Trump Indictment: A Guide for Advocates - Update: Friday, March 31st
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Update: Friday, March 31st Trump Indictment: A Guide for Advocates Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
• Two in three are hearing about a potential indictment of Donald Trump as
nearly three in five think he has committed a crime.
• Out of a range of actions for which Trump is being investigated or has
been investigated, at least half call each a crime, and a majority support
an indictment over the alleged hush money payments to Stormy Daniels.
• The most effective messaging about a potential indictment emphasizes
that no one should be above the law and that if prosecutors have
evidence Trump has committed a crime, they should follow the facts.
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
Latest wave conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgThree in Five Say Trump Has Committed a Crime
Majorities of Democrats (87% yes) and independents (53%), along with majorities of every racial group including white Americans (53%),
say Trump has committed a crime.
• More than six in ten Republicans (63%) disagree, though about one in four (27%) say he has committed a crime.
Do you think Donald Trump has committed a crime?
Yes Not sure No Net Yes
Overall 58 9 33 +25
Democrats 87 4 9 +78
Independents 53 20 27 +26
Republicans 27 10 63 -36
Black 77 9 14 +63
Hispanic 62 11 27 +35
White 53 8 39 +14
AAPI 70 9 21 +49
Nationwide survey
surveysofof1,000 registered
registered voters
voters; Eachconducted March approximately
wave represents 23-March 27, 2023.
1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
For more
Latest info,
wave visit navigatorresearch.org.
conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgTwo in Three Report Hearing About the Potential Criminal
Indictment of Trump, and Half Broadly Support It
Democrats (71% “a lot”/”some”) and Republicans (66%) are hearing more about the potential criminal indictment than independents (48%).
• A majority of Democrats (83%) and a plurality of independents (40%) support an indictment, along with one in five Republicans (18%).
Over the past few days, how much have you seen, read, or heard Do you support or oppose Donald Trump being criminally
about a potential criminal indictment of former President Donald indicted?
Trump?
Total A
A lot Some A little/Nothing Lot/Some Support Not sure Oppose Net Support
Overall 33 33 34 66 51 9 40 +11
Democrats 36 35 29 71 83 6 11 +72
Independents 21 27 52 48 40 22 38 +2
Republicans 33 34 33 66 18 8 74 -56
Black 31 33 36 64 70 11 19 +51
Hispanic 35 33 33 68 57 11 32 +25
White 33 34 34 66 46 8 46 0
AAPI 35 34 31 69 60 10 30 +30
Nationwide survey
surveysofof1,000 registered
registered voters
voters; Eachconducted March approximately
wave represents 23-March 27, 2023.
1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
For more
Latest info,
wave visit navigatorresearch.org.
conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgSupport For a Trump Indictment Grows to Three in Five On
Grounds of Illegally Using Campaign Funds
A majority of Democrats (87% support) and just over half of independents (51%) support a criminal indictment of Trump for allegedly paying
hush money to Stormy Daniels and then lying about it.
• One in four Republicans (25%) also support indicting the former president.
As you may or may not know, Donald Trump is expected to be criminally indicted for illegally using campaign funds for personal expenses – a hush money
payment to adult film actress Stormy Daniels – and then lying about it. Knowing this, would you support or oppose Donald Trump being criminally indicted?
Support Not sure Oppose Net Support
Overall 57 8 35 +22
Democrats 87 7 6 +81
Independents 51 14 35 +16
Republicans 25 8 67 -42
Black 74 9 17 +57
Hispanic 66 6 28 +38
White 52 8 40 +12
AAPI 67 10 23 +44
Nationwide survey
surveysofof1,000 registered
registered voters
voters; Eachconducted March approximately
wave represents 23-March 27, 2023.
1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
For more
Latest info,
wave visit navigatorresearch.org.
conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgSeven in Ten Americans Describe a Range of Trump’s Alleged
Actions as Criminal or Wrong
Roughly four in five Democrats and half of independents say each action was a crime.
• Independents are most likely to say Trump using campaign funds for personal expenses (52%) and obstructing the counting of
electoral votes, defrauding the United States, and conspiring to make false statements (52%) are crimes.
For each of the following, please indicate whether you think Donald Trump committed a crime, committed wrongdoing but not a crime, or did not do
anything wrong.
Total Crime
Donald Trump allegedly… Crime Wrongdoing, no crime Nothing wrong Dem Ind Rep
…illegally used campaign funds for personal expenses and then
lied about it
53 20 26 84 52 20
…used campaign funds for personal expenses – a hush money payment
to adult film actress Stormy Daniels – and then lied about it 53 23 24 83 50 21
…obstructed the January 6th, 2021 counting of electoral votes by
Congress, defrauded the United States, and conspired to make 53 17 30 85 52 17
false statements
…pressured Georgia election officials to illegally throw out enough
ballots cast for Biden to erase Biden's victory in the state in 2020
52 21 27 82 48 19
…assisted and aided in the insurrection at the Capitol on
January 6th, 2021 50 20 30 82 46 16
…took classified documents, including several containing sensitive
information related to nuclear weapons, from the White House to his 50 26 25 79 49 17
home at Mar-a-Lago
Nationwide survey
surveysofof1,000 registered
registered voters
voters; Eachconducted March approximately
wave represents 23-March 27, 2023.
1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
For more
Latest info,
wave visit navigatorresearch.org.
conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgStrongest Messaging on the Indictment Emphasizes That Trump
Is Not Above the Law
A message that “no one is above the law, not even a former President” is effective against a message that “this potential indictment
of Trump is just another politically motivated witch hunt” (net +22 more convincing); a message that “if prosecutors have evidence
Trump has committed a crime, they should follow the facts to get to the truth” and he “should face a jury of his peers just like anyone
else would” is also compelling (net +16 convincing).
Even if you don't agree with either side completely, who do you find more convincing:
Statement 1: Those who say this potential indictment of Trump is just another politically motivated witch hunt: this case has been ongoing for years and
Democrats just can't let it go.
Statement 2: Those who say no one is Statement 3: Those who say if Statement 4: Those who say it is Statement 5: Those who say
above the law, not even a former prosecutors have evidence Trump important that former President Republicans are covering up for
President. When someone breaks the has committed a crime, they should Trump is held accountable for any President Trump: they only care
law, they should face repercussions. follow the facts to get to the truth, crimes he has committed: he has about protecting the leader of their
There shouldn’t be one justice system and Trump should face a jury of his spent his entire life in shady party, like they always have. They're
for everyday Americans and another peers just like anyone else would. business deals and this crime is putting their party ahead of the
for the rich and powerful where they really just the tip of the iceberg. country.
pay no consequences for their crimes.
Statement 1: 39% Statement 1: 42% Statement 1: 43% Statement 1: 46%
Statement 2: 61% Statement 3: 58% Statement 4: 57% Statement 5: 54%
Net Statement 2: +22 Net Statement 3: +16 Net Statement 4: +14 Net Statement 5: +8
Nationwide survey
surveysofof1,000 registered
registered voters
voters; Eachconducted March approximately
wave represents 23-March 27, 2023.
1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
For more
Latest info,
wave visit navigatorresearch.org.
conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgHalf of Americans Have Heard of Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg:
Views Are Split by Party and Media Consumption
A plurality of Democrats (41%) hold favorable views of Bragg, while a plurality of Republicans (42%) view him unfavorably.
• Media consumption among Republicans drives negative views: a majority of Fox News-watching Republicans (56%) view Bragg
unfavorably, compared to just three in ten (29%) non-Fox Republicans.
Please indicate how favorable or unfavorable you are to: Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg.
Favorable Don’t know Unfavorable Net Favorable
Overall 25 51 24 +1
Democrats 41 50 9 +32
Independents 12 69 19 -7
Republicans 10 48 42 -32
Fox News GOP* 8 36 56 -48
Non-Fox News GOP 12 59 29 -17
CNN viewers** 41 41 18 +23
MSNBC viewers** 41 40 19 +22
*”Fox News surveys
Nationwide GOP” are those who voters;
of registered identifyEach
as Republicans and say
wave represents Fox News is 1,000
approximately one ofinterviews
their “main sources
taken overof news
the priorabout politics
three-five and current
days.
events in theconducted
Latest wave U.S.” on a March
separate question.
23-March 27,**“CNN viewers”
2023. For and visit
more info, “MSNBC viewers” are those who report that they watch CNN and MSNBC a
navigatorresearch.org
few times a month or more on a separate question. Nationwide survey of 1,000 registered voters conducted March 23-March 27, 2023.
For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org.Bringing Down Prescription Costs, Closing Tax Loopholes, Taxing
the Rich Most Popular Medicare Solvency Solutions
Allowing Medicare to negotiate lower prescription drug prices (net +75 support), closing tax loopholes (net +60), and raising taxes on
corporations and those who make over $400,000 a year to extend the longevity of Medicare (net +54) are the most popular reforms tested.
• Seniors are even more supportive of these potential reforms, while more than nine in ten oppose cuts to Medicare benefits.
Below is a list of potential reforms to Medicare. Please indicate whether you support or oppose each one.
Net Support
*/** Split sample Support Not sure Oppose Overall Dem Ind Rep 18-44 45-64 65+
Giving Medicare the power to negotiate lower prescription drug prices
which will bring down the overall cost of Medicare
84 7 9 +75 +84 +59 +70 +64 +82 +84
Closing tax loopholes that high-income business owners use to avoid paying
into Medicare to help fund the program
75 10 15 +60 +76 +44 +47 +46 +64 +77
**Raising taxes on corporations and those who make over $400,000 a year
in order to extend the longevity of Medicare
73 8 19 +54 +80 +46 +29 +57 +50 +56
*Raising taxes on corporations and those who make over $400,000 a year
to help fund the program
70 9 21 +49 +76 +51 +17 +41 +53 +56
**Privatizing Medicare, ending the guarantee that it exists for seniors 23 12 65 -42 -42 -50 -41 -20 -50 -66
**Raising the retirement age from 65 to 70 22 8 70 -48 -52 -48 -45 -42 -67 -35
*Raising the retirement age 22 9 69 -47 -47 -46 -48 -46 -54 -37
**Cutting Medicare benefits for future retirees 12 7 81 -69 -70 -65 -68 -52 -72 -89
*Cutting Medicare benefits 10 7 83 -73 -71 -68 -75 -56 -80 -90
Nationwide survey
surveysofof1,000 registered
registered voters
voters; Eachconducted March approximately
wave represents 23-March 27, 2023.
1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
For more
Latest info,
wave visit navigatorresearch.org.
conducted March 23-March 27, 2023. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.orgAbout Navigator For Press inquiries contact:
In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment press@navigatorresearch.org
analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to
act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable
guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global To learn more about Navigator:
Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Jessica Floyd, The Hub Project;
Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, http://navigatorresearch.org
Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned
Parenthood Action Fund. @NavigatorSurvey on Twitter
About the Study
Global Strategy Group conducted public opinion surveys among a sample of 1,000 registered voters from March
23-March 27, 2023. 100 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 80 additional interviews
were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted
among African American voters. 102 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The
survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days.
verified against
Latest a voterMarch
wave conducted file and special
23-March careForwas
27, 2023. taken
more to navigatorresearch.org
info, visit ensure the demographic composition of our sample
matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables.You can also read
