Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
Housing
New Zealand
Investor
Update
May 2018

Matthew Needham
CFO
Matthew.needham@hnzc.co.nz

Sam Direen
Treasury Manager
Sam.direen@hnzc.co.nz
Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Housing New Zealand Limited               guaranteed. HNZ makes no representation or warranty as to the
(HNZ). This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should         accuracy or completeness of the information in this presentation and
not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer   does not undertake to update it.
to buy or acquire any securities (Securities) of HNZ or any of its
subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into    HNZ has not prepared or registered an investment statement,
investment activity.                                                             prospectus, product disclosure statement or other regulated offer
                                                                                 document in relation to any offer of Securities. No action has been taken
The information in this presentation is in summary form and must be              or is proposed to be taken by HNZ to register any Securities under the
considered in conjunction with and subject to publicly available                 laws of any jurisdiction (including New Zealand) for which such
information of HNZ. It is of a general nature and does not constitute            registration is required or otherwise to enable the Notes to be offered to
financial product advice, investment advice or any recommendation by             the public or under a regulated offer. This presentation may not be
HNZ or any other person to subscribe for, or purchase, any Securities.           distributed or published in or from any jurisdiction except under
Nothing in this presentation constitutes legal, financial, tax or other          circumstances that will result in compliance with all applicable laws of
advice.                                                                          any such jurisdiction.
The information in this presentation does not take into account the              None of the Arrangers, Joint Lead Managers nor any of their respective
particular investment objectives, financial situation, taxation position or      directors, officers, employees and agents: (a) accept any responsibility
needs of any person. You should not rely on this presentation in relation        or liability whatsoever for any loss arising from this presentation or its
to any investment assessment. You should conduct your own research               contents or otherwise arising in connection with the offer of Securities;
on HNZ and analysis of its financial condition, assets and liabilities,          (b) authorised or caused the issue of, or made any statement in, any part
financial position and performance, profits and losses, prospects and            of this presentation; and (c) make any representation, recommendation
business affairs of HNZ, and the contents of this presentation.                  or warranty, express or implied regarding the origin, validity, accuracy,
                                                                                 adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of, or any errors or
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with               omissions in, any information, statement or opinion contained in this
respect to HNZ. All of these forward-looking statements are based on             presentation and accept no liability (except to the extent such liability is
estimates, projections and assumptions made by HNZ about                         found by a court to arise under the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013
circumstances and events that have not yet occurred. Although HNZ                or cannot be disclaimed as a matter of law).
believes these estimates, projections and assumptions to be reasonable,
they are inherently uncertain. Therefore, reliance should not be placed          A credit rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any
upon these estimates or forward-looking statements and they should not           Securities and may be subject to suspension, change or withdrawal at
be regarded as a representation or warranty by HNZ, the directors of             any time by the assigning rating agency.
HNZ or any other person that those forward-looking statements will be
achieved or that the assumptions underlying the forwarding-looking               By attending this presentation or otherwise accessing this document, you
statements will in fact be correct. It is likely that actual results will vary   agree to be bound by the terms and restrictions set out above.
from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements and such             No person may offer or sell Notes, or distribute or publish any offering
variations may be material.                                                      material or advertisement in relation to any offer of Notes, to any person
The information in this document is given in good faith and has been             in New Zealand other than to wholesale investors within the meaning of
obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate at the date of        clause 3(2)(a), (c) or (d) of Schedule 1 to the FMCA.
preparation, but its accuracy, correctness and completeness cannot be

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
CONTENTS

1. Overview             2. Build programme

3. Financing approach   4. Financial overview

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
1. Overview

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
OUR VISION: BUILDING LIVES AND COMMUNITIES BY HOUSING NEW ZEALANDERS

New Zealand’s largest residential landlord

We own or manage approximately              More than

63,000
properties
                                            180,000
                                            people who live in our houses

Value of our assets

$26 billion
Over                                        More than

98%
occupancy rates
                                            8,000
                                            new families housed last year

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
LEGAL STRUCTURE

HNZC is a Statutory Corporation set up under the Housing Corporation
Act (1974) and a Crown Agency under the Crown Entities Act (2004)

       • Total HNZL Assets $25 billion       • Manages Crown land
         (97% of Group assets)                 at Hobsonville
       • Total HNZL Debt $1.5 billion        • Master plans large-scale
         (79% Group debt)                      developments in Auckland

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
WHAT WE ARE BUILDING

New Zealand’s largest residential builder

                                        Target

1,524
new and replacement properties
                                        1,460
                                        new properties delivered this year
delivered nationally last year

                                        Target

                                        2,507
                                        new properties delivered in 18/19

7,000
new homes in the next three years

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
2. Build programme

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
OUR PLAN

 Working to ensure we have the right kind of homes,
 in the right places, to meet demand

New and renewed houses across the country
• 75% of our stock across New Zealand needs to
  be renewed over the next 20 years                   Auckland

• The Government has signalled the need for more
  public housing

Free-up land in Auckland
• The new Auckland Unitary Plan frees-up HNZ land
  for 30,000 homes
• High occupancy rates => additional public housing
  capacity required to release land for affordable
  and market homes

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Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
AUCKLAND - OVERVIEW

New Zealand’s largest and fastest growing city

1.6 million                          9th
people (34% of NZ’s population)      least affordable housing globally (Demographia, 2018)

28,200                               24,300
                                     houses (state, affordable, market) built by 2026
state houses (44% of total stock)

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AUCKLAND HOUSING PROGRAMME

Utilises land capacity in Auckland to accelerate the supply of housing

The Auckland Housing Programme (AHP)
• HNZ’s overarching initiative in Auckland to renew stock and increase
  housing supply using land capacity
• Has government approval, and has been in planning since 2016
                                                Phase 1        Phase 2       Total
                                               (2016/17       (2020/21
# houses (gross)                                to 2020)   to 2026/27)   (P1 & P2)
Additional new and renewed state houses           4,305         7,200      11,505
New affordable/market houses                      2,383        10,446      12,829
Total houses                                      6,688        17,646      24,334

$million
Total gross capital investment                    2,231
Less sales of land / land and buildings           (625)
Less budgeted capacity to invest in Auckland      (530)
Net investment required                           1,076

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BUSINESS STRATEGY

Details of new Government’s housing strategy
will inform overall financing requirements

     Auckland
     • $1.1b financing required in Phase One of Auckland Housing Programme to
       create capacity and free-up land for affordable and market homes

     All of New Zealand

     • Details around the additional build are currently being finalised through the
       Government’s Budget discussions

     • Once finalised, HNZ will be coming to market with a long-term financial
       strategy

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KIWIBUILD

KiwiBuild programme is a separate Government initiative

• Government initiative to build 100,000 affordable houses across New
  Zealand over 10 years
• Aimed at first home buyers
• Details, including financing approach, currently being finalised by
  Government
• HNZ will contribute to affordable housing developments as part of
  KiwiBuild

               100,000                          2018         10 years
                Affordable houses

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INDUSTRY SHAPING

Use scale to deliver new housing at lower cost

Innovative construction methods
• Offsite manufacturing
• Use of cross-laminated timber

Leveraging the build programme to
lower costs
• Scaled-up procurement practices
• Supplier panels
• Standardised designs to speed up
  consent process

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3. Financing approach

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FINANCING SUMMARY

All debt currently sourced from the Crown

HNZC group debt totalling $1,953m currently sourced
exclusively from the Crown
• HNZL (issuer)     $1,545m
• HNZC (parent) $408m
• Crown debt is refinanced upon maturity

Borrowing Protocol
• Approved additional debt can be sourced from avenues
  other than the Crown
• Approved by Minister of Finance, Minister for Housing and
  Urban Development
• As agreed between HNZC Board and Ministers

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CREDIT RATINGS - OVERVIEW

“HNZC is essentially an arm of the Government”
S&P Global Ratings, Dec-17

S&P Global Ratings’ assessment of HNZL and HNZC
• AA+ (stable) long-term local currency credit ratings
• Ratings equalised with the New Zealand sovereign
• Benefit from an “almost certain” likelihood of receiving government support
  in the event of financial distress
• ‘aa’ stand-alone credit profiles
• No explicit government guarantee

AA+
Issuer credit rating

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CREDIT RATINGS – OVERVIEW

HNZ is the only issuer assessed to have an “almost certain”
level of support from the New Zealand government

     * GRE = Government-related entity

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DEBT MATURITY PROFILE

Debt refinanced with the Crown via annual appropriation

HNZ’s Crown debt

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DEBT CAPITAL MARKET FINANCING

Commercial paper issuance underway, notes to follow in due course

Commercial paper programme
• Fortnightly tenders of $25m (3-month paper) since Feb-18
• $500m programme limit

Medium term note programme
• Established for use following 17 May 2018 Budget
• Notes offered will be:
     — unsecured and unsubordinated
     — subject to negative pledge provisions
     — repo eligible
     — offered to domestic and offshore (in certain jurisdictions) institutional investors
• Approved Issuer Levy paid by HNZL

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TREASURY POLICIES

Conservative treasury policies

Liquidity policies
• Maintain committed bank standby facility
• No more than 25% of term debt maturing in any one year
• Cash required four months prior to need
• Maintain rolling 36 month forecasts

Other policies and procedures
• Maintain current strong credit rating
• Controls around taking on new debt
• Reinvest net surpluses into housing

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4. Financial overview

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KEY FINANCIAL STATISTICS (HNZC GROUP)

Strong, stable and consistent financial performance

Financial Performance                           Financial Position
Year ended                      June    June    Year ended                   June     June
($m)                            2017    2016    ($m)                         2017     2016

Revenue                         1,318   1,284   Total assets                25,907   23,400
Expenses                         864     774    Total liabilities            4,309    4,233
EBITDA                           454     510    Total equity                21,598   19,167
Depreciation and amortization    246     231    Total debt                   1,953    1,859
EBIT                             208     279
Interest expense                  87      93
Tax                               16      44
Gains/(losses)                   (40)     (8)
Net profit after tax              65     134

Cash Flow                                       Credit Metrics
Year ended                      June    June    Year ended                   June     June
($m)                            2017    2016    ($m)                         2017     2016

Operating cash flow              284     321    Liabilities / Assets        16.6%    18.1%
Investing cash flow             (346)   (280)   Debt / (Debt + Equity)       8.3%     8.8%
Financing cash flow               89     (27)   Total Debt / EBITDA            4.3      3.6
                                                EBITDA / Interest expense      5.2      5.5

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FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

85 percent of rental income received from the Crown

Revenue                                                          Expenses
Year ended June 2017                             $m    % total   Year ended June 2017                                $m    % total
Rental revenue – income-related rent subsidy                     Repairs and maintenance                            315      26%
(IRRS)                                          758      58%
                                                                 Depreciation on rental properties                  224      19%
Rental revenue – tenants receiving IRRS         338      26%
                                                                 Rates on properties                                113       9%
Crown appropriation revenue                      88       7%
                                                                 Personnel                                          104       9%
Other                                           134      10%
                                                                 Interest expenses                                   87       7%
Total                                          1,318    100%
                                                                 Grants                                              77       6%
                                                                 Third-party rental leases                           59       5%
                                                                 Water rates                                         33       3%
                                                                 Depreciation and amortization on infrastructure
                                                                 assets                                              22       2%
                                                                 Other expenses                                     163      14%
                                                                 Total                                             1,197    100%

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KEY CREDIT SUMMARY

Strong and stable credit

• AA+ credit rating equalised with the Crown

• Critical to the delivery of the Government’s public housing programme

• Largest residential property owner in New Zealand

• 85 percent of rental income received from the Crown

• Conservative treasury policies

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OTHER INFORMATION

Wholesale investor information   https://hnzc.co.nz/about-us/
                                 wholesale-investor-information

                                 Credit ratings, borrowing programmes,
                                 publications, additional information

Direct contacts
                                                Matthew Needham
                                                CFO
                                                Matthew.needham@hnzc.co.nz

                                                Sam Direen
                                                Treasury Manager
                                                Sam.direen@hnzc.co.nz

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QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS

A chance for a discussion

                            OUR VISION
         Building lives and communities by housing
                       New Zealanders

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