developing Countries brands and product quality, rather than simply on price. Modern convenience stores are very popular and are expanding in many aspect to it all. A Pakistan Emerging and countries. In Mexico, many are open 24 hours a day, serving fresh coffee lot of blurring of South Korea 99,270 Developing Countries Developed and baked goods along with other services, such as bill payments, banking and phone service support facilities, to encourage increased the lines between 89,717 Countries footfall. Products available cater to the national focus on weight meals and snacks. Canada Developed management, such as less processed foods, fortified and functional 81,586 Countries alternatives and products that offer reduced sugar or reduced fat, Leading global -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% which continue to drive growth as health promotion steps up nationally. dairy manufacturer Note: Bubble size indicates the size of total consumer spending on food and beverages in each country Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport 29
In North America, the population aged 60 years In Turkey, 75% of all households are now in urban and older constitutes the fastest-growing consumer areas. Many adults are in professional employment segment in both the USA and Canada. This is expected and there has been a rise in the number of single to drive increased demand for a wide range of age- person households. This has created demand for specific products and services, particularly health- smaller-sized packs, processed meat and ready meals, related products. Many people are working longer than with convenience and ease of preparation high on previous generations, have higher disposable incomes the agenda for busy working adults. Young, urban and have an active, healthy lifestyle. Manufacturers, consumers are interested in new and sophisticated aware of consumer demand for natural, nutritional products for in-home consumption, as general political and sustainable foods, are reformulating their popular and economic instability has depressed the frequency products to increase appeal, achieving market share by of eating out. Western-style coffees and health and acquisition of smaller, successful, niche providers and wellness products, such as fruit/herbal and green tea, developing fresher products with natural ingredients are increasingly popular. and lower levels of processing that suit not just Economic recession and trade embargos on Russia are the older generation but also strong health trends heightening price sensitivity. Consumers are trading throughout the general population. down with a shift from premium to mid-priced or In Western Europe, the free-from trend is now well mid to economy price segments, for example in tea, established and growing. Gluten-, meat- and dairy-free coffee and hot drinks. Manufacturers are responding product ranges are increasing in variety, availability by diversifying their product portfolios offering value and affordability as the price gap between standard for money lines at all price points as well as using and free-from products narrows. Flexitarian, vegetarian promotional activity to maintain visibility and brand and vegan populations are growing, but even among loyalty. Domestically produced drinks such as Russian general consumers there are many who believe that kompot juice drinks, kvass non-cola carbonates or gluten- or lactose-free products are good for digestion sugar-free and vegetable-based soft drinks are widely and that alternative high-protein sources are kinder to available and popular. the environment as well as better for your health. In the UK, for example, sales of free-from packaged foods grew by 5% in 2016 as sales through supermarkets, Global Food & hypermarkets and discounters expanded. Beverage Sector 31
Global Total F&B Industry Overview countries limits the expansion of dairy and fresh food sales chilled facilities for stocking fresh dairy, meat and seafood. increasing label scrutiny and transparent production methods but demand for milk, butter, Consumers are increasingly are influencing consumer choices yoghurt and cheese is growing aware of the health impact of across Europe. Growth in this strongly as the number of the food they eat, especially in region will be much slower as GLOBAL FOOD AND BEVERAGES SECTOR expatriates and working women countries such as Mexico, Brazil, consumers look for long-term Highest growth will come from Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa and Latin America increases in many countries. Chile and Argentina, where health gains through diet, Middle East and North Africa awareness of food content is replacing the more short-term Overall retail value of food and beverage sales across the world in 2016 reached US$1,585 billion with Asia Pacific, Latin is one of the priority regions heightened due to taxes and focus on lower salt, sugar and America and Middle East & Africa accounting for 57% of this value. In 2017, it is forecasted to reach US$1,617 in 2017 and for major food and beverage government backed campaigns fat content. The proportion by 2021 total value sales of food and beverages (F&B) is forecast to reach US$1,788 billion. companies due to its growth to lower levels of diabetes. of consumers over 50 years potential. Local government Gluten-, sugar- and fat-free foods in the total population is support for foreign investment and sugar-free carbonates are also forecast to rise reaching Exhibit 7 Total F&B Value Sales in 2016, 2021 & CAGR 2016-2021 US$ billion has also seen the establishment popular with many consumers 42% by 2030 up from 37% in of new manufacturing plants. looking for more naturally healthy 2017. This demographic shift alternatives in packaged foods. is expected to raise interest Consolidation in modern retailing in vegetarianism, weight is occurring in many smaller In 2017, Europe accounted for management with fortified countries, such as Colombia and 25% of global food and beverage foods and healthy snacking and Chile within Latin American, sales. The demand for naturally beverages set to increase. 290bn but high penetration in Brazil healthy foods and beverages, 412bn Europe provides many stores with 1.5% 0.9% Global F&B Distribution Landscape 270bn 394bn 659bn North America 130bn Asia Pacific 3.2% 4.6% 562bn 51bn 104bn Sub Saharan Africa 5.4% Middle East & North Africa Super/hypermarkets Exhibit 8 Global food value sales split by key 221bn channels, 2011-2016 US$ million 39bn 25bn suffer as internet Latin America 2.8% Australasia retailing and 1.1% 193bn convenience stores - 200K 400K 600K 800K 1M 24bn and forecourts expand 2011 Super/hypermarkets now control 55% of total food value sales from 2012 KEY : Inner circle indicates total F&B value sales in 2016, outer circle indicates total F&B value sales in 2021 56% in 2011. Convenience stores The distance between the circles indicates the size of absolute growth and forecourts have increased their presence and range of 2013 Colour of the circles indicate the growth rate Fast Moderate Slow Static products offered, with market Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport share now reaching 6%, up from Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport 2014 5% in 2011. Although still small, mobile and online purchasing is revolutionising food and beverage 2015 Asia Pacific is the most rapidly and has also supported a shift the Middle East and North purchasing through its integration expanding food and beverage from unpackaged to packaged Africa region. Premiumisation with rapid and localised delivery market due to burgeoning foods, the growth of fast food is a growing trend as the systems and is the channel 2016 populations, higher and more and specialist coffee outlets, number of middle-class and of choice for many younger widely distributed disposable a growing interest in naturally wealthy consumers increases, consumers with global sales share income, a growing culture of healthy foods as well as the with many young consumers increasing by 1.2% since 2011. out-of-home consumption. India expansion of convenience stores. favouring international brands Convenient Stores and Discounters Forecourt Retailers is the star performer, surpassing and consumption through For both hot drinks and soft drinks High disposable incomes, Pakistan, Indonesia and China foodservice increasing. A volume, super/hyper markets are Supermarkets/Hypermarkets Internet Retailing rapid urbanisation and a large in terms of forecast growth. growing cafe culture is boosting the leading channels in 2016 with and growing group of young Traditional Grocery Retailers Other Dairy Economic expansion, rising sales of RTD tea and coffee as 47% and 37% shares respectively. consumers comprised of young incomes and a rapidly expanding well as demand for hot drinks professionals and families with middle class has led to increased in convenience and forecourt young children strongly influence Note: Channel split excludes dry pulses and semi-processed pulses spending in the last five years stores. An underdeveloped cold food and beverage sales across chain infrastructure in many 33
Exhibit 9 Global soft drinks volume sales split by key channels, 2011-2016 Million litres Modern grocery formats such as Global F&B Industry 2011 - 100K 200K 300K 400K 500k 600k super/hypermarkets, forecourts and convenience stores dominate despite discounters actively developing their network of Overview by Category GLOBAL FOOD AND BEVERAGES SECTOR stores over the last five years. 2012 Discounters have relied on value sales driven by high quality, low prices and convenience Beverages dominate global sales of food and beverages in value terms, 2013 targeting low- and middle-income while edible oils is the fastest growing category consumers, but this approach is Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport 2014 now well established and adapted Beverages is the largest category, with soft drink dominating overall sales. Forecast growth to 2021 is strong at a 2.5% by all channels, particularly CAGR with stronger growth in hot drinks as many consumers switch to the health benefits of tea, different varieties of through private label ranges. coffee and other hot drinks. Sugar-laden carbonates are suffering in many markets as consumers search for healthier, 2015 reduced/no sugar alternatives such as hybrid juice drinks, low-fat flavoured milks and bottled water. For middle to premium consumers a shift to local and specialist 2016 Exhibit 11 Global F&B value share by industry, 2011–2021 stores is driving sales of premium, natural and organic foods allowing traditional and independent - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 Convenience Stores and grocers to maintain their market Discounters 2011 Forecourt Retailers share at 26% globally. All leading Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport, FAO Supermarkets/Hypermarkets Internet Retailing global retailers have also adopted 2012 omnichannel approaches to the 2013 Traditional Grocery Retailers Other Dairy market, with large investment in 2014 establishing a strong presence in mobile retailing essential. 2015 Note: Channel split excludes dry pulses and semi-processed pulses Packaged foods dominate retail 2016 sales through super/hypermarkets 2017 with traditional retailers relying 2018 Exhibit 10 Global soft drinks volume sales split on hot and soft drinks sales by key channels, 2011-2016 Million litres more than on packaged foods. 2019 Convenience stores and forecourts 2020 have strong sales in soft drinks 2021 with discounters selling both food - 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M 12M 14M and beverages equally well. Beverages Dairy Cereals, Pulses and Grains Meat & Poultry Fats & Oils 2011 Young consumers now use mobile apps to order, purchase and arrange delivery of food and beverages 2012 Dairy is forecast to grow at a 2.3% CAGR to 2021. Meat and poultry is the slowest growing category at an ever-increasing rate. Improved cold chain infrastructure in major markets at CAGR 1.3%, directly influenced in mature markets Foodservice, in particular, is taking such as Latin America, Asia Pacific and Middle by increasing numbers of flexitarians, vegetarians 2013 advantage of this opportunity with East & North Africa is supporting growth in fresh, and vegans. Lower annual consumption of meat rapid ordering and delivery available chilled milk, yoghurts and cheese products with and poultry is also occurring in these markets as from all leading and local providers. Source: Euromonitor International analysis from Passport 2014 nutritious dairy products fitting well within the part of the development of healthier lifestyles. Drive-in stores using online global interest in healthier foods. Lactose-free Major manufacturers are working to broaden their purchasing are now common across milks are also growing as consumers look for more product portfolios as the trend towards plant- 2015 Europe as are instant shopping apps easily digestible alternatives, in many markets. based protein and meat substitutes gathers pace. with local delivery with the hour. In emerging markets, beef and poultry sales are Parallel in-store and online shopping Pulses, grains and cereals are becoming more 2016 growing as chilled and frozen products gain wider experiences are epitomised by the popular elements in a healthy diet with CAGR of accessibility as cold chain infrastructure expands. new Hema supermarket shopping 2.3% forecast to 2021. Wider availability and niche concept developed by Alibaba. products, such as buckwheat or quinoa, specialist Edible oils, although a small category, is the fastest Convenience Stores and With 22 stores open by the end aromatic rices, ancient grains such as spelt, farro growing product category as demand, volume Discounters Forecourt Retailers of 2017, plans are now in place to or kamut and seeds like chia, pumpkin and sesame, sales and price increases. CAGR growth to 2021 Supermarkets/Hypermarkets Internet Retailing rollout 2,000 branches in China are increasingly used as ingredients in foodservice. sits at 3.7% globally. Olive oil is the most dynamic over the next five years. JD.Com Home cooks are now embracing these ingredients as category responding to growing health concerns Traditional Grocery Retailers Other Dairy have also just launched 7Fresh, healthy sources of nutrition, vitamins and essential worldwide as the demand for natural, low processed, a similar supermarket concept, oils. Growth is strongest in Sub-Saharan Africa where pure oils increases in all markets. Blended oils, with 75% of all products stocked many of these products are staple elements of a palm and soya oils are also seeing growth driven Note: Channel split excludes dry pulses and semi-processed pulses comprised of fresh produce from traditional diet, but there is also strong demand in by population expansion but, in many markets, local and international sources. Latin America and Middle East & North Africa. are suffering from poor perceptions in terms of healthiness and heavy processing methods. 35
Global F&B Trends & Drivers 01 The top three countries with the biggest ethical markets based on the total value of ethical Ethical living is an evolving labels are the US, Japan and China shaped by consumer stance availability, pricing and consumption habits. GLOBAL FOOD AND BEVERAGES SECTOR This ranking excludes products that are locally Consumers increasingly evaluate produced and organic, pesticide-free products Manufacturers focus on expanding brands’ ethical credentials, sourcing and that are not explicitly ethically labelled. healthier food and beverage ranges sustainability policies with increasingly 01 effective, vocal, pressure group influence in mature and evolving markets. Consumers Strong natural, health and sustainability credentials in these markets often have the luxury of form the basis of innovation and new product NutriAsia is the Philippines’ leading 02 wide product choice or tangible experience development in global food and beverages. Products producer, marketer and distributor of of the impact of these choices. Key made from healthier ingredients, labelled to high quality sauces and condiments Consumer interest is sufficiently that even in components of an ethical standpoint are demonstrate assurances of minimal processing or but the company is now expanding price-sensitive markets high value sales of environmental consciousness throughout demonstrative health benefits from natural ingredients into beverages. The company is the ethical mainstream categories can be achieved. the production process in regard to human appeal to consumers, specifically to higher income and owner of the very successful, Locally and animal welfare, resource usage and ageing consumers in developed markets. Innovation brand of quirky juices targeting younger sustainability and transportation impact is coming from a range of start-ups and established consumers and has now expanded through to processing, production inputs companies around the globe in response to this trend. into food trucks selling a wide range of 03 and outputs and recyclability. Some examples include: Locally fruit-based drinks. NutriAsia also has a 67% stake in DelMonte Pacific. The recycling label in the most established, recognised and trusted ethical label, with product sales carrying this label reaching 02 US$700 billion worldwide. Manufacturers are responding. Proctor & Gamble is the Grupo Bimbo sales in leading markets first company worldwide to address ocean such as Canada have been boosted by the waste, launching the first commercially inclusion of ancient grains in new products produced shampoo bottle for Head & such as Dempster’s whole grain with chia Shoulders made from recycled beach plastic. as well as through acquisition of Stonemill Bakehouse. Bimbo has also entered the UK market for the first time with a range of indulgent baked snacks with the objective 04 on injecting innovation and variety into a stable, less dynamic category. Consumers are embracing clean labels in food and beverages and are looking for non- GMO, no artificial ingredients or sweeteners, 03 hormone-free or natural/organic ingredients which contribute strongly to the healthier ellogg acquired RXBar protein bars K lifestyles of consumers around the world. from maker Chicago Bar Company to expand their portfolio of healthier snacks. The product lists its ingredients prominently on the front of packaging 05 and is made without added sugar, gluten, soy or dairy. It is particularly successful hierarchy of ethical labels is present A among young millennials and health and with consumer spend primarily devoted fitness-conscious consumers in the US. to environmental causes such as carbon Kellogg has also reformulated some of its footprint, sustainable sources, recycling leading products by launching healthier labels. Secondarily, consumers will spend versions with higher fibre content, in areas of wellbeing and animal welfare on including All-Bran, FiberPlus and Nutri- products labelled as bird- or insect-friendly, Grain cereal bars sold in North America. free range, BPA free, protected origin as well as no added sugar/hormone/MSG or GMO free. Charitable causes and religious labels attain the lowest level of ethical priority. 37
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