MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE

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MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
Mpumalanga
Sustainable Agriculture Market
Intelligence Opportunity Brief 2021
                                      MPUMALANGA WATER: MIR 2021   1
MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
CONTENTS                                                                                   Emerging opportunities,
                                                                                                                                                                                         drivers and barriers                              24

                                                                                                                                                                                         3.1.   Major drivers and opportunities            26
                                                                                                                                                                                         3.2.   Sustainable agriculture trends             27
                                                                                                                                                                                         3.3.   Investment opportunities in Mpumalanga 29
                                                                                                                      The Mpumalanga Green                                               3.3.1. Sustainable production                     29
                                                                                                                      Cluster Agency         4                                           3.3.2. Circular economy and resource efficiency   31                      References      44

                                                                                                                              1                              2                                       3                                     4                                 5
                    Mpumalanga Green Cluster Agency

                                    Acknowledgements

                                         Disclaimer
      While every attempt has been made to ensure that the information published
   in this report is accurate, no responsibility is accepted for any loss or damage to any
        person or entity relying on any of the information contained in this report.
                                                                                              Executive summary   1                              Sector overview                                       6                         Funding and Incentives 40

                  Copyright © Mpumalanga Green Cluster Agency 2021                                                                               2.1.   Farming sector in South Africa                 8
                                                                                                                                                 2.2. Natural resources in South Africa
                 This document may be downloaded at no charge from                                                                                    and Mpumalanga                                   9

            http://www.mpumalangagreencluster.co.za/. All rights reserved.                                                                       2.3.   Production trends in South Africa
                                                                                                                                                        and Mpumalanga                                10
                                                                                                                                                 2.4. Economic overview                               12
 Subscribe to receive e-mail alerts or MGCA news, events, and publications by registering
                                                                                                                                                 2.4.1. Economic contribution of agriculture, agro
       as a member on our website: http://www.mpumalangagreencluster.co.za/                                                                             processing and forestry in Mpumalanga
                                                                                                                                                        to the South African economy               12
                              Mbombela, 1200, South Africa                                                                                       2.4.2. Mpumalanga’s contribution to
                                                                                                                                                        agricultural trade                         13
                                                                                                                                                 2.5.   Key players in the agricultural value chain 17
                                    Authors: Tokelo Shai
                                                                                                                                                 2.6. Relevant legislation                            17
Editorial and review: Claire Pengelly, Lauren Basson, Cilnette Pienaar and Nicholas Fordyce
                                                                                                                                                 2.6.1. National legislation and policies             17
                                      Images: Supplied
                                                                                                                                                 2.6.2. Provincial legislation and policies           21
                            Layout and design: Tamlin Lockhart                                                                                   2.6.3. International regulations                     22

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021   i
MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
LIST OF FIGURES                                                                                          LIST OF TABLES
     Figure 1: Number of farming units in South Africa by size of commercial farm (2017)                 8    Table 1: Summary of emerging sustainable agriculture opportunities in Mpumalanga                                                     2
     Figure 2: Mpumalanga land use classifications                                                        9   Table 2: Top 10 agricultural products in Mpumalanga exported to Africa                                                              15
     Figure 3: Mean annual rainfall in Mpumalanga                                                       10    Table 3: Key agricultural players in Mpumalanga		                                                                                   17
     Figure 4: Major crops by area harvested in South Africa, 2019                                       11   Table 4: List of policies and legislation that govern sustainable agricultural production                                           18
     Figure 5: Area planted under field crops in Mpumalanga in 2017                                      11   Table 5: List of policies and legislation that govern agricultural resource use                                                     20
     Figure 6: Area under horticultural production in Mpumalanga as a percentage of total area (2017)   12    Table 6: List of policies and regulations that govern Mpumalanga sustainable agriculture                                            21
     Figure 7: Gross value added and employment of agriculture sector in Mpumalanga from 2010 to 2020   13    Table 7: Sustainable production opportunities		                                                                                     30
     Figure 8: Total gross farm income in South Africa and Mpumalanga                                   13    Table 8: Investment opportunities in food-water-energy-waste nexus                                                                  32
     Figure 9: Mpumalanga agricultural exports and imports (2010 – 2020)                                14    Table 9: Percentage losses at each stage of the value chain                                                                         36
     Figure 10: Mpumalanga import and export destinations (2020)                                        14
     Figure 11: Mpumalanga import destinations (2020)		                                                 14
     Figure 12: Agricultural innovation system                                                          16
     Figure 13: Opportunities along the agricultural value chain                                        26
     Figure 14: Disruptive scalable agri-tech                                                           27
     Figure 15: Global agri-food tech investments in the years 2019 and 2020                            28
     Figure 16: Agricultural sector energy use in South Africa                                          33
     Figure 17: Share of water sources used by farms in Mpumalanga from crop production (2017)          34
     Figure 18: Contribution of commodity subsectors to total quantity of food wasted in South Africa   37
     Figure 19: Types of irrigation systems on commercial farms used in Mpumalanga (2017)               38
     Figure 20: Percentage of irrigation/water systems used on smallholder farms                        38
     Figure 21: Percentage of commercial farms in Mpumalanga and the type of fertilisers used (2017)    39

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MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS                                                                                  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
                                                                                                                         This market opportunity brief is part of a series of first-of-its-kind reports that highlight green economy
              Abbreviations & Acronyms                                                 Meaning
                                                                                                                         investment opportunities in Mpumalanga. It is written for investors who want to understand the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         CLICK:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Celebrating green
       AfCFTA                                       African Continental Free Trade Agreement                             opportunities for investment and job creation in green economy sectors in the province.                        economy green
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           shoots in
       BFAP                                         Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy                                                                                                                                              Mpumalanga

       CBAM                                         Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism                                   This brief highlights emerging investment    This shift is primarily driven by climate
                                                                                                                         opportunities in the sustainable             change, population growth, scarce
       CSIR                                         Council for Scientific and Industrial Research
                                                                                                                         agriculture sector in Mpumalanga.            natural resources (water and arable
       DAT                                          Disruptive Agricultural Technologies
                                                                                                                         The agriculture sector plays a crucial       land), and international market pressure
                                                                                                                         role in the development of a green           for environmentally friendly products,
       DFFE                                         Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment                economy in the province because of its       technological advancement and growing
                                                                                                                         natural resource use (~56% of cropland,      consumer preferences for healthier
       EU                                           European Union                                                       pastures and forests and 55% water           products. The ongoing COVID-19
                                                                                                                         use), impact on well-being, and job          pandemic has further demonstrated
       FBT                                          Food Beverage and Tobacco
                                                                                                                         creation. Mpumalanga contributed             the susceptibility of the agriculture
       GVA                                          Gross Value Add
                                                                                                                         16% to total employment and a GVA of         sector to the changing local and
                                                                                                                         13% in South Africa’s agricultural and       global dynamics in the industry.
       MTPA                                         Mpumalanga Tourism and Parks Agency                                  value-added activities in 2020.
                                                                                                                                                                      Mpumalanga offers numerous
       REIPPPP                                      Renewable Energy Independent Power Producers Procurement Programme   However, the sector is vulnerable to         opportunities for investors, agricultural
                                                                                                                         various economic, environmental, social,     and green technology manufacturers,
                                                                                                                         and regulatory factors that impact the       service providers, distributors, and
                                                                                                                         industry’s productivity and investment       others in the value chain to support
                                                                                                                         trends. In response, there is a shift away   and enable the transition to a more
                                                                                                                         from conventional farming toward more        sustainable agriculture sector. The
                                                                                                                         resource-efficient, sustainable and          different opportunities emerging in
                                                                                                                         technology-driven farming methods.           the province are highlighted in this
                                                                                                                                                                      brief are shown in Table 1.

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MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
Table 1: Summary of emerging sustainable agriculture opportunities in Mpumalanga

                                                                                                                                                      Expected                                                                                                                                                                                                       Expected
                 Opportunity                                       Key drivers                                            Barriers                                         Size of opportunity                           Opportunity                                          Key drivers                                              Barriers                                                  Size of opportunity
                                                                                                                                                      timeframe                                                                                                                                                                                                      timeframe

      Improved soil health                 • Mine closure & land rehabilitation                            • Legal uncertainty and poor mine        5 – 10 years   • Less than 30% adoption of                Resource use efficiency (Food-water-    • Increased interest in supply chain transparency and             • High cost of technologies to improve     0 – 5 years           • Improved efficiency on existing farm
                                           • Stringent international regulations on use of chemical         closure planning to effectively                         conservation agriculture in grain         energy nexus)                            traceability                                                      efficiency                                                       land (~934 000 ha)
      Key opportunities:                                                                                    rehabilitate mining land                                production
                                             fertilisers                                                                                                                                                                                              • Certifications and regulatory standards that require data       • Limited technical skills                                       • 25% of commercial farms and 3% of
      • Regenerative agriculture                                                                           • High transition costs to soil health                  • 934 000 ha used for cultivated           Key opportunities:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       collection on farm                                                                                                                 smallholder farms use drip irrigation
      • Soil remediation                   • Certification to increase access to premium markets                                                                                                              • Protected farming (i.e. greenhouses                                                                     • Limited access to efficient irrigation
                                                                                                            improvement                                             pastures & crops                                                                  • Rising input costs                                               systems esp. for smallholder farmers                            • Less than 1% of commercial farms use
                                                                                                                                                                                                                & shade nets)
                                                                                                           • Limited skills and expertise to                       • 40 000 ha state owned land released      • Smart farming (ICT & remote           • Poor irrigation scheduling resulting in a need for monitoring   • Accessible internet connection and                              treated wastewater
                                                                                                            effectively improve soil health                         in Mpumalanga                                                                      to improve irrigation efficiency                                  high cost of data                                               • 807 ha under protected cover (less
                                                                                                                                                                                                                sensing applications)
                                                                                                           • Unaffordable organic and Global GAP                   • 93 632 ha (14%) of the province’s high   • Water reuse for irrigation                                                                              • Inconsistent land reform policies and                           than 1% of cultivated area)
                                                                                                            (good agricultural practices)                           potential arable land is being mined,     • Energy efficiency                                                                                        water use allocations
                                                                                                            certification, especially                               and 40% is subject to prospecting
                                                                                                            for small scale farmers                                 activities. A draft Preservation and      Agri-food waste management              • Rapid urbanisation and growing food loss and waste along        • Lack of education and awareness of       0 - 5 years           • 1.4 million tons (MT) of sugarcane
                                                                                                                                                                    Development of Agricultural Land bill
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       agri-food chain                                                   waste management                                                 produced in 2017, the bagasse
                                                                                                                                                                    (2021) could protect the arable land      Key opportunities:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Industry masterplans to increase competitiveness (sugar &       • Limited offtake of biogas projects                              by-product can be used to generate
                                                                                                                                                                    from mining activities.                   • Waste to energy                        poultry)                                                                                                                           electricity
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Waste to feed                                                                                                                                                            • 12% of commercial farms use organic
      Rangeland management                 • Increased awareness on the consequences of biosecurity        • Limited financial resources for        5 – 10 years   • 1.17 million ha of grazing land. The     • Waste to fertiliser                   • Growing demand for alternative energy sources
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          fertilisers
                                             risks to food supply chain and human health                    biosafety measures                                      province is known for cattle, poultry                                             • Chemical fertiliser bans
      Key opportunities:
                                           • Climate ambitions to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG)              • Poor animal feed quality due to poor                   and pig production.                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Ngondwana biomass plant (25MW)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • National Waste Management Strategy 2020
      • Alternative protein feed
                                             emissions in livestock sector                                  storage facilities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          fuelled using agricultural and forestry
      • Sustainable livestock production                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  waste (i.e. wood chips) from
      • Feed storage                       • Stringent food safety standards and regulations               • Limited skills and expertise in                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              plantations in the province.
                                           • Consumer demand for healthier products                         sustainable rangeland management

      Controlled environment agriculture   • Growing demand for locally grown and environmental            • High investment costs                  0 – 5 years    • Emergence of aquaponic and
      (soilless farming)                     friendly products                                                                                                      hydroponic production systems
                                                                                                           • Need for specialized skills for
                                           • Mine closure & land rehabilitation – alternative land use &    technology use                                         • 807 ha under protected cover (less
      Key opportunities:
                                             infrastructure                                                • High energy demand                                     than 1% of cultivated area)
      • Input supplies
      • Niche farming                      • New local & international market access opportunities         • Access to growing space
      • Energy efficiency                    – increase demand for intensive production

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MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
This cluster will focus on unlocking and
                                                   Introducing the                                                                            Green Economy Market
                                                                                                unblocking economic opportunities in the
                                                   Mpumalanga Green                                                                           Opportunity Briefs
            1.
                                                                                                green economy, with the aim of making a
                                                   Cluster Agency                               contribution to regional economic
                                                                                                diversification and job creation efforts.     This market opportunity brief is part
                                                   Clusters can create the context to                                                         of a series of first-of-its-kind reports
                                                   build trust between sector players, and      The Mpumalanga Green Cluster Agency’s         that highlight green economy investment
                                                   work to unlock new mechanisms to             mission is to stimulate a vibrant green       opportunities in Mpumalanga. It is
                                                   enhance competitiveness and resilience.      economy for communities in the                written for investors who want to
                                                   The Green Economy, in particular,            Mpumalanga province, underpinned by           understand the opportunities for
                                                   lends itself to collaborative ecosystem      a collaboration between government,           investment and job creation in green
                                                   building approaches. Set in this system      business and academia. The vision is a        economy sectors the province.
                                                   of rapidly changing technology, and the      vibrant, green and sustainable economy in
                                                   economics surrounding that technology,       the Mpumalanga province, that leverages       Each brief provides an overview of the
                                                   are commitments to social inclusion,         the province’s rich natural resources and     market within a sector, including key
                                                   and greater equality.                        heritage to create a legacy for South         developments and achievements, the
                                                                                                Africa low carbon economic growth.            key players, legislation and regulation,
                                                   The opportunity to use a cluster to build                                                  market opportunities and challenges,
                                                   trust, remove barriers and unlock jobs and   Collaboration through clustering on a         and funding opportunities.
                                                   investment has been recognised as an         local scale to build competitiveness on a
                                                   opportunity to make a contribution to        global scale will support the growth of the   This brief focusses on the green economy
                                                   the regional economy in Mpumalanga.          green economy in Mpumalanga, and              investment opportunities in the
                                                                                                determine the green cluster in                sustainable agriculture sector. To access
                                                   The Mpumalanga Department of                 Mpumalanga’s success. To become a             the other sector briefs, please visit:
                                                   Economic Development and Tourism,            member of the Mpumalanga Green                http://www.mpumalangagreencluster.
                                                   working with GreenCape and with              Cluster Agency, please sign up here.          co.za/
                                                   support from the international
                                                   development finance community,
                                                   has set up the Mpumalanga Green

    THE MPUMALANGA                                 Cluster Agency.

    GREEN CLUSTER
    AGENCY
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MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
2.

    SECTOR
    OVERVIEW                                       ©Unsplash

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MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
The agriculture sector plays a crucial                                                             Approximately 80% of the food produced       This is primarily due to the inability of
     role in the development and economy                   2.1.                                         in South Africa comes from large-scale       small farms to achieve economies of              2.2.                                                                     Land cover in the province is dominated                                     Plantation lands are located mostly
     of South Africa, and Mpumalanga                                                                    commercial farms. Figure 1 illustrates the   scale. Higher incomes may be achieved                                                                                     by forests and other plantations (38%),                                     at the centre of the province
     specifically. This section highlights the                                                          number of commercial farm units in 2017      on small farms if they are commercialised.                                                                                followed by grasslands (35%) and farming                                    stretching North to South, mainly
     significance of the agriculture sector             Farming sector in South Africa                  and the different farm types by turnover     The commercialisation of small-scale         Natural resources in South                                                   related land use (18%). Based on Figure                                     along the escarpment.
     in terms of the farming sector, natural                                                            (StatsSA, 2020). It indicates that small     agriculture is envisaged in several          Africa and Mpumalanga                                                        2, dry land cultivation (16%) accounts for
     resource use, production trends,                   Agriculture in South Africa is comprised        farms dominate commercial agricultural       policies at national and regional levels,                                                                                 the largest farming land use, followed by

                                                                                                                                                                                                  38+35+18531L                                                                                                                                                             90+5+L
     economic contribution and relevant                 of a developed commercial sector that           farming units in South Africa; however,      particularly the National Development        In South Africa, natural resources for                                       irrigated and subsistence agriculture (1%).
     legislation. It aims to provide context            predominantly produces for export, as           the farms do not generate a high annual      Plan and Mpumalanga’s Economic               agricultural production are limited.                                         Dryland cultivation predominately takes                                       Mpumalanga contains almost
     for factors that promote investment in             well as a small scale and a subsistence         turnover relative to the larger farms.       Growth and Development Path                  About 80% of the total land surface                                          place in Nkangala and Gert Sibande                                            half of the country’s high
     sustainable agriculture in Mpumalanga.             sector. There are about 2 million                                                            (further detailed in section 2.5).           is classified as arid to semi-arid and                                       districts, whereas irrigated cultivation                                      potential arable land.
                                                        smallholder and household farmers and                                                                                                     about 12% of the land is arable, with                                        lands are in Ehlanzeni District.
                                                        ~40 000 commercial growers.                                                                                                               3% regarded as high potential land1.
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mpumalanga contains almost half of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                  country’s high potential arable land.

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Figure 2: Mpumalanga land use classifications (DFFE, 2020)
     Figure 1: Number of farming units in South Africa by size of commercial farm (2017) (StatsSA, 2020)
    Micro

                           turnover < R2 250 000                                                   24 929
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   38%             FOREST, WOODLAND, PLANTATIONS & OTHER

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   35%             GRASSLANDS
    Small

              R2 250 000 < turnover < R13 500 000                        10 713
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    18%            CULTIVATED COMMERCIAL & SUBSISTENCE LAND                                                                                  16%      DRYLAND CULTIVATION

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5%            WATER BODIES AND WETLANDS                                                                                                  1%      IRRIGATED CULTIVATION
    Medium

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3%            BUILDINGS                                                                                                                  1%      SUBSISTENCE CULTIVATION
             R13 500 000 < turnover < R22 500 000          1 846
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1%           MINES
    Large

                          turnover > R22 500 000            2 610

                                                    0       5 000   10 000   15 000   20 000   25 000   30 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                  1
                              NUMBER OF FARM UNITS                                                                                                                                                 High potential agricultural land means land best suited to, and capable of, consistently producing acceptable levels of goods and services for a wide
                                                                                                                                                                                                  range of agricultural enterprises in a sustainable manner, taking into consideration expenditure of energy and economic resources (Collett, 2014)

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MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
Agricultural land in the province is                                       In terms of water resources, water                                      Mpumalanga lies in the country’s                       The changing temperatures are                  Figure 4: Major crops by area harvested in South Africa, 2019 (FAOSTAT, 2021)                                                                                                             Agricultural production in Mpumalanga
     severely degraded as a result of poor                                      availability is limited in South Africa, with                           summer rainfall area and has a diverse                 anticipated to result in increased drought                                                                                                                                                                                               is renowned for citrus and subtropical
     soil management and mining activities.                                     rain-fed agriculture suffering from low                                 climate due to changes in altitude in the              incidences and impact evapotranspiration                                        2 500 000                                                                                                                                                fruits in the Lowveld, while the Highveld
     Degraded soils decrease land productivity,                                 rainfall and erratic conditions, while the                              two topographic areas, the Highveld and                rates. With the climate expected to                                                                                                                                                                                                      produces summer grains and oilseeds.
     requiring farms to apply more fertilisers                                  relatively small irrigated agriculture (~1%)                            Lowveld2. The mean annual rainfall in                  become drier, with fewer cooler days and                                        2 000 000                                                                                                                                                Plantations of exotic trees and wattles
     and chemicals for soil improvement. In                                     consumes about 60% of the country’s                                     the province ranges from 593 – 748mm                   more warm days, it is anticipated that                                                                                                                                                                                                   cover much of the Escarpment. Figure 5

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Area under production
     addition, chemical applications increase                                   surface water. With the increasing water                                in the Lowveld area and 748 – 971mm in                 climatic stresses and shocks will directly                                                                                                                                                                                               highlights the area planted under
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1 500 000
     soil acidity, causing further degradation                                  demand for industry and domestic use,                                   the Highveld area, as shown in Figure 3                impact the agricultural sector, and further                                                                                                                                                                                              field crops in Mpumalanga. Dryland
     of the soil. This impacts the province’s                                   and 98% of the available water resources                                (MTPA, 2018). The province is expected                 exacerbate natural resource scarcity.                                                                                                                                                                                                    production of grains and oilseeds
     agricultural productivity as well as the                                   being allocated, there is pressure on                                   to experience higher minimum, average                                                                                                  1 000 000                                                                                                                                                dominate the area planted, at 407 000
     associated value chain activities.                                         the agriculture sector to become more                                   and maximum temperatures over the                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ha and 204 000 ha, respectively.
                                                                                water-efficient.                                                        next few decades.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                500 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2.3.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  The area planted under horticultural
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        crops in 2017 is illustrated in Figure 6.
     Figure 3: Mean annual rainfall in Mpumalanga (MTPA, 2018)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0                                                                                                                                                 The main crops produced as a
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Production trends in South                                                                     ize       ean
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           s            eat     see
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                can
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   e
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            rle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               y
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ap
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            es
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      see
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          d        oe
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              s, d
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ry                   percentage of total area planted were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Ma         yb         Wh         r             ar             Ba          Gr              e          tat         n
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Africa and Mpumalanga                                                                                So                flo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         we           S ug                                       Rap          Po
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Be
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          a                             tree nuts (41%), followed by subtropical
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Sun                                                                                                                  fruits (27%) and citrus fruit (20%).
                                                                                                                                                                                                               South Africa has a diverse climate
                                                                                                                                                                                                               that allows a variety of agricultural          Figure 5: Area planted under field crops in Mpumalanga3 in 2017 (StatsSA, 2020)
                                                                                                                                                                                                               commodities. In arid regions, cattle and
                                                                                                                                                                                                               sheep farming dominate while intensive                                           400 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                               crop production and mixed farming prevail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                350 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                               in high rainfall areas. The vast majority
                                                                                                                                                                                                               of the country’s commercial agricultural                                         300 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                               land is suitable for grazing, which involves

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Area planted (ha)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                250 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                               livestock and game farming, whereas crop
                                                                                                                                                                                                               production consists primarily of grains,                                         200 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  DRYLAND
                                                                                                                                                                                                               cereals, and horticultural crops. The main
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 150 000                                                          IRRIGATED
                                                                                                                                                                                                               crops in South Africa in terms of area
                                                                                                                                                                                                               harvested are maize, soybeans, wheat,                                            100 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                               sunflower seed, and sugarcane (see
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 50 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Figure 4)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 s/                    ed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          s                       es                      de
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             r
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      he
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         r
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ain s               lse                        um                         d                         Ot
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Gr ereal           Oi                         Leg                        Fo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              c

     2                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3
         The Highveld comprises the most high-lying parts of South Africa’s plateau with an altitude between 1 500m but below 2 500, while lowveld refers to an area with an elevation between 150 and 600m.                                                      Note that data related to Mpumalanga production trends and technology trends are all based on data from the 2017 commercial census of agriculture in South Africa – (StatsSA, 2020)

10   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021   11
MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITY BRIEF 2021 - GREENCAPE
41+27+20101L
     Figure 6: Area under horticultural production in Mpumalanga as a percentage of total area (2017)

                                             41%

                                            27%
                                                    TREE NUTS

                                                    SUBTROPICAL FRUITS
                                                                                                          2.4.

                                                                                                        Economic overview
                                                                                                                                                     Figure 7: Gross value added (GVA) and employment of agriculture sector in Mpumalanga from 2010 to 2020 (Quantec, 2021)

                                                                                                                                                                                            16 000

                                                                                                                                                                                            14 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      120 000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      100 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        In terms of gross farm income,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Mpumalanga agricultural production
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        contributed ~12% to total gross farm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        income in South Africa. The main
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        contribution to total farm income
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        came from animal products (R 18 million),

                                                                                                                                                       R millions at constant 2010 prices
                                                                                                                                                                                            12 000
                                            20%     CITRUS FRUIT                                        2.4.1. Economic contribution of                                                                                                                                                                                                 field crops (R 11 million) and horticultural

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Total number employed
                                                                                                        agriculture, agro processing and                                                                                                                                                              80 000                            products (R 5 million), as shown in
                                                                                                                                                                                            10 000
                                             10%    VEGETABLES                                          forestry in Mpumalanga to the                                                                                                                                                                                                   Figure 8.
                                              1%    OTHER HORTICULTURAL CROPS                           South African economy                                                               8 000                                                                                                     60 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        The forestry sector is also vital to
                                              1%    DECIDUOUS FRUITS                                    Mpumalanga contributed 8% to total                                                  6 000                                                                                                                                       Mpumalanga’s economy. Approximately
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      40 000
                                                                                                        South African primary agriculture in 2020,                                                                                                                                                                                      41% of the total plantation area in South
                                                                                                                                                                                            4 000
                                                                                                        measured in terms of GVA. Including                                                                                                                                                                                             Africa is located in Mpumalanga. In 2020,
                                                                                                        downstream agricultural value added                                                                                                                                                           20 000                            the province contributed about 21% to
                                                                                                                                                                                            2 000
                                                                                                        activities or the food, beverages and                                                                                                                                                                                           the total forestry GVA and contributed
                                                                                                        tobacco (FBT) sector, this contribution                                                    0                                                                                                  0                                 the most jobs in the sector (~33%).
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2010    2011     2012   2013     2014        2015   2016     2017   2018   2019    2020
                                                                                                        increases to 13%. Despite the agricultural
                                                                                                        sector’s relatively small share of the                                                          GROSS VALUE ADDED AT BASIC PRICES                          TOTAL NUMBER EMPLOYED                                                2.4.2. Mpumalanga’s contribution to
                                                                                                        total GVA in South Africa (~3%), primary                                                                                                                                                                                        agricultural trade
                                                                                                        agriculture is an important sector in the    Figure 8: Total gross farm income in South Africa and Mpumalanga (StatsSA, 2020)
                                                                                                        South African economy. The impact of                                                                                                                                                                                            South Africa is known as a net exporter
                                                                                                                                                                                             180
                                                                                                        the two sectors on employment is quite                                                                                                                                                                                          of agricultural goods, exporting more
                                                                                                        significant, accounting for approximately                                            160          154                                                                                                                           than 30% of its goods. Mpumalanga
                                                                                                        8.2% (primary agriculture ~6% and 2% for                                                                                                                                                                                        contributes about 7% to total agricultural
                                                                                                                                                                                             140
                                                                                                        the FBT sector) to formal and informal                                                                                                                                                                                          exports. Figure 9 shows the trade
                                                                                                        employment in South Africa in 2020                                                                                                                                                                                              performance of agricultural and related

                                                                                                                                                       Gross farm income (R million)
                                                                                                                                                                                             120
                                                                                                        (Quantec, 2021). Mpumalanga contributed                                                                                                                                                                                         products in Mpumalanga since 2010.
                                                                                                        about 16% (primary agriculture ~10% and                                              100                                                                                                                                        Exports in the province have performed
                                                                                                        6% for FBT sector) to total employment                                               80                                                                        71
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        well, growing from R884 million in 2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        69
                                                                                                        in South Africa’s agricultural and value                                                                                                                                                                                        to more than R6 billion in 2020 (using
                                                                                                        added activities.Further details on GVA                                              60                                                                                                                                         current prices) and the agricultural trade
                                                                                                        and employment in the agriculture sector                                                                                                                                                                                        balance has also improved from R796
                                                                                                                                                                                             40
                                                                                                        in Mpumalanga can be seen in Figure 7.                                                                                                                                                                                          million in 2010 to R5 billion in 2020,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                18
                                                                                                                                                                                             20                                                 11                                                                                      despite imports of agricultural products
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5                     2       1                             also expanding during the same period.
                                                                                                                                                                                              0
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Animal products                 Field crops            Horticultural products        Other income
                                                                                                                                                                                                        SOUTH AFRICA            MPUMALANGA

12   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021   13
Figure 9: Mpumalanga agricultural exports and imports (2010 – 2020) (Quantec, 2021)                                                                      Mpumalanga exported most of its              Considering these trends, the African                                    Due to Mpumalanga’s contribution to                                Table 2: Top 10 agricultural products in Mpumalanga exported to Africa
                                                                                                                                                              agricultural products to Asia (43%),         Continental Free Trade Agreement                                         citrus production in the country, similar                          Source: Quantec, 2021
                                     7,00
                                                                                                                                                              followed by Europe (25%) and Africa (21%)    (AfCFTA) and revised citrus4 protocol                                    opportunities will exist for the province;
                                                                                                                                                              in 2020. At the same time, agricultural      between South Africa and China                                           however, further opportunities could
                                     6,00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Export value
                                                                                                                                                              imports into the province were mainly        present opportunities for increased                                      emerge for the top agricultural products                                                                                                                (R) in 2020
                                                                                                                                                              attained from the continent (90%) and        agricultural trade. The AfCFTA intends                                   exported into Africa, these are shown
                                     5,00                                                                                                                     some parts from Asia (5%) and Europe         to remove tariffs on 90% of all goods                                    in Table 2. In addition, the new market                              HST10: Cereals                                                                       R867 831 660
       R billions (current prices)

                                                                                                                                                              (3%), as shown in Figure 10 and Figure 11.   traded between member states in equal                                    provides an opportunity for increased
                                                                                                                                                                                                           annual reductions toward a zero tariff.                                  local production.                                                    HST02: Meat and edible meat offal                                                   R563 545 295
                                     4,00
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Given South Africa’s leading position in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HST04: Dairy produce; birds’ eggs; natural honey; edible products of animal         R202 728 596
                                                                                                                                                                                                           agricultural exports, the AfCFTA could
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         origin, not elsewhere specified or included
                                     3,00                                                                                                                                                                  create new markets for products such
                                                                                                                                                                                                           as oranges, bottled wine or apples                                                                                                            HST07: Edible vegetables and certain roots and tubers                                R143 612 244
                                     2,00                                                                                                                                                                  (Morokong et al., 2021).
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HST15: Animal or vegetable fats and oils and their cleavage products; prepared       R112 939 564
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         edible fats; animal or vegetable waxes
                                     1,00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HST22: Beverages, spirits and vinegar                                                R103 914 433

                                       –
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HST08: Edible fruit and nuts; peel of citrus fruit or melons                         R68 263 300
                                              2010     2011       2012       2013      2014   2015   2016   2017      2018     2019      2020

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HST19: Preparations of cereals, flour, starch or milk; pastrycooks’ products          R59 991 185
                                              EXPORT          IMPORT         TRADE BALANCE

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HST12: Oil seeds and oleaginous fruits; miscellaneous grains, seeds and fruit;        R 53 977 197
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         industrial or medicinal plants; straw and fodder

                                                                                                               +532L 90
 43+25+2111L
     Figure 10: Mpumalanga import and export destinations (2020)

                                            EXPORTS
                                                                   43%

                                                                   25%
                                                                       21%
                                                                       11%
                                                                              ASIA

                                                                              EUROPE

                                                                              AFRICA

                                                                              AMERICAS
                                                                                                                   Figure 11: Mpumalanga import destinations (2020)

                                                                                                                               IMPORTS
                                                                                                                                                       90%

                                                                                                                                                        5%
                                                                                                                                                        3%
                                                                                                                                                        2%
                                                                                                                                                               AFRICA

                                                                                                                                                               ASIA

                                                                                                                                                               EUROPE

                                                                                                                                                               AMERICAS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HST20: Preparations of vegetables, fruit, nuts or other parts of plants               R51 213 927

                                                                                                                                                                                                           4
                                                                                                                                                                                                             A revised protocol to relax the current regulatory requirements for cold treatment of South African lemons exported to China was signed
                                                                                                                                                                                                           between the South African Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development in June 2021. The protocol is anticipate to
                                                                                                                                                                                                           increase volumes of South African citrus exports to China.

14   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021   15
Table 3: Key agricultural players in Mpumalanga
        2.5.                                             The concept involves a network of                As a result, players within Mpumalanga’s
                                                         organisations, enterprises, and individuals      and broader South Africa’s agricultural                                                    Category                                                    Function                                                                             Key players in Mpumalanga
                                                         focused on bringing new products,                ecosystem are crucial to promoting
     Key players in the                                  processes, and forms of organisation             sustainable agriculture. The key players in                                           Producers/farmers       Key players in adopting sustainable farming practices and technologies. Produce                  Range of farmers producing key agricultural commodities in the province such as those
     agricultural value chain                            into economic use, together with the             the agriculture sector can be divided into                                                                    commodities and in most cases do their own harvesting, storage, and transport.                   grains, horticultural crops, livestock products
                                                         institutions and policies that affect            six broad categories: producers, research/
                                                                                                                                                                                                Research & training     Key players in adopting sustainable farming practices and technologies. Produce                  University of Mpumalanga, Agricultural Research Council, Timbali Technology Incubator,
     An ecosystem’s network of actors                    their behaviour and performance.                 academia, input suppliers, technology
                                                                                                                                                                                                institutions            commodities and in most cases do their own harvesting, storage, and transport.                   Lowveld College of Agriculture
     determines its sustainability and                   The approach emphasises the need                 suppliers, industry associations, financiers
     productivity. This collaborative approach           to consider and create interactions              and labour organisations. The key players                                             Industry associations   These are involved in all aspects of the value chain. They support farmers and provide them      Citrus Association, Subtropical Fruit Association, GrainSA, Forestry South Africa, South
     is embodied in the concept of agricultural          throughout the entire value chain,               in Mpumalanga are indicated in Table 3.                                                                       with relevant and reliable information regarding regulations, logistics, cultivar development,   African Poultry Association; Sugarcane Growers Association, Red Meat Producers
     innovation systems (highlighted in                  including beyond the farm gate                                                                                                                                 etc. They also do or support research in various fields, including soil, water, production       Organisation; Agri-Mpumalanga
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        practices and cultivars.
     Figure 12).                                         (Worldbank, 2007).
                                                                                                                                                                                                Labour organisations    These are organisations that provide support for employees in the agricultural sector by         Mpumalanga Farmers Union, Food & Allied Workers Union, Transvaal Agricultural Union
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        assisting them in attaining the best possible financial and social position in all employment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        positions along the entire value chain. They also play a key role in strengthening supply
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        chains and minimizing disruptions.
     Figure 12: Agricultural innovation system (Worldbank, 2007)
                                                                                                                                                                                                Technology suppliers    Develop and supply technologies and inputs across the value chain to enable increased            Range of suppliers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        food production and local economic development.
                                                                      Informal institutions, practices, behaviours, mind-sets and attitudes
                                                                                                                                                                                                Government              Enable policy environment and incentivising business to invest in sustainable agriculture and    Department of Agriculture, Rural Development, Land and Environmental Affairs;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        green economy.                                                                                   Department of Economic Development and Tourism, Department of Social Development,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         District municipalities

                  • Agricultural education
                    systems                                                             Bridging institutions                                            Agricultural value chain                                                                 2.6.1. National legislation
                   (i.e. vocational training, primary,                                  • political channels stakeholder                                 actors & organisations                  2.6.                                             and policies
                   secondary or tertiary institutions)                                    platforms media                                                • Consumers
                                                                                                                                                         • Processing, wholesale, retailers                                                       The following section discusses
                  • Agricultural research                                               Agricultural extension                                           • Traders                            Relevant legislation                                the national policies and legislation
                    systems                                                             systems                                                          • Agricultural producers                                                                 governing and driving the agriculture
                   (i.e. public sector, private                                         • public, private, NGO                                           • Input suppliers                    The agricultural sector is governed by              sector in South Africa to be more
                   sector, NGO/NPO)                                                                                                                                                           a range of policies and regulations that            sustainable and resource-efficient.
                                                                                                                                                                                              influence the trajectory of sustainable             Table 4 provides policies that impact
                                                                                                                                                                                              agricultural production. This section               and drive sustainable production, while
                                                                                                                                                                                              highlights key regulations at national,             Table 5 highlights policies agricultural
                                                                                                                                                                                              provincial and international level                  that govern resource use.
                                                                 Enabling environment (innovation policies, investments, agricultural policies)                                               impacting the agricultural sector.

16   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021    17
Table 4: List of policies and legislation that govern sustainable agricultural production

                       Key policy or legislation                                                                       Relevance to sustainable agriculture                                                      Industry Masterplans (2019 – 2021)                        There are a range of masterplans that have recently been drafted or are in the process of being developed that will have an impact on the agri-sector in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mpumalanga. The overarching objective of the masterplans are to improve competitiveness of the industries, drive domestic and export demand and
       The National Development Plan 2030 (NDP 2012)             • Highlights plans to expand irrigated agriculture and develop new water schemes.                                                                                                                         to support the local industry. A few of these include:

                                                                 • Highlights plans to support local and sectoral efforts to reduce water demand and improve water-use efficiency.                                                                                         • The sugar industry masterplan
                                                                 • Highlighting the importance of agriculture to the green economy.                                                                                                                                        • Poultry masterplan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           • Cannabis masterplan
       The Agriculture Integrated Growth and Development Plan    • Plans to develop equitable, productive, competitive, profitable and sustainable agriculture, forestry and fisheries sectors.                                                                            • Agriculture and agro processing masterplan
       (IGDP 2012)
                                                                 • Emphasises that the sector needs to benefit all South Africans.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Draft Preservation and Development of Agricultural Land   The bill aims to:
       National Bioeconomy Strategy (2013)                       • Highlights strategic interventions in the agriculture sector and enhance competitiveness.                                                     Framework Bill (2021)                                     • provide principles for the management of agricultural land;
                                                                 • Plans to unlock value of indigenous crops.                                                                                                                                                              • provide for agricultural land evaluation and classification;
                                                                 • Plans to establish a network of agro-innovation hubs that enhance technology transfer and extension.                                                                                                    • provide for the preparation, purpose and content of provincial agricultural sector plans;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           • provide for the declaration of protected agricultural areas;
       The Agricultural Policy Action Plan (APAP 2014)           • A programmatic response to key policy documents, including the National Development Plan (NDP) and the New Growth Path (NGP).                                                                           • provide for the general objectives of agro-ecosystem management, agro-ecosystem authorisations;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           • the listing and delisting of activities or areas within agro-ecosystems and the identification of competent authorities.
       Draft Conservation Agriculture Policy (2017)              • To promote and establish ecologically and economically sustainable agricultural systems to increase food security.
                                                                 • Recommending government to offer producers with incentives to adopt conservation agriculture measures thereby developing incentive schemes,
                                                                  and that tax rebates are provided to manufacturers of conservation agriculture equipment.

       Draft Climate Change Bill (2018)                          • To provide management of climate change impacts and identify new industrial opportunities in the growth of the green economy.
                                                                 • Enhance adaptive capacity of the country and increase reduce vulnerability from climate change.
                                                                 • Contribute to global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

       Draft Climate Smart Agriculture Framework Policy (2018)   • To provide management of climate change impacts and identify new industrial opportunities in the growth of the green economy.
                                                                 • Enhance adaptive capacity of the country and increase reduce vulnerability from climate change.
                                                                 • Contribute to global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

       National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy (2019)        • Support to farmers to implement more efficient climate-smart and conservation practices.
                                                                 • Promotion of urban agriculture, including community and household food gardens in areas not classified as agricultural land.
                                                                 • Increasing the role of agricultural extension officers in supporting vulnerable farmers.
                                                                 • Promotion and subsidisation of water conservation technologies.

18   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021       19
Table 5: List of policies and legislation that govern agricultural resource use                                                                                                                                                                   2.6.2. Provincial legislation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       and policies
                               Key policy or legislation                                                                                           Relevance to sustainable agriculture
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       The key policy frameworks in
          National Water Act, Act No 36 of 1998 (NWA 1998)                                   • Redefines water rights in South Africa to stimulate inclusive growth.                                                                                   Mpumalanga that intend to drive a green
                                                                                             • Section 21 of the National Water Act highlights different water uses that require authorisation from the Department of Water and Sanitation.            economic growth in the province are
                                                                                              Applications for water use authorisations for water use activities may take the form of a Water Use License (WULA), or a General Authorization (GA),     the Vision 2030 (2013) and Mpumalanga
                                                                                              depending on the nature of the proposed water use and the likely impact the water use will have on water resources.                                      Economic Growth and Development Path
                                                                                             • On the 1st of April 2021, the DWS implemented a revised turnaround time to process water use licence applications from 300 to 90 days.                  (2011), and Biodiversity sector plan (2014).
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       The key objectives and relevance of the
          The National Environmental Management Act 107 of 1998                              • NEMA is the overarching legislative framework for environmental governance Core values are reflected through the following principles:                  policies to sustainable agriculture are
          (NEMA 1998)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ©Matthias Mullie
                                                                                             • Environmental management must place people and their needs at the forefront of its concern, and serve their physical, psychological, developmental,     highlighted in Table 6.
                                                                                              cultural and social interests equitably
                                                                                             • Development must be environmentally, socially and economically sustainable

          Carbon Tax Act, No 15 of 2019                                                      The carbon tax act was gazetted in May 2019 and came into effect on 01 June 2019. The carbon tax will be applied over two phases: Phase 1 will be
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Table 6: List of policies and regulations that govern Mpumalanga sustainable agriculture
                                                                                             from 01 June 2019 to 31 December 2022, and phase 2 will be from 2023 to 2030. The implications of act will become applicable to the agriculture sector
                                                                                             from phase 2. The carbon tax provides a range of relief measures to protect competitiveness of the local industry, among these, are carbon offsets.                 Key policy or legislation                                                                         Relevance to sustainable agriculture
                                                                                             • The Carbon Offset Administration System (COAS), administered by the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy, was launched 23 July 2020.
                                                                                              It serves two main purposes: 1) to define the procedures through which project developers submit eligible projects and list their credits; and 2)          Economic Growth and Development              The Mpumalanga Economic Growth and Development Path (MEGDP) is informed by the National Economic Growth Path. The path highlights the green economy
                                                                                              to provide a platform through which emitters can surrender carbon credits against their tax obligations.                                                   Path (2011)                                  and Information and Communication Technology as a key opportunity areas.
                                                                                             • The carbon offset regulations provide opportunities for large-scale carbon sequestration and storage in the agriculture sector. To be eligible to
                                                                                              generate credits for use in lieu of the carbon tax, projects must be located in South Africa. Projects in the transport, waste, agriculture, forestry,     Vision 2030 (2013)                           The Mpumalanga Vision 2030 Strategic Implementation Framework (2013-2030) was established as a direct implementation response to the National Development
                                                                                              and land use sectors, which are not covered by the tax, can generate carbon credits.                                                                                                                    Plan Vision, 2030. The key objectives include promoting employment and economic growth. Agricultural and forestry development are key drivers highlighted to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      promote economic growth and social protection.
          Draft Expropriation Bill Of 2020                                                   The Joint Constitutional Review Committee (JCRC) released its final recommendation, in which it advised that Section 25 of the Constitution of South
                                                                                             African should be amended to allow expropriation of land without compensation as a legitimate option for land reform. The Expropriation                     Biodiversity Sector Plan (2014)              The Mpumalanga Biodiversity Sector Plan (MBSP) is a guideline which is part of a wider set of national biodiversity planning tools and initiatives that are designed for
                                                                                             Bill of 2020 was drafted on 9 October 2020. The bill outlines details on circumstances that permit compensation and non-compensation for the                                                             national legislation and policy. The MBSP incorporates climate change improvements in the province.
                                                                                             expropriation of property. The bill provides more clarity for potential and current investors of the government’s intention with this constitutional
                                                                                             amendment. At the same time, the Minister of Agriculture announced5 that the government is making 896 farms on 700 000 ha of underutilised or               Green Economy Development Plan (2016)        The Mpumalanga Green Economy Development Plan aims to change the province’s economy from relying on coal-based energy to one boasting biomass-based
                                                                                             vacant state land available for emerging farmers on 30-year leaseholds, with an option to buy. About 40 206ha have been allocated to Mpumalanga.                                                         energy, sustainable agriculture, and tourism and eco-conscious towns by 2030.

          National Waste Management Strategy (2020)                                          The strategy outlines government’s policy and strategic approach to waste management for South Africa for the coming years. The set of actions
                                                                                             to reach strategic outcomes, include:
                                                                                             • Waste minimisation to prevent and reuse waste
                                                                                             • Effective and sustainable waste services
                                                                                             • Mainstream waste awareness and a culture of compliance resulting in zero tolerance of pollution, litter and illegal dumping

     5
         https://www.gov.za/speeches/minister-didiza-allocation-state-land-1-oct-2020-0000

20   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021        21
2.6.3. International regulations               The international regulatory                In addition, the EU envisages a Carbon
                                                    developments are discussed below.           Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM),
     South Africa is a major exporter of                                                        a levy on all carbon-intensive imports
     agricultural products and as such needs        • Most recently, China has pledged to       (based on the carbon intensity of the
     to adhere to international environmental         reach peak carbon emissions before        country of origin). The CBAM will be
     regulations and standards.                       2030 and reduce emissions to net          introduced transitionally in 2023 and
                                                      zero by 2060.                             finalised before 2026. Exports from
     2.6.3.1. Global climate change                                                             carbon-intensive sectors such as cement,
     regulations                                    • The European Commission plans to          steel, chemicals and fertilisers will
                                                      reduce greenhouse gas emissions by        significantly be affected by the CBAM
     Since the Kyoto Protocol was agreed,             at least 55% by 2030. The European        (European Commission, 2019).
     the number of climate change laws                Green Deal lists a set of policy
     has increased by over a factor of 20             initiatives to achieve climate            In Mpumalanga and the rest of the
     (Nachmany et al., 2017). In light of the         neutrality by 2050, among these           country, the EU plays a vital role as a
     recent COVID-19 pandemic, national               is the Farm-to-fork strategy. The         major export destination for agricultural
     governments across the globe are                 outlines plans to:                        products, so trade-related climate risks
     making the transition to a low-carbon                                                      equally affect the industry.
     economy as part of their economic              • avoid or minimise placing products
     recovery (Birol, 2020; OECD, 2020).              related to deforestation or forest        The growing climate ambition targets in
                                                      degradation into the European             major agricultural export markets will likely
                                                      Union (EU) market;                        drive many South African export farmers
                                                    • ban imported products into the            to adopt sustainable production practices
                                                      EU market that do not comply with         and technologies to remain competitive.
                                                      EU environmental standards
                                                    • require trading partners to apply
                                                      sustainable practices in terms of plant
                                                      protection and pesticide use.
                                                    • Promote sustainable labelling schemes
                                                      for food imported into the EU

22   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                               MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021   23
3.

     EMERGING
     OPPORTUNITIES,
     DRIVERS AND
     BARRIERS                     ©GreenCape

24   MPUMALANGA WATER: MIR 2021                MPUMALANGA WATER: MIR 2021   25
This section provides an overview of                                                             This shift is primarily driven by climate          resilience (adaptation), reduces/removes            The opportunities highlighted in this                                                                                 A trend emerging is the application of      The study defines disruptive agricultural
     the major trends and drivers to support             3.1.                                         change, population growth, scarce                  GHGs (mitigation) where possible, and               brief are centred on opportunities in                                   3.2.                                          technology to increase the efficiency of    technologies as digital and technical
     investment into sustainable agriculture                                                          natural resources (water and arable                enhances achievement of national food               the primary production stage of                                                                                       food production, enhance transparency,      advancements that allow farmers
     in Mpumalanga, and the associated                                                                land), international market pressure               security and development goals”.                    the value again and cross-cutting                                                                                     and improve traceability. According to      and agribusiness entrepreneurs to
     opportunities and barriers that affect         Major drivers and opportunities                   for environmentally friendly products,                                                                 opportunities to improve resource                                     Sustainable agriculture trends                  the Worldbank (2020), 75% of scalable       improve their access to markets, boost
     sustainable agricultural production and                                                          technological advancement and growing              There are a range of opportunities along            use efficiency and recovery.                                                                                          disruptive agricultural technologies        their productivity, efficiency, and
     resource use efficiency.                       The agriculture sector is vulnerable to           consumer preferences for healthier                 the agricultural value chain that can                                                                                     Several trends are emerging in the              (DATs) operate in Kenya, South Africa,      competitiveness, and enhance their
                                                    various economic, environmental, social,          products. The ongoing COVID-19                     transform and reimagine food production                                                                                   sustainable agriculture sector that             and Nigeria (see Figure 14). South Africa   resilience to climate change. The agri-tech
                                                    and regulatory factors that impact the            pandemic has further demonstrated the              to the realities of climate change. These                                                                                 involve reducing food loss and waste,           is the second leading agri-tech hub         solutions can range from mobile apps to
                                                    industry’s productivity and investment            susceptibility of the agriculture sector to        can range from alternative and more                                                                                       preventing soil erosion and improving           after Kenya, having 46 scalable DATs        solar applications, portable agriculture
                                                    trends. In response, there is a global shift      the changing dynamics in the industry.             sustainable inputs, technologies and                                                                                      resource efficiency.                            (according to the stocktaking database),    devices, and bio-fortified foods.
                                                    away from conventional farming toward             As such this section highlights investment         services to enable sustainable production,                                                                                                                                followed by Nigeria and Ghana.
                                                    more resource efficient and technology-           opportunities in sustainable agriculture           the type of crops produced and a range
                                                    driven farming methods.                           sector, which the Food and Agriculture             of value added products. The different
                                                                                                      organisation of the United Nations                 opportunities are highlighted in Figure 13.         Figure 14: Disruptive scalable agri-tech (Worldbank, 2020)
                                                                                                      defines as “agriculture that sustainably
                                                                                                      increases productivity, enhances                                                                                                           70

     Figure 13: Opportunities along the agricultural value chain                                                                                                                                                                                 60   58

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Number of scalable disruptive agri-tech
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 50        46

                                                             Primary
                                                           agriculture                                                                                                                                                                           40
                                                                                                                                         Distribution                                                                                                           34
                                                           production                                                                    & marketing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 30
                                                                                                                                  • eGroceries
                                                    • Novel farming                        • Value-added activities
             • Biotechnology                                                                                                      • Food safety and traceability
                                                    • Smart farming                         to raw produce                                                                  • E-commerce /                                                       20
             • Alternative feed                                                                                                   • Innovative transport,                                                                                                            15
                                                    • Sustainable agricultural             • Drying and cooling                                                              home deliveries
             • Biofertilisers                                                                                                      cooling and storage
                                                     practices                              technologies
                                                                                                                                   solutions                                                                                                     10                       6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4     3      3    3    2     2     2        1   1       1     1     1     1     1     1
                                                                                                     Agro-
                       Inputs                                                                      processing                                                                         Retail                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       a     a    a       a    s   a   n  a    l    a     s       li   a    el    d   n    y       a   o    a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ny   ric   eri han tate gand eroo ambi nega ambi land       Ma swan Isra erlan ede rman uine a Fas anad
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Ke h Af Nig       G        S  U    m  Z S e  G th  e r             t        z   S w   e    G       n  C
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ut               ite
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           d      Ca                             Bo      Sw
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            it        G          rki
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   So               Un                           Ne                                           Bu

                                          Water reuse & wastewater treatment; Cold chain solutions; Energy efficiency & renewable energy; Circular economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Country

26   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021   27
Figure 15 illustrates the changes in                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.3.1. Sustainable production                                        Although agriculture is at risk, it is also
     global agri-food investments between                                                                                                                                                                              3.3.                                                                                                                                        a major greenhouse gas emitter. A large
     the years 2019 (pre-COVID) and 2020.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Summer cereals and legumes (i.e.                                     proportion of greenhouse gas emissions
     While agri-food investments in 2019 were                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 sunflower seed, sorghum, dry beans,                                  is caused by livestock production, which
     concentrated in upstream technologies,                                                                                                                                                                     Investment opportunities                                                      soybeans, potatoes, cotton, and maize)                               includes the use of land for animal feed.
     2020 has seen an increase (~43%) in                                                                                                                                                                        in Mpumalanga                                                                 are predominately grown in the Highveld                              Enteric fermentation in ruminants,
     investments in downstream technologies.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  region of Mpumalanga. While in the                                   livestock manure, synthetic fertilizers,
     These can be attributed to the impact of                                                                                                                                                                   Mpumalanga offers attractive investment                                       Lowveld region, sub-tropical and citrus                              and burning of crop residues are some
     COVID-19 on downstream activities in                                           ©Western Cape Department of Agriculture
                                                                                                                                                                                                                prospects due to its diverse agricultural                                     fruits and sugar are extensively cultivated.                         of the main sources of agricultural
     the agricultural value chain.                                                                                                                                                                              production sector and industrial export                                       The province is also known for its beef,                             emissions. Due to the importance of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                base. This market brief discusses the                                         chickens, eggs, and pork production.                                 the livestock sector in Mpumalanga

 +41L 95 51+47+2L
                                                                                                                                                                                                                opportunities emerging in two broad                                           However, despite the sector’s potential,                             and its contribution to greenhouse
     Figure 15: Global agri-food tech investments in the years 2019 and 2020 (AgFunder, 2021)                                                                                                                   categories: sustainable production                                            degraded soils caused by poor farming                                gas emissions, there are opportunities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                and circular economy and resource                                             practices and mining activities pose a                               to transition the sector to be more
                                                                                                                                                                                                                efficiency. The opportunities described                                       significant barrier. It is estimated that                            sustainable. The opportunities for
                                             95%        UPSTREAM                                                                                              51%        UPSTREAM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                under sustainable production promote                                          ~93 632 ha (14%) of the province’s high                              improved soil health, rangeland
                                                        DOWNSTREAM                                                                                                       DOWNSTREAM                             environmentally conscious practices                                           potential arable land is being mined, and                            management, and viable post-mining
                                              4%                                                                                                             47%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                and technologies on farms, while those                                        40% is subject to prospecting activities,                            land use options are detailed in Table 7.
                                               1%       MISCELLANEOUS                                                                                          2%        MISCELLANEOUS                          described under circular economy focus                                        representing a further risk of losing about
                                                                                                                                                                                                                on efficiently managing farm resources                                        260 000 ha of arable land if mining
                       2019                                                                                                      2020                                                                           and to reduce food loss and waste.                                            continues (Creamer, 2021).

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Overgrazing, invasive plants, land clearing,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              and uncontrolled fires also threaten
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              rangelands6. With exposed soils and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              no vegetation, these rangelands are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              vulnerable to storms and droughts and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              cannot store water or carbon effectively.

       Upstream technologies                        Ag biotechnology; agribusiness marketplaces; bioenergy & biomaterials; farm management software, sensing & IoT; farm robotics, mechanization & equipment;
                                                    food safety & traceability tech, logistics & transport, processing tech; novel farming systems; innovative food

       Downstream technologies                      In-Store retail & restaurant tech; restaurant marketplaces; eGrocery; home & cooking tech; online restaurants & mealkits; cloud retail infrastructure

       Miscellaneous                                Fintech for farmers

                                                                                                                                                                                                                6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Rangelands are lands on which native vegetation is predominantly grasses, grass-like plants, or shrubs suitable for grazing or browsing use.

28   MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                MPUMALANGA SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE: MIR 2021   29
Table 7: Sustainable production opportunities                                                                                                                                                                       3.3.1.1. Current market size                                             Furthermore, the agricultural outlook           • Subtropical (avocado): The avocado       • Niche produce9 (berries, leafy greens,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         and outlook                                                              highlighted in Bureau for Food and                industry has shown rapid growth, with      mushrooms etc.): Niche industries
                 Investment opportunity                                  Context                                             Market drivers                                      Market barriers                                                                                                  Agricultural Policy (BFAP) baseline               an increased area under production         show high growth potential as they
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The key factors that provide potential                                   (2020) for the period 2020 -2029 noted            from 13 000ha in 2010 to 19 000ha in       do not compete with existing
       Improved soil health                          Includes interventions that focus on enhancing         • Mine closure & land rehabilitation.                • Legal uncertainty and poor mine closure               land for sustainable agriculture                                         the following key national production             2019, with new plantings estimated at      industries. The berries and nut industry
                                                     soil health. These can include sustainable practices
                                                                                                            • Stringent international regulations on use          planning to effectively rehabilitate mining land.      opportunities are the following:                                         trends that could impact production               1000ha per annum. The industry is          is among those showing high growth.
                                                     such as organic farming, agroforestry, and                                                                                                                                                                                                   in Mpumalanga:                                    projected to grow and will expand          The blueberry industry has grown
       Key opportunities:                                                                                    of chemical fertilisers.                            • High transition costs to soil health improvement.
       • Regenerative agriculture.                   agroecology or conservation agriculture. In
                                                     addition, the use of biostimulants and soil            • Certification to increase access to                • limited skills and expertise to effectively improve   • The grain sector in Mpumalanga has                                                                                       by 34 000 ha and 300 000 tonnes            significantly compared to other crops,
       • Soil remediation.                                                                                   premium markets.                                     soil health.                                                adopted conservation agriculture                                    • Citrus: The total area under citrus             by 2029.                                   growing at a 5-year annual
                                                     remediation products can further improve
                                                     the soil health.                                                                                            • Unaffordable organic and Global GAP                        practices in less than 30% of agricultural                            production is expected to grow by 1.25%                                                    value of ~55%.
                                                                                                                                                                  certification, especially for small scale farmers.          operations, opening up the possibility of                             on average over the next 10 years. The        • Macadamia8: An estimated 44 775ha of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              further adoption in various field crops,                              cultivation area of grapefruit is expected      macadamia nut plants were planted in     Investments in sustainable production
       Rangeland management                          Includes improved or modified livestock                • Increased awareness on the consequences            • Limited financial resources for biosafety                  grazing land and orchards.                                            to show a positive trend in the outlook         2019, and the rate of production is      practices and the adoption of green
                                                     management practices such as improved grazing           of biosecurity risks to food supply chain and        measures.
                                                     management, alternative feed, improved pasture,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    period, while that of soft citrus, lemons7,     expected to increase by 2000 ha          technologies is expected to enable the
       Key opportunities:                                                                                    human health.                                       • Poor animal feed quality due to poor storage
       • Alternative protein feed.                   and breeding for heat tolerance.
                                                                                                            • Climate ambitions to reduce GHGs emissions in       facilities.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         • As highlighted Section 3.3.1, mine                                       and limes will stagnate due to market           annually due to new plantings.           projected expansion in areas under
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              closure is inevitable in the region, with                             saturation. Although the area under                                                      production and yield gains.
       • Sustainable livestock production.                                                                   livestock sector.                                   • Limited skills and expertise in sustainable
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              most coalfields expected to reach their                               cultivation will stagnate, with the           • Maize & soybean: The per capita
       • Feed storage.                                                                                      • Stringent food safety standards and regulations.    rangeland management.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              end-of-life in the next 40 years. Thus,                               exception of grapefruit, yield gains are        consumption of white maize is            3.3.2. Circular economy and
                                                                                                            • Consumer demand for healthier products.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              post-mining land use presents an                                      projected across all types of citrus.           projected to increase by 0.5% per        resource efficiency
       Controlled environment agriculture            The use of alternative soilless farming systems        • Growing demand for locally grown and               • High investment costs.                                     opportunity for soil remediation and                                                                                  annum over the next 10 years. The
       (soilless farming)                            such as hydroponics, aeroponics, and vertical           environmental friendly products.                                                                                 agricultural production (both soil-                                                                                   growing population will result in an     This section highlights the opportunities
                                                                                                                                                                 • Need for specialized skills for technology use.
                                                     farming can extend growing seasons and
                                                                                                            • Mine closure & land rehabilitation - alternative                                                                based & soilless).                                                                                                    increase of 14% of white maize           available to improve resource use
                                                     supply fresh produce year-round while                                                                       • High energy demand.
       Key opportunities:                                                                                    land use & infrastructure.                                                                                                                                                                                                             consumption by 2029. The area under      efficiency and reduce food loss and waste.
       • Input supplies.                             eliminating the challenges of transport                                                                     • Access to growing space.
                                                     costs and greenhouse emissions.                        • New local & international market access                                                                    • The Draft Preservation and                                                                                               yellow maize and soybean is expected     Table 8 highlights the key opportunities,
       • Niche farming.                                                                                      opportunities – increase demand for                                                                              Development of Agricultural bill of                                                                                   to increase by 9% and 47% respectively   providing context to the opportunity, the
       • Energy efficiency.                                                                                  intensive production.                                                                                            2020 could halt prospective mine                                                                                      over the period 2019 to 2029.            drivers and barriers. The current market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              applications, protecting about                                                                                                                                 outlook for the opportunities is further
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              260 000 ha of arable land.                                                                                                                                     highlighted in this section.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         • About 40 000ha of state owned land
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              has been allocated in Mpumalanga
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              under the land reform programme.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Note that this might change depending on the response to the lemon export protocol agreement with China
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Macadamia South Africa (SAMAC, 2019)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Based on WCDoA (2019) study on farm level employment per hectare

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